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mortdiggiddy
18 giu 2019 19:14

SPX500 Final Flag into FOMC Short

S&P 500 index of US listed sharesFXCM

Descrizione

Seasonality says down after FOMC statement on June 18. The markets like to bake in the FOMC news for the first 3 weeks of June, then sell. SPX SPY VXX NDX IWM TLT AAPL BA

ES Seasonality: mrci.com/client/spmarket/esd.php

Commento

Top red line barely visible is the old 2018 ATH.

Commento

Smacking opposite side of pitchfork and the late April to early May dark pool sell levels.

Commento

SPX Futures, same idea.

Commento

As a hedge I am long YM and short NQ the same number of contracts. This is the dollar value of that YM/NQ spread. Big move coming with support for banks (Dow Jones and hawkish FED) and selloff in tech.

Commento

Daily picture of the YM/NQ spread.

Commento

Doing exactly what seasonality and the last 5 years of June FOMC suggests. All news baked into first 3 weeks of June rally, including the final spike 1-2 days before Wednesday (today).

mrci.com/client/spmarket/ymd.php

Commento

I'm not buying it. I am looking at Nikkei long however.

Commenti
Bullandbeartrading
Ranging, lets see buddy
IgorPorokh
@mortdiggiddy Good job!
dryanhawley
Cameron, Can you explain how that X a b c d pattern get's read? What tells you down, from the pattern, leaving the FOMC out?
mortdiggiddy
@dryanhawley, Seasonality link.
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