Bitcoin broke out the down trend line , but it was with low volume , so we can consider it like the second false breakdown . To confirm the break down we must pass 11 800 lvl with high volume . I expect volume increasing in key point and then price will show what the next movement will be (12800 or 10000) . I guess that 12800 is more likely than 10 000 . But dont forget that the purpose of the market is take away our money.