Trend Navigator

The Trend Navigator is a trend-following indicator designed to help traders identify and navigate major market trends. It is built for patient traders who prefer a data-driven approach, particularly on volatile assets like cryptocurrencies and stocks.

How It Works

This indicator is not a "black box." It identifies potential trend shifts by calculating dynamic support and resistance bands. The logic is based on a proprietary adaptive moving average pair with standard deviation bands to adapt to market volatility.

Bullish Trend Signal: When price breaks above the upper band, the bars turn GREEN, signaling a potential new uptrend.

Bearish Trend Signal: When price breaks below the lower band, the bars turn RED, signaling a potential new downtrend or an exit for long positions.

The indicator includes customizable inputs (Length and Multiplier) and configurable alerts for all signals. You can use it to auto-trade or for alerting you of trend changes. My suggestion is to use the fixed % of equity mode for position sizing, alongside with the long-only mode, without leverage, in the daily or weekly timeframe.

It can also operate long and short or with position sizing based on max risk at the strategy's stop, optionally. Refer to backtest data in your chosen markets, feel free to experiment to apply it in a way that suits you, and don't hesitate to ask questions.

Hypothetical Backtesting Performance

The published performance results are hypothetical and were achieved in a simulated environment. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Asset: Ethereum (Kraken:ETHUSD)
Timeframe: Daily
Test Period: August 2015 - July 2025

Initial Capital: $1,000
Order Size: 90% of equity -keeping 10% in cash as a buffer-
Commission: 0.1%
Slippage: 2 ticks

Performance Metrics:

• Win rate: 46%
  
• Total Net Profit: over +1,900,000%
  
• Total Closed Trades: 63
  
• Sortino Ratio: 4.254
  
• Max Drawdown: 42%
  

(These results were generated using the default indicator settings of Length: 20 and Multiplier:1, long only mode, fixed % of equity at 90% for sizing)

Who Is This For?

• Trend and Swing Traders
  
• Crypto & Stock Traders on daily or weekly charts
  
• Investors who value a statistical, non-emotional approach
  

Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. The tool provided is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice. All trading decisions are your own. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain limitations and do not represent actual trading.

Cheers,

Ivan Labrie.