MSTR Premium/Discount Analyzer by Marius1032)This indicator provides a transparent, real-time framework for evaluating MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) based on its two primary value components:
Bitcoin Holdings (Mark-to-Market)
Core Enterprise Value (ex-Bitcoin)
By calculating the Net Asset Value (NAV) per share from both segments, the indicator enables accurate assessment of whether MSTR is trading at a premium or discount relative to its fundamental value.
📊 Key Metrics Displayed on Chart
MSTR Share Price (Close)
BTC NAV per Share (Holdings × BTC price ÷ Shares Outstanding)
Core NAV per Share (Enterprise Value ÷ Shares Outstanding)
Total NAV per Share (BTC + Core)
Premium / Discount % (Market deviation from NAV)
Manual Timestamp for last data input (auditable)
Input data taken from www.gurufocus.com finance.yahoo.com
🔧 Customizable Inputs
BTC Holdings (default: 592,345 BTC)
BTC Price (manually updated)
Shares Outstanding (default: 266M)
Core Enterprise Value (EV ex-BTC)
Data Timestamp (manual)
🧠 Valuation Logic
The script separates MSTR’s market value into:
Digital Asset Treasury — fully marked to market via BTC price input.
Core Software/Analytics Business — approximated using total enterprise value less BTC exposure.
This two-part decomposition provides a cleaner NAV structure than traditional book value, which is often distorted by high intangible assets (MSTR’s tangible book value is negative as of Q2 2025).
⚠️ Disclosures
All inputs are manual — ensure accuracy by updating with the latest BTC prices and EV disclosures.
Core EV is treated as a constant unless updated, and does not include BTC or speculative adjustments.
Does not model future BTC acquisitions or operational leverage.
