The theory that a Pi Cycle Top might exist in the Bitcoin price action isn't new, but recently I found someone who had done the math on developing a Pi Cycle Low indicator, also using the crosses of moving averages.
The Pi Cycle Top uses the 2x350 Daily MA and the 111 Daily MA
The Pi Cycle Bottom uses the 0.745x471 Daily MA and the 150 Daily EMA
Note: a Signal of "top" doesn't necessarily mean "THE top" of a Bull Run - in 2013 there were two Top Signals, but in 2017 there was just one. There one in 2021, triggered by Tesla's announcement that they would no longer accept BTC as payment due to the "bad for the environment" narrative. China also announced the 769th ban on Crypto that year, and the TOP signal was triggered. However, BTC rose again 6 months later to actually top at 69K for the Culture, before finally plummeting into a long and bleak Crypto Winter / Bear Market.
There is as much of a chance of two "bottom" indications occurring in a single bear market, as nearly happened in the Liquidity Crisis in March 2020.
On April 19 2024 (UTC) the Fourth Bitcoin Halving took place, as the 840,000th block was completed. It is currently estimated that the 5th halving will take place on March 26, 2028. Godspeed, gentlemen.
In pieno spirito TradingView, l'autore di questo script lo ha pubblicato open-source, in modo che i trader possano comprenderlo e verificarlo. Un saluto all'autore! È possibile utilizzarlo gratuitamente, ma il riutilizzo di questo codice in una pubblicazione è regolato dal nostro Regolamento. Per aggiungerlo al grafico, mettilo tra i preferiti.
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