Longterm Volatilty Chart from Feb 2007 to Aug 2014

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The Chart shows two multi-year low for Volatility. The first one was in December of 2006 and the latest one was in June 2014. Following the multi-year lows, one can see how volatility started to rise over a period of 6 months from Dec 2006 to July of 2007. For the next 11 months, it zig zag up and down to form a higher volatility base before blowing up in Aug of 2008 culminating in the Lehman Brothers failure in October 2008.

In June of 2014, we also saw a multi-year low in volatility, followed by several months of rising volatility. It appears that VIX is in the beginning of the higher volatility base formation stage. This could last for several months before blowing up like it did in 2008.

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