theheirophant

đź”—Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin Post Halving Price Model

đź”—Blockchain Fundamentals - Bitcoin SFR / Halving Price Prediction Model

Description

This price model is based upon the work of PlanB (@100trillionUSD) which can be seen here: medium.com/@100trill...carcity-91fa0fc03e25

He states "We can also model bitcoin price directly with Stock to Flow. The formula of course has different parameters, but the result is the same, 95% R2 and a predicted bitcoin price of $55,000 with SF 50 after May 2020 halving."

He was using monthly data on a weekly timeframe. I converted to a daily timeframe, and add in future price prediction by projecting the average number of blocks mined. You can use this along with the Stock to Flow Ratio indicator here.

Post halving price prediction currently stands at ~$62k based on this model.

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