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Brazil 1H October sugarcane crushing forecast to fall 1.5%

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Sugarcane crushing in Brazil's key center-south region in the first half of October is forecast to fall 1.5% to 33.42 million metric tons versus the year-earlier period, according to a survey of 11 analysts from S&P Global Commodity Insights published on Tuesday.

Sugar production in the region is expected to increase by 0.6% to 2.47 million tons, the survey found.

The table below includes the S&P Global Commodity Insights survey for the period in 2025/26, the published UNICA figures for 2024/25, and the percentage change:

2025/26**

UNICA 2024/25

Change (%)

CANE CRUSH

33.42

33.94

-1.5

SUGAR OUTPUT

2.469

2.454

+0.6

ETHANOL OUTPUT*

1.973

2.037

-3.1

TRS (kg/T)

155.80

160.32

-2.8

CANE TO SUGAR (%)

49.72

47.33

*Includes corn ethanol

**Estimates for cane and sugar in million metric tons, ethanol in billion liters, total recoverable sugar (TRS) in kilogram per ton.

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