as for what has happened today is...a glimpse of possibility of reversal of the trend... Why I say that? I saw the first sign of reversal ----which is bullish divergence in hourly chart/timeframe... but all counter-trend traders, hold your horses first, it is not that simple...I don't mean that fcpo-apr will reverse tmr and hit all time high again immediately...what I mean is, price action shows that the bull has rebound a bit today, trying to fight over bear for control... however, the whole fcpo market is still in downtrend...bear is still in firm control...if we see more and more reversal patterns/signals come in, then only we can say that the bull has come back...
bullish divergence that I try to introduce here is when price hits lower but RSI shows the opposite direction...moving up... that is the classic bullish divergence but beware bcox daily chart RSI hasn't hit OverSold region yet...not quite yet...
so, the chance of market dropping lower is still higher...short on rebound is still a preferred strategy...
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