As we discussed, NIFTY is to be "SIDEWAYS in the range 44600 - 45481" in our last analysis. It resulted in a sideways while facing good resistance on 50-EMA. Now, if we look into the Chart data, EMA(50) is providing nice resistance. Also, 44500 is Hard SUPPORT, and 45370 is Hard RESISTANCE, resulting in a zonal movement. Also, the market is making a falling wedge pattern, which is bullish. while OI data PCR= 0.68 shows bearishness while PCR=0.90(next week expiry) shows bullishness. means people are expecting a good budget decision announcement on 1st FEB. As people are waiting for a budget day, I am expecting the market to be sideways till 1 FEB in the given Zone unless we get a breakout. Reasons:
Market is making falling wedge pattern which is bullish.
Price < EMAs, which shows bearish market structure.
RSI ~ 40-60, which shows sideways market momentum.
EMA 50 and 200 will be acting as resistance.
An upper resistance trendline will provide good resistance.
OI data PCR = 0.69 shows Bearish wherelse PCR = 0.90 shows bullish sign in upcoming week.
Verdict: Sideways unless it gets breakout.
Plan of Action: Sell 44500 PE and 45400 CE (hedge it with 35rs premium)
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