Inizia

Forecasting

Price Bubble Meter (Moving Average to Price Distance)This indicator measures Price Distance (in %) from any given Moving Average. It will help you see if the price is over extended or in the fair price zone. Trend Analysis How much % higher is the current price compared to 200W SMA What % has been the maximum price rise from 200W SMA What % has been the lowest price fall from 200W SMA DCA Opportunity Finder How much % higher is the current price compared to 2 year SMA What % has been the maximum price rise from 2 year SMA What % has been the lowest price fall from 2 year SMA Yes you can manually measure it all using a ruler, but aint no one got time for that foo.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di MrVinceFox
Fib Percentage Previous Day CloseIntraday regulated markets move within their circuit range above or below which the market activity is halted. These levels are protected by the MM to accumulate or distribute. These levels are mostly same for all markets i.e. 2%, 4% , 5%, 10% and 20% of previous day close, crossing which the market activity halts. So, from here the expectation of turning or breaking increases. This indicator automatically plots the levels and helps understanding the price behavior at these points. This in turn helps taking better RR trades.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di raveshave
1
Killzone MTA ConceptsThis indicator indicates the Pre-Forex Market Killzones studied by our mentors at MTA Concepts. High volatility areas where you can take advantage of a great advantage when trading intraday. Killzone: A killzone is an area, a time interval where there is high volatility and coincides with market pre-openings. We have divided the Killzones into 3: -London Killzone -New York Killzone -Asia Killzone - Closing of operations: Time interval to take into account for the closing of intraday operations. This indicator is prepared for intraday traders
Indicatore Pine Script™
di Juanka_Fx
Fourier Extrapolator of 'Caterpillar' SSA of Price [Loxx]Fourier Extrapolator of 'Caterpillar' SSA of Price is a forecasting indicator that applies Singular Spectrum Analysis to input price and then injects that transformed value into the Quinn-Fernandes Fourier Transform algorithm to generate a price forecast. The indicator plots two curves: the green/red curve indicates modeled past values and the yellow/fuchsia dotted curve indicates the future extrapolated values. What is the Fourier Transform Extrapolator of price? Fourier Extrapolator of Price is a multi-harmonic (or multi-tone) trigonometric model of a price series xi, i=1..n, is given by: xi = m + Sum( a*Cos(w*i) + b*Sin(w*i), h=1..H ) Where: xi - past price at i-th bar, total n past prices; m - bias; a and b - scaling coefficients of harmonics; w - frequency of a harmonic ; h - harmonic number; H - total number of fitted harmonics. Fitting this model means finding m, a, b, and w that make the modeled values to be close to real values. Finding the harmonic frequencies w is the most difficult part of fitting a trigonometric model. In the case of a Fourier series, these frequencies are set at 2*pi*h/n. But, the Fourier series extrapolation means simply repeating the n past prices into the future. Quinn-Fernandes algorithm find sthe harmonic frequencies. It fits harmonics of the trigonometric series one by one until the specified total number of harmonics H is reached. After fitting a new harmonic , the coded algorithm computes the residue between the updated model and the real values and fits a new harmonic to the residue. see here: A Fast Efficient Technique for the Estimation of Frequency , B. G. Quinn and J. M. Fernandes, Biometrika, Vol. 78, No. 3 (Sep., 1991), pp . 489-497 (9 pages) Published By: Oxford University Press Fourier Transform Extrapolator of Price inputs are as follows: npast - number of past bars, to which trigonometric series is fitted; nharm - total number of harmonics in model; frqtol - tolerance of frequency calculations. What is Singular Spectrum Analysis ( SSA )? Singular spectrum analysis ( SSA ) is a technique of time series analysis and forecasting. It combines elements of classical time series analysis, multivariate statistics, multivariate geometry, dynamical systems and signal processing. SSA aims at decomposing the original series into a sum of a small number of interpretable components such as a slowly varying trend, oscillatory components and a ‘structureless’ noise. It is based on the singular value decomposition ( SVD ) of a specific matrix constructed upon the time series. Neither a parametric model nor stationarity-type conditions have to be assumed for the time series. This makes SSA a model-free method and hence enables SSA to have a very wide range of applicability. For our purposes here, we are only concerned with the "Caterpillar" SSA . This methodology was developed in the former Soviet Union independently (the ‘iron curtain effect’) of the mainstream SSA . The main difference between the main-stream SSA and the "Caterpillar" SSA is not in the algorithmic details but rather in the assumptions and in the emphasis in the study of SSA properties. To apply the mainstream SSA , one often needs to assume some kind of stationarity of the time series and think in terms of the "signal plus noise" model (where the noise is often assumed to be ‘red’). In the "Caterpillar" SSA , the main methodological stress is on separability (of one component of the series from another one) and neither the assumption of stationarity nor the model in the form "signal plus noise" are required. "Caterpillar" SSA The basic "Caterpillar" SSA algorithm for analyzing one-dimensional time series consists of: Transformation of the one-dimensional time series to the trajectory matrix by means of a delay procedure (this gives the name to the whole technique); Singular Value Decomposition of the trajectory matrix; Reconstruction of the original time series based on a number of selected eigenvectors. This decomposition initializes forecasting procedures for both the original time series and its components. The method can be naturally extended to multidimensional time series and to image processing. The method is a powerful and useful tool of time series analysis in meteorology, hydrology, geophysics, climatology and, according to our experience, in economics, biology, physics, medicine and other sciences; that is, where short and long, one-dimensional and multidimensional, stationary and non-stationary, almost deterministic and noisy time series are to be analyzed. "Caterpillar" SSA inputs are as follows: lag - How much lag to introduce into the SSA algorithm, the higher this number the slower the process and smoother the signal ncomp - Number of Computations or cycles of of the SSA algorithm; the higher the slower ssapernorm - SSA Period Normalization numbars =- number of past bars, to which SSA is fitted Included: Bar coloring Alerts Signals Loxx's Expanded Source Types Related Fourier Transform Indicators Real-Fast Fourier Transform of Price w/ Linear Regression Fourier Extrapolator of Variety RSI w/ Bollinger Bands Fourier Extrapolator of Price w/ Projection Forecast Related Projection Forecast Indicators Itakura-Saito Autoregressive Extrapolation of Price Helme-Nikias Weighted Burg AR-SE Extra. of Price Related SSA Indicators End-pointed SSA of FDASMA End-pointed SSA of Williams %R
Indicatore Pine Script™
di loxx
2
Machine Learning: kNN (New Approach)Description: kNN is a very robust and simple method for data classification and prediction. It is very effective if the training data is large. However, it is distinguished by difficulty at determining its main parameter, K (a number of nearest neighbors), beforehand. The computation cost is also quite high because we need to compute distance of each instance to all training samples. Nevertheless, in algorithmic trading KNN is reported to perform on a par with such techniques as SVM and Random Forest. It is also widely used in the area of data science. The input data is just a long series of prices over time without any particular features. The value to be predicted is just the next bar's price. The way that this problem is solved for both nearest neighbor techniques and for some other types of prediction algorithms is to create training records by taking, for instance, 10 consecutive prices and using the first 9 as predictor values and the 10th as the prediction value. Doing this way, given 100 data points in your time series you could create 10 different training records. It's possible to create even more training records than 10 by creating a new record starting at every data point. For instance, you could take the first 10 data points and create a record. Then you could take the 10 consecutive data points starting at the second data point, the 10 consecutive data points starting at the third data point, etc. By default, shown are only 10 initial data points as predictor values and the 6th as the prediction value. Here is a step-by-step workthrough on how to compute K nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm for quantitative data: 1. Determine parameter K = number of nearest neighbors. 2. Calculate the distance between the instance and all the training samples. As we are dealing with one-dimensional distance, we simply take absolute value from the instance to value of x (| x – v |). 3. Rank the distance and determine nearest neighbors based on the K'th minimum distance. 4. Gather the values of the nearest neighbors. 5. Use average of nearest neighbors as the prediction value of the instance. The original logic of the algorithm was slightly modified, and as a result at approx. N=17 the resulting curve nicely approximates that of the sma(20). See the description below. Beside the sma-like MA this algorithm also gives you a hint on the direction of the next bar move.
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Indicatore Pine Script™
di capissimo
41
Leavitt Convolution [CC]The Leavitt Convolution indicator was created by Jay Leavitt (Stocks and Commodities Oct 2019, page 11), who is most well known for creating the Volume-Weighted Average Price indicator. This indicator is very similar to my Leavitt Projection script and I forgot to mention that both of these indicators are actually predictive moving averages. The Leavitt Convolution indicator doubles down on this idea by creating a prediction of the Leavitt Projection which is another prediction for the next bar. Obviously this means that it isn't always correct in its predictions but it does a very good job at predicting big trend changes before they happen. The recommended strategy for how to trade with these indicators is to plot a fast version and a slow version and go long when the fast version crosses over the slow version or to go short when the fast version crosses under the slow version. I have color coded the lines to turn light green for a normal buy signal or dark green for a strong buy signal and light red for a normal sell signal, and dark red for a strong sell signal. This is another indicator in a series that I'm publishing to fulfill a special request from @ashok1961 so let me know if you ever have any special requests for me.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di cheatcountry
8
Leavitt Projection [CC]The Leavitt Projection indicator was created by Jay Leavitt (Stocks and Commodities Oct 2019, page 11), who is most well known for creating the Volume-Weighted Average Price indicator. This indicator is very simple but is also the building block of many other indicators, so I'm starting with the publication of this one. Since this is the first in a series I will be publishing, keep in mind that the concepts introduced in this script will be the same across the entire series. The recommended strategy for how to trade with these indicators is to plot a fast version and a slow version and go long when the fast version crosses over the slow version or to go short when the fast version crosses under the slow version. I have color coded the lines to turn light green for a normal buy signal or dark green for a strong buy signal and light red for a normal sell signal, and dark red for a strong sell signal. I know many of you have wondered where I have been, and my personal life has become super hectic. I was recently hired full-time by TradingView, and my wife is pregnant with twins, and she is due in a few months. I will do my absolute best to get back to posting scripts regularly, but I will post a bunch today in the meantime to fulfill a special request from one of my loyal followers (@ashok1961).
Indicatore Pine Script™
di cheatcountry
20
Adaptive Rebound Line (ARL)The Adaptive Rebound Line (ARL) focuses on the rebound of price action according to the trend. While it does not focus on showing the trend, it does help in anticipating price rebounds. It achieves this by adapting quickly and by reducing lag. It is recommended to use this with a trend-identifying indicator. It was inspired by the Hull Moving Average and the KAMA. Additional indicator show in the chart is Tide Finder Plus .
Indicatore Pine Script™
di More-Than-Enough
2
Itakura-Saito Autoregressive Extrapolation of Price [Loxx]The Itakura–Saito distance is a Bregman divergence generated by minus the logarithmic function, but is not a true metric since it is not symmetric and it does not fulfil triangle inequality. In Non-negative matrix factorization, the Itakura-Saito divergence can be used as a measure of the quality of the factorization: this implies a meaningful statistical model of the components and can be solved through an iterative method. The Itakura-Saito distance is the Bregman divergence associated with the Gamma exponential family where the information divergence of one distribution in the family from another element in the family is given by the Itakura-Saito divergence of the mean value of the first distribution from the mean value of the second distribution.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di FilipDvoran
HPK Crash IndicatorFrom Hari P. Krishnan's book, The Second Leg Down: Strategies for Profiting after a Market Sell-Off : "We start by specifying the year on year (YoY) change in the index. Next, we calculate the 5 year trailing Z score of the YoY returns. We also calculate the 5 year trailing Z score of 1 month historical volatility for the index, using daily returns. Our crisis warning indicator flashes if both Z scores are above 2. In other words, recent price increases and current volatility need to be at least 2 standard deviations above normal. It can be seen that this basic implementation is reasonably effective, accepting that the effective sample set is small. A false signal is given in mid-2006, but the signal is quickly washed away. The remaining signals occur fairly close to the point of collapse. The idea that elevated volatility is predictive of danger is not new and underpins many asset allocation schemes. However, Sornette deserves credit for moving away from a largely valuation-based approach to predicting crises to one that relies upon price action itself."
Indicatore Pine Script™
di JoeCA9772
Faytterro EstimatorWhat is Faytterro Estimator? This indicator is an advanced moving average. What it does? This indicator is both a moving average and at the same time, it predicts the future values that the price may take based on the values it has taken before. How it does it? takes the weighted average of data of the selected length (reducing the weight from the middle to the ends). then draws a parabola through the last three values, creating a predicted line. How to use it? it is simple to use. You can use it both as a regression to review past prices, and to predict the future value of a price. uptrends are in green and downtrends are in red. color change indicates a possible trend change.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di faytterro
17
Chervolinos-Wave-PM-ForecastThe Wave PM (Whistler Active Volatility Energy – Price Mass) indicator is an oscillator described in Mark Whistler's book, Volatility Illuminated. The Wave PM is specifically designed to help read volatility cycles. When we visualize volatility cycles as a chart, we can get a clear view of the market volatility phases in multiple time frames. This indicator forms an arithmetic mean over 30 observed periods. Traders can thus get a better insight into "potential" volatility from up to pent-up energy, the different zones give strong help to predict future price developments. Possible interpretation patterns: You are at the end of a long uptrend and you want to know if the price is going to go down, if the indicator shows red and the value is above 25, it is likely to do so. You're in a downtrend and there's a bit of a recovery phase, so you might be wondering if it's going to continue when the indicator shows green. It would go further with yellow, but with green it can be assumed that it is going down rapidly. Special thanks to sourcey who programmed the 3D Wave-PM. This variant of sourcey looks very nice, but was too confusing for me. In order to get a strong overview, forming an arithmetic mean is very useful. I hope you and the Mods like my version Best regards, Chervolino
Indicatore Pine Script™
di chervolino
2
Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap [CR]Blockchain Fundamentals: 200 Week MA Heatmap This is released as a thank you to all my followers who pushed me over the 600 follower mark on twitter. Thanks to all you Kingz and Queenz out there who made it happen. <3 Indicator Overview In each of its major market cycles, Bitcoin's price historically bottoms out around the 200 week moving average. This indicator uses a color heatmap based on the % increases of that 200 week moving average. Depending on the rolling cumulative 4 week percent delta of the 200 week moving average, a color is assigned to the price chart. This method clearly highlights the market cycles of bitcoin and can be extremely helpful to use in your forecasts. How It Can Be Used The long term Bitcoin investor can monitor the monthly color changes. Historically, when we see orange and red dots assigned to the price chart, this has been a good time to sell Bitcoin as the market overheats. Periods where the price dots are purple and close to the 200 week MA have historically been good times to buy. Bitcoin Price Prediction Using This Tool If you are looking to predict the price of Bitcoin or forecast where it may go in the future, the 200WMA heatmap can be a useful tool as it shows on a historical basis whether the current price is overextending (red dots) and may need to cool down. It can also show when Bitcoin price may be good value on a historical basis. This can be when the dots on the chart are purple or blue. Over more than ten years, $BTC has spent very little time below the 200 week moving average which is also worth noting when thinking about price predictions for Bitcoin or a Bitcoin price forecast. Notes 1.) If you do not want to view the legend do the following: Indicator options > Style tab > Uncheck "Tables" 2.) I use my custom function to get around the limited historical data for bitcoin. You can check out the explanation of it here:
Indicatore Pine Script™
di theheirophant
10
Gann Square of 144This indicator will create lines on the chart based on W.D. Gann's Square of 144. All the inputs will be detailed below Why create this indicator? I didn't find it on Tradingview (at least with open source). But the main reason is to study the strategy and be able to draw it fast. Manually drawing the square is not hard, but moving all together to the right spots and scale was time-consuming. It has a lot of inputs... Yes, each square point divisible by 6 has information with some options, so the user can create any configuration he wants. Also, it has the advantage of having the square built in seconds and adjusting itself on each new calculation. About the inputs Starting Date This input will be used when the "Set Upper/Lower Prices and Start Bar Automatically" checkbox is not selected. The indicator will calculate all the line locations on the chart using the selected start date. When selecting this input, change the Manual Max and Min Prices to the better calculation Manual Max/Min Price This input will be used when the "Set Upper/Lower Prices and Start Bar Automatically" checkbox is not selected. The indicator will calculate all the line's locations on the chart using these prices Set Upper/Lower Prices and Start Bar Automatically Selects if the starting date will be automatically selected by the system or based on the input data. When it's set, the indicator will use the most recent bar as the middle point of the square, using the higher price as the Upper Price and the lowest price as the Lower Price in the latest 72 bars (or more based on the Candles Per Division parameter) Update at a new bar When this option is market, the indicator will update all created lines to match the new bar position, together with all the possible new Upper/Lower prices. Let it unchecked to watch the progression of the price while the square remains fixed in the chart. Top X-Axis When checked, it will display the labels on the Top of the square Bottom X-Axis When checked, it will display the labels on the Bottom of the square Left X-Axis When checked, it will display the labels on the left of the square Right X-Axis When checked, it will display the labels on the right of the square Show Prices on the Right Y-Axis When checked, it will display the prices together with the labels on the right of the square Show Vertical Divisions Show the lines that will divide the square into 9 equal parts Show Extra Lines Show unique lines that will come from the Top and bottom middle of the square, connecting the center to the 36 and 108 levels Show Grid When selected, it will display a grid in the square Line Patterns A selector with some options of built-in lines configuration. When any option besides None is selected, it will override the lines inputs below Numbers Color Select the color of each number on the Axis Vertical Lines Color Select the color of the vertical lines Grid Color Select the grid line color Connections from corners to N Each corner is represented by 2 characters, so they all fit in a single line It will indicate where the line starts and where it ends ┏ ↓ = Top Left to Bottom ┏ → = Top Left to Right ┗ ↑ = Bottom Left to Top ┗ → = Bottom Left to Right ┓ ← = Top Right to Left ┓ ↓ = Top Right to Bottom ┛ ← = Bottom Right to Left ┛ ↑ = Bottom Right to Top Besides selecting what line will be created, it's possible to select the color, the style, and the extension How to use this indicator When you dig into Gann's books for more information about the square of 144, you find that it was part of his setup with multiple indicators (technical and fundamental, and astrological). It is not a "one indicator" setup, so it's hard to say that you will find entries, exits, stop loss, and take profit in this. Still, it will help see trendiness, support, and resistance levels. Mixing this with other indicators is probably a good idea, but some may find this indicator the only one needed. Some aspects of the square The end of the square is important, so where it starts is crucial. The end is important because it is where the price and time expire. The other parts of the square are defined based on their start and end, so placing them right is essential. So, where to set the start of the square? The last major low is the most indicated. The minimum price will be the lowest, and the max price will be the last major Top. Note that the indicator uses 1 candle on each point. After finding the start, the minimum, and the maximum prices for the square, it will draw all lines. Another essential part of the square is The Midpoint. The midpoint is the most crucial part of the square and is the best way to see if you positioned the square correctly. When the price is inside the square, using the starting candle as the start, a second higher low or a lower high occurs in that spot. When using the Vertical lines in the indicator, it's the middle square inside Gann's square. The other divisions will be opposing each other most of the time. So if the price is rising in the 1/3 of the square, it's common to see the price fall in the 3/3 of the square. More information about these aspects here Considerations This indicator was meant for price targets and a time calculator for possible support/resistances in the chart. It was created by William Delbert Gann and was part of his setup for trading almost a century ago. The lines will form geometric figures, which Gann used with high accuracy to predict tops/bottoms and when they would occur.
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Indicatore Pine Script™
di ThiagoSchmitz
52
Fed Funds Rate ProjectionsThis script makes projections via drawing boxes based upon changes in the fed funds rate (FRED:EFFR). It works by turning the change in the fed funds rate into a user defined percentage (using a multiplier, by default a 1% rate of change implies a 10% change in the chart) and then drawing a box that distance away depending on the direction of the rate of change. The size of the multiplier should depend on the duration of the asset which this is being applied to, for example, a long duration asset such as a high beta growth stock should use a larger multiplier.
Indicatore Pine Script™
di barnabygraham
2
SKYtrend Bruteforce Open Source✨SKYtrend Bruteforce Now Open Source✨ 📌This indicator analyzes the trend and calls Long/Short which is fully custom to fit your style of trading. 📌Custom Take Profit Levels currently have 3 TP levels for Long and Short you can decide which % each TP will be in settings. 📌2 Custom Stoploss levels. For Long or Short. Can Enable or Disable either. 📌Can set alert For Long, Short , TP Long 1-3, TP Short 1-3, SL 1-2 📌Has built in ichimoku cloud If you like it, like it. :)
Indicatore Pine Script™
di SavvyEvelynCharts
7
VIX - SKEW DivergenceThe CBOE VIX is a well-known index representing market expectations for volatility over the next 30 days. The CBOE SKEW is an index reflecting the perceived tail risk over the next 30 days. When the SKEW rises over a certain level (~140/150), that means investors are hedging their exposure with options, because they are worried about an incoming market crash or a "black swan". If that happens when the VIX is very low and apparently there is no uncertainty, this can warn of a sudden change in direction of the market. You will see for yourself that an increasing divergence often anticipates a sharp fall of leading stock indexes, usually within two to four months. This is probably not very relevant for the short-term trader but mid/long-term traders and market analysts may find it useful to clearly visualize the extent of the distance between the VIX and the SKEW. For that reason, I wrote this highly customizable script with which you can plot the two indexes and fill the space within them with a color gradient to highlight the maximum and minimum divergence. Additionally, you can fill the beneath VIX area with four different colors. It is also possible to plot the divergence value itself, so if you want you can draw trendlines and support/resistance levels on it. Please note that the divergence per se doesn't predict anything and it's meant to be used synergistically with other technical analysis tools. More informations here: www.cboe.com www.cboe.com
Indicatore Pine Script™
di valpatrad