BITCOIN .... target open 75k

3 giorni fa

Based on My description, here's a technical analysis framework for Bitcoin (BTC) with a *sell setup* targeting key downside levels, assuming the price fails to break above the resistance at *$94,500*:

---

### *Key Levels & Strategy*
1. *Resistance: *$94,500**
- A confirmed rejection at this level (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, declining volume) would trigger a sell signal.
- A break and close above this resistance would invalidate the bearish outlook.

2. *Downside Targets*:
- *Target 1: $91,000*
- Near-term support; a breakdown here signals momentum weakening.
- Likely a minor bounce zone, but a close below 91k opens the door to deeper corrections.
- *Target 2: $88,000*
- Stronger support (e.g., previous swing low, Fibonacci level, or institutional buy zone).
- *Target 3: $85,000*
- Psychological level and potential institutional accumulation area.
- *Target 4: $80,000*
- Major support (e.g., 200-day moving average or long-term trendline).
- *Target 5: $75,000*
- Worst-case scenario (bear market territory if fundamentals deteriorate).

---

### *Technical Tools to Confirm the Setup*
- *Volume*: Increasing volume on breakdowns below each target confirms bearish momentum.
- *RSI/MACD*: Oversold conditions (RSI < 30) at targets like 85k or 80k could signal a reversal or pause.
- *Chart Patterns*: Look for descending triangles, head-and-shoulders, or breakdowns from consolidation.
- *Fibonacci Retracement*: Targets may align with key Fib levels (e.g., 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%) from recent swings.

---

### *Risk Management*
- *Stop-Loss*: Place above $94,500 (resistance) or a tighter stop at $93,000 if price shows weakness before the resistance.
- *Position Sizing*: Scale out profits at each target (e.g., sell 20% at each level).
- *Market Context*: Monitor macroeconomic factors (e.g., Fed policy, ETF inflows/outflows, regulatory news) that could override technicals.

---

### *Scenario Planning*
1. *Bullish Invalidations*:
- A close above $94,500 could trigger short squeezes toward 100k+. Watch for bullish catalysts (e.g., ETF demand, halving momentum).
2. *Bearish Acceleration*:
- A break below 75k could signal a structural downtrend (e.g., recession fears, crypto-specific black swan).

---

### *Psychological Notes*
- *Fear of Missing Out (FOMO)*: Avoid chasing the trade if price gaps past key levels.
- *Confirmation Bias*: Use multiple indicators (not just price action) to validate entries/exits.

Let me know if you'd like a chart markup or deeper dive into specific tools! 📉

3 giorni fa

Trade attivo

✅ sell Entry: 92,700
🎯 Take Profit: 91,120.,150 pips✅ (Successfully Reached!)
profit running start
keep hold in sell position target 75k

l’altro ieri

Nota

Trade active
✅ sell Entry: 92,700
🎯 Take Profit: 82,400.,1030 pips✅ (Successfully Reached!)
profit running start
keep hold in sell position target 75k