Crypto Wallets Profitability & Performance [LuxAlgo]The Crypto Wallets Profitability & Performance indicator provides a comprehensive view of the financial status of cryptocurrency wallets by leveraging on-chain data from IntoTheBlock. It measures the percentage of wallets profiting, losing, or breaking even based on current market prices.
Additionally, it offers performance metrics across different timeframes, enabling traders to better assess market conditions.
This information can be crucial for understanding market sentiment and making informed trading decisions.
🔶 USAGE
🔹 Wallets Profitability
This indicator is designed to help traders and analysts evaluate the profitability of cryptocurrency wallets in real-time. It aggregates data gathered from the blockchain on the number of wallets that are in profit, loss, or breaking even and presents it visually on the chart.
Breaking even line demonstrates how realized gains and losses have changed, while the profit and the loss monitor unrealized gains and losses.
The signal line helps traders by providing a smoothed average and highlighting areas relative to profiting and losing levels. This makes it easier to identify and confirm trading momentum, assess strength, and filter out market noise.
🔹 Profitability Meter
The Profitability Meter is an alternative display that visually represents the percentage of wallets that are profiting, losing, or breaking even.
🔹 Performance
The script provides a view of the financial health of cryptocurrency wallets, showing the percentage of wallets in profit, loss, or breaking even. By combining these metrics with performance data across various timeframes, traders can gain valuable insights into overall wallet performance, assess trend strength, and identify potential market reversals.
🔹 Dashboard
The dashboard presents a consolidated view of key statistics. It allows traders to quickly assess the overall financial health of wallets, monitor trend strength, and gauge market conditions.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 The Chart Occupation Option
The chart occupation option adjusts the occupation percentage of the chart to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 The Height in Performance Options
Crypto markets often experience significant volatility, leading to rapid and substantial gains or losses. Hence, plotting performance graphs on top of the chart alongside other indicators can result in a cluttered display. The height option allows you to adjust the plotting for balanced visibility, ensuring a clearer and more organized chart.
🔶 SETTINGS
The script offers a range of customizable settings to tailor the analysis to your trading needs.
Chart Occupation %: Adjust the occupation percentage of the chart to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 Profiting Wallets
Profiting Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets in profit.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the profiting percentage line.
Signal Line: Choose a signal line type (SMA, EMA, RMA, or None) to overlay on the profiting percentage.
🔹 Losing Wallets
Losing Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets in loss.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the losing percentage line.
Signal Line: Choose a signal line type (SMA, EMA, RMA, or None) to overlay on the losing percentage.
🔹 Breaking Even Wallets
Breaking-Even Percentage: Toggle to display the percentage of wallets breaking even.
Smoothing: Adjust the smoothing period for the breaking-even percentage line.
🔹 Profitability Meter
Profitability Meter: Enable or disable the meter display, set its width, and adjust the offset.
🔹 Performance
Performance Metrics: Choose the timeframe for performance metrics (Day to Date, Week to Date, etc.).
Height: Adjust the height of the chart visuals to balance the visibility of the indicator.
🔹 Dashboard
Block Profitability Stats: Toggle the display of profitability stats.
Performance Stats: Toggle the display of performance stats.
Dashboard Size and Position: Customize the size and position of the performance dashboard on the chart.
🔶 RELATED SCRIPTS
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Exposure Oscillator (Cumulative 0 to ±100%)
Exposure Oscillator (Cumulative 0 to ±100%)
This Pine Script indicator plots an "Exposure Oscillator" on the chart, which tracks the cumulative market exposure from a range of technical buy and sell signals. The exposure is measured on a scale from -100% (maximum short exposure) to +100% (maximum long exposure), helping traders assess the strength of their position in the market. It provides an intuitive visual cue to aid decision-making for trend-following strategies.
Buy Signals (Increase Exposure Score by +10%)
Buy Signal 1 (Cross Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), where the current bar closes above the EMA21, and the previous bar closed below the EMA21. This indicates a potential upward price movement as the market shifts into a bullish trend.
buySignal1 = ta.crossover(close, ema21)
Buy Signal 2 (Trending Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price closes above the 21-period EMA for each of the last 5 bars, indicating a sustained bullish trend. It confirms that the price is consistently above the EMA21 for a significant period.
buySignal2 = ta.barssince(close <= ema21) > 5
Buy Signal 3 (Living Above 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price has closed above the 21-period EMA for each of the last 15 bars, demonstrating a strong, prolonged uptrend.
buySignal3 = ta.barssince(close <= ema21) > 15
Buy Signal 4 (Cross Above 50 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes above the 50 SMA, and the previous bar closed below it. It indicates a shift toward bullish momentum.
buySignal4 = ta.crossover(close, sma50)
Buy Signal 5 (Cross Above 200 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses above the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes above the 200 SMA, and the previous bar closed below it. This suggests a long-term bullish trend.
buySignal5 = ta.crossover(close, sma200)
Buy Signal 6 (Low Above 50 SMA):
This signal is true when the lowest price of the current bar is above the 50-period SMA, indicating strong bullish pressure as the price maintains itself above the moving average.
buySignal6 = low > sma50
Buy Signal 7 (Accumulation Day):
An accumulation day occurs when the closing price is in the upper half of the daily range (greater than 50%) and the volume is larger than the previous bar's volume, suggesting buying pressure and accumulation.
buySignal7 = (close - low) / (high - low) > 0.5 and volume > volume
Buy Signal 8 (Higher High):
This signal occurs when the current bar’s high exceeds the highest high of the previous 14 bars, indicating a breakout or strong upward momentum.
buySignal8 = high > ta.highest(high, 14)
Buy Signal 9 (Key Reversal Bar):
This signal is generated when the stock opens below the low of the previous bar but rallies to close above the previous bar’s high, signaling a potential reversal from bearish to bullish.
buySignal9 = open < low and close > high
Buy Signal 10 (Distribution Day Fall Off):
This signal is triggered when a distribution day (a day with high volume and a close near the low of the range) "falls off" the rolling 25-bar period, indicating the end of a bearish trend or selling pressure.
buySignal10 = ta.barssince(close < sma50 and close < sma50) > 25
Sell Signals (Decrease Exposure Score by -10%)
Sell Signal 1 (Cross Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), where the current bar closes below the EMA21, and the previous bar closed above it. It suggests that the market may be shifting from a bullish trend to a bearish trend.
sellSignal1 = ta.crossunder(close, ema21)
Sell Signal 2 (Trending Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price closes below the 21-period EMA for each of the last 5 bars, indicating a sustained bearish trend.
sellSignal2 = ta.barssince(close >= ema21) > 5
Sell Signal 3 (Living Below 21 EMA):
This signal is triggered when the price has closed below the 21-period EMA for each of the last 15 bars, suggesting a strong downtrend.
sellSignal3 = ta.barssince(close >= ema21) > 15
Sell Signal 4 (Cross Below 50 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes below the 50 SMA, and the previous bar closed above it. It indicates the start of a bearish trend.
sellSignal4 = ta.crossunder(close, sma50)
Sell Signal 5 (Cross Below 200 SMA):
This signal is triggered when the price crosses below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA), where the current bar closes below the 200 SMA, and the previous bar closed above it. It indicates a long-term bearish trend.
sellSignal5 = ta.crossunder(close, sma200)
Sell Signal 6 (High Below 50 SMA):
This signal is true when the highest price of the current bar is below the 50-period SMA, indicating weak bullishness or a potential bearish reversal.
sellSignal6 = high < sma50
Sell Signal 7 (Distribution Day):
A distribution day is identified when the closing range of a bar is less than 50% and the volume is larger than the previous bar's volume, suggesting that selling pressure is increasing.
sellSignal7 = (close - low) / (high - low) < 0.5 and volume > volume
Sell Signal 8 (Lower Low):
This signal occurs when the current bar's low is less than the lowest low of the previous 14 bars, indicating a breakdown or strong downward momentum.
sellSignal8 = low < ta.lowest(low, 14)
Sell Signal 9 (Downside Reversal Bar):
A downside reversal bar occurs when the stock opens above the previous bar's high but falls to close below the previous bar’s low, signaling a reversal from bullish to bearish.
sellSignal9 = open > high and close < low
Sell Signal 10 (Distribution Cluster):
This signal is triggered when a distribution day occurs three times in the rolling 7-bar period, indicating significant selling pressure.
sellSignal10 = ta.valuewhen((close < low) and volume > volume , 1, 7) >= 3
Theme Mode:
Users can select the theme mode (Auto, Dark, or Light) to match the chart's background or to manually choose a light or dark theme for the oscillator's appearance.
Exposure Score Calculation: The script calculates a cumulative exposure score based on a series of buy and sell signals.
Buy signals increase the exposure score, while sell signals decrease it. Each signal impacts the score by ±10%.
Signal Conditions: The buy and sell signals are derived from multiple conditions, including crossovers with moving averages (EMA21, SMA50, SMA200), trend behavior, and price/volume analysis.
Oscillator Visualization: The exposure score is visualized as a line on the chart, changing color based on whether the exposure is positive (long position) or negative (short position). It is limited to the range of -100% to +100%.
Position Type: The indicator also indicates the position type based on the exposure score, labeling it as "Long," "Short," or "Neutral."
Horizontal Lines: Reference lines at 0%, 100%, and -100% visually mark neutral, increasing long, and increasing short exposure levels.
Exposure Table: A table displays the current exposure level (in percentage) and position type ("Long," "Short," or "Neutral"), updated dynamically based on the oscillator’s value.
Inputs:
Theme Mode: Choose "Auto" to use the default chart theme, or manually select "Dark" or "Light."
Usage:
This oscillator is designed to help traders track market sentiment, gauge exposure levels, and manage risk. It can be used for long-term trend-following strategies or short-term trades based on moving average crossovers and volume analysis.
The oscillator operates in conjunction with the chart’s price action and provides a visual representation of the market’s current trend strength and exposure.
Important Considerations:
Risk Management: While the exposure score provides valuable insight, it should be combined with other risk management tools and analysis for optimal trading decisions.
Signal Sensitivity: The accuracy and effectiveness of the signals depend on market conditions and may require adjustments based on the user’s trading strategy or timeframe.
Disclaimer:
This script is for educational purposes only. Trading involves significant risk, and users should carefully evaluate all market conditions and apply appropriate risk management strategies before using this tool in live trading environments.
Spreads between contractsA simple indicator that automatically calculates and charts the difference between the nearby futures contract (1!) and the next contract (2!), enabling contango and backwardation analysis. If needed, any two contracts can also be manually entered.
Enhanced Chaikin Money FlowEnhanced Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) with Normalized Distribution
The Enhanced Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is a sophisticated version of Marc Chaikin's classic volume-weighted indicator that measures buying and selling pressure. This version incorporates statistical normalization and advanced smoothing techniques to provide more reliable signals.
Key Features
Normalized distribution (z-score) for better historical comparison
Multiple smoothing options (SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA) for noise reduction
Standard deviation bands (1σ and 2σ) to identify extreme readings
Adjustable parameters for customization
Alert system for extreme readings
Interpretation
Values represent standard deviations from the mean
Above 0: Indicates net buying pressure
Below 0: Indicates net selling pressure
Outside ±2σ bands: Suggests extreme market conditions
Crossovers of standard deviation bands may signal potential reversals
Technical Details
The indicator combines volume with price location within a bar to determine buying/selling pressure, then normalizes these values using a rolling z-score calculation. This normalization allows for better historical comparison and more reliable overbought/oversold signals.
Best used in conjunction with price action and other indicators for confirmation of potential market turns or trend strength.
Stablecoin Dominance Oscillator
The SDO is a normalized oscillator that tracks the relationship between stablecoin market capitalization (USDT + USDC + DAI) and total crypto market capitalization. It helps identify periods where stablecoins represent an unusually high or low portion of the total crypto market value.
Key components:
Main Signal (Blue Line):
Shows the normalized deviation of stablecoin dominance from its trend. Higher values indicate higher stablecoin dominance relative to history (which often corresponds with market bottoms/fear), while lower values indicate lower stablecoin dominance (often seen during strong bull markets/greed).
Dynamic Bands (Gray):
These adapt to market volatility, expanding during volatile periods and contracting during stable periods
Generally suggest temporary boundaries for the oscillator
Volatility Reference (Purple Line):
Shows the ratio between short-term and long-term volatility
Higher values indicate more volatile market conditions
Helps contextualize the reliability of the current signal
The indicator uses a 500-period lookback for baseline calculations and a 15-period Hull Moving Average for smoothing, making it responsive while filtering out noise. The final signal is normalized and volatility-adjusted to maintain consistent readings across different market regimes.
Power Core MAThe Power Core MA indicator is a powerful tool designed to identify the most significant moving average (MA) in a given price chart. This indicator analyzes a wide range of moving averages, from 50 to 400 periods, to determine which one has the strongest influence on the current price action.
The blue line plotted on the chart represents the "Current Core MA," which is the moving average that is most closely aligned with other nearby moving averages. This line indicates the current trend and potential support or resistance levels.
The table displayed on the chart provides two important pieces of information. The "Current Core MA" value shows the length of the moving average that is currently most influential. The "Historical Core MA" value represents the average length of the most influential moving averages over time.
This indicator is particularly useful for traders and analysts who want to identify the most relevant moving average for their analysis. By focusing on the moving average that has the strongest historical significance, users can make more informed decisions about trend direction, support and resistance levels, and potential entry or exit points.
The Power Core MA is an excellent tool for those interested in finding the strongest moving average in the price history. It simplifies the process of analyzing multiple moving averages by automatically identifying the most influential one, saving time and providing valuable insights into market dynamics.
By combining current and historical data, this indicator offers a comprehensive view of the market's behavior, helping traders to adapt their strategies to the most relevant timeframes and trend strengths.
Low Price VolatilityI highlighted periods of low price volatility in the Nikkei 225 futures trading.
It is Japan Standard Time (JST)
This script is designed to color-code periods in the Nikkei 225 futures market according to times when prices tend to be more volatile and times when they are less volatile. The testing period is from March 11, 2024, to November 1, 2024. It identifies periods and counts where price movement exceeded half of the ATR, and colors are applied based on this data. There are no calculations involved; it simply uses the results of the analysis to apply color.
US Party Rule Indicator**Here's a description you can use for the indicator:**
**US Party Rule Indicator**
This indicator visually represents the political party in power in the United States over a specified period. It overlays a colored 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the chart. The color of the EMA changes to reflect the ruling party, providing a visual representation of political influence on market trends.
**Key Features:**
- **Dynamic Color-Coded EMA:** The 200-EMA changes color to indicate the party in power (Red for Republican, Blue for Democrat).
- **Clear Visual Representation:** The colored EMA provides an easy-to-understand visual cue for identifying periods of different political parties.
- **Historical Context:** By analyzing the historical data, you can gain insights into potential correlations between party rule and market trends.
**How to Use:**
1. **Add the Indicator:** Add the "US Party Rule Indicator" to your chart.
2. **Interpret the Color:** The color of the 200-EMA indicates the ruling party at that time.
3. **Analyze Market Trends:** Use the indicator to identify potential correlations between political events and market movements.
**Note:** This indicator is for informational purposes only and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions. Always conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor.
High/Low Location Frequency [LuxAlgo]The High/Low Location Frequency tool provides users with probabilities of tops and bottoms at user-defined periods, along with advanced filters that offer deep and objective market information about the likelihood of a top or bottom in the market.
🔶 USAGE
There are four different time periods that traders can select for analysis of probabilities:
HOUR OF DAY: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each hour of the day
DAY OF WEEK: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each day of the week
DAY OF MONTH: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each day of the month
MONTH OF YEAR: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each month
The data is displayed as a dashboard, which users can position according to their preferences. The dashboard includes useful information in the header, such as the number of periods and the date from which the data is gathered. Additionally, users can enable active filters to customize their view. The probabilities are displayed in one, two, or three columns, depending on the number of elements.
🔹 Advanced Filters
Advanced Filters allow traders to exclude specific data from the results. They can choose to use none or all filters simultaneously, inputting a list of numbers separated by spaces or commas. However, it is not possible to use both separators on the same filter.
The tool is equipped with five advanced filters:
HOURS OF DAY: The permitted range is from 0 to 23.
DAYS OF WEEK: The permitted range is from 1 to 7.
DAYS OF MONTH: The permitted range is from 1 to 31.
MONTHS: The permitted range is from 1 to 12.
YEARS: The permitted range is from 1000 to 2999.
It should be noted that the DAYS OF WEEK advanced filter has been designed for use with tickers that trade every day, such as those trading in the crypto market. In such cases, the numbers displayed will range from 1 (Sunday) to 7 (Saturday). Conversely, for tickers that do not trade over the weekend, the numbers will range from 1 (Monday) to 5 (Friday).
To illustrate the application of this filter, we will exclude results for Mondays and Tuesdays, the first five days of each month, January and February, and the years 2020, 2021, and 2022. Let us review the results:
DAYS OF WEEK: `2,3` or `2 3` (for crypto) or `1,2` or `1 2` (for the rest)
DAYS OF MONTH: `1,2,3,4,5` or `1 2 3 4 5`
MONTHS: `1,2` or `1 2`
YEARS: `2020,2021,2022` or `2020 2021 2022`
🔹 High Probability Lines
The tool enables traders to identify the next period with the highest probability of a top (red) and/or bottom (green) on the chart, marked with two horizontal lines indicating the location of these periods.
🔹 Top/Bottom Labels and Periods Highlight
The tool is capable of indicating on the chart the upper and lower limits of each selected period, as well as the commencement of each new period, thus providing traders with a convenient reference point.
🔶 SETTINGS
Period: Select how many bars (hours, days, or months) will be used to gather data from, max value as default.
Execution Window: Select how many bars (hours, days, or months) will be used to gather data from
🔹 Advanced Filters
Hours of day: Filter which hours of the day are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of hours from 0 to 23 separated by commas or spaces, users can not mix commas or spaces as a separator, must choose one
Days of week: Filter which days of the week are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of days from 1 to 5 for tickers not trading weekends, or from 1 to 7 for tickers trading all week, users can choose between commas or spaces as a separator, but can not mix them on the same filter.
Days of month: Filter which days of the month are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of days from 1 to 31, users can choose between commas or spaces as separator, but can not mix them on the same filter.
Months: Filter months to exclude from data. Accepts months from 1 to 12. Choose one separator: comma or space.
Years: Filter years to exclude from data. Accepts years from 1000 to 2999. Choose one separator: comma or space.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard Location: Select both the vertical and horizontal parameters for the desired location of the dashboard.
Dashboard Size: Select size for dashboard.
🔹 Style
High Probability Top Line: Enable/disable `High Probability Top` vertical line and choose color
High Probability Bottom Line: Enable/disable `High Probability Bottom` vertical line and choose color
Top Label: Enable/disable period top labels, choose color and size.
Bottom Label: Enable/disable period bottom labels, choose color and size.
Highlight Period Changes: Enable/disable vertical highlight at start of period
Multi-Timeframe Period Separators█ OVERVIEW
This indicator plots period separators for up to four higher timeframes. The separators are fully customizable and designed to work on any symbols.
█ FEATURES
Reference
You can choose to plot the separators starting from midnight 00:00 or the opening of the exchange trading session.
Timezone
You can specify to localize midnight 00:00 to the region of your liking. The timezone format conveniently requires no manual adjustment during clock changes.
█ NOTES
Scans the bar opening and closing times
The script checks the bar ` time ` and ` time_close ` to pinpoint the separators that can occur intrabar.
Tracks from the last separator
The script tracks the time elapsed since the last separator, which is useful when there is no trading activity or the market is closed. As it can result in missing bars, it plots the separator on the first available bar.
Others
The script automatically hides the separators when navigating to an equal or higher chart timeframe.
2024 - Median High-Low % Change - Monthly, Weekly, DailyDescription:
This indicator provides a statistical overview of Bitcoin's volatility by displaying the median high-to-low percentage changes for monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. It allows traders to visualize typical price fluctuations within each period, supporting range and volatility-based trading strategies.
How It Works:
Calculation of High-Low % Change: For each selected timeframe (monthly, weekly, and daily), the script calculates the percentage change from the high to the low price within the period.
Median Calculation: The median of these high-to-low changes is determined for each timeframe, offering a robust central measure that minimizes the impact of extreme price swings.
Table Display: At the end of the chart, the script displays a table in the top-right corner with the median values for each selected timeframe. This table is updated dynamically to show the latest data.
Usage Notes:
This script includes input options to toggle the visibility of each timeframe (monthly, weekly, and daily) in the table.
Designed to be used with Bitcoin on daily and higher timeframes for accurate statistical insights.
Ideal for traders looking to understand Bitcoin's typical volatility and adjust their strategies accordingly.
This indicator does not provide specific buy or sell signals but serves as an analytical tool for understanding volatility patterns.
Trend Continuation RatioThis TradingView indicator calculates the likelihood of consecutive bullish or bearish days over a specified period, giving insights into day-to-day continuation patterns within the market.
How It Works
Period Length Input:
The user sets the period length (e.g., 20 days) to analyze.
After each period, the counts reset, allowing fresh data for each new interval.
Bullish and Bearish Day Definitions:
A day is considered bullish if the closing price is higher than the opening price.
A day is considered bearish if the closing price is lower than the opening price.
Count Tracking:
Within each specified period, the indicator tracks:
Total Bullish Days: The number of days where the close is greater than the open.
Total Bearish Days: The number of days where the close is less than the open.
Bullish to Bullish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bullish day is followed by another bullish day.
Bearish to Bearish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bearish day is followed by another bearish day.
Calculating Continuation Ratios:
The Bullish Continuation Ratio is calculated as the percentage of bullish days that were followed by another bullish day:
Bullish Continuation Ratio = (Bullish to Bullish Continuations /Total Bullish Days)×100
Bullish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bullish Days/Bullish to Bullish Continuations )×100
The Bearish Continuation Ratio is the percentage of bearish days followed by another bearish day:
Bearish Continuation Ratio = (Bearish to Bearish Continuations/Total Bearish Days)×100
Bearish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bearish Days/Bearish to Bearish Continuations )×100
Display on Chart:
The indicator displays a table in the top-right corner of the chart with:
Bullish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bullish days that led to another bullish day within the period.
Bearish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bearish days that led to another bearish day within the period.
Usage Insights
High Ratios: If the bullish or bearish continuation ratio is high, it suggests a trend where bullish/bearish days often lead to similar days, indicating possible momentum.
Low Ratios: Low continuation ratios indicate frequent reversals, which could suggest a range-bound or volatile market.
This indicator is helpful for assessing short-term trend continuation tendencies, allowing traders to gauge whether they are more likely to see follow-through on bullish or bearish days within a chosen timeframe.
Ido strategy RSI Oversold with MACD Buy Signal Indicator
This indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to help identify potential buy signals based on oversold conditions and trend reversals. This script is designed for traders looking to identify entry points when an asset is likely undervalued (oversold) and showing bullish momentum.
How It Works
RSI Oversold Detection: The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. This indicator flags when the RSI falls below 30, signaling that the asset may be oversold. The user can customize the RSI lookback period and the timeframe within which oversold conditions are considered relevant.
MACD Crossover: The MACD line crossing above the Signal line often indicates a shift to bullish momentum. In this script, a buy signal is generated when a MACD bullish crossover occurs after an RSI oversold condition has been met within a user-defined lookback window.
Buy Signal: A green triangle appears below the price chart each time both conditions are met—when the RSI has recently been in oversold territory and the MACD line crosses above the Signal line. This signal suggests that the asset may be positioned for a potential upward trend, providing a visual cue for entry points.
Customizable Settings
RSI Settings: Adjust the RSI source and period length.
MACD Settings: Customize the fast, slow, and signal lengths of the MACD to suit different market conditions.
Lookback Period: Define how many bars back to check for an RSI oversold condition before confirming a MACD crossover.
Visual Elements
Oversold Background Color: The background on the price chart is shaded red whenever the RSI is below 30.
Buy Signal: A green triangle is displayed on the chart to indicate a potential entry point when both conditions are met.
Alerts
This indicator includes optional alerts, allowing traders to receive notifications whenever the conditions for a buy signal are met, making it easier to monitor multiple assets and stay informed of trading opportunities.
This indicator is ideal for traders using a combination of momentum and trend reversal strategies, especially in volatile markets where oversold conditions often precede a trend change.
Williams %R - Multi TimeframeThis indicator implements the William %R multi-timeframe. On the 1H chart, the curves for 1H (with signal), 4H, and 1D are displayed. On the 4H chart, the curves for 4H (with signal) and 1D are shown. On all other timeframes, only the %R and signal are displayed. The indicator is useful to use on 1H and 4H charts to find confluence among the different curves and identify better entries based on their alignment across all timeframes. Signals above 80 often indicate a potential bearish reversal in price, while signals below 20 often suggest a bullish price reversal.
Gradient color Candlesthis is a simple candle colouring script that sets the colour of the candles to a gradient and the length of the gradient can be set by a user defined number of bars
Forex Relative Strength MatrixTraders often feel uncertain about which Forex pair to open a position with. This indicator is designed to help in that regard.
This indicator was created as described in the book Swing Trading with Heiken Ashi and Stochastics. In the original, the author suggests using it for swing trading. The author recommends applying it to a monthly chart with an 8-period moving average to analyze the context.
The logic of the indicator is to measure the relative strength of each currency by checking if the price of each Forex pair is above or below a chosen moving average. If the price is above the moving average, the base currency is awarded 1 point, indicating strength. If below, it scores 0, indicating weakness. By accumulating points across multiple pairs, the indicator ranks currencies from strongest to weakest, helping traders identify potential pairs for trading.
Trend Identification:
After identifying relative strength, the trader should observe the general trend using a 100-period SMA on 4-hour charts. If the price is above the SMA, the trend is bullish; if below, it is bearish.
Buy Logic:
A buy is triggered when the base currency is strong (price is above the moving average) and the quote currency is weak (price is below the moving average). After identifying the trend direction, the entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from red to green in an uptrend) and a stochastic crossover in the trend’s direction.
Sell Logic:
A sell is triggered when the base currency is weak (price is below the moving average) and the quote currency is strong (price is above the moving average). The sell entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from green to red in a downtrend) and a stochastic crossover aligned with the trend.
Entry Chart:
The entry chart used is the 4-hour chart. The trader should look for entry signals following a pullback in the trend direction, using Heiken Ashi candles. Entry is made when the Heiken Ashi candles change color (from red to green in an uptrend) and there is a smooth crossover of the stochastic indicator in the trend’s direction.
It would also be possible to adapt the indicator for day trading strategies with targets of 1 to 2 days. Here is a recommended setup:
Relative Strength Identification (1-Hour Chart):
Instead of monthly charts, use a 1-hour chart to identify currency strength with a 20-period moving average.
The 20-period moving average on the 1-hour chart captures a balanced view of short- to medium-term direction, covering nearly a day’s worth of trading but with enough sensitivity for day trading.
General Trend (5-Minute Chart with 100 SMA):
On the 5-minute chart, observe the 100-period SMA to identify the general trend direction throughout the day.
Price above the 100 SMA indicates an uptrend, and below indicates a downtrend, confirming the movement in shorter timeframes.
Entry Chart and Signals (5-Minute Chart):
Use the 15-minute chart to look for entry opportunities, focusing on pullbacks in the main trend direction.
Entry Signals: Enter the position when Heiken Ashi candles change color in the trend direction (from red to green in an uptrend) and the stochastic indicator makes a smooth crossover in the trend’s direction.
Dual price forecast with Projection Zone [FXSMARTLAB]The Dual Price Forecast with Projection Zone indicator is built to simulate potential future price paths based on historical price movements over two defined lookback periods. By running multiple trials (or simulations) on these historical price movements, the indicator achieves a more robust forecast, incorporating the inherent variability of price behavior.
Key Components and Calculation Details
1. Lookback Periods and Historical Price Movements
Lookback Period 1 and Lookback Period 2 specify the range of past data used to generate each projection. For each period, the indicator calculates the price variations (differences between the closing and opening prices) and stores these in arrays.
These historical price variations capture the volatility and price patterns within each period, serving as templates for future price behavior.
2. Trials: Purpose and Function
The trials are a critical element in the projection calculation. Each trial represents a single simulation of possible future price movements, derived from a random reordering of the historical price variations in each lookback period.
By running multiple trials , the indicator explores various sequences of historical movements, simulating different possible future paths. Each trial adds to the projection’s robustness by capturing a unique potential price path based on past behavior.
Running these multiple trials allows the indicator to account for randomness in price behavior, making the projections more comprehensive by covering a range of scenarios rather than relying on a single deterministic forecast.
3. Reverse Option
The reverse option allows the indicator to invert the direction of price movements within each lookback period. When enabled, historical uptrends are treated as downtrends, and vice versa.
This feature is particularly valuable in scenarios where traders expect a potential reversal in market direction. By enabling the reverse option, the indicator can simulate what might happen if past trends inverted, providing an alternative forecast path that considers possible market reversals.
This allows traders to assess both continuation and reversal scenarios, giving them a more balanced view of potential future price paths and helping them prepare for either market direction.
4. Generating the Average Projection Path
Once the trials are complete, the indicator calculates an average projected price path for each lookback period by averaging the results of all trials. This average represents the most likely price trend based on historical data and provides a smoothed projection that mitigates extreme outliers.
By averaging across all trial paths, the indicator generates a more reliable and balanced forecast line, smoothing out the fluctuations that might appear if only one trial or a small number of trials were used.
5. Projection Zone Visualization
The indicator plots the two average projection paths (one for each lookback period) as Projection 1 and Projection 2, each in a user-defined color.
The Projection Zone is the area between these two lines, filled with a semi-transparent color. This zone visually represents the potential range of future price movement, highlighting where prices are likely to oscillate if historical trends persist.
The Projection Zone effectively functions as a potential support and resistance boundary, providing traders with a visual reference for possible price fluctuations within a specific range.
6. Display of Lookback Zones
To give context to the projections, the indicator can also display colored lookback zones on the chart. These zones correspond to Lookback Period 1 and Lookback Period 2 and are color-coded to match their respective projection lines.
These zones allow traders to see the sections of historical data used in the calculation, helping them understand which past price behaviors influenced the current projections.
Benefits of the Indicator
The "Dual Price Forecast with Projection Zone" indicator provides a multi-scenario forecast based on past price dynamics. Its use of trials ensures that projections are not based on a single deterministic path but on a range of possible scenarios that better reflect the inherent randomness in financial markets.
By generating a probabilistic forecast within a defined zone, the indicator helps traders to:
Anticipate potential price ranges and areas of support/resistance based on historical trends.
Understand the influence of different timeframes (short-term and long-term lookbacks) on future price behavior.
Make informed decisions by visualizing the likely variability of future prices within a controlled projection zone.
Prepare for both continuation and reversal scenarios, thanks to the reverse option. This feature is especially useful in markets where trends may change direction, as it allows traders to explore what might happen
S&P 100 Option Expiration Week StrategyThe Option Expiration Week Strategy aims to capitalize on increased volatility and trading volume that often occur during the week leading up to the expiration of options on stocks in the S&P 100 index. This period, known as the option expiration week, culminates on the third Friday of each month when stock options typically expire in the U.S. During this week, investors in this strategy take a long position in S&P 100 stocks or an equivalent ETF from the Monday preceding the third Friday, holding until Friday. The strategy capitalizes on potential upward price pressures caused by increased option-related trading activity, rebalancing, and hedging practices.
The phenomenon leveraged by this strategy is well-documented in finance literature. Studies demonstrate that options expiration dates have a significant impact on stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. This effect is driven by various market dynamics, including portfolio rebalancing, delta hedging by option market makers, and the unwinding of positions by institutional investors (Stoll & Whaley, 1987; Ni, Pearson, & Poteshman, 2005). These market activities intensify near option expiration, causing price adjustments that may create short-term profitable opportunities for those aware of these patterns (Roll, Schwartz, & Subrahmanyam, 2009).
The paper by Johnson and So (2013), Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks, provides empirical evidence supporting this strategy. The study analyzes the impact of option expiration on S&P 100 stocks, showing that these stocks tend to exhibit abnormal returns and increased volume during the expiration week. The authors attribute these patterns to intensified option trading activity, where demand for hedging and arbitrage around options expiration causes temporary price adjustments.
Scientific Explanation
Research has found that option expiration weeks are marked by predictable increases in stock returns and volatility, largely due to the role of options market makers and institutional investors. Option market makers often use delta hedging to manage exposure, which requires frequent buying or selling of the underlying stock to maintain a hedged position. As expiration approaches, their activity can amplify price fluctuations. Additionally, institutional investors often roll over or unwind positions during expiration weeks, creating further demand for underlying stocks (Stoll & Whaley, 1987). This increased demand around expiration week typically leads to temporary stock price increases, offering profitable opportunities for short-term strategies.
Key Research and Bibliography
Johnson, T. C., & So, E. C. (2013). Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(11), 4226-4240.
This study specifically examines the S&P 100 stocks and demonstrates that option expiration weeks are associated with abnormal returns and trading volume due to increased activity in the options market.
Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (1987). Program Trading and Expiration-Day Effects. Financial Analysts Journal, 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll and Whaley analyze how program trading and portfolio insurance strategies around expiration days impact stock prices, leading to temporary volatility and increased trading volume.
Ni, S. X., Pearson, N. D., & Poteshman, A. M. (2005). Stock Price Clustering on Option Expiration Dates. Journal of Financial Economics, 78(1), 49-87.
This paper investigates how option expiration dates affect stock price clustering and volume, driven by delta hedging and other option-related trading activities.
Roll, R., Schwartz, E., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2009). Options Trading Activity and Firm Valuation. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(3), 519-534.
The authors explore how options trading activity influences firm valuation, finding that higher options volume around expiration dates can lead to temporary price movements in underlying stocks.
Cao, C., & Wei, J. (2010). Option Market Liquidity and Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(2), 481-507.
This study examines the relationship between options market liquidity and stock return volatility, finding that increased liquidity needs during expiration weeks can heighten volatility, impacting stock returns.
Summary
The Option Expiration Week Strategy utilizes well-researched financial market phenomena related to option expiration. By positioning long in S&P 100 stocks or ETFs during this period, traders can potentially capture abnormal returns driven by option market dynamics. The literature suggests that options-related activities—such as delta hedging, position rollovers, and portfolio adjustments—intensify demand for underlying assets, creating short-term profit opportunities around these key dates.
Asian Session ShadingDescription
The "Asian Session Shading" indicator is designed to highlight the trading hours of the Asian market session on TradingView charts. This script shades the background of the chart in a pale blue color to visually distinguish the time period of the Asian trading session. By using this indicator, traders can easily identify when the Asian session is active, helping them to analyze and make informed trading decisions based on time-specific market behavior.
Features
Customizable Timing: The session start and end times can be adjusted to fit different Asian market hours.
Visual Clarity: The pale blue shading helps to visually separate the Asian session from other trading sessions.
Easy to Use: Simple implementation with clear visual cues on the chart.
Best Use Cases
Market Analysis: Traders can use this indicator to analyze market movements and trends specific to the Asian trading session.
Trading Strategies: This tool can assist in developing and implementing trading strategies that take into account the unique characteristics of the Asian market.
Time Management: Helps traders to manage their trading schedule by clearly marking the start and end of the Asian session.
How to Use
Apply to Chart: Save and apply the indicator to your chart to see the shaded Asian session.
This indicator is particularly useful for forex traders, stock traders, and anyone looking to incorporate the Asian market's influence into their trading strategy.
Customizable BTC Seasonality StrategyThis strategy leverages intraday seasonality effects in Bitcoin, specifically targeting hours of statistically significant returns during periods when traditional financial markets are closed. Padysak and Vojtko (2022) demonstrate that Bitcoin exhibits higher-than-average returns from 21:00 UTC to 23:00 UTC, a period in which all major global exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Tokyo Stock Exchange, and London Stock Exchange, are closed. The absence of competing trading activity from traditional markets during these hours appears to contribute to these statistically significant returns.
The strategy proceeds as follows:
Entry Time: A long position in Bitcoin is opened at a user-specified time, which defaults to 21:00 UTC, aligning with the beginning of the identified high-return window.
Holding Period: The position is held for two hours, capturing the positive returns typically observed during this period.
Exit Time: The position is closed at a user-defined time, defaulting to 23:00 UTC, allowing the strategy to exit as the favorable period concludes.
This simple seasonality strategy aims to achieve a 33% annualized return with a notably reduced volatility of 20.93% and maximum drawdown of -22.45%. The results suggest that investing only during these high-return hours is more stable and less risky than a passive holding strategy (Padysak & Vojtko, 2022).
References
Padysak, M., & Vojtko, R. (2022). Seasonality, Trend-following, and Mean reversion in Bitcoin.
Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5
Description:
The Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5 is an indicator script designed to assist traders in determining optimal buy and sell moments based on momentum and trend analysis. This script operates using two different momentum levels—Momentum Length for Entry (5) and Momentum Length for Trend (10)—along with the HMA (Hull Moving Average) indicator for trend confirmation.
Key Features:
Momentum Entry: Calculates momentum using the difference between the current price and the price from previous periods to determine the strength and direction of price movements.
Trend Identification: Utilizes two momentum levels (5 and 10) to identify bullish and bearish trend conditions.
HMA for Trend Confirmation: The HMA indicator is used to provide trend confirmation signals. When HMA indicates bullish, a buy signal is displayed; conversely, a bearish HMA results in a sell signal.
Signal Display: Displays buy (BUY) and sell (SELL) signals on the chart when the conditions for market entry are met, providing clear visualization for traders.
Background Color: Offers a green background for uptrends and a red background for downtrends, allowing traders to easily identify the overall market condition.
ATR (Average True Range): Calculates and plots a smoothed ATR to help traders measure market volatility.
Settings:
Momentum Length for Entry: 5 (to determine entry signals)
Momentum Length for Trend: 10 (to determine trend conditions)
HMA Length: 300 (period length for HMA to confirm trends)
ATR Length: 14 (period length for ATR to measure volatility)
Benefits:
This script is designed to provide visual and data-driven guidance for better trading decision-making. By combining momentum and trend analysis, traders can enhance the accuracy of their signals and reduce the risk of errors when identifying entry and exit points in the market.
Note:
This script is intended for use on the M5 time frame but can be adjusted for other time frames as needed. It is always recommended to conduct thorough testing before applying trading strategies on a live account.
Indicator SELL UBScript Name: UB Sell Indicator based on 10Y Volume and Trend
Description: This indicator uses the 10-year interest rate (10Y1!) volume and price data to generate sell signals on the UB contract. When the 10Y1! volume exceeds a fixed threshold and the 10Y1! price is rising, a sell signal is issued to help traders anticipate bearish moves on the UB.
Features:
10Y1! Volume: Identifies periods of high volume.
10Y1! Price: Detects bullish trends in the 10Y1!.
Sell Signals: Displays red arrows to indicate selling opportunities on UB when conditions are met.
Visual Indicators: Colors and arrows for easy signal interpretation.
Parameters:
Fixed Volume Threshold: 114 (modifiable as needed).
Moving Average Period: 10 (to calculate the 10Y1! price trend).
Usage:
Watch for red arrows to identify selling opportunities on UB.
Combine with other analyses and indicators for a complete trading strategy.
Author: Jm Smeers
Publication Date: 26/10/2024
Ultimate Machine Learning MACD (Deep Learning Edition)This script is a "Deep Learning MACD" indicator that combines traditional MACD calculations with advanced machine learning techniques, including recursive feedback, adaptive learning rates, Monte Carlo simulations, and volatility-based adjustments. Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
Inputs
Lookback: The length of historical data (1000 by default) used for learning and volatility measurement.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: Adjusts how much momentum and volatility contribute to the learning process (momentum weight: 1.2, volatility weight: 1.5).
MACD Lengths: Defines the range for MACD fast and slow lengths, starting at minimum of 1 and max of 1000.
Learning Rate: Defines how much the model learns from its predictions (very small learning rate by default).
Adaptive Learning: Enables dynamic learning rates based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: A feedback factor that determines how much weight past performance has in the current model.
Simulations: The number of Monte Carlo simulations used for probabilistic modeling.
Price Change: Calculated as the difference between the current and previous close.
Momentum: Measured using a lookback period (1000 bars by default).
Volatility: Standard deviation of closing prices.
ATR: Average true range over 14 periods for measuring market volatility.
Custom EMA Calculation
Implements an exponential moving average (EMA) formula from scratch using a recursive calculation with a smoothing factor.
Dynamic Learning Rate
Adjusts the learning rate based on market volatility. When volatility is high, the learning rate increases, and when volatility is low, it decreases. This makes the model more responsive during volatile markets and more stable during calm periods.
Error Calculation and Adjustment
Error Calculation: Measures the difference between the predicted value (via Monte Carlo simulations) and the true MACD value.
Adjust MACD Length: Uses the error to adjust the fast and slow MACD lengths dynamically, so the system can learn from market conditions.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation
Runs multiple simulations (200 by default) to generate probabilistic predictions. It uses random values weighted by momentum and volatility to simulate various market scenarios, enhancing
prediction accuracy.
MACD Calculation (Learning-Enhanced)
A custom MACD function that calculates:
Fast EMA and Slow EMA for MACD line.
Signal Line: An EMA of the MACD line.
Histogram: The difference between the MACD and signal lines.
Adaptive MACD Calculation
Adjusts the fast and slow MACD lengths based on the error from the Monte Carlo prediction.
Calculates the adaptive MACD, signal, and histogram using dynamically adjusted lengths.
Recursive Memory Feedback
Stores previous MACD values in an array (macdMemory) and averages them to create a feedback loop. This adds a "memory" to the system, allowing it to learn from past behaviors and refine future predictions.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement
Introduces a volatility reinforcement factor that influences the signal based on market conditions. It adds volatility awareness to the feedback system, making the system more reactive during high volatility periods.
Smoothed MACD
After all the adjustments, the MACD line is further smoothed based on the current market volatility, resulting in a final smoothed MACD.
Key Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs multiple simulations to enhance predictions based on randomness and market behavior.
Adaptive Learning: Dynamic adjustments of learning rates and MACD lengths based on market conditions.
Recursive Feedback: Uses past data as feedback to refine the system’s predictions over time.
Volatility Awareness: Integrates market volatility into the system, making the MACD more responsive to market fluctuations.
This combination of traditional MACD with machine learning creates an adaptive indicator capable of learning from past behaviors and adjusting its sensitivity based on changing market conditions.
