The structure of AUDUSD decline from Jan 2020 high has been unfolding as a textbook Elliot Wave five-wave impulse move, labeled (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v).
Wave (ii) was a sharp correction and wave (iv) unfolded as a triangle. A triangle always preceded the last move of a sequence. The whole structure perfectly fits into a downtrend channel.
According to the theory, a three-wave correction follows every impulse move. If this count is correct, AUDUSD should find bottom within the blue zone that lined up with channel support and price should resume an advance in 3, 7 or 9 swing sequences.
Target above wave (iv) in red high is plausible for bulls, and the breach of the blue line will confirm the bullish setup.
@transparent-fx, That's a great analysis. But I think the downtrend is finished from Elliot Wave view and at least a three swing higher should follow soon.