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Kodiak Gas Services misses Q2 revenue estimates

Refinitiv1 minuto di lettura

Overview

  • Kodiak Q2 revenue misses analyst expectations, per LSEG data

  • Adjusted EBITDA beats estimates, per LSEG data

  • Company announces $100 mln increase to share repurchase program

  • Kodiak raises full-year 2025 guidance for adjusted EBITDA and discretionary cash flow

Outlook

  • Kodiak raises 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $700-$725 mln

  • Company increases 2025 discretionary cash flow guidance to $445-$465 mln

  • Kodiak cites Permian Basin gas growth for long-term confidence

  • Company sees strong demand from data centers, and domestic LNG projects

Result Drivers

  • LARGE HORSEPOWER COMPRESSION - Strategic focus on large horsepower compression drove record adjusted EBITDA and improved margins, per CEO Mickey McKee

  • FLEET OPTIMIZATION - Increased fleet utilization to 97.2% contributed to higher contract services gross margin

  • RESILIENT OPERATIONS - Despite global economic challenges, Kodiak maintained high fleet utilization and increased margins

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Revenue

Miss

$322.84 mln

$334.10 mln (6 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

$0.43

Q2 Net Income

$39.50 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Beat

$178.22 mln

$177.50 mln (8 Analysts)

Q2 Free Cash Flow

$70.29 mln

Q2 Income from Operations

$99.73 mln

Q2 Operating Expenses

$223.11 mln

Q2 Pretax Profit

$53.43 mln

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 11 "strong buy" or "buy", 1 "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the oil related services and equipment peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Kodiak Gas Services Inc is $45.00, about 29% above its August 6 closing price of $31.97

  • The stock recently traded at 16 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 18 three months ago

Press Release:

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