US 500 Index

US500 bearish analysis

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Bearish case for US500. With UVIX going below lower lows on August 15, and US500 going above 5566.2, I think the case for 5673.5 being a long-term top is out.

This count still sees price action from October 2022 low as corrective; however, with ((1)) longer than ((3)), this count imagines a large ending diagonal playing out, with price action currently forming wave ((4)) of iv.

If correct, wave ((4)) would have a regular flat (A) and (B), looking for impulse (C) to get price below 4700.

Key supports at 5329.5 and 5153.4.

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