EUR/USD Analysis for the upcoming week (28 OCT - 1 NOV)
Trend Overview: EUR/USD has shown bearish tendencies on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes, trending downward within a defined channel. Despite the fact that it's trying to break that channel, without an obvious break and a retest it remains bearish.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: 1.0800 is acting as a psychological and technical support level. Immediate Resistance: Around 1.0850, with stronger resistance at 1.0880.
Indicators Overview:
Moving Averages: Both 50 and 100-period SMAs are sloping downward on short-term charts, reinforcing the bearish trend. RSI: Currently around 34 on the Daily chart, indicating a slightly oversold condition but not yet primed for reversal.
Price Action and Patterns: EUR/USD continues to respect its descending channel, marking lower highs and lower lows. Recent attempts to breach resistance at 1.0850 have failed, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Fundamental Factors: Eurozone PMI figures disappointed recently, adding pressure to the Euro, while the U.S. dollar continues to benefit from strong economic data and an anticipated Federal Reserve policy stance.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Continuation: If price breaks below 1.0800, further downside could target 1.0770 or even lower in the medium term.
Upside Reversal: A sustained break above 1.0850 could suggest bullish momentum, aiming toward 1.0880.
Conclusion: Overall, EUR/USD is positioned for continued downside pressure while below 1.0850, with potential moves to 1.0770 if bearish momentum holds. Caution is advised for potential reversals near support.
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