6B(GBP/USD Futures) — Long Tattico di Pullback | R:R 2.47:1

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SETUP
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Il bias strutturale sul 6B rimane SHORT: tutti i timeframe
(Daily / H4 / H1) con slope negativo, DXY rialzista con
zscore +2.52, spread 2Y UK–US in deterioramento, COT net
short –71.585 contratti in aumento.

Tuttavia il prossimo movimento tradabile è un pullback
RIALZISTA contro-bias, per le seguenti ragioni:

• Zscore Daily –2.03: movimento ribassista esteso oltre la
soglia –2, candidato a mean reversion
• Divergenza prezzo–OBV su Daily 20g: l'OBV sale mentre
il prezzo scende → pressione ribassista non confermata
dal volume
• Climax rialzista sul Daily 2 barre fa (vol zscore +2.09):
possibile assorbimento e inizio rimbalzo
• Volume H4 collassato (ratio 0.17–0.22): discesa senza
partecipazione reale su H4
• Prezzo a 48 pip dallo swing low Daily con supporto
istituzionale PUT CME SEP26 1.3150 (OI 100) attivo

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LIVELLI CHIAVE (CME SEP26)
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Resistenze:
▪ 1.3200 — CALL SEP26 OI 12 (building, active)
▪ 1.3250 — doppio muro PUT+CALL, OI fortissimo (building)
▪ 1.3300 — PUT ITM SEP26 OI 319 (building +59 in 10g) ← TARGET

Supporti:
▪ 1.3150 — PUT SEP26 OI 100 (active today) ← BASE STOP
▪ 1.3100 — PUT SEP26 OI 14
▪ 1.3050 — PUT SEP26 OI 66 (active today)

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TRADE
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Entry : 1.3174
Stop : 1.3123 (sotto supporto PUT CME 1.3150)
Target : 1.3300 (PUT ITM SEP26 OI 319)
Rischio: 51 pip | Reward: 126 pip | R:R 2.47:1

Invalidazione: chiusura Daily sotto 1.3140

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SCENARIO ALTERNATIVO
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Se il prezzo rompe 1.3140 con chiusura Daily confermata
→ il pullback è annullato, bias SHORT riprende controllo
con target 1.3100 / 1.3050.

Settlement CME SEP26: 1.3161
Dato macro: Core PCE USA oggi 14:30 — catalizzatore del
movimento in entrambe le direzioni.

#GBPUSD #6B #Futures #CME #Forex #Long #Pullback

ENGLISH
6B (GBP/USD Futures) — Tactical Long Pullback | R:R 2.47:1

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SETUP
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The structural bias on 6B remains SHORT: all timeframes
(Daily / H4 / H1) show negative slope, DXY bullish with
zscore +2.52, UK–US 2Y spread deteriorating, COT net
short –71,585 contracts and increasing.

However, the next tradable move is a counter-bias
BULLISH pullback, supported by the following:

• Daily zscore –2.03: bearish move extended beyond –2
threshold, mean reversion candidate
• Price–OBV divergence on Daily 20-bar: OBV rising while
price falls → bearish pressure not confirmed by volume
• Bullish climax on Daily 2 bars ago (vol zscore +2.09):
potential absorption and start of bounce
• H4 volume collapsed (ratio 0.17–0.22): selloff running
on empty — no real participation on H4
• Price 48 pips above Daily swing low with active CME
institutional PUT support SEP26 1.3150 (OI 100)

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KEY LEVELS (CME SEP26)
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Resistance:
▪ 1.3200 — CALL SEP26 OI 12 (building, active today)
▪ 1.3250 — double CALL+PUT wall, heavy OI (building)
▪ 1.3300 — ITM PUT SEP26 OI 319 (building +59 over 10d) ← TARGET

Support:
▪ 1.3150 — PUT SEP26 OI 100 (active today) ← STOP BASE
▪ 1.3100 — PUT SEP26 OI 14
▪ 1.3050 — PUT SEP26 OI 66 (active today)

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TRADE
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Entry : 1.3174
Stop : 1.3123 (below CME PUT support 1.3150)
Target : 1.3300 (ITM PUT SEP26 OI 319)
Risk : 51 pips | Reward: 126 pips | R:R 2.47:1

Invalidation: Daily close below 1.3140

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ALTERNATE SCENARIO
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If price breaks 1.3140 with a confirmed Daily close
→ pullback scenario is cancelled, SHORT bias resumes
with targets at 1.3100 / 1.3050.

CME SEP26 Settlement: 1.3161
Macro: US Core PCE today 14:30 CET — potential catalyst
in either direction.

#GBPUSD #6B #Futures #CME #Forex #Long #Pullback