Natural Market Mirror (NMM) and NMAs w/ Dynamic Zones [Loxx]Natural Market Mirror (NMM) and NMAs w/ Dynamic Zones is a very complex indicator derived from Sloman's Ocean Theory. This indicator contains 3 core outputs and those outputs, depending on the one you select to be used to crate a long/short signal, will be highlighted and bound by Dynamic Zones. Pre-smoothing of source input is available, you only need to increase the period length to greater than 1. The smoothing algorithm used here it's Ehlers Two-pole Super Smoother. This indicator should be used as you would use the popular QQE, the difference being this indicator is multi-level momentum adaptive, and QQE is fixed RSI-based. This indicator is multilayer adaptive.
The three core indicators calculations are as follows:
NMM = Natural Market Mirror, solid line
NMF = Natural Moving Average Fast, dashed line (white when off)
NMA = Natural Moving Average Regular, dashed line (yellow when off)
Whichever one you select to be used as the signal output base, that line with increased in width and change color to match the price inputted trend. The Dynamic Zones will then readjust around that selected output and form a new bounding zone for signal output.
What is the Ocean Natural Market Mirror?
Created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a momentum indicator that automatically adjusts to volatility without being programed to do so. For more info, read his guide "Ocean Theory, an Introduction"
What is the Ocean Natural Moving Average?
Also created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a moving average that automatically adjusts to volatility.
What are Dynamic Zones?
As explained in "Stocks & Commodities V15:7 (306-310): Dynamic Zones by Leo Zamansky, Ph .D., and David Stendahl"
Most indicators use a fixed zone for buy and sell signals. Here’ s a concept based on zones that are responsive to past levels of the indicator.
One approach to active investing employs the use of oscillators to exploit tradable market trends. This investing style follows a very simple form of logic: Enter the market only when an oscillator has moved far above or below traditional trading lev- els. However, these oscillator- driven systems lack the ability to evolve with the market because they use fixed buy and sell zones. Traders typically use one set of buy and sell zones for a bull market and substantially different zones for a bear market. And therein lies the problem.
Once traders begin introducing their market opinions into trading equations, by changing the zones, they negate the system’s mechanical nature. The objective is to have a system automatically define its own buy and sell zones and thereby profitably trade in any market — bull or bear. Dynamic zones offer a solution to the problem of fixed buy and sell zones for any oscillator-driven system.
An indicator’s extreme levels can be quantified using statistical methods. These extreme levels are calculated for a certain period and serve as the buy and sell zones for a trading system. The repetition of this statistical process for every value of the indicator creates values that become the dynamic zones. The zones are calculated in such a way that the probability of the indicator value rising above, or falling below, the dynamic zones is equal to a given probability input set by the trader.
To better understand dynamic zones, let's first describe them mathematically and then explain their use. The dynamic zones definition:
Find V such that:
For dynamic zone buy: P{X <= V}=P1
For dynamic zone sell: P{X >= V}=P2
where P1 and P2 are the probabilities set by the trader, X is the value of the indicator for the selected period and V represents the value of the dynamic zone.
The probability input P1 and P2 can be adjusted by the trader to encompass as much or as little data as the trader would like. The smaller the probability, the fewer data values above and below the dynamic zones. This translates into a wider range between the buy and sell zones. If a 10% probability is used for P1 and P2, only those data values that make up the top 10% and bottom 10% for an indicator are used in the construction of the zones. Of the values, 80% will fall between the two extreme levels. Because dynamic zone levels are penetrated so infrequently, when this happens, traders know that the market has truly moved into overbought or oversold territory.
Calculating the Dynamic Zones
The algorithm for the dynamic zones is a series of steps. First, decide the value of the lookback period t. Next, decide the value of the probability Pbuy for buy zone and value of the probability Psell for the sell zone.
For i=1, to the last lookback period, build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. Then find the value Vi1 such that the probability of the price less than or equal to Vi1 during the lookback period i is equal to Pbuy. Find the value Vi2 such that the probability of the price greater or equal to Vi2 during the lookback period i is equal to Psell. The sequence of Vi1 for all periods gives the buy zone. The sequence of Vi2 for all periods gives the sell zone.
In the algorithm description, we have: Build the distribution f(x) of the price during the lookback period i. The distribution here is empirical namely, how many times a given value of x appeared during the lookback period. The problem is to find such x that the probability of a price being greater or equal to x will be equal to a probability selected by the user. Probability is the area under the distribution curve. The task is to find such value of x that the area under the distribution curve to the right of x will be equal to the probability selected by the user. That x is the dynamic zone.
Included
Bar coloring
3 types of signal output options
Alerts
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Oceantheory
Pips-Stepped, OMA-Filtered, Ocean NMA [Loxx]Pips-Stepped, OMA-Filtered, Ocean NMA is an Ocean Natural Moving Average Filter that is pre-filtered using One More Moving Average (OMA) and then post-filtered using stepping by pips. This indicator is quadruple adaptive depending on the settings used:
OMA adaptive
Hiekin-Ashi Better Source Input Adaptive (w/ AMA of Kaufman smoothing)
Ocean NMA adaptive
Pips adaptive
What is the One More Moving Average (OMA)?
The usual story goes something like this : which is the best moving average? Everyone that ever started to do any kind of technical analysis was pulled into this "game". Comparing, testing, looking for new ones, testing ...
The idea of this one is simple: it should not be itself, but it should be a kind of a chameleon - it should "imitate" as much other moving averages as it can. So the need for zillion different moving averages would diminish. And it should have some extra, of course:
The extras:
it has to be smooth
it has to be able to "change speed" without length change
it has to be able to adapt or not (since it has to "imitate" the non-adaptive as well as the adaptive ones)
The steps:
Smoothing - compared are the simple moving average (that is the basis and the first step of this indicator - a smoothed simple moving average with as little lag added as it is possible and as close to the original as it is possible) Speed 1 and non-adaptive are the reference for this basic setup.
Speed changing - same chart only added one more average with "speeds" 2 and 3 (for comparison purposes only here)
Finally - adapting : same chart with SMA compared to one more average with speed 1 but adaptive (so this parameters would make it a "smoothed adaptive simple average") Adapting part is a modified Kaufman adapting way and this part (the adapting part) may be a subject for changes in the future (it is giving satisfactory results, but if or when I find a better way, it will be implemented here)
Some comparisons for different speed settings (all the comparisons are without adaptive turned on, and are approximate. Approximation comes from a fact that it is impossible to get exactly the same values from only one way of calculation, and frankly, I even did not try to get those same values).
speed 0.5 - T3 (0.618 Tilson)
speed 2.5 - T3 (0.618 Fulks/Matulich)
speed 1 - SMA , harmonic mean
speed 2 - LWMA
speed 7 - very similar to Hull and TEMA
speed 8 - very similar to LSMA and Linear regression value
Parameters:
Length - length (period) for averaging
Source - price to use for averaging
Speed - desired speed (i limited to -1.5 on the lower side but it even does not need that limit - some interesting results with speeds that are less than 0 can be achieved)
Adaptive - does it adapt or not
What is the Ocean Natural Moving Average?
Created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a moving average that automatically adjusts to volatility without being programed to do so. For more info, read his guide "Ocean Theory, an Introduction"
What's the difference between this indicator and Sloan's original NMA?
Sloman's original calculation uses the natural log of price as input into the NMA , here we use moving averages of price as the input for NMA . As such, this indicator applies a certain level of Ocean theory adaptivity to moving average filter used.
Included:
Bar coloring
Alerts
Expanded source types
Signals
Flat-level coloring for scalping
Price-Filtered Ocean Natural Moving Average (NMA) [Loxx]Price-Filtered Ocean Natural Moving Average (NMA) is a an Ocean Natural Moving Average indicator that takes as its input a moving average filter of price before applying the NMA volatility adaptation.
What is the Ocean Natural Moving Average?
Created by Jim Sloman, the NMA is a moving average that automatically adjusts to volatility without being programed to do so. For more info, read his guide "Ocean Theory, an Introduction"
What's the difference between this indicator and Sloan's original NMA?
Sloman's original calculation uses the natural log of price as input into the NMA, here we use moving averages of price as the input for NMA. As such, this indicator applies a certain level of Ocean theory adaptivity to moving average filter used.
Included
Bar coloring
Alerts
Expanded source types
