High/Low Location Frequency [LuxAlgo]The High/Low Location Frequency tool provides users with probabilities of tops and bottoms at user-defined periods, along with advanced filters that offer deep and objective market information about the likelihood of a top or bottom in the market.
🔶 USAGE
There are four different time periods that traders can select for analysis of probabilities:
HOUR OF DAY: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each hour of the day
DAY OF WEEK: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each day of the week
DAY OF MONTH: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each day of the month
MONTH OF YEAR: Probability of occurrence of top and bottom prices for each month
The data is displayed as a dashboard, which users can position according to their preferences. The dashboard includes useful information in the header, such as the number of periods and the date from which the data is gathered. Additionally, users can enable active filters to customize their view. The probabilities are displayed in one, two, or three columns, depending on the number of elements.
🔹 Advanced Filters
Advanced Filters allow traders to exclude specific data from the results. They can choose to use none or all filters simultaneously, inputting a list of numbers separated by spaces or commas. However, it is not possible to use both separators on the same filter.
The tool is equipped with five advanced filters:
HOURS OF DAY: The permitted range is from 0 to 23.
DAYS OF WEEK: The permitted range is from 1 to 7.
DAYS OF MONTH: The permitted range is from 1 to 31.
MONTHS: The permitted range is from 1 to 12.
YEARS: The permitted range is from 1000 to 2999.
It should be noted that the DAYS OF WEEK advanced filter has been designed for use with tickers that trade every day, such as those trading in the crypto market. In such cases, the numbers displayed will range from 1 (Sunday) to 7 (Saturday). Conversely, for tickers that do not trade over the weekend, the numbers will range from 1 (Monday) to 5 (Friday).
To illustrate the application of this filter, we will exclude results for Mondays and Tuesdays, the first five days of each month, January and February, and the years 2020, 2021, and 2022. Let us review the results:
DAYS OF WEEK: `2,3` or `2 3` (for crypto) or `1,2` or `1 2` (for the rest)
DAYS OF MONTH: `1,2,3,4,5` or `1 2 3 4 5`
MONTHS: `1,2` or `1 2`
YEARS: `2020,2021,2022` or `2020 2021 2022`
🔹 High Probability Lines
The tool enables traders to identify the next period with the highest probability of a top (red) and/or bottom (green) on the chart, marked with two horizontal lines indicating the location of these periods.
🔹 Top/Bottom Labels and Periods Highlight
The tool is capable of indicating on the chart the upper and lower limits of each selected period, as well as the commencement of each new period, thus providing traders with a convenient reference point.
🔶 SETTINGS
Period: Select how many bars (hours, days, or months) will be used to gather data from, max value as default.
Execution Window: Select how many bars (hours, days, or months) will be used to gather data from
🔹 Advanced Filters
Hours of day: Filter which hours of the day are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of hours from 0 to 23 separated by commas or spaces, users can not mix commas or spaces as a separator, must choose one
Days of week: Filter which days of the week are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of days from 1 to 5 for tickers not trading weekends, or from 1 to 7 for tickers trading all week, users can choose between commas or spaces as a separator, but can not mix them on the same filter.
Days of month: Filter which days of the month are excluded from the data, it accepts a list of days from 1 to 31, users can choose between commas or spaces as separator, but can not mix them on the same filter.
Months: Filter months to exclude from data. Accepts months from 1 to 12. Choose one separator: comma or space.
Years: Filter years to exclude from data. Accepts years from 1000 to 2999. Choose one separator: comma or space.
🔹 Dashboard
Dashboard Location: Select both the vertical and horizontal parameters for the desired location of the dashboard.
Dashboard Size: Select size for dashboard.
🔹 Style
High Probability Top Line: Enable/disable `High Probability Top` vertical line and choose color
High Probability Bottom Line: Enable/disable `High Probability Bottom` vertical line and choose color
Top Label: Enable/disable period top labels, choose color and size.
Bottom Label: Enable/disable period bottom labels, choose color and size.
Highlight Period Changes: Enable/disable vertical highlight at start of period
Cerca negli script per "Cycle"
Multi-Timeframe Period Separators█ OVERVIEW
This indicator plots period separators for up to four higher timeframes. The separators are fully customizable and designed to work on any symbols.
█ FEATURES
Reference
You can choose to plot the separators starting from midnight 00:00 or the opening of the exchange trading session.
Timezone
You can specify to localize midnight 00:00 to the region of your liking. The timezone format conveniently requires no manual adjustment during clock changes.
█ NOTES
Scans the bar opening and closing times
The script checks the bar ` time ` and ` time_close ` to pinpoint the separators that can occur intrabar.
Tracks from the last separator
The script tracks the time elapsed since the last separator, which is useful when there is no trading activity or the market is closed. As it can result in missing bars, it plots the separator on the first available bar.
Others
The script automatically hides the separators when navigating to an equal or higher chart timeframe.
2024 - Median High-Low % Change - Monthly, Weekly, DailyDescription:
This indicator provides a statistical overview of Bitcoin's volatility by displaying the median high-to-low percentage changes for monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes. It allows traders to visualize typical price fluctuations within each period, supporting range and volatility-based trading strategies.
How It Works:
Calculation of High-Low % Change: For each selected timeframe (monthly, weekly, and daily), the script calculates the percentage change from the high to the low price within the period.
Median Calculation: The median of these high-to-low changes is determined for each timeframe, offering a robust central measure that minimizes the impact of extreme price swings.
Table Display: At the end of the chart, the script displays a table in the top-right corner with the median values for each selected timeframe. This table is updated dynamically to show the latest data.
Usage Notes:
This script includes input options to toggle the visibility of each timeframe (monthly, weekly, and daily) in the table.
Designed to be used with Bitcoin on daily and higher timeframes for accurate statistical insights.
Ideal for traders looking to understand Bitcoin's typical volatility and adjust their strategies accordingly.
This indicator does not provide specific buy or sell signals but serves as an analytical tool for understanding volatility patterns.
Trend Continuation RatioThis TradingView indicator calculates the likelihood of consecutive bullish or bearish days over a specified period, giving insights into day-to-day continuation patterns within the market.
How It Works
Period Length Input:
The user sets the period length (e.g., 20 days) to analyze.
After each period, the counts reset, allowing fresh data for each new interval.
Bullish and Bearish Day Definitions:
A day is considered bullish if the closing price is higher than the opening price.
A day is considered bearish if the closing price is lower than the opening price.
Count Tracking:
Within each specified period, the indicator tracks:
Total Bullish Days: The number of days where the close is greater than the open.
Total Bearish Days: The number of days where the close is less than the open.
Bullish to Bullish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bullish day is followed by another bullish day.
Bearish to Bearish Continuations: Counts each instance where a bearish day is followed by another bearish day.
Calculating Continuation Ratios:
The Bullish Continuation Ratio is calculated as the percentage of bullish days that were followed by another bullish day:
Bullish Continuation Ratio = (Bullish to Bullish Continuations /Total Bullish Days)×100
Bullish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bullish Days/Bullish to Bullish Continuations )×100
The Bearish Continuation Ratio is the percentage of bearish days followed by another bearish day:
Bearish Continuation Ratio = (Bearish to Bearish Continuations/Total Bearish Days)×100
Bearish Continuation Ratio=( Total Bearish Days/Bearish to Bearish Continuations )×100
Display on Chart:
The indicator displays a table in the top-right corner of the chart with:
Bullish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bullish days that led to another bullish day within the period.
Bearish Continuation Ratio (%): Percentage of bearish days that led to another bearish day within the period.
Usage Insights
High Ratios: If the bullish or bearish continuation ratio is high, it suggests a trend where bullish/bearish days often lead to similar days, indicating possible momentum.
Low Ratios: Low continuation ratios indicate frequent reversals, which could suggest a range-bound or volatile market.
This indicator is helpful for assessing short-term trend continuation tendencies, allowing traders to gauge whether they are more likely to see follow-through on bullish or bearish days within a chosen timeframe.
Ido strategy RSI Oversold with MACD Buy Signal Indicator
This indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) to help identify potential buy signals based on oversold conditions and trend reversals. This script is designed for traders looking to identify entry points when an asset is likely undervalued (oversold) and showing bullish momentum.
How It Works
RSI Oversold Detection: The RSI measures the speed and change of price movements. This indicator flags when the RSI falls below 30, signaling that the asset may be oversold. The user can customize the RSI lookback period and the timeframe within which oversold conditions are considered relevant.
MACD Crossover: The MACD line crossing above the Signal line often indicates a shift to bullish momentum. In this script, a buy signal is generated when a MACD bullish crossover occurs after an RSI oversold condition has been met within a user-defined lookback window.
Buy Signal: A green triangle appears below the price chart each time both conditions are met—when the RSI has recently been in oversold territory and the MACD line crosses above the Signal line. This signal suggests that the asset may be positioned for a potential upward trend, providing a visual cue for entry points.
Customizable Settings
RSI Settings: Adjust the RSI source and period length.
MACD Settings: Customize the fast, slow, and signal lengths of the MACD to suit different market conditions.
Lookback Period: Define how many bars back to check for an RSI oversold condition before confirming a MACD crossover.
Visual Elements
Oversold Background Color: The background on the price chart is shaded red whenever the RSI is below 30.
Buy Signal: A green triangle is displayed on the chart to indicate a potential entry point when both conditions are met.
Alerts
This indicator includes optional alerts, allowing traders to receive notifications whenever the conditions for a buy signal are met, making it easier to monitor multiple assets and stay informed of trading opportunities.
This indicator is ideal for traders using a combination of momentum and trend reversal strategies, especially in volatile markets where oversold conditions often precede a trend change.
Williams %R - Multi TimeframeThis indicator implements the William %R multi-timeframe. On the 1H chart, the curves for 1H (with signal), 4H, and 1D are displayed. On the 4H chart, the curves for 4H (with signal) and 1D are shown. On all other timeframes, only the %R and signal are displayed. The indicator is useful to use on 1H and 4H charts to find confluence among the different curves and identify better entries based on their alignment across all timeframes. Signals above 80 often indicate a potential bearish reversal in price, while signals below 20 often suggest a bullish price reversal.
Gradient color Candlesthis is a simple candle colouring script that sets the colour of the candles to a gradient and the length of the gradient can be set by a user defined number of bars
Forex Relative Strength MatrixTraders often feel uncertain about which Forex pair to open a position with. This indicator is designed to help in that regard.
This indicator was created as described in the book Swing Trading with Heiken Ashi and Stochastics. In the original, the author suggests using it for swing trading. The author recommends applying it to a monthly chart with an 8-period moving average to analyze the context.
The logic of the indicator is to measure the relative strength of each currency by checking if the price of each Forex pair is above or below a chosen moving average. If the price is above the moving average, the base currency is awarded 1 point, indicating strength. If below, it scores 0, indicating weakness. By accumulating points across multiple pairs, the indicator ranks currencies from strongest to weakest, helping traders identify potential pairs for trading.
Trend Identification:
After identifying relative strength, the trader should observe the general trend using a 100-period SMA on 4-hour charts. If the price is above the SMA, the trend is bullish; if below, it is bearish.
Buy Logic:
A buy is triggered when the base currency is strong (price is above the moving average) and the quote currency is weak (price is below the moving average). After identifying the trend direction, the entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from red to green in an uptrend) and a stochastic crossover in the trend’s direction.
Sell Logic:
A sell is triggered when the base currency is weak (price is below the moving average) and the quote currency is strong (price is above the moving average). The sell entry is confirmed by a color change in Heiken Ashi candles (from green to red in a downtrend) and a stochastic crossover aligned with the trend.
Entry Chart:
The entry chart used is the 4-hour chart. The trader should look for entry signals following a pullback in the trend direction, using Heiken Ashi candles. Entry is made when the Heiken Ashi candles change color (from red to green in an uptrend) and there is a smooth crossover of the stochastic indicator in the trend’s direction.
It would also be possible to adapt the indicator for day trading strategies with targets of 1 to 2 days. Here is a recommended setup:
Relative Strength Identification (1-Hour Chart):
Instead of monthly charts, use a 1-hour chart to identify currency strength with a 20-period moving average.
The 20-period moving average on the 1-hour chart captures a balanced view of short- to medium-term direction, covering nearly a day’s worth of trading but with enough sensitivity for day trading.
General Trend (5-Minute Chart with 100 SMA):
On the 5-minute chart, observe the 100-period SMA to identify the general trend direction throughout the day.
Price above the 100 SMA indicates an uptrend, and below indicates a downtrend, confirming the movement in shorter timeframes.
Entry Chart and Signals (5-Minute Chart):
Use the 15-minute chart to look for entry opportunities, focusing on pullbacks in the main trend direction.
Entry Signals: Enter the position when Heiken Ashi candles change color in the trend direction (from red to green in an uptrend) and the stochastic indicator makes a smooth crossover in the trend’s direction.
Dual price forecast with Projection Zone [FXSMARTLAB]The Dual Price Forecast with Projection Zone indicator is built to simulate potential future price paths based on historical price movements over two defined lookback periods. By running multiple trials (or simulations) on these historical price movements, the indicator achieves a more robust forecast, incorporating the inherent variability of price behavior.
Key Components and Calculation Details
1. Lookback Periods and Historical Price Movements
Lookback Period 1 and Lookback Period 2 specify the range of past data used to generate each projection. For each period, the indicator calculates the price variations (differences between the closing and opening prices) and stores these in arrays.
These historical price variations capture the volatility and price patterns within each period, serving as templates for future price behavior.
2. Trials: Purpose and Function
The trials are a critical element in the projection calculation. Each trial represents a single simulation of possible future price movements, derived from a random reordering of the historical price variations in each lookback period.
By running multiple trials , the indicator explores various sequences of historical movements, simulating different possible future paths. Each trial adds to the projection’s robustness by capturing a unique potential price path based on past behavior.
Running these multiple trials allows the indicator to account for randomness in price behavior, making the projections more comprehensive by covering a range of scenarios rather than relying on a single deterministic forecast.
3. Reverse Option
The reverse option allows the indicator to invert the direction of price movements within each lookback period. When enabled, historical uptrends are treated as downtrends, and vice versa.
This feature is particularly valuable in scenarios where traders expect a potential reversal in market direction. By enabling the reverse option, the indicator can simulate what might happen if past trends inverted, providing an alternative forecast path that considers possible market reversals.
This allows traders to assess both continuation and reversal scenarios, giving them a more balanced view of potential future price paths and helping them prepare for either market direction.
4. Generating the Average Projection Path
Once the trials are complete, the indicator calculates an average projected price path for each lookback period by averaging the results of all trials. This average represents the most likely price trend based on historical data and provides a smoothed projection that mitigates extreme outliers.
By averaging across all trial paths, the indicator generates a more reliable and balanced forecast line, smoothing out the fluctuations that might appear if only one trial or a small number of trials were used.
5. Projection Zone Visualization
The indicator plots the two average projection paths (one for each lookback period) as Projection 1 and Projection 2, each in a user-defined color.
The Projection Zone is the area between these two lines, filled with a semi-transparent color. This zone visually represents the potential range of future price movement, highlighting where prices are likely to oscillate if historical trends persist.
The Projection Zone effectively functions as a potential support and resistance boundary, providing traders with a visual reference for possible price fluctuations within a specific range.
6. Display of Lookback Zones
To give context to the projections, the indicator can also display colored lookback zones on the chart. These zones correspond to Lookback Period 1 and Lookback Period 2 and are color-coded to match their respective projection lines.
These zones allow traders to see the sections of historical data used in the calculation, helping them understand which past price behaviors influenced the current projections.
Benefits of the Indicator
The "Dual Price Forecast with Projection Zone" indicator provides a multi-scenario forecast based on past price dynamics. Its use of trials ensures that projections are not based on a single deterministic path but on a range of possible scenarios that better reflect the inherent randomness in financial markets.
By generating a probabilistic forecast within a defined zone, the indicator helps traders to:
Anticipate potential price ranges and areas of support/resistance based on historical trends.
Understand the influence of different timeframes (short-term and long-term lookbacks) on future price behavior.
Make informed decisions by visualizing the likely variability of future prices within a controlled projection zone.
Prepare for both continuation and reversal scenarios, thanks to the reverse option. This feature is especially useful in markets where trends may change direction, as it allows traders to explore what might happen
S&P 100 Option Expiration Week StrategyThe Option Expiration Week Strategy aims to capitalize on increased volatility and trading volume that often occur during the week leading up to the expiration of options on stocks in the S&P 100 index. This period, known as the option expiration week, culminates on the third Friday of each month when stock options typically expire in the U.S. During this week, investors in this strategy take a long position in S&P 100 stocks or an equivalent ETF from the Monday preceding the third Friday, holding until Friday. The strategy capitalizes on potential upward price pressures caused by increased option-related trading activity, rebalancing, and hedging practices.
The phenomenon leveraged by this strategy is well-documented in finance literature. Studies demonstrate that options expiration dates have a significant impact on stock returns, trading volume, and volatility. This effect is driven by various market dynamics, including portfolio rebalancing, delta hedging by option market makers, and the unwinding of positions by institutional investors (Stoll & Whaley, 1987; Ni, Pearson, & Poteshman, 2005). These market activities intensify near option expiration, causing price adjustments that may create short-term profitable opportunities for those aware of these patterns (Roll, Schwartz, & Subrahmanyam, 2009).
The paper by Johnson and So (2013), Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks, provides empirical evidence supporting this strategy. The study analyzes the impact of option expiration on S&P 100 stocks, showing that these stocks tend to exhibit abnormal returns and increased volume during the expiration week. The authors attribute these patterns to intensified option trading activity, where demand for hedging and arbitrage around options expiration causes temporary price adjustments.
Scientific Explanation
Research has found that option expiration weeks are marked by predictable increases in stock returns and volatility, largely due to the role of options market makers and institutional investors. Option market makers often use delta hedging to manage exposure, which requires frequent buying or selling of the underlying stock to maintain a hedged position. As expiration approaches, their activity can amplify price fluctuations. Additionally, institutional investors often roll over or unwind positions during expiration weeks, creating further demand for underlying stocks (Stoll & Whaley, 1987). This increased demand around expiration week typically leads to temporary stock price increases, offering profitable opportunities for short-term strategies.
Key Research and Bibliography
Johnson, T. C., & So, E. C. (2013). Returns and Option Activity over the Option-Expiration Week for S&P 100 Stocks. Journal of Banking and Finance, 37(11), 4226-4240.
This study specifically examines the S&P 100 stocks and demonstrates that option expiration weeks are associated with abnormal returns and trading volume due to increased activity in the options market.
Stoll, H. R., & Whaley, R. E. (1987). Program Trading and Expiration-Day Effects. Financial Analysts Journal, 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll and Whaley analyze how program trading and portfolio insurance strategies around expiration days impact stock prices, leading to temporary volatility and increased trading volume.
Ni, S. X., Pearson, N. D., & Poteshman, A. M. (2005). Stock Price Clustering on Option Expiration Dates. Journal of Financial Economics, 78(1), 49-87.
This paper investigates how option expiration dates affect stock price clustering and volume, driven by delta hedging and other option-related trading activities.
Roll, R., Schwartz, E., & Subrahmanyam, A. (2009). Options Trading Activity and Firm Valuation. Journal of Financial Markets, 12(3), 519-534.
The authors explore how options trading activity influences firm valuation, finding that higher options volume around expiration dates can lead to temporary price movements in underlying stocks.
Cao, C., & Wei, J. (2010). Option Market Liquidity and Stock Return Volatility. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 45(2), 481-507.
This study examines the relationship between options market liquidity and stock return volatility, finding that increased liquidity needs during expiration weeks can heighten volatility, impacting stock returns.
Summary
The Option Expiration Week Strategy utilizes well-researched financial market phenomena related to option expiration. By positioning long in S&P 100 stocks or ETFs during this period, traders can potentially capture abnormal returns driven by option market dynamics. The literature suggests that options-related activities—such as delta hedging, position rollovers, and portfolio adjustments—intensify demand for underlying assets, creating short-term profit opportunities around these key dates.
Asian Session ShadingDescription
The "Asian Session Shading" indicator is designed to highlight the trading hours of the Asian market session on TradingView charts. This script shades the background of the chart in a pale blue color to visually distinguish the time period of the Asian trading session. By using this indicator, traders can easily identify when the Asian session is active, helping them to analyze and make informed trading decisions based on time-specific market behavior.
Features
Customizable Timing: The session start and end times can be adjusted to fit different Asian market hours.
Visual Clarity: The pale blue shading helps to visually separate the Asian session from other trading sessions.
Easy to Use: Simple implementation with clear visual cues on the chart.
Best Use Cases
Market Analysis: Traders can use this indicator to analyze market movements and trends specific to the Asian trading session.
Trading Strategies: This tool can assist in developing and implementing trading strategies that take into account the unique characteristics of the Asian market.
Time Management: Helps traders to manage their trading schedule by clearly marking the start and end of the Asian session.
How to Use
Apply to Chart: Save and apply the indicator to your chart to see the shaded Asian session.
This indicator is particularly useful for forex traders, stock traders, and anyone looking to incorporate the Asian market's influence into their trading strategy.
Customizable BTC Seasonality StrategyThis strategy leverages intraday seasonality effects in Bitcoin, specifically targeting hours of statistically significant returns during periods when traditional financial markets are closed. Padysak and Vojtko (2022) demonstrate that Bitcoin exhibits higher-than-average returns from 21:00 UTC to 23:00 UTC, a period in which all major global exchanges, such as the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), Tokyo Stock Exchange, and London Stock Exchange, are closed. The absence of competing trading activity from traditional markets during these hours appears to contribute to these statistically significant returns.
The strategy proceeds as follows:
Entry Time: A long position in Bitcoin is opened at a user-specified time, which defaults to 21:00 UTC, aligning with the beginning of the identified high-return window.
Holding Period: The position is held for two hours, capturing the positive returns typically observed during this period.
Exit Time: The position is closed at a user-defined time, defaulting to 23:00 UTC, allowing the strategy to exit as the favorable period concludes.
This simple seasonality strategy aims to achieve a 33% annualized return with a notably reduced volatility of 20.93% and maximum drawdown of -22.45%. The results suggest that investing only during these high-return hours is more stable and less risky than a passive holding strategy (Padysak & Vojtko, 2022).
References
Padysak, M., & Vojtko, R. (2022). Seasonality, Trend-following, and Mean reversion in Bitcoin.
MCD - Meme Coin Dominance [Da_Prof]I took the meme coins in the top 100 according to CoinMarketCap and added their market caps together and divided by TOTAL. Ultimately, I see Tradingview doing a much better job once they create a dedicated symbol for this, but in the interim, I thought this might help all you degens.
Enjoy.
Da_Prof
Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5
Description:
The Momentum Entry & Trend Strategy M5 is an indicator script designed to assist traders in determining optimal buy and sell moments based on momentum and trend analysis. This script operates using two different momentum levels—Momentum Length for Entry (5) and Momentum Length for Trend (10)—along with the HMA (Hull Moving Average) indicator for trend confirmation.
Key Features:
Momentum Entry: Calculates momentum using the difference between the current price and the price from previous periods to determine the strength and direction of price movements.
Trend Identification: Utilizes two momentum levels (5 and 10) to identify bullish and bearish trend conditions.
HMA for Trend Confirmation: The HMA indicator is used to provide trend confirmation signals. When HMA indicates bullish, a buy signal is displayed; conversely, a bearish HMA results in a sell signal.
Signal Display: Displays buy (BUY) and sell (SELL) signals on the chart when the conditions for market entry are met, providing clear visualization for traders.
Background Color: Offers a green background for uptrends and a red background for downtrends, allowing traders to easily identify the overall market condition.
ATR (Average True Range): Calculates and plots a smoothed ATR to help traders measure market volatility.
Settings:
Momentum Length for Entry: 5 (to determine entry signals)
Momentum Length for Trend: 10 (to determine trend conditions)
HMA Length: 300 (period length for HMA to confirm trends)
ATR Length: 14 (period length for ATR to measure volatility)
Benefits:
This script is designed to provide visual and data-driven guidance for better trading decision-making. By combining momentum and trend analysis, traders can enhance the accuracy of their signals and reduce the risk of errors when identifying entry and exit points in the market.
Note:
This script is intended for use on the M5 time frame but can be adjusted for other time frames as needed. It is always recommended to conduct thorough testing before applying trading strategies on a live account.
Indicator SELL UBScript Name: UB Sell Indicator based on 10Y Volume and Trend
Description: This indicator uses the 10-year interest rate (10Y1!) volume and price data to generate sell signals on the UB contract. When the 10Y1! volume exceeds a fixed threshold and the 10Y1! price is rising, a sell signal is issued to help traders anticipate bearish moves on the UB.
Features:
10Y1! Volume: Identifies periods of high volume.
10Y1! Price: Detects bullish trends in the 10Y1!.
Sell Signals: Displays red arrows to indicate selling opportunities on UB when conditions are met.
Visual Indicators: Colors and arrows for easy signal interpretation.
Parameters:
Fixed Volume Threshold: 114 (modifiable as needed).
Moving Average Period: 10 (to calculate the 10Y1! price trend).
Usage:
Watch for red arrows to identify selling opportunities on UB.
Combine with other analyses and indicators for a complete trading strategy.
Author: Jm Smeers
Publication Date: 26/10/2024
Ultimate Machine Learning MACD (Deep Learning Edition)This script is a "Deep Learning MACD" indicator that combines traditional MACD calculations with advanced machine learning techniques, including recursive feedback, adaptive learning rates, Monte Carlo simulations, and volatility-based adjustments. Here’s a breakdown of its key components:
Inputs
Lookback: The length of historical data (1000 by default) used for learning and volatility measurement.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: Adjusts how much momentum and volatility contribute to the learning process (momentum weight: 1.2, volatility weight: 1.5).
MACD Lengths: Defines the range for MACD fast and slow lengths, starting at minimum of 1 and max of 1000.
Learning Rate: Defines how much the model learns from its predictions (very small learning rate by default).
Adaptive Learning: Enables dynamic learning rates based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: A feedback factor that determines how much weight past performance has in the current model.
Simulations: The number of Monte Carlo simulations used for probabilistic modeling.
Price Change: Calculated as the difference between the current and previous close.
Momentum: Measured using a lookback period (1000 bars by default).
Volatility: Standard deviation of closing prices.
ATR: Average true range over 14 periods for measuring market volatility.
Custom EMA Calculation
Implements an exponential moving average (EMA) formula from scratch using a recursive calculation with a smoothing factor.
Dynamic Learning Rate
Adjusts the learning rate based on market volatility. When volatility is high, the learning rate increases, and when volatility is low, it decreases. This makes the model more responsive during volatile markets and more stable during calm periods.
Error Calculation and Adjustment
Error Calculation: Measures the difference between the predicted value (via Monte Carlo simulations) and the true MACD value.
Adjust MACD Length: Uses the error to adjust the fast and slow MACD lengths dynamically, so the system can learn from market conditions.
Probabilistic Monte Carlo Simulation
Runs multiple simulations (200 by default) to generate probabilistic predictions. It uses random values weighted by momentum and volatility to simulate various market scenarios, enhancing
prediction accuracy.
MACD Calculation (Learning-Enhanced)
A custom MACD function that calculates:
Fast EMA and Slow EMA for MACD line.
Signal Line: An EMA of the MACD line.
Histogram: The difference between the MACD and signal lines.
Adaptive MACD Calculation
Adjusts the fast and slow MACD lengths based on the error from the Monte Carlo prediction.
Calculates the adaptive MACD, signal, and histogram using dynamically adjusted lengths.
Recursive Memory Feedback
Stores previous MACD values in an array (macdMemory) and averages them to create a feedback loop. This adds a "memory" to the system, allowing it to learn from past behaviors and refine future predictions.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement
Introduces a volatility reinforcement factor that influences the signal based on market conditions. It adds volatility awareness to the feedback system, making the system more reactive during high volatility periods.
Smoothed MACD
After all the adjustments, the MACD line is further smoothed based on the current market volatility, resulting in a final smoothed MACD.
Key Features
Monte Carlo Simulation: Runs multiple simulations to enhance predictions based on randomness and market behavior.
Adaptive Learning: Dynamic adjustments of learning rates and MACD lengths based on market conditions.
Recursive Feedback: Uses past data as feedback to refine the system’s predictions over time.
Volatility Awareness: Integrates market volatility into the system, making the MACD more responsive to market fluctuations.
This combination of traditional MACD with machine learning creates an adaptive indicator capable of learning from past behaviors and adjusting its sensitivity based on changing market conditions.
Ultimate Machine Learning RSI (Deep Learning Edition)This script represents an advanced implementation of a Machine Learning-based Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator in Pine Script, incorporating several sophisticated techniques to create a more adaptive, intelligent, and responsive RSI.
Key Components and Features:
Lookback Period: The period over which the indicator "learns" from past data, set to 1000 bars by default.
Momentum and Volatility Weighting: These factors control how much the momentum and volatility of the market influence the learning and signal generation.
RSI Length Range: The minimum and maximum values for the RSI length, allowing the algorithm to adjust the RSI length dynamically.
Learning Rate: Controls how quickly the system adapts to new data. An adaptive learning rate can change based on market volatility.
Memory Factor: Influences how much the system "remembers" previous performance when making adjustments.
Monte Carlo Simulations: Used for probabilistic modeling to create a more robust signal.
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Price Change: Tracks the difference between the current close and the previous close.
Momentum: A measure of the rate of change in the price over the lookback period.
Volatility: Calculated using the standard deviation of the close prices.
ATR (Average True Range): Tracks the volatility of the market over a short period to influence decisions.
Monte Carlo Simulation:
Probabilistic Signal: This uses multiple random simulations (Monte Carlo) to generate potential future signals. These simulations are weighted by the momentum and volatility of the market. A cluster factor further enhances the simulation based on volatility regimes.
Z-Score for Extreme Conditions:
Z-Score: Measures how extreme current price movements are compared to the historical average, providing context for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.
Dynamic Learning Rate:
The learning rate adjusts based on the volatility of the market, becoming more responsive in high-volatility periods and slower in low-volatility markets. This prevents the system from overreacting to noise but ensures responsiveness to significant shifts.
Recursive Learning and Feedback:
Error Calculation: The system calculates the difference between the true RSI and the predicted RSI, creating an error that is fed back into the system to adjust the RSI length and other parameters dynamically.
RSI Length Adjustment: Based on the error, the RSI length is adjusted, ensuring that the system evolves over time to better reflect market conditions.
Adaptive Smoothing:
In periods of high volatility, the indicator applies a Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA) for faster adaptation, while in quieter markets, it uses an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) for smoother adjustments.
Recursive Memory Feedback:
The system maintains a memory of past RSI values, which helps refine the output further. The memory factor influences how much weight is given to past performance versus the current adaptive signal.
Volatility-Based Reinforcement: Higher market volatility increases the impact of this memory feedback, making the model more reactive in volatile conditions.
Multi-Factor Dynamic Thresholds:
Dynamic Overbought/Oversold: Instead of fixed RSI levels (70/30), the thresholds adjust dynamically based on the Z-Score, making the system more sensitive to extreme market conditions.
Combined Multi-Factor Signal:
The final output signal is the result of combining the true RSI, adaptive RSI, and the probabilistic signal generated from the Monte Carlo simulations. This creates a robust, multi-factor signal that incorporates various market conditions and machine learning techniques.
Visual Representation:
The final combined signal is plotted in blue on the chart, along with reference lines at 55 (overbought), 10 (oversold), and 35 (neutral).
Alerts are set up to trigger when the combined signal crosses above the dynamic overbought level or below the dynamic oversold level.
Conclusion:
This "Ultimate Machine Learning RSI" script leverages multiple machine learning techniques—probabilistic modeling, adaptive learning, recursive feedback, and dynamic thresholds—to create an advanced, highly responsive RSI indicator. The result is an RSI that continuously learns from market conditions, adjusts itself in real-time, and provides a more nuanced and robust signal compared to traditional fixed-length RSI. This indicator pushes the boundaries of what's possible with Pine Script and introduces cutting-edge techniques for technical analysis.
INDIA/NIFTY DOWN DAY MARKERINDIA/NIFTY DOWN DAY MARKER is indicator designed for Indian investors that provides visual cues on whole universe of stock charts marking volatile days based on the performance of selected Indian market indices. This indicator helps traders and investors assess the relative strength of individual stocks during extreme market movements
Key Features:
1) Index Selection: Users can choose from four major Indian indices: Nifty 50, Nifty Midcap 100, Nifty Smallcap 100, and Nifty MIDSMALLCAP 400. This flexibility allows for tailored analysis based on market focus.
2) Customizable Thresholds: Users can set their desired percentage thresholds for both rise and fall days, with default values of 2%. This customization enables users to adapt the indicator to their trading strategies.
3) Visual Indicators:
Rise Days: When the selected index rises by the specified percentage, the chart background turns green, indicating a bullish trend.
Fall Days: Conversely, if the index falls by the defined percentage, the background changes to red, signaling a bearish trend.
Parabolic (Brachistochrone) Curve IndicatorOverview of the Script
The script is designed to plot an approximation of the Brachistochrone curve between two points on a TradingView chart. The Brachistochrone curve represents the path of fastest descent under gravity between two points not aligned vertically. In physics, this curve is a segment of a cycloid.
Understanding the Brachistochrone Curve
Definition: The Brachistochrone curve is the curve along which a particle will descend from one point to another in the least time under gravity, without friction.
Mathematical Representation: The solution to the Brachistochrone problem is a cycloid, which is the curve traced by a point on the rim of a circular wheel as it rolls along a straight line.
Relevance to Trading: While the Brachistochrone curve originates from physics, plotting it on a price-time chart can offer a unique visual representation of the fastest possible movement between two price levels.
How the Script Works
Inputs
Start and End Bars:
startBar: The number of bars back from the current bar to define the starting point.
endBar: The number of bars back from the current bar to define the ending point.
Curve Customization:
numPoints: The number of points used to plot the curve (affects smoothness).
curveColor: The color of the curve.
curveWidth: The width of the curve lines.
Labels:
showTimeLabels: A toggle to display labels along the curve for reference.
Calculations
Determine Start and End Points:
The script calculates the coordinates (x_start, y_start, x_end, y_end) of the start and end points based on the specified bar offsets.
x_start and x_end correspond to bar indices (time).
y_start and y_end correspond to price levels.
Calculate Differences and Parameters:
Horizontal and Vertical Differences:
delta_x = x_end - x_start
delta_y = y_end - y_start
Ensure Descending Motion:
If the end point is higher than the start point (i.e., delta_y is positive), the script swaps the start and end points to ensure the curve represents a descent.
Cycloid Parameters:
Angle (theta): Calculated using theta = atan(delta_y / delta_x), representing the inclination of the curve.
Radius (R): The radius of the generating circle for the cycloid, calculated with R = delta_x / (π * cos(theta)).
Generate Points Along the Cycloid:
Parameter t: Varies from 0 to t_end, where t_end is set to π to represent half a cycloid (a common segment for the Brachistochrone).
Cycloid Equations:
Horizontal Component (x_t): x_t = R * (t - sin(t))
Vertical Component (y_t): y_t = R * (1 - cos(t))
Adjust Coordinates:
The script adjusts the cycloid coordinates to align with the chart's axes:
x_plot = x_start + x_t * cos(theta)
y_plot = y_start + y_t * sin(theta)
The x_plot values are converted to integer bar indices to match the chart's x-axis.
Plotting the Curve
Drawing Lines:
The script connects consecutive points using lines to form the curve.
It uses the line.new function, specifying the start and end coordinates of each line segment.
Adding Labels (Optional):
If showTimeLabels is enabled, the script places labels at intervals along the curve to indicate progress or parameter values.
Adjustments for Accurate Visualization
Handling Ascending Paths:
To adhere to the physical definition of the Brachistochrone curve, the script ensures that the ending point is below the starting point in terms of price.
If not, it swaps the points to represent a descending path.
Parameter Constraints:
The script ensures that calculations involving trigonometric functions remain within valid ranges to prevent mathematical errors (e.g., division by zero or invalid arguments for acos).
Scaling Considerations:
Adjustments are made to account for the differences in scaling between time (x-axis) and price (y-axis) on the chart.
The script maps spatial coordinates to the chart's axes appropriately.
Limitations and Considerations
Theoretical Nature:
The Brachistochrone curve is a theoretical concept from physics and doesn't necessarily predict actual price movements in financial markets.
Chart Scaling:
The visual appearance of the curve may be affected by the chart's scaling settings. Users may need to adjust the chart's zoom or scale to view the curve properly.
Data Range:
The start and end bars must be within the range of available data on the chart. If the specified bars are out of range, the script may not plot the curve.
Computational Limits:
TradingView imposes limits on the number of drawing objects (lines, labels) that can be displayed. The script accounts for this, but extremely high numPoints values may lead to performance issues.
Usage Instructions
Adding the Indicator:
The script is added to the chart as a custom indicator in TradingView's Pine Script Editor.
Configuring Inputs:
Start and End Bars: Users specify the bar offsets for the start and end points. It's important that the end point is below the start point in price to represent a descent.
Curve Customization: Users can adjust the number of points for smoothness and customize the curve's color and width.
Labels: Users can choose to display or hide labels along the curve.
Observing the Curve:
After configuring the inputs, the curve will be plotted between the two specified points.
Users can observe the curve to understand the theoretical fastest descent between the two price levels.
Potential Applications
Educational Tool:
The script serves as a visual aid to understand the properties of the Brachistochrone curve and cycloid.
Analytical Insights:
While not predictive, the curve might inspire new ways of thinking about price movements, momentum, or acceleration in markets.
Visualization:
It provides a unique way to visualize the relationship between time and price over a specific interval.
Conclusion
The script effectively adapts the mathematical concept of the Brachistochrone curve to a financial chart by carefully mapping spatial coordinates to time and price axes. By accounting for the unique characteristics of TradingView charts and implementing necessary mathematical adjustments, the script plots the curve between two user-defined points, offering a novel and educational visualization.
(MA-EWMA) with ChannelsHamming Windowed Volume-Weighted Bidirectional Momentum-Adaptive Exponential Weighted Moving Average
This script is an advanced financial indicator that calculates a Hamming Windowed Volume-Weighted Bidirectional Momentum-Adaptive Exponential Weighted Moving Average (MA-EWMA). It adapts dynamically to market conditions, adjusting key parameters like lookback period, momentum length, and volatility sensitivity based on price volatility.
Key Components:
Dynamic Adjustments: The indicator adjusts its lookback and momentum length using the ATR (Average True Range), making it more responsive to volatile markets.
Volume Weighting: It incorporates volume data, weighting the moving average based on the volume activity, adding further sensitivity to price movement.
Bidirectional Momentum: It calculates upward and downward momentum separately, using these values to determine the directional weighting of the moving average.
Hamming Window: This technique smooths the price data by applying a Hamming window, which helps to reduce noise in the data and enhances the accuracy of the moving average.
Channels: Instead of plotting a single line, the script creates dynamic channels, providing more context for support and resistance levels based on the market's behavior.
The result is a highly adaptive and sophisticated moving average indicator that responds dynamically to both price momentum and volume trends.
Optimized WaveletsThe script, High-Resolution Volume-Price Pressure Indicator with Wavelets, utilizes wavelet transforms and high-resolution data to analyze market pressure based on volume and price dynamics. The approach combines volume data from smaller timeframes (1 second) with non-linear transformation techniques to generate a refined view of market conditions. Here’s a detailed breakdown of how it works:
Key Components:
Wavelet Transform:
A wavelet function is applied to the price and volume data to capture patterns over a set time period. This technique helps identify underlying structures in the data that might be missed with traditional moving averages.
High-Resolution Data:
The indicator fetches 1-second high-resolution data for price movements and volume. This allows the strategy to capture granular price and volume changes, crucial for short-term trading decisions.
Normalized Difference:
The script calculates the normalized difference in price and volume data. By comparing changes over the selected length, it standardizes these movements to help detect sudden shifts in market pressure.
Sigmoid Transformation:
After combining the price and volume wavelet data, a sigmoid function is applied to smooth out the resulting values. This non-linear transformation helps highlight significant moves while filtering out minor fluctuations.
Volume-Price Pressure:
The up and down volume differences, together with price movements, are combined to create a "Volume-Price Pressure Score." The final indicator reflects the pressure exerted on the market by both buyers and sellers.
Indicator Plot:
The final transformed score is plotted, showing how price and volume dynamics, combined through wavelet transformation, interact. The indicator can be used to identify potential market turning points or pressure buildups based on volume and price movement patterns.
This approach is well-suited for traders looking for advanced signal detection based on high-frequency data and can provide insight into areas where typical indicators may lag or overlook short-term volatility.
Fractal & Entropy Market Dynamics with Mexican Hat WaveletThis indicator combines fractal analysis, entropy, and wavelet theory to model market dynamics using a customized approach. It integrates advanced mathematical techniques to assess the complexity and structure of price action, while also incorporating volume and price volatility.
Key Concepts and Features:
Volume-Weighted Price:
The script calculates a volume-adjusted price using a moving average of volume to give more weight to periods with higher volume. This allows the indicator to account for the impact of trading volume on price movements, enhancing its sensitivity to significant price shifts.
Mexican Hat Wavelet Approximation:
The script employs the Mexican Hat Wavelet, a mathematical tool that approximates price movements based on the Laplacian of the price series. This helps capture localized oscillations in price, acting as a filter to highlight certain price dynamics over the specified length. This wavelet is commonly used to identify key inflection points and trends in financial data.
Fractal Dimension Calculation:
The fractal dimension is calculated to quantify the market's complexity. It measures how price moves between intervals, with higher values indicating chaotic or more volatile market behavior. This dimension captures the self-similarity in price movements across different time frames, a key feature of fractals.
Shannon Entropy Calculation:
Shannon Entropy is used to measure the randomness or uncertainty in the price action. It calculates the degree of unpredictability based on the price changes, providing insight into the market's informational efficiency. Higher entropy indicates more randomness, while lower entropy suggests more predictable trends.
Custom Normalization:
The script includes a custom normalization function that processes the composite score (derived from fractal dimension and entropy). This normalization helps scale the values into a consistent range, making it easier to interpret the output. The smoothing factor and RSI-based approach ensure that the normalized value reacts smoothly to the changes in market dynamics.
Composite Score:
The composite score is a weighted combination of the fractal dimension and entropy. This score aims to provide a holistic view of the market by combining the structural complexity (fractal) and randomness (entropy) into one unified metric.
Plotting and Visuals:
The indicator plots the normalized composite score on a scale where a baseline of 50 is provided for reference. The resulting plot helps traders visualize market dynamics, with the score fluctuating based on changes in the market's fractal dimension and entropy. A score above or below the baseline of 50 indicates potential market shifts.
Use Case:
The "Enhanced Fractal and Entropy Market Dynamics with Mexican Hat Wavelet" is useful for traders looking to identify market conditions where there is a balance between price structure and randomness. By integrating wavelets, fractals, and entropy, the indicator can provide insights into market complexity, helping traders recognize potential trend reversals, periods of consolidation, or increased volatility. This can be particularly effective for those employing swing trading or trend-following strategies
Profitable Mondays & Losing FridaysHere's a Pine Script that marks profitable Mondays and losing Fridays for a given stock:
Explanation
Input Parameter: The script allows you to input the stock symbol, defaulting to SPX.
Daily Returns: It calculates the daily return based on the closing price.
Day Identification: It checks if the current day is Monday or Friday.
Conditions:
Profitable Mondays: Marks with a green background if Monday's return is positive.
Losing Fridays: Marks with a red background if Friday's return is negative.
Visualization: Uses bgcolor to highlight the respective days on the chart.
You can adjust the stockSymbol input to analyze different stocks.
