The Daily Bias Dashboard📜 Overview
This indicator is a powerful statistical tool designed to provide traders with a probable Daily Bias based on historical price action. It is built upon the concepts of Quarterly Theory, which divides the 24-hour trading day into 4 distinct sessions to analyze market behavior.
This tool analyzes how the market has behaved in the past to give you a statistical edge. It answers the question: "Based on the last X number of days, what is the most likely way the price will move during the Newyork AM & PM Sessions based on Asian & London Sessions?"
⚙️ How It Works
The indicator divides the 24-hour day (based on the America/New_York timezone) into two 12-hour halves:
First Half - 12 Hour Candle: The Accumulation/Manipulation or Asian/London Sessions (6 PM to 6 AM NY Time)
This period covers the Asian session and the start of the London session.
The indicator's only job here is to identify the highest high and lowest low of this 12-hour block, establishing the initial daily range.
Second Half - 12 Hour Candle: The Distribution/Continuation or NY AM/PM Sessions (6 AM to 6 PM NY Time)
This period covers the main London session and the full New York session.
The indicator actively watches to see if, and in what order, the price breaks out of the range established in Session 1 (FIrst Half of the day).
By tracking this behavior over hundreds of days, the indicator compiles statistics on four possible daily scenarios.
📊 The Four Scenarios & The Dashboard
The indicator presents its findings in a clean, easy-to-read dashboard, calculating the historical probability of each of the following scenarios:
↓ Low, then ↑ High: The price first breaks the low of Session 1 (often a liquidity sweep or stop hunt) before reversing to break the high of Session 1. This suggests a "sweep and reverse" bullish day.
↑ High, then ↓ Low: The price first breaks the high of Session 1 before reversing to break the low of Session 1. This suggests a "sweep and reverse" bearish day.
One-Sided Breakout: The price breaks only one of the boundaries (either the high or the low) and continues in that direction without taking the other side. This indicates a strong, trending day.
No Breakout (Inside Bar): The price fails to break either the high or the low of Session 1, remaining contained within its range. This indicates a day of consolidation and low volatility.
🧠 How to Use This Indicator
This is a confluence tool, not a standalone trading system. Its purpose is to help you frame a high-probability narrative for the trading day.
Establish a Bias: Start checking the dashboard at 06:00 AM Newyork time, which is the start of next half day trading session. If one scenario has a significantly higher probability (e.g., "One-Sided Breakout" at 89%), you have a statistically-backed directional bias in the direction of Breakout.
🔧 Features & Settings
Historical Days to Analyze: Set how many past days the indicator should use for its statistical analysis (default is 500).
Session Timezone : The calculation is locked to America/New_York as it is central to the Quarterly Theory concept, but this setting ensures correct alignment.
Dashboard Display: Fully customize the on-screen table, including its position and text size, or hide it completely.
⚠️ Important Notes
For maximum accuracy, use this indicator on hourly (H1) or lower timeframes.
The statistical probabilities are based on past performance and are not a guarantee of future results.
This tool is designed to sharpen your analytical skills and provide a robust, data-driven framework for your daily trading decisions. Use it to build confidence in your directional bias and to better understand the rhythm of the market.
Disclaimer: This indicator is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk.
Forecasting
XAUUSD 1H – FVG Buy/Sell Signals XAUUSD 1H – Fair Value Gap (FVG) Buy/Sell Signals (No Boxes)
What it is:
A clean, signal-only indicator for Gold on the 1-hour chart. It detects 3-bar Fair Value Gaps, waits for a deep retest, then confirms with strong candle structure + trend + ADX before printing a BUY/SELL arrow. No rectangles or clutter—just selective, high-quality signals.
Why it works:
Instead of chasing breakouts, the script hunts for imbalances (FVGs) where price often returns to “fair value.” It only fires when:
price revisits the gap by a configurable depth,
the candle closes beyond the far edge with a small buffer,
the candle body is ≥ ATR × K (confirms intent),
the broader trend (EMA-50/EMA-200) agrees, and
ADX (Wilder, manual) shows sufficient strength.
Key features
✅ Signal-only: arrows/labels—no boxes on chart.
✅ Deep retest logic (percentage of zone), not just a touch.
✅ Strong close filter (edge + buffer) + ATR body filter.
✅ Trend filter (EMA-50 vs EMA-200) to keep trades with the regime.
✅ ADX strength to avoid chop.
✅ One signal per zone (optional “delete on use”).
✅ Alerts for both BUY and SELL.
✅ Built for Pine v6, non-repainting logic on bar close.
Inputs you can tune
Min FVG size (pts) – ignore tiny gaps.
Retest depth (%) – how deep price must come back into the gap.
Close buffer (pts) – extra confirmation beyond zone edge.
Min body ≥ ATR× – candle strength requirement.
Min ADX – trend strength threshold.
Expire after X bars – keep zones fresh.
Delete zone after signal – true = one-shot signals.
How I use it
Apply to XAUUSD 1H.
Keep default filters for selective signals.
For more setups, lower Min FVG size or ADX and reduce retest depth; for stricter signals, do the opposite.
Combine with S/R or session timing (London/NY) for added confluence.
Notes
Signals are generated on bar close.
Designed for clarity and discipline—fewer, cleaner arrows over constant noise.
Works on other symbols/timeframes, but tuned for Gold 1H.
Tags: #XAUUSD #Gold #FVG #SmartMoney #1H #TrendFollowing #ADX #ATR #PineV6 #TradingView
Linh Index Trend & Exhaustion SuitePurpose: One overlay to judge trend, reversal risk, overextension, and volatility squeezes on indexes (built for VNINDEX/VN30, works on any symbol & timeframe).
What it shows
Trend state: Bull / Bear / Transition via 20/50/200 EMAs + slope check.
Overextension heatmap: Background paints when price is stretched vs the 20-EMA by ATR or % (you set the thresholds).
Squeeze detection:
Squeeze ON (yellow dot): Bollinger Bands (20,2) inside Keltner Channels (20,1.5).
Squeeze OFF + Release: White dot; script confirms direction only when close > BB upper (up) or close < BB lower (down).
52-week context: Distance to 52-week high/low (%).
Higher-TF alignment: Optional weekly trend reading shown on the label while you’re on the daily.
Anchored VWAP(s): Two optional AVWAPs from dates you choose (e.g., YTD open, last big gap/earnings).
Plots & labels
EMAs 20/50/200 (toggle on/off).
Optional BB & KC bands for diagnostics.
AVWAP #1 / #2 (optional).
Status label with: Trend, EMAs, Dist to 20-EMA (%, ATR), 52-week distances, HTF state.
Built-in alerts (set “Once per bar close”)
EMA10 ↔ EMA20 cross (early momentum shift)
EMA20 ↔ EMA50 cross (trend confirmation/negation)
Price ↔ EMA200 cross (long-term regime)
Squeeze Release UP / DOWN (BB breakout after squeeze)
Overextension Cool-off UP / DN (stretched vs 20-EMA + momentum rolling)
Near 52-week High (within your % threshold)
How to use (playbook)
Map regime: Prefer trades when Daily = Bull and HTF (Weekly) = Bull (shown on label).
Hunt expansion: Yellow → White dot and close beyond BB = fresh move.
Avoid chasing stretch: If background is painted (overextended vs 20-EMA), wait for a pullback or intraday base.
Locations matter: 52-week proximity + HTF Bull improves breakout quality.
Anchors: Add AVWAP from YTD open or last major gap to frame support/resistance.
Suggested settings
Overextension: ATR = 2.0, % = 4.0 to start; tune per index volatility.
Squeeze bands: BB(20,2) & KC(20,1.5) default are balanced; tighten KC (1.3) for more signals, widen (1.8) for fewer/higher quality.
Timeframes: Daily for signals, Weekly for bias. Optional 65-min for entries.
VN30 Effort-vs-Result Multi-Scanner — LinhVN30 Effort-vs-Result Multi-Scanner (Pine v5)
Cross-section scanner for Vietnam’s VN30 stocks that surfaces Effort vs Result footprints and related accumulation/distribution and volatility tells. It renders a ranked table (Top-N) with per-ticker signals and key metrics.
What it does
Scans up to 30 tickers (editable input.symbol slots) using one security() call per symbol → stays under Pine’s 40-call limit and runs reliably on any chart.
Scores each ticker by counting active signals, then ranks and lists the top names.
Optional metrics columns: zVol(60), zTR(60), ATR(20), HL/ATR(20).
Signals (toggleable)
Price/Volume – Effort vs Result
EVR Squeeze (stealth): z(Vol,60) > 4 & z(TR,60) < −0.5
5σ Vol, ≤1σ Ret: z(Vol,60) > 5 & |z(Return,60)| < 1
Wide Effort, Opposite Result: z(Vol,60) > 3 & close < open & z(CLV×Vol,60) > 1
Spread Compression, Heavy Tape: (H−L)/ATR(20) < 0.6 & z(Vol,60) > 3
No-Supply / No-Demand: close < close & range < 0.6×ATR(20) & vol < 0.5×SMA(20)
Momentum & Volatility
Vol-of-Vol Kink: z(ATR20,200) rising & z(ATR5,60) falling
BB Squeeze → Expansion: BBWidth(20) in low regime (z<−1.3) then close > upper band & z(Vol,60) > 2
RSI Non-Confirmation: Price LL/HH with RSI HL/LH & z(Vol,60) > 1
Accumulation/Distribution
OBV Divergence w/ Flat Price: OBV slope > 0 & |z(ret20,260)| < 0.3
Accumulation Days Cluster: ≥3/5 bars: up close, higher vol, close near high
Effort-Result Inversion (Down): big vol on down day then next day close > prior high
How to use
Set the timeframe (works best on 1D for EOD scans).
Edit the 30 symbol slots to your VN30 constituents.
Choose Top N, toggle Show metrics/Only matches and enable/disable scenarios.
Read the table: Rank, Ticker, (metrics), Score, and comma-separated Signals fired.
Method notes
Z-scores use a population-std estimate; CLV×Vol is used for effort/location.
Rolling counts avoid ta.sum; OBV is computed manually; all logic is Pine v5-safe.
Intraday-only ideas (true VWAP magnets, auction volume, flows, futures/options) are not included—Pine can’t cross-scan those datasets.
Disclaimer: Educational tool, not financial advice. Always confirm signals on the chart and with your process.
Ai buy and sell fundamental the Gk fundamental is a precision built market analysis tool designed yto help traders identify high probability
it uses a combination of market structure analysis, volatility tracking, and multi time frame confirmation to highlight possible trade opportunities
HOW IT WORKS
analyses momentum shift and structure breaks on the 2h chart for clearer direction
confirms potential entries by filtering market noise and using volatility directional filters
HOW TO USE apply 2h chart for primary direction
when signal appears allow 1 candle to close for confirmation
drop to lower time frame to lower time frame to refine entry if desired
always use proper risk management - no tool guarantees results
Comparaison DXY, VIX, SPX, DJI, GVZPine Script indicator compares the normalized values of DXY, VIX, SPX, DJI, and GVZ indices on a single scale from 0 to 100. Here's a breakdown of what it does:
Data Requests: Gets closing prices for:
US Dollar Index (DXY)
VIX Volatility Index
S&P 500 (SPX)
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)
Gold Volatility Index (GVZ)
Normalization: Each index is normalized using a 500-period lookback to scale values between 0-100, making them comparable despite different price scales.
Visualization:
Plots each normalized index with distinct colors
Adds a dotted midline at 50 for reference
Uses thicker linewidth (2) for better visibility
Timeframe Flexibility: Works on any chart timeframe since it uses timeframe.period
This is useful for:
Comparing relative strength/weakness between these key market indicators
Identifying divergences or convergences in their movements
Seeing how different asset classes (currencies, equities, volatility) relate
You could enhance this by:
Adding correlation calculations between pairs
Including options to adjust the normalization period
Adding alerts when instruments diverge beyond certain thresholds
Including volume or other metrics alongside price
Quant Signals: Market Sentiment Monitor HUDWavelets & Scale Spectrum
This indicator is ideal for traders who adapt their strategy to market conditions — such as swing traders, intraday traders, and system developers.
Trend-followers can use it to confirm trending conditions before entering.
Mean-reversion traders can spot choppy markets where reversals are more likely.
Risk managers can monitor volatility shifts and regime changes to adjust position size or pause trading.
It works best as a market context filter — telling you the “weather” before you decide on the trade.
Wavelets are like tiny “measuring rulers” for price changes. Instead of looking at the whole chart at once, a wavelet looks at differences in price over a specific time scale — for example, 2 bars, 4 bars, 8 bars, and so on.
The scale spectrum is what you get when you measure volatility at several of these scales and then plot them against scale size.
If the spectrum forms a straight line on a log–log chart, it means price changes follow a consistent pattern across time scales (a power-law relationship).
The slope of that line gives the Hurst exponent (H) — telling you whether moves tend to persist (trend) or reverse (mean-revert).
The height of the line gives you the volatility (σ) — the average size of moves.
This approach works like a microscope, revealing whether the market’s behaviour is consistent across short-term and long-term horizons, and when that behaviour changes.
This tool applies a wavelet-based scale-spectrum analysis to price data to estimate three key market state measures inside a rolling window:
Hurst exponent (H) — measures persistence in price moves:
H > ~0.55 → market is trending (moves tend to continue).
H < ~0.45 → market is choppy/mean-reverting (moves tend to reverse).
Values near 0.5 indicate a neutral, random-walk-like regime.
Volatility (σ) — the average size of price swings at your chart’s timeframe, optionally annualized. Rising volatility means larger price moves, falling volatility means smaller moves.
Fit residual — how well the observed multi-scale volatility fits a clean power-law line. Low residual = stable behaviour; high residual = structural change (possible regime shift).
SKI FVG IndicatorIt uses ICT concepts and takes entries and exits. Identifies good FVG and shows an entry to buy or short and also exits at swing high or low , discount areas, primary areas, DOL (draw on liquidity)
Quant Signals: Entropy w/ ForecastThis is the first of many quantitative signals I plan to create for TV users.
Most technical analysis (TA) tools—like moving averages, oscillators, or chart patterns—are heuristic: they’re based on visually identifiable shapes, threshold crossovers, or empirically chosen rules. These methods rarely quantify the information content or structural complexity of market data. By quantifying market predictability before making a forecast, this method filters out noise and focuses your trading only during statistically favorable conditions—something traditional TA cannot objectively measure.
This MEPP-based approach is quantitative and model-free:
It comes from information theory and measures Shannon entropy rate to assess how predictable the market is at any moment.
Instead of interpreting price formations, it uses a data-compression algorithm (Lempel–Ziv) to capture hidden structure in the sequence of returns.
Forecasts are generated using a principle from statistical physics (Maximum Entropy Production), not historical chart patterns.
In short, this method measures the market's predictability BEFORE deciding a directional forecast is worth trusting. This tool is to inform TA traders on the market's current regime, whether it is smooth and predictable or it is volatile and turbulent.
Technical Introduction:
In information theory, Shannon entropy measures the uncertainty (or information content) in a sequence of data. For markets, the entropy rate captures how much new information price returns generate over time:
Low entropy rate → price changes are more structured and predictable.
High entropy rate → price changes are more random and unpredictable.
By discretizing recent returns into quartile-based states, this indicator:
Calculates the normalized entropy rate as a regime filter.
Uses MEPP to forecast the next state that maximizes entropy production.
Displays both the regime status (predictable vs chaotic) and the forecast bias (bullish/bearish) in a dashboard.
Measurements & How to Use Them
TLDR: HIGH ENTROPY -> information generation/market shift -> Don't trust forecast/strategy
1. H (bits/sym)
Shannon entropy rate of the last μ discrete returns, in bits per symbol (0–2).
Lower → more predictable; higher → more random.
Use as a raw measure of market structure.
2. H_max (log₂Ω)
Theoretical maximum entropy for Ω states. Here Ω = 4 → H_max = 2.0 bits.
Reference value for normalization.
3. Entropy (norm)
H / H_max, scaled between 0 and 1.
< 0.5–0.6 → predictable regime; > 0.6 → chaotic regime.
Main regime filter — forecasts are more reliable when below your threshold.
4. Regime
Label based on Entropy (norm) vs your entThresh.
LOW (predictable) = higher odds forecast will be correct.
HIGH (chaotic) = forecasts less reliable.
5. Next State (MEPP Forecast)
Discrete return state (1–4) predicted to occur next, chosen to maximize entropy production:
Large Down (strong bearish)
Small Down (mild bearish)
Small Up (mild bullish)
Large Up (strong bullish)
Use as your bias direction.
6. Bias
Simplified label from the Next State:
States 1–2 = Bearish bias (red)
States 3–4 = Bullish bias (green)
Align strategy direction with bias only in LOW regime.
Floating Bands of the Argentine Peso (Sebastian.Waisgold)
The BCRA ( Central Bank of the Argentine Republic ) announced that as of Monday, April 15, 2025, the Argentine Peso (USDARS) will float within a system of divergent exchange rate bands.
The upper band was set at ARS 1400 per USD on 15/04/2025, with a +1% monthly adjustment distributed daily, rising by a fraction each day.
The lower band was set at ARS 1000 per USD on 15/04/2025, with a –1% monthly adjustment distributed daily, falling by a fraction each day.
This indicator is crucial for anyone trading USDARS, since the BCRA will only intervene in these situations:
- Selling : if the Peso depreciates against the USD above the upper band .
- Buying : if the Peso appreciates against the USD below the lower band .
Therefore, this indicator can be used as follows:
- If USDARS is above the upper band , it is “expensive” and you may sell .
- If USDARS is below the lower band , it is “cheap” and you may buy .
It can also be applied to other assets such as:
- USDTARS
- Dollar Cable / CCL (Contado con Liquidación) , derived from the BCBA:YPFD / NYSE:YPF ratio.
A mid band —exactly halfway between the upper and lower bands—has also been added.
Once added, the indicator should look like this:
In the following image you can see:
- Upper Floating Band
- Lower Floating Band
- Mid Floating Band
User Configuration
By double-clicking any line you can adjust:
- Start day (Dia de incio), month (Mes de inicio), and year (Año de inicio)
- Initial upper band value (Valor inicial banda superior)
- Initial lower band value (Valor inicial banda inferior)
- Monthly rate Tasa mensual %)
It is recommended not to modify these settings for the Argentine Peso, as they reflect the BCRA’s official framework. However, you may customize them—and the line colors—for other assets or currencies implementing a similar band scheme.
Minimal S/R Zones with Volume StrengthHow it works
Pivot Detection
A pivot high is a candle whose high is greater than the highs of a certain number of candles before and after it.
A pivot low is a candle whose low is lower than the lows of a certain number of candles before and after it.
Parameters like Pivot Left Bars and Pivot Right Bars control how sensitive the pivots are.
Zone Creation
Pivot High → creates a Resistance zone.
Pivot Low → creates a Support zone.
Each zone is defined as a price range (top and bottom) and drawn horizontally for a given lookback length.
Volume Strength Filter
Volume Strength (%) = (Volume at Pivot / Volume SMA) × 100.
If the strength is below the minimum threshold (Min Strength %), the zone is ignored.
This ensures only pivots with significant trading activity create zones.
Zone Management
The indicator stores zones in arrays.
Max Zones per side prevents too many zones from being displayed at once.
Older zones are removed when new ones are added beyond the limit.
Visuals
Support zones → green label with Volume Strength %.
Resistance zones → red label with Volume Strength %.
Zones have semi-transparent boxes so price action remains visible.
Painel Técnico — Múltiplos TFs (5m,15m,1h,4h,1D) BrenoGtechnical table with inflection points that help me buy
TAKEPROFITS SECRET SAUCE V4Plots daily 4hr 1kr and 15min levels
adjustable colors
This indicator auto plots for you
Swing High/Low SignalsSwing High/Low Signals – profit gang
Quickly spot recent market turning points with this clean swing high/low indicator.
Marks swing highs & lows with labels or triangles
Optional connecting lines & background highlights
Alerts when new swings form
Info table showing last swing levels & current price
Fully adjustable lookback period for any timeframe.
Disclaimer: For educational use only. Not financial advice.
Wickless Precision IndicatorThe Wickless Precision Indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify and highlight wickless and tailless candlestick patterns on your TradingView charts. A wickless candle, where the open or close price equals the high or low, signals strong directional momentum and potential support or resistance levels. This indicator automatically detects these unique candles, drawing customizable horizontal lines at their key price levels to help traders spot critical zones for entries, exits, or reversals.
Key Features:
Automatic Wickless Detection: Identifies bullish (no lower wick) and bearish (no upper wick) candles with precision.
Dynamic Line Plotting: Draws horizontal lines at the high or low of wickless candles, extending until price interaction or user-defined conditions.
Customizable Settings: Adjust line styles, colors, and sensitivity thresholds to suit your trading style.
Visual Markers: Highlights wickless candles with distinct shapes (e.g., triangles or crosses) for easy identification.
Alert Integration: Set real-time alerts to stay notified when wickless candles form, ensuring you never miss a potential trading opportunity.
Use Cases:
Pinpoint strong support/resistance zones where price rejection is evident.
Identify high-probability entry or exit points based on momentum-driven candles.
Enhance price action strategies with clear visual cues for market sentiment shifts.
Perfect for traders seeking to capitalize on clean, wickless price movements, the Wickless Precision Indicator simplifies technical analysis and boosts trading confidence.
CoinSidual SR Top3What it does
Plots up to 3 Resistance (red) and 3 Support (green) zones using confirmed swing highs/lows. Nearby levels are clustered by tolerance (bps) to avoid duplicates. Lines extend left/right and auto-update.
Inputs
• Swing Length – pivot lookback/forward
• Lookback Bars – analysis window size
• Cluster Tolerance (bps) – merge distance
• Line Extend Bars – label/line span
• Show R/S Labels – toggle labels
Notes
Works on any symbol/timeframe. No alerts. For educational use only.
Entropy (Fiedor/Kontoyiannis) - Part 2 of Fiedor's TheoryThis indicator estimates the Shannon entropy of a price series using a Markov chain model of binary returns, following the approach of Fiedor (2014) and Kontoyiannis (1997).
% of Max shows current entropy as a percentage of its theoretical maximum (1 bit for binary up/down moves).
Percentile ranks the current entropy against historical values in the chosen lookback window.
High entropy suggests price movement is less predictable by frequentist models; low entropy implies more structure and predictability.
Use this as an informational oscillator, not a trading signal.
This is a visualization of Part 1 of Fiedor's Theory. The same entropy logic is already embedded in Part 1 however the second pane is a nice reminder of why it works.
GLD GC Price Converter Its primary function is to fetch the prices of the Gold ETF (ticker: GLD) and Gold Futures (ticker: GC1!) and then project significant price levels from one or both of these assets onto the chart of whatever instrument you are currently viewing.
Core Functionality & Features
Dual Asset Tracking: The script simultaneously tracks the prices of GLD and Gold Futures (GC).
Dynamic Price Level Projection: The script's main feature is its ability to calculate and draw horizontal price levels. It determines a "base price" (e.g., the nearest $100 level for GC) and then draws lines at specified increments above and below it. The key is that these levels are projected onto the current chart's price scale.
On-Chart Information Display:
Price Table: A customizable table can be displayed in any corner of the chart, showing the current prices of GLD and GC. It can also show the daily percentage change for GC, colored green for positive changes and red for negative ones.
Last Price Label: It can show a label next to the most recent price bar that displays the current prices of both GLD and GC.
Extensive Customization: The user has significant control over the indicator's appearance and behavior through the settings panel.
This includes:
Toggling the display for GLD and GC levels independently.
Adjusting the multiplier for the price levels (e.g., show levels every $100 or $50 for GC).
Changing the colors, line styles (solid, dashed, dotted), and horizontal offset for the labels.
Defining the number of price levels to display.
Controlling the text size for labels and the table.
Choosing whether the script updates on every tick or only once per candle close for better performance.
Latent Regime Informed Monte Carlo ForecastThis script uses a Monte Carlo simulation to forecast where price might be a set number of bars into the future (default 6 bars ahead). It generates hundreds of possible future price paths based on an average move (drift) and random shocks (volatility). The result is a distribution of outcomes, displayed as probability zones: the median (most likely), inner bands (50% confidence), and wider bands (80% and 95% confidence). Due to the randomness assumption in Monte Carlo simulations, the paths are not very important so to minimize cluttering on the graphs we only plot bands. These zones help you visualize uncertainty, set stops and targets based on probabilities, and spot when market behavior changes.
The accuracy of any Monte Carlo forecast depends heavily on how well you estimate trend and volatility. By default and no prior information the Monte Carlo simulation gives you a parabolic forecast that assumes absolute randomness. This is where the Kalman filter comes in. The filter (derived from control theory) aims to detect latent (unobservable) traits about the system by continuously updating its transition probabilities to better understand how the latent traits affect the observable measurement (price). With each new observable state we get better and better transition probabilities and enhances our understanding about the latent and unobservable market characteristics like trend and volatility. Both crucial measurements for short term market sentiment.
Extracting these measurements for market sentiment informs us how to better parametrize the Monte Carlo simulation for a better forecast. Each bar, the KF updates its estimates based on how close its last prediction was to reality. In calm periods, it holds estimates steady; in volatile periods, it adapts quickly. This gives you real-time, low-lag measurements of both trend and volatility.
By feeding these adaptive estimates into the Monte Carlo simulation, the forecast becomes much more responsive to current market conditions. In trends, the predicted paths tilt toward the direction of movement; in choppy markets, they spread wider but stay centered; when volatility spikes, the probability zones expand immediately. The result is a dynamic forecast tool that adjusts on every bar, giving you a clearer, probability-based picture of where the market could go next.
This is my very first script and I would love feedback/ideas for different topics.
My background is in economics/mathematics and interests lie in time series analysis/exploring financial features for DS
JOSITOThis indicator marks equal points that XAU will go to reach; it doesn’t work on other pairs, but on XAU it is quite accurate.
Preguntar a ChatGPT
Thors Economic NewsThe Live Economic Calendar indicator seamlessly integrates with external news sources to provide real-Time, upcoming, and past financial news directly on your Tradingview chart.
By having a clear understanding of when news are planned to be released, as well as their respective impact, analysts can prepare their weeks and days in advance. These injections of volatility can be harnessed by analysts to support their thesis, or may want to be avoided to ensure higher probability market conditions. Fundamentals and news releases transcend the boundaries of technical analysis, as their effects are difficult to predict or estimate.
Designed for both novice and experienced traders, the Live Economic Calendar indicator enhances your analysis by keeping you informed of the latest and upcoming market-moving news.
ZoneShift+StochZ+LRO + AI Breakout Bands [Combined]This composite Pine Script brings together four powerful trend and momentum tools into a single, easy-to-read overlay:
ZoneShift
Computes a dynamic “zone” around price via an EMA/HMA midpoint ± average high-low range.
Flags flips when price closes convincingly above or below that zone, coloring candles and drawing the zone lines in bullish or bearish hues.
Stochastic Z-Score
Converts your chosen price series into a statistical Z-score, then runs a Stochastic oscillator on it and HMA-smooths the result.
Marks momentum flips in extreme over-sold (below –2) or over-bought (above +2) territory.
Linear Regression Oscillator (LRO)
Builds a bar-indexed linear regression, normalizes it to standard deviations, and shows area-style up/down coloring.
Highlights local reversals when the oscillator crosses its own look-back values, and optionally plots LRO-colored candles on price.
AI Breakout Bands (Kalman + KNN)
Applies a Kalman filter to price, smooths it further with a KNN-weighted average, then measures mean-absolute-error bands around that smoothed line.
Colors the Kalman trend line and bands for bullish/bearish breaks, giving you a data-driven channel to trade.
Composite Signals & Alerts
Whenever the ZoneShift flip, Stoch Z-Score flip, and LRO reversal all agree and price breaks the AI bands in the same direction, the script plots a clear ▲ (bull) or ▼ (bear) on the chart and fires an alert. This triple-confirmation approach helps you zero in on high-probability reversal points, filtering out noise and combining trend, momentum, and statistical breakout criteria into one unified signal.
Standard Deviation BandsStandard Deviation Bands
คำอธิบายอินดิเคเตอร์:
อินดิเคเตอร์ SD Bands (Standard Deviation Bands) เป็นเครื่องมือวิเคราะห์ทางเทคนิคที่ออกแบบมาเพื่อวัดความผันผวนของราคาและระบุโอกาสในการเทรดที่อาจเกิดขึ้น อินดิเคเตอร์นี้จะแสดงผลเป็นเส้นขอบ 2 เส้นบนกราฟราคาโดยตรง โดยอ้างอิงจากค่าเฉลี่ยเคลื่อนที่ (Moving Average) และค่าส่วนเบี่ยงเบนมาตรฐาน (Standard Deviation)
* เส้นบน (Upper Band): แสดงระดับที่ราคาเคลื่อนไหวสูงกว่าค่าเฉลี่ย
* เส้นล่าง (Lower Band): แสดงระดับที่ราคาเคลื่อนไหวต่ำกว่าค่าเฉลี่ย
ความกว้างของช่องระหว่างเส้นทั้งสองบ่งบอกถึงระดับความผันผวนของตลาดในปัจจุบัน
วิธีการใช้งานอย่างละเอียด:
คุณสามารถนำอินดิเคเตอร์ SD Bands ไปประยุกต์ใช้ได้หลายวิธีเพื่อประกอบการตัดสินใจ ดังนี้:
1. การใช้เป็นแนวรับ-แนวต้านแบบไดนามิก (Dynamic Support & Resistance)
* แนวรับ: เมื่อราคาวิ่งลงมาแตะหรือเข้าใกล้เส้นล่าง (เส้นสีน้ำเงิน) เส้นนี้อาจทำหน้าที่เป็นแนวรับชั่วคราวและมีโอกาสที่ราคาจะเด้งกลับขึ้นไปหาเส้นกลาง
* แนวต้าน: เมื่อราคาวิ่งขึ้นไปแตะหรือเข้าใกล้เส้นบน (เส้นสีแดง) เส้นนี้อาจทำหน้าที่เป็นแนวต้านชั่วคราวและมีโอกาสที่ราคาจะย่อตัวลงมา
2. การวัดความผันผวนและสัญญาณ Breakout
* ช่วงตลาดสงบ (Low Volatility): เมื่อเส้น SD ทั้งสองเส้นบีบตัวเข้าหากันเป็นช่องที่แคบมาก (คล้ายกับ Bollinger Squeeze) แสดงว่าตลาดมีความผันผวนต่ำมาก ซึ่งมักจะเป็นสัญญาณว่ากำลังจะเกิดการเคลื่อนไหวครั้งใหญ่ (Breakout)
* ช่วงตลาดเป็นเทรนด์ (High Volatility): เมื่อเส้น SD ขยายตัวกว้างออกอย่างรวดเร็ว พร้อมกับที่ราคาวิ่งอยู่นอกขอบ แสดงว่าตลาดเข้าสู่ช่วงเทรนด์ที่แข็งแกร่งและมีโมเมนตัมสูง
3. สัญญาณการกลับตัว (Reversal Signals)
* เมื่อราคาปิดแท่งเทียน นอกเส้น SD Bands อย่างชัดเจน (โดยเฉพาะหลังจากที่เทรนด์นั้นดำเนินมานาน) อาจเป็นสัญญาณว่าแรงซื้อ/แรงขายเริ่มอ่อนกำลังลง และมีโอกาสที่จะเกิดการกลับตัวของราคาในไม่ช้า
การตั้งค่าอินพุต (Input Parameters):
* ระยะเวลา (Length): กำหนดจำนวนแท่งเทียนที่ใช้ในการคำนวณค่าเฉลี่ยและ SD
* 20: สำหรับการวิเคราะห์ระยะสั้นถึงกลาง
* 50 หรือ 100: สำหรับการวิเคราะห์ระยะยาว
* ตัวคูณ (Multiplier): กำหนดระยะห่างของเส้น SD จากค่าเฉลี่ย
* 1.0 - 2.0: เส้นจะอยู่ใกล้ราคามากขึ้น ทำให้เกิดสัญญาณบ่อยขึ้น
* 2.0 - 3.0: เส้นจะอยู่ห่างจากราคามากขึ้น ทำให้เกิดสัญญาณที่น่าเชื่อถือมากขึ้น แต่จะเกิดไม่บ่อย
ข้อควรระวังและคำเตือน:
* อินดิเคเตอร์นี้เป็นเพียง เครื่องมือวิเคราะห์ เพื่อช่วยในการตัดสินใจ ไม่ใช่สัญญาณการซื้อขายที่ถูกต้อง 100%
* ควรใช้ร่วมกับเครื่องมืออื่นๆ เช่น RSI, MACD, หรือ Volume เพื่อยืนยันสัญญาณ
* การเทรดมีความเสี่ยงสูง ควรบริหารจัดการความเสี่ยงและตั้งจุด Stop Loss ทุกครั้ง
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English
Standard Deviation Bands
Indicator Description:
The SD Bands (Standard Deviation Bands) indicator is a powerful technical analysis tool designed to measure price volatility and identify potential trading opportunities. The indicator displays two dynamic bands directly on the price chart, based on a moving average and a customizable standard deviation multiplier.
* Upper Band: Indicates price levels above the moving average.
* Lower Band: Indicates price levels below the moving average.
The width of the channel between these two bands provides a clear picture of current market volatility.
Detailed User Guide:
You can use SD Bands in several ways to enhance your trading decisions:
1. Dynamic Support and Resistance:
These bands can act as dynamic support and resistance levels.
* Support: When the price moves down and touches or approaches the lower band, it can act as support, offering the possibility of a rebound to the average.
* Resistance: When the price moves up and touches or approaches the upper band, it can act as resistance, offering the possibility of a rebound.
2. Volatility Measurement and Breakout Signals:
* Low Volatility (Squeeze): When the two bands converge and form a narrow channel. Indicates very low market volatility. This condition often occurs before significant price movements or breakouts.
* High Volatility (Expansion): When the bands expand and widen rapidly, it indicates that the market is entering a period of strong trending momentum with high momentum.
3. Reversal Signals:
* When the price closes significantly outside the SD Bands (especially after a long-term trend), it may signal that the current momentum has expired and a reversal may be imminent.
Input Parameters:
The indicator's parameters are fully customizable to suit your trading style:
* Length: Defines the number of bars used to calculate the moving average and standard deviation.
* 20: Suitable for short- to medium-term analysis.
* 50 or 100: Suitable for long-term trend analysis.
* Multiplier: Adjusts the sensitivity of the signal bars.
* 1.0 - 2.0: Creates narrower signal bars, leading to more frequent signals.
* 2.0 - 3.0: Creates wider signal bars, providing fewer but potentially more significant signals.
Important Warning:
* This indicator is an analytical tool only. It does not provide guaranteed buy or sell signals.
* Always use it in conjunction with other indicators (such as RSI, MACD, and Volume) for confirmation.
* Trading involves high risk. Proper risk management, including the use of stop-loss orders, is recommended.
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