Staggered Exponential PullbacksIndicator Description: Staggered Exponential Pullbacks (Final)
Core Concept
This indicator is designed to dynamically track and visualize price pullbacks from a recent high. It serves as an intelligent alert system and a tool for visualizing potential support levels that follow a predefined, non-linear logic.
Instead of a fixed percentage interval, the indicator calculates the levels based on a fixed, exponentially increasing sequence of percentages. The distance between the levels increases as the price falls further. This models a strategy where larger price movements are tolerated as a pullback deepens before the next signal level is reached. The basis for this calculation is always the highest close of the last x candles.
Key Features
This indicator goes far beyond a simple calculation, offering a range of intelligent features for professional use:
Cascading, Fixed Levels: The levels are based on a fixed sequence of percentage distances (3.0%, 3.6%, 4.3%, etc.), where each new level is calculated from the previous level.
Persistent Support Levels ("Floors"): Once an alert level is breached, it transforms into a fixed support line ("floor"). This line will never move down, even if the market high subsequently drops.
Automatic Upward Adjustment: Established floors are automatically pulled upwards when the market shows new strength and makes higher highs. A once-reached -3% floor will therefore rise with the market.
Intelligent, Self-Cleaning Reset Logic: The indicator recognizes when a pullback sequence has ended and a new one has begun. "Ghost lines" from old, irrelevant price movements are automatically removed from the chart to ensure maximum clarity.
Cascade-Proof Alerts: Even during extremely fast sell-offs that break through multiple levels in a single candle, the indicator correctly captures every single level breach.
Customizable Visualization: All key parameters, such as the lookback period and the colors of the lines, can be easily adjusted in the settings.
Visual Elements on the Chart
The Orange Line (Highest Close): This is the reference line. It always shows the highest closing price within the defined lookback period and has a step-line shape.
The 'Floor' Lines (Default: Yellow): These are solid lines that indicate which percentage levels have already been breached in the current sequence. They function as established support levels.
The 'Next Due' Line (Default: Purple): This is a step-line that displays the next expected alert level. It moves dynamically with the calculation. As soon as the price crosses this line, an alert is triggered, and it transforms into a yellow "Floor" line.
Settings (Inputs)
Number of Candles (Lookback): Defines how many past candles are used to determine the highest closing price.
Displayed Alert Levels (Max 10): Determines the maximum number of levels the indicator will calculate and display.
Color of Floors: Allows you to freely choose the color for the solid, established support lines.
Color of Next Due Line: Allows you to freely choose the color for the next, untriggered alert line.
Setting Up Alerts (Important!)
Since the indicator uses dynamic alert messages, the alert must be set up as follows:
Add the indicator to the chart.
Click the clock icon ("Alert") in the top toolbar.
In the "Condition" field, select the name of this indicator: Staggered Exponential Pullbacks.
In the second dropdown menu, you must select the option "Any alert() function call".
Message: The message box can be left empty. The indicator automatically generates a detailed message (e.g., "Price Alert: Level 2 (3.6%) reached!").
Click "Create".
You only need one single alert to cover all 10 levels.
Important Disclaimer: Not Financial Advice
This indicator is purely a technical analysis tool for visualizing price movements. The displayed lines and triggered alerts do not constitute buy or sell recommendations and are not a form of financial or investment advice. They serve for informational and analytical purposes only.
Trading decisions based on the information from this indicator are made solely at your own risk and responsibility. The author and developer of this script assume no liability for any trading losses. Always conduct your own comprehensive analysis and, if necessary, consult a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Cerca negli script per "大位科技同行业可替代股票的技术面分析数据（如5日均线、10日均线、支撑位、压力位）"
Apex Edge - London Open Session# Apex Edge - London Open Session Trading System
## Overview
The London Open Session indicator captures institutional price action during the first hour of the London forex session (8:00-9:00 AM GMT) and identifies high-probability breakout and retest opportunities. This system tracks the session's high/low range and generates precise entry signals when price breaks or retests these key institutional levels.
## Core Strategy
**Session Tracking**: Automatically identifies and marks the London Open session boundaries, creating a trading zone from the first hour's price range.
**Dual Entry Logic**:
- **Breakout Entries**: Triggers when price closes beyond the session high/low and continues in that direction
- **Retest Entries**: Activates when price returns to test the broken level as new support/resistance
**Performance Analytics**: Built-in win rate tracking displays real-time performance statistics over user-defined lookback periods, enabling data-driven optimization for each currency pair.
## Key Features
### Automated Zone Detection
- Precise London session timing with timezone offset controls
- Visual session boundaries with customizable colours
- Automatic high/low range calculation and display
### Smart Entry System
- Breakout confirmation requiring candle close beyond zone
- Retest detection with configurable pip distance tolerance
- Separate risk/reward ratios for breakout vs retest entries
- Visual entry arrows with clear trade direction labels
### Performance HUD
- Real-time win rate calculation over customizable periods (7-365 days)
- Total trades tracking with win/loss breakdown
- Average risk-reward ratio display
- Color-coded performance metrics (green >70%, yellow >50%, red <50%)
### PineConnector Integration
- Direct MT4/MT5 execution via PineConnector alerts
- Proper forex pip calculations for all currency pairs
- Customizable risk percentage per trade
- Symbol override capability for broker compatibility
- Automatic SL/TP level calculation in pips
## Critical Usage Requirements
### Pair-Specific Optimization
Each currency pair requires individual optimization due to varying volatility characteristics, institutional participation levels, and typical price ranges during London hours. The performance HUD is essential for identifying optimal settings before live trading.
**Recommended Testing Process**:
1. Apply indicator to desired currency pair and timeframe
2. Experiment with session timing - while 8:00-9:00 AM GMT is standard, some pairs may show improved performance with alternative hourly windows (e.g., 7:00-8:00 AM or 9:00-10:00 AM)
3. Adjust Stop Loss distances, Risk/Reward ratios, and Retest distances
4. Monitor win rate over 30+ day periods using the performance HUD
5. Only proceed with live alerts once consistent 60%+ win rates are achieved
6. Create separate optimized chart setups for each profitable pair/timeframe combination
### Timeframe Specifications
This indicator is specifically designed and tested for:
- **1-minute charts**: Optimal for capturing immediate institutional reactions
- **5-minute charts**: Balanced approach between noise reduction and opportunity frequency
Higher timeframes generally produce inferior results due to increased noise and reduced institutional edge during the London session window.
## Settings Configuration
### Session Timing
- **London Open/Close Hours**: Adjust for your chart's timezone
- **Rectangle End Time**: Set to 4:30 PM to stop signals before NY session close
- **Timezone Offset**: Ensure accurate London session capture
### Entry Parameters
- **Retest Distance**: 3-8 pips depending on pair volatility
- **Stop Loss Pips**: Separate settings for breakouts (10-15 pips) and retests (8-12 pips)
- **Risk/Reward Ratios**: Independent ratios for different entry types
### PineConnector Setup
- **License ID**: Your PineConnector license key
- **Symbol Override**: MT4/MT5 symbol names if different from TradingView
- **Risk Percentage**: Position size as percentage of account balance
- **Prefix/Comment**: Organize trades in terminal
## Manual Trading Limitations
Without PineConnector automation, traders face significant practical challenges:
**Settings Management**: Each currency pair requires different optimized parameters. Switching between charts means manually adjusting multiple settings each time, creating potential for errors and missed opportunities.
**Timing Sensitivity**: London Open signals can occur rapidly during high-volatility periods. Manual execution may result in slippage or missed entries.
**Multi-Pair Monitoring**: Tracking 4-11 currency pairs simultaneously while manually adjusting settings for each switch becomes impractical for most traders.
**Parameter Consistency**: Risk of using suboptimal settings when quickly switching between pairs, potentially compromising the careful optimization work.
## Recommended Workflow
1. **Historical Testing**: Use win rate HUD to identify profitable pairs and optimal parameters
2. **Demo Automation**: Test PineConnector alerts on demo accounts with optimized settings
3. **Live Implementation**: Deploy alerts only on proven profitable pair/timeframe combinations
4. **Ongoing Monitoring**: Regular review of performance metrics to maintain edge
## Risk Disclaimer
This indicator provides analysis tools and automation capabilities but does not guarantee profitable trading outcomes. Past performance does not predict future results. Users should thoroughly backtest and demo trade before risking live capital. The London session strategy works best during specific market conditions and may underperform during low volatility or unusual market environments.
## Support Requirements
Successful implementation requires:
- Basic understanding of London session market dynamics
- PineConnector subscription for automation features
- Patience for proper optimization process
- Realistic expectations about win rates and drawdown periods
This system is designed for serious traders willing to invest time in proper optimization and risk management rather than plug-and-play solutions.
Weekly pecentage tracker by PRIVATE
Settings Picture below this link: 👇
i.ibb.co
What it is
A lightweight “Weekly % Tracker” overlay that lets you manually enter weekly performance (in percent) for XAUUSD + up to 10 FX pairs, then shows:
a small table panel with each enabled symbol and its % result
one TOTAL row (Sum / Average / Compounded across all enabled symbols)
an optional mini badge showing the % for a single selected symbol
Nothing is auto-calculated from price—you type the % yourself.
Key settings
Panel: show/hide, position, number of decimals, colors (background, text, green/red).
Total mode:
Sum – adds percentages
Average – mean of enabled rows
Compounded –
(
∏
(
1
+
𝑝
/
100
)
−
1
)
×
100
(∏(1+p/100)−1)×100
Symbols:
XAUUSD (toggle + label + % input)
10 FX pairs (each has On/Off, label text, % input). You can rename labels to any symbol text you want.
Mini badge: show/hide, position, and symbol to display.
How it works
Overlay indicator: overlay=true; just draws UI on the chart (no plots).
Arrays (syms, vals, ons) collect the row data in order: XAU first, then FX1…FX10.
Helpers:
posFrom() converts a position string (e.g., “Top Right”) into a position.* constant.
wp_col() picks green/red/neutral based on the sign of the %.
wp_round() rounds values to the selected decimals.
calc_total() computes the TOTAL with the chosen mode over enabled rows only.
Table creation logic:
Counts how many rows are enabled.
If none enabled or panel is off: the panel table is deleted, so no box/background is visible.
If enabled and on: the panel is (re)created at the chosen position.
On each last bar (barstate.islast), it clears the table to transparent (bgcolor=na) and then fills one row per enabled symbol, followed by a single TOTAL row.
Mini badge:
Always (re)created on position change.
Shows selected symbol’s % (or “-” if that symbol isn’t enabled or has no value).
Colors text green/red by sign.
Notes & limits
It’s manual input—the script doesn’t read trades or P/L from price.
You can rename each row’s label to match any symbol name you want.
When no rows are enabled, the panel disappears entirely (no empty background).
Designed to be light: only draws tables; no heavy plotting.
If you want the TOTAL row to be optional, or different color thresholds, or CSV-style export/import of the values, say the word and I’ll add it.
AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation [Eddie_Bitcoin]🧠 Philosophy of the Strategy
The AltCoin & MemeCoin Index Correlation Strategy by Eddie_Bitcoin is a carefully engineered trend-following system built specifically for the highly volatile and sentiment-driven world of altcoins and memecoins.
This strategy recognizes that crypto markets—especially niche sectors like memecoins—are not only influenced by individual price action but also by the relative strength or weakness of their broader sector. Hence, it attempts to improve the reliability of trading signals by requiring alignment between a specific coin’s trend and its sector-wide index trend.
Rather than treating each crypto asset in isolation, this strategy dynamically incorporates real-time dominance metrics from custom indices (OTHERS.D and MEME.D) and combines them with local price action through dual exponential moving average (EMA) crossovers. Only when both the asset and its sector are moving in the same direction does it allow for trade entries—making it a confluence-based system rather than a single-signal strategy.
It supports risk-aware capital allocation, partial exits, configurable stop loss and take profit levels, and a scalable equity-compounding model.
✅ Why did I choose OTHERS.D and MEME.D as reference indices?
I selected OTHERS.D and MEME.D because they offer a sector-focused view of crypto market dynamics, especially relevant when trading altcoins and memecoins.
🔹 OTHERS.D tracks the market dominance of all cryptocurrencies outside the top 10 by market cap.
This excludes not only BTC and ETH, but also major stablecoins like USDT and USDC, making it a cleaner indicator of risk appetite across true altcoins.
🔹 This is particularly useful for detecting "Altcoin Season"—periods where capital rotates away from Bitcoin and flows into smaller-cap coins.
A rising OTHERS.D often signals the start of broader altcoin rallies.
🔹 MEME.D, on the other hand, captures the speculative behavior of memecoin segments, which are often driven by retail hype and social media activity.
It's perfect for timing momentum shifts in high-risk, high-reward tokens.
By using these indices, the strategy aligns entries with broader sector trends, filtering out noise and increasing the probability of catching true directional moves, especially in phases of capital rotation and altcoin risk-on behavior.
📐 How It Works — Core Logic and Execution Model
At its heart, this strategy employs dual EMA crossover detection—one pair for the asset being traded and one pair for the selected market index.
A trade is only executed when both EMA crossovers agree on the direction. For example:
Long Entry: Coin's fast EMA > slow EMA and Index's fast EMA > slow EMA
Short Entry: Coin's fast EMA < slow EMA and Index's fast EMA < slow EMA
You can disable the index filter and trade solely based on the asset’s trend just to make a comparison and see if improves a classic EMA crossover strategy.
Additionally, the strategy includes:
- Adaptive position sizing, based on fixed capital or current equity (compound mode)
- Take Profit and Stop Loss in percentage terms
- Smart partial exits when trend momentum fades
- Date filtering for precise backtesting over specific timeframes
- Real-time performance stats, equity tracking, and visual cues on chart
⚙️ Parameters & Customization
🔁 EMA Settings
Each EMA pair is customizable:
Coin Fast EMA: Default = 47
Coin Slow EMA: Default = 50
Index Fast EMA: Default = 47
Index Slow EMA: Default = 50
These control the sensitivity of the trend detection. A wider spread gives smoother, slower entries; a narrower spread makes it more responsive.
🧭 Index Reference
The correlation mechanism uses CryptoCap sector dominance indexes:
OTHERS.D: Dominance of all coins EXCLUDING Top 10 ones
MEME.D: Dominance of all Meme coins
These are dynamically calculated using:
OTHERS_D = OTHERS_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
MEME_D = MEME_cap / TOTAL_cap * 100
You can select:
Reference Index: OTHERS.D or MEME.D
Or disable the index reference completely (Don't Use Index Reference)
💰 Position Sizing & Risk Management
Two capital allocation models are supported:
- Fixed % of initial capital (default)
- Compound profits, which scales positions as equity grows
Settings:
- Compound profits?: true/false
- % of equity: Between 1% and 200% (default = 10%)
This is critical for users who want to balance growth with risk.
🎯 Take Profit / Stop Loss
Customizable thresholds determine automatic exits:
- TakeProfit: Default = 99999 (disabled)
- StopLoss: Default = 5 (%)
These exits are percentage-based and operate off the entry price vs. current close.
📉 Trend Weakening Exit (Scale Out)
If the position is in profit but the trend weakens (e.g., EMA color signals trend loss), the strategy can partially close a configurable portion of the position:
- Scale Position on Weak Trend?: true/false
- Scaled Percentage: % to close (default = 65%)
This feature is useful for preserving profits without exiting completely.
📆 Date Filter
Useful for segmenting performance over specific timeframes (e.g., bull vs bear markets):
- Filter Date Range of Backtest: ON/OFF
- Start Date and End Date: Custom time range
OTHER PARAMETERS EXPLANATION (Strategy "Properties" Tab):
- Initial Capital is set to 100 USD
- Commission is set to 0.055% (The ones I have on Bybit)
- Slippage is set to 3 ticks
- Margin (short and long) are set to 0.001% to avoid "overspending" your initial capital allocation
📊 Visual Feedback and Debug Tools
📈 EMA Trend Visualization
The slow EMA line is dynamically color-coded to visually display the alignment between the asset trend and the index trend:
Lime: Coin and index both bullish
Teal: Only coin bullish
Maroon: Only index bullish
Red: Both bearish
This allows for immediate visual confirmation of current trend strength.
💬 Real-Time PnL Labels
When a trade closes, a label shows:
Previous trade return in % (first value is the effective PL)
Green background for profit, Red for losses.
📑 Summary Table Overlay
This table appears in a corner of the chart (user-defined) and shows live performance data including:
Trade direction (yellow long, purple short)
Emojis: 💚 for current profit, 😡 for current loss
Total number of trades
Win rate
Max drawdown
Duration in days
Current trade profit/loss (absolute and %)
Cumulative PnL (absolute and %)
APR (Annualized Percentage Return)
Each metric is color-coded:
Green for strong results
Yellow/orange for average
Red/maroon for poor performance
You can select where this appears:
Top Left
Top Right
Bottom Left
Bottom Right (default)
📚 Interpretation of Key Metrics
Equity Multiplier: How many times initial capital has grown (e.g., “1.75x”)
Net Profit: Total gains including open positions
Max Drawdown: Largest peak-to-valley drop in strategy equity
APR: Annualized return calculated based on equity growth and days elapsed
Win Rate: % of profitable trades
PnL %: Percentage profit on the most recent trade
🧠 Advanced Logic & Safety Features
🛑 “Don’t Re-Enter” Filter
If a trade is closed due to StopLoss without a confirmed reversal, the strategy avoids re-entering in that same direction until conditions improve. This prevents false reversals and repetitive losses in sideways markets.
🧷 Equity Protection
No new trades are initiated if equity falls below initial_capital / 30. This avoids overleveraging or continuing to trade when capital preservation is critical.
Keep in mind that past results in no way guarantee future performance.
Eddie Bitcoin
Adaptive Square Levels - for all InstrumentsDescription:
The Adaptive Square Levels indicator generates mathematically derived horizontal trendlines based on perfect squares (1², 2², 3², …) anchored to the first trading day’s open of each month.
✨ Key Features
📐 Adaptive Anchoring: Locks onto the nearest square number to the monthly open.
🔁 Dual Context: Displays both current month and previous month levels for comparison.
➕➖ Expansion: Automatically plots ±10 square levels around the anchor.
🟧 Highlighting: Multiples of 3² (9, 36, 81, …) are marked in orange for quick recognition.
⭐ Focus Line: The nearest square is bold and labeled with a ★.
🏷️ Readable Labels: Large fonts ensure values are clearly visible, even on high-value instruments.
📊 Finite Trendlines: Levels extend only within the month, not as infinite rays.
⚙️ Configurable: Adjustable max price coverage up to 250,000 (default) to suit stocks, indices, futures, or commodities.
⚙️ How It Works
At the start of a new month, the script locks the opening price of the first bar.
It finds the nearest perfect square to that open.
It then plots 10 square levels above and below the anchor.
Current month levels extend to today’s bar; previous month levels stop at month end.
The nearest square line is emphasized with a bold ★ label.
🎯 How to Use
Support & Resistance: Use square levels as natural price magnets or turning points.
Monthly Structure: Compare previous vs. current month grids for context.
Confluence Tool: Combine with price action, Fibonacci retracements, or market profile.
Focus Points: Pay special attention to the ★ bold nearest-square — it often becomes the key pivot for the month.
📚 Study Note: Why Square Numbers?
Square numbers (1, 4, 9, 16, 25, …) create a nonlinear but structured grid.
Unlike linear step levels (e.g., round numbers), square levels:
Expand naturally as prices rise.
Provide distinct mathematical anchors.
Have been observed to align with natural support/resistance zones.
This indicator makes square mathematics practical by adapting them to live market opens.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This script is for educational purposes only.
It is not financial advice.
Trading carries risk; always test and combine with proper risk management.
BPS Multi-MA 5 — 22/30, SMA/WMA/EMA# Multi-MA 5 — 22/30 base, SMA/WMA/EMA
**What it is**
A lightweight 5-line moving-average ribbon for fast visual bias and trend/mean-reversion reads. You can switch the MA type (SMA/WMA/EMA) and choose between two ways of setting lengths: by monthly “session-based” base (22 or 30) with multipliers, or by entering exact lengths manually. An optional info table shows the effective settings in real time.
---
## How it works
* Calculates five moving averages from the selected price source.
* Lengths are either:
* **Multipliers mode:** `Base × Multiplier` (e.g., base 22 → 22/44/66/88/110), or
* **Manual mode:** any five exact lengths (e.g., 10/22/50/100/200).
* Plots five lines with fixed legend titles (MA1…MA5); the **info table** displays the actual type and lengths.
---
## Inputs
**Length Mode**
* **Multipliers** — choose a **Base** of **22** (≈ trading sessions per month) or **30** (calendar-style, smoother) and set **×1…×5** multipliers.
* **Manual** — enter **Len1…Len5** directly.
**MA Settings**
* **MA Type:** SMA / WMA / EMA
* **Source:** any series (e.g., `close`, `hlc3`, etc.)
* **Use true close (ignore Heikin Ashi):** when enabled, the MA is computed from the underlying instrument’s real `close`, not HA candles.
* **Show info table:** toggles the on-chart table with the current mode, type, base, and lengths.
---
## Quick start
1. Add the indicator to your chart.
2. Pick **MA Type** (e.g., **WMA** for faster response, **SMA** for smoother).
3. Choose **Length Mode**:
* **Multipliers:** set **Base = 22** for session-based monthly lengths (stocks/FX), or **30** for heavier smoothing.
* **Manual:** enter your exact lengths (e.g., 10/22/50/100/200).
4. (Optional) On **Heikin Ashi** charts, enable **Use true close** if you want the lines based on the instrument’s real close.
---
## Tips & notes
* **1 month ≈ 21–22 sessions.** Using 30 as “monthly” yields a smoother, more delayed curve.
* **WMA** reacts faster than **SMA** at the same length; expect earlier signals but more whipsaws in chop.
* **Len = 1** makes the MA track the chosen source (e.g., `close`) almost exactly.
* If changing lengths doesn’t move the lines, ensure you’re editing fields for the **active Length Mode** (Multipliers vs Manual).
* For clean comparisons, use the **same timeframe**. If you later wrap this in MTF logic, keep `lookahead_off` and handle gaps appropriately.
---
## Use cases
* Trend ribbon and dynamic bias zones
* Pullback entries to the mid/slow lines
* Crossovers (fast vs slow) for confirmation
* Volatility filtering by spreading lengths (e.g., 22/44/88/132/176)
---
**Credits:** Built for clarity and speed; designed around session-based “monthly” lengths (22) or smoother calendar-style (30).
ICT Macro Time Window NYThis script highlights the typical ICT “macro” algorithm activity windows on your chart. It marks 10 minutes before to 10 minutes after each full hour, based on New York time (NY). The display is restricted to the 00:00 – 16:00 NY time range.
Overlay on chart with semi-transparent background
Automatically adjusts to the chart timeframe
Customizable: window start/end minutes, hours, and background color
Ideal for traders following ICT concepts to visually identify high-probability algorithm activity periods.
Advanced Trend Momentum [Alpha Extract]The Advanced Trend Momentum indicator provides traders with deep insights into market dynamics by combining exponential moving average analysis with RSI momentum assessment and dynamic support/resistance detection. This sophisticated multi-dimensional tool helps identify trend changes, momentum divergences, and key structural levels, offering actionable buy and sell signals based on trend strength and momentum convergence.
🔶 CALCULATION
The indicator processes market data through multiple analytical methods:
Dual EMA Analysis: Calculates fast and slow exponential moving averages with dynamic trend direction assessment and ATR-normalized strength measurement.
RSI Momentum Engine: Implements RSI-based momentum analysis with enhanced overbought/oversold detection and momentum velocity calculations.
Pivot-Based Structure: Identifies and tracks dynamic support and resistance levels using pivot point analysis with configurable level management.
Signal Integration: Combines trend direction, momentum characteristics, and structural proximity to generate high-probability trading signals.
Formula:
Fast EMA = EMA(Close, Fast Length)
Slow EMA = EMA(Close, Slow Length)
Trend Direction = Fast EMA > Slow EMA ? 1 : -1
Trend Strength = |Fast EMA - Slow EMA| / ATR(Period) × 100
RSI Momentum = RSI(Close, RSI Length)
Momentum Value = Change(Close, 5) / ATR(10) × 100
Pivot Support/Resistance = Dynamic pivot arrays with configurable lookback periods
Bullish Signal = Trend Change + Momentum Confirmation + Strength > 1%
Bearish Signal = Trend Change + Momentum Confirmation + Strength > 1%
🔶 DETAILS
Visual Features:
Trend EMAs: Fast and slow exponential moving averages with dynamic color coding (bullish/bearish)
Enhanced RSI: RSI oscillator with color-coded zones, gradient fills, and reference bands at overbought/oversold levels
Trend Fill: Dynamic gradient between EMAs indicating trend strength and direction
Support/Resistance Lines: Horizontal levels extending from pivot-based calculations with configurable maximum levels
Momentum Candles: Color-coded candlestick overlay reflecting combined trend and momentum conditions
Divergence Markers: Diamond-shaped signals highlighting bullish and bearish momentum divergences
Analysis Table: Real-time summary of trend direction, strength percentage, RSI value, and momentum reading
Interpretation:
Trend Direction: Bullish when Fast EMA crosses above Slow EMA with strength confirmation
Trend Strength > 1%: Strong trending conditions with institutional participation
RSI > 70: Overbought conditions, potential selling opportunity
RSI < 30: Oversold conditions, potential buying opportunity
Momentum Divergence: Price and momentum moving opposite directions signal potential reversals
Support/Resistance Proximity: Dynamic levels provide optimal entry/exit zones
Combined Signals: Trend changes with momentum confirmation generate high-probability opportunities
🔶 EXAMPLES
Trend Confirmation: Fast EMA crossing above Slow EMA with trend strength exceeding 1% and positive momentum confirms strong bullish conditions.
Example: During institutional accumulation phases, EMA crossovers with momentum confirmation have historically preceded significant upward moves, providing optimal long entry points.
15min
4H
Momentum Divergence Detection: RSI reaching overbought levels while momentum decreases despite rising prices signals potential trend exhaustion.
Example: Bearish divergence signals appearing at resistance levels have marked major market tops, allowing traders to secure profits before corrections.
Support/Resistance Integration: Dynamic pivot-based levels combined with trend and momentum signals create high-probability trading zones.
Example: Bullish trend changes occurring near established support levels offer optimal risk-reward entries with clearly defined stop-loss levels.
Multi-Dimensional Confirmation: The indicator's combination of trend, momentum, and structural analysis provides comprehensive market validation.
Example: When trend direction aligns with momentum characteristics near key structural levels, the confluence creates institutional-grade trading opportunities with enhanced probability of success.
🔶 SETTINGS
Customization Options:
Trend Analysis: Fast EMA Length (default: 12), Slow EMA Length (default: 26), Trend Strength Period (default: 14)
Support & Resistance: Pivot Length for level detection (default: 10), Maximum S/R Levels displayed (default: 3), Toggle S/R visibility
Momentum Settings: RSI Length (default: 14), Oversold Level (default: 30), Overbought Level (default: 70)
Visual Configuration: Color schemes for bullish/bearish/neutral conditions, transparency settings for fills, momentum candle overlay toggle
Display Options: Analysis table visibility, divergence marker size, alert system configuration
The Advanced Trend Momentum indicator provides traders with comprehensive insights into market dynamics through its sophisticated integration of trend analysis, momentum assessment, and structural level detection. By combining multiple analytical dimensions into a unified framework, this tool helps identify high-probability opportunities while filtering out market noise through its multi-confirmation approach, enabling traders to make informed decisions across various market cycles and timeframes.
Advanced Price Ranges ICTThis indicator automatically divides price into fixed ranges (configurable in points or pips) and plots important reference levels such as the high, low, 50% midpoint, and 25%/75% quarters. It is designed to help traders visualize structured price movement, spot confluence zones, and frame their trading bias around clean range-based levels.
🔹 Key Features
Custom Range Size: Define ranges in points (e.g., 100, 50, 25, 10) or in Forex pips.
Forex Mode: Automatically adapts pip size (0.0001 or 0.01 for JPY pairs).
Dynamic Anchoring: Price ranges automatically align to the current price, snapping into blocks.
Multiple Ranges: Option to extend visualization above and below the current active block for a complete grid.
Level Types:
High / Low of the range
50% midpoint
25% and 75% quarters
Custom Styling: Adjustable line colors and widths for each level type.
Labels: Optional right-edge labels showing level type and exact price.
Alerts: Built-in alerts for when price crosses the range high, low, or 50% midpoint.
🔹 Use Cases
Quickly map out 100/50/25/10 point structures like Zeussy’s advanced price range method.
Identify key reaction levels where liquidity is often built or swept.
Support ICT-style concepts like range-based bias, fair value gaps, and liquidity pools.
Works for indices, futures, crypto, and forex.
🔹 Customization
Range increments can be set to any size (default 100).
Toggle which levels are shown (High/Low, Midpoint, Quarters).
Adjustable line widths, colors, and label visibility.
Extend ranges above and below for broader market context.
On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA TypesOn-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types
English Description
Overview
This is the first version of the "On-Balance Volume with Multiple MA Types" indicator designed to overlay directly on the price chart, a significant evolution from its previous iterations, which functioned solely as an oscillator in a separate window. The indicator calculates On-Balance Volume (OBV) and applies various smoothing methods to provide a clear view of volume dynamics in relation to price movements. It is pinned to the price scale for seamless integration with the chart.
Interpretation Recommendations
Price Pushing the OBV Line from Below: When the price chart pushes the OBV line upward and remains below it, this indicates rising volume, suggesting strong buying pressure.
Price Above the OBV Line: When the price chart is above the OBV line, it signals falling volume, indicating weakening momentum or selling pressure.
OBV Line Crossings: When the price crosses the OBV line, it represents a balance point in volume dynamics. The price level at the current crossing can be compared to the previous crossing to assess changes in market sentiment or momentum.
Moving Average Types
The indicator offers eight smoothing options for the OBV line, each with unique characteristics:
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): A weighted average that prioritizes recent data, providing a smooth yet responsive line.
DEMA (Double Exponential Moving Average): Uses two EMAs to reduce lag, offering faster response to volume changes.
HMA (Hull Moving Average): Combines weighted moving averages to minimize lag while maintaining smoothness.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Assigns more weight to recent data, balancing responsiveness and noise reduction.
TMA (Triangular Moving Average): A double-smoothed simple moving average, emphasizing central data points for smoother output.
VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average): Adapts smoothing based on market volatility, using a CMO (Chande Momentum Oscillator) for dynamic weighting. Controlled by the VIDYA Alpha parameter (default: 0.2, range: 0–1), which adjusts sensitivity to volatility.
FRAMA (Fractal Adaptive Moving Average): Adjusts smoothing based on fractal dimensions of the OBV data, adapting to market conditions.
JMA (Jurik Moving Average): A proprietary adaptive average designed for minimal lag and high smoothness. Controlled by two parameters:
JMA Phase (default: 50, range: -100 to 100): Adjusts the balance between responsiveness and smoothness.
JMA Power (default: 1, range: 0.1+): Controls the strength of smoothing.
Input Parameters
OBV MA Length (default: 10): The lookback period for smoothing the OBV. Higher values produce smoother results but increase lag.
OBV MA Type (default: JMA): Selects the moving average type from the eight options listed above.
Line Width (default: 2): Thickness of the OBV line on the chart.
Bullish Color (default: Blue): Color of the OBV line when rising (indicating increasing volume).
Bearish Color (default: Red): Color of the OBV line when falling (indicating decreasing volume).
JMA Phase (default: 50): Adjusts the JMA’s responsiveness (used only when JMA is selected).
JMA Power (default: 1): Adjusts the JMA’s smoothing strength (used only when JMA is selected).
VIDYA Alpha (default: 0.2): Controls the sensitivity of VIDYA to market volatility (used only when VIDYA is selected).
How to Use
Add the indicator to your TradingView chart. It will overlay directly on the price chart, aligned with the price scale.
Adjust the OBV MA Type to select your preferred smoothing method based on your trading style (e.g., JMA for low lag, TMA for smoothness).
Modify the OBV MA Length to balance responsiveness and noise reduction. Shorter periods (e.g., 5–10) are better for short-term trading, while longer periods (e.g., 20–50) suit longer-term analysis.
Use the Bullish Color and Bearish Color to visually distinguish rising and falling volume trends.
For JMA or VIDYA, fine-tune the JMA Phase, JMA Power, or VIDYA Alpha to optimize the indicator for specific market conditions.
Interpret the OBV line in relation to price:
Watch for price pushing the OBV line upward (rising volume) or moving above it (falling volume).
Note crossings of the OBV line to identify balance points and compare with prior crossings to gauge momentum shifts.
Combine with other technical tools (e.g., support/resistance levels, trendlines) for a comprehensive trading strategy.
Notes
This indicator is designed to work on any timeframe and market, but its effectiveness depends on the chosen moving average type and parameters.
Experiment with different MA types and lengths to find the best fit for your trading approach.
The indicator is licensed under the Mozilla Public License 2.0 and copyrighted by TradingStrategyCourses © 2025.
Three-Step 9:30 Range Scalping# Three-Step 9:30 Range Scalping Strategy Rules
## Step 1: Mark the Levels (9:30 AM)
- Wait for the **first 5-minute candle** starting at 9:30 AM EST to close
- Mark the **HIGH** and **LOW** of this candle
- Switch to **1-minute chart** for trading
## Step 2: Find Your Entry (Trade for 1 hour only: 9:30-10:30 AM)
### BREAK Entry
- Need: **Fair Value Gap (FVG)** + **ANY** of the 3 FVG candles closes outside the range
- FVG = Gap between candle wicks (3-candle pattern)
### TRAP Entry
- Need: Break outside range → Retest back inside → Close back outside again
### REVERSAL Entry
- Need: Failed break in one direction → Opposite FVG back into the range
## Step 3: Trade Management
### Stop Loss:
- **Break/Trap**: Low/High of first candle that closed outside the range
- **Reversal**: Low/High of first candle in the FVG pattern
### Take Profit:
- **Always 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio**
- If you risk $100, you make $200
## Key Rules:
- ✅ **Body close** outside range (not just wicks)
- ✅ Trade on **1-minute chart** only
- ✅ Only trade **first hour** (9:30-10:30 AM EST)
- ✅ **Fixed 2:1** take profit every time
- ✅ One strategy, stay consistent
**That's it. No complicated indicators, no higher timeframe bias, no guesswork.**
Control Point System📊 Control Zone Strategy - Trading System Summary
🎯 Core Concept
Trade based on control zone breaks where buyers take over seller zones (bullish) or sellers take over buyer zones (bearish).
📍 Key Levels Setup
Seller Control Zones (Resistance)
PMH (Pre Market High) - Where sellers stopped buyers
YDH (Yesterday High) - Where sellers stopped buyers
Buyer Control Zones (Support)
PML (Pre Market Low) - Where buyers stopped sellers
YDL (Yesterday Low) - Where buyers stopped sellers
📈 EMA System
200 EMA (Purple) - Trend Filter: Above = Bullish bias | Below = Bearish bias
48 EMA (Red) - Last line of defense for pullbacks/shorts
13 EMA (Green) - Pullback levels (if above 200) or Short levels (if below 200)
8 EMA (Orange) - Exit indicator
⚡ Entry Signals
BULLISH Setup (Buyers Take Control)
Condition: Price breaks above PMH or YDH (seller zones)
Confirmation: Above 200 EMA for bullish trend
Entry: Use 5-minute timeframe for precise entries
Logic: Buyers have overpowered seller control zones
BEARISH Setup (Sellers Take Control)
Condition: Price breaks below PML or YDL (buyer zones)
Confirmation: Below 200 EMA for bearish trend
Entry: Use 5-minute timeframe for precise entries
Logic: Sellers have overpowered buyer control zones
🚪 Exit Strategy
Main Exit Rule
Exit Signal: Full candle close above 8 EMA on 5 or 10-minute chart
Runners: Take partial profits along the way, let runners ride until 8 EMA exit
Profit Taking
Scale out at key resistance/support levels
Use Daily 13 EMA as potential exit target
Trail stops using 8 EMA
⏰ Timeframes
Entry: 5-minute chart
Exit Monitoring: 5-minute or 10-minute chart for 8 EMA signals
PMH/PML: Calculated from 4:00 AM - 8:29 AM EST premarket session
🎯 Quick Decision Matrix
ScenarioActionBiasBreak above PMH/YDH + Above 200 EMABUYBullishBreak below PML/YDL + Below 200 EMASELLBearishFull candle close above 8 EMAEXITNeutralPrice at 13/48 EMA + Trend intactAdd/ScaleContinue
💡 Key Rules
Trend is king - Always check 200 EMA first
Zone breaks = control shifts - Trade in direction of new control
8 EMA exit - Respect the exit signal to preserve profits
Scale profits - Don't exit everything at once, use runners
Bottom Line: Trade the battle for control between buyers and sellers at key levels, with trend as your guide and 8 EMA as your exit!
Smarter Money Concepts - Wyckoff Springs & Upthrusts [PhenLabs]📊Smarter Money Concepts - Wyckoff Springs & Upthrusts
Version: PineScript™v6
📌Description
Discover institutional manipulation in real-time with this advanced Wyckoff indicator that detects Springs (accumulation phases) and Upthrusts (distribution phases). It identifies when price tests support or resistance on high volume, followed by a strong recovery, signaling potential reversals where smart money accumulates or distributes positions. This tool solves the common problem of missing these subtle phase transitions, helping traders anticipate trend changes and avoid traps in volatile markets.
By combining volume spike detection, ATR-normalized recovery strength, and a sigmoid probability model, it filters out weak signals and highlights only high-confidence setups. Whether you’re swing trading or day trading, this indicator provides clear visual cues to align with institutional flows, improving entry timing and risk management.
🚀Points of Innovation
Sigmoid-based probability threshold for signal filtering, ensuring only statistically significant Wyckoff patterns trigger alerts
ATR-normalized recovery measurement that adapts to market volatility, unlike static recovery checks in traditional indicators
Customizable volume spike multiplier to distinguish institutional volume from retail noise
Integrated dashboard legend with position and size options for personalized chart visualization
Hidden probability plots for advanced users to analyze underlying math without chart clutter
🔧Core Components
Support/Resistance Calculator: Scans a user-defined lookback period to establish dynamic levels for Spring and Upthrust detection
Volume Spike Detector: Compares current volume to a 10-period SMA, multiplied by a configurable factor to identify significant surges
Recovery Strength Analyzer: Uses ATR to measure price recovery after breaks, normalizing for different market conditions
Probability Model: Applies sigmoid function to combine volume and recovery data, generating a confidence score for each potential signal
🔥Key Features
Spring Detection: Spots accumulation when price dips below support but recovers strongly, helping traders enter longs at potential bottoms
Upthrust Detection: Identifies distribution when price spikes above resistance but falls back, alerting to possible short opportunities at tops
Customizable Inputs: Adjust lookback, volume multiplier, ATR period, and probability threshold to match your trading style and market
Visual Signals: Clear + (green) and - (red) labels on charts for instant recognition of accumulation and distribution phases
Alert System: Triggers notifications for signals and probability thresholds, keeping you informed without constant monitoring
🎨Visualization
Spring Signal: Green upward label (+) below the bar, indicating strong recovery after support break for accumulation
Upthrust Signal: Red downward label (-) above the bar, showing failed breakout above resistance for distribution
Dashboard Legend: Customizable table explaining signals, positioned anywhere on the chart for quick reference
📖Usage Guidelines
Core Settings
Support/Resistance Lookback
Default: 20
Range: 5-50
Description: Sets bars back for S/R levels; lower for recent sensitivity, higher for stable long-term zones – ideal for spotting Wyckoff phases
Volume Spike Multiplier
Default: 1.5
Range: 1.0-3.0
Description: Multiplies 10-period volume SMA; higher values filter to significant spikes, confirming institutional involvement in patterns
ATR for Recovery Measurement
Default: 5
Range: 2-20
Description: ATR period for recovery strength; shorter for volatile markets, longer for smoother analysis of post-break recoveries
Phase Transition Probability Threshold
Default: 0.9
Range: 0.5-0.99
Description: Minimum sigmoid probability for signals; higher for strict filtering, ensuring only high-confidence Wyckoff setups
Display Settings
Dashboard Position
Default: Top Right
Range: Various positions
Description: Places legend table on chart; choose based on layout to avoid overlapping price action
Dashboard Text Size
Default: Normal
Range: Auto to Huge
Description: Adjusts legend text; larger for visibility, smaller for minimal space use
✅Best Use Cases
Swing Trading: Identify Springs for long entries in downtrends turning to accumulation
Day Trading: Catch Upthrusts for short scalps during intraday distribution at resistance
Trend Reversal Confirmation: Use in conjunction with other indicators to validate phase shifts in ranging markets
Volatility Plays: Spot signals in high-volume environments like news events for quick reversals
⚠️Limitations
May produce false signals in low-volume or sideways markets where volume spikes are unreliable
Depends on historical data, so performance varies in unprecedented market conditions or gaps
Probability model is statistical, not predictive, and cannot account for external factors like news
💡What Makes This Unique
Probability-Driven Filtering: Sigmoid model combines multiple factors for superior signal quality over basic Wyckoff detectors
Adaptive Recovery: ATR normalization ensures reliability across assets and timeframes, unlike fixed-threshold tools
User-Centric Design: Tooltips, customizable dashboard, and alerts make it accessible yet powerful for all trader levels
🔬How It Works
Calculate S/R Levels:
Uses the highest high and the lowest low over the lookback period to set dynamic zones
Establishes baseline for detecting breaks in Wyckoff patterns
Detect Breaks and Recovery:
Checks for price breaking support/resistance, then recovering on volume
Measures recovery strength via ATR for volatility adjustment
Apply Probability Model:
Combines volume spike and recovery into a sigmoid function for confidence score
Triggers signal only if above threshold, plotting visuals and alerts
💡Note:
For optimal results, combine with price action analysis and test settings on historical charts. Remember, Wyckoff patterns are most effective in trending markets – use lower probability thresholds for practice, then increase for live trading to focus on high-quality setups.
Imbalance RSI Divergence Strategy# Imbalance RSI Divergence Strategy - User Guide
## What is This Strategy?
This strategy identifies **imbalance** zones in the market and combines them with **RSI divergence** to generate trading signals. It aims to capitalize on price gaps left by institutional investors and large volume movements.
### Main Settings
- **RSI Period (14)**: Period used for RSI calculation. Lower values = more sensitive, higher values = more stable signals.
- **ATR Period (10)**: Period for volatility measurement using Average True Range.
- **ATR Stop Loss Multiplier (2.0)**: How many ATR units to use for stop loss calculation.
- **Risk:Reward Ratio (4.0)**: Risk-reward ratio. 2.0 = 2 units of reward for 1 unit of risk.
- **Use RSI Divergence Filter (true)**: Enables/disables the RSI divergence filter.
### Imbalance Filters
- **Minimum Imbalance Size (ATR) (0.3)**: Minimum imbalance size in ATR units to filter out small imbalances.
- **Enable Lookback Limit (false)**: Activates historical lookback limitations.
- **Maximum Lookback Bars (300)**: Maximum number of bars to look back.
### Visual Settings
- **Show Imbalance Size**: Displays imbalance size in ATR units.
- **Show RSI Divergence Lines**: Shows/hides divergence lines.
- **Divergence Line Colors**: Colors for bullish/bearish divergence lines.
### Volatility-Based Adjustments
- **Low volatility markets**:
- Minimum Imbalance Size: 0.2-0.4 ATR
- ATR Stop Loss Multiplier: 1.5-2.0
- **High volatility markets**:
- Minimum Imbalance Size: 0.5-1.0 ATR
- ATR Stop Loss Multiplier: 2.5-3.5
### Risk Tolerance
- **Conservative approach**:
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 2.0-3.0
- RSI Divergence Filter: Enabled
- Minimum Imbalance Size: Higher (0.5+ ATR)
- **Aggressive approach**:
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 4.0-6.0
- Minimum Imbalance Size: Lower (0.2-0.3 ATR)
###Market Conditions
- **Trending markets**: Higher RSI Period (21-28)
- **Sideways markets**: Lower RSI Period (10-14)
- **Volatile markets**: Higher ATR Multiplier
## Recommended Testing Procedure
1. **Start with default settings** and backtest on 3-6 months of historical data
2. **Adjust RSI Period** to see which value produces better results
3. **Optimize ATR Multiplier** for stop loss levels
4. **Test different Risk:Reward ratios** comparatively
5. **Fine-tune Minimum Imbalance Size** to improve signal quality
## Important Considerations
- **False positive signals**: Imbalances may be less reliable during low volatility periods
- **Market openings**: First hours often produce more imbalances but can be riskier
- **News events**: Consider disabling strategy during major news releases
- **Backtesting**: Test across different market conditions (trending, sideways, volatile)
## Recommended Settings for Beginners
**Safe settings for new users:**
- RSI Period: 14
- ATR Period: 14
- ATR Stop Loss Multiplier: 2.5
- Risk:Reward Ratio: 3.0
- Minimum Imbalance Size: 0.5 ATR
- RSI Divergence Filter: Enabled
## Advanced Tips
### Signal Quality Improvement
- **Combine with market structure**: Look for imbalances near key support/resistance levels
- **Volume confirmation**: Higher volume during imbalance formation increases reliability
- **Multiple timeframe analysis**: Confirm signals on higher timeframes
### Risk Management
- **Position sizing**: Never risk more than 1-2% of account per trade
- **Maximum drawdown**: Set overall stop loss for the strategy
- **Market hours**: Consider avoiding low liquidity periods
### Performance Monitoring
- **Win rate**: Track percentage of profitable trades
- **Average R:R**: Monitor actual risk-reward achieved vs. target
- **Maximum consecutive losses**: Set alerts for strategy review
This strategy works best when combined with proper risk management and market analysis. Always backtest thoroughly before using real money and adjust parameters based on your specific market and trading style.
Screener based on Profitunity strategy for multiple timeframes
Screener based on Profitunity strategy by Bill Williams for multiple timeframes (max 5, including chart timeframe) and customizable symbol list. The screener analyzes the Alligator and Awesome Oscillator indicators, Divergent bars and high volume bars.
The maximum allowed number of requests (symbols and timeframes) is limited to 40 requests, for example, for 10 symbols by 4 requests of different timeframes. Therefore, the indicator automatically limits the number of displayed symbols depending on the number of timeframes for each symbol, if there are more symbols than are displayed in the screener table, then the ordinal numbers are displayed to the left of the symbols, in this case you can display the next group of symbols by increasing the value by 1 in the "Show tickers from" field, if the "Group" field is enabled, or specify the symbol number by 1 more than the last symbol in the screener table. 👀 When timeframe filtering is applied, the screener table displays only the columns of those timeframes for which the filtering value is selected, which allows displaying more symbols.
For each timeframe, in the "TIMEFRAMES > Prev" field, you can enable the display of data for the previous bar relative to the last (current) one, if the market is open for the requested symbol. In the "TIMEFRAMES > Y" field, you can enable filtering depending on the location of the last five bars relative to the Alligator indicator lines, which are designated by special symbols in the screener table:
⬆️ — if the Alligator is open upwards (Lips > Teeth > Jaw) and none of the bars is closed below the Lips line;
↗️ — if one of the bars, except for the penultimate one, is closed below Lips, or two bars, except for the last one, are closed below Lips, or the Alligator is open upwards only below four bars, but none of the bars is closed below Lips;
⬇️ — if the Alligator is open downwards (Lips < Teeth < Jaw), but none of the bars is closed above Lips;
↘️ — if one of the bars, except the penultimate one, is closed above the Lips, or two bars, except the last one, are closed above the Lips, or the Alligator is open down only above four bars, but none of the bars are closed above the Lips;
➡️ — in other cases, including when the Alligator lines intersect and one of the bars is closed behind the Lips line or two bars intersect one of the Alligator lines.
In the "TIMEFRAMES > Show bar change value for TF" field, you can add a column to the right of the selected timeframe column with the percentage change between the closing price of the last bar (current) and the closing price of the previous bar ((close – previous close) / previous close * 100). Depending on the percentage value, the background color of the screener table cell will change: dark red if <= -3%; red if <= -2%, light red if <= -0.5%; dark green if >= 3%; green if >= 2%; light green if >= 0.5%.
For each timeframe, the screener table displays the symbol of the latest (current) bar, depending on the closing price relative to the bar's midpoint ((high + low) / 2) and its location relative to the Alligator indicator lines: ⎾ — the bar's closing price is above its midpoint; ⎿ — the bar's closing price is below its midpoint; ├ — the bar's closing price is equal to its midpoint; 🟢 — Bullish Divergent bar, i.e. the bar's closing price is above its midpoint, the bar's high is below all Alligator lines, the bar's low is below the previous bar's low; 🔴 — Bearish Divergent bar, i.e. the bar's closing price is below its midpoint, the bar's low is above all Alligator lines, the bar's high is above the previous bar's high. When filtering is enabled in the "TIMEFRAMES > Filtering by Divergent bar" field, the data in the screener table cells will be displayed only for those timeframes that have a Divergent bar. A high bar volume signal is also displayed — 📶/📶² if the bar volume is greater than 40%/70% of the average volume value calculated using a simple moving average (SMA) in the 140 bar interval from the last bar.
In the indicator settings in the "SYMBOL LIST" field, each ticker (for example: OANDA:SPX500USD) must be on a separate line. If the market is closed, then the data for requested symbols will be limited to the time of the last (current) bar on the chart, for example, if the current symbol was traded yesterday, and the requested symbol is traded today, when requesting data for an hourly timeframe, the last bar will be for yesterday, if the timeframe of the current chart is not higher than 1 day. Therefore, by default, a warning will be displayed on the chart instead of the screener table that if the market is open, you must wait for the screener to load (after the first price change on the current chart), or if the highest timeframe in the screener is 1 day, you will be prompted to change the timeframe on the current chart to 1 week, if the screener requests data for the timeframe of 1 week, you will be prompted to change the timeframe on the current chart to 1 month, or switch to another symbol on the current chart for which the market is open (for example: BINANCE:BTCUSDT), or disable the warning in the field "SYMBOL LIST > Do not display screener if market is close".
The number of the last columns with the color of the AO indicator that will be displayed in the screener table for each timeframe is specified in the indicator settings in the "AWESOME OSCILLATOR > Number of columns" field.
For each timeframe, the direction of the trend between the price of the highest and lowest bars in the specified range of bars from the last bar is displayed — ↑ if the trend is up (the highest bar is to the right of the lowest), or ↓ if the trend is down (the lowest bar is to the right of the highest). If there is a divergence on the AO indicator in the specified interval, the symbol ∇ is also displayed. The average volume value is also calculated in the specified interval using a simple moving average (SMA). The number of bars is set in the indicator settings in the "INTERVAL FOR HIGHEST AND LOWEST BARS > Bars count" field.
In the indicator settings in the "STYLE" field you can change the position of the screener table relative to the chart window, the background color, the color and size of the text.
***
Скринер на основе стратегии Profitunity Билла Вильямса для нескольких таймфреймов (максимум 5, включая таймфрейм графика) и настраиваемого списка символов. Скринер анализирует индикаторы Alligator и Awesome Oscillator, Дивергентные бары и бары с высоким объемом.
Максимально допустимое количество запросов (символы и таймфреймы) ограничено 40 запросами, например, для 10 символов по 4 запроса разных таймфреймов. Поэтому в индикаторе автоматически ограничивается количество отображаемых символов в зависимости от количества таймфреймов для каждого символа, если символов больше чем отображено в таблице скринера, то слева от символов отображаются порядковые номера, в таком случае можно отобразить следующую группу символов, увеличив значение на 1 в настройках индикатора поле "Show tickers from", если включено поле "Group", или указать номер символа на 1 больше, чем последний символ в таблице скринера. 👀 Когда применяется фильтрация по таймфрейму, в таблице скринера отображаются только столбцы тех таймфреймов, для которых выбрано значение фильтрации, что позволяет отображать большее количество символов.
Для каждого таймфрейма в настройках индикатора в поле "TIMEFRAMES > Prev" можно включить отображение данных для предыдущего бара относительно последнего (текущего), если для запрашиваемого символа рынок открыт. В поле "TIMEFRAMES > Y" можно включить фильтрацию, в зависимости от расположения последних пяти баров относительно линий индикатора Alligator, которые обозначаются специальными символами в таблице скринера:
⬆️ — если Alligator открыт вверх (Lips > Teeth > Jaw) и ни один из баров не закрыт ниже линии Lips;
↗️ — если один из баров, кроме предпоследнего, закрыт ниже Lips, или два бара, кроме последнего, закрыты ниже Lips, или Alligator открыт вверх только ниже четырех баров, но ни один из баров не закрыт ниже Lips;
⬇️ — если Alligator открыт вниз (Lips < Teeth < Jaw), но ни один из баров не закрыт выше Lips;
↘️ — если один из баров, кроме предпоследнего, закрыт выше Lips, или два бара, кроме последнего, закрыты выше Lips, или Alligator открыт вниз только выше четырех баров, но ни один из баров не закрыт выше Lips;
➡️ — в остальных случаях, в то числе когда линии Alligator пересекаются и один из баров закрыт за линией Lips или два бара пересекают одну из линий Alligator.
В поле "TIMEFRAMES > Show bar change value for TF" можно добавить справа от выбранного столбца таймфрейма столбец с процентным изменением между ценой закрытия последнего бара (текущего) и ценой закрытия предыдущего бара ((close – previous close) / previous close * 100). В зависимости от величины процента будет меняться цвет фона ячейки таблицы скринера: темно-красный, если <= -3%; красный, если <= -2%, светло-красный, если <= -0.5%; темно-зеленый, если >= 3%; зеленый, если >= 2%; светло-зеленый, если >= 0.5%.
Для каждого таймфрейма в таблице скринера отображается символ последнего (текущего) бара, в зависимости от цены закрытия относительно середины бара ((high + low) / 2) и расположения относительно линий индикатора Alligator: ⎾ — цена закрытия бара выше его середины; ⎿ — цена закрытия бара ниже его середины; ├ — цена закрытия бара равна его середине; 🟢 — Бычий Дивергентный бар, т.е. цена закрытия бара выше его середины, максимум бара ниже всех линий Alligator, минимум бара ниже минимума предыдущего бара; 🔴 — Медвежий Дивергентный бар, т.е. цена закрытия бара ниже его середины, минимум бара выше всех линий Alligator, максимум бара выше максимума предыдущего бара. При включении фильтрации в поле "TIMEFRAMES > Filtering by Divergent bar" данные в ячейках таблицы скринера будут отображаться только для тех таймфреймов, где есть Дивергентный бар. Также отображается сигнал высокого объема бара — 📶/📶², если объем бара больше чем на 40%/70% среднего значения объема, рассчитанного с помощью простой скользящей средней (SMA) в интервале 140 баров от последнего бара.
В настройках индикатора в поле "SYMBOL LIST" каждый тикер (например: OANDA:SPX500USD) должен быть на отдельной строке. Если рынок закрыт, то данные для запрашиваемых символов будут ограничены временем последнего (текущего) бара на графике, например, если текущий символ торговался последний день вчера, а запрашиваемый символ торгуется сегодня, при запросе данных для часового таймфрейма, последний бар будет за вчерашний день, если таймфрейм текущего графика не выше 1 дня. Поэтому по умолчанию на графике будет отображаться предупреждение вместо таблицы скринера о том, что если рынок открыт, то необходимо дождаться загрузки скринера (после первого изменения цены на текущем графике), или если в скринере самый высокий таймфрейм 1 день, то будет предложено изменить на текущем графике таймфрейм на 1 неделю, если в скринере запрашиваются данные для таймфрейма 1 неделя, то будет предложено изменить на текущем графике таймфрейм на 1 месяц, или же переключиться на другой символ на текущем графике, для которого рынок открыт (например: BINANCE:BTCUSDT), или отключить предупреждение в поле "SYMBOL LIST > Do not display screener if market is close".
Количество последних столбцов с цветом индикатора AO, которые будут отображены в таблице скринера для каждого таймфрейма, указывается в настройках индикатора в поле "AWESOME OSCILLATOR > Number of columns".
Для каждого таймфрейма отображается направление тренда между ценой самого высокого и самого низкого баров в указанном интервале баров от последнего бара — ↑, если тренд направлен вверх (самый высокий бар справа от самого низкого), или ↓, если тренд направлен вниз (самый низкий бар справа от самого высокого). Если есть дивергенция на индикаторе AO в указанном интервале, то также отображается символ — ∇. В указанном интервале также рассчитывается среднее значение объема с помощью простой скользящей средней (SMA). Количество баров устанавливается в настройках индикатора в поле "INTERVAL FOR HIGHEST AND LOWEST BARS > Bars count".
В настройках индикатора в поле "STYLE" можно изменить положение таблицы скринера относительно окна графика, цвет фона, цвет и размер текста.
The Barking Rat LiteMomentum & FVG Reversion Strategy
The Barking Rat Lite is a disciplined, short-term mean-reversion strategy that combines RSI momentum filtering, EMA bands, and Fair Value Gap (FVG) detection to identify short-term reversal points. Designed for practical use on volatile markets, it focuses on precise entries and ATR-based take profit management to balance opportunity and risk.
Core Concept
This strategy seeks potential reversals when short-term price action shows exhaustion outside an EMA band, confirmed by momentum and FVG signals:
EMA Bands:
Parameters used: A 20-period EMA (fast) and 100-period EMA (slow).
Why chosen:
- The 20 EMA is sensitive to short-term moves and reflects immediate momentum.
- The 100 EMA provides a slower, structural anchor.
When price trades outside both bands, it often signals overextension relative to both short-term and medium-term trends.
Application in strategy:
- Long entries are only considered when price dips below both EMAs, identifying potential undervaluation.
- Short entries are only considered when price rises above both EMAs, identifying potential overvaluation.
This dual-band filter avoids counter-trend signals that would occur if only a single EMA was used, making entries more selective..
Fair Value Gap Detection (FVG):
Parameters used: The script checks for dislocations using a 12-bar lookback (i.e. comparing current highs/lows with values 12 candles back).
Why chosen:
- A 12-bar displacement highlights significant inefficiencies in price structure while filtering out micro-gaps that appear every few bars in high-volatility markets.
- By aligning FVG signals with candle direction (bullish = close > open, bearish = close < open), the strategy avoids random gaps and instead targets ones that suggest exhaustion.
Application in strategy:
- Bullish FVGs form when earlier lows sit above current highs, hinting at downward over-extension.
- Bearish FVGs form when earlier highs sit below current lows, hinting at upward over-extension.
This gives the strategy a structural filter beyond simple oscillators, ensuring signals have price-dislocation context.
RSI Momentum Filter:
Parameters used: 14-period RSI with thresholds of 80 (overbought) and 20 (oversold).
Why chosen:
- RSI(14) is a widely recognized momentum measure that balances responsiveness with stability.
- The thresholds are intentionally extreme (80/20 vs. the more common 70/30), so the strategy only engages at genuine exhaustion points rather than frequent minor corrections.
Application in strategy:
- Longs trigger when RSI < 20, suggesting oversold exhaustion.
- Shorts trigger when RSI > 80, suggesting overbought exhaustion.
This ensures entries are not just technically valid but also backed by momentum extremes, raising conviction.
ATR-Based Take Profit:
Parameters used: 14-period ATR, with a default multiplier of 4.
Why chosen:
- ATR(14) reflects the prevailing volatility environment without reacting too much to outliers.
- A multiplier of 4 is a pragmatic compromise: wide enough to let trades breathe in volatile conditions, but tight enough to enforce disciplined exits before mean reversion fades.
Application in strategy:
- At entry, a fixed target is set = Entry Price ± (ATR × 4).
- This target scales automatically with volatility: narrower in calm periods, wider in explosive markets.
By avoiding discretionary exits, the system maintains rule-based discipline.
Visual Signals on Chart
Blue “▲” below candle: Potential long entry
Orange/Yellow “▼” above candle: Potential short entry
Green “✔️”: Trade closed at ATR take profit
Blue (20 EMA) & Orange (100 EMA) lines: Dynamic channel reference
⚙️Strategy report properties
Position size: 25% equity per trade
Initial capital: 10,000.00 USDT
Pyramiding: 10 entries per direction
Slippage: 2 ticks
Commission: 0.055% per side
Backtest timeframe: 1-minute
Backtest instrument: HYPEUSDT
Backtesting range: Jul 28, 2025 — Aug 17, 2025
Note on Sample Size:
You’ll notice the report displays fewer than the ideal 100 trades in the strategy report above. This is intentional. The goal of the script is to isolate high-quality, short-term reversal opportunities while filtering out low-conviction setups. This means that the Barking Rat Lite strategy is very selective, filtering out over 90% of market noise. The brief timeframe shown in the strategy report here illustrates its filtering logic over a short window — not its full capabilities. As a result, even on lower timeframes like the 1-minute chart, signals are deliberately sparse — each one must pass all criteria before triggering.
For a larger dataset:
Once the strategy is applied to your chart, users are encouraged to expand the lookback range or apply the strategy to other volatile pairs to view a full sample.
💡Why 25% Equity Per Trade?
While it's always best to size positions based on personal risk tolerance, we defaulted to 25% equity per trade in the backtesting data — and here’s why:
Backtests using this sizing show manageable drawdowns even under volatile periods.
The strategy generates a sizeable number of trades, reducing reliance on a single outcome.
Combined with conservative filters, the 25% setting offers a balance between aggression and control.
Users are strongly encouraged to customize this to suit their risk profile.
What makes Barking Rat Lite valuable
Combines multiple layers of confirmation: EMA bands + FVG + RSI
Adaptive to volatility: ATR-based exits scale with market conditions
Clear, actionable visuals: Easy to monitor and manage trades
STOCK EXCHANGE + SILVER BULLET FRAMESThis script is an updated version of the " NY/LDN/TOK Stock Exchange Opening Hours " script.
Objective
Displays global stock exchange sessions (New York, London, Tokyo) with session frames, highs/lows, and opening lines. Includes ICT Silver Bullet windows (NY, London, Tokyo) with configurable shading. Past sessions are frozen at close, ongoing sessions update dynamically until closure, and upcoming sessions are pre-drawn. Fully customizable with options for weekends, labels, padding, opacity, and individual session toggles.
It is designed to help traders quickly interpret market context, liquidity zones, and session-based price behavior.
Main Features
Past sessions (historical data)
• Session Frames:
• Each box is frozen at the session’s close.
• The left edge aligns with the opening time, while the right edge is fixed at the closing time.
• The top and bottom reflect the highest and lowest prices during the session.
• Session Labels:
• Names (NY, LDN, TOK) displayed above the frame, aligned left, in the same color as the frame.
• Opening Lines:
• Vertical dotted lines mark the start of each session.
Ongoing and upcoming sessions (live market)
• Dynamic Session Frames:
• The right edge is locked at the future close time.
• The top and bottom update in real time as new highs and lows form.
• Labels and Lines:
• The session label is visible above the active frame.
• Opening lines are drawn as soon as the session begins.
Silver Bullet Time Windows (ICT concept)
• Highlights key liquidity windows within sessions:
• New York: 10:00–11:00 and 14:00–15:00
• London: 08:00–09:00
• Tokyo: 09:00–10:00
• Silver Bullet zones are shaded with configurable opacity (default 5%).
Customization and Options
• Enable or disable individual sessions (NY, London, Tokyo).
• Toggle weekend display (frames and Silver Bullets).
• Adjust label size, padding, and text visibility.
• Control frame opacity (default 0%).
• Optimized memory management with automatic pruning of old graphical objects.
MACROFLOW 200 — Bias & Triggersstephtradez model
MACROFLOW 200 — at a glance (the elevator pitch)
Trade direction = Macro Bias + 1H 200 EMA filter + DXY confirm.
Locations = 1H supply/demand zones.
Triggers (15m): (T1) Retest rejection, (T2) Liquidity sweep + BOS/CHOCH, (T3) Momentum break + shallow pullback.
Stops: structure‑based beyond zone with ATR buffer.
Targets: 2R base, scale at 1.5R, trail to next HTF zone.
Sessions: 7–10 pm ET and 9:30–10:30 am ET.
Risk: tight, prop‑friendly max 1% per session
Body & Volume-Based Buy/Sell Signals (5min 1.5M Vol)Only for 5 min and Volume 1.5M
Conditions (Summarized)
🔹 BUY Signal
Previous candle is red: close < open
Current candle is green: close > open
Previous candle body is smaller than current:
abs(close - open ) < abs(close - open)
Previous candle body size ≥ 10 points
Both candles' volume ≥ minVolume (default: 2,000,000)
➜ Plot BUY below green candle
🔸 SELL Signal
Previous candle is green: close > open
Current candle is red: close < open
Previous candle body is smaller than current:
abs(close - open ) < abs(close - open)
Previous candle body size ≥ 10 points
Both candles' volume ≥ minVolume
➜ Plot SELL above red candle
Multi Volume Weighted Average Price1. Three independent VWAP configurations (VWAP 1, 2, and 3). Each can be set up separately
for periods such as: session, daily, weekly, monthly, etc.
2. Previous VWAP closing prices: Closed VWAPs from previous periods remain visible until the
price touches them. At that point, they are removed.
3. Bands: Based on standard deviation or a percentage of VWAP with an adjustable multiplier.
The bands can be turned on or off.
4. Source: OHLC4 is the default setting for an accurate approximation, but it is customizable
(e.g. HLC3).
5. Global Setting: Select 10,000 or 20,000 historical bars to prevent runtime errors for long
periods.
Usage tips:
1. Use VWAP 1 for daily sessions, VWAP 2 for weekly, and VWAP 3 for Monthly analysis to receive
multi-timeframe support.
2. Customize the labels to clearly distinguish them (e.g. D VWAP, W VWAP, M VWAP).
3. If you encounter errors with historical data (e.g. on the M1 chart), minimize the number of
historical bars displayed to 10,000.
Market Structure Trend Change by TenAMTraderMarket Structure Trend Change Indicator
Description:
This indicator detects changes in market trend by analyzing swing highs and lows to identify Higher Highs (HH), Higher Lows (HL), Lower Highs (LH), and Lower Lows (LL). It helps traders quickly see potential reversals and trend continuation points.
Features:
Automatically identifies pivots based on configurable left and right bars.
Labels pivot points (HH, HL, LH, LL) directly on the chart (text-only for clarity).
Generates buy and sell signals when a trend change is detected:
Buy Signal: HL after repeated LLs.
Sell Signal: LH after repeated HHs.
Fully customizable signal appearance: arrow type, circle, label, color, and size.
Adjustable minimum number of repeated highs or lows before a trend change triggers a signal.
Alerts built in for automated notifications when buy/sell signals occur.
Default Settings:
Optimized for a 10-minute chart.
Default “Min repeats before trend change” and pivot left/right bars are set for typical 10-min price swings.
User Customization:
Adjust the “Pivot Left Bars,” “Pivot Right Bars,” and “Min repeats before trend change” to match your trading style, chart timeframe, and volatility.
Enable pivot labels for visual clarity if desired.
Set alerts to receive notifications of trend changes in real time.
How to Use:
Apply the indicator to any chart and timeframe. It works best on swing-trading or trend-following strategies.
Watch for Buy/Sell signals in conjunction with your other analysis, such as volume, support/resistance, or other indicators.
Legal Disclaimer:
This indicator is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users should trade at their own risk and are solely responsible for any gains or losses incurred.
Simple Symmetrical Triangle Strategy (6 points)Overview
This strategy identifies triangle patterns formed by a series of key high and low price points. A trade is triggered when the price breaks out from the pattern's final confirmation points: a buy signal occurs on a close above the last high point, and a sell signal on a close below the last low point. To ensure relevance, any pattern that doesn't break out within 10 bars is automatically discarded.
This helps filter out patterns that lose momentum and focuses only on the most imminent breakouts.
How It Works
1. Pattern Detection: The script continuously scans for a sequence of three declining highs (points H1, H2, H3) and three rising lows (points L1, L2, L3) to form a triangle.
2. Entry Logic: The logic is straightforward and based on breaking the last confirmed pivot:
* Long Entry: A buy order is executed if the price closes above the level of the last high (H3).
* Short Entry: A sell order is executed if the price closes below the level of the last low (L3).
3. Pattern Expiration: A triangle only remains "active" for 10 bars after its formation. If a breakout doesn't occur within this window, the pattern is removed from analysis, avoiding trades on prolonged, unresolved consolidations.
Key Features
* Automatic Detection: Identifies and draws triangles for you.
* Simple Breakout Logic: Easy to understand, trades by following the price action.
* Time Filter: Its main advantage is discarding patterns that do not resolve quickly.
* Customizable: You can adjust the sensitivity of the pivot detection in the settings.
Important Disclaimer
This strategy is designed as an entry system and DOES NOT INCLUDE A STOP LOSS OR TAKE PROFIT.
Automation Ready
Want to automate this or ANY strategy on your broker or MetaTrader (MT4/MT5) without keeping your computer on or needing a VPS? You can use WebhookTrade.
Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster [BackQuant]Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster
Plain-English overview
This tool projects a cone of plausible future prices by combining two ideas that traders already use intuitively: seasonality and uncertainty. It watches how your market typically behaves around this calendar date, turns that seasonal tendency into a small daily “drift,” then runs many randomized price paths forward to estimate where price could land tomorrow, next week, or a month from now. The result is a probability cone with a clear expected path, plus optional overlays that show how past years tended to move from this point on the calendar. It is a planning tool, not a crystal ball: the goal is to quantify ranges and odds so you can size, place stops, set targets, and time entries with more realism.
What Monte Carlo is and why quants rely on it
• Definition . Monte Carlo simulation is a way to answer “what might happen next?” when there is randomness in the system. Instead of producing a single forecast, it generates thousands of alternate futures by repeatedly sampling random shocks and adding them to a model of how prices evolve.
• Why it is used . Markets are noisy. A single point forecast hides risk. Monte Carlo gives a distribution of outcomes so you can reason in probabilities: the median path, the 68% band, the 95% band, tail risks, and the chance of hitting a specific level within a horizon.
• Core strengths in quant finance .
– Path-dependent questions : “What is the probability we touch a stop before a target?” “What is the expected drawdown on the way to my objective?”
– Pricing and risk : Useful for path-dependent options, Value-at-Risk (VaR), expected shortfall (CVaR), stress paths, and scenario analysis when closed-form formulas are unrealistic.
– Planning under uncertainty : Portfolio construction and rebalancing rules can be tested against a cloud of plausible futures rather than a single guess.
• Why it fits trading workflows . It turns gut feel like “seasonality is supportive here” into quantitative ranges: “median path suggests +X% with a 68% band of ±Y%; stop at Z has only ~16% odds of being tagged in N days.”
How this indicator builds its probability cone
1) Seasonal pattern discovery
The script builds two day-of-year maps as new data arrives:
• A return map where each calendar day stores an exponentially smoothed average of that day’s log return (yesterday→today). The smoothing (90% old, 10% new) behaves like an EWMA, letting older seasons matter while adapting to new information.
• A volatility map that tracks the typical absolute return for the same calendar day.
It calculates the day-of-year carefully (with leap-year adjustment) and indexes into a 365-slot seasonal array so “March 18” is compared with past March 18ths. This becomes the seasonal bias that gently nudges simulations up or down on each forecast day.
2) Choice of randomness engine
You can pick how the future shocks are generated:
• Daily mode uses a Gaussian draw with the seasonal bias as the mean and a volatility that comes from realized returns, scaled down to avoid over-fitting. It relies on the Box–Muller transform internally to turn two uniform random numbers into one normal shock.
• Weekly mode uses bootstrap sampling from the seasonal return history (resampling actual historical daily drifts and then blending in a fraction of the seasonal bias). Bootstrapping is robust when the empirical distribution has asymmetry or fatter tails than a normal distribution.
Both modes seed their random draws deterministically per path and day, which makes plots reproducible bar-to-bar and avoids flickering bands.
3) Volatility scaling to current conditions
Markets do not always live in average volatility. The engine computes a simple volatility factor from ATR(20)/price and scales the simulated shocks up or down within sensible bounds (clamped between 0.5× and 2.0×). When the current regime is quiet, the cone narrows; when ranges expand, the cone widens. This prevents the classic mistake of projecting calm markets into a storm or vice versa.
4) Many futures, summarized by percentiles
The model generates a matrix of price paths (capped at 100 runs for performance inside TradingView), each path stepping forward for your selected horizon. For each forecast day it sorts the simulated prices and pulls key percentiles:
• 5th and 95th → approximate 95% band (outer cone).
• 16th and 84th → approximate 68% band (inner cone).
• 50th → the median or “expected path.”
These are drawn as polylines so you can immediately see central tendency and dispersion.
5) A historical overlay (optional)
Turn on the overlay to sketch a dotted path of what a purely seasonal projection would look like for the next ~30 days using only the return map, no randomness. This is not a forecast; it is a visual reminder of the seasonal drift you are biasing toward.
Inputs you control and how to think about them
Monte Carlo Simulation
• Price Series for Calculation . The source series, typically close.
• Enable Probability Forecasts . Master switch for simulation and drawing.
• Simulation Iterations . Requested number of paths to run. Internally capped at 100 to protect performance, which is generally enough to estimate the percentiles for a trading chart. If you need ultra-smooth bands, shorten the horizon.
• Forecast Days Ahead . The length of the cone. Longer horizons dilute seasonal signal and widen uncertainty.
• Probability Bands . Draw all bands, just 95%, just 68%, or a custom level (display logic remains 68/95 internally; the custom number is for labeling and color choice).
• Pattern Resolution . Daily leans on day-of-year effects like “turn-of-month” or holiday patterns. Weekly biases toward day-of-week tendencies and bootstraps from history.
• Volatility Scaling . On by default so the cone respects today’s range context.
Plotting & UI
• Probability Cone . Plots the outer and inner percentile envelopes.
• Expected Path . Plots the median line through the cone.
• Historical Overlay . Dotted seasonal-only projection for context.
• Band Transparency/Colors . Customize primary (outer) and secondary (inner) band colors and the mean path color. Use higher transparency for cleaner charts.
What appears on your chart
• A cone starting at the most recent bar, fanning outward. The outer lines are the ~95% band; the inner lines are the ~68% band.
• A median path (default blue) running through the center of the cone.
• An info panel on the final historical bar that summarizes simulation count, forecast days, number of seasonal patterns learned, the current day-of-year, expected percentage return to the median, and the approximate 95% half-range in percent.
• Optional historical seasonal path drawn as dotted segments for the next 30 bars.
How to use it in trading
1) Position sizing and stop logic
The cone translates “volatility plus seasonality” into distances.
• Put stops outside the inner band if you want only ~16% odds of a stop-out due to noise before your thesis can play.
• Size positions so that a test of the inner band is survivable and a test of the outer band is rare but acceptable.
• If your target sits inside the 68% band at your horizon, the payoff is likely modest; outside the 68% but inside the 95% can justify “one-good-push” trades; beyond the 95% band is a low-probability flyer—consider scaling plans or optionality.
2) Entry timing with seasonal bias
When the median path slopes up from this calendar date and the cone is relatively narrow, a pullback toward the lower inner band can be a high-quality entry with a tight invalidation. If the median slopes down, fade rallies toward the upper band or step aside if it clashes with your system.
3) Target selection
Project your time horizon to N bars ahead, then pick targets around the median or the opposite inner band depending on your style. You can also anchor dynamic take-profits to the moving median as new bars arrive.
4) Scenario planning & “what-ifs”
Before events, glance at the cone: if the 95% band already spans a huge range, trade smaller, expect whips, and avoid placing stops at obvious band edges. If the cone is unusually tight, consider breakout tactics and be ready to add if volatility expands beyond the inner band with follow-through.
5) Options and vol tactics
• When the cone is tight : Prefer long gamma structures (debit spreads) only if you expect a regime shift; otherwise premium selling may dominate.
• When the cone is wide : Debit structures benefit from range; credit spreads need wider wings or smaller size. Align with your separate IV metrics.
Reading the probability cone like a pro
• Cone slope = seasonal drift. Upward slope means the calendar has historically favored positive drift from this date, downward slope the opposite.
• Cone width = regime volatility. A widening fan tells you that uncertainty grows fast; a narrow cone says the market typically stays contained.
• Mean vs. price gap . If spot trades well above the median path and the upper band, mean-reversion risk is high. If spot presses the lower inner band in an up-sloping cone, you are in the “buy fear” zone.
• Touches and pierces . Touching the inner band is common noise; piercing it with momentum signals potential regime change; the outer band should be rare and often brings snap-backs unless there is a structural catalyst.
Methodological notes (what the code actually does)
• Log returns are used for additivity and better statistical behavior: sim_ret is applied via exp(sim_ret) to evolve price.
• Seasonal arrays are updated online with EWMA (90/10) so the model keeps learning as each bar arrives.
• Leap years are handled; indexing still normalizes into a 365-slot map so the seasonal pattern remains stable.
• Gaussian engine (Daily mode) centers shocks on the seasonal bias with a conservative standard deviation.
• Bootstrap engine (Weekly mode) resamples from observed seasonal returns and adds a fraction of the bias, which captures skew and fat tails better.
• Volatility adjustment multiplies each daily shock by a factor derived from ATR(20)/price, clamped between 0.5 and 2.0 to avoid extreme cones.
• Performance guardrails : simulations are capped at 100 paths; the probability cone uses polylines (no heavy fills) and only draws on the last confirmed bar to keep charts responsive.
• Prerequisite data : at least ~30 seasonal entries are required before the model will draw a cone; otherwise it waits for more history.
Strengths and limitations
• Strengths :
– Probabilistic thinking replaces single-point guessing.
– Seasonality adds a small but meaningful directional bias that many markets exhibit.
– Volatility scaling adapts to the current regime so the cone stays realistic.
• Limitations :
– Seasonality can break around structural changes, policy shifts, or one-off events.
– The number of paths is performance-limited; percentile estimates are good for trading, not for academic precision.
– The model assumes tomorrow’s randomness resembles recent randomness; if regime shifts violently, the cone will lag until the EWMA adapts.
– Holidays and missing sessions can thin the seasonal sample for some assets; be cautious with very short histories.
Tuning guide
• Horizon : 10–20 bars for tactical trades; 30+ for swing planning when you care more about broad ranges than precise targets.
• Iterations : The default 100 is enough for stable 5/16/50/84/95 percentiles. If you crave smoother lines, shorten the horizon or run on higher timeframes.
• Daily vs. Weekly : Daily for equities and crypto where month-end and turn-of-month effects matter; Weekly for futures and FX where day-of-week behavior is strong.
• Volatility scaling : Keep it on. Turn off only when you intentionally want a “pure seasonality” cone unaffected by current turbulence.
Workflow examples
• Swing continuation : Cone slopes up, price pulls into the lower inner band, your system fires. Enter near the band, stop just outside the outer line for the next 3–5 bars, target near the median or the opposite inner band.
• Fade extremes : Cone is flat or down, price gaps to the upper outer band on news, then stalls. Favor mean-reversion toward the median, size small if volatility scaling is elevated.
• Event play : Before CPI or earnings on a proxy index, check cone width. If the inner band is already wide, cut size or prefer options structures that benefit from range.
Good habits
• Pair the cone with your entry engine (breakout, pullback, order flow). Let Monte Carlo do range math; let your system do signal quality.
• Do not anchor blindly to the median; recalc after each bar. When the cone’s slope flips or width jumps, the plan should adapt.
• Validate seasonality for your symbol and timeframe; not every market has strong calendar effects.
Summary
The Seasonality Monte Carlo Forecaster wraps institutional risk planning into a single overlay: a data-driven seasonal drift, realistic volatility scaling, and a probabilistic cone that answers “where could we be, with what odds?” within your trading horizon. Use it to place stops where randomness is less likely to take you out, to set targets aligned with realistic travel, and to size positions with confidence born from distributions rather than hunches. It will not predict the future, but it will keep your decisions anchored to probabilities—the language markets actually speak.
