Fibonacci Trend [ChartPrime]Fibonacci Trend Indicator
This powerful indicator leverages supertrend analysis to detect market direction while overlaying dynamic Fibonacci levels to highlight potential support, resistance, and optimal trend entry zones. With its straightforward design, it is perfect for traders looking to simplify their workflow and enhance decision-making.
⯁ KEY FEATURES AND HOW TO USE
⯌ Supertrend Trend Identification :
The indicator uses a supertrend algorithm to identify market direction. It displays purple for downtrends and green for uptrends, ensuring quick and clear trend analysis.
⯌ Fibonacci Levels for Current Swings :
Automatically calculates Fibonacci retracement levels (0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 0.786) for the current swing leg.
- These levels act as key zones for potential support, resistance, and trend continuation.
- The high and low swing points are labeled with exact prices, ensuring clarity.
- If the swing range is insufficient (less than five times ATR), Fibonacci levels are not displayed, avoiding irrelevant data.
⯌ Extended Fibonacci Levels :
User-defined extensions project Fibonacci levels into the future, aiding traders in planning price targets or projecting key zones.
⯌ Optimal Trend Entry Zone :
A filled area between 0.618 and 0.786 levels visually highlights the optimal entry zone for trend continuation. This allows traders to refine their entry points during pullbacks.
⯌ Diagonal Trend Line :
A dashed diagonal line connects the swing high and low, visually confirming the range and trend strength of the current swing.
⯌ Visual Labels for Fibonacci Levels :
Each Fibonacci level is marked with a label displaying its value for quick reference.
⯁ HOW TRADERS CAN POTENTIALLY USE THIS TOOL
Fibonacci Retracements:
Use the Fibonacci retracement levels to find key support or resistance zones where the price may pull back before continuing its trend.
Example: Enter long trades when the price retraces to 0.618–0.786 levels in an uptrend.
Fibonacci Extensions:
Use Fibonacci extensions to project future price targets based on the current trend's swing leg. Levels like 127.2% and 161.8% are commonly used as profit-taking zones.
Reversal Identification:
Spot potential reversals by monitoring price reactions at key Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.236 or 0.382) or the swing high/low.
Optimal Trend Entries:
The filled zone between 0.618 and 0.786 is a statistically strong area for entering a position in the direction of the trend.
Example: Enter long positions during retracements to this range in an uptrend.
Risk Management:
Set stop-losses below key Fibonacci levels or the swing low/high, and take profits at extension levels, enhancing your trade management strategies.
⯁ CONCLUSION
The Fibonacci Trend Indicator is a straightforward yet effective tool for identifying trends and key Fibonacci levels. It simplifies analysis by integrating supertrend-based trend identification with Fibonacci retracements, extensions, and optimal entry zones. Whether you're a beginner or experienced trader, this indicator is an essential addition to your toolkit for trend trading, reversal spotting, and risk management.
Forecasting
Enhanced VIP-like IndicatorSettings Breakdown Tutorial: Optimizing a Trading Strategy
This guide explains the key trading strategy settings and how to customize them based on your trading style and goals. Each parameter is essential for tailoring the strategy to market conditions and your risk appetite.
1. Short Moving Average Length (Default: 9)
• Purpose: Tracks short-term trends using a small number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Smaller Values (e.g., 9): Quickly react to price changes, useful for fast-moving markets.
• Larger Values (e.g., 12-15): Generate smoother signals for less volatile trades.
2. Long Moving Average Length (Default: 21)
• Purpose: Identifies long-term trends.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 50): Spot broader trends at the expense of slower signals.
• Trend Analysis: The interaction of short and long MAs helps determine bullish or bearish trends (e.g., bullish when short MA crosses above long MA).
3. Higher Timeframe MA Length (Default: 200)
• Purpose: Filters long-term trends on a higher timeframe (e.g., daily).
• Settings Tips:
• 200 Periods: Standard for defining bullish (price above) or bearish (price below) markets.
• Adjustable: Use 100 for faster responses or stick with 200 for reliability.
4. Higher Timeframe (Default: 1 Day)
• Purpose: Defines the timeframe for the higher moving average.
• Settings Tips:
• Shorter Timeframes (e.g., 4 Hours): More frequent trading signals.
• Daily Timeframe: Best for swing trading and identifying macro trends.
5. RSI Length (Default: 14)
• Purpose: Measures momentum over a specific number of candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 7): More sensitive to price changes, ideal for quick trades.
• Higher Values (e.g., 20): Smooth signals for more stable markets.
6. RSI Overbought (70) and Oversold (30) Levels
• Purpose: Marks thresholds for overbought and oversold conditions.
• Settings Tips:
• Stricter Levels (e.g., 80/20): Fewer, higher-quality signals.
• Looser Levels (e.g., 65/35): More frequent signals, suitable for active trading.
7. Pivot Left Bars (5) and Pivot Right Bars (5)
• Purpose: Confirms pivot points (support/resistance) based on surrounding candles.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 10): Stronger but less frequent pivot points.
• Lower Values: More responsive, for traders seeking quick pivots.
8. Take Profit Percentage (Default: 2%)
• Purpose: Defines the profit level to exit trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Higher Values (e.g., 5%): For swing traders holding positions longer.
• Lower Values (e.g., 1%): For scalpers focusing on quick trades.
9. Minimum Volume (Default: 1,000,000)
• Purpose: Ensures sufficient liquidity for trading.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values: For lower-volume markets.
• Higher Values: Reduces risk in high-liquidity assets.
10. Stop Loss Percentage (Default: 1%)
• Purpose: Sets the maximum acceptable loss per trade.
• Settings Tips:
• Lower Values (e.g., 0.5%): Reduces risk, suited for conservative trading.
• Higher Values (e.g., 2%): Allows more price fluctuation, ideal for volatile markets.
11. Entry Conditions
• Options:
• MA Crossover & RSI: Combines trend-following and momentum for well-rounded signals.
• Pivot Breakout: Focuses on support/resistance breakouts for high-impact trades.
• Settings Tips:
• Trend-Following Traders: Use MA Crossover & RSI.
12. Exit Conditions
• Options:
• Opposite Signal: Exits when the trade’s opposite condition occurs (e.g., bullish to bearish).
• Fixed Take Profit/Stop Loss: Exits based on predefined profit/loss thresholds.
• Settings Tips:
• Opposite Signal: Ideal for trend-following strategies.
Summary
Customizing these settings aligns the strategy with your trading goals. Test configurations in a demo environment before live trading to refine the approach and optimize results. Always balance profit potential with risk management.
• Fixed Levels: Better for strict risk management.
• Breakout Traders: Opt for Pivot Breakout.
Bear Market LevelMarks the bear market level. Calculated as 20% drop from highs. Useful on indices to determine technical Bull or Bear markets.
Bitcoin vs Mag7 Combined IndexThis Mag7 Combined Index script is a custom TradingView indicator that calculates and visualizes the collective performance of the Magnificent 7 (Mag7) stocks—Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Meta (red line) compared to Bitcoin (blue line). It normalizes the daily closing prices of each stock to their initial value on the chart, scales them into percentages, and then computes their simple average to form a combined index. The result is plotted as a single line, offering a clear view of the aggregated performance of these influential stocks over time compared to Bitcoin.
This indicator is ideal for analyzing the overall market impact of the Mag7 compared to Bitcoin.
Normalized Price ComparisonNormalized Price Comparison Indicator Description
The "Normalized Price Comparison" indicator is designed to provide traders with a visual tool for comparing the price movements of up to three different financial instruments on a common scale, despite their potentially different price ranges. Here's how it works:
Features:
Normalization: This indicator normalizes the closing prices of each symbol to a scale between 0 and 1 over a user-defined period. This normalization process allows for the comparison of price trends regardless of the absolute price levels, making it easier to spot relative movements and trends.
Crossing Alert: It features an alert functionality that triggers when the normalized price lines of the first two symbols (Symbol 1 and Symbol 2) cross each other. This can be particularly useful for identifying potential trading opportunities when one asset's relative performance changes against another.
Customization: Users can input up to three symbols for analysis. The normalization period can be adjusted, allowing flexibility in how historical data is considered for the scaling process. This period determines how many past bars are used to calculate the minimum and maximum prices for normalization.
Visual Representation: The indicator plots these normalized prices in a separate pane below the main chart. Each symbol's normalized price is represented by a distinct colored line:
Symbol 1: Blue line
Symbol 2: Red line
Symbol 3: Green line
Use Cases:
Relative Performance Analysis: Ideal for investors or traders who want to compare how different assets are performing relative to each other over time, without the distraction of absolute price differences.
Divergence Detection: Useful for spotting divergences where one asset might be outperforming or underperforming compared to others, potentially signaling changes in market trends or investment opportunities.
Crossing Strategy: The alert for when Symbol 1 and Symbol 2's normalized lines cross can be used as a part of a trading strategy, signaling potential entry or exit points based on relative price movements.
Limitations:
Static Alert Messages: Due to Pine Script's constraints, the alert messages cannot dynamically include the names of the symbols being compared. The alert will always mention "Symbol 1" and "Symbol 2" crossing.
Performance: Depending on the timeframe and the number of symbols, performance might be affected, especially on lower timeframes with high data frequency.
This indicator is particularly beneficial for those interested in multi-asset analysis, offering a streamlined way to observe and react to relative price movements in a visually coherent manner. It's a powerful tool for enhancing your trading or investment analysis by focusing on trends and relationships rather than raw price data.
Poisson Projection of Price Levels### **Poisson Projection of Price Levels**
**Overview:**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* is a cutting-edge technical indicator designed to identify and visualize potential support and resistance levels based on historical price interactions. By leveraging the Poisson distribution, this tool dynamically adjusts the significance of each price level's past "touches" to project future interactions with varying degrees of probability. This probabilistic approach offers traders a nuanced view of where price levels may hold or react in upcoming bars, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
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**🔍 **Math & Methodology**
1. **Strata Levels:**
- **Definition:** Strata are horizontal lines spaced evenly around the current closing price.
- **Calculation:**
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where \(i\) ranges from 0 to \(\text{Strata Count} - 1\).
2. **Forecast Iterations:**
- **Structure:** The indicator projects five forecast iterations into the future, each spaced by a Fibonacci sequence of bars: 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead. This spacing is inspired by the Fibonacci sequence, which is prevalent in financial market analysis for identifying key levels.
- **Purpose:** Each iteration represents a distinct forecast point where the price may interact with the strata, allowing for a multi-step projection of potential price levels.
3. **Touch Counting:**
- **Definition:** A "touch" occurs when the closing price of a bar is within half the increment of a stratum level.
- **Process:** For each stratum and each forecast iteration, the indicator counts the number of touches within a specified lookback window (e.g., 80 bars), offset by the forecasted position. This ensures that each iteration's touch count is independent and contextually relevant to its forecast horizon.
- **Adjustment:** Each forecast iteration analyzes a unique segment of the lookback window, offset by its forecasted position to ensure independent probability calculations.
4. **Poisson Probability Calculation:**
- **Formula:**
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- **Interpretation:** \(p(k=1)\) represents the probability of exactly one touch occurring within the lookback window for each stratum and iteration.
- **Application:** This probability is used to determine the transparency of each stratum line, where higher probabilities result in more opaque (less transparent) lines, indicating stronger historical significance.
5. **Transparency Mapping:**
- **Calculation:**
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- **Purpose:** Maps the Poisson probability to a visual transparency level, enhancing the readability of significant strata levels.
- **Outcome:** Strata with higher probabilities (more historical touches) appear more opaque, while those with lower probabilities appear fainter.
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**📊 **Comparability to Standard Techniques**
1. **Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Traditional Approach:** Traders identify support and resistance based on historical price reversals, pivot points, or psychological price levels.
- **Poisson Projection:** Automates and quantifies this process by statistically analyzing the frequency of price interactions with specific levels, providing a probabilistic measure of significance.
2. **Statistical Modeling:**
- **Standard Models:** Techniques like Moving Averages, Bollinger Bands, or Fibonacci Retracements offer dynamic and rule-based levels but lack direct probabilistic interpretation.
- **Poisson Projection:** Introduces a discrete event probability framework, offering a unique blend of statistical rigor and visual clarity that complements traditional indicators.
3. **Event-Based Analysis:**
- **Financial Industry Practices:** Event studies and high-frequency trading models often use Poisson processes to model order arrivals or price jumps.
- **Indicator Application:** While not identical, the use of Poisson probabilities in this indicator draws inspiration from event-based modeling, applying it to the context of price level interactions.
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**💡 **Strengths & Advantages**
1. **Innovative Visualization:**
- Combines statistical probability with traditional support/resistance visualization, offering a fresh perspective on price level significance.
2. **Dynamic Adaptability:**
- Parameters like strata increment, lookback window, and probability threshold are user-defined, allowing customization across different markets and timeframes.
3. **Independent Probability Calculations:**
- Each forecast iteration calculates its own Poisson probability, ensuring that projections are contextually relevant and independent of other iterations.
4. **Clear Visual Cues:**
- Transparency-based coloring intuitively highlights significant price levels, making it easier for traders to identify key areas of interest at a glance.
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**⚠️ **Limitations & Considerations**
1. **Poisson Assumptions:**
- Assumes that touches occur independently and at a constant average rate (\(\lambda\)), which may not always align with market realities characterized by trends and volatility clustering.
2. **Computational Intensity:**
- Managing multiple iterations and strata can be resource-intensive, potentially affecting performance on lower-powered devices or with very high lookback windows.
3. **Interpretation Complexity:**
- While transparency offers visual clarity, understanding the underlying probability calculations requires a basic grasp of Poisson statistics, which may be a barrier for some traders.
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**📢 **How to Use It**
1. **Add to TradingView:**
- Open TradingView and navigate to the Pine Script Editor.
- Paste the script above and click **Add to Chart**.
2. **Configure Inputs:**
- **Strata Increment:** Set the desired price step between strata (e.g., `0.1` for 10 cents).
- **Lookback Window:** Define how many past bars to consider for calculating Poisson probabilities (e.g., `80`).
- **Probability Transparency Threshold (%):** Set the threshold percentage to map probabilities to line transparency (e.g., `25%`).
3. **Understand the Forecast Iterations:**
- The indicator projects five forecast points into the future at bar spacings of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead.
- Each iteration independently calculates its Poisson probability based on the touch counts within its specific lookback window offset by its forecasted position.
4. **Interpret the Visualization:**
- **Opaque Lines:** Indicate higher Poisson probabilities, suggesting historically significant price levels that are more likely to interact again.
- **Fainter Lines:** Represent lower probabilities, indicating less historically significant levels that may be less likely to interact.
- **Forecast Spacing:** The spacing of 2, 3, 5, 8, and 13 bars ahead aligns with Fibonacci principles, offering a natural progression in forecast horizons.
5. **Apply to Trading Strategies:**
- **Support/Resistance Identification:** Use the opaque lines as potential support and resistance levels for placing trades.
- **Entry and Exit Points:** Anticipate price interactions at forecasted levels to plan strategic entries and exits.
- **Risk Management:** Utilize the transparency mapping to determine where to place stop-loss and take-profit orders based on the probability of price interactions.
6. **Customize as Needed:**
- Adjust the **Strata Increment** to fit different price ranges or volatility levels.
- Modify the **Lookback Window** to capture more or fewer historical touches, adapting to different timeframes or market conditions.
- Tweak the **Probability Transparency Threshold** to control the sensitivity of transparency mapping to Poisson probabilities.
**📈 **Practical Applications**
1. **Identifying Key Levels:**
- Quickly visualize which price levels have historically had significant interactions, aiding in the identification of potential support and resistance zones.
2. **Forecasting Price Reactions:**
- Use the forecast iterations to anticipate where price may interact in the near future, assisting in planning entry and exit points.
3. **Risk Management:**
- Determine areas of high probability for price reversals or consolidations, enabling better placement of stop-loss and take-profit orders.
4. **Market Analysis:**
- Assess the strength of market levels over different forecast horizons, providing a multi-layered understanding of market structure.
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**🔗 **Conclusion**
The *Poisson Projection of Price Levels* bridges the gap between statistical modeling and traditional technical analysis, offering traders a sophisticated tool to quantify and visualize the significance of price levels. By integrating Poisson probabilities with dynamic transparency mapping, this indicator provides a unique and insightful perspective on potential support and resistance zones, enhancing both analysis and trading strategies.
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**📞 **Contact:**
For support or inquiries, please contact me on TradingView!
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**📢 **Join the Conversation!**
Have questions, feedback, or suggestions for further enhancements? Feel free to comment below or reach out directly. Your input helps refine and evolve this tool to better serve the trading community.
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**Happy Trading!** 🚀
Indicador CME - DOLAR BRLConversão do Dólar em Real pelo CME. Normalmente o gráfico do CME é Dólar/Real. Com esse indicador é possível inverter e obter o valor do real em dólar.
Santa Clause RallyA Santa Claus rally is a calendar effect that involves a rise in stock prices during the last 5 trading days in December and the first 2 trading days in the following January.
The Santa Claus rally can potentially predict the future trend of stocks in the coming year.
Merry Christmas and Happy New Year 🎄🎄🎄
Phase Cross Strategy with Zone### Introduction to the Strategy
Welcome to the **Phase Cross Strategy with Zone and EMA Analysis**. This strategy is designed to help traders identify potential buy and sell opportunities based on the crossover of smoothed oscillators (referred to as "phases") and exponential moving averages (EMAs). By combining these two methods, the strategy offers a versatile tool for both trend-following and short-term trading setups.
### Key Features
1. **Phase Cross Signals**:
- The strategy uses two smoothed oscillators:
- **Leading Phase**: A simple moving average (SMA) with an upward offset.
- **Lagging Phase**: An exponential moving average (EMA) with a downward offset.
- Buy and sell signals are generated when these phases cross over or under each other, visually represented on the chart with green (buy) and red (sell) labels.
2. **Phase Zone Visualization**:
- The area between the two phases is filled with a green or red zone, indicating bullish or bearish conditions:
- Green zone: Leading phase is above the lagging phase (potential uptrend).
- Red zone: Leading phase is below the lagging phase (potential downtrend).
3. **EMA Analysis**:
- Includes five commonly used EMAs (13, 26, 50, 100, and 200) for additional trend analysis.
- Crossovers of the EMA 13 and EMA 26 act as secondary buy/sell signals to confirm or enhance the phase-based signals.
4. **Customizable Parameters**:
- You can adjust the smoothing length, source (price data), and offset to fine-tune the strategy for your preferred trading style.
### What to Pay Attention To
1. **Phases and Zones**:
- Use the green/red phase zone as an overall trend guide.
- Avoid taking trades when the phases are too close or choppy, as it may indicate a ranging market.
2. **EMA Trends**:
- Align your trades with the longer-term trend shown by the EMAs. For example:
- In an uptrend (price above EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize buy signals.
- In a downtrend (price below EMA 50 or EMA 200), prioritize sell signals.
3. **Signal Confirmation**:
- Consider combining phase cross signals with EMA crossovers for higher-confidence trades.
- Look for confluence between the phase signals and EMA trends.
4. **Risk Management**:
- Always set stop-loss and take-profit levels to manage risk.
- Use the phase and EMA zones to estimate potential support/resistance areas for exits.
5. **Whipsaws and False Signals**:
- Be cautious in low-volatility or sideways markets, as the strategy may generate false signals.
- Use additional indicators or filters to avoid entering trades during unclear market conditions.
### How to Use
1. Add the strategy to your chart in TradingView.
2. Adjust the input settings (e.g., smoothing length, offsets) to suit your trading preferences.
3. Enable the strategy tester to evaluate its performance on historical data.
4. Combine the signals with your own analysis and risk management plan for best results.
This strategy is a versatile tool, but like any trading method, it requires proper understanding and discretion. Always backtest thoroughly and trade with discipline. Let me know if you need further assistance or adjustments to the strategy!
Fibonacci Trading Strategy (Auto Levels)How It Works
Swing Highs and Lows Detection:
The script identifies the highest high and lowest low over a specified lookback period (default: 50 candles). These points are used as the basis for Fibonacci calculations.
Fibonacci Levels:
Fibonacci retracement levels: 0%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, and 100%.
Fibonacci extension levels: 127.2%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, and 361.8%.
Each level is plotted on the chart with a specific color and labeled with the corresponding price.
Entry Zones:
Pullback Area: Between the 50% and 61.8% retracement levels. This area is highlighted in green, indicating a potential entry for conservative traders.
Full Margin Area: Between the 61.8% and 78.6% retracement levels. This area is highlighted in red, suggesting a higher-risk entry for aggressive traders.
Stop Loss (SL):
The Stop Loss is placed at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A dotted red line is drawn at this level to provide a visual reference for risk management.
Entry labels include the Stop Loss price for clarity.
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
Multiple take-profit targets are identified using Fibonacci extension levels (127.2%, 161.8%, 200%, 261.8%, and 361.8%).
Each level is labeled with the price and target percentage.
Visual Aids:
The script dynamically labels each Fibonacci level with its corresponding price.
Entry points (Pullback and Full Margin) are marked with clear labels, including the recommended Stop Loss.
Background highlights help distinguish the Pullback and Full Margin areas.
Strategy Highlights
Risk Management:
Incorporates a well-defined Stop Loss at the 78.6% level to limit downside risk.
Multiple take-profit levels help traders scale out of positions gradually.
Automation:
Automatically recalculates levels when new swing highs or lows are detected, ensuring accuracy in dynamic markets.
Customizability:
Users can adjust the lookback period to suit different timeframes or trading styles.
Clarity:
Clean visuals and detailed labels ensure the strategy is easy to interpret and apply.
When to Use
The strategy is suitable for trend-following traders looking to enter during pullbacks in an established trend.
It works best in trending markets where Fibonacci levels often act as strong support or resistance.
Example Scenario
Bullish Setup:
Price retraces to the 50%-61.8% area (Pullback Area) after a swing high.
A buy order is placed in this zone, with the Stop Loss at the 78.6% level.
Profit targets are set at the 127.2%, 161.8%, and higher Fibonacci extensions.
Bearish Setup:
In a downtrend, price retraces upward to the 50%-61.8% zone.
A sell order is placed, with the Stop Loss at the 78.6% level and take-profit levels below.
PreMarket_Estimator Portfolio [n_dot]AMEX:SOXL ; NASDAQ:TQQQ ; AMEX:FNGU ; AMEX:SOXS ; NASDAQ:SQQQ ; AMEX:FNGD
Strategy Core Idea:
I focus on stocks that are expected to show significant price movements (gaps) during the premarket, usually due to news or earnings reports. I record the highest price formed during the premarket, and if the price exceeds this level after the market opens, I go LONG. Based on my experience, it’s advisable to exit after a few percentage points of increase, as the premarket boom often corrects itself.
Usage:
The indicator is best used in pairs: Pre_Market_Estimator Single and Pre_Market_Estimator Portfolio.
In this portfolio version, you can set up 6 different instruments, which are displayed stacked vertically on the screen, while the single version monitors only one instrument. The portfolio does not plot charts at the actual price levels but offsets them vertically, displaying the current prices in a label at the end of each chart.
Settings:
Time point 1: Start of the observation period.
Time point 2: End of the observation period / Start of the trading period.
GAP: is used to adjust the distance between the charts displayed in the portfolio view. This allows you to customize the spacing for better readability and visualization of the monitored instruments.
Usage:
Set the timeframe period to "1m".
Set Time point 1 to the start of the premarket session on the current day (e.g., NYSE: 9:00).
Set Time point 2 to the market open (e.g., NYSE: 9:30).
The indicator monitors the highest price during the premarket period, marking it with a blue line.
During the subsequent trading period, if the price exceeds the premarket high, it generates a buy signal marked with a blue plus sign.
Limitations:
The premarket prediction typically provides actionable signals during the first 30 minutes to 1 hour of the trading session. After this, the trend is usually driven by daily market events or news.
To reduce data usage, the portfolio version of the indicator (which monitors 6 instruments simultaneously) only loads the last 24 hours of data (60 * 24 minutes). After this, the chart stops providing signals, and the time points need to be reset.
Additional Use Cases:
This type of breakout monitoring is not only suitable for observing premarket events but can also provide relevant information before major announcements.
For example, in the case of central bank rate hikes:
Set Point 1 to 1 hour before the announcement.
Set Point 2 to the time of the announcement.
I hope this contributes to your success!
Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends| Copy Trade Tungdubai**Tool Description**:
The **"Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends | Copy Trade Tungdubai"** tool is designed to help traders identify two key market conditions:
1. **Sideways Market**:
- This condition is detected when the ADX is below 20, the price stays within the Bollinger Bands, and the RSI is between 45 and 55.
- When the market is sideways, the chart background will turn yellow as a visual alert.
2. **Strong Trend Market**:
- This condition is identified when the ADX is above 25, and either the price breaks out of the Bollinger Bands or the RSI surpasses the overbought (70) or oversold (30) levels.
- When the market is in a strong trend, the chart background will turn blue as a visual alert.
**Key Components of the Tool**:
- **ADX**: Measures the strength of the market trend, with key thresholds at 20 and 25.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Helps determine volatility and checks if the price is within or outside the bands.
- **RSI**: Measures momentum, helping identify overbought and oversold levels.
**Visual Features on the Chart**:
- ADX, RSI, and Bollinger Bands are clearly plotted with their respective key thresholds for easier recognition of market conditions.
- The chart background changes color to reflect the current market condition (yellow for sideways, blue for strong trends).
**Alerts**:
- Alerts are triggered when the market enters either a sideways or strong trend phase, providing notifications to help users act promptly.
This tool serves as a practical aid in recognizing market conditions, allowing traders to make informed decisions aligned with their strategies.
**Mô tả công cụ**:
Công cụ **"Detecting Sideways Market or Strong Trends | Copy Trade Tungdubai"** được thiết kế để giúp các nhà giao dịch xác định hai trạng thái chính của thị trường:
1. **Thị trường đi ngang (Sideways)**:
- Điều kiện được xác định dựa trên chỉ số ADX thấp hơn ngưỡng 20, giá nằm trong dải Bollinger Bands, và chỉ số RSI dao động trong khoảng từ 45 đến 55.
- Khi thị trường đi ngang, nền của biểu đồ sẽ chuyển sang màu vàng để cảnh báo trực quan.
2. **Thị trường bùng nổ sóng mạnh (Strong Trend)**:
- Điều kiện được xác định khi ADX vượt qua ngưỡng 25 và giá phá vỡ dải Bollinger Bands (hoặc) chỉ số RSI vượt ngưỡng quá mua 70 hoặc quá bán 30.
- Khi thị trường bùng nổ sóng mạnh, nền biểu đồ sẽ chuyển sang màu xanh để cảnh báo trực quan.
**Các thành phần chính của công cụ**:
- **ADX**: Được sử dụng để đo sức mạnh xu hướng thị trường, với các ngưỡng quan trọng là 20 và 25.
- **Bollinger Bands**: Được sử dụng để xác định mức độ biến động và kiểm tra giá nằm trong hay ngoài dải.
- **RSI**: Dùng để đo mức độ quá mua/quá bán, xác định động lượng giá.
**Hiển thị trên biểu đồ**:
- Các đường ADX, RSI, và Bollinger Bands được vẽ rõ ràng, cùng với các ngưỡng quan trọng (hỗ trợ nhận biết trạng thái thị trường).
- Nền biểu đồ thay đổi màu sắc tương ứng với điều kiện thị trường.
**Cảnh báo**:
- Cảnh báo sẽ được kích hoạt khi thị trường rơi vào trạng thái đi ngang hoặc bùng nổ sóng mạnh, với các thông báo giúp người dùng hành động kịp thời.
Công cụ này là một trợ thủ hữu ích trong việc nhận biết trạng thái thị trường, từ đó giúp các nhà giao dịch đưa ra quyết định phù hợp với chiến lược của mình.
Dynamic Market ScannerDynamic Market Scanner is a powerful tool for analyzing financial markets, combining a variety of indicators to provide clear and understandable signals.
Key Features:
- Signal Generation:
The main signals "Buy", "Sell", and "Hold" are formed based on the analysis of indicators:
- MACD
- RSI
- SMA
- EMA
- WMA
- Hull MA
Additional Analytical Tools:
- ATR is used to assess volatility and helps to understand the risk of the current market situation.
- SMA Ichimoku does not generate signals but is used to assess their accuracy.
- If the price is above the SMA, "Buy" signals are more likely, as this confirms the strength of the upward movement.
- If the price is below the SMA, "Buy" signals require additional confirmations.
Dashboard:
Displays the current price position relative to the indicators, helping the trader understand how strong or weak the current signals are.
Advantages of Using:
1. Signal Filtering:
The price position relative to the SMA Ichimoku helps to assess the likelihood of successful trades.
2. Volatility Analysis:
ATR provides additional information about risks and market fluctuations.
3. Comprehensive Approach:
Signal generation is based on a combination of key indicators, offering a multifaceted view of the market.
Explanation of Percent Calculation in the Table:
- The table shows the values of indicators such as MACD, ATR, EMA, SMA, WMA, and Hull MA in percentages. Percentages are calculated based on the current value of the indicator relative to its maximum and minimum.
- Percentages are displayed for each indicator, allowing traders to assess market conditions based on their current values.
Dynamic Market Scanner will become a reliable assistant in your technical analysis toolkit, providing a comprehensive overview of market conditions and helping to make informed trading decisions.
MW:TA Days of the WeekENG: Vertical separators to easily detect days of the week and see which past liquidity was taken down. Screenshot example contains days of the week indicator and manually drawn lines of grabbed liquidity. Useful for trades based on liquidity grab and reaction.
Tested on Forex, Crypto, Indexes, Stocks, Commodities markets.
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РУС: Вертикальные разделители для визуального определения дней недели и просмотра снятой ликвидности на графике. На скриншоте отмечен индикатор разделительных периодов (дней) и вручную нарисованные линии, которые отмечают снятую ликвидность и реакцию цены на снятие. Полезно для тех трейдеров, которые торгуют по реакции на снятую ликвидность.
Протестировано на рынках Форекс, Крипто, ИНдексов, Акций и Сырья.
FuTech : MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines=============================================================
Indicator : FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines
Overview:
The "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator is designed to assist traders in identifying key technical patterns using the :-
1. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and
2. Golden/Death Crossovers
By visualizing these indicators directly on the chart with advanced lines, it helps traders make more informed decisions on when to enter or exit trades.
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Key Features of "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines":
1. MACD Crossovers:
a) The MACD is one of the most widely used indicators for identifying momentum shifts and potential buy/sell signals. This indicator plots vertical lines on the chart whenever the MACD line crosses the signal line.
b) Upward Crossover (Bullish Signal) : When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, a green vertical line will appear, indicating a potential buying opportunity.
c) Downward Crossover (Bearish Signal) : When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, a red vertical line will appear, signaling a potential selling opportunity.
2. Golden Cross & Death Cross:
a) The Golden Cross occurs when the price moves above a long-term moving average (like the 50-day moving average), signaling a potential upward trend.
b) The Death Cross occurs when the price moves below a long-term moving average, signaling a potential downward trend.
c) These crossovers are displayed with customizable lines on the chart to easily spot when the market is shifting direction.
d) Golden Cross (Bullish Signal) : A blue vertical line appears when the price crosses above the selected long-term moving average.
e) Death Cross (Bearish Signal) : A purple vertical line appears when the price crosses below the selected long-term moving average.
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Customization Options:
This indicator offers several customization options to suit your trading preferences:
1) MACD Settings:
a) Choose between different moving average types (EMA, SMA, or VWMA) for calculating the MACD.
b) Adjust the lengths of the fast, slow, and signal MACD periods.
c) Control the width and color of the vertical lines drawn on the chart for both up and down crossovers.
2) Golden Cross / Death Cross Settings:
a) Select the moving average type for the Golden Cross / Death Cross (EMA, SMA, or VWMA).
b) Define the lookback period for calculating the Golden Cross / Death Cross.
c) Customize the appearance of the Golden and Death Cross lines, including their width and color.
You can use both as well as either of the MACD lines or Golden Crossover / Death Crossover Lines respectively as per your trading strategies
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How "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator Works:
a) The indicator monitors the price and calculates the MACD and Golden/Death Crosses.
b) When the MACD line crosses above or below the signal line, or when the price crosses above or below the long-term moving average, it plots a vertical line on the chart.
c) These lines help traders quickly spot potential turning points in the market, providing clear signals to act upon.
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Use Case:
a) Swing Traders: The indicator is useful for spotting momentum shifts and trend reversals, helping you time entries and exits for short- to medium-term trades.
b) Long-Term Traders: The Golden and Death Cross signals help identify major trend changes, giving insights into potential market shifts.
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Why Use This "FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" Indicator ?
a) Clear Visuals : The vertical lines provide clear and easy-to-spot signals for MACD crossovers and Golden/Death Crosses.
b) Customizable : Adjust settings for your personal trading strategy, whether you're focusing on short-term momentum or long-term trend shifts.
c) Supports Decision Making : With its advanced line plotting and customizable features, this indicator helps you make quicker and more informed trading decisions.
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How to Use:
a) MACD Crossovers: Look for green lines to signal potential buying opportunities (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) and red lines for selling opportunities (when the MACD line crosses below the signal line).
b) Golden Cross / Death Cross: Use the blue lines to confirm when a positive trend may begin (Golden Cross) and purple lines to warn when a negative trend may start (Death Cross).
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Conclusion:
"FuTech: MACD Crossovers Advanced Alert Lines" indicator combines two powerful technical analysis tools, the MACD and Golden/Death Crosses, to provide clear, actionable signals on your chart.
By customizing the appearance of these signals and combining them with your trading strategy, you can enhance your decision-making process and improve your trading outcomes.
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Thank you !
Jai Swaminarayan Dasna Das !
He Hari ! Bas Ek Tu Raji Tha !
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Rolling Window Geometric Brownian Motion Projections📊 Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands
Overview
The Rolling GBM Projections + EV & Adjustable Confidence Bands indicator provides traders with a robust, dynamic tool to model and project future price movements using Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM). By combining GBM-based simulations, expected value (EV) calculations, and customizable confidence bands, this indicator offers valuable insights for decision-making and risk management.
Key Features
Rolling GBM Projections: Simulate potential future price paths based on drift (μμ) and volatility (σσ).
Expected Value (EV) Line: Represents the average projection of simulated price paths.
Confidence Bands: Define ranges where the price is expected to remain, adjustable from 51% to 99%.
Simulation Lines: Visualize individual GBM paths for detailed analysis.
EV of EV Line: A smoothed trend of the EV, offering additional clarity on price dynamics.
Customizable Lookback Periods: Adjust the rolling lookback periods for drift and volatility calculations.
Mathematical Foundation
1. Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM)
GBM is a mathematical model used to simulate the random movement of asset prices, described by the following stochastic differential equation:
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
dSt=μStdt+σStdWt
Where:
StSt: Price at time tt
μμ: Drift term (expected return)
σσ: Volatility (standard deviation of returns)
dWtdWt: Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
2. Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ)
Drift (μμ): Represents the average logarithmic return of the asset. Calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) over a rolling lookback period.
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
μ=SMA(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Drift)
Volatility (σσ): Measures the standard deviation of logarithmic returns over a rolling lookback period.
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
σ=STD(ln(St/St−1),Lookback Volatility)
3. Price Simulation Using GBM
The GBM formula for simulating future prices is:
St+Δt=St×e(μ−12σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
St+Δt=St×e(μ−21σ2)Δt+σϵΔt
Where:
ϵϵ: Random variable from a standard normal distribution (N(0,1)N(0,1)).
4. Confidence Bands
Confidence bands are determined using the Z-score corresponding to a user-defined confidence percentage (CC):
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Upper Band=EV+Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
Lower Band=EV−Z⋅σ
The Z-score is computed using an inverse normal distribution function, approximating the relationship between confidence and standard deviations.
Methodology
Rolling Drift and Volatility:
Drift and volatility are calculated using logarithmic returns over user-defined rolling lookback periods (default: μ=20μ=20, σ=16σ=16).
Drift defines the overall directional tendency, while volatility determines the randomness and variability of price movements.
Simulations:
Multiple GBM paths (default: 30) are generated for a specified number of projection candles (default: 12).
Each path is influenced by the current drift and volatility, incorporating random shocks to simulate real-world price dynamics.
Expected Value (EV):
The EV is calculated as the average of all simulated paths for each projection step, offering a statistical mean of potential price outcomes.
Confidence Bands:
The upper and lower bounds of the confidence bands are derived using the Z-score corresponding to the selected confidence percentage (e.g., 68%, 95%).
EV of EV:
A running average of the EV values, providing a smoothed perspective of price trends over the projection horizon.
Indicator Functionality
User Inputs:
Drift Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling drift calculation (default: 20).
Volatility Lookback (Bars): Define the number of bars for rolling volatility calculation (default: 16).
Projection Candles (Bars): Set the number of bars to project future prices (default: 12).
Number of Simulations: Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (default: 30).
Confidence Percentage: Input the desired confidence level for bands (default: 68%, adjustable from 51% to 99%).
Visualization Components:
Simulation Lines (Blue): Display individual GBM paths to visualize potential price scenarios.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Orange): Highlight the mean projection of all simulated paths.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red): Show the upper and lower confidence limits.
EV of EV Line (Orange Dashed): Provide a smoothed trendline of the EV values.
Current Price (White): Overlay the real-time price for context.
Display Toggles:
Enable or disable components (e.g., simulation lines, EV line, confidence bands) based on preference.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Utilize confidence bands to set stop-loss levels and manage trade risk effectively.
Use narrower confidence intervals (e.g., 50%) for aggressive strategies or wider intervals (e.g., 95%) for conservative approaches.
Trend Analysis:
Observe the EV and EV of EV lines to identify overarching trends and potential reversals.
Scenario Planning:
Analyze simulation lines to explore potential outcomes under varying market conditions.
Statistical Insights:
Leverage confidence bands to understand the statistical likelihood of price movements.
How to Use
Add the Indicator:
Copy the script into the TradingView Pine Editor, save it, and apply it to your chart.
Customize Settings:
Adjust the lookback periods for drift and volatility.
Define the number of projection candles and simulations.
Set the confidence percentage to tailor the bands to your strategy.
Interpret the Visualization:
Use the EV and confidence bands to guide trade entry, exit, and position sizing decisions.
Combine with other indicators for a holistic trading strategy.
Disclaimer
This indicator is a mathematical and statistical tool. It does not guarantee future performance.
Use it in conjunction with other forms of analysis and always trade responsibly.
Happy Trading! 🚀
Anchored Geometric Brownian Motion Projections w/EVAnchored GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) Projections + EV & Confidence Bands
Version: Pine Script v6
Overlay: Yes
Author:
Published On:
Overview
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator leverages the Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM) model to project future price movements based on historical data. By simulating multiple potential future price paths, it provides traders with insights into possible price trajectories, their expected values, and confidence intervals. Additionally, it offers a "Mean of EV" (EV of EV) line, representing the running average of expected values across the projection period.
Key Features
Anchor Time Setup:
Define a specific point in time from which the projections commence.
By default, it uses the current bar's timestamp but can be customized.
Projection Parameters:
Projection Candles (Bars): Determines the number of future bars (time periods) to project.
Number of Simulations: Specifies how many GBM paths to simulate, ensuring statistical relevance via the Central Limit Theorem (CLT).
Display Toggles:
Simulation Lines: Visual representation of individual GBM simulation paths.
Expected Value (EV) Line: The average price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Upper & Lower Confidence Bands: 95% confidence intervals indicating potential price boundaries.
EV of EV Line: Running average of EV values, providing a smoothed central tendency across the projection period. Additionally, this line often acts as an indicator of trend direction.
Visualization:
Clear and distinguishable lines with customizable colors and styles.
Overlayed on the price chart for direct comparison with actual price movements.
Mathematical Foundation
Geometric Brownian Motion (GBM):
Definition: GBM is a continuous-time stochastic process used to model stock prices. It assumes that the logarithm of the stock price follows a Brownian motion with drift.
Equation:
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−12σ2)t+σW(t)
S(t)=S0⋅e(μ−21σ2)t+σW(t) Where:
S(t)S(t) = Stock price at time tt
S0S0 = Initial stock price
μμ = Drift coefficient (average return)
σσ = Volatility coefficient (standard deviation of returns)
W(t)W(t) = Wiener process (standard Brownian motion)
Drift (μμ) and Volatility (σσ):
Drift (μμ) represents the expected return of the stock.
Volatility (σσ) measures the stock's price fluctuation intensity.
Central Limit Theorem (CLT):
Principle: With a sufficiently large number of independent simulations, the distribution of the sample mean (EV) approaches a normal distribution, regardless of the underlying distribution.
Application: Ensures that the EV and confidence bands are statistically reliable.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands:
EV: The mean price across all simulations at each projection bar.
Confidence Bands: Range within which the actual price is expected to lie with a specified probability (e.g., 95%).
EV of EV (Mean of Sample Means):
Definition: Represents the running average of EV values across the projection period, offering a smoothed central tendency.
Methodology
Anchor Time Setup:
The indicator starts projecting from a user-defined Anchor Time. If not customized, it defaults to the current bar's timestamp.
Purpose: Allows users to analyze projections from a specific historical point or the latest market data.
Calculating Drift and Volatility:
Returns Calculation: Computes the logarithmic returns from the Anchor Time to the current bar.
returns=ln(StSt−1)
returns=ln(St−1St)
Drift (μμ): Calculated as the simple moving average (SMA) of returns over the period since the Anchor Time.
Volatility (σσ): Determined using the standard deviation (stdev) of returns over the same period.
Simulation Generation:
Number of Simulations: The user defines how many GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30).
Projection Candles: Determines the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12).
Process:
For each simulation:
Start from the current close price.
For each projection bar:
Generate a random number zz from a standard normal distribution.
Calculate the next price using the GBM formula:
St+1=St⋅e(μ−12σ2)+σz
St+1=St⋅e(μ−21σ2)+σz
Store the projected price in an array.
Expected Value (EV) and Confidence Bands Calculation:
EV Path: At each projection bar, compute the mean of all simulated prices.
Variance and Standard Deviation: Calculate the variance and standard deviation of simulated prices to determine the confidence intervals.
Confidence Bands: Using the standard normal z-score (1.96 for 95% confidence), establish upper and lower bounds:
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Upper Band=EV+z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
Lower Band=EV−z⋅σEV
EV of EV (Running Average of EV Values):
Calculation: For each projection bar, compute the average of all EV values up to that bar.
EV of EV =1j+1∑k=0jEV
EV of EV =j+11k=0∑jEV
Visualization: Plotted as a dynamic line reflecting the evolving average EV across the projection period.
Visualization Elements
Simulation Lines:
Appearance: Semi-transparent blue lines representing individual GBM simulation paths.
Purpose: Illustrate a range of possible future price trajectories based on current drift and volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line:
Appearance: Solid orange line.
Purpose: Shows the average projected price at each future bar across all simulations.
Confidence Bands:
Upper Band: Dashed green line indicating the upper 95% confidence boundary.
Lower Band: Dashed red line indicating the lower 95% confidence boundary.
Purpose: Highlight the range within which the price is statistically expected to remain with 95% confidence.
EV of EV Line:
Appearance: Dashed purple line.
Purpose: Displays the running average of EV values, providing a smoothed trend of the central tendency across the projection period. As the mean of sample means it approximates the population mean (i.e. the trend since the anchor point.)
Current Price:
Appearance: Semi-transparent white line.
Purpose: Serves as a reference point for comparing actual price movements against projected paths.
Usage Instructions
Configuring User Inputs:
Anchor Time:
Set to a specific timestamp to start projections from a historical point or leave it as default to use the current bar's time.
Projection Candles (Bars):
Define the number of future bars to project (e.g., 12). Adjust based on your trading timeframe and analysis needs.
Number of Simulations:
Specify the number of GBM paths to simulate (e.g., 30). Higher numbers yield more accurate EV and confidence bands but may impact performance.
Display Toggles:
Show Simulation Lines: Toggle to display or hide individual GBM simulation paths.
Show Expected Value Line: Toggle to display or hide the EV path.
Show Upper Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the upper confidence boundary.
Show Lower Confidence Band: Toggle to display or hide the lower confidence boundary.
Show EV of EV Line: Toggle to display or hide the running average of EV values.
Managing TradingView's Object Limits:
Understanding Limits:
TradingView imposes a limit on the number of graphical objects (e.g., lines) that can be rendered. High values for projection candles and simulations can quickly consume these limits. TradingView appears to only allow a total of 55 candles to be projected, so if you want to see two complete lines, you would have to set the projection length to 27: since 27 * 2 = 54 and 54 < 55.
Optimizing Performance:
Use Toggles: Enable only the necessary visual elements. For instance, disable simulation lines and confidence bands when focusing on the EV and EV of EV lines. You can also use the maximum projection length of 55 with the lower limit confidence band as the only line, visualizing a long horizon for your risk.
Adjust Parameters: Lower the number of projection candles or simulations to stay within object limits without compromising essential insights.
Interpreting the Indicator:
Simulation Lines (Blue):
Represent individual potential future price paths based on GBM. A wider spread indicates higher volatility.
Expected Value (EV) Line (Goldenrod):
Shows the mean projected price at each future bar, providing a central trend.
Confidence Bands (Green & Red):
Indicate the statistical range (95% confidence) within which the price is expected to remain.
EV of EV Line (Dotted Line - Goldenrod):
Reflects the running average of EV values, offering a smoothed perspective of expected price trends over the projection period.
Current Price (White):
Serves as a benchmark for assessing how actual prices compare to projected paths.
Practical Applications
Risk Management:
Confidence Bands: Help in identifying potential support and resistance levels based on statistical confidence intervals.
EV Path: Assists in setting realistic target prices and stop-loss levels aligned with projected expectations.
Trend Analysis:
EV of EV Line: Offers a smoothed trendline, aiding in identifying overarching market directions amidst price volatility. Indicative of the population mean/overall trend of the data since your anchor point.
Scenario Planning:
Simulation Lines: Enable traders to visualize multiple potential outcomes, fostering better decision-making under uncertainty.
Performance Evaluation:
Comparing Actual vs. Projected Prices: Assess how actual price movements align with projected scenarios, refining trading strategies over time.
Mathematical and Statistical Insights
Simulation Integrity:
Independence: Each simulation path is generated independently, ensuring unbiased and diverse projections.
Randomness: Utilizes a Gaussian random number generator to introduce variability in diffusion terms, mimicking real market randomness.
Statistical Reliability:
Central Limit Theorem (CLT): By simulating a sufficient number of paths (e.g., 30), the sample mean (EV) converges to the population mean, ensuring reliable EV and confidence band calculations.
Variance Calculation: Accurate computation of variance from simulation data ensures precise confidence intervals.
Dynamic Projections:
Running Average (EV of EV): Provides a cumulative perspective, allowing traders to observe how the average expectation evolves as the projection progresses.
Customization and Enhancements
Adjustable Parameters:
Tailor the projection length and simulation count to match your trading style and analysis depth.
Visual Customization:
Modify line colors, styles, and transparency to enhance clarity and fit chart aesthetics.
Extended Statistical Metrics:
Future iterations can incorporate additional metrics like median projections, skewness, or alternative confidence intervals.
Dynamic Recalculation:
Implement logic to automatically update projections as new data becomes available, ensuring real-time relevance.
Performance Considerations
Object Count Management:
High simulation counts and extended projection periods can lead to a significant number of graphical objects, potentially slowing down chart performance.
Solution: Utilize display toggles effectively and optimize projection parameters to balance detail with performance.
Computational Efficiency:
The script employs efficient array handling and conditional plotting to minimize unnecessary computations and object creation.
Conclusion
The Anchored GBM Projections + EV & Confidence Bands indicator is a robust tool for traders seeking to forecast potential future price movements using statistical models. By integrating Geometric Brownian Motion simulations with expected value calculations and confidence intervals, it offers a comprehensive view of possible market scenarios. The addition of the "EV of EV" line further enhances analytical depth by providing a running average of expected values, aiding in trend identification and strategic decision-making.
Hope it helps!
IU Higher Timeframe MA Cross StrategyIU Higher Timeframe MA Cross Strategy
The IU Higher Timeframe MA Cross Strategy is a versatile trading tool designed to identify trend by utilizing two customizable moving averages (MAs) across different timeframes and types. This strategy includes detailed entry and exit rules with fully configurable inputs, offering flexibility to suit various trading styles.
Key Features:
- Two moving averages (MA1 and MA2) with customizable types, lengths, sources, and timeframes.
- Both long and short trade setups based on MA crossovers.
- Integrated risk management with adjustable stop-loss and take-profit levels based on a user-defined risk-to-reward (RTR) ratio.
- Clear visualization of MAs, entry points, stop-loss, and take-profit zones.
Inputs:
1. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RTR):
- Defines the take-profit level in relation to the stop-loss distance. Default is 2.
2. MA1 Settings:
- Source: Select the data source for calculating MA1 (e.g., close, open, high, low). Default is close.
- Timeframe: Specify the timeframe for MA1 calculation. Default is 60 (60-minute chart).
- Length: Set the lookback period for MA1 calculation. Default is 20.
- Type: Choose the type of moving average (options: SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA). Default is EMA.
- Smooth: Option to enable or disable smoothing of MA1 to merge gaps. Default is true.
3. MA2 Settings:
- Source: Select the data source for calculating MA2 (e.g., close, open, high, low). Default is close.
- Timeframe: Specify the timeframe for MA2 calculation. Default is 60 (60-minute chart).
- Length: Set the lookback period for MA2 calculation. Default is 50.
- Type: Choose the type of moving average (options: SMA, EMA, SMMA, WMA, VWMA). Default is EMA.
- Smooth: Option to enable or disable smoothing of MA2 to merge gaps. Default is true.
Entry Rules:
- Long Entry:
- Triggered when MA1 crosses above MA2 (crossover).
- Entry is confirmed only when the bar is closed and no existing position is active.
- Short Entry:
- Triggered when MA1 crosses below MA2 (crossunder).
- Entry is confirmed only when the bar is closed and no existing position is active.
Exit Rules:
- Stop-Loss:
- For long positions: Set at the low of the bar preceding the entry.
- For short positions: Set at the high of the bar preceding the entry.
- Take-Profit:
- For long positions: Calculated as (Entry Price - Stop-Loss) * RTR + Entry Price.
- For short positions: Calculated as Entry Price - (Stop-Loss - Entry Price) * RTR.
Visualization:
- Plots MA1 and MA2 on the chart with distinct colors for easy identification.
- Highlights stop-loss and take-profit levels using shaded zones for clear visual representation.
- Displays the entry level for active positions.
This strategy provides a robust framework for traders to identify and act on trend reversals while maintaining strict risk management. The flexibility of its inputs allows for seamless customization to adapt to various market conditions and trading preferences.
US and Asia Trading Hoursadds vertical lines to your chart that show US trading hours 9-4 and NY trading hours based off of EST
Eroina Trend Reversal Indicator with ConfirmationsEroina Trend Reversal Indicator with Confirmations
Overview (English):
The Trend Reversal Indicator with Confirmations is designed to identify potential trend reversals by analyzing dynamic resistance and support levels. This script uses a robust confirmation system to reduce false signals, making it ideal for traders who seek disciplined, data-driven decisions.
Key Features:
• Dynamic Levels: Calculates resistance and support levels based on user-defined lengths.
• Breakout Confirmation: Confirms trend reversals by validating price action over a specified number of candles.
• Visual Cues: Displays “LONG” and “SHORT” signals directly on the chart, alongside resistance/support levels.
• Customizable Parameters: Adaptable to different timeframes and market conditions.
How It Works:
1. Resistance & Support Levels:
• Resistance: Calculated as the highest high over the last N bars.
• Support: Calculated as the lowest low over the last N bars.
2. Breakout Detection:
• A resistance breakout occurs when the price closes above the resistance level.
• A support breakout occurs when the price closes below the support level.
3. Confirmation Logic:
• Signals are validated only if the price remains above/below the levels for a user-defined number of candles.
4. Entry Signals:
• “LONG” signals indicate a confirmed breakout above resistance.
• “SHORT” signals indicate a confirmed breakdown below support.
Settings:
• Resistance Length: Defines the number of candles used to calculate resistance levels.
• Support Length: Defines the number of candles used to calculate support levels.
• Confirmation Candles: Specifies how many candles are required to confirm breakouts.
Usage:
This indicator is ideal for identifying trend reversals and optimizing entry points. Combine it with volume analysis or other technical indicators to enhance accuracy. For example:
• Use in conjunction with RSI to avoid overbought/oversold conditions.
• Combine with moving averages to confirm the trend direction.
Overview (Additional Language):
(Your additional language description can go here after English, e.g., Russian, Spanish, etc.)
IU 4 Bar UP StrategyIU 4 Bar UP Strategy
The IU 4 Bar UP Strategy is a trend-following strategy designed to identify and execute long trades during strong bullish momentum, combined with confirmation from the SuperTrend indicator. This strategy is suitable for traders aiming to capitalize on sustained upward market movements.
Features :
1. SuperTrend Confirmation: Incorporates the SuperTrend indicator as a dynamic support/resistance line to filter trades in the direction of the trend.
2. 4 Consecutive Bullish Bars: Detects a series of 4 bullish candles as a signal for strong upward momentum, ensuring robust trade setups.
3. Dynamic Alerts: Sends alerts for trade entries and exits to keep traders informed.
4. Visual Enhancements:
- Plots the SuperTrend indicator on the chart.
- Changes the background color while a trade is active for easy visualization.
Inputs :
- SuperTrend ATR Period: The period used to calculate the Average True Range (ATR) for the SuperTrend indicator.
- SuperTrend ATR Factor: The multiplier for the ATR in the SuperTrend calculation.
Entry Conditions :
A long entry is triggered when:
1. The last 4 consecutive candles are bullish (closing prices are higher than opening prices).
2. The current price is above the SuperTrend line.
3. The strategy is not already in a position.
4. The bar is confirmed (not a partially formed bar).
When all these conditions are met, the strategy enters a long position and provides an alert:
"Long Entry triggered"
Exit Conditions :
The strategy exits the long position when:
1. The closing price drops below the SuperTrend line.
2. An alert is generated: "Close the long Trade"
Visualization :
- The SuperTrend line is plotted, dynamically colored:
- Green when the trend is bullish.
- Red when the trend is bearish.
- The background color turns semi-transparent green while a trade is active, indicating a long position.
Do use proper risk management while using this strategy.
Line Break Chart StrategyHello All!
We should not pass this year without a gift!
My last publication in 2024 is Complete Line Break Chart Strategy with many features!
What is Line Break Chart?
" Line Break is a Japanese chart style that disregards time intervals and only focuses on price movements, similar to the Kagi and Renko chart styles. Line Break charts form a series of up and down bars (referred to as lines). Up lines represent rising prices, and down lines represent falling prices. New confirmed lines only form on the chart when closing prices break the range covered by previous lines. Users can control the number of past lines used in the calculation via the "Number of Lines" input in the chart settings. The typical "Number of Lines" setting is 3, meaning the chart forms a new up line when the closing price is above the high prices of the last three lines, and it forms a new down line when the closing price is below the past three lines' low prices. If the current price is higher, it is an up line and if it is lower, it is a down line. If the current closing price is the same or the move in the opposite direction is not large enough to warrant a reversal, l then no new line is draw n" by Tradingview. You can find it here
Now let's start examining the features of the indicator:
By using Line break reversals it shows trend on the main chart. You can create alert .
Moreover, you can decide which trade should be taken by using Risk Management in the indicator. You can set the " Maximum Risk " and then if the risk is more than you set then the trade is not taken. When trend changed it checks the distance between reversal level and open price and compare it with the Maximum Risk
Breakout:
It can find breakouts and shows on the chart. You can create alert for breakouts
It can show breakouts on the main chart:
Flip-Flops:
Upon looking at set of price break charts, the trader will notice that there are instances when uptrend blocks is followed by one reversal block, and then by a reversal to a series of uptrend blocks. The opposite is also possible: a series of downtrend blocks is followed by one reversal box and then by an immediate reversal to downtrend. This price action is called a " Flip-Flop ". This structure usually produces trend continuation signal. when we see this then we better use Buy/Sell stop order. lets see this on the chart:
Temporal Sequence Table:
Sequence frequency shows the frequency distribution of the number of sequential highs and the number of sequential lows that have been generated. This is quite important to the trader who is seeking to join a trend or put on a trade when the price break reverses into a new trend direction. For example, if the pattern over the past year has been that there never were more than nine consecutive high closes, it would make sense not to enter a position late into the sequence of new high closes.
also you can see market structure. I have tried to formalize it and show it under the table. so you can understand if it's choppy market.
"Number of Lines" has very important role. While using low time frames such seconds/minutes time frame you may want to choose higher number of lines such 5,6. ( this may minimize the risk of a whipsaw )
Gaps feature:
You can set Gaps on/off. if Gaps on then you can see how long it takes for each box
Reversal and Continuation Probability:
The script calculated Reversal level and Continuation probability of the trend by using Sequence frequency.
It also shows unconfirmed box and current closing price level:
Last but not least it has Overlay option for all items, and can show all items in the main chart!
P.S. I added alerts :)
Wish you all a happy new year!
Enjoy!
Longest Candles HighlighterDescription:
The Longest Candles Highlighter is a simple yet effective tool that identifies and highlights candles with significant price ranges. By visually marking candles that meet specific size criteria, this indicator helps traders quickly spot high-volatility moments or significant market moves on the chart.
Features:
1. Customizable Candle Range:
- Define the minimum and maximum candle size in pips using input fields.
- Tailor the indicator to highlight candles that are most relevant to your trading strategy.
2. Flexible for Different Markets:
- Automatically adjusts pip calculation based on the instrument type (Forex or non-Forex).
- Accounts for differences in pip values, such as the 0.01 pip for JPY pairs in Forex.
3. Visual Highlighting:
- Highlights qualifying candles with a customizable background color for easy identification.
- The default color is red, but you can choose any color to match your chart theme.
4. Precision and Efficiency:
- Quickly scans and identifies candles that meet your criteria, saving you time in analyzing charts.
- Works seamlessly across all timeframes and asset classes.
How It Works:
- The indicator calculates the range of each candle in pips by subtracting the low from the high and dividing by the appropriate pip value.
- It checks whether the candle's size falls within the user-defined minimum and maximum pip range.
- If the conditions are met, the background of the candle is highlighted with the specified color, drawing your attention to significant price movements.
Use Case:
- This indicator is ideal for identifying key market moments, such as breakouts, volatility spikes, or significant price movements.
- Traders can use it to quickly locate large candles on any chart, aiding in technical analysis and strategy development.
This tool simplifies the process of spotting important candles, empowering traders to make faster and more informed trading decisions.
