On the 4-hour chart, the downward correction of the higher level develops as a wave (2). Now the wave C of (2) is forming, within which the local correction iv of C has ended, and the development of the fifth wave of the lower level v of C has begun. If the assumption is correct, the pair will fall to the levels of 1.2660–1.2580. In this scenario, critical stop loss level is 1.3043.
Main scenario
Short positions will become relevant during the correction, below the level of 1.3043 with the targets at 1.2660–1.2580. Implementation period: 5–7 days.
Alternative scenario
The breakout and the consolidation of the price above the level of 1.3043 will let the pair grow to the levels of 1.3213–1.3364.
Trade
Scenario
Timeframe Weekly Recommendation SELL Entry Point 1.2843 Take Profit 1.2660, 1.2580 Stop Loss 1.3025 Key Levels 1.2580, 1.2660, 1.3043, 1.3213, 1.3364
Alternative scenario
Recommendation BUY STOP Entry Point 1.3050 Take Profit 1.3213, 1.3364 Stop Loss 1.2990 Key Levels 1.2580, 1.2660, 1.3043, 1.3213, 1.3364
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