Hang Seng...Wave ((c))in progress?!

70
Hello Traders,
Hang Seng Future (March Contract) has risen as of todays session to 28775.
As per my count a wave (iv) is underway. This scenario is in the cards, as long as the level of 28838 (blue trendline) is valid. Any cut of this level would imply that a bottom should be formed at 28410. But for this I need more evidence.

If the bearish view comes into play, the next move should occur to the downside, probably stairstepping lower to 28672-28598-28533. Below this level a drop to the low at 28410, the wave (iii) is next. If an expanding-flat pattern is underway, we need to see more weakness below this level (28410) and then a drop to 28016 level, which is the possible wave ((a)) low.
If a running flat is in progress, which would fit the overall strenghten of Hang Seng, than the wave c would not move below the wave ((a)) low. After finishing this pattern a sharp push to the upside is next to occur.
The third alternate is an triangle underway, which also will fail to dropp below the wave ((a)) low.
A lot of „if nd when`s“....The picture is not clear right know, but i favor the idea of fresh new los shortterm.

Have a great day....
ruebennase

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