Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company).
Weekly Chart Analysis Chart:
Looking at the weekly chart, TSMC has been in a consistent uptrend since 2008. The chart shows a steady upward channel with higher lows and no significant breaks below the trendline.
Key Observations:
Since 2008, TSMC has not experienced any dramatic corrections. The largest correction was approximately 50%, while most other corrections were around 30%. The overall trend remains strongly bullish.
Analyzing TSMC Using Pitchfork Chart:
Using the pitchfork tool, the red median line indicates an overbought zone. In contrast, the blue lower zone signals an ideal entry point for long-term investors.
Key Insights:
While the price is still climbing with higher lows, the 15-year-long uptrend makes a trendline break unlikely in the near term. If a correction occurs, the blue zone around $108 could provide an excellent buying opportunity. This level aligns with the lower boundary of the yellow supply zone, suggesting it is a strong support area. A decline to $108 would represent a 50% correction from the current price, a level where TSMC has historically rebounded.
Current Daily Chart Analysis Chart:
Currently, TSMC is trading near its all-time high, making the suggestion of a 50% correction seem unrealistic. But let’s take a step back and think critically:
What is your goal when buying at an all-time high?
Are you setting a price target for the stock? Or are you focused on your personal profit target? If it were me, I wouldn’t consider this the time to buy. Instead, I would wait for a correction. If I believe TSMC is a great company, I would revisit the potential buy zone I mentioned earlier, combining it with my assessment of whether the correction is deep enough to justify entry.
Conclusion
Upside Potential: TSMC could go higher, but at this point, it likely won’t be my gain. Current Risk: The stock is at an all-time high, and there’s no historical reference for what lies beyond. Recommended Strategy: Avoid buying at current levels. Instead, wait for a correction. Historically, TSMC has rebounded strongly from pullbacks, and the same could happen again. Final Thought: History repeats itself. Wait for the right moment and be prepared.
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Le informazioni ed i contenuti pubblicati non costituiscono in alcun modo una sollecitazione ad investire o ad operare nei mercati finanziari. Non sono inoltre fornite o supportate da TradingView. Maggiori dettagli nelle Condizioni d'uso.