Third time BB break - retest or breakout?

After the reversal trade of last week, the USDCAD broke above its middle Bollinger Band again.

The previous two times, the beakout was short-lived and the trigger for another bearish phase. 1.391 makes for a reasonable place to short but we need additional confirmation that the recent bullishness is fading. For now it's not a trade but once bears re-enter, the USDCAD could make for a good trade.