1-st scenario. I think it would be logic, if we look from TA, to go up from current price. The one thing, which confuse - we have a big volume short position. They(market maker) possible can squeeze the price to "activated liquidity" line with a nice pump after. I do not think that the price can drop below 3400. Of course, we have to consider about manipulation, because it's crypto :( So, they can drop the price to ±3360 zone.
What we should do? If you want to long from current price, you should insure your position by short with 2:1 ratio (2 - long and 1 short). Example - if you opened 200$ long, open 100$ short. The targets to short - ±3360 zone.
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