On Jan 06, 2023 USDJPY dropped 270.6 pips (A pip for USDJPY is the second decimal place), dropped -2.01% at the time of NFP/Unemployment news
Confluence 1. Pair squeezed 25.4 Pips above pervious daily resistance and then dropped 2. Pair touched the down trend line (TL) - squeezed up the old TL before dropping 3. Pair was close toe Fixe Volume Range - POC 4. Dollar Index (DXY) Dropped 5. On Daily Chart EMA8 below EMA20 - bearish outlook
Next Week News that can impact the USD 1/ Core Inflation Rate YoY and 2) Inflation Rate YoY (Thu Jan 12, 2023).
Looking at Price Action (PA), we have two scenarios to short (:
Scenario #1: * 4Hours candle and Daily candle closed below daily resistance. * Price may retrace to the upper band of the daily resistance ~132.570 to ~133.500, then back to drop. * EMA50 to go below EMA200 on 1Hour chart * Price to re-touch down TL Target 131, 130.5
Scenario #2: * Price to continue dropping to 131.700 * Retrace to the level of upper daily resistance (Daily R) and/or down TL * Back to drop Target 131, 130.5
Please comment and add your thoughts
*** Disclaimer *** I am not an expert or professional trader, I am learning by reading, watching video, follow other professional traders and my objective by sharing the ideas on TradingView to apply the learning and compare what I learned with the snapshot of my analysis for the price action and top down analysis I give credit to VasilyTrader who I started following and joining his daily life streaming
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