MAJOR CURRENCY PAIRS PRICE STABILITY PERFORMANCE AND OUTLOOK

8 set 2017

MAJOR CURRENCY PAIRS PRICE STABILITY PERFORMANCE AND OUTLOOK

1. NZDUSD: 0.6850- 0.7950 (1100 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE – UPTRENDING)

NZDUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE RBNZ AT 0.6270 AS LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE TRADING ACTIVITIES OF THE TRADERS DRIVEN THE PAIR TO MOVE TO UPWARD TO 0.7320 UPPER MEDIUM TERM BAND FOR 1010 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY POLICY (15 % + 1 %) . AND THEN, BOTH THE CENTRAL BANKS UNDERTOOK MARKET STERILIZATION AT 0.7320 TO LOWER THE APPRECIATION/DEPRECIATION RATE TO BRING THE PAIR DOWN TO CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY AT 0.6850 FOR 470 PIPS (7.5 % +/1 2.25 %) OR SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY POLICY. AT CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY 0.6850 THE PAIR IS STABILIZED FOR +/- 2.25 % AS AGREED BY THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY POLICY AND AS THE NEW LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND. THE TRADING ACTIVITY OF THE TRADERS ALREADY DRIVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE THE PAIR TO VISIT THE LEVEL OF 0.7950 FOR 1100 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) NEW UPPER MEDIUM TERM BAND OR NEW MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE PAIR IS BEING FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE 0.6850-0.7950 WITH DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT TO “UPWARD” OR “UPWARD TRENDING MEDIUM TERM TREND”.

0.6850-0.7950 CURRENT MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE
0.7320-0.6850 PREVIOUS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE
0.6270-0.7320 PREVIOUS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

2. CADUSD: 0.7400 – 0.8600 (1200 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE – UPTRENDING)

CADUSD (NOT USDCAD AND THE PURPOSE OF THIS PRESENTATION IS TO SEE THE ANALYSIS ON NZDUSD, CADUSD AND AUDUSD ANALYSIS). CADUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE BOC AT 0.6850 AS LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITIES DRIVEN THE PAIR TO MOVE TO UPWARD TO 0.8000 UPPER MEDIUM TERM BAND FOR 1150 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE INTERNATIONAL MONETARY POLICY (15 % + 1 %). AND THEN, BOTH THE CENTRAL BANKS UNDERTOOK MARKET STERILIZATION AT 0.8000 TO SLOWER THE APPRECIATION/DEPRECIATION OF THE PAIR TO BRING THE PAIR DOWN TO CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY AT 0.7400 FOR 600 PIPS (7.5 % +/- 2.25 %) SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE AS PERMITTED BY THE MONETARY POLICY. AT 0.7400 THE PAIR IS STABILIZED FOR +/- 2.25 % AS AGREED BY MONETARY POLICY AND AS THE NEW LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND. TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITY ALREADY DRIVE AND WILL CONTINUE TO DRIVE THE PAIR TO VISIT THE LEVEL OF 0.8600 FOR 1200 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE PAIR IS BEING FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE 0.7400-0.8600 WITH DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT TO “UPWARD” OR “UPWARD TRENDING MEDIUM TREND”.

0.7400-0.8600 CURRENT MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE
0.8000-0.7400 PREVIOUS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE
0.6850-0.8000 PREVIOUS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

3. GBPUSD: 1.2150-1.4150 (2000 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE – UPTRENDING)

GBPUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE BOE AT 1.2150 FOR LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE PAIR IS UNDERWAY TO UPWARD FOR VISITING THE LEVEL OF 1.4150 THE UPPER MEDIUM TERM BAND FOR 2000 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY , THE PAIR IS BEING FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE 1.2150-1.4150 WITH DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT TO “UPWARD” OR “UPWARD TRENDING MEDIUM TERM TREND”.

1.2150-1.4150: CURRENT MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

4. AUDUSD: 0.8000-0.7400 (600 PIPS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE – DOWNTRENDING)

AUDUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE RBA AT 0.6850 FOR LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE PAIR MOVED TO UPWARD DRIVEN BY THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITY TO 0.8000 FOR 1150 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. AT 0.8000 BOTH THE CENTRAL BANKS STARILIZED THE PAIR TO SLOWER THE APPRECIATION/DEPRECITION AND WILL VISIT THE 0.7400 CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY. AT CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY THE PAIR WILL BE STABILIZED FOR +/- 2.25 % BEFORE RESUMED TO UPWARD FOR NEW MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE PAIR IS BEING FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE 0.8000-0.7400 FOR 600 PIPS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE, BUT CURRENTLY STUCK AT ....

8 set 2017

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4. AUDUSD: 0.8000-0.7400 (600 PIPS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE – DOWNTRENDING)

AUDUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE RBA AT 0.6850 FOR LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE PAIR MOVED TO UPWARD DRIVEN BY THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITY TO 0.8000 FOR 1150 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. AT 0.8000 BOTH THE CENTRAL BANKS STARILIZED THE PAIR TO SLOWER THE APPRECIATION/DEPRECITION AND WILL VISIT THE 0.7400 CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY. AT CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY THE PAIR WILL BE STABILIZED FOR +/- 2.25 % BEFORE RESUMED TO UPWARD FOR NEW MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE PAIR IS BEING FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE 0.8000-0.7400 FOR 600 PIPS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE, BUT CURRENTLY STUCK AT STABILIZATION 0.8000/0.8100. THUS, AUDUSD DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT IS TO “DOWNWARD” OR “DOWNWARD TRENDING SHORT TERM TREND”.

0.8000-0.7400 CURRENT SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE
0.6850-0.8000 PREVIOUS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

5. EURUSD: 1.2000-1.1200 (800 PIPS SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE – DOWNTRENDING)

EURUSD MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE ECB AT 1.0400 FOR LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND AND THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITY DRIVEN THE PAIR MOVED TO UPWARD UP TO THE LEVEL OF 1.2000 FOR 1600 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. AT 1.2000 BOTH THE CENTRAL BANKS UNDERTAKING STERILIZATION TO SLOWER THE APPRECIATION/DEPRECIATION TO BRING THE PAIR DOWN TO CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY AT 1.1200. AT CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY 1.1200, THE PAIR WILL BE STABILIZED FOR +/- 2.25 % BEFORE RESUMED TO MOVE TO UPWARD. ACCORDINGLY, EURUSD IS BEING FLUCTUATED AT 1.2000-1.1200 OF SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE WITH DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENT TO “DOWNWARD” OR DOWNWARD SHORT TERM TREND”. HOWEVER, EURUSD STILL STUCK AT 1.2000/1.2100 FOR STABILIZATION.

1.2000-1.1200: CURRENT SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE
1.0400-1.2000: PREVIOUS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

6. USDCHF: 1.0300-0.8750 (1550 PIPS MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE - DOWNTRENDING)

USDCHF, THE ECONOMIC AND MONETARY CURRENCY PAIR MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE SNB AT 1.0300 AS THE MEDIUM UPPER BAND. AND THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITY DRIVEN THE PAIR TO DOWNWARD AND UNDERWAY TO HER LOWER MEDIUM TERM BAND 0.8750 FOR 1550 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, THE USDCHF WILL STILL TO MOVE T DOWNWARD OF “DOWNWARD TRENDING MEDIUM TERM TREND”.

1.0300-0.8750: CURRENT MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

7. USDJPY: 125.50-100.00 (2550 PIPS MEDIUM TERM EXCHANGE RATE TARGET ZONE)

USDJPY, THE ECONOMIC AND MONETARY CURRENCY PAIR MANAGED BY THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF NEW YORK AND THE BOJ AT 125.50 AS THE MEDIUM UPPER BANDAND THE TRADERS’ TRADING ACTIVITIES DRIVEN THE PAIR TO MOVE TO DOWNWARD BY VISITING THE LEVEL OF 100.00 FOR 2550 PIPS (>20 %) WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. THE BOJ NOTIFIED BY IMF AND BIS FOR PRICE STABILITY BY BRINGING THE PAIR TO 117.50 AT WHICH LEVEL THE NEW UPPER MEDIUM TERM TO BE ESTABLISHED AND AGREED BY THE TWO CENTRAL BANKS. THE PAIR IS BEING MOVED TO DOWNWARD AND ALREADY BREAKING HER CENTRAL BAND/CENTRAL PARITY AT 108.50. THE PAIR WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO DOWNWARD FOR VISITING THE 100.00 FOR 1750 PIPS (15 % + 1 %) WIDTH OF MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. ACCORDINGLY, USDJPY IS BEING DOWNTRENDED FOR MEDIUM TERM TREND.

117.50-100.00: CURRENT MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE

8 set 2017

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SUMMARY:

NZDUSD – UPWARD FOR MEDIUM TERM
CADUSD – UPWARD FOR MEDIUM TERM
GBPUSD – UPWARD FOR MEDIUM TERM
AUDUSD – DOWNWARD FOR SHORT TERM
EURUSD – DOWNWARD FOR SHORT TERM
USDCHF – DOWNWARD FOR MEDIUM TERM
USDJPY – DOWNWARD FOR MEDIUM TERM

NOTICE:

1. LOOK ON THE FRACTION OF PRICES ON NZDUSD, AUDUSD AND CADUSD (DOLLAR CURRENCIES) AND PERHAPS SOMETHING COULD BE FOUND.
2. AUD AND CAD ALWAYS STATED AS “COMMODITY CURRENCIES” BUT ACTUALLY THEY ARE PRICED “EQUALLY” BUT DIFFERENT BY INTEREST RATES.
3. LOOK ON EURUSD VERSUS USDCHF, VERY OFTEN THEIR CORRECLATION IS USED FOR ASSESSING AND MEASURING THEIR DIRECTIONAL MOVEMENTS BY USING CHARTS, HOWEVER WHEN MEASURED VERY CORRECTLY, THEIR LARGE DIFFERENT ON THEIR TARGET ZONE’S PERIOD IS IN LARGE DIFFERENT, AT SUCH THE CORRELATION IS ONLY CREATED BY THE CHARTS.

CROSS RATES OR DERIVATIVES:

BY ASSESSING AND MEASURING THE TARGET ZONES OF THE MAJOR PAIRS THEN THE TARGET ZONES FOR CROSS RATES OR DERIVATIVES BECOME ASSESSABLE AND MEASURABLE AS THE DERIVATIVES ARE BY PRODUCTS OF MAJOR PAIRS.

CONCLUSION FOR TRADING STRATEGY:

1. THE SHORT TERM OR THE MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONES SHALL BE TRADED FROM THE LOWER TO THE UPPER AND OR FROM THE UPPER TO THE LOWER BANDS BY MANAGING THE STOP LOSS BELOW (FOR LONG/BUY) OR ABOVE (FOR SHORT/SELL). ANY STOP LOSSES PLACED INTERIOR THE TARGET ZONES ARE SUBJECT TO HIGH AND HIGHEST RISKS.
2. THE SHORT TERM AND THE MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONES COULD BE TRADED FOR HIGH FREQUENCY TRADES (DAILY HIGH/LOW, WEEKLY HIGH/LOW, MONTHLY HIGH/LOW OR QUARTERLY HIGH/LOW), BUT SUBJECT TO THE STOP LOSSES SHALL BE MAINTAINED AT BELOW THE BAND (FOR LONG/LONG/LONG/LONG) OR ABOVE THE BAND (FOR SHORT/SHORT/SHORT/SHORT). ANY STOP LOSSES PLACED INTERIOR THE TARGET ZONES ARE SUBJECT TO HIGH AND HIGHEST RISKS.
3. HIGH AND HIGHEST RISKS: NO MONETARY POLICY OR INTER-CENTRAL BANKS’ POLICY OR COMMUNICATIONS FOR PAYING ATTENTION ON THE PRICES AS LONG AS THEY ARE FLUCTUATED INTERIOR THE SHORT TERM TARGET ZONE OR THE MEDIUM TERM TARGET ZONE. THEREFORE, NEWS, RUMORS, OPINIONS, COMMENTARIES, SPECULATIONS AND THE LIKES COULD BE MANAGED TO BULLISH/BEARISH FOR TEMPORARY TO TARGET ALL THE STOP LOSSES FOR PROFIT – THE ZERO SUM GAME. COUNTER ARTIES TO TRADES ARE “HUNDREDS TRILLION DOLLARS ASSET MANAGERS” AND “CURRENCY DEALERS”.
4. FOLLOW THE CYCLES OF CURRENCIES AS THEY ARE FOLLOWED BY THEIR ECONOMIES AND FINANCES, THE ECONOMIC GEOGRAPHY OF TRADE FOR “HUNDREDS TRILLION DOLLARS ASSET UNDER MANAGEMENT”.

12 set 2017

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MAJOR PAIRS CONSISTENT TO MOVE AS PROJECTED BUT SLOWER THAN EXPECTED ON USDCHF AND USDJPY BY PUTTING CHF AND JPY'S DERIVATIVES TO MOVE AT HIGHER FREQUENCY OF BULLISH AND BEARISH