As you can see on this pair, although we made new highs for the last 12 months recently (seeing a close above 124.000) we have also seen a struggle to maintain above this level.
It looks as though the recent bullish run is running out of momentum and I think we can see 122.000, if not lower, pretty soon.
Monthly MA's are still down, and the Daily MA's are also about to cross to the downside.
I have applied a Fibonacci to the most recent move downwards, and as you can see we made a pullback/retrace to the 50% level which is also a retest of the 124.000 level as resistance.
The first D extension is my first target (near enough bang on 122.000).
We could see even more downside if this target is taken out with some momentum.
I would await the most recent trendline to be broken clearly on the 4hrly chart before entry.
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