This is the first in a set of indicators I will be publishing. Quite simply, my aim is to demystify GDP. Lots of what is discussed in economic circles revolves around nominal GDP and evaluations of GDP that are skewed by government spending, inflation and often, sheer population. In the same way that a country with lots of people might have a big GDP (even if...
The Market Health Monitor is a comprehensive tool designed to assess and visualize the economic health of a market, providing traders with vital insights into both current and future market conditions. This script integrates a range of critical economic indicators, including unemployment rates, inflation, Federal Reserve funds rates, consumer confidence, and...
Macroeconomics is the most important part of the financial markets. If the trader/investor could predict the economic cycles, the chance of making money is much greater. This is the second macroeconomic indicator, which gives us a more detailed picture of yields and some leading indicators. Trying to predict a recession is the main goal. The indicator is...
▋ INTRODUCTION : The “Treasury Yields Heatmap” generates a dynamic heat map table, showing treasury yield bond values corresponding with dates. In the last column, it presents the status of the yield curve, discerning whether it’s in a normal, flat, or inverted configuration, which determined by using Pearson's linear regression coefficient. This tool is built to...
This script plots vertical lines on major U.S. economic events that can impact a trading day. Allowing you to decide if you want to trade on that day or to help with back testing (limited in how far back one can go). The indicator preview chart doesn't show the vertical lines for whatever reason. Here is a snapshot image. This is completely different code...
The combination of the DXY and US02Y can be used to gauge market sentiment and assess the state of the global economy. When the DXY is rising, it indicates that the U.S. dollar is strengthening relative to other currencies, which can lead to increased risk aversion among investors as the U.S. dollar is often seen as a safe-haven currency. When the US02Y is...
The Macroeconomics indicator can give us an instant view of the most important economic indicators. The indicator displays different tables in different sectors: - Money : It give us a basic information about the money indicators in USA; - Surveys: They are usually used as leading indicators. - Inflation: It is showing overall inflation in the country -...
Provides an easy way for viewing the sub sections that make up a country's total GDP. Not all countries provide data for each subsector (Agriculture, Construction, Manufacturing, Mining, Public Administration, Services, Utilities). Only countries that provide complete data are able to be selected in the settings. If I've missed any please let me know in the...
Yield curve of the 1-10 year US Treasury Bonds, with over 60 years of history. The Yield Curve is the interest rate on the 10 year bond minus the 1 year bond. When it inverts (crosses under 0) a recession usually follows 6-12 months later. It's a great leading indicator to identify risk in the macroeconomic environment. Yield curves can be constructed on...
With this little script, I have attempted to incorporate fundamental data (in this case, 10-year bond yields) into technical analysis . When pairing two currencies, the one with a higher bond interest rate usually appreciates when the interest rate differential widens, or, to use a simple example: in a currency pair A vs. B, with A showing a higher bond yield than...
Plots the rate of change in the Fed Balance sheet. Defaults to annual rate of change. Option to plot the raw balance sheet data.
There are a couple of other Pine Scripts on TradingView that others have kindly contributed but they are presently out-dated because they shade recessions based on manual entries of time. Thanks to the availability of pulling data from QUANDL, we can pull official data from FRED on data like US Recessions. The FRED series data is taken from is here- ...
Measure of the total economy wide inflation of the US Dollar. Total Inflation = growth rate of money supply / economic output
Identifies when the US Treasury Yield Curve inverts (2 and 10 year bond rates). When they ‘invert’ long-term bonds have a lower interest rate than short-term bonds. In other words, the bond market is pricing in a significant drop in future interest rates (which might be caused by the US Fed fighting off a recession in the future). In the last 50 years, every...
M2/M1 money stock value is the reflection of the degree of credit created which was mentioned by Ray Dalio in his 30 min video "How the Market and Economic Machines Work" Credit degree will finally decrease in the Long-Term Debt circle.