Recession Indicator (Unemployment Rate)Unemployment rate
percentage of unemployed individuals in an economy among individuals currently in the labour force. It is calcuated as Unemployed IndividualsTotal Labour Force × 100 where unemployed individuals are those who are currently not working but are actively seeking work.
The unemployment rate is one of the primary economic indicators used to measure the health of an economy. It tends to fluctuate with the business cycle, increasing during recessions and decreasing during expansions. It is among the indicators most commonly watched by policy makers, investors, and the general public.
Policy makers and central banks consider how much the unemployment rate has increased during a particular recession to gauge the recession’s impact on the economy and to decide how to tailor fiscal and monetary policies to mitigate its adverse effects. In addition, central banks carefully try to predict the future trend of the unemployment rate to devise long-term strategies to lower it.
This indicator is a representation of yearly rate of change of Unemployment rate. Historically (not always) when ROC(Yearly) of Unemployment rate crossover zero line was a signal of recession or economic contraction.
Cerca negli script per "Cycle"
DR/IDR of Omega by TRSTNThis is an EXPERIMENTAL Script by @TRSTNGLRD derived from the coding of @IAmMas7er's "DR/IDR" Indicator that adds a total of 11 additional DR / IDR Ranges on both lower and higher timeframes.
This script is no-longer being worked on, so I have made it public.
Background:
This Script utilizes the Fibonacci-Doubling Sequence between the range of 18:30pm and 16:55pm NY-Time. Each Cycle is grouped into the following:
Omega/2, Omega/4, Omega/8, and Omega/16
The Mas7er's three original sessions are: Omega/4v1, Omega/4v2, and Omega/8v1
These three Sessions above take rule over all others. If you are looking to back-test this version of the script, please use the Experimental ranges as confirmation for the three above.
Important Notes:
- Please only select Sessions with their respected groups (All of Omega/4, All of Omega/16, etc...) rather than selecting all of them at once.
If you select all of them at once, the ranges will not be correct and cut each other off.
The only exceptions to this rule are the Mas7er's original ranges above.
- If you wish to have multiple groups of Ranges together, please add a second indicator to your chart.
- Omega/16v1 and Omega/16v6 are known to have a high-probability of a Judas Swing (takes out both sides of the range) - Be Cautious!
- Omega/2v1 is a very large DR / IDR range. I am working on shrinking it in size, but have more experimenting to do with different ranges.
- I do not use the experimental ranges with the IDR , only the DR . I have not been able to define probabilities fully yet, but the levels are respected nonetheless.
This script is not supposed to work EXACTLY like the Mas7er's, rather, generally instead.
Please comment and leave your opinion below about which ranges work the best and how you may utilize them.
Thank you!
VXD SupercycleVXD is a brand new indicator and still developing. to minimize stop losses and overcome sideways market conditions, Higher Timeframe are recommended
Trend lines
-using Rolling VWAP as trend line to determined if Volume related to a certain price.
-you can switch RVWAP to EMA in the setting
ATR
-trailing 12*ATR and 2.4 Mutiplier
Pivot point and Rejected Block
Pivot show last High and low of a price in past bars
Rejected Block show when that High or Low price are important level to determined if it's Hidden Divergence or Divergence
Symbols on chart show Premium and Discount Prices
X-Cross - show potential reversal trend with weak volume .
O-circle - show potential reversal trend with strong volume .
Setting
Momentum: RSI = 25 , RSI MA = 14
Trend: Rolling VWAP and ATR and Subhag
Trailing STOP: ATR 12 x 2.4
Highlight Bars color when volume is above SMA 6
SMA200 act as TP Line
Risk:Reward Calculation
if Buy your Stoploss will be previous Pivot low
if Sell your Stoploss will be previous Pivot high and will be calculated form there, then show TP in Orange color line
VXD เป็นระบบเทรดที่ผมทดลองเอาหลาย ๆ ไอเดีย ทั้งจาก Youtube facebook และกลุ่มคนต่าง ๆ มารวบรวมไว้ แล้วตกผลึกขึ้นมาเป็นระบบนี้ ใน Timeframe ใหญ่ ๆ สามารถลากได้ทั้ง Cycle กันเลย
Trend lines
-ใช้ Rolling VWAP ของแอพ Tradingview (สามารถตั้งแค่าเป็น EMA ได้)
ATR
-ใช้ค่า ATR 12 Mutiplier 2.4
Pivot point and Rejected Block
Pivot โชว์เส้น High low และมีผลกับออเดอร์ หากแท่งเทียนปิดทะลุเส้นนี้
Rejected Block วาดแนวรับ-ต้าน อัตโนมัติ ใช้ประกอบ RSI ว่ามี Divergence หรือไม่
สัญลักษณ์ต่าง ๆ
X-Cross - แท่งกลืนกิน วอลุ่มน้อย
O-circle - แท่งกลืนกิน มีวอลุ่ม
Setting
Momentum: RSI = 25 , RSI MA = 14
Trend: Rolling VWAP and ATR and Subhag
Trailing STOP: ATR 12 x 2.4
Highlight Bars color when volume is above SMA 6
SMA200 act as TP Line
Risk:Reward Calculation
หาก Buy จุด SL จะอยู่ที่ Pivot low
หาก Sell จุด SL จะอยู่ที่ Pivot high และระบบจะคำนวณจากตรงนั้น จากนั้นแสดงเป็นเส้น TP สีส้ม
This Strategy Combined the following indicators and conditioning by me
ATR , RSI , EMA , SMA
Rolling VWAP - /script/ZU2UUu9T-Rolling-VWAP/
Regression Lines - Subhag form Subhag Ghosh /script/LHHBVpQu-Subhag-Ghosh-Algo-Version-for-banknifty/
Rejection Block , Pivots , High Volume Bars and PPDD form Super OrderBlock / FVG / BoS Tools by makuchaku & eFe /script/aZACDmTC-Super-OrderBlock-FVG-BoS-Tools-by-makuchaku-eFe/
ขอให้รวยครับ.
ETH Gravity OscillatorThis indicator is a deviation of a Center of Gravity Oscillator corrected for the diminishing returns of Ethereum.
I've set up this indicator for it to be used on the weekly timeframe . The indicator oscillates between 0 and 10, where 0 indicates oversold conditions and 10 indicates overbought conditions. What is interesting is that it is not particularly ideal for identifying market cycle tops, but generally picks out the most euphoric region in the initial parabolic rally. Good to potentially keep in mind if there is a second bounce to the peak!
The indicator plots in any ETH charts. It paints in all time frames, but Weekly time frame is the correct one to interpret the 'official' read of it.
Made at the request of a kind commenter. If you would like to request different derivations of this script be sure to let me know!
TASC 2025.02 Autocorrelation Indicator█ OVERVIEW
This script implements the Autocorrelation Indicator introduced by John Ehlers in the "Drunkard's Walk: Theory And Measurement By Autocorrelation" article from the February 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The indicator calculates the autocorrelation of a price series across several lags to construct a periodogram , which traders can use to identify market cycles, trends, and potential reversal patterns.
█ CONCEPTS
Drunkard's walk
A drunkard's walk , formally known as a random walk , is a type of stochastic process that models the evolution of a system or variable through successive random steps.
In his article, John Ehlers relates this model to market data. He discusses two first- and second-order partial differential equations, modified for discrete (non-continuous) data, that can represent solutions to the discrete random walk problem: the diffusion equation and the wave equation. According to Ehlers, market data takes on a mixture of two "modes" described by these equations. He theorizes that when "diffusion mode" is dominant, trading success is almost a matter of luck, and when "wave mode" is dominant, indicators may have improved performance.
Pink spectrum
John Ehlers explains that many recent academic studies affirm that market data has a pink spectrum , meaning the power spectral density of the data is proportional to the wavelengths it contains, like pink noise . A random walk with a pink spectrum suggests that the states of the random variable are correlated and not independent. In other words, the random variable exhibits long-range dependence with respect to previous states.
Autocorrelation function (ACF)
Autocorrelation measures the correlation of a time series with a delayed copy, or lag , of itself. The autocorrelation function (ACF) is a method that evaluates autocorrelation across a range of lags , which can help to identify patterns, trends, and cycles in stochastic market data. Analysts often use ACF to detect and characterize long-range dependence in a time series.
The Autocorrelation Indicator evaluates the ACF of market prices over a fixed range of lags, expressing the results as a color-coded heatmap representing a dynamic periodogram. Ehlers suggests the information from the periodogram can help traders identify different market behaviors, including:
Cycles : Distinguishable as repeated patterns in the periodogram.
Reversals : Indicated by sharp vertical changes in the periodogram when the indicator uses a short data length .
Trends : Indicated by increasing correlation across lags, starting with the shortest, over time.
█ USAGE
This script calculates the Autocorrelation Indicator on an input "Source" series, smoothed by Ehlers' UltimateSmoother filter, and plots several color-coded lines to represent the periodogram's information. Each line corresponds to an analyzed lag, with the shortest lag's line at the bottom of the pane. Green hues in the line indicate a positive correlation for the lag, red hues indicate a negative correlation (anticorrelation), and orange or yellow hues mean the correlation is near zero.
Because Pine has a limit on the number of plots for a single indicator, this script divides the periodogram display into three distinct ranges that cover different lags. To see the full periodogram, add three instances of this script to the chart and set the "Lag range" input for each to a different value, as demonstrated in the chart above.
With a modest autocorrelation length, such as 20 on a "1D" chart, traders can identify seasonal patterns in the price series, which can help to pinpoint cycles and moderate trends. For instance, on the daily ES1! chart above, the indicator shows repetitive, similar patterns through fall 2023 and winter 2023-2024. The green "triangular" shape rising from the zero lag baseline over different time ranges corresponds to seasonal trends in the data.
To identify turning points in the price series, Ehlers recommends using a short autocorrelation length, such as 2. With this length, users can observe sharp, sudden shifts along the vertical axis, which suggest potential turning points from upward to downward or vice versa.
CVDD Z-ScoreCumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Now with the automatic Z-Score calculation for ease of classification of Bitcoin's valuation according to this metric.
Created for TRW.
Goichi Hosoda TheoryGreetings to traders. I offer you an indicator for trading according to the Ichimoku Kinho Hyo trading system. This indicator determines possible time cycles of price reversal and expected asset price values based on the theory of waves and time cycles by Goichi Hosoda.
The indicator contains classic price levels N, V, E and NT, and is supplemented with intermediate levels V+E, V+N, N+NT and x2, x3, x4 for levels V and E, which are used in cases where the wave does not contain corrections and there is no possibility to update the impulse-corrective wave.
A function for counting bars from points A B and C has also been added.
Advanced Multi-Seasonality StrategyThe Multi-Seasonality Strategy is a trading system based on seasonal market patterns. Seasonality refers to recurring market trends driven by predictable calendar-based events. These patterns emerge due to economic cycles, corporate activities (e.g., earnings reports), and investor behavior around specific times of the year. Studies have shown that such effects can influence asset prices over defined periods, leading to opportunities for traders who exploit these patterns (Hirshleifer, 2001; Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
How the Strategy Works:
The strategy allows the user to define four distinct periods within a calendar year. For each period, the trader selects:
Entry Date (Month and Day): The date to enter the trade.
Holding Period: The number of trading days to remain in the trade after the entry.
Trade Direction: Whether to take a long or short position during that period.
The system is designed with flexibility, enabling the user to activate or deactivate each of the four periods. The idea is to take advantage of seasonal patterns, such as buying during historically strong periods and selling during weaker ones. A well-known example is the "Sell in May and Go Away" phenomenon, which suggests that stock returns are higher from November to April and weaker from May to October (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Seasonality in Financial Markets:
Seasonal effects have been documented across different asset classes and markets:
Equities: Stock markets tend to exhibit higher returns during certain months, such as the "January effect," where prices rise after year-end tax-loss selling (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987).
Commodities: Agricultural commodities often follow seasonal planting and harvesting cycles, which impact supply and demand patterns (Fama & French, 1987).
Forex: Currency pairs may show strength or weakness during specific quarters based on macroeconomic factors, such as fiscal year-end flows or central bank policy decisions.
Scientific Basis:
Research shows that market anomalies like seasonality are linked to behavioral biases and institutional practices. For example, investors may respond to tax incentives at the end of the year, and companies may engage in window dressing (Haugen & Lakonishok, 1987). Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as monetary policy shifts and holiday trading volumes, can also contribute to predictable seasonal trends (Bouman & Jacobsen, 2002).
Risks of Seasonal Trading:
While the strategy seeks to exploit predictable patterns, there are inherent risks:
Market Changes: Seasonal effects observed in the past may weaken or disappear as market conditions evolve. Increased algorithmic trading, globalization, and policy changes can reduce the reliability of historical patterns (Lo, 2004).
Overfitting: One of the risks in seasonal trading is overfitting the strategy to historical data. A pattern that worked in the past may not necessarily work in the future, especially if it was based on random chance or external factors that no longer apply (Sullivan, Timmermann, & White, 1999).
Liquidity and Volatility: Trading during specific periods may expose the trader to low liquidity, especially around holidays or earnings seasons, leading to slippage and larger-than-expected price swings.
Economic and Geopolitical Shocks: External events such as pandemics, wars, or political instability can disrupt seasonal patterns, leading to unexpected market behavior.
Conclusion:
The Multi-Seasonality Strategy capitalizes on the predictable nature of certain calendar-based patterns in financial markets. By entering and exiting trades based on well-established seasonal effects, traders can potentially capture short-term profits. However, caution is necessary, as market dynamics can change, and seasonal patterns are not guaranteed to persist. Rigorous backtesting, combined with risk management practices, is essential to successfully implementing this strategy.
References:
Bouman, S., & Jacobsen, B. (2002). The Halloween Indicator, "Sell in May and Go Away": Another Puzzle. American Economic Review, 92(5), 1618-1635.
Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (1987). Commodity Futures Prices: Some Evidence on Forecast Power, Premiums, and the Theory of Storage. Journal of Business, 60(1), 55-73.
Haugen, R. A., & Lakonishok, J. (1987). The Incredible January Effect: The Stock Market's Unsolved Mystery. Dow Jones-Irwin.
Hirshleifer, D. (2001). Investor Psychology and Asset Pricing. Journal of Finance, 56(4), 1533-1597.
Lo, A. W. (2004). The Adaptive Markets Hypothesis: Market Efficiency from an Evolutionary Perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 30(5), 15-29.
Sullivan, R., Timmermann, A., & White, H. (1999). Data-Snooping, Technical Trading Rule Performance, and the Bootstrap. Journal of Finance, 54(5), 1647-1691.
This strategy harnesses the power of seasonality but requires careful consideration of the risks and potential changes in market behavior over time.
US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)US Presidential Elections (Names & Dates)
Description :
This indicator marks key dates in US presidential history, highlighting both election days and inauguration dates. It's designed to provide historical context to your charts, allowing you to see how major political events align with market movements.
Key Features:
• Displays US presidential elections from 1936 to 2052
• Shows inauguration dates for each president
• Customizable colors and styles for both election and inauguration markers
• Toggle visibility of election and inauguration labels separately
• Adapts to different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly)
• Includes president names for historical context
The indicator uses yellow labels for election days and blue labels for inauguration dates. Election labels show the year and "Election", while inauguration labels display the name of the incoming president.
Customization options include:
• Colors for election and inauguration labels and text
• Line widths for both types of events
• Label placement styles
This tool is perfect for traders and analysts who want to correlate political events with market trends over long periods. It provides a unique perspective on how presidential cycles might influence financial markets.
Note: Future elections (2024 onwards) are marked with a placeholder (✅) as the presidents are not yet known.
Use this indicator to:
• Identify potential market patterns around election cycles
• Analyze historical market reactions to specific presidencies
• Add political context to your long-term chart analysis
Enhance your chart analysis with this comprehensive view of US presidential history!
CVDD - Coin Value Days Destroyed for Bitcoin (BTC) [Logue]Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) - The CVDD was created by Willy Woo and is the ratio of the cumulative value of Coin Days Destroyed in USD and the market age (in days). While this indicator is used to detect bottoms normally, an extension is used to allow detection of BTC tops. When the BTC price goes above the CVDD extension, BTC is generally considered to be overvalued. Because the "strength" of the BTC tops has decreased over the cycles, a logarithmic function for the extension was created by fitting past cycles as log extension = slope * time + intercept. This indicator is triggered for a top when the BTC price is above the CVDD extension. For the bottoms, the CVDD is shifted upwards at a default value of 120%. The slope, intercept, and CVDD bottom shift can all be modified in the script.
Cycle Position TradingTitle: Cycle Position Trading Strategy v1.0
Description: Cycle Position Trading Strategy is a simple yet effective trading strategy based on a 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Users can select between two modes, "Buy Uptrend" and "Buy Downtrend," to customize the strategy according to their trading preferences. The strategy allows users to set their own stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels, providing more flexibility and control over their trades.
Features:
Choose between two trading modes: "Buy Uptrend" and "Buy Downtrend."
Customize your stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels.
Clear visual representation of the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the chart.
How to use:
Add the strategy to your chart by searching for "Cycle Position Trading Strategy" in the TradingView "Indicators & Strategies" section.
Configure the strategy settings according to your preferences:
Select the trading mode from the dropdown menu. "Buy Uptrend" will open long positions when the closing price is above the 200-day SMA. "Buy Downtrend" will open long positions when the closing price is below the 200-day SMA.
Set your desired stop loss (SL) and take profit (TP) levels. The default values are 0.9 (10% below the entry price) for the stop loss and 1.1 (10% above the entry price) for the take profit.
Monitor the chart for trade signals based on the chosen mode and settings. The strategy will enter and exit trades automatically based on the selected mode and the configured stop loss and take profit levels.
Analyze the performance of the strategy by checking the TradingView strategy performance summary or by viewing individual trades in the "Trades" list.
Disclaimer: This strategy is intended for educational and illustrative purposes only. Use it at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading stocks, cryptocurrencies, or any other financial instrument involves significant risk and may result in the loss of capital.
Version: v1.0
Release date: 2023-03-25
Author: I11L
License: Mozilla Public License 2.0 (mozilla.org)
Cycle Channel Oscillator [LazyBear]Here's an oscillator derived from my previous script, Cycle Channel Clone ().
There are 2 oscillator plots - fast & slow. Fast plot shows the price location with in the medium term channel, while slow plot shows the location of short term midline of cycle channel with respect to medium term channel.
Usage of this is similar to %b oscillator. The slow plot can be considered as the signal line.
Bar colors can be enabled via options page. When short plot is above 1.0 or below 0, they are marked purple (both histo and the bar color) to highlight the extreme condition.
This makes use of the default 10/30 values of Cycle Channel, but may need tuning for your instrument.
More info:
List of my free indicators: bit.ly
List of my app-store indicators: blog.tradingview.com (More info: bit.ly)
US Presidents 1920–2024Description:
This indicator displays all U.S. presidential elections from 1920 to 2024 on your chart.
Features:
Vertical lines at the date of each presidential election.
Line color by party:
Red = Republican
Blue = Democrat
Gray = Other/None
Labels showing the name of each president.
Modern flag style: Presidents from 1900 onward are highlighted as modern, giving clear historical separation.
Fully overlayed on the price chart for timeline context.
Customizable: Label position (above/below bar) and line width.
Use case: Useful for analyzing modern U.S. presidential cycles, market reactions to elections, or quickly referencing recent presidents directly on charts.
Auto-Fit Growth Trendline# **Theoretical Algorithmic Principles of the Auto-Fit Growth Trendline (AFGT)**
## **🎯 What Does This Algorithm Do?**
The Auto-Fit Growth Trendline is an advanced technical analysis system that **automates the identification of long-term growth trends** and **projects future price levels** based on historical cyclical patterns.
### **Primary Functionality:**
- **Automatically detects** the most significant lows in regular periods (monthly, quarterly, semi-annually, annually)
- **Constructs a dynamic trendline** that connects these historical lows
- **Projects the trend into the future** with high mathematical precision
- **Generates Fibonacci bands** that act as dynamic support and resistance levels
- **Automatically adapts** to different timeframes and market conditions
### **Strategic Purpose:**
The algorithm is designed to identify **fundamental value zones** where price has historically found support, enabling traders to:
- Identify optimal entry points for long positions
- Establish realistic price targets based on mathematical projections
- Recognize dynamic support and resistance levels
- Anticipate long-term price movements
---
## **🧮 Core Mathematical Foundations**
### **Adaptive Temporal Segmentation Theory**
The algorithm is based on **dynamic temporal partition theory**, where time is divided into mathematically coherent uniform intervals. It uses modular transformations to create bijective mappings between continuous timestamps and discrete periods, ensuring each temporal point belongs uniquely to a specific period.
**What does this achieve?** It allows the algorithm to automatically identify natural market cycles (annual, quarterly, etc.) without manual intervention, adapting to the inherent periodicity of each asset.
The temporal mapping function implements a **discrete affine transformation** that normalizes different frequencies (monthly, quarterly, semi-annual, annual) to a space of unique identifiers, enabling consistent cross-temporal comparative analysis.
---
## **📊 Local Extrema Detection Theory**
### **Multi-Point Retrospective Validation Principle**
Local minima detection is founded on **relative extrema theory with sliding window**. Instead of using a simple minimum finder, it implements a cross-validation system that examines the persistence of the extremum across multiple historical periods.
**What problem does this solve?** It eliminates false minima caused by temporal volatility, identifying only those points that represent true historical support levels with statistical significance.
This approach is based on the **statistical confirmation principle**, where a minimum is only considered valid if it maintains its extremum condition during a defined observation period, significantly reducing false positives caused by transitory volatility.
---
## **🔬 Robust Interpolation Theory with Outlier Control**
### **Contextual Adaptive Interpolation Model**
The mathematical core uses **piecewise linear interpolation with adaptive outlier correction**. The key innovation lies in implementing a **contextual anomaly detector** that identifies not only absolute extreme values, but relative deviations to the local context.
**Why is this important?** Financial markets contain extreme events (crashes, bubbles) that can distort projections. This system identifies and appropriately weights them without completely eliminating them, preserving directional information while attenuating distortions.
### **Implicit Bayesian Smoothing Algorithm**
When an outlier is detected (deviation >300% of local average), the system applies a **simplified Kalman filter** that combines the current observation with a local trend estimation, using a weight factor that preserves directional information while attenuating extreme fluctuations.
---
## **📈 Stabilized Extrapolation Theory**
### **Exponential Growth Model with Dampening**
Extrapolation is based on a **modified exponential growth model with progressive dampening**. It uses multiple historical points to calculate local growth ratios, implements statistical filtering to eliminate outliers, and applies a dampening factor that increases with extrapolation distance.
**What advantage does this offer?** Long-term projections in finance tend to be exponentially unrealistic. This system maintains short-to-medium term accuracy while converging toward realistic long-term projections, avoiding the typical "exponential explosions" of other methods.
### **Asymptotic Convergence Principle**
For long-term projections, the algorithm implements **controlled asymptotic convergence**, where growth ratios gradually converge toward pre-established limits, avoiding unrealistic exponential projections while preserving short-to-medium term accuracy.
---
## **🌟 Dynamic Fibonacci Projection Theory**
### **Continuous Proportional Scaling Model**
Fibonacci bands are constructed through **uniform proportional scaling** of the base curve, where each level represents a linear transformation of the main curve by a constant factor derived from the Fibonacci sequence.
**What is its practical utility?** It provides dynamic resistance and support levels that move with the trend, offering price targets and profit-taking points that automatically adapt to market evolution.
### **Topological Preservation Principle**
The system maintains the **topological properties** of the base curve in all Fibonacci projections, ensuring that spatial and temporal relationships are consistently preserved across all resistance/support levels.
---
## **⚡ Adaptive Computational Optimization**
### **Multi-Scale Resolution Theory**
It implements **automatic multi-resolution analysis** where data granularity is dynamically adjusted according to the analysis timeframe. It uses the **adaptive Nyquist principle** to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio according to the temporal observation scale.
**Why is this necessary?** Different timeframes require different levels of detail. A 1-minute chart needs more granularity than a monthly one. This system automatically optimizes resolution for each case.
### **Adaptive Density Algorithm**
Calculation point density is optimized through **adaptive sampling theory**, where calculation frequency is adjusted according to local trend curvature and analysis timeframe, balancing visual precision with computational efficiency.
---
## **🛡️ Robustness and Fault Tolerance**
### **Graceful Degradation Theory**
The system implements **multi-level graceful degradation**, where under error conditions or insufficient data, the algorithm progressively falls back to simpler but reliable methods, maintaining basic functionality under any condition.
**What does this guarantee?** That the indicator functions consistently even with incomplete data, new symbols with limited history, or extreme market conditions.
### **State Consistency Principle**
It uses **mathematical invariants** to guarantee that the algorithm's internal state remains consistent between executions, implementing consistency checks that validate data structure integrity in each iteration.
---
## **🔍 Key Theoretical Innovations**
### **A. Contextual vs. Absolute Outlier Detection**
It revolutionizes traditional outlier detection by considering not only the absolute magnitude of deviations, but their relative significance within the local context of the time series.
**Practical impact:** It distinguishes between legitimate market movements and technical anomalies, preserving important events like breakouts while filtering noise.
### **B. Extrapolation with Weighted Historical Memory**
It implements a memory system that weights different historical periods according to their relevance for current prediction, creating projections more adaptable to market regime changes.
**Competitive advantage:** It automatically adapts to fundamental changes in asset dynamics without requiring manual recalibration.
### **C. Automatic Multi-Timeframe Adaptation**
It develops an automatic temporal resolution selection system that optimizes signal extraction according to the intrinsic characteristics of the analysis timeframe.
**Result:** A single indicator that functions optimally from 1-minute to monthly charts without manual adjustments.
### **D. Intelligent Asymptotic Convergence**
It introduces the concept of controlled asymptotic convergence in financial extrapolations, where long-term projections converge toward realistic limits based on historical fundamentals.
**Added value:** Mathematically sound long-term projections that avoid the unrealistic extremes typical of other extrapolation methods.
---
## **📊 Complexity and Scalability Theory**
### **Optimized Linear Complexity Model**
The algorithm maintains **linear computational complexity** O(n) in the number of historical data points, guaranteeing scalability for extensive time series analysis without performance degradation.
### **Temporal Locality Principle**
It implements **temporal locality**, where the most expensive operations are concentrated in the most relevant temporal regions (recent periods and near projections), optimizing computational resource usage.
---
## **🎯 Convergence and Stability**
### **Probabilistic Convergence Theory**
The system guarantees **probabilistic convergence** toward the real underlying trend, where projection accuracy increases with the amount of available historical data, following **law of large numbers** principles.
**Practical implication:** The more history an asset has, the more accurate the algorithm's projections will be.
### **Guaranteed Numerical Stability**
It implements **intrinsic numerical stability** through the use of robust floating-point arithmetic and validations that prevent overflow, underflow, and numerical error propagation.
**Result:** Reliable operation even with extreme-priced assets (from satoshis to thousand-dollar stocks).
---
## **💼 Comprehensive Practical Application**
**The algorithm functions as a "financial GPS"** that:
1. **Identifies where we've been** (significant historical lows)
2. **Determines where we are** (current position relative to the trend)
3. **Projects where we're going** (future trend with specific price levels)
4. **Provides alternative routes** (Fibonacci bands as alternative targets)
This theoretical framework represents an innovative synthesis of time series analysis, approximation theory, and computational optimization, specifically designed for long-term financial trend analysis with robust and mathematically grounded projections.
Adaptive MVRV & RSI Strategy V6 (Dynamic Thresholds)Strategy Explanation
This is an advanced Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for Bitcoin that aims to adapt to long-term market cycles and changing volatility. Instead of relying on fixed buy/sell signals, it uses a dynamic, weighted approach based on a combination of on-chain data and classic momentum.
Core Components:
Dual-Indicator Signal: The strategy combines two powerful indicators for a more robust signal:
MVRV Ratio: An on-chain metric to identify when Bitcoin is fundamentally over or undervalued relative to its historical cost basis.
Weekly RSI: A classic momentum indicator to gauge long-term market strength and identify overbought/oversold conditions.
Dynamic, Self-Adjusting Thresholds: The core innovation of this strategy is that it avoids fixed thresholds (e.g., "sell when RSI is 70"). Instead, the buy and sell zones are dynamically calculated based on a long-term (2-year) moving average and standard deviation of each indicator. This allows the strategy to automatically adapt to Bitcoin's decreasing volatility and changing market structure over time.
Weighted DCA (Scaling In & Out): The strategy doesn't just buy or sell a fixed amount. The size of its trades is scaled based on conviction:
Buying: As the MVRV and RSI fall deeper into their "undervalued" zones, the percentage of available cash used for each purchase increases.
Selling: As the indicators rise further into "overvalued" territory, the percentage of the current position sold also increases.
This creates an adaptive system that systematically accumulates during periods of fear and distributes during periods of euphoria, with the intensity of its actions directly tied to the extremity of market conditions.
ECG chart - mauricioofsousaMGO Primary – Matriz Gráficos ON
The Blockchain of Trading applied to price behavior
The MGO Primary is the foundation of Matriz Gráficos ON — an advanced graphical methodology that transforms market movement into a logical, predictable, and objective sequence, inspired by blockchain architecture and periodic oscillatory phenomena.
This indicator replaces emotional candlestick reading with a mathematical interpretation of price blocks, cycles, and frequency. Its mission is to eliminate noise, anticipate reversals, and clearly show where capital is entering or exiting the market.
What MGO Primary detects:
Oscillatory phenomena that reveal the true behavior of orders in the book:
RPA – Breakout of Bullish Pivot
RPB – Breakout of Bearish Pivot
RBA – Sharp Bullish Breakout
RBB – Sharp Bearish Breakout
Rhythmic patterns that repeat in medium timeframes (especially on 12H and 4H)
Wave and block frequency, highlighting critical entry and exit zones
Validation through Primary and Secondary RSI, measuring the real strength behind movements
Who is this indicator for:
Traders seeking statistical clarity and visual logic
Operators who want to escape the subjectivity of candlesticks
Anyone who values technical precision with operational discipline
Recommended use:
Ideal timeframes: 12H (high precision) and 4H (moderate intensity)
Recommended assets: indices (e.g., NASDAQ), liquid stocks, and futures
Combine with: structured risk management and macro context analysis
Real-world performance:
The MGO12H achieved a 92% accuracy rate in 2025 on the NASDAQ, outperforming the average performance of major global quantitative strategies, with a net score of over 6,200 points for the year.
BUY in HASH RibbonsHash Ribbons Indicator (BUY Signal)
A TradingView Pine Script v6 implementation for identifying Bitcoin miner capitulation (“Springs”) and recovery phases based on hash rate data. It marks potential low-risk buying opportunities by tracking short- and long-term moving averages of the network hash rate.
⸻
Key Features
• Hash Rate SMAs
• Short-term SMA (default: 30 days)
• Long-term SMA (default: 60 days)
• Phase Markers
• Gray circle: Short SMA crosses below long SMA (start of capitulation)
• White circles: Ongoing capitulation, with brighter white when the short SMA turns upward
• Yellow circle: Short SMA crosses back above long SMA (end of capitulation)
• Orange circle: Buy signal once hash rate recovery aligns with bullish price momentum (10-day price SMA crosses above 20-day price SMA)
• Display Modes
• Ribbons: Plots the two SMAs as colored bands—red for capitulation, green for recovery
• Oscillator: Shows the percentage difference between SMAs as a histogram (red for negative, blue for positive)
• Optional Overlays
• Bitcoin halving dates (2012, 2016, 2020, 2024) with dashed lines and labels
• Raw hash rate data in EH/s
• Alerts
• Configurable alerts for capitulation start, recovery, and buy signals
⸻
How It Works
1. Data Source: Fetches daily hash rate values from a selected provider (e.g., IntoTheBlock, Quandl).
2. Capitulation Detection: When the 30-day SMA falls below the 60-day SMA, miners are likely capitulating.
3. Recovery Identification: A rising 30-day SMA during capitulation signals miner recovery.
4. Buy Signal: Confirmed when the hash rate recovery coincides with a bullish shift in price momentum (10-day price SMA > 20-day price SMA).
⸻
Inputs
Hash Rate Short SMA: 30 days
Hash Rate Long SMA: 60 days
Plot Signals: On
Plot Halvings: Off
Plot Raw Hash Rate: Off
⸻
Considerations
• Timeframe: Best applied on daily charts to capture meaningful miner behavior.
• Data Reliability: Ensure the chosen hash rate source provides consistent, gap-free data.
• Risk Management: Use alongside other technical indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD) and fundamental analysis.
• Backtesting: Evaluate performance over different market cycles before live deployment.
Economy RadarEconomy Radar — Key US Macro Indicators Visualized
A handy tool for traders and investors to monitor major US economic data in one chart.
Includes:
Inflation: CPI, PCE, yearly %, expectations
Monetary policy: Fed funds rate, M2 money supply
Labor market: Unemployment, jobless claims, consumer sentiment
Economy & markets: GDP, 10Y yield, US Dollar Index (DXY)
Options:
Toggle indicators on/off
Customizable colors
Tooltips explain each metric (in Russian & English)
Perfect for spotting economic cycles and supporting trading decisions.
Add to your chart and get a clear macro picture instantly!
[Mustang Algo] Channel Strategy# Mustang Algo Channel Strategy - Universal Market Sentiment Oscillator
## 🎯 ORIGINAL CONCEPT
This strategy employs a unique market sentiment oscillator that works on ALL financial assets. It uses Bitcoin supply dynamics combined with stablecoin market capitalization as a macro sentiment indicator to generate universal timing signals across stocks, forex, commodities, indices, and cryptocurrencies.
## 🌐 UNIVERSAL APPLICATION
- **Any Asset Class:** Stocks, Forex, Commodities, Indices, Crypto, Bonds
- **Market-Wide Timing:** BTC/Stablecoin ratio serves as a global risk sentiment gauge
- **Cross-Market Signals:** Trade any instrument using macro liquidity conditions
- **Ecosystem Approach:** One oscillator for all financial markets
## 🧮 METHODOLOGY
**Core Calculation:** BTC Supply / (Combined Stablecoin Market Cap / BTC Price)
- **Data Sources:** DAI + USDT + USDC market capitalizations
- **Signal Generation:** RSI(14) applied to the ratio, double-smoothed with WMA
- **Timing Logic:** Crossover signals filtered by overbought/oversold zones
- **Multi-Timeframe:** Configurable timeframe analysis (default: Daily)
## 📈 TRADING STRATEGY
**LONG Entries:** Bullish crossover when market sentiment is oversold (<48)
**SHORT Entries:** Bearish crossover when market sentiment is overbought (>55)
**Universal Timing:** These macro signals apply to trading any financial instrument
## ⚙️ FLEXIBLE RISK MANAGEMENT
**Three SL/TP Calculation Modes:**
- **Percentage Mode:** Traditional % based (4% SL, 12% TP default)
- **Ticks Mode:** Precise tick-based calculation (50/150 ticks default)
- **Pips Mode:** Forex-style pip calculation (50/150 pips default)
**Realistic Parameters:**
- Commission: 0.1% (adjustable for different asset classes)
- Slippage: 2 ticks
- Position sizing: 10% of equity (conservative)
- No pyramiding (single position management)
## 📊 KEY ADVANTAGES
✅ **Universal Application:** One strategy for all asset classes
✅ **Macro Foundation:** Based on global liquidity and risk sentiment
✅ **False Signal Filtering:** Overbought/oversold zones reduce noise
✅ **Flexible Risk Management:** Multiple SL/TP calculation methods
✅ **No Lookahead Bias:** Clean backtesting with realistic results
✅ **Cross-Market Correlation:** Captures broad market risk cycles
## 🎛️ CONFIGURATION GUIDE
1. **Asset Selection:** Apply to stocks, forex, commodities, indices, crypto
2. **Timeframe Setup:** Daily recommended for swing trading
3. **Sentiment Bounds:** Adjust 48/55 levels based on market volatility
4. **Risk Management:** Choose appropriate SL/TP mode for your asset class
5. **Direction Filter:** Select Long Only, Short Only, or Both
## 📋 BACKTESTING STANDARDS
**Compliant with TradingView Guidelines:**
- ✅ Realistic commission structure (0.1% default)
- ✅ Appropriate slippage modeling (2 ticks)
- ✅ Conservative position sizing (10% equity)
- ✅ Sustainable risk ratios (1:3 SL/TP)
- ✅ No lookahead bias (proper historical simulation)
- ✅ Sufficient sample size potential (100+ trades possible)
## 🔬 ORIGINAL RESEARCH
This strategy introduces a revolutionary approach to financial markets by treating the BTC/Stablecoin ratio as a global risk sentiment gauge. Unlike traditional indicators that analyze individual asset price action, this oscillator captures macro liquidity flows that affect ALL financial markets - from stocks to forex to commodities.
## 🎯 MARKET APPLICATIONS
**Stocks & Indices:** Risk-on/risk-off sentiment timing
**Forex:** Global liquidity flow analysis for major pairs
**Commodities:** Risk appetite for inflation hedges
**Bonds:** Flight-to-safety vs. risk-seeking behavior
**Crypto:** Native application with direct correlation
## ⚠️ RISK DISCLOSURE
- Designed for intermediate to long-term trading across all timeframes
- Market sentiment can remain extreme longer than expected
- Always use appropriate position sizing for your specific asset class
- Adjust commission and slippage settings for different markets
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
## 🚀 INNOVATION SUMMARY
**What makes this strategy unique:**
- First to use BTC/Stablecoin ratio as universal market sentiment indicator
- Applies macro-economic principles to technical analysis across all assets
- Single oscillator provides timing signals for entire financial ecosystem
- Bridges traditional finance with digital asset insights
- Combines fundamental liquidity analysis with technical precision
RSI - PRIMARIO -mauricioofsousa
MGO Primary – Matriz Gráficos ON
The Blockchain of Trading applied to price behavior
The MGO Primary is the foundation of Matriz Gráficos ON — an advanced graphical methodology that transforms market movement into a logical, predictable, and objective sequence, inspired by blockchain architecture and periodic oscillatory phenomena.
This indicator replaces emotional candlestick reading with a mathematical interpretation of price blocks, cycles, and frequency. Its mission is to eliminate noise, anticipate reversals, and clearly show where capital is entering or exiting the market.
What MGO Primary detects:
Oscillatory phenomena that reveal the true behavior of orders in the book:
RPA – Breakout of Bullish Pivot
RPB – Breakout of Bearish Pivot
RBA – Sharp Bullish Breakout
RBB – Sharp Bearish Breakout
Rhythmic patterns that repeat in medium timeframes (especially on 12H and 4H)
Wave and block frequency, highlighting critical entry and exit zones
Validation through Primary and Secondary RSI, measuring the real strength behind movements
Who is this indicator for:
Traders seeking statistical clarity and visual logic
Operators who want to escape the subjectivity of candlesticks
Anyone who values technical precision with operational discipline
Recommended use:
Ideal timeframes: 12H (high precision) and 4H (moderate intensity)
Recommended assets: indices (e.g., NASDAQ), liquid stocks, and futures
Combine with: structured risk management and macro context analysis
Real-world performance:
The MGO12H achieved a 92% accuracy rate in 2025 on the NASDAQ, outperforming the average performance of major global quantitative strategies, with a net score of over 6,200 points for the year.
Sun Moon Conjunctions Trine Oppositions 2025this script is an astrological tool designed to overlay significant Sun-Moon aspect events for 2025 on a Bitcoin chart. It highlights key lunar phases and aspects—Conjunctions (New Moon) in blue, Squares in red, Oppositions (Full Moon) in purple, and Trines in green—using background colors and labeled markers. Users can toggle visibility for each aspect type and adjust label sizes via customizable inputs. The script accurately marks events from January through December 2025, with labels appearing once per event, making it a valuable resource for exploring potential correlations between lunar cycles and Bitcoin price movements.
Planetary Retrograde DashboardThe Retrograde Dashboard offers a quick overview of all planets and their historical and current retrograde statuses across various time frames.
How This Indicator Works
Custom Overlay: The indicator displays its own overlay, plotting the periods of planetary retrograde. This enables users to visually track all planetary retrogrades over time, both historically and in real-time.
When a planet is in retrograde, its symbol will show the ℞ retrograde symbol next to it.
When a planet is in direct motion, only the planetary symbol is visible.
The indicator adapts to different timeframes, allowing you to analyze whether a planet was in retrograde at any specific moment.
What is Retrograde Motion?
In astrology and astro-finance, retrograde motion occurs when a planet seems to move backward in the sky from Earth's perspective. Although this is an optical illusion due to differences in orbital speeds, many traders and analysts believe that planetary retrogrades can influence market behavior. Retrogrades are often linked with reassessment, reversals, and shifts in momentum, making them valuable for both historical and predictive market analysis.
Research & Discovery – Compare planetary retrograde cycles with historical market behavior to identify potential correlations.
Created using Astrolib by @BarefootJoey
[COG] Adaptive Squeeze Intensity 📊 Adaptive Squeeze Intensity (ASI) Indicator
🎯 Overview
The Adaptive Squeeze Intensity (ASI) indicator is an advanced technical analysis tool that combines the power of volatility compression analysis with momentum, volume, and trend confirmation to identify high-probability trading opportunities. It quantifies the degree of price compression using a sophisticated scoring system and provides clear entry signals for both long and short positions.
⭐ Key Features
- 📈 Comprehensive squeeze intensity scoring system (0-100)
- 📏 Multiple Keltner Channel compression zones
- 📊 Volume analysis integration
- 🎯 EMA-based trend confirmation
- 🎨 Proximity-based entry validation
- 📱 Visual status monitoring
- 🎨 Customizable color schemes
- ⚡ Clear entry signals with directional indicators
🔧 Components
1. 📐 Squeeze Intensity Score (0-100)
The indicator calculates a total squeeze intensity score based on four components:
- 📊 Band Convergence (0-40 points): Measures the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels
- 📍 Price Position (0-20 points): Evaluates price location relative to the base channels
- 📈 Volume Intensity (0-20 points): Analyzes volume patterns and thresholds
- ⚡ Momentum (0-20 points): Assesses price momentum and direction
2. 🎨 Compression Zones
Visual representation of squeeze intensity levels:
- 🔴 Extreme Squeeze (80-100): Red zone
- 🟠 Strong Squeeze (60-80): Orange zone
- 🟡 Moderate Squeeze (40-60): Yellow zone
- 🟢 Light Squeeze (20-40): Green zone
- ⚪ No Squeeze (0-20): Base zone
3. 🎯 Entry Signals
The indicator generates entry signals based on:
- ✨ Squeeze release confirmation
- ➡️ Momentum direction
- 📊 Candlestick pattern confirmation
- 📈 Optional EMA trend alignment
- 🎯 Customizable EMA proximity validation
⚙️ Settings
🔧 Main Settings
- Base Length: Determines the calculation period for main indicators
- BB Multiplier: Sets the Bollinger Bands deviation multiplier
- Keltner Channel Multipliers: Three separate multipliers for different compression zones
📈 Trend Confirmation
- Four customizable EMA periods (default: 21, 34, 55, 89)
- Optional trend requirement for entry signals
- Adjustable EMA proximity threshold
📊 Volume Analysis
- Customizable volume MA length
- Adjustable volume threshold for signal confirmation
- Option to enable/disable volume analysis
🎨 Visualization
- Customizable bullish/bearish colors
- Optional intensity zones display
- Status monitor with real-time score and state information
- Clear entry arrows and background highlights
💻 Technical Code Breakdown
1. Core Calculations
// Base calculations for EMAs
ema_1 = ta.ema(close, ema_length_1)
ema_2 = ta.ema(close, ema_length_2)
ema_3 = ta.ema(close, ema_length_3)
ema_4 = ta.ema(close, ema_length_4)
// Proximity calculation for entry validation
ema_prox_raw = math.abs(close - ema_1) / ema_1 * 100
is_close_to_ema_long = close > ema_1 and ema_prox_raw <= prox_percent
```
### 2. Squeeze Detection System
```pine
// Bollinger Bands setup
BB_basis = ta.sma(close, length)
BB_dev = ta.stdev(close, length)
BB_upper = BB_basis + BB_mult * BB_dev
BB_lower = BB_basis - BB_mult * BB_dev
// Keltner Channels setup
KC_basis = ta.sma(close, length)
KC_range = ta.sma(ta.tr, length)
KC_upper_high = KC_basis + KC_range * KC_mult_high
KC_lower_high = KC_basis - KC_range * KC_mult_high
```
### 3. Scoring System Implementation
```pine
// Band Convergence Score
band_ratio = BB_width / KC_width
convergence_score = math.max(0, 40 * (1 - band_ratio))
// Price Position Score
price_range = math.abs(close - KC_basis) / (KC_upper_low - KC_lower_low)
position_score = 20 * (1 - price_range)
// Final Score Calculation
squeeze_score = convergence_score + position_score + vol_score + mom_score
```
### 4. Signal Generation
```pine
// Entry Signal Logic
long_signal = squeeze_release and
is_momentum_positive and
(not use_ema_trend or (bullish_trend and is_close_to_ema_long)) and
is_bullish_candle
short_signal = squeeze_release and
is_momentum_negative and
(not use_ema_trend or (bearish_trend and is_close_to_ema_short)) and
is_bearish_candle
```
📈 Trading Signals
🚀 Long Entry Conditions
- Squeeze release detected
- Positive momentum
- Bullish candlestick
- Price above relevant EMAs (if enabled)
- Within EMA proximity threshold (if enabled)
- Sufficient volume confirmation (if enabled)
🔻 Short Entry Conditions
- Squeeze release detected
- Negative momentum
- Bearish candlestick
- Price below relevant EMAs (if enabled)
- Within EMA proximity threshold (if enabled)
- Sufficient volume confirmation (if enabled)
⚠️ Alert Conditions
- 🔔 Extreme squeeze level reached (score crosses above 80)
- 🚀 Long squeeze release signal
- 🔻 Short squeeze release signal
💡 Tips for Usage
1. 📱 Use the status monitor to track real-time squeeze intensity and state
2. 🎨 Pay attention to the color gradient for trend direction and strength
3. ⏰ Consider using multiple timeframes for confirmation
4. ⚙️ Adjust EMA and proximity settings based on your trading style
5. 📊 Use volume analysis for additional confirmation in liquid markets
📝 Notes
- 🔧 The indicator combines multiple technical analysis concepts for robust signal generation
- 📈 Suitable for all tradable markets and timeframes
- ⭐ Best results typically achieved in trending markets with clear volatility cycles
- 🎯 Consider using in conjunction with other technical analysis tools for confirmation
⚠️ Disclaimer
This technical indicator is designed to assist in analysis but should not be considered as financial advice. Always perform your own analysis and risk management when trading.
