Dynamic Autocorrelation Visualizer (YavuzAkbay)The Dynamic Autocorrelation Visualizer (DAV) is a specialized indicator that analyzes and displays the autocorrelation of closing prices over multiple time lags. The autocorrelation function is a well-established economic calculation that measures how past price movements correlate with current prices at various intervals. This indicator implements this function to provide traders with insights into how these correlations evolve over time, enabling them to identify shifts in market behavior and trends.
Key Features and Functionality
1. Input Parameters:
Max Lag: This parameter determines the maximum number of lags for which the autocorrelation will be calculated. By default, it is set to 10, allowing traders to observe the correlation from the most recent price up to 10 periods back.
Calculation Period: The period over which the autocorrelation is calculated, set by default to 50. This setting allows users to adapt the analysis to different time frames depending on their trading strategies.
2. Autocorrelation Calculation:
The DAV calculates the average closing price over the specified period using the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This average serves as a reference point for measuring deviations in price behavior.
It then computes the denominator for the autocorrelation formula, which is the sum of the squared differences between each closing price and the average price. This normalization ensures that the autocorrelation values are meaningful and statistically valid.
For each specified lag (from 0 to max_lag - 1), the indicator calculates the numerator by summing the product of deviations from the mean for both the current and lagged prices. The autocorrelation value for each lag is then derived by dividing the numerator by the denominator, producing a set of autocorrelation values that reflect the strength and direction of price relationships over time.
3. Visualization:
The results for each lag's autocorrelation are plotted as individual lines on the chart, each differentiated by color to represent different lag periods.
A zero line is drawn as a reference, helping traders easily identify when autocorrelation values cross from positive to negative or vice versa.
The color gradient from the brightest blue (for lag 1) to darker shades indicates the relative strength of the autocorrelation for each lag, providing an immediate visual cue for analysis.
Indicator is Useful for
Seeing how correlation patterns evolve
Identifying periods where the market changes its behavior
Spotting when certain lag patterns become more or less significant
How to Use the DAV Indicator
Before using the indicator, it should be backtested on the chart and the mechanics should be learned. In general, if all lags of the indicator are above 0, it means that the trend is continuing. When the lags start to fall below 0 one by one, it means a trend reversal or instability. The indicator is in a sense a 90 degree freeze trace of the Autocorrelation indicator that I have also integrated into Tradingview (available in my profile), so it may be more understandable if used in conjunction with this indicator.
M-oscillator
Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component (YavuzAkbay)The Hodrick-Prescott Cycle Component indicator in Pine Script™ is an advanced tool that helps traders isolate and analyze the cyclical deviations in asset prices from their underlying trend. This script calculates the cycle component of the price series using the Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter, allowing traders to observe and interpret the short-term price movements around the long-term trend. By providing two views—Percentage and Price Difference—this indicator gives flexibility in how these cyclical movements are visualized and interpreted.
What This Script Does
This indicator focuses exclusively on the cycle component of the price, which is the deviation of the current price from the long-term trend calculated by the HP filter. This deviation (or "cycle") is what traders analyze for mean-reversion opportunities and overbought/oversold conditions. The script allows users to see this deviation in two ways:
Percentage Difference: Shows the deviation as a percentage of the trend, giving a normalized view of the price’s distance from its trend component.
Price Difference: Shows the deviation in absolute price terms, reflecting how many price units the price is above or below the trend.
How It Works
Trend Component Calculation with the HP Filter: Using the HP filter, the script isolates the trend component of the price. The smoothness of this trend is controlled by the smoothness parameter (λ), which can be adjusted by the user. A higher λ value results in a smoother trend, while a lower λ value makes it more responsive to short-term changes.
Cycle Component Calculation: Percentage Deviation (cycle_pct) calculated as the difference between the current price and the trend, divided by the trend, and then multiplied by 100. This metric shows how far the price deviates from the trend in relative terms. Price Difference (cycle_price) simply the difference between the current price and the trend component, displaying the deviation in absolute price units.
Conditional Plotting: The user can choose to view the cycle component as either a percentage or a price difference by selecting the Display Mode input. The indicator will plot the chosen mode in a separate pane, helping traders focus on the preferred measure of deviation.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Overbought/Oversold Conditions: When the cycle component deviates significantly from the zero line (shown with a dashed horizontal line), it may indicate overbought or oversold conditions. For instance, a high positive cycle component suggests the price may be overbought relative to the trend, while a large negative cycle suggests potential oversold conditions.
Mean-Reversion Strategy: In mean-reverting markets, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversal points. For example, if the cycle component shows an extreme deviation from zero, it could signal that the price is likely to revert to the trend. This can help traders with entry and exit points when the asset is expected to correct back toward its trend.
Trend Strength and Cycle Analysis: By comparing the magnitude and duration of deviations, traders can gauge the strength of cycles and assess if a new trend might be forming. If the cycle component remains consistently positive or negative, it may indicate a persistent market bias, even as prices fluctuate around the trend.
Percentage vs. Price Difference Views: Use the Percentage Difference mode to standardize deviations and compare across assets or different timeframes. This is especially helpful when analyzing assets with varying price levels. Use the Price Difference mode when an absolute deviation (price units) is more intuitive for spotting overbought/oversold levels based on the asset’s actual price.
Using with Hodrick-Prescott: You can also use Hodrick-Prescott, another indicator that I have adapted to the Tradingview platform, to see the trend on the chart, and you can also use this indicator to see how far the price is deviating from the trend. This gives you a multifaceted perspective on your trades.
Practical Tips for Traders
Set the Smoothness Parameter (λ): Adjust the λ parameter to match your trading timeframe and asset characteristics. Lower values make the trend more sensitive, which might suit short-term trading, while higher values smooth out the trend for long-term analysis.
Cycle Component as Confirmation: Combine this indicator with other momentum or trend indicators for confirmation of overbought/oversold signals. For example, use the cycle component with RSI or MACD to validate the likelihood of mean-reversion.
Observe Divergences: Divergences between price movements and the cycle component can indicate potential reversals. If the price hits a new high, but the cycle component shows a smaller deviation than previous highs, it could signal a weakening trend.
Fair Value Gap Oscillator | Flux Charts💎 GENERAL OVERVIEW
Introducing the new Fair Value Gap Oscillator (FVG Oscillator) indicator! This unique indicator identifies and tracks Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) in price action, presenting them in an oscillator format to reveal market momentum based on FVG strength. It highlights bullish and bearish FVGs while enabling traders to adjust detection sensitivity and apply volume and ATR-based filters for more precise setups. For more information about the process, check the "📌 HOW DOES IT WORK" section.
Features of the new FVG Oscillator:
Fully Customizable FVG Detection
An Oscillator Approach To FVGs
Divergence Markers For Potential Reversals
Alerts For Divergence Labels
Customizable Styling
📌 HOW DOES IT WORK?
Fair Value Gaps are price gaps within bars that indicate inefficiencies, often filled as the market retraces. The FVG Oscillator scans historical bars to identify these gaps, then filters them based on ATR or volume. Each FVG is marked as bullish or bearish according to the trend direction that preceded its formation.
An oscillator is calculated using recent FVGs with this formula :
1. The Oscillator starts as 0.
2. When a new FVG Appears, it contributes (FVG Width / ATR) to the oscillator of the corresponding type.
3. Each confirmed bar, the oscillator is recalculated as OSC = OSC * (1 - Decay Coefficient)
The oscillator aggregates and decays past FVGs, allowing recent FVG activity to dominate the signal. This approach emphasizes current market momentum, with oscillations moving bullish or bearish based on FVG intensity. Divergences are marked where FVG oscillations suggest potential reversals. Bullish Divergence conditions are as follows :
1. The current candlestick low must be the lowest of last 25 bars.
2. Net Oscillator (Shown in gray line by default) must be > 0.
3. The current Bullish FVG Oscillator value should be no more than 0.1 below the highest value from the last 25 bars.
Traders can use divergence signals to get an idea of potential reversals, and use the Net FVG Oscillator as a trend following marker.
🚩 UNIQUENESS
The Fair Value Gap Oscillator stands out by converting FVG activity into an oscillator format, providing a momentum-based visualization of FVGs that reveals market sentiment dynamically. Unlike traditional indicators that statically mark FVG zones, the oscillator decays older FVGs over time, showing only the most recent, relevant activity. This approach allows for real-time insight into market conditions and potential reversals based on oscillating FVG strength, making it both intuitive and powerful for momentum trading.
Another unique feature is the combination of customizable ATR and volume filters, letting traders adapt the indicator to match their strategy and market type. You can also set-up alerts for bullish & bearish divergences.
⚙️ SETTINGS
1. General Configuration
Decay Coefficient -> The decay coefficient for oscillators. Increasing this setting will result in oscillators giving the weight to recent FVGs, while decreasing it will distribute the weight equally to the past and recent FVGs.
2. Fair Value Gaps
Zone Invalidation -> Select between Wick & Close price for FVG Zone Invalidation.
Zone Filtering -> With "Average Range" selected, algorithm will find FVG zones in comparison with average range of last bars in the chart. With the "Volume Threshold" option, you may select a Volume Threshold % to spot FVGs with a larger total volume than average.
FVG Detection -> With the "Same Type" option, all 3 bars that formed the FVG should be the same type. (Bullish / Bearish). If the "All" option is selected, bar types may vary between Bullish / Bearish.
Detection Sensitivity -> You may select between Low, Normal or High FVG detection sensitivity. This will essentially determine the size of the spotted FVGs, with lower sensitivies resulting in spotting bigger FVGs, and higher sensitivies resulting in spotting all sizes of FVGs.
3. Style
Divergence Labels On -> You can switch divergence labels to show up on the chart or the oscillator plot.
Reversed Choppiness Index with Donchian Channels and SMAIn the chaotic world of trading, where every tick can lead to joy or despair, traders yearn for clarity amid the noise. They crave a mechanism that not only reveals the underlying market trends but also navigates the turbulent waters of volatility with grace. Enter the Reversed Choppiness Index with Donchian Channels and SMA Smoothing—a sophisticated tool crafted for those who refuse to be swayed by the whims of market noise.
This innovative script harnesses the power of the Choppiness Index, flipping it on its head to unveil the true direction of price movement. Choppiness, in its traditional form, indicates when the market is stuck in a sideways range, characterized by erratic price movements that can leave traders bewildered. High choppiness often signals confusion in the market, where prices oscillate without a clear trend, leading to potential losses. Conversely, low choppiness suggests a trending market, whether bullish or bearish, where trades can yield consistent profits. By reversing the Choppiness Index, this tool highlights lower choppiness levels as opportunities for selling when the market shows stability and momentum—perfect for traders looking to enter or exit positions with confidence.
The Donchian Channels serve as reliable markers, defining the boundaries of price action and helping to paint a clearer picture of market dynamics. Traders should look for breakouts from these channels, which may indicate a significant shift in momentum. When the Reversed Choppiness Index trends lower while price breaks above the upper Donchian Band, it may signal a strong buying opportunity, while a rise in choppiness alongside price dipping below the lower band can indicate a potential selling point.
But that's not all—this tool features a dual-layer of smoothing through two distinct Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The first SMA gently caresses the Reversed Choppiness Index, softening its edges to reveal the underlying trends. The second SMA adds an extra layer of finesse, ensuring traders can spot significant changes with less noise interference.
In a landscape filled with fleeting opportunities and unpredictable swings, this script stands as a beacon of stability. It allows traders to focus on what truly matters—seizing profitable moments without getting caught in the crossfire of volatility. By understanding the dynamics of choppiness through this reversed lens, traders can more effectively navigate their strategies, capitalizing on clearer signals while avoiding the pitfalls of market noise. Embrace this tool and transform the way you trade; the market's whispers will no longer drown out your strategies, paving the way for informed decisions and greater success.
Mean Trend OscillatorMean Trend Oscillator
The Mean Trend Oscillator offers an original approach to trend analysis by integrating multiple technical indicators, using statistic to get a probable signal, and dynamically adapting to market volatility.
This tool aggregates signals from four popular indicators—Relative Strength Index (RSI), Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and Relative Moving Average (RMA)—and adjusts thresholds using the Average True Range (ATR). By using this, we can use Statistics to aggregate or take the average of each indicators signal. Mathematically, Taking an average of these indicators gives us a better probability on entering a trending state.
By consolidating these distinct perspectives, the Mean Trend Oscillator provides a comprehensive view of market direction, helping traders make informed decisions based on a broad, data-driven trend assessment. Traders can use this indicator to enter long spot or leveraged positions. The Mean Trend Oscillator is intended to be use in long term trending markets. Scalping MUST NOT be used with this indicator. (This indicator will give false signals when the Timeframe is too low. The best intended use for high-quality signals are longer timeframes).
The current price of a beginning trend series may tell us something about the next move. Thus, the Mean Trend Oscillator allows us to spot a high probability trending market and potentially exploit this information enter long or shorts strategy. (again, this indicator will give false signals when the Timeframe is too low. The best intended use for high-quality signals are longer timeframes).
Concept and Calculation and Inputs
The Mean Trend Oscillator calculates a “net trend” score as follows:
RSI evaluates market momentum, identifying overbought and oversold conditions, essential for confirming trend direction.
SMA, EMA, and RMA introduce varied smoothing methods to capture short- to medium-term trends, balancing quick price changes with smoothed averages.
ATR-Enhanced Thresholds: ATR is used as a dynamic multiplier, adjusting each indicator’s thresholds to current volatility levels, which helps reduce noise in low-volatility conditions and emphasizes significant signals when volatility spikes.
Length could be used to adjust how quickly each indicator can more or how slower each indicator can be.
Time Coherency for Inputs: Each indicator must be calculated where each signal is relatively around the same area.
For example:
Simply:
SMA, RMA, EMA, and RSI enters long around each intended trend period. Doesn't have to be perfect, but the indicators all enter long around there.
Each indicator contributes a score (+1 for bullish and -1 for bearish), and these scores are averaged to generate the final trend score:
A positive score, shown as a green line, suggests bullish conditions.
A negative score, indicated by a red line, signifies bearish conditions.
Thus, giving us a signal to long or short.
How to Use the Mean Trend Oscillator
This indicator’s output is straightforward and can fit into various trading strategies:
Bullish Signal: A green line shows that the trend is bullish, based on a positive average score across the indicators, signaling a consideration of longing an asset.
Bearish Signal: A red line indicates bearish conditions, with an overall negative trend score, signaling a consideration to shorting an asset.
By aggregating these indicators, the Mean Trend Oscillator helps traders identify strong trends while filtering out minor fluctuations, making it a versatile tool for both short- and long-term analysis. This multi-layered, adaptive approach to trend detection sets it apart from traditional single-indicator trend tools.
DSL Strategy [DailyPanda]
Overview
The DSL Strategy by DailyPanda is a trading strategy that synergistically combines the idea from indicators to create a more robust and reliable trading tool. By integrating these indicators, the strategy enhances signal accuracy and provides traders with a comprehensive view of market trends and momentum shifts. This combination allows for better entry and exit points, improved risk management, and adaptability to various market conditions.
Combining ideas from indicators adds value by:
Enhancing Signal Confirmation : The strategy requires alignment between trend and momentum before generating trade signals, reducing false entries.
Improving Accuracy : By integrating price action with momentum analysis, the strategy captures more reliable trading opportunities.
Providing Comprehensive Market Insight : The combination offers a better perspective on the market, considering both the direction (trend) and the strength (momentum) of price movements.
How the Components Work Together
1. Trend Identification with DSL Indicator
Dynamic Signal Lines : Calculates upper and lower DSL lines based on a moving average (SMA) and dynamic thresholds derived from recent highs and lows with a specified offset. These lines adapt to market conditions, providing real-time trend insights.
ATR-Based Bands : Adds bands around the DSL lines using the Average True Range (ATR) multiplied by a width factor. These bands account for market volatility and help identify potential stop-loss levels.
Trend Confirmation : The relationship between the price, DSL lines, and bands determines the current trend. For example, if the price consistently stays above the upper DSL line, it indicates a bullish trend.
2. Momentum Analysis
RSI Calculation : Computes the RSI over a specified period to measure the speed and change of price movements.
Zero-Lag EMA (ZLEMA) : Applies a ZLEMA to the RSI to minimize lag and produce a more responsive oscillator.
DSL Application on Oscillator : Implements the DSL concept on the oscillator by calculating dynamic upper and lower levels. This helps identify overbought or oversold conditions more accurately.
Signal Generation : Detects crossovers between the oscillator and its DSL lines. A crossover above the lower DSL line signals potential bullish momentum, while a crossover below the upper DSL line signals potential bearish momentum.
3. Integrated Signal Filtering
Confluence Requirement : A trade signal is generated only when both the DSL indicator and oscillator agree. For instance, a long entry requires both an uptrend confirmation from the DSL indicator and a bullish momentum signal from the oscillator.
Risk Management Integration : The strategy uses the DSL indicator's bands for setting stop-loss levels and calculates take-profit levels based on a user-defined risk-reward ratio. This ensures that every trade has a predefined risk management plan.
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Originality and Value Added to the Community
Unique Synergy : While both indicators are available individually, this strategy is original in how it combines them to enhance their strengths and mitigate their weaknesses, offering a novel approach not present in existing scripts.
Enhanced Reliability : By requiring confirmation from both trend and momentum indicators, the strategy reduces false signals and increases the likelihood of successful trades.
Versatility : The customizable parameters allow traders to adapt the strategy to different instruments, timeframes, and trading styles, making it a valuable tool for a wide range of trading scenarios.
Educational Contribution : The script demonstrates an effective method of combining indicators for improved trading performance, providing insights that other traders can learn from and apply to their own strategies.
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How to Use the Strategy
Adding the Strategy to Your Chart
Apply the DSL Strategy to your desired trading instrument and timeframe on TradingView.
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Configuring Parameters
DSL Indicator Settings :
Length (len) : Adjusts the sensitivity of the DSL lines (default is 34).
Offset : Determines the look-back period for threshold calculations (default is 30).
Bands Width (width) : Changes the distance of the ATR-based bands from the DSL lines (default is 1).
DSL-BELUGA Oscillator Settings :
Beluga Length (len_beluga) : Sets the period for the RSI calculation in the oscillator (default is 10).
DSL Lines Mode (dsl_mode) : Chooses between "Fast" (more responsive) and "Slow" (smoother) modes for the oscillator's DSL lines.
Risk Management :
Risk Reward (risk_reward) : Defines your desired risk-reward ratio for calculating take-profit levels (default is 1.5).
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Interpreting Signals
Long Entry Conditions :
Trend Confirmation : Price is above the upper DSL line and the upper DSL band (dsl_up1 > dsl_dn).
Price Behavior : The last three candles have both their opens and closes above the upper DSL line.
Momentum Signal : The DSL-BELUGA oscillator crosses above its lower DSL line (up_signal), indicating bullish momentum.
Short Entry Conditions :
Trend Confirmation : Price is below the lower DSL line and the lower DSL band (dsl_dn < dsl_up1).
Price Behavior : The last three candles have both their opens and closes below the lower DSL band.
Momentum Signal : The DSL-BELUGA oscillator crosses below its upper DSL line (dn_signal), indicating bearish momentum.
Exit Conditions :
Stop-Loss : Automatically set at the DSL indicator's band level (upper band for longs, lower band for shorts).
Take-Profit : Calculated based on the risk-reward ratio and the initial risk determined by the stop-loss distance.
Visual Aids
Signal Arrows : Upward green arrows for long entries and downward blue arrows for short entries appear on the chart when conditions are met.
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit Lines : Red and green lines display the calculated stop-loss and take-profit levels for active trades.
Background Highlighting : The chart background subtly changes color to indicate when a signal has been generated.
Backtesting and Optimization
Use TradingView's strategy tester to backtest the strategy over historical data.
Adjust parameters to optimize performance for different instruments or market conditions.
Regularly review backtesting results to ensure the strategy remains effective.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
RSI - EMA - WMA ( Phat-Truong )Indicator: RSI ( EMA - WMA )
This indicator, named "RSI ( EMA - WMA )", is a versatile tool designed to provide insights into market momentum and trend strength by combining multiple technical indicators.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a popular momentum oscillator used to measure the speed and change of price movements. In this indicator, RSI is plotted alongside its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and Weighted Moving Average (WMA). EMA and WMA are smoothing techniques applied to RSI to help identify trends more clearly.
Key features of this indicator include:
RSI: The main RSI line is plotted on the chart, offering insights into overbought and oversold conditions.
EMA of RSI: The Exponential Moving Average of RSI smooths out short-term fluctuations, aiding in trend identification.
WMA of RSI: The Weighted Moving Average of RSI gives more weight to recent data points, providing a faster response to price changes.
Additionally, this indicator marks specific RSI levels considered as bullish and bearish trends, helping traders identify potential entry or exit points based on market sentiment.
By combining these technical indicators, traders can gain a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics, helping them make more informed trading decisions.
CMF and Scaled EFI OverlayCMF and Scaled EFI Overlay Indicator
Overview
The CMF and Scaled EFI Overlay indicator combines the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and a scaled version of the Elder Force Index (EFI) into a single chart. This allows traders to analyze both indicators simultaneously, facilitating better insights into market momentum and volume dynamics , specifically focusing on buying/selling pressure and momentum , without compromising the integrity of either indicator.
Purpose
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF): Measures buying and selling pressure by evaluating price and volume over a specified period. It indicates accumulation (buying pressure) when values are positive and distribution (selling pressure) when values are negative.
Elder Force Index (EFI): Combines price changes and volume to assess the momentum behind market moves. Positive values indicate upward momentum (prices rising with strong volume), while negative values indicate downward momentum (prices falling with strong volume).
By scaling the EFI to match the amplitude of the CMF, this indicator enables a direct comparison between pressure and momentum , preserving their shapes and zero crossings. Traders can observe the relationship between price movements, volume, and momentum more effectively, aiding in decision-making.
Understanding Pressure vs. Momentum
Chaikin Money Flow (CMF):
- Indicates the level of demand (buying pressure) or supply (selling pressure) in the market based on volume and price movements.
- Accumulation: When institutional or large investors are buying significant amounts of an asset, leading to an increase in buying pressure.
- Distribution: When these investors are selling off their holdings, increasing selling pressure.
Elder Force Index (EFI):
- Measures the strength and speed of price movements, indicating how forceful the current trend is.
- Positive Momentum: Prices are rising quickly, indicating a strong uptrend.
- Negative Momentum: Prices are falling rapidly, indicating a strong downtrend.
Understanding the difference between pressure and momentum is crucial. For example, a market may exhibit strong buying pressure (positive CMF) but weak momentum (low EFI), suggesting accumulation without significant price movement yet.
Features
Overlay of CMF and Scaled EFI: Both indicators are plotted on the same chart for easy comparison of pressure and momentum dynamics.
Customizable Parameters: Adjust lengths for CMF and EFI calculations and fine-tune the scaling factor for optimal alignment.
Preserved Indicator Integrity: The scaling method preserves the shape and zero crossings of the EFI, ensuring accurate analysis.
How It Works
CMF Calculation:
- Calculates the Money Flow Multiplier (MFM) and Money Flow Volume (MFV) to assess buying and selling pressure.
- CMF is computed by summing the MFV over the specified length and dividing by the sum of volume over the same period:
CMF = (Sum of MFV over n periods) / (Sum of Volume over n periods)
EFI Calculation:
- Calculates the EFI using the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the price change multiplied by volume:
EFI = EMA(n, Change in Close * Volume)
Scaling the EFI:
- The EFI is scaled by multiplying it with a user-defined scaling factor to match the CMF's amplitude.
Plotting:
- Both the CMF and the scaled EFI are plotted on the same chart.
- A zero line is included for reference, aiding in identifying crossovers and divergences.
Indicator Settings
Inputs
CMF Length (`cmf_length`):
- Default: 20
- Description: The number of periods over which the CMF is calculated. A higher value smooths the indicator but may delay signals.
EFI Length (`efi_length`):
- Default: 13
- Description: The EMA length for the EFI calculation. Adjusting this value affects the sensitivity of the EFI to price changes.
EFI Scaling Factor (`efi_scaling_factor`):
- Default: 0.000001
- Description: A constant used to scale the EFI to match the CMF's amplitude. Fine-tuning this value ensures the indicators align visually.
How to Adjust the EFI Scaling Factor
Start with the Default Value:
- Begin with the default scaling factor of `0.000001`.
Visual Inspection:
- Observe the plotted indicators. If the EFI appears too large or small compared to the CMF, proceed to adjust the scaling factor.
Fine-Tune the Scaling Factor:
- Increase or decrease the scaling factor incrementally (e.g., `0.000005`, `0.00001`, `0.00005`) until the amplitudes of the CMF and EFI visually align.
- The optimal scaling factor may vary depending on the asset and timeframe.
Verify Alignment:
- Ensure that the scaled EFI preserves the shape and zero crossings of the original EFI.
- Overlay the original EFI (if desired) to confirm alignment.
How to Use the Indicator
Analyze Buying/Selling Pressure and Momentum:
- Positive CMF (>0): Indicates accumulation (buying pressure).
- Negative CMF (<0): Indicates distribution (selling pressure).
- Positive EFI: Indicates positive momentum (prices rising with strong volume).
- Negative EFI: Indicates negative momentum (prices falling with strong volume).
Look for Indicator Alignment:
- Both CMF and EFI Positive:
- Suggests strong bullish conditions with both buying pressure and upward momentum.
- Both CMF and EFI Negative:
- Indicates strong bearish conditions with selling pressure and downward momentum.
Identify Divergences:
- CMF Positive, EFI Negative:
- Buying pressure exists, but momentum is negative; potential for a bullish reversal if momentum shifts.
- CMF Negative, EFI Positive:
- Selling pressure exists despite rising prices; caution advised as it may indicate a potential bearish reversal.
Confirm Signals with Other Analysis:
- Use this indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools (e.g., trend lines, support/resistance levels) to confirm trading decisions.
Example Usage
Scenario 1: Bullish Alignment
- CMF Positive: Indicates accumulation (buying pressure).
- EFI Positive and Increasing: Shows strengthening upward momentum.
- Interpretation:
- Strong bullish signal suggesting that buyers are active, and the price is likely to continue rising.
- Action:
- Consider entering a long position or adding to existing ones.
Scenario 2: Bearish Divergence
- CMF Negative: Indicates distribution (selling pressure).
- EFI Positive but Decreasing: Momentum is positive but weakening.
- Interpretation:
- Potential bearish reversal; price may be rising but underlying selling pressure suggests caution.
- Action:
- Be cautious with long positions; consider tightening stop-losses or preparing for a possible trend reversal.
Tips
Adjust for Different Assets:
- The optimal scaling factor may differ across assets due to varying price and volume characteristics.
- Always adjust the scaling factor when analyzing a new asset.
Monitor Indicator Crossovers:
- Crossings above or below the zero line can signal potential trend changes.
Watch for Divergences:
- Divergences between the CMF and EFI can provide early warning signs of trend reversals.
Combine with Other Indicators:
- Enhance your analysis by combining this overlay with other indicators like moving averages, RSI, or Ichimoku Cloud.
Limitations
Scaling Factor Sensitivity:
- An incorrect scaling factor may misalign the indicators, leading to inaccurate interpretations.
- Regular adjustments may be necessary when switching between different assets or timeframes.
Not a Standalone Indicator:
- Should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy.
- Always consider other market factors and indicators before making trading decisions.
Disclaimer
No Guarantee of Performance:
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- Trading involves risk, and losses can exceed deposits.
Use at Your Own Risk:
- This indicator is provided for educational purposes.
- The author is not responsible for any financial losses incurred while using this indicator.
Code Summary
//@version=5
indicator(title="CMF and Scaled EFI Overlay", shorttitle="CMF & Scaled EFI", overlay=false)
cmf_length = input.int(20, minval=1, title="CMF Length")
efi_length = input.int(13, minval=1, title="EFI Length")
efi_scaling_factor = input.float(0.000001, title="EFI Scaling Factor", minval=0.0, step=0.000001)
// --- CMF Calculation ---
ad = high != low ? ((2 * close - low - high) / (high - low)) * volume : 0
mf = math.sum(ad, cmf_length) / math.sum(volume, cmf_length)
// --- EFI Calculation ---
efi_raw = ta.ema(ta.change(close) * volume, efi_length)
// --- Scale EFI ---
efi_scaled = efi_raw * efi_scaling_factor
// --- Plotting ---
plot(mf, color=color.green, title="CMF", linewidth=2)
plot(efi_scaled, color=color.red, title="EFI (Scaled)", linewidth=2)
hline(0, color=color.gray, title="Zero Line", linestyle=hline.style_dashed)
- Lines 4-6: Define input parameters for CMF length, EFI length, and EFI scaling factor.
- Lines 9-11: Calculate the CMF.
- Lines 14-16: Calculate the EFI.
- Line 19: Scale the EFI by the scaling factor.
- Lines 22-24: Plot the CMF, scaled EFI, and zero line.
Feedback and Support
Suggestions: If you have ideas for improvements or additional features, please share your feedback.
Support: For assistance or questions regarding this indicator, feel free to contact the author through TradingView.
---
By combining the CMF and scaled EFI into a single overlay, this indicator provides a powerful tool for traders to analyze market dynamics more comprehensively. Adjust the parameters to suit your trading style, and always practice sound risk management.
Z-Scored Moving Average Suite [KFB Quant]Z-Scored Moving Average Suite
This indicator combines several types of moving averages—Simple, Exponential, and Weighted—with a Z-Score calculation to give a clearer understanding of price trends in relation to their historical averages. It is used to detect overbought (OB) and oversold (OS) conditions, allowing you to see when an asset is deviating significantly from its mean.
Key Components:
Moving Averages: The suite includes Simple (SMA), Exponential (EMA), and Weighted (WMA) Moving Averages. For each, a single, double, and triple version is calculated to smooth out noise.
Z-Score: The Z-Score measures how far the current price is from its moving average in terms of standard deviations, helping to highlight unusual price behavior.
Overbought and Oversold Levels:
- When the Z-Score crosses above a predefined threshold (1.5 by default), the asset is considered Overbought (OB).
- When the Z-Score drops below a certain level (-1.5 by default), the asset is seen as Oversold (OS).
Visualization:
- The histogram represents the average Z-Score of all the moving averages combined, colored based on bullish (blue) or bearish (brown) trends.
- Individual Z-Scores for each moving average type (SMA, EMA, WMA) are also plotted, providing further insight into the momentum and direction.
Signals:
- The table in the chart shows a summary of Z-Scores for each type of moving average. It also provides a quick glance at whether the asset is in a bullish or bearish phase, if the Z-Scores are rising or falling, and whether the asset is overbought or oversold.
This tool is highly customizable, with adjustable lengths for the moving averages and Z-Scores, making it a flexible addition to any trading strategy that relies on mean-reversion or trend analysis.
Disclaimer: This tool is provided for informational and educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI [BackQuant]Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI
Introducing BackQuant's Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI, a cutting-edge indicator that enhances the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI) by applying both a Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter to provide smoother and more reliable signals. This advanced approach helps reduce noise and captures true momentum trends with greater precision. Let’s break down how the indicator works, the features it offers, and how it can improve your trading strategy.
Core Concept: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with levels above 70 typically indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions. However, the standard RSI can sometimes generate noisy signals, especially in volatile markets, making it challenging to identify reliable entry and exit points.
To improve upon the traditional RSI, this indicator introduces two powerful filters: the Savitzky-Golay filter and a median filter.
Savitzky-Golay Filter: Smoothing with Precision
The Savitzky-Golay filter is a digital filtering technique used to smooth data while preserving important features, such as peaks and trends. Unlike simple moving averages that can distort important price data, the Savitzky-Golay filter uses polynomial regression to fit the data, providing a more accurate and less lagging result.
In this script, the Savitzky-Golay filter is applied to the RSI values to smooth out short-term fluctuations and provide a more reliable signal. By using a window size of 5 and a polynomial degree of 2, the filter effectively reduces noise without compromising the integrity of the underlying price movements.
Median Filter: Reducing Outliers
After applying the Savitzky-Golay filter, the median filter is applied to the smoothed RSI values. The median filter is particularly effective at removing short-lived outliers, further enhancing the accuracy of the RSI by reducing the impact of sudden and temporary price spikes or drops. This combination of filters creates an ultra-smooth RSI that is better suited for detecting true market trends.
Long and Short Signals
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI generates long and short signals based on user-defined threshold levels:
Long Signals: A long signal is triggered when the filtered RSI exceeds the Long Threshold (default set at 176). This indicates that momentum is shifting upward, and it may present a good buying opportunity.
Short Signals: A short signal is generated when the filtered RSI falls below the Short Threshold (default set at 162). This suggests that momentum is weakening, potentially signaling a selling opportunity or exit from a long position.
These threshold levels can be adjusted to suit different market conditions and timeframes, allowing traders to fine-tune the sensitivity of the indicator.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI comes with several customization options, enabling traders to tailor the indicator to their specific needs:
Calculation Source: Select the price source for the RSI calculation (default is OHLC4, but it can be changed to close, open, high, or low prices).
RSI Period: Adjust the lookback period for the RSI calculation (default is 14).
Median Filter Length: Control the length of the median filter applied to the smoothed RSI, affecting how much noise is removed from the signal.
Threshold Levels: Customize the long and short thresholds to define the sensitivity for generating buy and sell signals.
UI Settings: Choose whether to display the RSI and thresholds on the chart, color the bars according to trend direction, and adjust the line width and colors used for long and short signals.
Visual Feedback: Color-Coded Signals and Thresholds
To make the signals easier to interpret, the indicator offers visual feedback by coloring the price bars and the RSI plot according to the current market trend:
Green Bars indicate long signals when momentum is bullish.
Red Bars indicate short signals when momentum is bearish.
Gray Bars indicate neutral or undecided conditions when no clear signal is present.
In addition, the Long and Short Thresholds can be plotted directly on the chart to provide a clear reference for when signals are triggered, allowing traders to visually gauge the strength of the RSI relative to its thresholds.
Alerts for Automation
For traders who prefer automated notifications, the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI includes built-in alert conditions for long and short signals. You can configure these alerts to notify you when a buy or sell condition is met, ensuring you never miss a trading opportunity.
Trading Applications
This indicator is versatile and can be used in a variety of trading strategies:
Trend Following: The combination of Savitzky-Golay and median filtering makes this RSI particularly useful for identifying strong trends without being misled by short-term noise. Traders can use the long and short signals to enter trades in the direction of the prevailing trend.
Reversal Trading: By adjusting the threshold levels, traders can use this indicator to spot potential reversals. When the RSI moves from overbought to oversold levels (or vice versa), it may signal a shift in market direction.
Swing Trading: The smoothed RSI provides a clear signal for short to medium-term price movements, making it an excellent tool for swing traders looking to capitalize on momentum shifts.
Risk Management: The filtered RSI can be used as part of a broader risk management strategy, helping traders avoid false signals and stay in trades only when the momentum is strong.
Final Thoughts
The Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI takes the classic RSI to the next level by applying advanced smoothing techniques that reduce noise and improve signal reliability. Whether you’re a trend follower, swing trader, or reversal trader, this indicator provides a more refined approach to momentum analysis, helping you make better-informed trading decisions.
As with all indicators, it is important to backtest thoroughly and incorporate sound risk management strategies when using the Savitzky Golay Median Filtered RSI in your trading system.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
Kalman For Loop [BackQuant]Kalman For Loop
Introducing BackQuant's Kalman For Loop (Kalman FL) — a highly adaptive trading indicator that uses a Kalman filter to smooth price data and generate actionable long and short signals. This advanced indicator is designed to help traders identify trends, filter out market noise, and optimize their entry and exit points with precision. Let’s explore how this indicator works, its key features, and how it can enhance your trading strategies.
Core Concept: Kalman Filter
The Kalman Filter is a mathematical algorithm used to estimate the state of a system by filtering noisy data. It is widely used in areas such as control systems, signal processing, and time-series analysis. In the context of trading, a Kalman filter can be applied to price data to smooth out short-term fluctuations, providing a clearer view of the underlying trend.
Unlike moving averages, which use fixed weights to smooth data, the Kalman Filter adjusts its estimate dynamically based on the relationship between the process noise and the measurement noise. This makes the filter more adaptive to changing market conditions, providing more accurate trend detection without the lag associated with traditional smoothing techniques.
Please see the original Kalman Price Filter
In this script, the Kalman For Loop applies the Kalman filter to the price source (default set to the closing price) to generate a smoothed price series, which is then used to calculate signals.
Adaptive Smoothing with Process and Measurement Noise
Two key parameters govern the behavior of the Kalman filter:
Process Noise: This controls the extent to which the model allows for uncertainty in price changes. A lower process noise value will make the filter smoother but slower to react to price changes, while a higher value makes it more sensitive to recent price fluctuations.
Measurement Noise: This represents the uncertainty or "noise" in the observed price data. A higher measurement noise value gives the filter more leeway to ignore short-term fluctuations, focusing on the broader trend. Lowering the measurement noise makes the filter more responsive to minor changes in price.
These settings allow traders to fine-tune the Kalman filter’s sensitivity, adjusting it to match their preferred trading style or market conditions.
For-Loop Scoring Mechanism
The Kalman FL further enhances the effectiveness of the Kalman filter by using a for-loop scoring system. This mechanism evaluates the smoothed price over a range of periods (defined by the Calculation Start and Calculation End inputs), assigning a score based on whether the current filtered price is higher or lower than previous values.
Long Signals: A long signal is generated when the for-loop score surpasses the Long Threshold (default set at 20), indicating a strong upward trend. This helps traders identify potential buying opportunities.
Short Signals: A short signal is triggered when the score crosses below the Short Threshold (default set at -10), signaling a potential downtrend or selling opportunity.
These signals are plotted on the chart, giving traders a clear visual indication of when to enter long or short positions.
Customization and Visualization Options
The Kalman For Loop comes with a range of customization options to give traders full control over how the indicator operates and is displayed on the chart:
Kalman Price Source: Choose the price data used for the Kalman filter (default is the closing price), allowing you to apply the filter to other price points like open, high, or low.
Filter Order: Set the order of the Kalman filter (default is 5), controlling how far back the filter looks in its calculations.
Process and Measurement Noise: Fine-tune the sensitivity of the Kalman filter by adjusting these noise parameters.
Signal Line Width and Colors: Customize the appearance of the signal line and the colors used to indicate long and short conditions.
Threshold Lines: Toggle the display of the long and short threshold lines on the chart for better visual clarity.
The indicator also includes the option to color the candlesticks based on the current trend direction, allowing traders to quickly identify changes in market sentiment. In addition, a background color feature further highlights the overall trend by shading the background in green for long signals and red for short signals.
Trading Applications
The Kalman For Loop is a versatile tool that can be adapted to a variety of trading strategies and markets. Some of the primary use cases include:
Trend Following: The adaptive nature of the Kalman filter helps traders identify the start of new trends with greater precision. The for-loop scoring system quantifies the strength of the trend, making it easier to stay in trades for longer when the trend remains strong.
Mean Reversion: For traders looking to capitalize on short-term reversals, the Kalman filter's ability to smooth price data makes it easier to spot when price has deviated too far from its expected path, potentially signaling a reversal.
Noise Reduction: The Kalman filter excels at filtering out short-term price noise, allowing traders to focus on the broader market movements without being distracted by minor fluctuations.
Risk Management: By providing clear long and short signals based on filtered price data, the Kalman FL helps traders manage risk by entering positions only when the trend is well-defined, reducing the chances of false signals.
Alerts and Automation
To further assist traders, the Kalman For Loop includes built-in alert conditions that notify you when a long or short signal is generated. These alerts can be configured to trigger notifications, helping you stay on top of market movements without constantly monitoring the chart.
Final Thoughts
The Kalman For Loop is a powerful and adaptive trading indicator that combines the precision of the Kalman filter with a for-loop scoring mechanism to generate reliable long and short signals. Whether you’re a trend follower or a reversal trader, this indicator offers the flexibility and accuracy needed to navigate complex markets with confidence.
As always, it’s important to backtest the indicator and adjust the settings to fit your trading style and market conditions. No indicator is perfect, and the Kalman FL should be used alongside other tools and sound risk management practices for the best results.
Fetch Z-scoreThis script is enspired by the creator of the Z-score probability indicator made by www.tradingview.com
I took his calculation for the z-score and created my own strategy based on that z-score.
What is z-score? The Z-score represents how far the current price deviates from the moving average, measured in terms of standard deviations
What does this script do with the Z-score?
The script offers several customizable options, including displaying buy and sell signals based on Z-score thresholds and overlaying these signals directly on the chart or below/above the bars.
The idea is that when the Z-score exceeds a certain treshold, a count will start. The count will lead to a signal. For example: Say the Z-score dipped below -1. From there, the script will by default count whether the current Z-score is higher than the Z-score of the past 10 datapoints. If so, a buy signal will be printed on the chart. The idea is that the Z-score will creep up after a low, making sure you buy earyly in the new uptrend, making this a trend followiung system, with early trend detection.
You can choose whether you want the buy and sell signals on the seperate pane, or on the chart by toggeling a simple setting.
What are my favorite settings?
- Timeframe: weekly
- SMA Length: 75
- Z score buy treshold: -1.5
- Z score sell treshold: 3
- Lookback buy period: 20
- Lookback sell period: 20
Market Phases [OmegaTools]The Market Phases indicator utilizes the Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) to assess various asset classes, bonds, or stock sectors across different market phases. It offers users the ability to monitor and compare trends in multiple markets through a normalized DPO approach, providing insights into relative overbought or oversold conditions. The indicator supports three distinct modes: "Asset Classes," "Bonds," and "Stock Sectors," allowing flexibility in market analysis based on user preference.
Key Features:
Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO) Calculation: The DPO is computed to remove longer-term trends and focus on shorter-term cyclical behavior. The indicator applies normalization using linear interpolation to smooth out the values for better comparison across different markets.
Three Analysis Modes:
Asset Classes: Compares the DPO for major asset classes, including stocks (S&P 500), bonds (US 10-Year), commodities (Gold), and the US Dollar Index (DXY).
Bonds: Analyzes the DPO across various bond categories such as investment-grade bonds (LQD), high-yield bonds (HYG), emerging market bonds (EMB), and corporate bonds.
Stock Sectors: Provides insight into key stock sectors, including Technology (XLK), Utilities (XLU), Financials (XLF), and Healthcare (XLV).
Real-Time Plotting:
The indicator plots the DPO values of the selected assets, bonds, or sectors on the chart. It provides a visual representation of the market phases, helping to identify potential market reversals or trends. Each plot is color-coded for clarity:
Blue: Asset/Sector 1
Red: Asset/Sector 2
Green: Asset/Sector 3
Orange: Asset/Sector 4
Table Display:
A dynamic table is displayed on the chart, showing the DPO values for the selected mode's assets or sectors. This allows quick comparison and evaluation of market trends.
Inputs:
DPO Length: Defines the lookback period for DPO calculation, adjustable between 10 and 500.
Normalization Length: Sets the length for normalizing the DPO values, with options ranging from 100 to 2000.
Mode: Choose between "Asset Classes," "Bonds," or "Stock Sectors" for tailored market analysis.
This tool is perfect for traders seeking to identify cyclical market phases, compare different asset classes, or monitor sector rotation dynamics. Use it to align your trading strategies with broader market trends and uncover potential trading opportunities across multiple markets.
Distance between EMA 50-100/100-150This script calculates and plots the percentage difference between the 50-period, 100-period, and 150-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on a TradingView chart. The aim is to provide a clear visual representation of the market's momentum by analyzing the distance between key EMAs over time.
Key features of this script:
1. EMA Calculation : The script computes the EMA values for 50, 100, and 150 periods and calculates the percentage difference between EMA 50 and 100, and between EMA 100 and 150.
2. Custom Threshold : Users can adjust a threshold percentage to highlight significant divergences between the EMAs. A default threshold is set to 0.1%.
3. Visual Alerts : When the percentage difference exceeds the threshold, a visual marker appears on the chart:
Green Circles for bullish momentum (positive divergence),
Red Circles for bearish momentum (negative divergence),
Diamonds to indicate the first occurrence of new bullish or bearish signals, allowing users to catch fresh market trends.
4. Dynamic Plotting : The script plots two lines representing the percentage difference for each EMA pair, offering a quick and intuitive way to monitor trends.
Ideal for traders looking to gauge market direction using the relationship between multiple EMAs, this script simplifies analysis by focusing on key moving average interactions.
Normalized Linear Regression (LSMA) OscillatorNormalized Linear Regression (LSMA) Oscillator
By Nathan Farmer
The Normalized LSMA Oscillator is a trend-following indicator that enhances the classic Linear Regression (LSMA) by applying a range of normalization techniques. This indicator allows traders to smooth out and normalize LSMA signals for better trend detection and dynamic market adaptation.
Key Features:
Configurable Normalization Methods:
This indicator offers several normalization techniques, such as Z-Score, Min-Max, Mean Normalization, Robust Scaler, Logistic Function, and Quantile Transformation. Each method helps in refining LSMA outputs to improve clarity in both trending and ranging market conditions.
Smoothing Options:
Smoothing can be applied after normalization, helping to reduce noise in the signals, thus making trend-following strategies that use this indicator more effective.
Recommended Settings:
Logistic Function Normalization: Recommended length of around 12, based on my preferred signal frequency.
Z-Score Normalization: Medium period (close to the default of 50), based on my preferred signal frequency.
Min-Max Normalization: Medium period, based on my preferred signal frequency.
Mean Normalization: Medium period, based on my preferred signal frequency.
Robust Scaler: Medium period, based on my preferred signal frequency.
Quantile Transformation: Medium period, based on my preferred signal frequency.
Usage:
Designed primarily for trend-following strategies, this indicator adapts well to varying market conditions. Traders can experiment with the various normalization and smoothing settings to match the indicator to their specific needs and market preferences.
Recommendation before usage:
Always backtest the indicator for yourself with respect to how you intend to use it. Modify the parameters to suit your needs, over your preferred time frame, on your preferred asset. My preferences are for the assets I happened to be looking at when I made this indicator. Odds are, you're looking at something else, over a different time frame, in a different market environment than what my settings are tailored for.
Signals Pro [traderslog]The "Signals Pro" indicator is an advanced and versatile trading tool designed to help traders accurately identify key buy and sell signals using a combination of technical analysis factors such as candle patterns , RSI (Relative Strength Index) , and candle stability . It is highly customizable and offers a range of options that make it suitable for both short-term and long-term traders. By filtering market noise and providing actionable insights, this indicator enhances decision-making and helps traders capitalize on market movements.
At the core of the "Signals Pro" indicator is the concept of Candle Stability . The Candle Stability Index measures the ratio between a candle's body and its wicks, providing insight into the strength of the price movement during that period. A higher value indicates that the candle is more stable, meaning that the price has moved significantly without much retracement. This stability filter is crucial because it prevents the generation of signals during volatile or choppy market conditions where price direction is uncertain. Traders can adjust the Candle Stability Index from 0 to 1, allowing for precise control over how stable a candle must be for the indicator to generate a signal.
Another key feature is the use of RSI (Relative Strength Index) , a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. The RSI index parameter in the indicator can be customized to detect overbought or oversold conditions. When the RSI falls below the defined threshold, it signals that the market may be oversold , which can indicate a potential buying opportunity . Conversely, when the RSI exceeds a certain value, it suggests that the market is overbought , signaling a potential selling opportunity . This allows traders to time their trades more effectively by entering when market conditions are favorable and exiting before a potential reversal occurs.
The Candle Delta Length is another critical element of the "Signals Pro" indicator. This parameter measures how much the price has increased or decreased over a specific number of candles. By adjusting the Candle Delta Length , traders can define how many periods the indicator should analyze before generating a signal. A longer Candle Delta Length means the price has been trending in one direction for a longer period, providing more reliable signals. For instance, if the price has been steadily decreasing for five candles, this could signal a bullish reversal , triggering a buy signal .
To further enhance its accuracy, the "Signals Pro" indicator includes a unique feature that allows traders to disable repeating signals . This is particularly useful in situations where the market is moving sideways or during low volatility periods, where multiple signals may cluster close together, creating confusion. By enabling the disable repeating signals option, traders can prevent these repeated signals and focus on the most important and confirmed signals, ensuring cleaner charts and reducing the risk of overtrading.
A key technical aspect of the indicator is its ability to detect bullish and bearish engulfing patterns . The indicator looks for bullish engulfing patterns, which occur when a bullish candle fully engulfs the body of the previous bearish candle, signaling a potential bullish reversal . Conversely, bearish engulfing patterns occur when a bearish candle fully engulfs the previous bullish candle, indicating a bearish reversal . By incorporating these candle patterns with the Candle Stability Index and RSI levels , the indicator provides highly reliable signals based on price action and market sentiment.
Visual customization is another major advantage of the "Signals Pro" indicator. Traders can choose from several different label styles , such as text bubbles , triangles , or arrows to mark the buy and sell signals on the chart. This makes the signals stand out and easy to interpret at a glance. Furthermore, the color of these signals can be customized: green for buy signals and red for sell signals , along with options to adjust the text size and label styles for even more personalization. Traders can make the signals more or less prominent based on their preference, enhancing readability and workflow efficiency.
The indicator also includes a comprehensive alert system , ensuring traders never miss an opportunity. Alerts can be set for both buy and sell signals , and the system triggers in real-time when a valid signal is generated. This is especially useful for active traders who want to stay on top of the markets without constantly monitoring their screens. The alert system helps ensure that traders are notified of potential trading opportunities as soon as they arise, allowing them to act quickly in volatile markets.
From a practical standpoint, the "Signals Pro" indicator is designed to work seamlessly across multiple timeframes, making it suitable for scalpers, day traders, swing traders, and even long-term investors. Its flexibility allows it to adapt to different trading styles and time horizons, providing value for a wide range of market participants.
In summary, the Signals Pro indicator offers a robust and customizable solution for identifying buy and sell signals . By combining candle stability , RSI analysis , and engulfing patterns , the indicator provides traders with reliable signals to enter or exit trades. The ability to customize signal appearance, coupled with a real-time alert system , makes the "Signals Pro" indicator an invaluable tool for traders looking to improve their timing and decision-making. Whether you are looking to capture short-term price movements or want to time entries and exits in longer-term trends, this indicator offers the insights needed to navigate the markets with confidence.
Aroon Oscillator [BigBeluga]Aroon Oscillator with Mean Reversion & Trend Signals is a versatile tool that helps traders identify both trend direction and potential mean reversion points. The core Aroon Oscillator tracks the strength of a trend by measuring how long it has been since a high or low price occurred within a specified period. This oscillator provides trend-following signals (LONG/SHORT) along with mean reversion signals, giving traders both the ability to ride trends and anticipate reversals.
The unique feature of this indicator is the Mean Reversion Signals, marked with dots on the main chart, indicating potential points where the trend might reverse or retrace. In addition, trend-following signals (LONG and SHORT) are plotted directly on the chart, providing clear entry and exit points when a trend is beginning or ending.
🔵 IDEA
The Aroon Oscillator with Mean Reversion indicator provides a combined approach of trend analysis and mean reversion. The core idea is to track the health and momentum of trends, while also identifying when those trends might reverse or slow down. This dual approach allows traders to both follow the prevailing market direction and also capture mean reversion opportunities.
The oscillator is smoothed with John Ehlers' Zero Lag function , which helps reduce noise and improves signal clarity by removing lag without sacrificing the indicator's responsiveness.
The indicator uses color-coded signals and an easy-to-read oscillator to visually represent different types of signals on the chart. This makes it easy for traders to spot important changes in market trends and take action based on both the trend-following and mean reversion aspects of the indicator.
🔵 KEY FEATURES & USAGE
Trend Following Signals (LONG/SHORT):
In addition to mean reversion signals, the indicator also provides clear trend-following signals. LONG signals (green arrows) are plotted when the oscillator crosses above zero, indicating a potential uptrend. Conversely, SHORT signals (blue arrows) are plotted when the oscillator crosses below zero, signaling a potential downtrend.
Mean Reversion Signals:
This indicator features unique mean reversion signals, represented by dots on the main chart. These signals occur when the oscillator crosses over or under a smoother signal line, indicating that the current trend might be losing strength and a reversal or retracement is possible. Green dots represent a possible upward reversion, while blue dots signal a potential downward reversion.
Color-Coded Signals and Oscillator:
The Aroon Oscillator is color-coded to make it visually easier for traders to differentiate between trends and mean reversion signals. When the oscillator is above zero, the area is filled with green, and when it is below zero, the area is filled with blue. This visual representation helps traders quickly identify the current market condition at a glance.
🔵 CUSTOMIZATION
Aroon Length & Smoothing: Control the sensitivity of the Aroon Oscillator by adjusting the lookback period and smoothing settings, allowing traders to fine-tune the indicator to match different market conditions.
Mean Reversion Signals: Enable or disable mean reversion signals based on your trading preferences. Adjust the signal line length to control when these reversal signals are triggered.
Color Customization: Customize the colors for the oscillator and signals to match your chart’s color scheme for better visual clarity.
Chande Momentum Oscillator StrategyThe Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO) Trading Strategy is based on the momentum oscillator developed by Tushar Chande in 1994. The CMO measures the momentum of a security by calculating the difference between the sum of recent gains and losses over a defined period. The indicator offers a means to identify overbought and oversold conditions, making it suitable for developing mean-reversion trading strategies (Chande, 1997).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Chande Momentum Oscillator (CMO):
The CMO formula considers both positive and negative price changes over a defined period (commonly set to 9 days) and computes the net momentum as a percentage.
The formula is as follows:
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)
CMO=100×(Sum of Gains+Sum of Losses)(Sum of Gains−Sum of Losses)
This approach distinguishes the CMO from other oscillators like the RSI by using both price gains and losses in the numerator, providing a more symmetrical measurement of momentum (Chande, 1997).
Entry Condition:
The strategy opens a long position when the CMO value falls below -50, signaling an oversold condition where the price may revert to the mean. Research in mean-reversion, such as by Poterba and Summers (1988), supports this approach, highlighting that prices often revert after sharp movements due to overreaction in the markets.
Exit Conditions:
The strategy closes the long position when:
The CMO rises above 50, indicating that the price may have become overbought and may not provide further upside potential.
Alternatively, the position is closed 5 days after the buy signal is triggered, regardless of the CMO value, to ensure a timely exit even if the momentum signal does not reach the predefined level.
This exit strategy aligns with the concept of time-based exits, reducing the risk of prolonged exposure to adverse price movements (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages the well-known phenomenon of mean-reversion in financial markets. According to research by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), prices tend to revert to their mean over short periods following strong movements, creating opportunities for traders to profit from temporary deviations.
The CMO captures this mean-reversion behavior by monitoring extreme price conditions. When the CMO reaches oversold levels (below -50), it signals potential buying opportunities, whereas crossing overbought levels (above 50) indicates conditions for selling.
Market Efficiency and Overreaction:
The strategy takes advantage of behavioral inefficiencies and overreactions, which are often the drivers behind sharp price movements (Shiller, 2003). By identifying these extreme conditions with the CMO, the strategy aims to capitalize on the market’s tendency to correct itself when price deviations become too large.
Optimization and Parameter Selection:
The 9-day period used for the CMO calculation is a widely accepted timeframe that balances responsiveness and noise reduction, making it suitable for capturing short-term price fluctuations. Studies in technical analysis suggest that oscillators optimized over such periods are effective in detecting reversals (Murphy, 1999).
Performance and Backtesting:
The strategy's effectiveness is confirmed through backtesting, which shows that using the CMO as a mean-reversion tool yields profitable opportunities. The use of time-based exits alongside momentum-based signals enhances the reliability of the strategy by ensuring that trades are closed even when the momentum signal alone does not materialize.
Conclusion:
The Chande Momentum Oscillator Trading Strategy combines the principles of momentum measurement and mean-reversion to identify and capitalize on short-term price fluctuations. By using a widely tested oscillator like the CMO and integrating a systematic exit approach, the strategy effectively addresses both entry and exit conditions, providing a robust method for trading in diverse market environments.
References:
Chande, T. S. (1997). The New Technical Trader: Boost Your Profit by Plugging into the Latest Indicators. John Wiley & Sons.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Ultimate Oscillator Trading StrategyThe Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is based on the Ultimate Oscillator (UO), a momentum indicator developed by Larry Williams in 1976. The UO is designed to measure price momentum over multiple timeframes, providing a more comprehensive view of market conditions by considering short-term, medium-term, and long-term trends simultaneously. This strategy applies the UO as a mean-reversion tool, seeking to capitalize on temporary deviations from the mean price level in the asset’s movement (Williams, 1976).
Strategy Overview:
Calculation of the Ultimate Oscillator (UO):
The UO combines price action over three different periods (short-term, medium-term, and long-term) to generate a weighted momentum measure. The default settings used in this strategy are:
Short-term: 6 periods (adjustable between 2 and 10).
Medium-term: 14 periods (adjustable between 6 and 14).
Long-term: 20 periods (adjustable between 10 and 20).
The UO is calculated as a weighted average of buying pressure and true range across these periods. The weights are designed to give more emphasis to short-term momentum, reflecting the short-term mean-reversion behavior observed in financial markets (Murphy, 1999).
Entry Conditions:
A long position is opened when the UO value falls below 30, indicating that the asset is potentially oversold. The value of 30 is a common threshold that suggests the price may have deviated significantly from its mean and could be due for a reversal, consistent with mean-reversion theory (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Exit Conditions:
The long position is closed when the current close price exceeds the previous day’s high. This rule captures the reversal and price recovery, providing a defined point to take profits.
The use of previous highs as exit points aligns with breakout and momentum strategies, as it indicates sufficient strength for a price recovery (Fama, 1970).
Scientific Basis and Rationale:
Momentum and Mean-Reversion:
The strategy leverages two well-established phenomena in financial markets: momentum and mean-reversion. Momentum, identified in earlier studies like those by Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), describes the tendency of assets to continue in their direction of movement over short periods. Mean-reversion, as discussed by Poterba and Summers (1988), indicates that asset prices tend to revert to their mean over time after short-term deviations. This dual approach aims to buy assets when they are temporarily oversold and capitalize on their return to the mean.
Multi-timeframe Analysis:
The UO’s incorporation of multiple timeframes (short, medium, and long) provides a holistic view of momentum, unlike single-period oscillators such as the RSI. By combining data across different timeframes, the UO offers a more robust signal and reduces the risk of false entries often associated with single-period momentum indicators (Murphy, 1999).
Trading and Market Efficiency:
Studies in behavioral finance, such as those by Shiller (2003), show that short-term inefficiencies and behavioral biases can lead to overreactions in the market, resulting in price deviations. This strategy seeks to exploit these temporary inefficiencies, using the UO as a signal to identify potential entry points when the market sentiment may have overly pushed the price away from its average.
Strategy Performance:
Backtests of this strategy show promising results, with profit factors exceeding 2.5 when the default settings are optimized. These results are consistent with other studies on short-term trading strategies that capitalize on mean-reversion patterns (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993). The use of a dynamic, multi-period indicator like the UO enhances the strategy’s adaptability, making it effective across different market conditions and timeframes.
Conclusion:
The Ultimate Oscillator Trading Strategy effectively combines momentum and mean-reversion principles to trade on temporary market inefficiencies. By utilizing multiple periods in its calculation, the UO provides a more reliable and comprehensive measure of momentum, reducing the likelihood of false signals and increasing the profitability of trades. This aligns with modern financial research, showing that strategies based on mean-reversion and multi-timeframe analysis can be effective in capturing short-term price movements.
References:
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1976). Ultimate Oscillator. Market research and technical trading analysis.
[3Commas] Signal BuilderSignal Builder is a tool designed to help traders create custom buy and sell signals by combining multiple technical indicators. Its flexibility allows traders to set conditions based on their specific strategy, whether they’re into scalping, swing trading, or long-term investing. Additionally, its integration with 3Commas bots makes it a powerful choice for those looking to automate their trades, though it’s also ideal for traders who prefer receiving alerts and making manual decisions.
🔵 How does Signal Builder work?
Signal Builder allows users to define custom conditions using popular technical indicators, which, when met, generate clear buy or sell signals. These signals can be used to trigger TradingView alerts, ensuring that you never miss a market opportunity. Additionally, all conditions are evaluated using "AND" logic, meaning signals are only activated when all user-defined conditions are met. This increases precision and helps avoid false signals.
🔵 Available indicators and recommended settings:
Signal Builder provides access to a wide range of technical indicators, each customizable to popular settings that maximize effectiveness:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): An oscillator that measures the relative strength of price over a specific period. Traders typically configure it with 14 periods, using levels of 30 (oversold) and 70 (overbought) to identify potential reversals.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): A key indicator tracking the crossover between two moving averages. Common settings include 12 and 26 periods for the moving averages, with a 9-period signal line to detect trend changes.
Ultimate Oscillator: Combines three different time frames to offer a comprehensive view of buying and selling pressure. Popular settings are 7, 14, and 28 periods.
Bollinger Bands %B: Provides insight into where the price is relative to its upper and lower bands. Standard settings include a 20-period moving average and a standard deviation of 2.
ADX (Average Directional Index): Measures the strength of a trend. Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below suggest weak or sideways movement.
Stochastic Oscillator: A momentum indicator comparing the closing price to its range over a defined period. Popular configurations include 14 periods for %K and 3 for %D smoothing.
Parabolic SAR: Ideal for identifying trend reversals and entry/exit points. Commonly configured with a 0.02 step and a 0.2 maximum.
Money Flow Index (MFI): Similar to RSI but incorporates volume into the calculation. Standard settings use 14 periods, with levels of 20 and 80 as oversold and overbought thresholds.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI): Measures the deviation of price from its average. Traders often use a 20-period setting with levels of +100 and -100 to identify extreme overbought or oversold conditions.
Heikin Ashi Candles: These candles smooth out price fluctuations to show clearer trends. Commonly used in trend-following strategies to filter market noise.
🔵 How to use Signal Builder:
Configure indicators: Select the indicators that best fit your strategy and adjust their settings as needed. You can combine multiple indicators to define precise entry and exit conditions.
Define custom signals: Create buy or sell conditions that trigger when your selected indicators meet the criteria you’ve set. For example, configure a buy signal when RSI crosses above 30 and MACD confirms with a bullish crossover.
TradingView alerts: Set up alerts in TradingView to receive real-time notifications when the conditions you’ve defined are met, allowing you to react quickly to market opportunities without constantly monitoring charts.
Monitor with the panel: Signal Builder includes a visual panel that shows active conditions for each indicator in real time, helping you keep track of signals without manually checking each indicator.
🔵 3Commas integration:
In addition to being a valuable tool for any trader, Signal Builder is optimized to work seamlessly with 3Commas bots through Webhooks. This allows you to automate your trades based on the signals you’ve configured, ensuring that no opportunity is missed when your defined conditions are met. If you prefer automation, Signal Builder can send buy or sell signals to your 3Commas bots, enhancing your trading process and helping you manage multiple trades more efficiently.
🔵 Example of use:
Imagine you trade in volatile markets and want to trigger a sell signal when:
Stochastic Oscillator indicates overbought conditions with the %K value crossing below 80.
Bollinger Bands %B shows the price has surpassed the upper band, suggesting a potential reversal.
ADX is below 20, indicating that the trend is weak and could be about to change.
With Signal Builder , you can configure these conditions to trigger a sell signal only when all are met simultaneously. Then, you can set up a TradingView alert to notify you as soon as the signal is activated, giving you the opportunity to react quickly and adjust your strategy accordingly.
👨🏻💻💭 If this tool helps your trading strategy, don’t forget to give it a boost! Feel free to share in the comments how you're using it or if you have any questions.
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The information and publications within the 3Commas TradingView account are not meant to be and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by 3Commas and any of the parties acting on behalf of 3Commas, including its employees, contractors, ambassadors, etc.
Williams %R StrategyThe Williams %R Strategy implemented in Pine Script™ is a trading system based on the Williams %R momentum oscillator. The Williams %R indicator, developed by Larry Williams in 1973, is designed to identify overbought and oversold conditions in a market, helping traders time their entries and exits effectively (Williams, 1979). This particular strategy aims to capitalize on short-term price reversals in the S&P 500 (SPY) by identifying extreme values in the Williams %R indicator and using them as trading signals.
Strategy Rules:
Entry Signal:
A long position is entered when the Williams %R value falls below -90, indicating an oversold condition. This threshold suggests that the market may be near a short-term bottom, and prices are likely to reverse or rebound in the short term (Murphy, 1999).
Exit Signal:
The long position is exited when:
The current close price is higher than the previous day’s high, or
The Williams %R indicator rises above -30, indicating that the market is no longer oversold and may be approaching an overbought condition (Wilder, 1978).
Technical Analysis and Rationale:
The Williams %R is a momentum oscillator that measures the level of the close relative to the high-low range over a specific period, providing insight into whether an asset is trading near its highs or lows. The indicator values range from -100 (most oversold) to 0 (most overbought). When the value falls below -90, it indicates an oversold condition where a reversal is likely (Achelis, 2000). This strategy uses this oversold threshold as a signal to initiate long positions, betting on mean reversion—an established principle in financial markets where prices tend to revert to their historical averages (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Optimization and Performance:
The strategy allows for an adjustable lookback period (between 2 and 25 days) to determine the range used in the Williams %R calculation. Empirical tests show that shorter lookback periods (e.g., 2 days) yield the most favorable outcomes, with profit factors exceeding 2. This finding aligns with studies suggesting that shorter timeframes can effectively capture short-term momentum reversals (Fama, 1970; Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
Scientific Context:
Mean Reversion Theory: The strategy’s core relies on mean reversion, which suggests that prices fluctuate around a mean or average value. Research shows that such strategies, particularly those using oscillators like Williams %R, can exploit these temporary deviations (Poterba & Summers, 1988).
Behavioral Finance: The overbought and oversold conditions identified by Williams %R align with psychological factors influencing trading behavior, such as herding and panic selling, which often create opportunities for price reversals (Shiller, 2003).
Conclusion:
This Williams %R-based strategy utilizes a well-established momentum oscillator to time entries and exits in the S&P 500. By targeting extreme oversold conditions and exiting when these conditions revert or exceed historical ranges, the strategy aims to capture short-term gains. Scientific evidence supports the effectiveness of short-term mean reversion strategies, particularly when using indicators sensitive to momentum shifts.
References:
Achelis, S. B. (2000). Technical Analysis from A to Z. McGraw Hill.
Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
Murphy, J. J. (1999). Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets: A Comprehensive Guide to Trading Methods and Applications. New York Institute of Finance.
Poterba, J. M., & Summers, L. H. (1988). Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: Evidence and Implications. Journal of Financial Economics, 22(1), 27-59.
Shiller, R. J. (2003). From Efficient Markets Theory to Behavioral Finance. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 17(1), 83-104.
Williams, L. (1979). How I Made One Million Dollars… Last Year… Trading Commodities. Windsor Books.
Wilder, J. W. (1978). New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems. Trend Research.
This explanation provides a scientific and evidence-based perspective on the Williams %R trading strategy, aligning it with fundamental principles in technical analysis and behavioral finance.
Dont make me crossStrategy Overview
This trading strategy utilizes Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to generate buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two EMAs, which are shifted downwards by 50 points. The strategy aims to identify potential market reversals and trends based on these crossovers.
Components of the Strategy
Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs):
Short EMA: This is calculated over a shorter period (default is 9 periods) and is more responsive to recent price changes.
Long EMA: This is calculated over a longer period (default is 21 periods) and provides a smoother view of the price trend.
Both EMAs are adjusted by a fixed shift amount of -50 points.
Input Parameters:
Short EMA Length: The period used to calculate the short-term EMA. This can be adjusted based on the trader's preference or market conditions.
Long EMA Length: The period used for the long-term EMA, also adjustable.
Shift Amount: A fixed value (default -50) that is subtracted from both EMAs to shift their values downwards. This is useful for visual adjustments or specific strategy requirements.
Plotting:
The adjusted EMAs are plotted on the price chart. The short EMA is displayed in blue, and the long EMA is displayed in red. This visual representation helps traders identify the crossover points easily.
Signal Generation:
Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the short EMA crosses above the long EMA. This is interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating potential upward price movement.
Sell Signal: A sell signal occurs when the short EMA crosses below the long EMA, indicating potential downward price movement.
Trade Execution:
When a buy signal is triggered, the strategy enters a long position.
Conversely, when a sell signal is triggered, the strategy enters a short position.
Trading Logic
Market Conditions: The strategy is most effective in trending markets. During sideways or choppy market conditions, it may generate false signals.
Risk Management: While this script does not include explicit risk management features (like stop-loss or take-profit), traders should consider implementing these to manage their risk effectively.
Customization
Traders can customize the EMA lengths and the shift amount based on their analysis and preferences.
The strategy can also be enhanced with additional indicators, such as volume or volatility measures, to filter signals further.
Use Cases
This strategy can be applied to various timeframes, such as intraday, daily, or weekly charts, depending on the trader's style.
It is suitable for both novice and experienced traders, offering a straightforward approach to trading based on technical analysis.
Summary
The EMA Crossover Strategy with a -50 shift is a straightforward technical analysis approach that capitalizes on the momentum generated by the crossover of short and long-term EMAs. By shifting the EMAs downwards, the strategy can help traders visualize potential entry and exit points more clearly, although it's important to consider additional risk management and market context for effective trading.
