Indian Indices Last Session:
🟠 #Nifty took support near 20 DEMA & SuperTrend (10,3), recovered from the day low to close lower by 0.5% at 17532.05.
🟠 #BankNifty opened gap down, but recovered shapely to close above 20 DEMA in a highly volatile session with 0.5% loss.
🔴 FII's were net seller of 600+ crs excluding option figures which could be for hedging. DII were net sellers of 600+ cr.
Global markets (Last Session):
🟢 US markets opened weak but recovered sharply after first half an hour & closed near the highest point of the day.
🟢 European markets had a weak opening but recovered almost 1-1.5% in second half & finally closed lower by 0.05-0.84%.
🟢 US 10YR bond yield fell 1.60% to 1.46. DXY fell to 94.03 mark. Precious metals had some recovery. Signs of cooloff.
Global markets (Morning Cues @07.45 AM):
🔴 Asian markets are trading lower. SGX Nifty trading flat indicating a muted opening in the Indian benchmark indices
🟠 US & Europe futures trading lower by nearly 0.32-0.65%. Crude/DXY/US Bond yield cooling off. Overall cues negative.
News And Additional Data:
🔴 US & European markets have corrected more than 5% from their top in fear of proposed tax rate & interest rate hike.
🟠 Indian markets has complete disconnect with global markets & have outperformed its peers. Can see some profit booking.
🔴 Imported global cues could put some pressure on the bulls. October historically is a good month. Lets see this time.
Nifty 50 Technicals:
🟡 Nifty RSIStairs cooled off in daily TF but it remains overbought in W/M. D(58.00), W(73.14), M(78.19) & ADX D(41.67)
🟢 #Nifty trading above all the major moving averages 20/50/100 in D/W time frame. Took support near the 20 DEMA 17482.
🔴 #Nifty broken down of the two months rising channel on daily/75M charts. Till #Nifty regains 17801 can see weakness.
🔴 With quarterly results ahead, market may not be in hurry to correct anytime soon. May consolidate for first 2 weeks.
Intraday Index Futures Levels
🔴 #Nifty Fut 17275/17337/17439/17485-17619/17689/17777/17821. RDX Score- 15M(-1*)/75M(-2*)/1D(2*)/1W(5*) #Bearish
🟠 #BankNifty 36589/36751/37879/37025-37485/37566/37729/37885. RDX Score- 15M(-1*)/75M(-2*)/1D(2*)/1W(5*) #Bearish
#MarketOutlook #TradePlan #PreOpenUpdate #IndexFutLevels #01OCT2021 (View all levels only at 15M candle closing basis)
Intraday Index Trade Plan
🔴 #Nifty trading & sustaining below 17475 15 MCB will extend the weakness. Bullish only above 17645 on HCB else avoid.
🟡 In case #Nifty opens near 17619 odd levels then one may take an intraday #Short for a target of 17500/17436 SL=16689.
🔴 #BankNifty below 37275 15MCB can see further selling. it has taken support 3-4 times near 37375. This time can break.
🟡 Remember if a level is tested multiple times then relevance of the level goes. Next attempt most likely breaks it.
🔴 Since 15/75M TF charts have net score less than 1, better to hold the bearish broken wing straddles (-2x CE -1x PE).