Indice Nifty 50Long
Nifty Positional View for Dec 14 2021
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Positional View for Dec 14 2021 (December Future values)
NIFTY Current Position is Long bought on December 7 at 17055 Action for 14 December continue long and reverse to short if NIFTY closes below 17366.00
Refer to Monthly Option Strategy for Option Strategy
Refer to Weekly levels for Trade levels as in the related idea.
Methodology to get Swing number for positional :
Take NIFTY close price of last 10 days and identify the Polynomial equation.
Yt = B0 + B1t + B2t^2 + Ut (2nd Degree Polynomial example).
if B1 > 0 and B2 >0 Increasing
if B1 >0 and B2<0 Inverted U Shape
if B1<0 and B2<0 Decreasing
if B1 < 0 and B2 > 0 U shape Data
I pro grammatically find the value of NIFTY that changes B1 and B2 to change the shape.
The degree of polynomial needs to change to 5 or 6 for accuracy , Historical validation ,customized volatility and standard deviation , Fibonacci ratios are things i use on top of this.
NIFTY Current Position is Long bought on December 7 at 17055 Action for 14 December continue long and reverse to short if NIFTY closes below 17366.00
Refer to Monthly Option Strategy for Option Strategy
Refer to Weekly levels for Trade levels as in the related idea.
Methodology to get Swing number for positional :
Take NIFTY close price of last 10 days and identify the Polynomial equation.
Yt = B0 + B1t + B2t^2 + Ut (2nd Degree Polynomial example).
if B1 > 0 and B2 >0 Increasing
if B1 >0 and B2<0 Inverted U Shape
if B1<0 and B2<0 Decreasing
if B1 < 0 and B2 > 0 U shape Data
I pro grammatically find the value of NIFTY that changes B1 and B2 to change the shape.
The degree of polynomial needs to change to 5 or 6 for accuracy , Historical validation ,customized volatility and standard deviation , Fibonacci ratios are things i use on top of this.
Nota
Dec 13 PE buy call gave good results . Use it as an example for seeing sentiment and levelsNota
NIFTY16DEC17300CEBuy Above: 163.86
Open Price: 149.00
Buy Targets: 188.31 212.64 232.29 251.95 279.94 296.93 354.90 418.54
Sell Below: 134.14
Sell Targets are: 109.69 85.36 65.71 46.05 18.06 1.07
Nota
9:45 AM : Buy 17300 CE 117-120 SL 103 TGT 163Nota
Exit @ 10.40-46 AMNota
Enter 17300 PE @ 125 Tgt 165.68 191.28 SL 108Nota
Book Profit @ 17170Nota
Book 100% by 12:50Nota
NIFTY16DEC17300PEBuy Above: 139.94
Open Price: 124.30
Buy Targets: 165.68 191.28 211.97 232.66 262.11 279.99 341.01 407.99
Sell Below: 108.66
Sell Targets are: 82.92 57.32 36.63 15.94
Nota
Do not enter any CE . No trades for rest as it moved to indecisive mode. It will fall again a bit after 12:27Nota
We can enter Positional CE if DEC future above 17366 (3.30 PM LTP should also be above 17366)Nota
NIFTY21DECFUT Today Levels for DEC NIFTY FutureBuy Above: 17379.59
Open Price: 17340.00
Buy Targets: 17444.75 17509.55 17561.92 17614.30 17688.87 17734.14 17888.60 18058.15
Sell Below: 17300.41
Sell Targets are: 17235.25 17170.45 17118.08 17065.70 16991.13 16945.86 16791.40 16621.85
Nota
Less than 15 likes no sentiment graph !
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