Retracements — Indicatori e strategie

NQ Hourly Retracements - 12y Stats with Levels Hour Stats with Levels - TradingView Indicator Description IMPORTANT: NQ FUTURES ONLY This indicator is specifically designed for and calibrated to NQ (Nasdaq-100 E-mini) futures only. The statistical data is derived exclusively from 13 years of NQ price action (2013-2025). Do not use this indicator on any other asset, ticker, or market as the statistics will not be applicable and may lead to incorrect trading decisions. Overview "Hour Stats with Levels" is a statistical analysis indicator that provides real-time probability-based insights into hourly price behavior patterns. The indicator combines historical pattern recognition with live price action to help traders anticipate potential sweep and reversal scenarios within each trading hour. Originality and Core Concept This indicator is based on a comprehensive statistical analysis of 12y years of 1-minute NQ futures data, examining a specific price pattern: when an hourly candle opens inside the previous hour's range. Unlike generic support/resistance indicators, this tool provides hour-specific, context-aware probabilities based on 30,000+ historical occurrences of this pattern. The originality lies in three key areas: Pattern-Specific Statistics: Rather than applying generic technical analysis, the indicator only activates when the current hour opens within the previous hour's range, providing relevant statistics for this exact scenario. Context-Aware Probabilities: Statistics are differentiated based on whether the current hour opened above or below the previous hour's open, recognizing that bullish and bearish opening contexts produce different behavioral patterns. Comprehensive Retracement Tracking: The indicator tracks four independent retracement levels after a sweep occurs, showing the probability of price returning to: the swept level itself (90+% probability), the 50% level, the current hour's open, and the opposite extreme. How It Works The Core Pattern The indicator monitors a specific price structure: Setup Condition: The current hourly candle opens inside (between) the previous hour's high and low Sweep Event: Price then breaks above the previous high (high sweep) or below the previous low (low sweep) Retracement Analysis: After a sweep, the indicator tracks whether price retraces to key levels Statistical Foundation The underlying analysis processed 1-minute bar data from 2013-2025, identifying every instance where an hourly candle opened inside the previous hour's range. For each occurrence, the system tracked: Whether the high, low, or both were swept during that hour The distance of the sweep measured as a percentage of the previous hour's range Whether price retraced to four key levels: the swept level, the 50% point, the current open, and the opposite extreme These measurements were aggregated for all 24 hours of the trading day, with separate statistics for bullish contexts (opening above previous open) and bearish contexts (opening below previous open), creating 48 unique statistical profiles. Sweep Distance Percentiles The "reversal levels" are drawn based on historical sweep distance distributions: 25th Percentile: 75% of historical sweeps were larger than this distance. This represents a conservative reversal zone where smaller, contained sweeps typically reverse. Median (50th Percentile): The midpoint of all historical sweep distances. Half of all sweeps reversed before reaching this level, half extended beyond it. 75th Percentile: Only 25% of sweeps extended beyond this distance. This represents an extended sweep zone where price has historically shown exhaustion. For example, if the previous hour's range was 20 points and the median high sweep distance is 40% of range, the median reversal level would be placed 8 points above the previous high. How to Use the Indicator Sweeps were calculated using 1m data - as such, it's recommended to use the indicator on a 1min chart Visual Components Hour Delimiter (Gray Vertical Line) Marks the start of each new hour Helps identify when new statistics become active Sweep Markers Green "H" label: High sweep has occurred this hour Red "L" label: Low sweep has occurred this hour Markers appear on the exact bar where the sweep happened Target Levels (Blue Lines) Prev Open: Previous hour's opening price Prev High: Previous hour's highest price (sweep target) Prev Low: Previous hour's lowest price (sweep target) Prev 50%: Midpoint of previous hour's range Current Open: Current hour's opening price (key retracement target) Reversal Levels (Purple Dashed Lines) Positioned beyond the previous high/low based on historical sweep percentiles Three levels above previous high (for high sweeps) Three levels below previous low (for low sweeps) These represent statistically-derived zones where sweeps typically exhaust The Statistics Table The table dynamically updates each hour and displays different statistics based on whether the current hour opened above or below the previous hour's open. Status Row Shows current state: waiting for sweep, or which sweep(s) have occurred If waiting, indicates which sweep is more probable based on historical data SWEEP PROBABILITIES Section High Sweep: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep the previous high this hour Low Sweep: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep the previous low this hour Both Sweeps: Historical probability (%) that price will sweep both levels this hour These probabilities are derived from counting how many times each pattern occurred in similar historical contexts. For example, "High Sweep: 73.18%" means that in 73.18% of historical occurrences where the hour opened in this same context (same hour of day, same position relative to previous open), price swept the previous high before the hour closed. AFTER HIGH SWEEP → Section These statistics activate only after a high sweep has occurred. They show the probability of price retracing to various levels: → Prev High: Probability that price returns to (or below) the level it just swept. This is typically 90%+ because sweeps often act as "false breakouts" or liquidity grabs before reversal. → 50% Level: Probability that price retraces at least halfway back into the previous hour's range. This represents a moderate retracement. → Current Open: Probability that price retraces all the way back to where the current hour opened. This indicates a complete reversal of the sweep move. → Prev Low: Probability that price retraces entirely through the previous range to touch the opposite extreme. This represents a full reversal pattern. AFTER LOW SWEEP → Section Mirror of the above, but for low sweeps: → Prev Low: Retracement to the swept low level (90%+ probability) → 50% Level: Retracement to middle of range → Current Open: Full retracement to current hour's open → Prev High: Complete reversal to opposite extreme Important Note on Retracement Statistics: These percentages are tracked independently. A 90% probability of returning to the swept level doesn't mean there's only a 10% chance of deeper retracement. Price can (and often does) retrace through multiple levels sequentially. The percentages show how many times price reached at least that level, not where it stopped. Trading Applications Anticipating Sweeps When an hour opens inside the previous range, check the probabilities. If "High Sweep: 70%" and "Low Sweep: 30%", you know there's a 70% historical likelihood of an upside sweep occurring this hour. This doesn't guarantee it will happen, but provides statistical context for potential setups. Reversal Trading The most reliable pattern in the data is the 90%+ retracement probability to swept levels. When a sweep occurs, traders can anticipate a retracement back to at least the swept level in the vast majority of cases. The reversal level percentiles help identify where sweeps may exhaust. Position Management The retracement probabilities help manage existing positions. For example, if you're long and a high sweep occurs, you know there's a 90%+ chance of at least some retracement to the swept level, which might inform profit-taking or stop-loss decisions. Confluence with Current Open The "Current Open" retracement statistics (typically 60-70%) highlight the magnetic quality of the hour's opening price. After a sweep, price frequently returns to test this level. Customization Options The indicator offers extensive visual customization: Toggle on/off: hour delimiters, sweep markers, target levels, reversal levels, statistics table Customize colors, line widths, and styles for all visual elements Adjust label sizes and table position Show/hide individual target levels and reversal percentiles Limitations and Considerations Pattern-Specific: The indicator only provides statistics when the current hour opens inside the previous hour's range. If the hour opens outside this range (gaps up or down), the statistics are not applicable. Historical Probabilities: The percentages represent historical frequencies, not predictions. A 70% probability means it happened 70% of the time historically, not that it will definitely happen 7 out of 10 times going forward. NQ-Specific Calibration: All statistics are derived from NQ futures data. Market behavior, volatility, and patterns differ across assets. Hour-Specific Behavior: Different hours show dramatically different statistics. For example, the 9 AM EST hour (market open) shows much higher sweep probabilities (80%+) than the 5 PM EST hour (30-50%) due to differing liquidity and volatility conditions. No Guarantee of Execution: While a 90% retracement probability is high, it means 10% of the time, price did NOT retrace. Always use proper risk management. Technical Notes The indicator uses hourly timeframe data via request.security() to determine previous hour values Sweep detection occurs in real-time on the chart's timeframe Statistics are hardcoded from the comprehensive backtested analysis (not calculated on-the-fly) The indicator stores static values at the start of each hour to ensure consistency as the hour progresses All percentage values are rounded to one decimal place for clarity This indicator provides a statistically-grounded framework for understanding hourly price behavior in NQ futures. By combining real-time pattern detection with comprehensive historical analysis, it offers traders probabilistic insights to inform decision-making process within the specific context of each trading hour.

Volume Delta Imbalance Index [PhenLabs]📊 Volume Delta Imbalance Index (VDII) Version: PineScript™ v6 Description The Volume Delta Imbalance Index is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines volume profile analysis with price movement dynamics to identify significant market imbalances. It features a sophisticated analysis system that weighs recent versus historical volume delta imbalance patterns, providing traders with insights into potential market reversals and trend continuation scenarios. Points of Innovation: Custom volume delta calculation incorporating price and volume relationships Adaptive smoothing system based on market volatility Multi-component analysis combining flow, acceleration, and strength metrics Real-time volume profile integration with historical context 🔧 Core Components Volume Profile Analysis: Dynamic volume delta imbalance distribution assessment Flow Imbalance Detection: Buy/sell pressure evaluation Strength Analysis: Composite market strength measurement Acceleration Framework: Volume movement dynamics Statistical Bands: Adaptive threshold system 🚨 Key Features 🚨 The indicator provides comprehensive analysis through: Volume Delta: Up to date volume imbalance measurement Market Structure: Support/resistance level identification Flow Analysis: Buy/sell pressure visualization Acceleration Signals: Movement momentum detection Adaptive Bands: Dynamic overbought/oversold levels 📈 Visualization Color-coded Columns: Shows direction and strength of imbalance Signal Lines: Strong buy/sell level indicators Statistical Bands: Shows normal trading ranges Gradient Fills: Indicates extreme market conditions Dynamic Opacity: Reflects trend strength 📌 Usage Guidelines The indicator offers several customization options: Basic Settings: Lookback Period: Analysis timeframe adjustment Sensitivity Level: Signal response calibration History Depth: Historical context range Memory Setting: Recent vs. historical data weight Visual Settings: Color Scheme: Bullish/bearish signal colors Signal Levels: Strong buy/sell thresholds Band Display: Statistical range visualization ✅ Best Use Cases / Things To Look For: Wait for establishment in the initial trend when the VDII comes back towards zero and the color of the volume becomes more faint Once this is established and the VDII pushes through to the other side look for small retracements above the zero line on the VDII leading you to believe it is a likely area for price to retrace and continue in its prior direction Make sure you see the volume bars become more faint in color to give yo further confluence price will continue in its priorly established direction ⚠️ Limitations Requires sufficient volume data Most effective in liquid markets Historical depth affects calculation speed Possible lag in highly volatile conditions What Makes This Unique Composite Volume Analysis: Combines multiple volume metrics Adaptive Calculation: Adjusts to market volatility Profile Integration: Incorporates volume profile analysis Multi-component Scoring: Weighted analysis system Memory-efficient Design: Optimized for real-time analysis 🔧 How It Works The indicator processes market data through four main components: 1. Volume Profile Analysis: Creates dynamic volume delta distribution profiles Weights recent versus historical data Identifies significant price levels 2. Flow Imbalance Detection: Analyzes buying versus selling pressure Calculates normalized flow ratios Determines market bias 3. Strength Analysis: Measures composite market strength Incorporates volume-weighted movements Provides trend strength indication 4. Final Score Calculation: Combines all components with weighted importance Applies volatility-based smoothing Generates final signal output 5. VDII Potential Reversal Confluences Bars between signal confluence is default set to 10 but you can change it to whatever you’d prefer Signals are a compiled look at the indicator as a whole determining where it think reversals or retracements are likely 💡 Note: The indicator performs best in markets with consistent volume and clear trending or ranging conditions. Its sophisticated volume analysis provides valuable insights into market dynamics beyond traditional price-based indicators.

[HM] Fibonacci Fractals Absolute Auto v20221114 Basically: F - Fibonacci levels F - fractals: retracement of retracement A - absolute: based on two fixed points instead user chosen Fibonacci points A - auto: automatically draws based on volatility Explanation: This script will automatically trace TWO Fibonacci levels from these points: - ALL TIME HIGH (ATH) and ALL TIME LOW ( ATL ) prices This is our first Fibonacci FRACTAL retracement and the line caption will show ONE character: "↥" for 0.618 "↧" for 0.382 The FRACTAL with two lines will define THREE regions. The second Fibonacci FRACTAL retracement will show TWO characters: the same "↥" "↧" characters with: "a" if the price is between TOP region of previous fractal "b" if the price is between MIDDLE region of previous fractal "c" if the price is between BOTTOM region of previous fractal The third Fibonacci FRACTAL will show THREE characters and so on. Delimited by volatility (otherwise this script will go to 10th fractal maximum). OPTIONS to give a try: - use ALL TIME HIGH and ZERO prices (instead ATH and ATL ) - use a non-Fibonacci retracement: ---> "⅓": 1/3 and 2/3 levels instead 0.618 and 0.382 (based on chess master Hindenburg Melão article hint) ---> "fibonaccing": 0.764 and 0.236 levels (based on Brazilian trader Marco Antonio Rossi method hint) #script under development, sugestions and questions are welcome.

Auto Fibonacci and Gann Fan/Retracements Combo Introduction This is a combination of Fibonacci and Gann fan/retracements. The script can automatically draw as many: Fibonacci Retracements Fibonacci Fan Gann Retracements Gann Fan as the user requires on the chart. Each level set or fan consists of 7 lines based on the most important ratios of Fibonacci/Gann. Basics What are Fibonacci retracements? Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They stem from Fibonacci’s sequence. Each level is associated with a percentage which is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. While not officially a Fibonacci ratio, 50% is also used. The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points. What are Gann retracements? A developer of technical analysis and trading was W.D. Gann. Gann theory expects a normal retracement of 50 percent. This means that under normal selling pressure, the stock price will decline half the amount of its most recent rise, and vice versa. It also suggests that retracements occur at the halfway point of a move, such as 25 percent (half of 50 percent), 12.5 percent (half of 25 percent), and so on. What is Fibonacci fan? Fibonacci fan is a set of sequential trend lines drawn from a trough or peak through a set of points dictated by Fibonacci retracements. The first step to create it is to draw a trend line covering the local lowest and highest prices of a security. To reach retracement levels, the trader divides the difference in price at the low and high end by ratios determined by the Fibonacci series. The lines formed by connecting the starting point for the base trend line and each retracement level create the Fibonacci fan. What is Gann fan? A Gann fan consists of a series of lines called Gann angles. These angles are superimposed over a price chart to show potential support and resistance levels. The resulting image is supposed to help technical analysts predict price changes. Gann believed the 45-degree angle to be most important, but the Gann fan also draws angles at degrees like 75, 63.75, 26.25 and 15. The Gann fan originates at a low or high point. The resulting lines show areas of potential future support and resistance. The 45-degree line is known as the 1:1 line because the price will rise or fall at a 45-degree angle when the price moves up/down one unit for each unit of time. All other lines in the Gann fan are drawn above and below the 1:1 line. The other angles are associated with 2:1, 3:1, 4:1, 8:1 and 1:8, 1:4, 1:3, and 1:2 time-to-price moves. Challenges The most of the time I dedicated to writing this script has been spent on handling these problems: 1. Finding Local Highest/Lowest Prices In order to draw Fibonacci and Gann fan/retracements, it's necessary to find local highest and lowest price points (Extrema) on the chart. As this could be so challenging, most traders and coders draw the lines covering the low and high prices over a given period of time or a limited number of bars back instead. I already wrote an indicator using this approach ( Auto Fibonacci Combo ). In this new script I tried to find the exact highest and lowest prices based on this idea that: if a high point is formed lower than previous high which was after a lowest point, then that previous one was the local highest point, and vice versa if a low point is formed higher than previous low which was after a highest point, then that previous one was the local lowest point. So logically an extremum price on the chart won't be found until the next high/low point is formed. 2. Finding Proper Chart Scale for Gann Fan Based on the theory, Gann angles are sensitive to the chart price scale and in order to have the right angles, the chart must be made with the proper scale. J.A. Hyerczyk in his book "Pattern, Price & Time - Using Gann Theory in Technical Analysis" suggests that the easiest way to determine the scale of a market is by taking the difference between top-to-top and bottom-to-bottom and dividing it by the time it took the market to move from top to top and bottom to bottom. Thus on a properly constructed chart, the basic equation for calculating Gann angles is: Price * Time. 3. Drawing Fans and Relocating Fan Labels at Each New Bar in Pine (A Programming-Related Subject) To do this, I used linear equations and line slopes. Of course it was so complicated and exhausting, but finally I overcame that thanks to my genius cousin. Settings and Usage By default, the script shows detected extremum points plus 1 Fibonacci fan, 1 Gann fan, 1 set of Fibonacci retracements and no Gann retracements on the chart. All of these could be changed in the indicator settings beside the color and transparency of each line. Feel free to use this and send me your thoughts!

ADX Gapper Based on the ADX Gapper strategy described in the book Street Smarts, it looks to exploit retracement to a prevailing trend when there has been a gap away from the trend, giving you multiple potential entries. It uses the ADX to determine a trend and detects when there is a gap to signal an entry day where: You would enter short if the DI-(red line) > DI+ (green line), ADX (blue area) > 30 indicating a strong trend and if there is a gap up from the previous day. If all the described conditions are met then you would place a short stop at the previous day highs and trail a stop until the end of the day. This strategy is meant to give you trades to hold for 1 day (the day you enter) or 2 days if you consider you should hold it overnight.