EMA SHIFT & PARALLEL [n_dot]BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P
This strategy was developed for CRYPTO FUTURES, (the settings for ETHUSDT.P) . I aimed for the strategy to function in a live environment, so I focused on making its operation realistic:
When determining the position, only 80% (adjustable) of the available cash is invested to reduce the risk of position liquidation.
I account for a 0.05% commission, typical on the futures market, for each entry and exit.
Concept:
I modified a simple, well-known method: the crossover of two exponential moving averages (FAST, SLOW) generates the entry and exit signals.
I enhanced the base idea as follows:
For the fast EMA, I incorporated a multiplier (offset) to filter out market noise and focus only on strong signals.
I use different EMAs for long and short entry points; both have their own FAST and SLOW EMAs and their own offset. For longs, the FAST EMA is adjusted downward (<1), while for shorts, it is adjusted upward (>1). Consequently, the signal is generated when the modified FAST EMA crosses the SLOW EMA.
Risk Management:
The position includes the following components:
Separate stop-losses for long and short positions.
Separate trailers for long and short positions.
The strategy operates so that the entry point is determined by the EMA crossover, while the exit is governed only by the Stop Loss or Trailer. Optionally, it can be set to close the position at the EMA recrossing ("Close at Signal").
Trailer Operation:
An entry percentage and offset are defined. The trailer activates when the price surpasses the entry price, calculated automatically by the system.
The trailer closes the position when the price drops by the offset percentage from the highest reached price.
Example for trailer:
Purchase Price = 100
Trailer Enter = 5% → Activation Price = 105 (triggers trailer if market price crosses it).
Trailer Offset = 2%
If the price rises to 110, the exit price becomes 107.8.
If the price goes to 120, the exit price becomes 117.6.
If the price falls below 117.6, the trailer closes the position.
Settings:
Source: Determines the market price reference.
End Close: Closes positions at the end of the simulation to avoid "shadow positions" and provide an objective result.
Lot proportional to free cash (%): Only a portion of free cash is invested to meet margin requirements.
Plot Short, Plot Long: Simplifies displayed information by toggling indicator lines on/off.
Long Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast down shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss long (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent above the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent drop to close the position.
Short Position (toggleable):
EMA Fast ws: Window size for FAST EMA.
EMA Slow ws: Window size for SLOW EMA.
EMA Fast up shift: Adjustment factor for FAST EMA.
Stop Loss short (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Trailer enter (%): Percent below the purchase price to activate the trailer.
Trailer offset (%): Percent rise to close the position.
Operational Framework:
If in a long position and a short EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the long and opens a short (flip).
If in a short position and a long EMA crossover occurs, the strategy closes the short and opens a long (flip).
A position can close in three ways:
Stop Loss
Trailer
Signal Recrossing
If none are active, the position remains open until the end of the simulation.
Observations:
Shifts significantly deviating from 1 increase overfitting risk. Recommended ranges: 0.96–0.99 (long) and 1.01–1.05 (short).
The strategy's advantage lies in risk management, crucial in leveraged futures markets. It operates with relatively low DrawDown.
Recommendations:
Bullish Market: Higher entry threshold (e.g., 6%) and larger offset (e.g., 3%).
Volatile/Sideways Market: Tighter parameters (e.g., 3%, 1%).
The method is stable, and minor parameter adjustments do not significantly impact results, helping assess overfitting: if small changes lead to drastic differences, the strategy is over-optimized.
EMA Settings: Adjust FAST and SLOW EMAs based on the asset's volatility and cyclicality.
On the crypto market, especially in the Futures market, short time periods (1–15 minutes) often show significant noise, making patterns/repetitions hard to identify. I recommend setting the interval to at least 1 hour.
I hope this contributes to your success!
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Snipe 1-Minute IntradayPurpose
This script demonstrates a simple intraday approach using RSI, EMAs, VWAP, and an optional volume filter. It plots visual buy (bullish) and sell (bearish) signals on the chart under certain conditions. You can use it as a starting point to explore or develop your own intraday strategies.
Key Features
1. VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price)
Plots the built-in VWAP for additional context on intraday price action.
2. EMA Crossover
Uses two EMAs (fast and slow). A bullish signal triggers when the fast EMA is above the slow EMA, and a bearish signal triggers when the fast EMA is below the slow EMA.
3. RSI Momentum Filter
An RSI reading above 50 indicates bullish momentum; below 50 indicates bearish momentum.
4. Volume Filter (Optional)
Compares the current bar’s volume against the average volume (over a user-defined period). When enabled, signals only appear if the current volume exceeds the average.
5. Time Window (Optional)
Allows you to define a specific time window (e.g., the first hour of trading) for valid signals. You can enable or disable this filter and set your preferred time zone.
How the Signals Are Generated
• Bullish Signal
o Occurs when:
1. Price is above VWAP.
2. Fast EMA is above Slow EMA.
3. RSI is above 50.
4. (Optional) Current volume exceeds the average volume if the volume filter is enabled.
5. (Optional) The chart’s timestamp is within the specified session if the time filter is enabled.
A green triangle is plotted below the bar, and an optional background highlight is shown.
• Bearish Signal
Occurs when the conditions are inverted (price below VWAP, fast EMA below slow EMA, RSI below 50, volume filter and time window—if enabled—are satisfied).
A red triangle is plotted above the bar, and an optional background highlight is shown.
How to Use
1. Load on a 1-Minute Chart (Recommended)
This script is intended for intraday timeframes (specifically 1-minute). Feel free to experiment with other timeframes.
2. Adjust Inputs
You can modify the RSI length, EMA lengths, and volume lookback to suit your preferences or trading style.
If you prefer signals outside the default session hours, turn off “Use Time Filter for Signals?” or change the session window and time zone.
3. Enable or Disable Volume Filter
Turn this on if you only want signals during higher-than-average volume bars.
4. Combine with Other Analysis
This script can be used as a visual tool; however, it is not a complete trading system by itself. Consider additional technical or fundamental analysis to validate your trading decisions.
5. Risk Management
Always practice sound risk management. Setting appropriate stop-losses or using position sizing techniques can help manage potential losses.
Important Notes and Disclaimers
• Educational Only: This script is for demonstration and educational purposes and does not guarantee future results.
• No Financial Advice: Nothing here should be construed as financial or investment advice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a qualified financial professional.
• Test Before Using Live: If you plan to incorporate this script into a strategy, backtest it on historical data and consider forward-testing on a demo account.
• License: This code is subject to the Mozilla Public License 2.0.
Kernel Regression Envelope with SMI OscillatorThis script combines the predictive capabilities of the **Nadaraya-Watson estimator**, implemented by the esteemed jdehorty (credit to him for his excellent work on the `KernelFunctions` library and the original Nadaraya-Watson Envelope indicator), with the confirmation strength of the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** to create a dynamic trend reversal strategy. The core idea is to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions using the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and then confirm these signals with the SMI before entering a trade.
**Understanding the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope:**
The Nadaraya-Watson estimator is a non-parametric regression technique that essentially calculates a weighted average of past price data to estimate the current underlying trend. Unlike simple moving averages that give equal weight to all past data within a defined period, the Nadaraya-Watson estimator uses a **kernel function** (in this case, the Rational Quadratic Kernel) to assign weights. The key parameters influencing this estimation are:
* **Lookback Window (h):** This determines how many historical bars are considered for the estimation. A larger window results in a smoother estimation, while a smaller window makes it more reactive to recent price changes.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** This parameter controls the influence of different time frames in the estimation. Lower values emphasize longer-term price action, while higher values make the estimator more sensitive to shorter-term movements.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** This allows you to exclude the potentially volatile initial bars of a chart from the calculation, leading to a more stable estimation.
The script calculates the Nadaraya-Watson estimation for the closing price (`yhat_close`), as well as the highs (`yhat_high`) and lows (`yhat_low`). The `yhat_close` is then used as the central trend line.
**Dynamic Envelope Bands with ATR:**
To identify potential entry and exit points around the Nadaraya-Watson estimation, the script uses **Average True Range (ATR)** to create dynamic envelope bands. ATR measures the volatility of the price. By multiplying the ATR by different factors (`nearFactor` and `farFactor`), we create multiple bands:
* **Near Bands:** These are closer to the Nadaraya-Watson estimation and are intended to identify potential immediate overbought or oversold zones.
* **Far Bands:** These are further away and can act as potential take-profit or stop-loss levels, representing more extreme price extensions.
The script calculates both near and far upper and lower bands, as well as an average between the near and far bands. This provides a nuanced view of potential support and resistance levels around the estimated trend.
**Confirming Reversals with the Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI):**
While the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies potential overextended conditions, the **Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI)** is used to confirm a potential trend reversal. The SMI, unlike a traditional stochastic oscillator, oscillates around a zero line. It measures the location of the current closing price relative to the median of the high/low range over a specified period.
The script calculates the SMI on a **higher timeframe** (defined by the "Timeframe" input) to gain a broader perspective on the market momentum. This helps to filter out potential whipsaws and false signals that might occur on the current chart's timeframe. The SMI calculation involves:
* **%K Length:** The lookback period for calculating the highest high and lowest low.
* **%D Length:** The period for smoothing the relative range.
* **EMA Length:** The period for smoothing the SMI itself.
The script uses a double EMA for smoothing within the SMI calculation for added smoothness.
**How the Indicators Work Together in the Strategy:**
The strategy enters a long position when:
1. The closing price crosses below the **near lower band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential oversold condition.
2. The SMI crosses above its EMA, indicating positive momentum.
3. The SMI value is below -50, further supporting the oversold idea on the higher timeframe.
Conversely, the strategy enters a short position when:
1. The closing price crosses above the **near upper band** of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope, suggesting a potential overbought condition.
2. The SMI crosses below its EMA, indicating negative momentum.
3. The SMI value is above 50, further supporting the overbought idea on the higher timeframe.
Trades are closed when the price crosses the **far band** in the opposite direction of the trade. A stop-loss is also implemented based on a fixed value.
**In essence:** The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope identifies areas where the price might be deviating significantly from its estimated trend. The SMI, calculated on a higher timeframe, then acts as a confirmation signal, suggesting that the momentum is shifting in the direction of a potential reversal. The ATR-based bands provide dynamic entry and exit points based on the current volatility.
**How to Use the Script:**
1. **Apply the script to your chart.**
2. **Adjust the "Kernel Settings":**
* **Lookback Window (h):** Experiment with different values to find the smoothness that best suits the asset and timeframe you are trading. Lower values make the envelope more reactive, while higher values make it smoother.
* **Relative Weighting (alpha):** Adjust to control the influence of different timeframes on the Nadaraya-Watson estimation.
* **Start Regression at Bar (x\_0):** Increase this value if you want to exclude the initial, potentially volatile, bars from the calculation.
* **Stoploss:** Set your desired stop-loss value.
3. **Adjust the "SMI" settings:**
* **%K Length, %D Length, EMA Length:** These parameters control the sensitivity and smoothness of the SMI. Experiment to find settings that work well for your trading style.
* **Timeframe:** Select the higher timeframe you want to use for SMI confirmation.
4. **Adjust the "ATR Length" and "Near/Far ATR Factor":** These settings control the width and sensitivity of the envelope bands. Smaller ATR lengths make the bands more reactive to recent volatility.
5. **Customize the "Color Settings"** to your preference.
6. **Observe the plots:**
* The **Nadaraya-Watson Estimation (yhat)** line represents the estimated underlying trend.
* The **near and far upper and lower bands** visualize potential overbought and oversold zones based on the ATR.
* The **fill areas** highlight the regions between the near and far bands.
7. **Look for entry signals:** A long entry is considered when the price touches or crosses below the lower near band and the SMI confirms upward momentum. A short entry is considered when the price touches or crosses above the upper near band and the SMI confirms downward momentum.
8. **Manage your trades:** The script provides exit signals when the price crosses the far band. The fixed stop-loss will also close trades if the price moves against your position.
**Justification for Combining Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and SMI:**
The combination of the Nadaraya-Watson Envelope and the SMI provides a more robust approach to identifying potential trend reversals compared to using either indicator in isolation. The Nadaraya-Watson Envelope excels at identifying potential areas where the price is overextended relative to its recent history. However, relying solely on the envelope can lead to false signals, especially in choppy or volatile markets. By incorporating the SMI as a confirmation tool, we add a momentum filter that helps to validate the potential reversals signaled by the envelope. The higher timeframe SMI further helps to filter out noise and focus on more significant shifts in momentum. The ATR-based bands add a dynamic element to the entry and exit points, adapting to the current market volatility. This mashup aims to leverage the strengths of each indicator to create a more reliable trading strategy.
Overnight Effect High Volatility Crypto (AiBitcoinTrend)👽 Overview of the Strategy
This strategy leverages the overnight effect in the cryptocurrency market, specifically targeting the two-hour window from 21:00 UTC to 23:00 UTC. The strategy is designed to be applied only during periods of high volatility, which is determined using historical volatility data. This approach, inspired by research from Padyšák and Vojtko (2022), aims to capitalize on statistically significant return patterns observed during these hours.
Deep Backtesting with a High Volatility Filter
Deep Backtesting without a High Volatility Filter
👽 How the Strategy Works
Volatility Calculation:
Each day at 00:00 UTC, the strategy calculates the 30-day historical volatility of crypto returns (typically Bitcoin). The historical volatility is the standard deviation of the log returns over the past 30 days, representing the market's recent volatility level.
Median Volatility Benchmark:
The median of the 30-day historical volatility is calculated over a 365-day period (one year). This median acts as a benchmark to classify each day as either:
👾 High Volatility: When the current 30-day volatility exceeds the median volatility.
👾 Low Volatility: When the current 30-day volatility is below the median.
Trading Rule:
If the day is classified as a High Volatility Day, the strategy executes the following trades:
👾 Buy at 21:00 UTC.
👾 Sell at 23:00 UTC.
Trade Execution Details:
The strategy uses a 0.02% fee per trade.
Each trade is executed with 25% of the available capital. This allocation helps manage risk while allowing for compounding returns.
Rationale:
The returns during the 22:00 and 23:00 UTC hours have been found to be statistically significant during high volatility periods. The overnight effect is believed to drive this phenomenon due to the asynchronous closing hours of global financial markets. This creates unique trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency market, where exchanges remain open 24/7.
👽 Market Context and Global Time Zone Impact
👾 Why 21:00 to 23:00 UTC?
During this window, major traditional financial markets are closed:
NYSE (New York) closes at 21:00 UTC.
London and European markets are closed during these hours.
Asian markets (Tokyo, Hong Kong, etc.) open later, leaving this window largely unaffected by traditional trading flows.
This global market inactivity creates a period where significant moves can occur in the cryptocurrency market, particularly during high volatility.
👽 Strategy Parameters
Volatility Period: 30 days.
The lookback period for calculating historical volatility.
Median Period: 365 days.
The lookback period for calculating the median volatility benchmark.
Entry Time: 21:00 UTC.
Adjust this to your local time if necessary (e.g., 16:00 in New York, 22:00 in Stockholm).
Exit Time: 23:00 UTC.
Adjust this to your local time if necessary (e.g., 18:00 in New York, 00:00 midnight in Stockholm).
👽 Benefits of the Strategy
Seasonality Effect:
The strategy captures consistent patterns driven by the overnight effect and high volatility periods.
Risk Reduction:
Since trades are executed during a specific window and only on high volatility days, the strategy helps mitigate exposure to broader market risk.
Simplicity and Efficiency:
The strategy is moderately complex, making it accessible for traders while offering significant returns.
Global Applicability:
Suitable for traders worldwide, with clear guidelines on adjusting for local time zones.
👽 Considerations
Market Conditions: The strategy works best in a high-volatility environment.
Execution: Requires precise timing to enter and exit trades at the specified hours.
Time Zone Adjustments: Ensure you convert UTC times accurately based on your location to execute trades at the correct local times.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Rolling VWAP with Optional Kalman FilterThis script provides an advanced and customizable Rolling VWAP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) indicator, designed for traders who want to refine their trend analysis and improve decision-making. With a unique option to apply a Kalman Filter, you can smooth out VWAP values to reduce noise in volatile markets, making it easier to identify actionable trends.
Key Features:
Dynamic Rolling VWAP:
Choose the rolling window size (number of bars) to match your trading style, whether you’re an intraday scalper or a swing trader.
Kalman Filter Toggle:
Enable the Kalman filter to smooth VWAP values and eliminate market noise.
Adjustable Kalman Gain to control the level of smoothing, making it suitable for both fast and slow markets.
Price Source Flexibility:
Use the Typical Price ((H+L+C)/3) or the Close Price as the basis for VWAP calculation.
Visual Enhancements:
Background shading highlights whether the price is above (bullish) or below (bearish) the VWAP, helping traders make quick visual assessments.
A legend dynamically updates the current VWAP value.
Dual View Option:
Compare the raw Rolling VWAP and the Kalman-filtered VWAP when the filter is enabled, giving you deeper insight into market trends.
Use Cases:
Intraday Traders: Identify key price levels for re-entry or exits using a short rolling window and responsive filtering.
Swing Traders: Analyze broader trends with a longer rolling window and smoother VWAP output.
Volatile Markets: Use the Kalman filter to reduce noise and avoid false signals during high market volatility.
How to Use:
Adjust the Rolling Window to set the number of bars for VWAP calculation.
Toggle Kalman Filter on/off depending on your preference for raw or smoothed VWAP values.
Fine-tune the Kalman Gain for the desired level of smoothing.
Use the shading to quickly assess whether the price is trading above or below the VWAP for potential entry/exit signals.
RS Cycles [QuantVue]The RS Cycles indicator is a technical analysis tool that expands upon traditional relative strength (RS) by incorporating Beta-based adjustments to provide deeper insights into a stock's performance relative to a benchmark index. It identifies and visualizes positive and negative performance cycles, helping traders analyze trends and make informed decisions.
Key Concepts:
Traditional Relative Strength (RS):
Definition: A popular method to compare the performance of a stock against a benchmark index (e.g., S&P 500).
Calculation: The traditional RS line is derived as the ratio of the stock's closing price to the benchmark's closing price.
RS=Stock Price/Benchmark Price
Usage: This straightforward comparison helps traders spot periods of outperformance or underperformance relative to the market or a specific sector.
Beta-Adjusted Relative Strength (Beta RS):
Concept: Traditional RS assumes equal volatility between the stock and benchmark, but Beta RS accounts for the stock's sensitivity to market movements.
Calculation:
Beta measures the stock's return relative to the benchmark's return, adjusted by their respective volatilities.
Alpha is then computed to reflect the stock's performance above or below what Beta predicts:
Alpha=Stock Return−(Benchmark Return×β)
Significance: Beta RS highlights whether a stock outperforms the benchmark beyond what its Beta would suggest, providing a more nuanced view of relative strength.
RS Cycles:
The indicator identifies positive cycles when conditions suggest sustained outperformance:
Short-term EMA (3) > Mid-term EMA (10) > Long-term EMA (50).
The EMAs are rising, indicating positive momentum.
RS line shows upward movement over a 3-period window.
EMA(21) > 0 confirms a broader uptrend.
Negative cycles are marked when the opposite conditions are met:
Short-term EMA (3) < Mid-term EMA (10) < Long-term EMA (50).
The EMAs are falling, indicating negative momentum.
RS line shows downward movement over a 3-period window.
EMA(21) < 0 confirms a broader downtrend.
This indicator combines the simplicity of traditional RS with the analytical depth of Beta RS, making highlighting true relative strength and weakness cycles.
Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bars Indicator [Skyrexio]Introduction
Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bars Indicator leverages the combination of candlestick reversal bar pattern and the Williams Alligator indicator to help traders in understanding where there is a high probability of market reversal or correction. Indicator works for both bearish and bullish cases. It visualizes the bearish and bullish reversal bars with red and green dots and also plots the Alligator's lips to make it more convenient for traders to understand if price is above or below lips line (more information in "Methodology and it's justification" paragraph).
Features
Market Facilitation Index(MFI) filter: with the specified parameter in settings user can choose to filter bullish and bearish reversal bars which passed the MFI condition.
Awesome Oscillator(AO) filter: with the specified parameter in settings user can choose to filter bullish and bearish reversal bars which passed the AO condition.
Alerts: user can set up the alert and have notifications when bullish/bearish reversal bar has been printed.
Methodology and it's justification
In the script’s methodology, we apply the concepts of bullish and bearish reversal bars introduced by Bill Williams in his book Trading Chaos. So, what exactly is a bullish or bearish reversal bar? At its core, it’s a candlestick pattern. A bullish reversal bar is a bar that closes in its upper half, while a bearish reversal bar closes in its lower half.
Why is this type of bar significant? Let’s look at the bullish reversal bar as an example. When the price is trending upward, forming higher highs with each candle, and we suddenly see a bullish bar that makes a new high but ultimately closes in its lower half, it signals a shift in control. Bears have taken control toward the end of that candle's period, pushing the price back down. This can be interpreted as a sign of trend weakness and a potential reversal (or at least a correction).
An additional key point is that a reversal bar often indicates a possible end to the trend. Therefore, for a reversal bar to be valid, several preceding candles should show lower highs (for bullish bars) or higher lows (for bearish bars), reinforcing the likelihood of a trend change.
The second step on methodology is the location of the bar related to Williams Alligator. The Williams Alligator Indicator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify trends and potential turning points in the market. It consists of three lines, often called the jaw, teeth, and lips of the alligator, each representing different moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): A slower moving average, typically a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars into the future.
Teeth (Red Line): A medium moving average, typically an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars into the future.
Lips (Green Line): A faster moving average, usually a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars into the future.
When the three lines are spread out and moving in the same direction, it suggests a strong trend (the "alligator" is "awake and feeding"). When they intertwine, the indicator suggests that the market is moving sideways, or in a range, signaling a lack of clear trend (the "alligator" is "sleeping"). Traders use the Alligator Indicator to enter trades in trending markets and avoid trades in choppy, non-trending markets.
If bullish reversal bar's high is not below and bearish reversal bar's low is not above all three Alligator's lines (jaw, lips, teeth) they cannot be interpreted as these types of bars. It can be explained as following: if we are waiting for the bullish reversal bar it shall be reversal from downtrend. If price is not below all three lines it can't be interpret as the downtrend according to this method. The opposite is true for the bearish reversal bar.
All described above are obligatory conditions for reversal bar, now let's discuss two not obligatory conditions. The first one is Market Facilitation Index (MFI) restriction. Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
The second additional filter is Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator that measures market momentum by comparing recent price action to a longer historical context. It helps traders identify potential trend reversals and the strength of trends. Formula:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
If AO is decreasing momentum is bearish, if increasing - bullish. According to Bill Williams approach reversal bars are the potential trades against the trend. As a result we added second filter for bullish reversal bars AO shall be decreasing, for bearish increasing.
How to use indicator
Apply it to desired chart and time frame. It works on every time frame.
Setup the filters with the "Enable MFI" and "Enable AO" checkboxes in the settings. By default they are turned on.
Analyze the price action. Indicator plotted the white line, this is the lips of an Alligator. It will help you to understand how price is moving in comparison to lips line. Indicator will print the green dot and text "BULL" below it current bar is bullish reversal. It will print the red dot and text "BEAR" above it if current bar is interpreted by algorithm as a bearish reversal.
Set up the alerts if it's needed. Indicator has two custom alerts called "Bullish reversal bar has been printed" and "Bearish reversal bar has been printed"
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test indicators before live implementation.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
-----------------
Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
Killzones And Macros LibraryKillzones & Macros Library for Trading Sessions
This Pine Script library is designed to help traders identify and act during high-volatility trading windows, commonly referred to as "Killzones." These are specific times during the day when institutional traders are most active, resulting in increased liquidity and price movement. The library provides boolean fields that return true when the current time falls within one of the killzones or macroeconomic event windows, allowing for enhanced trade timing and precision.
Killzones Include:
London Open, New York Open, Midnight Open, London Lunch, New York PM, and more.
Capture high-volume periods like Power Hour, Equities Open, and Asian Range.
Macros:
Identify key moments like London 02:33, New York 08:50, and other significant times aligned with market movements or events.
This library is perfect for integrating into your custom strategies, backtesting, or setting alerts for optimal trade execution during major trading sessions and events.
ICT Asian Range and KillzonesThis TradingView indicator highlights key trading sessions and their price ranges on a chart. It identifies the Asian Range and the Killzones for both the London Open and New York Open sessions. Here’s a brief breakdown:
Asian Range:
Defines the high and low price levels during the Asian trading session (between the specified start and end hours, default 00:00 to 04:00 UTC).
Plots horizontal lines to mark the highest and lowest prices reached during the Asian session.
Adds labels showing the values of these high and low points after the session ends.
London and New York Killzones:
Identifies the “Killzones” or key trading windows for the London Open (default 06:00 to 09:00 UTC) and the New York Open (default 11:00 to 14:00 UTC).
Tracks the high and low price levels within these windows and plots rectangles ("boxes") on the chart to visualize these ranges.
The boxes are color-coded and customizable, indicating potential areas of high market activity or volatility.
Customizable Visuals:
Users can adjust the colors, border widths, and other visual properties for better clarity and chart integration.
[ALGOA+] Markov Chains Library by @metacamaleoLibrary "MarkovChains"
Markov Chains library by @metacamaleo. Created in 09/08/2024.
This library provides tools to calculate and visualize Markov Chain-based transition matrices and probabilities. This library supports two primary algorithms: a rolling window Markov Chain and a conditional Markov Chain (which operates based on specified conditions). The key concepts used include Markov Chain states, transition matrices, and future state probabilities based on past market conditions or indicators.
Key functions:
- `mc_rw()`: Builds a transition matrix using a rolling window Markov Chain, calculating probabilities based on a fixed length of historical data.
- `mc_cond()`: Builds a conditional Markov Chain transition matrix, calculating probabilities based on the current market condition or indicator state.
Basically, you will just need to use the above functions on your script to default outputs and displays.
Exported UDTs include:
- s_map: An UDT variable used to store a map with dummy states, i.e., if possible states are bullish, bearish, and neutral, and current is bullish, it will be stored
in a map with following keys and values: "bullish", 1; "bearish", 0; and "neutral", 0. You will only use it to customize your own script, otherwise, it´s only for internal use.
- mc_states: This UDT variable stores user inputs, calculations and MC outputs. As the above, you don´t need to use it, but you may get features to customize your own script.
For example, you may use mc.tm to get the transition matrix, or the prob map to customize the display. As you see, functions are all based on mc_states UDT. The s_map UDT is used within mc_states´s s array.
Optional exported functions include:
- `mc_table()`: Displays the transition matrix in a table format on the chart for easy visualization of the probabilities.
- `display_list()`: Displays a map (or array) of string and float/int values in a table format, used for showing transition counts or probabilities.
- `mc_prob()`: Calculates and displays probabilities for a given number of future bars based on the current state in the Markov Chain.
- `mc_all_states_prob()`: Calculates probabilities for all states for future bars, considering all possible transitions.
The above functions may be used to customize your outputs. Use the returned variable mc_states from mc_rw() and mc_cond() to display each of its matrix, maps or arrays using mc_table() (for matrices) and display_list() (for maps and arrays) if you desire to debug or track the calculation process.
See the examples in the end of this script.
Have good trading days!
Best regards,
@metacamaleo
-----------------------------
KEY FUNCTIONS
mc_rw(state, length, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for a rolling window Markov Chain.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
length (int) : The rolling window size.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states.
mc_cond(state, condition, states, pred_length, show_table, show_prob, table_position, prob_position, font_size)
Builds the transition matrix for conditional Markov Chains.
Parameters:
state (string) : The current state of the market or system.
condition (string) : A string representing the condition.
states (array) : Array of strings representing the possible states in the Markov Chain.
pred_length (int) : The number of bars to predict into the future.
show_table (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the transition matrix table.
show_prob (bool) : Boolean to show or hide the probability table.
table_position (string) : Position of the transition matrix table on the chart.
prob_position (string) : Position of the probability list on the chart.
font_size (string) : Size of the table font.
Returns: The transition matrix and probabilities for future states based on the HMM.
Rolling Calmar Ratio with Ref Ticker V1.0 [ADRIDEM]Overview
The Rolling Calmar Ratio with Ref Ticker script is designed to offer a comprehensive view of the Calmar ratios for a selected reference ticker and the current ticker. This script helps investors compare risk-adjusted returns between two assets over a rolling period, providing insights into their relative performance and risk. Below is a detailed presentation of the script and its unique features.
Unique Features of the New Script
Reference Ticker Comparison : Allows users to compare the Calmar ratio of the current ticker with a reference ticker, providing a relative performance analysis. Default ticker is BTCUSDT but can be changed.
Customizable Rolling Window : Enables users to set the length for the rolling window, adapting to different market conditions and timeframes. The default value is 252 bars, which approximates one year of trading days, but it can be adjusted as needed.
Smoothing Option : Includes an option to apply a smoothing simple moving average (SMA) to the Calmar ratios, helping to reduce noise and highlight trends. The smoothing length is customizable, with a default value of 14 bars.
Visual Indicators : Plots the smoothed Calmar ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, with distinct colors for easy comparison. Additionally, a horizontal line helps identify key levels.
Dynamic Background Color : Adds a gray-blue transparent background between the Calmar ratio levels of 0 and 1, highlighting the critical region where risk-adjusted returns are assessed.
Originality and Usefulness
This script uniquely combines the analysis of Calmar ratios for a reference ticker and the current ticker, providing a comparative view of their risk-adjusted returns. The inclusion of a customizable rolling window and smoothing option enhances its adaptability and usefulness in various market conditions.
Signal Description
The script includes several features that highlight potential insights into the risk-adjusted returns of the assets:
Reference Ticker Calmar Ratio : Plotted as a red line, this represents the smoothed Calmar ratio for the user-selected reference ticker.
Current Ticker Calmar Ratio : Plotted as a white line, this represents the smoothed Calmar ratio for the current ticker.
Horizontal Lines and Background Color : A line at 0 helps to quickly identify the regions of positive and negative risk-adjusted returns.
These features assist in identifying relative performance differences and confirming the strength or weakness of risk-adjusted returns between the two tickers.
Detailed Description
Input Variables
Length for Rolling Window (`length`) : Defines the range for calculating the rolling Calmar ratio. Default is 252.
Smoothing Length (`smoothing_length`) : The number of periods for the smoothing SMA. Default is 14.
Reference Ticker (`ref_ticker`) : The ticker symbol for the reference asset. Default is "BINANCE:BTCUSDT".
Functionality
Calmar Ratio Calculation : The script calculates the cumulative returns and maximum drawdown for both the reference ticker and the current ticker. These values are used to compute the Calmar ratio.
```pine
ref_cumulativeReturn = (ref_close / ta.valuewhen(ta.lowest(ref_close, length) == ref_close, ref_close, 0)) - 1
ref_rollingMax = ta.highest(ref_close, length)
ref_drawdown = (ref_close - ref_rollingMax) / ref_rollingMax
ref_maxDrawdown = ta.lowest(ref_drawdown, length)
ref_calmarRatio = ref_cumulativeReturn / math.abs(ref_maxDrawdown)
current_cumulativeReturn = (close / ta.valuewhen(ta.lowest(close, length) == close, close, 0)) - 1
current_rollingMax = ta.highest(close, length)
current_drawdown = (close - current_rollingMax) / current_rollingMax
current_maxDrawdown = ta.lowest(current_drawdown, length)
current_calmarRatio = current_cumulativeReturn / math.abs(current_maxDrawdown)
```
Smoothing : A simple moving average is applied to the Calmar ratios to smooth the data.
```pine
smoothed_ref_calmarRatio = ta.sma(ref_calmarRatio, smoothing_length)
smoothed_current_calmarRatio = ta.sma(current_calmarRatio, smoothing_length)
```
Plotting : The script plots the smoothed Calmar ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, along with a horizontal line.
```pine
plot(smoothed_ref_calmarRatio, title="Ref Ticker Calmar Ratio", color=color.rgb(255, 82, 82, 50), linewidth=2)
plot(smoothed_current_calmarRatio, title="Current Ticker Calmar Ratio", color=color.white, linewidth=2)
h0 = hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray)
fill(h0, h1, color=color.rgb(33, 150, 243, 90), title="Background")
```
How to Use
Configuring Inputs : Adjust the detection length and smoothing length as needed. Set the reference ticker to the desired asset for comparison.
Interpreting the Indicator : Use the plotted Calmar ratios and horizontal line to assess the relative risk-adjusted returns of the reference and current tickers.
Signal Confirmation : Look for differences in the Calmar ratios to identify potential performance advantages or weaknesses. The horizontal line helps to highlight key levels of risk-adjusted returns.
This script provides a detailed comparative view of risk-adjusted returns, aiding in more informed decision-making by highlighting key differences between the reference ticker and the current ticker.
Rolling Sortino Ratio with Ref Ticker V1.0 [ADRIDEM]Overview
The Rolling Sortino Ratio with Ref Ticker script is designed to offer a comprehensive view of the Sortino ratios for a selected reference ticker and the current ticker. This script helps investors compare risk-adjusted returns between two assets over a rolling period, providing insights into their relative performance and risk. Below is a detailed presentation of the script and its unique features.
Unique Features of the New Script
Reference Ticker Comparison : Allows users to compare the Sortino ratio of the current ticker with a reference ticker, providing a relative performance analysis. Default ticker is BTCUSDT but can be changed.
Customizable Rolling Window : Enables users to set the length for the rolling window, adapting to different market conditions and timeframes. The default value is 252 bars, which approximates one year of trading days, but it can be adjusted as needed.
Smoothing Option : Includes an option to apply a smoothing simple moving average (SMA) to the Sortino ratios, helping to reduce noise and highlight trends. The smoothing length is customizable, with a default value of 4 bars.
Visual Indicators : Plots the smoothed Sortino ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, with distinct colors for easy comparison. Additionally, horizontal lines and a shaded background help identify key levels.
Dynamic Background Color : Adds a gray-blue transparent background between the Sortino ratio levels of 0 and 1, highlighting the critical region where risk-adjusted returns are assessed.
Originality and Usefulness
This script uniquely combines the analysis of Sortino ratios for a reference ticker and the current ticker, providing a comparative view of their risk-adjusted returns. The inclusion of a customizable rolling window and smoothing option enhances its adaptability and usefulness in various market conditions.
Signal Description
The script includes several features that highlight potential insights into the risk-adjusted returns of the assets:
Reference Ticker Sortino Ratio : Plotted as a red line, this represents the smoothed Sortino ratio for the user-selected reference ticker.
Current Ticker Sortino Ratio : Plotted as a white line, this represents the smoothed Sortino ratio for the current ticker.
Horizontal Lines and Background Color : Lines at 0 and 1, along with a shaded background between these levels, help to quickly identify the regions of positive and strong risk-adjusted returns.
These features assist in identifying relative performance differences and confirming the strength or weakness of risk-adjusted returns between the two tickers.
Detailed Description
Input Variables
Length for Rolling Window (`length`) : Defines the range for calculating the rolling Sortino ratio. Default is 252.
Smoothing Length (`smoothing_length`) : The number of periods for the smoothing SMA. Default is 4.
Annual Risk-Free Rate (`riskFreeRate`) : The annual risk-free rate used in the Sortino ratio calculation. Default is 0.02 (2%).
Reference Ticker (`ref_ticker`) : The ticker symbol for the reference asset. Default is "BINANCE:BTCUSDT".
Functionality
Sortino Ratio Calculation : The script calculates the daily returns, mean return, and downside deviation for both the reference ticker and the current ticker. These values are used to compute the annualized Sortino ratio.
```pine
ref_dailyReturn = ta.change(ref_close) / ref_close
ref_meanReturn = ta.sma(ref_dailyReturn, length)
ref_downsideDeviation = ta.stdev(math.min(ref_dailyReturn, 0), length)
ref_annualizedReturn = ref_meanReturn * length
ref_annualizedDownsideDev = ref_downsideDeviation * math.sqrt(length)
ref_sortinoRatio = (ref_annualizedReturn - riskFreeRate) / ref_annualizedDownsideDev
```
Smoothing : A simple moving average is applied to the Sortino ratios to smooth the data.
```pine
smoothed_ref_sortinoRatio = ta.sma(ref_sortinoRatio, smoothing_length)
smoothed_current_sortinoRatio = ta.sma(current_sortinoRatio, smoothing_length)
```
Plotting : The script plots the smoothed Sortino ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, along with horizontal lines and a shaded background.
```pine
plot(smoothed_ref_sortinoRatio, title="Ref Ticker Sortino Ratio", color=color.rgb(255, 82, 82, 50), linewidth=2)
plot(smoothed_current_sortinoRatio, title="Current Ticker Sortino Ratio", color=color.white, linewidth=2)
h0 = hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray)
h1 = hline(1, "One Line", color=color.gray)
fill(h0, h1, color=color.rgb(33, 150, 243, 90), title="Background")
```
How to Use
Configuring Inputs : Adjust the detection length, smoothing length, and risk-free rate as needed. Set the reference ticker to the desired asset for comparison.
Interpreting the Indicator : Use the plotted Sortino ratios and background shading to assess the relative risk-adjusted returns of the reference and current tickers.
Signal Confirmation : Look for differences in the Sortino ratios to identify potential performance advantages or weaknesses. The background shading helps to highlight key levels of risk-adjusted returns.
This script provides a detailed comparative view of risk-adjusted returns, aiding in more informed decision-making by highlighting key differences between the reference ticker and the current ticker.
Rolling Sharpe Ratio with Ref Ticker V1.0 [ADRIDEM]Overview
The Rolling Sharpe Ratio with Ref Ticker script is designed to offer a comprehensive view of the Sharpe ratios for a selected reference ticker and the current ticker. This script helps investors compare risk-adjusted returns between two assets over a rolling period, providing insights into their relative performance and risk. Below is a detailed presentation of the script and its unique features.
Unique Features of the New Script
Reference Ticker Comparison : Allows users to compare the Sharpe ratio of the current ticker with a reference ticker, providing a relative performance analysis. Default ticker is BTCUSDT but can be changed.
Customizable Rolling Window : Enables users to set the length for the rolling window, adapting to different market conditions and timeframes. The default value is 252 bars, which approximates one year of trading days, but it can be adjusted as needed.
Smoothing Option : Includes an option to apply a smoothing simple moving average (SMA) to the Sharpe ratios, helping to reduce noise and highlight trends. The smoothing length is customizable, with a default value of 4 bars.
Visual Indicators : Plots the smoothed Sharpe ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, with distinct colors for easy comparison. Additionally, horizontal lines and a shaded background help identify key levels.
Dynamic Background Color : Adds a gray-blue transparent background between the Sharpe ratio levels of 0 and 1, highlighting the critical region where risk-adjusted returns are assessed.
Originality and Usefulness
This script uniquely combines the analysis of Sharpe ratios for a reference ticker and the current ticker, providing a comparative view of their risk-adjusted returns. The inclusion of a customizable rolling window and smoothing option enhances its adaptability and usefulness in various market conditions.
Signal Description
The script includes several features that highlight potential insights into the risk-adjusted returns of the assets:
Reference Ticker Sharpe Ratio : Plotted as a red line, this represents the smoothed Sharpe ratio for the user-selected reference ticker.
Current Ticker Sharpe Ratio : Plotted as a white line, this represents the smoothed Sharpe ratio for the current ticker.
Horizontal Lines and Background Color : Lines at 0 and 1, along with a shaded background between these levels, help to quickly identify the regions of positive and strong risk-adjusted returns.
These features assist in identifying relative performance differences and confirming the strength or weakness of risk-adjusted returns between the two tickers.
Detailed Description
Input Variables
Length for Rolling Window (`length`) : Defines the range for calculating the rolling Sharpe ratio. Default is 252.
Smoothing Length (`smoothing_length`) : The number of periods for the smoothing SMA. Default is 4.
Annual Risk-Free Rate (`riskFreeRate`) : The annual risk-free rate used in the Sharpe ratio calculation. Default is 0.02 (2%).
Reference Ticker (`ref_ticker`) : The ticker symbol for the reference asset. Default is "BINANCE:BTCUSDT".
Functionality
Sharpe Ratio Calculation : The script calculates the daily returns, mean return, and standard deviation for both the reference ticker and the current ticker. These values are used to compute the annualized Sharpe ratio.
```pine
ref_dailyReturn = ta.change(ref_close) / ref_close
ref_meanReturn = ta.sma(ref_dailyReturn, length)
ref_stdDevReturn = ta.stdev(ref_dailyReturn, length)
ref_annualizedReturn = ref_meanReturn * length
ref_annualizedStdDev = ref_stdDevReturn * math.sqrt(length)
ref_sharpeRatio = (ref_annualizedReturn - riskFreeRate) / ref_annualizedStdDev
```
Smoothing : A simple moving average is applied to the Sharpe ratios to smooth the data.
```pine
smoothed_ref_sharpeRatio = ta.sma(ref_sharpeRatio, smoothing_length)
smoothed_current_sharpeRatio = ta.sma(current_sharpeRatio, smoothing_length)
```
Plotting : The script plots the smoothed Sharpe ratios for both the reference ticker and the current ticker, along with horizontal lines and a shaded background.
```pine
plot(smoothed_ref_sharpeRatio, title="Ref Ticker Sharpe Ratio", color=color.rgb(255, 82, 82, 50), linewidth=2)
plot(smoothed_current_sharpeRatio, title="Current Ticker Sharpe Ratio", color=color.white, linewidth=2)
h0 = hline(0, "Zero Line", color=color.gray)
h1 = hline(1, "One Line", color=color.gray)
fill(h0, h1, color=color.rgb(33, 150, 243, 90), title="Background")
```
How to Use
Configuring Inputs : Adjust the detection length, smoothing length, and risk-free rate as needed. Set the reference ticker to the desired asset for comparison.
Interpreting the Indicator : Use the plotted Sharpe ratios and background shading to assess the relative risk-adjusted returns of the reference and current tickers.
Signal Confirmation : Look for differences in the Sharpe ratios to identify potential performance advantages or weaknesses. The background shading helps to highlight key levels of risk-adjusted returns.
This script provides a detailed comparative view of risk-adjusted returns, aiding in more informed decision-making by highlighting key differences between the reference ticker and the current ticker.
Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy [presentTrading]
█ Introduction and How It Is Different
The "Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced" strategy is a sophisticated trading system that combines two Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced. Very Powerful!
Let's celebrate the joy of Children's Day on June 1st! Enjoyyy!
BTCUSD LS performance
The strategy aims to pinpoint market trends with greater accuracy and generate trades that align with the overall market direction.
This approach differentiates itself by integrating volatility adjustments and leveraging the Vegas Channel's width to refine the SuperTrend calculations, resulting in a dynamic and responsive trading system.
Additionally, the strategy incorporates customizable take-profit and stop-loss levels, providing traders with a robust framework for risk management.
-> check Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced - Strategy
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
🔶 Vegas Channel and SuperTrend Calculations
The strategy initiates by calculating the Vegas Channel, which is derived from a simple moving average (SMA) and the standard deviation (STD) of the closing prices over a specified window length. This channel helps in measuring market volatility and forms the basis for adjusting the SuperTrend indicator.
Vegas Channel Calculation:
- vegasMovingAverage = SMA(close, vegasWindow)
- vegasChannelStdDev = STD(close, vegasWindow)
- vegasChannelUpper = vegasMovingAverage + vegasChannelStdDev
- vegasChannelLower = vegasMovingAverage - vegasChannelStdDev
SuperTrend Multiplier Adjustment:
- channelVolatilityWidth = vegasChannelUpper - vegasChannelLower
- adjustedMultiplier = superTrendMultiplierBase + volatilityAdjustmentFactor * (channelVolatilityWidth / vegasMovingAverage)
The adjusted multiplier enhances the SuperTrend's sensitivity to market volatility, making it more adaptable to changing market conditions.
BTCUSD Local picture.
🔶 Average True Range (ATR) and SuperTrend Values
The ATR is computed over a specified period to measure market volatility. Using the ATR and the adjusted multiplier, the SuperTrend upper and lower levels are determined.
ATR Calculation:
- averageTrueRange = ATR(atrPeriod)
**SuperTrend Calculation:**
- superTrendUpper = hlc3 - (adjustedMultiplier * averageTrueRange)
- superTrendLower = hlc3 + (adjustedMultiplier * averageTrueRange)
The SuperTrend levels are continuously updated based on the previous values and the current market trend direction. The market trend is determined by comparing the closing prices with the SuperTrend levels.
Trend Direction:
- If close > superTrendLowerPrev, then marketTrend = 1 (bullish)
- If close < superTrendUpperPrev, then marketTrend = -1 (bearish)
🔶 Trade Entry and Exit Conditions
The strategy generates trade signals based on the alignment of both SuperTrends. Trades are executed only when both SuperTrends indicate the same market direction.
Entry Conditions:
- Long Position: Both SuperTrends must signal a bullish trend.
- Short Position: Both SuperTrends must signal a bearish trend.
Exit Conditions:
- Positions are exited if either SuperTrend reverses its trend direction.
- Additional conditions include holding periods and configurable take-profit and stop-loss levels.
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to specify the desired trade direction through a customizable input setting. Options include:
- Long: Only enter long positions.
- Short: Only enter short positions.
- Both: Enter both long and short positions based on the market conditions.
█ Usage
To utilize the "Double Vegas SuperTrend Enhanced" strategy, traders need to configure the input settings according to their trading preferences and market conditions. The strategy includes parameters for ATR periods, Vegas Channel window lengths, SuperTrend multipliers, volatility adjustment factors, and risk management settings such as hold days, take-profit, and stop-loss percentages.
█ Default Settings
The strategy comes with default settings that can be adjusted to fit individual trading styles:
- trade Direction: Both (allows trading in both long and short directions for maximum flexibility).
- ATR Periods: 10 for SuperTrend 1 and 5 for SuperTrend 2 (shorter ATR period results in more sensitivity to recent price movements).
- Vegas Window Lengths: 100 for SuperTrend 1 and 200 for SuperTrend 2 (longer window length results in smoother moving averages and less sensitivity to short-term volatility).
- SuperTrend Multipliers: 5 for SuperTrend 1 and 7 for SuperTrend 2 (higher multipliers lead to wider SuperTrend channels, reducing the frequency of trades).
- Volatility Adjustment Factors: 5 for SuperTrend 1 and 7 for SuperTrend 2 (higher adjustment factors increase the responsiveness to changes in market volatility).
- Hold Days: 5 (defines the minimum duration a position is held, ensuring trades are not exited prematurely).
- Take Profit: 30% (sets the target profit level to lock in gains).
- Stop Loss: 20% (sets the maximum acceptable loss level to mitigate risk).
7 hours a day by Yasser (YWMAAAWORLD)Hey there, traders! Today, we're diving into a nifty Pine Script called "7 hours a day," crafted by me Yasser (YWMAAAWorld). So, what's the scoop?
Imagine having a tool that highlights specific times on your chart like clockwork, making your trading day a breeze. That's precisely what this script does. It's like having a personal assistant reminding you of the important moments in the market.
Picture this: as the clock strikes 8:00 PM and 3:00 AM, our script draws these magical lines on your chart. These aren't just any lines; they're your guides, marking the boundaries of a crucial 7-hour period. Think of it as your trading sanctuary within the chaos of the market.
But wait, there's more! Our script isn't just about pretty lines. It's smart too. It knows when it's a weekend or Monday morning, so you can kick back and relax without unnecessary clutter on your chart.
Now, here's where the magic really happens. Within these 7-hour windows, our script calculates the highest and lowest price points, giving you a clear picture of market dynamics during those crucial hours. It's like having a crystal ball revealing the market's secrets.
So, whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting, "7 hours a day" is your trusty sidekick, guiding you through the twists and turns of the market with style and precision. Say goodbye to guesswork and hello to clarity in your trading journey!
it is believed that market ranges within these 7-hour windows, and when broken up or down you could expect a momentum price movement.
utilsLibrary "utils"
Provides a set of utility functions for use in strategies or indicators.
colorGreen(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorRed(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorTeal(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorBlue(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorOrange(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorPurple(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorPink(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorYellow(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorWhite(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
colorBlack(opacity)
Parameters:
opacity (int)
trendChangingUp(emaShort, emaLong)
Signals when the trend is starting to change in a positive direction.
Parameters:
emaShort (float)
emaLong (float)
Returns: bool
trendChangingDown(emaShort, emaLong)
Signals when the trend is starting to change in a negative direction.
Parameters:
emaShort (float)
emaLong (float)
Returns: bool
percentChange(start, end)
Returns the percent change between a start number and end number. A positive change returns a positive value and vice versa.
Parameters:
start (float)
end (float)
Returns: float
percentOf(percent, n)
Returns the number that's the percentage of the provided value.
Parameters:
percent (float) : Use 0.2 for 20 percent, 0.35 for 35 percent, etc.
n (float) : The number to calculate the percentage of.
Returns: float
targetPriceByPercent(percent, n)
Parameters:
percent (float)
n (float)
hasNegativeSlope(start, end)
Parameters:
start (float)
end (float)
timeinrange(resolution, session, timezone)
Returns true when the current time is within a given session window. Note, the time is calculated in the "America/New_York" timezone.
Parameters:
resolution (simple string) : The time interval to use to start/end the background color. Use "1" for the coloring the background up to the minute.
session (simple string) : The session string to use to identify the time window. Example: "0930-1600:23456" means normal market hours on weekdays.
timezone (simple string)
Returns: series bool
barsSinceLastEntry()
Returns the number of bars since the last entry order.
Returns: series int
barsSinceLastExit()
Returns the number of bars since the last exit order.
Returns: series int
calcSlope(ln, lookback)
Calculates the slope of the provided line based on its x,y coordinates in the previous bar to the current bar.
Parameters:
ln (float)
lookback (int)
Returns: series float
openPL()
Returns slope of the line given the start and end x,y coordinates.
Returns: series float
hasConsecutiveNegativeCandles(lookbackInput)
Returns true if the number of consecutive red candles matches the provided count.
Parameters:
lookbackInput (int) : The amount of bars to look back to check for consecutive negative bars. Default = 1.
Returns: series bool
stdevPercent(stdev, price)
Returns the standard deviation as a percentage of price.
Parameters:
stdev (float) : The standard deviation value
price (float) : The current price of the target ticker.
Returns: series float
Momentum Ghost Machine [ChartPrime]Momentum Ghost Machine (ChartPrime) is designed to be the next generation in momentum/rate of change analysis. This indicator utilizes the properties of one of our favorite filters to create a more accurate and stable momentum oscillator by using a high quality filtered delayed signal to do the momentum comparison.
Traditional momentum/roc uses the raw price data to compare current price to previous price to generate a directional oscillator. This leaves the oscillator prone to false readings and noisy outputs that leave traders unsure of the real likelihood of a future movement. One way to mitigate this issue would be to use some sort of moving average. Unfortunately, this can only go so far because simple moving average algorithms result in a poor reconstruction of the actual shape of the underlying signal.
The windowed sinc low pass filter is a linear phase filter, meaning that it doesn't change the shape or size of the original signal when applied. This results in a faithful reconstruction of the original signal, but without the "high frequency noise". Just like any filter, the process of applying it requires that we have "future" samples resulting in a time delay for real time applications. Fortunately this is a great thing in the context of a momentum oscillator because we need some representation of past price data to compare the current price data to. By using an ideal low pass filter to generate this delayed signal we can super charge the momentum oscillator and fix the majority of issues its predecessors had.
This indicator has a few extra features that other momentum/roc indicators dont have. One major yet simple improvement is the inclusion of a moving average to help gauge the rate of change of this indicator. Since we included a moving average, we thought it would only be appropriate to add a histogram to help visualize the relationship between the signal and its average. To go further with this we have also included linear extrapolation to further help you predict the momentum and direction of this oscillator. Included with this extrapolation we have also added the histogram in the extrapolation to further enhance its visual interpretation. Finally, the inclusion of a candle coloring feature really drives how the utility of the Momentum Machine .
There are three distinct options when using the candle coloring feature: Direct, MA, and Both. With direct the candles will be colored based on the indicators direction and polarity. When it is above zero and moving up, it displays a green color. When it is above zero and moving down it will display a light green color. Conversely, when the indicator is below zero and moving down it displays a red color, and when it it moving up and below zero it will display a light red color. MA coloring will color the candles just like a MACD. If the signal is above its MA and moving up it will display a green color, and when it is above its MA and moving down it will display a light green color.
When the signal is below its MA and moving down it will display a red color, and when its below its ma and moving up it will display a light red color. Both combines the two into a single color scheme providing you with the best of both worlds. If the indicator is above zero it will display the MA colors with a slight twist. When the indicator is moving down and is below its MA it will display a lighter color than before, and when it is below zero and is above its MA it will display a darker color color.
Length of 50 with a smoothing of 100
Length of 50 with a smoothing of 25
By default, the indicator is set to a momentum length of 50, with a post smoothing of 2. We have chosen the longer period for the momentum length to highlight the performance of this indicator compared to its ancestors. A major point to consider with this indicator is that you can only achieve so much smoothing for a chosen delay. This is because more data is required to produce a smoother signal at a specified length. Once you have selected your desired momentum length you can then select your desired momentum smoothing . This is made possible by the use of the windowed sinc low pass algorithm because it includes a frequency cutoff argument. This means that you can have as little or as much smoothing as you please without impacting the period of the indicator. In the provided examples above this paragraph is a visual representation of what is going on under the hood of this indicator. The blue line is the filtered signal being compared to the current closing price. As you can see, the filtered signal is very smooth and accurately represents the underlying price action without noise.
We hope that users can find the same utility as we did in this indicator and that it levels up your analysis utilizing the momentum oscillator or rate of change.
Enjoy
aproxLibrary "aprox"
It's a library of the aproximations of a price or Series float it uses Fourier transform and
Euler's Theoreum for Homogenus White noice operations. Calling functions without source value it automatically take close as the default source value.
Copy this indicator to see how each approximations interact between each other.
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
//@version=5
indicator("Close Price with Aproximations", shorttitle="Close and Aproximations", overlay=false)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Plot Close Price
plot(inputData, color=color.blue, title="Close Price")
dtf32_result = aprox.DTF32()
plot(dtf32_result, color=color.green, title="DTF32 Aproximation")
fft_result = aprox.FFT()
plot(fft_result, color=color.red, title="DTF32 Aproximation")
wavelet_result = aprox.Wavelet()
plot(wavelet_result, color=color.orange, title="Wavelet Aproximation")
wavelet_std_result = aprox.Wavelet_std()
plot(wavelet_std_result, color=color.yellow, title="Wavelet_std Aproximation")
DFT3(xval, _dir)
Parameters:
xval (float)
_dir (int)
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - DFT3", shorttitle="DFT3 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply DFT3
result = aprox.DFT3(inputData, 2)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.blue, title="DFT3 Result")
DFT2(xval, _dir)
Parameters:
xval (float)
_dir (int)
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - DFT2", shorttitle="DFT2 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply DFT2
result = aprox.DFT2(inputData, inputData, 1)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.green, title="DFT2 Result")
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - DFT2", shorttitle="DFT2 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply DFT2
result = aprox.DFT2(inputData, 1)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.green, title="DFT2 Result")
FFT(xval)
FFT: Fast Fourier Transform
Parameters:
xval (float)
Returns: Aproxiated source value
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - FFT", shorttitle="FFT Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply FFT
result = aprox.FFT(inputData)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.red, title="FFT Result")
DTF32(xval)
DTF32: Combined Discrete Fourier Transforms
Parameters:
xval (float)
Returns: Aproxiated source value
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - DTF32", shorttitle="DTF32 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply DTF32
result = aprox.DTF32(inputData)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.purple, title="DTF32 Result")
whitenoise(indic_, _devided, minEmaLength, maxEmaLength, src)
whitenoise: Ehler's Universal Oscillator with White Noise, without extra aproximated src
Parameters:
indic_ (float)
_devided (int)
minEmaLength (int)
maxEmaLength (int)
src (float)
Returns: Smoothed indicator value
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - whitenoise", shorttitle="whitenoise Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply whitenoise
result = aprox.whitenoise(aprox.FFT(inputData))
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.orange, title="whitenoise Result")
whitenoise(indic_, dft1, _devided, minEmaLength, maxEmaLength, src)
whitenoise: Ehler's Universal Oscillator with White Noise and DFT1
Parameters:
indic_ (float)
dft1 (float)
_devided (int)
minEmaLength (int)
maxEmaLength (int)
src (float)
Returns: Smoothed indicator value
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - whitenoise with DFT1", shorttitle="whitenoise-DFT1 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply whitenoise with DFT1
result = aprox.whitenoise(inputData, aprox.DFT1(inputData))
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.yellow, title="whitenoise-DFT1 Result")
smooth(dft1, indic__, _devided, minEmaLength, maxEmaLength, src)
smooth: Smoothing source value with help of indicator series and aproximated source value
Parameters:
dft1 (float)
indic__ (float)
_devided (int)
minEmaLength (int)
maxEmaLength (int)
src (float)
Returns: Smoothed source series
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - smooth", shorttitle="smooth Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply smooth
result = aprox.smooth(inputData, aprox.FFT(inputData))
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.gray, title="smooth Result")
smooth(indic__, _devided, minEmaLength, maxEmaLength, src)
smooth: Smoothing source value with help of indicator series
Parameters:
indic__ (float)
_devided (int)
minEmaLength (int)
maxEmaLength (int)
src (float)
Returns: Smoothed source series
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - smooth without DFT1", shorttitle="smooth-NoDFT1 Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply smooth without DFT1
result = aprox.smooth(aprox.FFT(inputData))
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.teal, title="smooth-NoDFT1 Result")
vzo_ema(src, len)
vzo_ema: Volume Zone Oscillator with EMA smoothing
Parameters:
src (float)
len (simple int)
Returns: VZO value
vzo_sma(src, len)
vzo_sma: Volume Zone Oscillator with SMA smoothing
Parameters:
src (float)
len (int)
Returns: VZO value
vzo_wma(src, len)
vzo_wma: Volume Zone Oscillator with WMA smoothing
Parameters:
src (float)
len (int)
Returns: VZO value
alma2(series, windowsize, offset, sigma)
alma2: Arnaud Legoux Moving Average 2 accepts sigma as series float
Parameters:
series (float)
windowsize (int)
offset (float)
sigma (float)
Returns: ALMA value
Wavelet(src, len, offset, sigma)
Wavelet: Wavelet Transform
Parameters:
src (float)
len (int)
offset (simple float)
sigma (simple float)
Returns: Wavelet-transformed series
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - Wavelet", shorttitle="Wavelet Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply Wavelet
result = aprox.Wavelet(inputData)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.blue, title="Wavelet Result")
Wavelet_std(src, len, offset, mag)
Wavelet_std: Wavelet Transform with Standard Deviation
Parameters:
src (float)
len (int)
offset (float)
mag (int)
Returns: Wavelet-transformed series
//@version=5
import Celje_2300/aprox/1 as aprox
indicator("Example - Wavelet_std", shorttitle="Wavelet_std Example", overlay=true)
// Sample input data (replace this with your own data)
inputData = close
// Apply Wavelet_std
result = aprox.Wavelet_std(inputData)
// Plot the result
plot(result, color=color.green, title="Wavelet_std Result")
[S] Rolling TrendlineThe Rolling Linear Regression Trendline is a sophisticated technical analysis tool designed to offer traders a dynamic view of market trends over a selectable period. This indicator employs linear regression to calculate and plot a trendline that best fits the closing prices within a specified window, either defined by a number of bars or a set period in days, independent of the chart's timeframe.
Key Features:
Dynamic Window Selection: Users can choose the calculation window based on a fixed number of bars or days, providing flexibility to adapt to different trading strategies and timeframes. For the 'days' option, the indicator calculates the equivalent number of bars based on the chart's timeframe, ensuring relevance across various market conditions and trading sessions.
Linear Regression Analysis: At its core, the indicator uses linear regression to identify the trend direction by calculating the slope and intercept of the trendline. This method offers a statistical approach to trend analysis, highlighting potential uptrends or downtrends based on the positioning and direction of the trendline.
Customizable Period: Traders can input their desired period (N), allowing for tailored analysis. Whether it's short-term movements or longer-term trends, the indicator can adjust to focus on specific time horizons, enhancing its utility across different trading styles and objectives.
Applications:
Trend Identification: By plotting a trendline that mathematically fits the closing prices over the chosen period, traders can quickly identify the prevailing market trend, aiding in bullish or bearish decision-making.
Support and Resistance: The trendline can also serve as a dynamic level of support or resistance, offering potential entry or exit points based on the price's interaction with the trendline.
Strategic Planning: With the ability to adjust the calculation window, traders can align the indicator with their trading strategy, whether focusing on intraday movements or broader swings.
Using this indicator with other parameters can widen you view of the market and help identifying trends
MA+ ProjectionThe "MA+ Projection" indicator is designed to visualize the potential future direction of a moving average, taking into account the impact of historical data loss. It is primarily aimed at providing a practical perspective on how moving averages could evolve as older data points are no longer considered.
Key Features:
Supported Moving Averages: SMA, EMA, WMA, VWMA, and VAWMA (Volume Adjusted WMA).
Flexible Time Span Settings: Customize the moving average length in bars, minutes, or days.
Adjustable Projection Scope: Set a percentage of the measurement to project forward.
Projection 'Cone': Show/hide the deviation and control the multiple.
Use Last Source Value: An option to add the latest known value to the moving window instead of only letting the window shrink. (Enabled by default.)
How It Works:
Given the specified parameters, it takes the selected moving average type (a known formula like SMA, EMA, or WMA), and projects the future data points by continuing to move the data 'window' forward without adding any more data. By default, it extends the average by assuming the price hasn't changed after the last bar. Alternatively, the projection can be the result of shrinking the window as it moves forward without adding any new data points.
Note:
This tool is for visual projection, not prediction. Its purpose is to aid in the analysis of potential future trends based on historical data, not to provide definitive market forecasts.
savitzkyGolay, KAMA, HPOverview
This trading indicator integrates three distinct analytical tools: the Savitzky-Golay Filter, Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA), and Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter. It is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of market trends and potential trading signals.
Components
Hodrick-Prescott (HP) Filter
Purpose: Smooths out the price data to identify the underlying trend.
Parameters: Lambda: Controls the smoothness. Range: 50 to 1600.
Impact of Parameters:
Increasing Lambda: This makes the trend line more responsive to short-term market fluctuations, suitable for short-term analysis. A higher Lambda value decreases the degree of smoothing, making the trend line follow recent market movements more closely.
Decreasing Lambda: A lower Lambda value makes the trend line smoother and less responsive to short-term market fluctuations, ideal for longer-term trend analysis. Decreasing Lambda increases the degree of smoothing, thereby filtering out minor market movements and focusing more on the long-term trend.
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA):
Purpose: An adaptive moving average that adjusts to price volatility.
Parameters: Length, Fast Length, Slow Length: Define the sensitivity and adaptiveness of KAMA.
Impact of Parameters:
Adjusting Length affects the base period for efficiency ratio, altering the overall sensitivity.
Fast Length and Slow Length control the speed of KAMA’s adaptation. A smaller Fast Length makes KAMA more sensitive to price changes, while a larger Slow Length makes it less sensitive.
Savitzky-Golay Filter:
Purpose: Smooths the price data using polynomial regression.
Parameters: Window Size: Determines the size of the moving window (7, 9, 11, 15, 21).
Impact of Parameters:
A larger Window Size results in a smoother curve, which is more effective for identifying long-term trends but can delay reaction to recent market changes.
A smaller Window Size makes the curve more responsive to short-term price movements, suitable for short-term trading strategies.
General Impact of Parameters
Adjusting these parameters can significantly alter the signals generated by the indicator. Users should fine-tune these settings based on their trading style, the characteristics of the traded asset, and market conditions to optimize the indicator's performance.
Signal Logic
Buy Signal: The trend from the HP filter is below both the KAMA and the Savitzky-Golay SMA, and none of these indicators are flat.
Sell Signal: The trend from the HP filter is above both the KAMA and the Savitzky-Golay SMA, and none of these indicators are flat.
Usage
Due to the combination of smoothing algorithms and adaptability, this indicator is highly effective at identifying emerging trends for both initiating long and short positions.
IMPORTANT : Although the code and user settings incorporate measures to limit false signals due to lateral (sideways) movement, they do not completely eliminate such occurrences. Users are strongly advised to avoid signals that emerge during simultaneous lateral movements of all three indicators.
Despite the indicator's success in historical data analysis using its signals alone, it is highly recommended to use this code in combination with other indicators, patterns, and zones. This is particularly important for determining exit points from positions, which can significantly enhance trading results.
Limitations and Recommendations
The indicator has shown excellent performance on the weekly time frame (TF) with the following settings:
Savitzky-Golay (SG): 11
Hodrick-Prescott (HP): 100
Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): 20, 2, 30
For the monthly TF, the recommended settings are:
SG: 15
HP: 100
KAMA: 30, 2, 35
Note: The monthly TF is quite variable. With these settings, there may be fewer signals, but they tend to be more relevant for long-term investors. Based on a sample of 40 different stocks from various countries and sectors, most exhibited an average trade return in the thousands of percent.
It's important to note that while these settings have been successful in past performance, market conditions vary and past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are encouraged to experiment with these settings and adjust them according to their individual needs and market analysis.
As this is my first developed trading indicator, I am very open to and appreciative of any suggestions or comments. Your feedback is invaluable in helping me refine and improve this tool. Please feel free to share your experiences, insights, or any recommendations you may have.
[MAD] Position starter & calculatorThe tool you're using is a financial instrument trading planner and analyzer.
Here is how to use it:
Trade Planning: You can plan your trade entries and exits, calculating potential profits, losses, and their ratio (P/L ratio).
You can define up to five target closing prices with varying volumes, which can be individually activated or deactivated (volume set to 0%).
Risk Management: There's a stop-loss function to calculate and limit potential losses.
Additionally, it includes a liquidation pre-calculation for adjustable leverages and position maintenance(subject to exchange variation).
Customization: You can customize the tool's appearance with five adjustable color schemes, light and dark.
-----------------
Initiation: This tool functions as an indicator.
To start, add it as an indicator.
Once added, you can close the indicator window.
Now wait, till you'll see a blue box at the bottom of the input window.
Parameter Input:
Enter your parameters (SL, box left, box right, TP1, TP2, TP3, TP4, TP5) in the direction of the desired trade.
Click from top to bottom for a short trade or bottom to top for a long trade.
Adjustment: If you want to move the box in the future, adjust the times in the indicator settings directly as click input is not yet platform-supported.
This tool functions as a ruler and doesn't offer alerts (for now).
Here is another examples of how to set up a Position-calculation but here for a short:
Have fun trading
