Oro / Dollaro
Short

Gold Is Entering a Danger Zone—A Sharp Drop May Hit Before....

80
📌 SETUP SIGNAL (GOLD – 4H)
Strategy: Sell the Downward Channel – Follow the Correction
1️⃣ Sell Setup
Entry: 4188–4175 (after a confirmed 4H close below 4188)
Stop-Loss: 4240
Take Profit:
TP1: 4120
TP2: 4050
Main Target: 4000–3990
Reason:
- Price is moving cleanly inside a descending correction channel.
- Repeated sell-offs + weak bullish reactions show sellers are still in control.
- Breaking 4188 confirms continuation toward the lower liquidity zone.

2️⃣ Alternative Scenario (Low Probability)
Bullish invalidation: Only if price breaks above 4280 (4H close).
→ Then the market may shift upward toward 4365–4370 liquidity.

📉 QUICK MARKET OUTLOOK – GOLD 4H (Rejection + Bearish Channel Forming)
Based on the current 4H structure, Gold is showing a clear pattern of repeating deep corrections every time it reaches major resistance/liquidity zones.
The latest price action continues to repeat this same behavior:
Key Observations
- Price has once again rejected strongly from the 4270–4280 zone (same rejection region as previous drops).
- A descending bearish channel is forming → indicating controlled distribution.
- The recent downward legs are consistent with past moves:
-8.47%, -11.31%, -5.60%, -2.21% → the market has a clear history of sharp sell-offs.
- Current structure suggests a continuing corrective wave until deeper support.

📌 Bearish Scenario (High Probability)
Price continues moving inside the descending channel and breaks the short-term support.
Targets → 4120 → 4050 → 4000
Major liquidity & demand zone sits at 3990 – 3980
→ where large buyers historically step in.
If panic selling accelerates, price may extend toward: → 3888 – 3900

📌 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability)
Only activated if Gold breaks OUTSIDE the descending channel and reclaims: → 4280
This invalidates the bearish outlook and reopens the path to 4365 – 4370 liquidity.

🎯 FINAL CONCLUSION
Gold is currently in a corrective downtrend, moving exactly within a well-defined bearish channel.
Unless buyers break the structure, the market is likely heading for deeper retracement toward the 4000 zone before any meaningful bullish continuation.

"Stay patient. Stay disciplined. Let the market come to your levels."

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