How Low Can XRP Go? Expert Predicts 55% XRP Price Slump to Just $1

XRP price has broken below the critical $2.20 support level today (Wednesday), November 19, 2025, sliding with the broader cryptocurrency market in what technical analysts are calling one of the most dangerous formations for XRP holders this year.

The cryptocurrency currently trades at $2.14, down sharply from recent highs above $3.60, as it struggles with a confirmed death cross pattern on the daily chart.

My technical analysis shows XRP is fighting the $2.20-$2.30 support zone identified at local lows, and although the price has clearly broken below $2.20 to the current $2.14 level, the market "is not a pharmacy,” meaning prices don't react perfectly to technical zones, especially in volatile crypto markets.

Let’s check together why XRP price is falling today, what are the current XRP price prediction and why it may fall to $1.25 or even $1.

XRP Price Death Cross Formation Confirms Bearish Breakdown

The dreaded death cross has officially formed on XRP's daily chart, with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) crossing below the 200-day EMA, a potent bearish signal that indicates medium-term selling has overwhelmed long-term accumulation.

The death cross formation is appearing not just on XRP but across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies on daily timeframes, suggesting coordinated weakness throughout the crypto market.

How low can XRP price go? According to my technical analysis to $1.25. Source: Tradingview.com

Technical Levels for XRP

Since early November, long lower wicks have been forming on XRP's candlesticks, slightly extending the support zone and showing buyers attempting to defend these levels.

However, the clear break below $2.20 with the current price at $2.14 suggests bears are gaining control and "want to push it lower," as only a sustained move below the round $2.00 level and June lows at $1.90 will confirm their deeper bearish intentions.

How Low Can XRP Go? $1.25 Target in Focus

Based on my technical analysis, XRP faces potential for a devastating 50% decline toward the $1.25 level, representing the cryptocurrency's yearly minimum and a zone last tested one year ago during the October 10, 2024 deleveraging event. This bearish target aligns with the 100% Fibonacci extension measured from July peaks to October lows and coincides with critical support that provided a floor during previous market stress.

Master, a crypto analyst followed by over 53,000 traders on Twitter, shares an even more bearish outlook: "$XRP Top July 2025 now bear market most likely down to $1 or so. when capitulation?" His prediction of $1.00 represents an extreme capitulation scenario that would mark a 54% decline from current levels and test support not seen since early 2024.

The intermediate levels to watch include the psychological $2.00 barrier, June 2025 lows at $1.90, and April 2025 lows at $1.61—each representing potential pause points on the path lower.

XRP Price Predictions: Bearish vs Bullish Scenarios

The divergence between bearish technical projections ($1.00-$1.25) and optimistic fundamental forecasts ($5.05) reflects the extreme uncertainty currently gripping XRP markets.

Why XRP Is Going Down?

Whale Selling and Market Stress Override ETF Optimism

Despite the successful launch of XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency has plunged 11% as whale selling and broader market stress overshadow early institutional demand. "XRP slumps 11% despite ETF inflows as whale selling and market stress overshadow early institutional demand," reported Yahoo Finance, highlighting the disconnect between positive fundamental developments and negative price action.

Satraj Bambra, CEO of Rails and Managing Partner at Round13 (running a $100M liquid fund up 400% since April 2022), explained the persistent market weakness: "October's liquidation event was a major catalyst for Bitcoin's dip below $90K. It created a liquidity vacuum, and when markets are already weak, they don't need a fundamental reason to puke; they just need an opening. Macro uncertainty adds weight, but the chain reaction began with October's wipeout. The dead bodies from that event are still floating up."

Key Factors Driving XRP Decline

• Death cross technical breakdown: 50 EMA crossing below200 EMA confirms shift to bearish momentum across crypto
• Whale distribution: Large holders sellingtokens despite ETF launch, transferring to new investors
• October liquidation aftermath: Liquidity vacuum with"dead bodies still floating up" from deleveraging event.
• Altcoin underperformance: XRP hit particularlyhard as Bitcoin dominance rises and liquidity evaporates
• Supply-in-profit collapse: 58.5% decline leaves41.5% of tokens underwater, creating capitulation risk
• Heavy resistance ceiling: Converged movingaverages at $2.55-$2.63 capping any rally attempts
• Broader crypto weakness: $1 trillion wiped fromtotal crypto market cap, lowest since early July

Macro Headwinds and Crypto-Specific Pressures

Niraj Pant, co-founder of Ritual AI and former General Partner at Polychain (where he led investment rounds in Offchain Labs, EigenLayer, and Polymarket), provided comprehensive context on the macro and crypto-specific pressures:

"Macro: We've seen a general tightening of liquidity with fears of an overextension in AI capex alongside shakier economic data and a hawkish Fed, leading to risk-off behavior in speculative tech stocks and crypto. Post-government shutdown ending, we've (re)entered a dramatically heightened market environment with more volatility expected."

XRP Price Analysis, FAQ

Why is XRP falling today?

XRP is falling due to a confirmed death cross formation (50 EMA crossing below 200 EMA), break below critical $2.20-$2.30 support, whale selling despite ETF launch, aftermath of October liquidation event creating liquidity vacuum, broader altcoin weakness with rising Bitcoin dominance, and 41.5% of XRP supply now held at a loss triggering capitulation selling.

How low can XRP go?

Technical analysis suggests XRP could decline to $1.25 (50% drop from recent highs), which represents the yearly minimum and 100% Fibonacci extension from July peaks to October lows. Intermediate support exists at $2.00 psychological level and $1.90 June lows. Crypto analyst Master predicts extreme capitulation to $1.00, while April 2025 lows at $1.61 provide another potential floor.

What is XRP price prediction for 2025-2026?

Price predictions vary dramatically. Bearish scenarios forecast $1.00-$1.25 near-term targets based on death cross breakdown. Changelly projects $2.11-$2.45 range through December 2025. Optimistic forecasts cite $5.05 by year-end driven by ETF approvals and regulatory clarity. Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick projects 73% annual growth over three years, while some bulls target $10-$37 for the current cycle.

Is XRP in a bear market?

Yes, XRP has entered bear market territory with a 13.88% monthly decline in November, the largest since February 2025, and a confirmed death cross pattern on daily charts. The cryptocurrency has fallen from highs of $2.70-$3.60 to current levels around $2.14-$2.18, with 41.5% of supply now held at a loss. However, year-over-year performance remains strong at +285.9%, demonstrating volatility rather than sustained bear market.

Can XRP reach $5 in 2025?

While AI forecasts and some analysts project $5.05 by end of 2025 driven by ETF approvals, partnerships, and regulatory clarity, this requires a dramatic reversal from current bearish technical structure. XRP would need to recover 140%+ from current $2.14 levels within approximately six weeks. Standard Chartered's 73% annual growth projection over three years suggests more measured appreciation. The $5 scenario remains possible but requires significant positive catalysts and reversal of death cross breakdown.