NaughtyPines

TRADE IDEA: XBI JAN 20TH 53.33/61.67/70 IRON FLY

NaughtyPines Aggiornato   
AMEX:XBI   SPDR Series Trust SPDR S&P Biotech ETF
Rotating into exchange-traded funds here ... . EWZ and XBI appear to have the best implied volatility rank/implied volatility percentage metrics. I already have an EWZ fly on, so XBI it is ... .

Metrics:

Probability of Profit: 44%
Max Profit: 5.29 ($529)/contract
Max Loss: 3.00 ($300)/contract
Break Evens: 56.38/66.96

Notes: I'm going to shoot for a fill that is .05 about the mid price of 5.29. If it fills, it fills; no worries. Will look to manage at 25% of max profit as I do with all short straddles/iron flies.
Commento:
Didn't get a fill on this. When I looked at the spread for the entire setup, it looked unusually wide. This could be because I had some of those "oddball", non-standard strikes in the setup; I'll look at it again tomorrow and try to use the "standard" strikes to see if this improves the spread.
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