[BCT] Can BTC be predicted or is it purely random?Variance Ratio**This indicator can be applied to the ticker of your choice (not just BTC)**
Markets are said to be "efficient". An efficient market is by definition unpredictable - no matter the amount of ML, computation, or indicators thrown at it. In particular, in an efficient market, TA will not be of help.
An illustration of efficient markets is the WSJ's longstanding monkey vs. human contest:Blindfolded Monkey Beats Humans With Stock Picks, granted there are several flaws to it.
BTC is a relatively new market. New markets are typically highly inefficient (easier to make money) and become more and more efficient over time (harder to make money). How much more efficient is BTC becoming?
We apply the Variance Ratio method and apply it to BTC.
BACKGROUND ON THE VARIANCE RATIO METHOD
Based on 1988 MacKinlay's seminal paper "Stock Market Prices do not Follow a Random Walk", the idea is to exploit a phenomenon called "variance scaling".
For those keen on looking into the math, the short version of it is under the assumption of iid (random walk) we have the following:
H0: Var(Sum(returns over K bars))=Sum(Var(returns over 1 bar))=k*Var(return over 1 bar)
We look to reject or not H0 depending on the observations.
In this script, we compare the variance of the (log) returns for the chart selected between:
(1) The (average) variance over k bars (call this Vk)
(2) The (average) variance over 1 bar (call this V1)
H0 simply says that Vk=k*V1 if the stock follows a random walk.
We compute the Variance Ratio VR(k)=Variance(returns over k bar)/(Sum(Var(returns over 1 bar)))-1
We then compute the associated Z-score which we chart out for a configurable k number of bars.
HOW TO INTERPRET THE CHART
The line drawn is the Z-Score for VR(k). It represents the number of standard deviations of VR(k) from 0 - the further out, the less random.
- If the line is close / hovers around 0, the ticker appears to follow a random walk (i.e. may not be predictable)
- If the line is consistently > 2 or <-2, the ticker likely does not follow a random walk (i.e. may have predictable features)
- If the line is positive, it means that the Variance on the k bars is larger than the variance on 1 bar (more variance on longer timeframes)
- If the line is negative, it means that the Variance on the k bars is smaller than the variance on 1 bar (more variance on smaller timeframes)
USE CASES
- Identify timeframes where you won't be able to make money
- Identify whether a stock cannot be predicted (forget about TA, indicators etc. -- a random walk is not predictable)
- Identify whether a stock is becoming less and less predictable (Z-score amplitude will decrease over time)
FEATURES
- select the number of K bar to compare vs. 1 bar (default = 16) - ideally a power of 2 but any other number will work. The chart is based off this selection
- select the lookback period for the analysis (500 bars by default)
- select the source to analyze (default = close, but you may select other inputs to calculate the returns from)
- results form the statistical tests on different K's in the table on the right/bottom side of the chart (H0 rejected = not random walk; H0 not rejected = it essentially looks rather random and we can't conclude that it's not a random walk)
COMMENTARY ON BTC
- It appears BTC's absolute value of the ZScore on the Variance Ratio is declining year after year - corroborating an increasingly efficient market as new participants join.
- However, we can still detect a fair amount of potential inefficiency using this simple test.
As usual, this is not investment advice. DYOR.
With love,
🐵BCT🐵
Btc!
π Cycle Market Tops & Bottoms Performante IndicatorWhy is it called the Pi Cycle Tops & Bottoms Indicator?
When the 111-Day moving average crosses over the (350-Day moving average X 2), we've seen the price come to a key top or bottom within the Bitcoin market for the past 3 cycles.
350 divided by 111 is very close to π - hence the name the Pie cycle!
Yes, we are selecting arbitrary numbers initially, but through the use of proper back-testing, we are able to find key cycle shifts using mathematical numbers (fibs, Pi, etc)
We use this topping & bottoming signal when things look overbought over oversold within the market.
The "topping" label turns on as soon as we see the 111-Day moving average cross above the 350-Day moving average.
The "bottoming" signal turns on as soon as we see the 111-day moving average cross below the 350-Day moving average.
This indicator should only be used on the daily timeframe!
Historically speaking, we've seen this indicator become impressively accurate.
Performante's Golden Ratio SupportsThis dataset projects the MA for BTC divided by the golden ratio (1.6) as well as the Fibonacci sequence (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc).
These numbers are intertwined with markets, and have been an effective support level for key inflection points for Bitcoin's lows.
This indicator is mainly focused on the large timeframe and is set to work best on the daily timeframe . The daily is it's primary use-case.
As the market cap of BTC continues to grow, it will become progressively more and more difficult to grow at the previous appreciation rate.
This slowing growth in the market cap is demonstrated by the Fibonacci sequence support levels that are keeping the price from total capitulation dump like previous bear markets.
As we can see, the dark green MA is a great area for potential buy opportunities, while the lime green (on the bottom) have only been touched a couple times. This is a major capitulation for BTC and the crypto market.
These zones are great opportunities for investment entries as they are relatively low compared to the historic price action.
Value Area OscillatorThis is an oscillator version of the Value Area Indicator. The Value Area Indicator employs a custom, volatility-weighted moving average formula, which produces a moving average that becomes more reactive during volatile periods. The indicator then provides fibonacci channels above and below the main MA line. The fibonacci channels are sized based on the "golden ratio." This indicator may be helpful to show when the particular cryptocurrency or other instrument is oversold or overbought. If you are looking to add to your position, this indicator can help determine the best times to do so.
Value Area IndicatorThe Value Area Indicator employs a custom, volatility-weighted moving average formula, which produces a moving average that becomes more reactive during volatile periods. The indicator then provides fibonacci channels above and below the main MA line. The fibonacci channels are sized based on the "golden ratio." This indicator may be helpful to show when the particular cryptocurrency or other instrument is oversold or overbought. If you are looking to add to your position, this indicator can help determine the best times to do so.
Binance Futures BasisCONCEPT
The futures basis for multiple coins based on the Binance coin margin quarterly futures contracts.
If you need a run down of what the futures basis is, check out this short educational post (click on the chart):
In short: the futures basis is the premium at which futures contracts are trading compared to the spot market.
FEATURES
Futures basis for the following coins:
BTC
ETH
LTC
BNB
ADA
DOT
BCH
LINK
There's also an average futures basis which is an average premium of all the coins I just listed.
As you can see there's also a zero line which you can turn on in the settings.
This is quite useful for when the futures start trading in or close to backwardation.
It's possible to show all the premiums at the same time.
This makes it easy to look for outliers.
You can choose the candle source too.
By default it's set on "close" which probably makes the most sense.
All data will be based on candle closes.
However if you're looking at higher timeframes sometimes crucial info is lost when you keep it on "close".
As you can see in this BTC futures basis example with "close" as a candle source you don't seen anything peculiar even though there were two violent liquidation cascades that temporarily had a huge impact on the futures basis.
If you then select "ohlc4" for example which uses an average value of each candle you can clearly see the impact that those drops had.
Basically when you're looking at most recent data I prefer candle close, but when looking at higher timeframes for historic data the ohlc4 option is more useful.
At the time of publishing this indicator it's using the September quarterly futures contracts (which is the closest expiration).
I'll update this every time the expiration happens.
However, in the settings you'll find the code for these futures contracts.
If you want to take a look at the next expiration for example, which is December right now, you can just fill in the Binance code of those contracts and it'll re-calculate everything and print the futures basis for the December futures.
This way you can also update the indicator yourself each time contracts expire (to make sure the indicator keeps working just in case I were to disappear or something).
The code for the current (September) contracts is U2021.
The code for the next expiration (December) is Z2021.
This will become out dated of course.
TRADING
You can find more info on how it's useful for trading in the educational post I linked.
Some short notes...
This premium works very similar to the perpetuals basis or funding.
Simply put a high premium could be a sign that the market is overbought and a very low premium could be a sign that the market is oversold.
Backwardation (below 0) is very rare and usually only happens after a violent crash. Historically those are good buying opportunities.
Divergences also often work really well.
If you want access send me a private message so we can discuss it.
Cheers.
Binance Premium IndexCONCEPT
An indicator with official Binance premium index data for BTC and a bunch of altcoins.
The premium index is based on the difference in price between the perpetual swap contract last price and the price of a volume weighted spot index.
Simply put: it shows you for each coin whether the spot market is trading higher than the Binance perp or not.
FEATURES
Premium index for:
BTC
ETH
LTC
BNB
ADA
DOGE
DOT
UNI
SOL
LINK
There's also an average premium based on the premiums of all these coins combined.
You can also choose in the settings to display all the premiums at the same time.
This makes it easy to find outliers.
There are two extra features that need some explaining.
First of all: the clamp.
It doesn't happen often, but sometimes as a result of massive liquidation cascades there's temporarily a huge spot premium (or derivs premium, but usually spot premium).
In such a scenario the value of the premium dwarfs all other historical data and the indicator becomes nearly unreadable.
The clamp option allows you to put a cap on how extreme the values can get so that the indicator becomes easier to read again.
In the settings you can also change what you want the max value to be.
When you select the option that shows all premiums you'll definitely run into this problem as well.
But you can put a clamp on these too.
The second option is more straight forward: smoothing.
The premium can sometimes be a bit all over the place. It's possible to display the data as a smoothed moving average.
Here's an example of the raw data of the global average premium.
Now with smoothing. Looks a lot more clean.
TRADING
This premium index data is what the funding rate is based on.
Thus it has a direct impact on the perpetual swap contract.
If there's a spot premium (negative values in green) funding will be negative and shorts will have to pay longs.
If there's a derivatives premium (positive values in grey) funding will be positive and longs will have to pay shorts.
Simply put, a spot premium is usually bullish and a derivatives premium is usually bearish.
A lot of people look at this stuff when it comes to bitcoin, but for altcoins it's also definitely relevant.
So here's an indicator with the premium index for 10 different coins.
I don't use more than 10 coins because otherwise the indicator will become very slow.
If you want access to the indicator send me a private message so we can discuss it.
Cheers.
MarketsCONCEPT
This indicator gives a clean overview of how markets are trading relatively to each other.
The line in the middle represents a global market average price (a combination of spot and perpetuals).
The dots, which represent individual markets, float around that line.
This way you can easily tell which markets are more expensive (or cheaper) than others.
Markets used:
Coinbase spot (USD)
Bitfinex spot (USD)
Binance spot (USDT)
FTX spot (USDT)
Bitmex perp (coin margin)
Bybit perp (coin margin)
Binance perp (dollar margin)
FTX perp (dollar margin)
The indicator works for both BTC and ETH.
FEATURES
Markets
The main use is to see if spot exchanges are trading above or below derivatives exchanges.
You'll notice that usually when bottoms form it's when derivs start trading below the market average and spot above.
It's considered bearish when derivs trade way above the market average. It's quite normal that derivs trade a little bit above baseline but if they trade pretty far above spot it becomes worrisome.
I personally think it's most useful on lower timeframes like the 4h or 1h, but it works the same on all timeframes.
Distortion
There's also a distortion metric which shows how big the spread is between all exchanges.
Normally speaking all exchange prices trade very closely together, but sometimes the market gets more turbulent and then prices move apart.
The higher the distortion levels the more turbulent the market.
It's interesting to look at once in a while but it's probably not very useful for trading.
I have noticed though that high distortion usually happens after a violent drop and it often marks bottoms.
But then the obvious question is "what is high distortion" and I can't give you an answer because it varies.
In this screenshot I used ohlc4 for the candle source.
Both
You can also choose for the indicator to show both the markets and the distortion at the same time.
All spot markets are green and all derivatives are grey because that's just the theme I use, but you can change the colours in the settings.
You can choose the candle source as well. By default it's set on candle close prices (which makes the most sense in my opinion).
TRADING
Like I already mentioned, the indicator's main purpose is to show you how individual markets are trading relatively to the global market average price.
The most important aspect of it is to see if spot markets are trading higher than derivs. Spot trading above the average while derivs trade below is usually bullish.
Local bottoms often print when spot trading significantly above the rest.
You can also use the indicator to identify arbitrage opportunities because some times there's one market that suddenly starts trading way above or below every other market.
This is obviously a more niche use case of course.
If you want access to this indicator send me a private message so we can discuss it.
Cheers.
Aggregated Perpetuals VolumeCONCEPT
An aggregated crypto perpetual swap contracts volume indicator that works both for BTC and ETH.
The volume is denominated in USD.
FEATURES
It shows the combined perpetuals volume of 6 of the most prominent derivatives exchanges in crypto, which can be displayed in 4 different ways.
Exchanges used:
Binance (USDT)
Huobi (USD)
Bybit (USD)
FTX (USD)
Bitmex (XBT)
Deribit (USD)
In the settings you can choose to exclude certain exchanges and then that volume is removed from the calculation.
There are 4 different display modes.
stacked
Index
Normal
Delta
For more info check out the spot volume version of this indicator:
TRADING
This is indicator is pretty straight forward... It's volume .
The cool thing about this indicator is that it shows combined volume of a couple of the most important crypto exchanges and it can be displayed in multiple different ways and it works both for bitcoin and ethereum .
It's free so if you add it to your favourites you can start using it right away (it's possible that you'll have to refresh Tradingview before it actually works).
Cheers.
Aggregated Spot VolumeCONCEPT
An aggregated crypto spot volume indicator that works both for BTC and ETH.
FEATURES
It shows the combined volume of 6 of the most prominent exchanges in crypto, which can be displayed in 4 different ways.
Exchanges used:
Binance (USDT)
Okex (USDT)
Huobi (USDT)
Coinbase (USD)
Bitfinex (USD)
FTX (USD)
In the settings you can choose to exclude certain exchanges and then that volume is removed from the calculation.
There are 4 different display modes.
Stacked
This stacks the volume so that you can see exactly which portion of each volume bar each exchange is responsible for.
Index
The indexed format shows you percentage wise the volume of each exchange so that it's even more clear which exchanges are more dominant.
Normal
For the people who like classic volume bars, but still want to use aggregated volume.
Delta
The delta separates buy volume and sell volume.
It's a fun way to display the volume, but take this one with a grain of salt because on Tradingview we can't actually see the exact difference between market buys and sell.
This delta counts a positive candle close as "up" volume and a negative candle close as "down" volume.
TRADING
This is indicator is pretty straight forward... It's volume.
The cool thing about this indicator is that it shows combined volume of a couple of the most important crypto exchanges and it can be displayed in multiple different ways and it works both for bitcoin and ethereum.
It's free so if you add it to your favourites you can start using it right away (it's possible that you'll have to refresh Tradingview before it actually works).
Cheers.
Tether DataCONCEPT
A toolkit with a bunch of different metrics for the widely used stablecoin called tether (USDT).
It's very easy to use, just select in the settings what data you want to look at.
FEATURES
Value index.
The "index" setting shows a volume weighted index of different exchanges to give the most accurate average USDT/USD price.
Market cap.
Very straight forward. This shows you the current tether market cap.
Market cap changes.
This gives you a better visualization of increases (or sometimes decreases) in the tether market cap.
Dominance
This shows tether dominance in the market, same concept as bitcoin dominance.
It compares the USDT mcap to the total crypto mcap and then shows the dominance percentage wise.
It's considered bearish when USDT dominance goes up because it means people want to get out of coins and flee to something more stable.
BTC buying power.
This compares the tether market cap and compares it to the bitcoin market cap to give you an idea of how much BTC buying power has in theory.
The higher this ratio the more bitcoin could be bought with all the tether available.
You'll notice that this often looks very similar to the dominance metric.
Exchanges.
The tether price of multiple exchanges.
In the settings you can select which ones you want the indicator to show.
TRADING
I can't tell you exactly how useful this indicator is for trading, I don't have strong opinions on it.
Some people think a high tether price and dominance is bearish.
Some think the market cap increasing (because of new prints) is bullish.
The buying power metric can give you an idea of how much dry powder there is in the market.
The exchanges metric shows you where you can get the cheapest USDT...
Just some ideas.
This indicator is free so if you add it to your favourites you can start using it immediately (it's possible that you have to refresh Tradingview before it actually works).
Source code is visible for learning purposes.
Cheers.
B1rd's Puell MultipleThis metric looks at the supply side of Bitcoin's economy - bitcoin miners and their revenue.
It explores market cycles from a mining revenue perspective. Bitcoin miners are sometimes referred to as compulsory sellers due to their need to cover fixed costs of mining hardware in a market where price is extremely volatile. The revenue they generate can therefore influence price over time.
The Puell Multiple is calculated by dividing the daily issuance value of bitcoins (in USD) by the 365-day moving average of daily issuance value.
So far, buying below 0.5 and taking profit above 4.0 has been proven profitable over the years.
This version allows you to expiriment with different moving average types.
I might update this version in the future with more expirimental tools of measurements, I just need some idea's to work with. So feel free to comment on what you'd like to see added to this version.
Aggregated VolumeBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
This indicator aggregates trading volume data of assets which are traded on multiple exchanges (like cryptocurrencies, commodities, forex and derivatives) to give you better insights on the markets.
You can change the markets from which the indicator gathers data in the settings under inputs.
By default, data is aggregated from the following markets:
Binance, BTC /USDT
Binance, BTC /BUSD
Bitfinex, BTC /USD
Coinbase, BTC /USD
Bingbon, BTC /USD
Bitstamp , BTC /USD
Kraken, XBT/USD
Gemini, BTC /USD
OkeX, BTC /USDT
Huobi, BTC /USDT
InvictusHello,
I introduce my strategy that provide signals for entering in the market and signal for exit.
This indicator attempts to show a trader when is the best time to open a long or short position. The calculations are partially based on volatility, SMA, EMA and predefined values depending on used timeframe.
We collect data from comparing the current price, calculating the average move of the market, top, bottom and close of the latest bars. The middle line is an adaptive moving average, which is the base of the signals and we also use it as a Trend Line to determine if we are in long or short "condition". The basic idea of this indicator is to show the best place to open a Long or Short position and when to close it.
It is very simple - there are 2 type of signals - LONG (in green) and SHORT (in red). You can close your position when a TP (Take profit) shows up or based on your calculations.
You can chose from several options which strategy you want (there is a "Strategy" select in the settings). The strategies that are proving better according to our tests are marked with a diamond.
Don't forget to always trade with caution, trading is dangerous don't trade more than you can afford to lose.
Please contact me via personal message if you want to test the strategy or for more information.
Thank you.
Time Wolna_2021_iun3[wozdux] Description of the Time_Wolna indicator
The indicator is designed to study the behavior of time. There are many indicators that study just the price, a little less indicators that study the volume of trading and vanishingly few indicators that study time.
This is not an oscillator, it does not have oversold or overbought levels. This indicator has an indefinite beginning and an indefinite end. Its value is not in the absolute values of the indicator, but in relative ones. This indicator calculates the time of price rise and the time of price decline. It clearly shows how long the price rises and how long the price falls.
The initial idea was to use my RSIVol indicator to study the time. Each bar is counted as a unit of time. If the price rises during the period of one bar, then one is added, if the price falls, then one is subtracted. By default, the blue line shows this time movement according to the RsiVol indicator.
The basic RsiVol indicator is shown at the bottom of the diagram. The bill goes along the blue line, which calculates the movement of the volume price. If the blue RSIVol line is above the yellow level, then the blue Time_Wolna time line is colored green. If the blue line in the base RsiVol indicator falls below the lower yellow level, then the blue time line of the Time_Wolna indicator turns red.
The result is a broken line that clearly shows the waves of rising and falling prices. In principle, the time indicator makes it easier to recognize waves.
It is known that time plays an important role in Elliott wave analysis, although in practice this is almost never done. The mention of Elliott is just a lyrical digression.
Time is very difficult to study. This indicator does not give clear buy or sell signals. This is just an analysis tool to help analysts.
In addition to the RsiVol indicator, simply the Rsi from the price and a simple moving average from the price are also used.
So, the settings of this indicator.
"switch Price == close <==> ( High+Low)/2" -- select the base price in all subsequent calculations
"Key EMA=> True=ema(Price); False=ema(Price*Volume)" --The key for switching the moving average from the price or from the volume price.
"T==> EMA(price, T)" --The period for calculating the moving average
" key red==> Yes/No Rsi")--the key turns on or off the RSI line red line
"key green==> Yes/No Orsi") --the key turns on or off the Volume RSI line green line
" key olive==> Yes/No RsiVol200 " -- the key enables or disables the Volumetric RSIVol200 olive line. This is RsiVol minus the 200-period moving average.
"keyVol blue==> Yes/No " - the key enables or disables the base blue line RSIVol
"keyVol blue==> V->tt(RsiVol) ->tt(ema(Price))"—The blue line selection will be calculated as the time from RSIVol or as the time from the moving average EMA.
"keyVol blue==> : 1=Time, 2=Time* price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*price*Volume")- selection for the blue baseline. By default, the time of the price rise or fall is calculated simply. Key=1. But you can investigate the joint influence of time and price and then the key is=2. If we study the combined effect of time and price changes per bar, then the key=3. If we study the joint influence of time and volume, then the key=4. If we study the joint influence of time, price and volume, then the key=5.
"key RsiO red + green==> : 1=Time, 2=Time*Price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*Price*Volume") - - - similar settings for the red green line. By default, the time of the price rise or fall is calculated simply. Key=1. But you can investigate the joint influence of time and price and then the key is=2. If we study the combined effect of time and price changes per bar, then the key=3. If we study the joint influence of time and volume, then the key=4. If we study the joint influence of time, price and volume, then the key=5.
"Key Color – - here you can disable changing the color of the blue line to green or red when the base indicator RsiVol exits above the upper and below the lower levels.
"Level nul ==> * Down Level Rsi - screen configuration in order to raise or lower chart
"Level nul ==> * Down Level ORsi -- beauty setup in order to raise or lower chart
"Level nul ==> * DownLevel RsiVol200 -- beauty setup in order to raise or lower chart
"blue =volume * price" – period for calculation of volumetric rates
"blue => RSIVOL(Volume*price,len) and EMA" – the period for calculating RsiVol
"blue__o1=> ema ( RSIVOL, o1)" – additional smoothing RsiVol
"red=rsi (Price,14)" – the period for calculating Rsi
"red= ema ( RSI ,3)" -- additional smoothing Rsi
"fuchsia__ => RsiVol200 (vp,200)" - the period for calculating RsiVol200
"fuchsia__o2=> ema ( RSIVOL200 , o2)" -- additional smoothing RsiVol200
To study the time between two fixed dates. Setting the start point of the calculation and the end point of the calculation
"Data(0)=Year" – the year of the start date
"Data(0)= Month" – the month of the start date
"Data (0)=Day" the day of the start date
"Data(1)=Year" – the year of the end date.
"Data(1)=Year" – month of the end date.
"Data(1)=Day" -- the day of the end date.
--------русский вариант описания ------
Описание индикатора Time_Wolna
Индикатор призван изучать поведение времени. Есть много индикаторов изучающих просто цену, немного меньше индикаторов изучающих объем торгов и исчезающе мало индикаторов, изучающих время.
Это не осциллятор у него нет уровней перепроданности или перекупленности. Данный индикатор имеет неопределенное начало и неопределенный конец. Ценность его не в абсолютных значениях индикатора, а в относительных. Этот индикатор высчитывает время подъема цены и время снижения цены. Он наглядно показывает сколько времени цена поднимается и сколько времени цена опускается.
Первоначальная идея была использовать мой индикатор RSIVol для изучения времени. Каждый бар считается за единицу времени. Если цена поднимается за период одного бара, то прибавляется единица, если цена опускается, то вычитается единица. По умолчанию голубая линия показывает такое движения времени по индикатору RsiVol.
Внизу на диаграмме показан базовый индикатор RsiVol. Счёт идет по синей линии, которая вычисляет движение объемной цены. Если синяя линия RSIVol находится выше желтого уровня, то голубая линия времени Time_Wolna окрашивается в зеленый цвет. Если синяя линия в базовом индикаторе RsiVol опускается ниже нижнего желтого уровня, то голубая линия времени индикатора Time_Wolna окрашивается в красный цвет.
В результате получается ломанная линия, четко показывающая волны восхождения и снижения цены. В принципе индикатор времени позволяет легче распознавать волны.
Известно, что время играет важную роль в волновом анализе Эллиотта, хотя на практике это почти никогда не делается. Упоминание Эллиотта это просто лирическое отступление.
Время очень трудно изучать. Этот индикатор не дает четких сигналов на покупку или продажу. Это всего лишь инструмент анализа в помощь аналитикам.
Кроме индикатора RsiVol, используются и просто Rsi от цены и простая скользящая средняя от цены.
Итак, настройки данного индикатора.
"switch Price == close <==> ( High+Low)/2" -- выбираем базовую цену во всех последующих вычислениях
"Key EMA=> True=ema(Price); False=ema(Price*Volume)" --Ключ переключения скользящей средней от цены или от объемной цены.
" T==> EMA(price,T)"--Период вычисления скользящей средней
"key red==> Yes/No Rsi")--ключ включает или выключает линию RSI красная линия
"key green==> Yes/No Orsi") --ключ включает или выключает линию Объемной RSI зеленая линия
"key olive==> Yes/No RsiVol200" -- ключ включает или выключает линию Объемной RSIVol200 оливковая линия. Это RsiVol минус 200-периодная скользящая средняя.
"keyVol blue==> Yes/No " – ключ включает или выключает базовую голубую линию RSIVol
"keyVol blue==> V->tt(RsiVol) ->tt(ema(Price))"—выбор голубая линия будет вычисляться как время от RSIVol или как время от скользящей средней EMA.
"keyVol blue==> : 1=Time, 2=Time* price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*price*Volume")—выбор для голубой базовой линии. По умолчанию вычисляется просто время подъема или опускания цены. Ключ=1. Но можно исследовать совместное влияние времени и цены и тогда ключ=2. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и изменения цены за один бар, то ключ=3. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и объема, то ключ=4. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени, цены и объема, то ключ=5.
"key RsiO red + green==> : 1=Time, 2=Time*Price, 3=Time*(Ci-Ck) 4=Time*Volume, 5=Time*Price*Volume") ---аналогичные настройки для красной зеленой линии. По умолчанию вычисляется просто время подъема или опускания цены. Ключ=1. Но можно исследовать совместное влияние времени и цены и тогда ключ=2. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и изменения цены за один бар, то ключ=3. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени и объема, то ключ=4. Если изучаем совместное влияние времени, цены и объема, то ключ=5.
"Key Color" – здесь можно отключить изменение цвета голубой линии на зеленый или красный в моменты выхода базового индикатора RsiVol выше верхнего и ниже нижнего уровней.
"Level nul ==> * Down Level Rsi - косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
"Level nul ==> * Down Level ORsi -- косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
"Level nul ==> * DownLevel RsiVol200 -- косметическая настройка для того, чтобы поднять или опустить график
" blue =>volume * price" – период для вычисления объемной цены
" blue => RSIVOL(Volume*price,len) and EMA" – период для вычисления RsiVol
"blue__o1=> ema ( RSIVOL, o1)" – дополнительное сглаживание RsiVol
" red=rsi (Price,14)" – период для вычисления Rsi
" red= ema ( RSI ,3)" -- дополнительное сглаживание Rsi
"fuchsia__ => RsiVol200 (vp,200)" -- период для вычисления RsiVol200
"fuchsia__o2=> ema ( RSIVOL200 , o2)" -- дополнительное сглаживание RsiVol200
Для исследования времени между двумя фиксированными датами. Задаем начальную точку вычисления и конечную точку вычисления
"Data(0)=Year" – год начальной даты
"Data(0)= Month" – месяц начальной даты
"Data(0)=Day" день начальной даты
"Data(1)=Year" – год конечной даты.
"Data(1)=Year" – месяц конечной даты.
"Data(1)=Day" -- день конечной даты.
BTC top bottom weekly bandsThis indicator is based on the 20 weekly simple moving average and it could be used to help finding potential tops and bottoms on a weekly BTC chart.
When using the provided "coef" parameter set to the default of 0.5 it shows how most bottoms since 2013 have hit the lower band of this indicator.
The lower band is calculated as exp(coef) * sma(close)
Instructions:
- Use with the symbol INDEX:BTCUSD so you can see the price since 2010
- Set the timeframe to weekly
- Use logarithmic chart (toggle "log" on)
Optionals:
- change the coef to 0.6 for a more conservative bottom
- change the coef to 0.4 for a more conservative top
Relative Volume - BITCOINRelative Volume indicator that pulls data from 9 different Bitcoin exchanges. Please note that this indicator only works with BTC and will not use data from your current chart.
Includes the following exchanges:
BYBIT:BTCUSD
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
INDEX:BTCUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSD
FTX:BTCUSD
PHEMEX:BTCUSD
BITTREX:BTCUSD
POLONIEX:BTCUSDT
CryptoSignalScanner - MACD Multiple Time FramesDESCRIPTION:
After receiving some multiple request to provide a MACD indicator that displays multiple timeframes at the same time I created this simple script.
You can use this script for free and adjust it as much you like.
With this script you can plot 6 MACD lines & 6 Signal lines.
• Current Timeframe MACD Line
• Current Timeframe Signal Line
• 15 minute candle MACD Line
• 15 minute candle Signal Line
• 30 minute candle MACD Line
• 30 minute candle Signal Line
• 1 hour candle MACD Line
• 1 hour candle Signal Line
• 2 hour candle MACD Line
• 2 hour candle Signal Line
• 4 hour candle MACD Line
• 4 hour candle Signal Line
HOW TO USE:
• When multiple MACD lines on an uptrend are grouped together it is time to SELL.
• When multiple MACD lines on a downtrend are grouped together it is time to BUY.
• The higher to length of the MACD lines the stronger the BUY/SELL signal.
FEATURES:
• You can show/hide the preferred MACD lines.
• You can show/hide the preferred Signal lines.
How MACD works
The MACD indicator is generated by subtracting two exponential moving averages (EMAs) to create the main line (MACD line), which is then used to calculate another EMA that represents the signal line. In addition, there is the MACD histogram, which is calculated based on the differences between those two lines. The histogram, along with the other two lines, fluctuates above and below a center line, which is also known as the zero line.
The MACD indicator consists of three elements moving around the zero line:
• The MACD line. By default the MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-day EMA from the 12-day EMA.
MACD line = 12d EMA - 26d EMA
• The signal line. By default the signal line is calculated from a 9-day EMA of the MACD line.
Signal line = 9d EMA of MACD line
• Histogram. The histogram is nothing more than a visual record of the relative movements of the MACD line and the signal line.
It is simply calculated as: MACD line - signal line
REMARKS:
• This advice is NOT financial advice.
• We do not provide personal investment advice and we are not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
• All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice.
• We will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
• We only provide this information to help you make a better decision.
• While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
Good Luck,
SEOCO
FieryTrading Suite AThis trading suite offers a complete package to traders, both long- and short-term. The idea here is that by combining FieryTrading Suite A and B, one can get a better grip on the markets, thus making more profitable trades. This trading suite is suited for all time frames and assets. Ideally one would combine this trading suite with their own strategies or indicators.
This indicator pack consists of several parts and offers quite some customization.
// FieryTrading Suite A
Bar Trend: the bars will get colored according to the current, short-term, trend. Green is bullish, red is bearish and yellow is neutral. By tweaking the Bar Trend Length one can make the bar trend more or less responsive. Higher lengths are better for long term trading, whereas a shorter length is better for short-term or scalping.
MTF EMA: this is actually two indicators in one. First, we have the EMA on the chart, which is a general current trend indicator. Above the EMA means bullish, under the EMA means bearish. This EMA is also colored according to the long-term trend, which gets pulled from a higher time-frame. Green means long term bullish, red long-term bearish, yellow neutral.
Overshoot Area: the green and red bands around the price are areas where the price might potentially reverse from. This works exceptionally well in consolidating (horizontal) markets. The wider the overshoot area, the stronger the trend. A very tight overshoot area might indicate that the price will soon make a strong move. Increase the overshoot length to make it better suited for long-term. Decrease the length for better detection of small moves.
Extra’s:
1) Extreme bars: when turned on, the bars will color blue if the price reaches a potential strong area of reversal or consolidation. Blue bars are also great areas to exit your current position. Increase the Extreme Multiplier in case you want it less responsive. Decrease the multiplier to quicker spot extreme bars, but with a higher margin of error.
2) FieryTrend: due to its popularity, I’ve decided to included my FieryTrend indicator in the Trading Suite. It’s a great tool to manually find trend lines, resistances and supports. See my FieryTrend indicator for more info.
3) Fractals: when turned on, this option will display fractals on the chart. These fractals are mainly used for stop-loss determination, but can be used for other strategies as well.
4) FT B Reversal: when turned on, this will place reversals of the FieryTrend Suit B on the chart. Make sure to keep the inputs of the FT B indicator the same on both the A and B suite. It might trigger some false-positives, don’t trade this blindly. Wait for the lighter color to completely disappear behind the darker one on FT B.
Alerts: Alerts can be created for Extreme Bars, Bar Trend and FieryTrading Suite B Reversals. Bar trend currently triggers an alert of every bullish / bearish bar, want to make it trigger once in the future, but I’m encountering an unknown bug.
// FieryTrading Suite B
This oscillator tries to give traders an idea of the current trend, as well as trend reversals. The higher the lengths, the bigger the potential trends can become. Be aware that higher lengths are less responsive to market movements. The default inputs are best for most traders. Alerts for this indicator can be made in the FT Trading Suite A, indicated by the blue up / down triangles.
// Potential strategies
There are several potential strategies that one can follow by just looking at the chart. Here are some examples:
1.0 For longer term trades one could simply trade the bar colors. Buy when the bar goes green, sell when it goes red.
1.1 You could exit the trade at either an Extreme Bar or when the price enters the Overshoot Area
1.2 During bullish trends (green bars, green MTF EMA), you could spot potential entries with the FieryTrading Suite B. Enter on every dip on the oscillator. Inverse would be true for shorts.
2.0 You could trade the FT B Reversals during their respective trend. So, trade bearish reversals during a red MTF EMA, bullish reversals during a green MTF EMA.
Never trade one indicator naked. Always use other indicators to confirm your bias.
For take-profit and stop-loss selection I would generally advise to look at the most recent fractal and place the stop above / below the fractal bar. Bullish trades should look at the pink fractal, bearish trades at the yellow fractal. When no fractal is available, look at the reversal bar and apply the same strategy.
For short term trades I’d advise a risk-reward of 1.5, longer term 2 – 2.5.
See the screenshots below for a couple of examples.
For access, please take a look at the "Author's Instructions" below.
BTC Dominance & Counter-Trend IndicatorThis script looks at BTC dominance in price-action and scores it (out of the last 100 closed bars). Essentially this looks at the price action of the current security/crypto and tracks whether it traded in-trend with BTC or against the trend with BTC to show when BTC is most prominently dominating.
Currently the code is restricted to the previous 100 trades prior to the bar (you can change this) but only because, for whatever reason, pine scripting doesn't actually allow you to calculate the number of bars currently in the view (lots of people asking for this via StackOverflow but no response yet). Essentially every bar shows the number of trades out of the last 100 that traded in-synch with BTC, the lower the number, the less dominant BTC has been against that security.
Green highlight means it traded positive (upwards) against BTC going down, and red means it traded negative against BTC going up.
Low Timeframe POCI have recently made a High Timeframe POC script (HFT POC) which is pretty popular. Thanks for this!
There are many requests to include lower timeframes in this script, that is why I created this script. I could have incorporated all the timeframe POC's into one indicator but I went this route to keep things more organized between all the different timeframes.
Currently included: Daily, 6H, 3H and 1H
/* DEFINITION */
Point Of Control (= POC) is a price level at which the heaviest volumes were traded.
/* HOW TO TRADE WITH THIS INDICATOR */
The basis for POC is determining bias on whichever timeframe you choose.
1. Identify a POC on the timeframe of your choosing.
/* If you choose the lowest timeframe (1H here) then always make sure to look at the higher timeframes to see how it is trading against a HTF POC.
2. When the price is moving away from the POC (either to the upside or downside) this can confirm or invalidate a trade.
3. You can now enter the trade on bias or wait for a retest of the same POC.
/* EXAMPLE TRADES /*
Here is a screenshot of some of the trades that are possible using these Low Timeframe POC's and some common sense.
s3.tradingview.com
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Buy/Sell signalWhy Bother another CoT signal?
Its different & focused on the Insider's.
Performance -
This Indicator provided a
1. Signal 1 = 26th March 2019 = SUPER LONG at $4,500 that saw a near $14,000 run up
2. Signal 2 = 18th & 24th June 2019 = SHORT at the second & final level $11,700 after repeated attempts & failure in the $13K range, the mini Echo Bitcoin Bull of 2019
3. Signal 3 = 17th December 2019 = LONG $6,900, Bitcoin rallied to Mid $10,500's
4. Signal 4 = 18th Feb 2020 = SUPER SHORT from $9,700's to a final extreme Low of $3,000, calling the CV-19 collapse
5. Signal 5 = 17th March 2020 = LONG from $5,400 no closure point yet
6. Signal 6 = 29th June 2020 = SUPER LONG reiterate from $10,700 no closure sell signal yet
7. Signal 7 = 17th May 2020 = LONG another accumulate LONG with no sell signal yet generated at Post H&S's low of $33,000
Note - This indicator only commences March 2019, as Bitcoin futures were a recent introduction and needed to settle for 6 months in both use and data, no signals were meaningful prior & data was light.
What is Provided. - Please note the need to also add the Hunt Bitcoin Historical Volatility Indicator for full understanding.
We provide 3 things with the 3 indicators.
'Insider' indications from Largest players in the futures market.
1. Bitcoin Macro Buy Signals.
a) The Bitcoin Commitment of Traders results see us focus solely on Largest 4 Short Open Interest & Largest 4 Long Open Interest aspects of the CoT Release data.
When the difference - is tight, a kind of pinch, these have been great Buy signals in Bitcoin.
We call this difference the Delta & When Delta is 5% or less Bitcoin is a Buy.
2. Bitcoin Macro Sells.
a) A sell signal is Triggered in Bitcoin at any point the Largest 4 short OI > or = to 70
3. AMPLIFIER Trade signals 'Super' Longs or Shorts -
Extreme low volatility events leads to highly impulsive & volatile subsequent moves, if either of 1 or 2 above occur, combined with extreme low volatility
a 'Super Long' or 'SUPER SELL' is generated. In the case of the short side, given Bitcoins general expansive and MACRO Bull trend since inception, we seek an additional component
that is an extreme differential/Delta reading between 4 biggest Longs & Shorts OI.
Namely CoT Delta also must be > 47.5%
We also have a Cautionary level, where it is not necessarily a good idea to accumulate Bitcon, as a better opportunity lower may avail itself, see conditions below.
So the required logic explicitly stated below for all Signals.
1. Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5
2. SUPER Long - Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta < or = 5; and 2 Day Historical Bitcoin Volatility = or < 20
3. Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70
4. SUPER Short - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 70; AND..
Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 47.5 AND 2 Day Historical BTC Volatility = or < 20
5. Caution - Largest 4 Sellers OI = or > 67.5 AND Hunt Bitcoin CoT Delta = or > 45
WARNING SEE Notes Below
Note 1 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Shorts
Note 2 - = Largest 4 Open Interest Longs
Note 3 - = Hunt Cot Delta = (Largest 4 sellers OI) -( Largest 4 Buyers OI)
Caution = Avoid new Bitcoin Accumulation Right Now, A sell signal might follow Enter on next Long
Note 4 - The Hunt Bitcoin COT Delta signal is a Largest 'Insider' Tracking tool based on a segment of Commitment of Traders data on Bitcoin Futures, released once a week on a Friday.
It is a Macro Timeframe signal , and should not be used for Day trading and Short Timeframe analysis , Entries may be optimised after a Hunt Bitcoin CoT Signal is generated by separate shorter Timeframe analysis.
Note 5 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility is an additional 'Amplifier' component to the 'Hunt Bitcoin Cot Delta' Insider Signal
Note 6 - The Historical Bitcoin Volatility criteria varies by timeframe, the above levels are those applying on a Two Day TF Chart, select this custom timeframe in Trading View.
if additional criteria are met for LONG & SHORT insider signals, they may become 'Super Longs/Shorts', see conditions box above.
BTC FTX Futures PremiumsThis indicator shows the future BTC premiums on FTX.
The purple area is the Daily December Futures contract subtracted by the current price.
The blue area is the Daily September futures contract subtracted by the current price.
The green area is the Daily June futures contract subtracted by the current price.
You can use this to try and understand market sentiment.
If the current price dumps but the premium remains the same it likely means that sentiment is unchanged.
The opposite is true, if the price pumps and the premium is the same it means the market likely wasn't convinced by the movement.
The difference between the current price and the futures price can help determine how bullish or bearish a market or at extremes the level of euphoria.
