USDCHF Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.801.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.805 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Signals
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.657.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.656 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Lingrid | GOLD Pullback Trading Opportunity from Support ZoneOANDA:XAUUSD is retracing into the 4,190–4,200 support band after an extended bullish run within the upward channel. The broader structure remains firmly bullish, with higher lows and higher highs forming along the rising trendline and each dip being absorbed by buyers. Price is now testing zone below the previous-day low, creating a classic buy pullback setup inside a continuation trend.
If TVC:GOLD stabilizes above the trendline and reclaims intraday momentum, the next upside rotation could drive the metal toward the 4,290 resistance shelf, aligned with the higher boundary of the channel. Maintaining support above 4,190 keeps the bullish sequence intact and favors further acceleration.
➡️ Primary scenario: pullback holds above 4,190 → continuation toward 4,290.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a clean break below channel exposes 4,100 and delays bullish continuation.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | SOLUSDT Initial Major Resistance Zone After Price DropBINANCE:SOLUSDT is climbing toward the 150–155 resistance cluster, where the downward channel’s trendline, horizontal supply, and the local upward trendline all converge. Despite the recent bounce, the broader structure remains bearish, with multiple lower highs and no confirmed reversal—suggesting the move up is more corrective than structural. The compression seen before the breakout and the sharp recovery both reflect liquidity-driven retracements rather than a trend change.
If price stalls at this confluence zone, sellers may regain control and drive the market back toward 133, followed by the deeper support pocket, which aligns with the mid-channel and the established buying area. Until CRYPTOCAP:SOL breaks and sustains above the channel, bullish continuation remains unconfirmed.
➡️ Primary scenario: rejection from 150–155 → continuation toward 133.
⚠️ Risk scenario: a clean break and close above 155 invalidates the short thesis.
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
XAUUSD: The upward trend remains intact; wait for entryGold remains in an overall uptrend, but bullish momentum is clearly weakening, making today a crucial session.
Whether prices can continue moving higher will largely depend on whether gold can hold the current pullback. If support holds, the next leg up is likely to be even stronger. If not, the market will likely slip into a choppy, range-bound pattern.
Over the past two weeks, markets have been heavily pricing in a Fed rate-cut narrative, and much of that expectation is now largely priced in.
At the same time, the nomination of a new Federal Reserve Chair has returned to the center of market attention. Regardless of who is selected, the candidate is widely expected to be dovish, or they would not have been nominated in the first place.
A dovish chair would inherently support rate cuts—a bullish factor for gold.
Therefore, even if gold experiences short-term pullbacks or weakening momentum, the broader bullish trend remains unchanged.
For today, the key price levels to watch are $4,180 and $4,200.
If price reaches these zones, they may offer actionable trading opportunities.
Buy Zone Respected, Bull Trend AliveAfter breaking out on Friday during a low-liquidity environment and tapping the 4250 resistance zone on Monday, gold did exactly what strong markets do — it corrected.
The pullback reached the ideal buy zone at 4160–4170, respected it perfectly, and the market reversed sharply from there.
Now, price is trading comfortably above 4200, holding around 4220, and the structure remains firmly bullish.
From here, I expect:
- A new bullish leg,
- Followed by a clean break above the 4250 zone.
If that breakout materializes, the next major target for buyers becomes a retest of the ATH at 4380.
I remain bullish as long as yesterday’s low holds, and in my view, buying dips continues to be the dominant play in this market.
Gold Moves Sideways Ahead of the FED DecisionGold continues to trade within an extremely tight range, even as the USD Index (DXY) stabilises around 99–100. This signals that pressure from the dollar is no longer as dominant as before, while safe-haven flows quietly circulate beneath the surface—especially as global equities soften and sentiment grows cautious ahead of the FED’s rate announcement this month. Everything now hinges on a single question: will the FED deliver its third rate cut of the year? If so, the USD is likely to weaken, and gold could benefit directly and even aggressively from the shift.
On the 1H timeframe, gold remains sideways between 4,210–4,220 after retracing from 4,245–4,260. Notably, recent selling appears to come primarily from short-term profit-taking rather than genuine reversal pressure. The lower FVG zones at 4,185–4,195 and 4,160–4,170 continue to act as liquidity pockets where price may dip to gather momentum before following the prevailing trend. These areas have provided precise reactions in previous sessions and could again serve as springboards should gold pull back deeper.
If gold holds 4,210 and shows a strong bullish response, a retest of 4,245 becomes highly likely, with a potential breakout above 4,260 toward the broader target near 4,285—the key high from November. Conversely, a clean break below 4,210 opens the path for price to drift naturally into the 4,185–4,195 FVG before buyers step in. In the broader structure, the short-term uptrend remains intact; current pullbacks are functioning as liquidity sweeps rather than structural breaks.
With all of this in mind, my bias stays bullish. The 4,185–4,195 region is where I prefer looking for trend-aligned entries instead of chasing price near the 4,245–4,260 resistance, where sellers repeatedly wait. Should the FED deliver the dovish signal the market expects, gold could easily extend its upward trajectory in the sessions ahead.
BTCUSDT.P - December 3, 2025Bitcoin is attempting to reverse from a prior downtrend, trading above a short-term rising trendline and pushing into a key resistance band around 93,000–94,300. The chart highlights a bullish scenario targeting the 112,000 area if price can clear this resistance and hold above the stop zone near 97,800. A failure to break and sustain above resistance, coupled with a break below the trendline, would favor a corrective move back toward the 87,300 profit level marked on the chart. Momentum is improving but remains vulnerable around resistance, making this a pivotal area for trend confirmation.
GBPUSD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GBPUSD Price is breaking below the supply zone after taking out local internal liquidity, showing a clean shift in orderflow toward downside imbalance. With the breakout confirmed, price is likely to seek the inefficiency below and draw toward the target level.
SHORT🔥
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BITCOIN FREE SIGNAL|SHORT|
✅BTCUSD price is approaching the mitigation block after sweeping liquidity inside the premium zone. If the retest confirms displacement, a drawdown into the target imbalance becomes likely.
—————————
Entry: 92,246$
Stop Loss: 93,200$
Take Profit: 90,000$
Time Frame: 4H
—————————
SHORT🔥
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WTI OIL targeting at least $56.00 on the short-term.WTI Oil (USOIL) continues to expand its 4-month Channel Down and has repeatedly been rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the past 40 days.
As mentioned before, this is similar to September's price action, which eventually tested the previous Support before breaking it and move to a new Lower Low on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we are still expecting to see $56.00 on the short-term.
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AUD-CHF Free Signal! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDCHF swept downside liquidity and already retested the mitigation block inside the horizontal supply, showing strong SMC rejection structure that opens room for a continuation lower toward the next draw-on-liquidity.
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Stop Loss: 0.5293
Take Profit: 0.5251
Entry: 0.5272
Time Frame: 3H
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Sell!
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AUD-NZD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUDNZD swept liquidity into the mitigation block, filled the retest, and is now showing displacement away from the reclaimed supply zone, signalling continuation towards downside imbalance. Time Frame 3H.
Sell!
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S&P500 Next stop.. 6925The S&P500 index (SPX) is about to complete the Right Shoulder of the Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that took it from the bottom of the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) contact to having recovered the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the whole correction.
The next technical Target is of course the 6925 All Time High (ATH). Since however we are about to form a 4H MA50/100 Bullish Cross, a technical pull-back is expected as both previous such crosses since August 13, resulted into a short-term Top.
If the IH&S completes its technical expansion, then after this correction, a test of the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at 7200 is possible.
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GBP-USD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBPUSD has broken structure beneath the horizontal supply and is now trading below a key distribution zone. A bearish continuation is likely as liquidity from late buyers gets exposed, targeting the clean draw below current lows. Time Frame 3H.
Sell!
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GOLD, silver climb as Fed enters decisive phaseOANDA:XAUUSD and OANDA:XAGUSD began December with sharp moves, reflecting the intersection of U.S. monetary policy expectations, weak growth pressure, and rising defensive sentiment across global markets.
Spot gold touched USD 4,264/oz, the highest level in six weeks, while silver surged to USD 58.82/oz, marking a historic record. This price momentum is driven not only by a weakening U.S. dollar and prospects of rate cuts, but also by strategic repositioning among funds ahead of a data-heavy week.
Rate-cut expectations have become the central catalyst, with markets pricing in a near-certain reduction in December. Dovish remarks from Fed officials—from Waller to Williams—together with soft manufacturing data reinforce the argument that growth risks are rising faster than inflation risks. Gold has reacted quickly, especially as the Dollar fell to a two-week low before recovering slightly.
Silver, meanwhile, is following a completely different trajectory. Since the start of the year, silver has risen over 100%, benefiting from both safe-haven demand and industrial demand—particularly from electronics and solar energy. Silver’s high sensitivity to policy expectations, combined with speculation about a more dovish-leaning Fed under potential new leadership, is making it difficult for the market to find equilibrium. The fact that White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett is viewed as a possible Fed Chair nominee further increases downward pressure on the Dollar—an effect silver responds to even more strongly than gold.
At the same time, U.S. PMI manufacturing data continues to show economic fatigue, with the November index falling to 48.2, marking the ninth consecutive month below the 50 threshold. Declining new orders, rising input costs, and increasing import-tariff risks are creating a more challenging policy environment for the Fed. And all of this comes just as markets await a wave of high-impact data: ADP employment, and PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred metric.
In the bond market, a sharp adjustment took place following comments by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda, who hinted at possible rate hikes—rare after decades of ultra-easing. Japanese yields surged, transmitting upward pressure to U.S. bonds: the 10-year Treasury yield jumped to 4.096%, the strongest move since mid-July. Meanwhile, U.S. corporations like Merck returning to the market with large bond issuances (USD 8 billion) forced dealers to sell Treasuries for hedging, amplifying volatility.
Another layer of uncertainty comes from the search for the next Fed Chair, with expectations that the White House will make a decision before Christmas. Traders are closely monitoring this because it directly influences the rate path for 2026. The Dollar just had its worst week in four months, and a dovish appointment could extend the decline.
On the geopolitical front, the White House expressed “cautious optimism” about reaching a resolution to the Russia–Ukraine conflict following discussions with Ukrainian officials in Florida. While these signals slightly reduce systemic risk, they remain insufficient to reverse safe-haven demand for precious metals.
I believe the gold–silver market is entering a high-volatility phase, but the bullish structure remains intact.
Rate-cut expectations, a weaker Dollar, and soft economic data continue to form the three core pillars supporting prices. However, rising bond yields and uncertainty over Fed leadership may interrupt the upward momentum in the short term. Powell’s speech this week will serve as an important guidepost, particularly for Q1 2026 rate expectations.
From a strategic perspective, investors should closely monitor employment data, PCE, and bond-market dynamics. In an environment where the monetary-policy cycle is pivoting, gold remains a portfolio hedge, while silver continues to be the asset most reactive to market sentiment and macro expectations—high return, but also higher risk.
Technical analysis and suggestions to follow OANDA:XAUUSD
The main trend of gold remains structurally bullish. The series of higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) is intact, supported by the medium-term rising channel and the 0.236–0.382 Fibonacci retracement cluster is acting as a defensive zone. The price is currently trading around $4,223/oz, above the dynamic MA21 and maintaining the bullish market status.
Main Support Zones
• $4,128 – $4,130 (Fib 0.236): the nearest support zone and the boundary of the uptrend.
• $3,972 (Fib 0.382): stronger support; a break below would open a medium-term correction.
• $3,846 (Fib 0.5): the level that protects the large bullish structure.
Resistance – upside target
• 4,380 – 4,390 USD (Fib extension + upper limit of rising channel): next upside target if price holds above 4,128 USD.
• In case of strong momentum (RSI is recovering from the technical oversold zone), the possibility of price moving up to 4,450 – 4,500 USD is not excluded.
Bearish risk conditions
Correction risk is formed only when:
1. Price closes below 4,128 USD, signaling short-term weakness.
2. Breaks 3,972 USD, the mid-term bullish structure is violated, opening a downside zone to
o 3,846 USD,
o or deeper than 3,720 USD (Fib 0.618).
3. RSI fails to surpass the 50 zone.
If the above 3 conditions occur at the same time, the bullish momentum will temporarily lose its dominance.
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 4329 - 4327⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4333
→Take Profit 1 4321
↨
→Take Profit 2 4315
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 4178 - 4180⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 4174
→Take Profit 1 4186
↨
→Take Profit 2 4192
GOLD ANALYSIS 12/02/20251. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Economy:
• USD:
The USD is seeing a mild rebound after a strong decline, mainly technical in nature, with no sufficiently strong data to reverse the trend. This only creates short-term pressure on gold.
• U.S. Stock Market:
U.S. markets are mixed due to concerns over slowing corporate earnings. This cautious sentiment is shifting capital flows toward gold.
• Federal Reserve (FED):
The FED maintains a dovish stance, prioritizing economic stability and considering rate cuts. This continues to support gold.
• Trump Administration:
The Trump administration is taking a tougher stance toward several countries, increasing geopolitical uncertainty and boosting safe-haven demand.
• Gold ETF – SPDR:
SPDR has been buying strongly for two consecutive sessions, reinforcing the medium-term uptrend for gold — a highly important factor.
b) Politics:
Multiple geopolitical hotspots occurring simultaneously:
• Ongoing Middle East conflict
• Intensifying strategic competition in Asia
• Russia–Ukraine tensions unresolved
• Venezuela–U.S. relations becoming a new focal point as the Trump administration takes a tougher stance
→ Overall: Risk-off sentiment rises sharply, benefiting gold.
c) Market Sentiment:
Safe-haven sentiment continues to dominate. Investors are reducing risk, pulling out of equities, and pouring into gold — especially with strong SPDR inflows. Asia is also entering its seasonal year-end gold-buying cycle.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Gold has broken out of a major wedge pattern and is currently retesting the breakout area.
• Price is trading above short-term moving averages, showing a clear bullish trend.
• The market is expected to retest the 4186–4190 zone before pushing higher again.
• Next target zones: 4274 → 4320 → 4380.
• M15 RSI is slightly oversold → suitable for a technical bounce.
RESISTANCE: 4,274 – 4,320 – 4,380
SUPPORT: 4,186 – 4,146 – 4,095
3. Previous Market Session (01/12/25):
• Gold maintained its primary uptrend, with only mild corrections that did not break structure.
• SPDR continued buying → confirms real demand.
• USD’s slight rebound did not significantly affect the overall bullish momentum.
• Gold dropped to the opening price at 4,217 and then surged back up to 4,264.
4. Trading Strategy for Today (02/12/25):
🪙 SELL XAUUSD | 4241 – 4239
SL: 4245
TP1: 4233
TP2: 4227
🪙 BUY XAUUSD | 4178 – 4180
SL: 4174
TP1: 4186
TP2: 4192
BITCOIN Can this Bear Cycle be mapped?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on its 3rd straight week of consolidation on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) after marginally breaking below it (green circle). We've shown in previous analyses how the build up, including the Higher Lows trend-line (1W RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound, of the 2025 Bull Cycle High, mirrors the 2021 peak formation.
Given the strong similarities, there are valid probabilities suggesting that those can expand into the Bear Cycle too. And this is what we attempt to do on today's post, mapping the new Bear Cycle based on the 2022 price action.
As you can see, we have classified the 2022 Bear Cycle into three phases. The key characteristic of those is MA contact. Phase 1 ends when the price hit the 1W MA100, Phase 2 when it hits the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Phase 3 the 1W MA350 (red trend-line). So far the symmetry is also high on the time range between the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 contacts among the two fractals (245 days vs 224 days).
If this holds for the whole duration of the 2026 Bear Cycle as well, we can expect it to roughly be 52 weeks (364 days) from the Bull Cycle Top to the Bear Cycle bottom, like the 2022 sequence.
The time Fibonacci levels help at maintaining a sense of positioning within the Bear Cycle, with the 0.236 Fib being just before Phase 1 ends and Fib 0.618 when Phase 2 makes contact with the 1W MA200.
Even though a straight up repeat of the -77.36% decline of the 2022 Bear Cycle would put the potential new bottom just below $30k, a Fibonacci extension symmetry suggests that Fib 1.0 was the Low we just made (1W MA100), Fib 1.5 ext around the time the price makes contact with the 1W MA200 and Fib 2.0 when the Cycle bottoms.
This indicates that $63900 is the first point of interest (and potentially start of buying) and $51000 the potential bottom.
Would you agree with this mapping? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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USOIL Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 59.116.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 58.630 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USOIL: Wait for a pullback to $59 to buy.During Monday’s Asian trading session, NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures rose 1.7%, trading around $59.30 per barrel. Oil prices opened strongly as OPEC+ agreed to halt production increases starting from Q1 2026, providing solid buying support at the open.
On the 1-hour chart, crude oil is showing high-level consolidation, with prices repeatedly oscillating around the moving average system, indicating a short-term neutral, range-bound objective trend.
However, from a subjective trend perspective, the bias remains to the upside. The MACD fast and slow lines have pulled back toward the zero axis and are about to form a bullish crossover, suggesting that bullish momentum is building.
There is a high probability that crude oil will break to new intraday highs today.
Intraday Trading Plan:
Buy near: $59.00
Take Profit 1: $60.00
Take Profit 2: $60.50
Stop-loss: Adjust based on individual risk tolerance
A Pullback Cannot Hide a Weakening TrendHello everyone, it’s Domic here ✌️
Looking at Bitcoin’s recent price action, you can probably feel that the latest drop wasn’t a random fall. The market completely broke through a multi-day equilibrium zone, and the moment BTC was repeatedly rejected at the EMA 89 and then lost the EMA 34, the balance of power shifted clearly toward the sellers.
Interestingly, right after that sharp breakdown, BTC bounced into a short-term pullback. This doesn’t signal a trend reversal; it’s simply the market’s natural reaction after falling too quickly: profit-taking from sellers, short-covering, and weak dip-buying flows creating a technical rebound — enough to rebalance the market, but not enough to change direction.
From a macro perspective, the signals are fairly aligned: US bond yields have risen again, the DXY has bounced from the 99 area, ETF inflows have weakened, and defensive sentiment ahead of upcoming US labour data has caused demand to dry up almost entirely. Crypto is simply being dragged along with the broader risk-off environment.
From a technical angle, BTC is trading below both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 — two downward-sloping moving averages indicating the trend remains bearish. The 4H breakdown accompanied by strong volume shows this is a real sell-off. BTC is currently pulling back to retest the resistance levels: 88,700–89,000 at the EMA 34 and 90,400–90,600 at the EMA 89. These zones will reveal whether selling pressure still dominates.
If sellers return aggressively, BTC may continue heading toward lower support regions: 85,500–86,000 is the first key area, followed by 83,000–84,000 — a demand zone that previously generated a strong bullish reaction. With the current momentum, the scenario where BTC at least touches the 85,500–86,000 support is becoming increasingly likely.
Which direction do you think the market is leaning toward? Feel free to share your perspective — and wishing everyone successful trading!
EURUSD Pullback Before Bullish ExpansionQuick Summary
EURUSD is still showing strong bullish momentum, but a short term correction toward 1.15903 is likely before price continues higher to break the previous high. The presence of liquidity and an order block at the retracement zone increases the probability of a sweep before a new bullish push begins.
Full Analysis
The EURUSD continues to maintain its upward structure, and the current price action suggests that a temporary pullback may occur before the next bullish expansion. The level around 1.15903 stands out as a logical correction point
This retracement zone is significant because it contains both resting liquidity and a strong order block. These factors often attract price, as the market tends to sweep liquidity before continuing its primary direction. A sweep in this zone would remove weak hands, fill inefficiencies, and position the pair for a stronger continuation move.
Once liquidity below 1.15903 is taken, the expectation is for EURUSD to resume its bullish trajectory and aim for a break above the previous high. Waiting for a reaction or confirmation at the level can provide a higher quality entry, but the overall bias remains bullish as long as the structure stays intact.






















