Deceiving pullback

14 apr 2022Morning folks,

Last time we've discussed possible upside pullback, as around 41K area we had downside AB-CD (XOP) target, forming 3-Drive Buy and strong support area around. And now is the question - wether current pullback is what we were preparing to, or something different. We ask - it is different.

In fact, we think that this pullback is just a by-product of the rivals' performance. Take a look - dollar shows the pullback, as well as traders book results on the US interest rates, preparing to Easter holidays. BTC hits 5/8 support on 4H chart and also shows the bounce, as well as S&P index.

But, the truth picture is based on market response to our 41K target & support cluster. It was totally ignored - take a look at XOP area. No reaction at all. It means, that it is definitely not good time for long term investment. Upside bounce is not reliable and I would consider Fib resistance levels for the potential short entry next week.

If still would like to make scalp bullish trades - wait for some clear pattern. Now market hits already first upside target and to take position you need something else. Currently we do not see any patterns by far, and think that it is not good idea to step in before weekend.