Adaptive Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) [Loxx]Adaptive QQE is a fixed and cycle adaptive version of the popular Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) used by forex traders. This indicator includes varoius types of RSI caculations and adaptive cycle measurements to find tune your signal.
Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE):
The Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) indicator works like a smoother version of the popular Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator. QQE expands on RSI by adding two volatility based trailing stop lines. These trailing stop lines are composed of a fast and a slow moving Average True Range (ATR).
There are many indicators for many purposes. Some of them are complex and some are comparatively easy to handle. The QQE indicator is a really useful analytical tool and one of the most accurate indicators. It offers numerous strategies for using the buy and sell signals. Essentially, it can help detect trend reversal and enter the trade at the most optimal positions.
Wilders' RSI:
The Relative Strength Index ( RSI ) is a well versed momentum based oscillator which is used to measure the speed (velocity) as well as the change (magnitude) of directional price movements. Essentially RSI , when graphed, provides a visual mean to monitor both the current, as well as historical, strength and weakness of a particular market. The strength or weakness is based on closing prices over the duration of a specified trading period creating a reliable metric of price and momentum changes. Given the popularity of cash settled instruments (stock indexes) and leveraged financial products (the entire field of derivatives); RSI has proven to be a viable indicator of price movements.
RSX RSI:
RSI is a very popular technical indicator, because it takes into consideration market speed, direction and trend uniformity. However, the its widely criticized drawback is its noisy (jittery) appearance. The Jurk RSX retains all the useful features of RSI , but with one important exception: the noise is gone with no added lag.
Rapid RSI:
Rapid RSI Indicator, from Ian Copsey's article in the October 2006 issue of Stocks & Commodities magazine.
RapidRSI resembles Wilder's RSI , but uses a SMA instead of a WilderMA for internal smoothing of price change accumulators.
VHF Adaptive Cycle:
Vertical Horizontal Filter (VHF) was created by Adam White to identify trending and ranging markets. VHF measures the level of trend activity, similar to ADX DI. Vertical Horizontal Filter does not, itself, generate trading signals, but determines whether signals are taken from trend or momentum indicators. Using this trend information, one is then able to derive an average cycle length.
Band-pass Adaptive Cycle:
Even the most casual chart reader will be able to spot times when the market is cycling and other times when longer-term trends are in play. Cycling markets are ideal for swing trading however attempting to “trade the swing” in a trending market can be a recipe for disaster. Similarly, applying trend trading techniques during a cycling market can equally wreak havoc in your account. Cycle or trend modes can readily be identified in hindsight. But it would be useful to have an objective scientific approach to guide you as to the current market mode.
There are a number of tools already available to differentiate between cycle and trend modes. For example, measuring the trend slope over the cycle period to the amplitude of the cyclic swing is one possibility.
We begin by thinking of cycle mode in terms of frequency or its inverse, periodicity. Since the markets are fractal ; daily, weekly, and intraday charts are pretty much indistinguishable when time scales are removed. Thus it is useful to think of the cycle period in terms of its bar count. For example, a 20 bar cycle using daily data corresponds to a cycle period of approximately one month.
When viewed as a waveform, slow-varying price trends constitute the waveform's low frequency components and day-to-day fluctuations (noise) constitute the high frequency components. The objective in cycle mode is to filter out the unwanted components--both low frequency trends and the high frequency noise--and retain only the range of frequencies over the desired swing period. A filter for doing this is called a bandpass filter and the range of frequencies passed is the filter's bandwidth.
Included:
-Toggle on/off bar coloring
-Customize RSI signal using fixed, VHF Adaptive, and Band-pass Adaptive calculations
-Choose from three different RSI types
Visuals:
-Red/Green line is the moving average of RSI
-Thin white line is the fast trend
-Dotted yellow line is the slow trend
Happy trading!
Cerca negli script per "Cycle"
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression ModelThis is the main version of the script. Click here for the Oscillator part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines. The Oscillator version can be found here.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Bitcoin Polynomial Regression OscillatorThis is the oscillator version of the script. Click here for the other part of the script.
💡Why this model was created:
One of the key issues with most existing models, including our own Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model , is that they often fail to realistically account for diminishing returns. As a result, they may present overly optimistic bull cycle targets (hence, we introduced alternative settings in our previous Bitcoin Log Growth Curve Model).
This new model however, has been built from the ground up with a primary focus on incorporating the principle of diminishing returns. It directly responds to this concept, which has been briefly explored here .
📉The theory of diminishing returns:
This theory suggests that as each four-year market cycle unfolds, volatility gradually decreases, leading to more tempered price movements. It also implies that the price increase from one cycle peak to the next will decrease over time as the asset matures. The same pattern applies to cycle lows and the relationship between tops and bottoms. In essence, these price movements are interconnected and should generally follow a consistent pattern. We believe this model provides a more realistic outlook on bull and bear market cycles.
To better understand this theory, the relationships between cycle tops and bottoms are outlined below:https://www.tradingview.com/x/7Hldzsf2/
🔧Creation of the model:
For those interested in how this model was created, the process is explained here. Otherwise, feel free to skip this section.
This model is based on two separate cubic polynomial regression lines. One for the top price trend and another for the bottom. Both follow the general cubic polynomial function:
ax^3 +bx^2 + cx + d.
In this equation, x represents the weekly bar index minus an offset, while a, b, c, and d are determined through polynomial regression analysis. The input (x, y) values used for the polynomial regression analysis are as follows:
Top regression line (x, y) values:
113, 18.6
240, 1004
451, 19128
655, 65502
Bottom regression line (x, y) values:
103, 2.5
267, 211
471, 3193
676, 16255
The values above correspond to historical Bitcoin cycle tops and bottoms, where x is the weekly bar index and y is the weekly closing price of Bitcoin. The best fit is determined using metrics such as R-squared values, residual error analysis, and visual inspection. While the exact details of this evaluation are beyond the scope of this post, the following optimal parameters were found:
Top regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000202798
b: 0.0872922
c: -30.88805
d: 1827.14113
Bottom regression line parameter values:
a: 0.000138314
b: -0.0768236
c: 13.90555
d: -765.8892
📊Polynomial Regression Oscillator:
This publication also includes the oscillator version of the this model which is displayed at the bottom of the screen. The oscillator applies a logarithmic transformation to the price and the regression lines using the formula log10(x) .
The log-transformed price is then normalized using min-max normalization relative to the log-transformed top and bottom regression line with the formula:
normalized price = log(close) - log(bottom regression line) / log(top regression line) - log(bottom regression line)
This transformation results in a price value between 0 and 1 between both the regression lines.
🔍Interpretation of the Model:
In general, the red area represents a caution zone, as historically, the price has often been near its cycle market top within this range. On the other hand, the green area is considered an area of opportunity, as historically, it has corresponded to the market bottom.
The top regression line serves as a signal for the absolute market cycle peak, while the bottom regression line indicates the absolute market cycle bottom.
Additionally, this model provides a predicted range for Bitcoin's future price movements, which can be used to make extrapolated predictions. We will explore this further below.
🔮Future Predictions:
Finally, let's discuss what this model actually predicts for the potential upcoming market cycle top and the corresponding market cycle bottom. In our previous post here , a cycle interval analysis was performed to predict a likely time window for the next cycle top and bottom:
In the image, it is predicted that the next top-to-top cycle interval will be 208 weeks, which translates to November 3rd, 2025. It is also predicted that the bottom-to-top cycle interval will be 152 weeks, which corresponds to October 13th, 2025. On the macro level, these two dates align quite well. For our prediction, we take the average of these two dates: October 24th 2025. This will be our target date for the bull cycle top.
Now, let's do the same for the upcoming cycle bottom. The bottom-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 205 weeks, which translates to October 19th, 2026, and the top-to-bottom cycle interval is predicted to be 259 weeks, which corresponds to October 26th, 2026. We then take the average of these two dates, predicting a bear cycle bottom date target of October 19th, 2026.
Now that we have our predicted top and bottom cycle date targets, we can simply reference these two dates to our model, giving us the Bitcoin top price prediction in the range of 152,000 in Q4 2025 and a subsequent bottom price prediction in the range of 46,500 in Q4 2026.
For those interested in understanding what this specifically means for the predicted diminishing return top and bottom cycle values, the image below displays these predicted values. The new values are highlighted in yellow:
And of course, keep in mind that these targets are just rough estimates. While we've done our best to estimate these targets through a data-driven approach, markets will always remain unpredictable in nature. What are your targets? Feel free to share them in the comment section below.
Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram [Loxx]Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram contains two versions of Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. This indicator is meant to supplement adaptive cycle indicators that myself and others have published on Trading View, will continue to publish on Trading View. These are fast-loading, low-overhead, streamlined, exact replicas of Ehlers' work without any other adjustments or inputs.
Versions:
- 2013, Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts by John F. Ehlers
- 2016, TASC September, "Measuring Market Cycles"
Description
The Ehlers Autocorrelation study is a technical indicator used in the calculation of John F. Ehlers’s Autocorrelation Periodogram. Its main purpose is to eliminate noise from the price data, reduce effects of the “spectral dilation” phenomenon, and reveal dominant cycle periods. The spectral dilation has been discussed in several studies by John F. Ehlers; for more information on this, refer to sources in the "Further Reading" section.
As the first step, Autocorrelation uses Mr. Ehlers’s previous installment, Ehlers Roofing Filter, in order to enhance the signal-to-noise ratio and neutralize the spectral dilation. This filter is based on aerospace analog filters and when applied to market data, it attempts to only pass spectral components whose periods are between 10 and 48 bars.
Autocorrelation is then applied to the filtered data: as its name implies, this function correlates the data with itself a certain period back. As with other correlation techniques, the value of +1 would signify the perfect correlation and -1, the perfect anti-correlation.
Using values of Autocorrelation in Thermo Mode may help you reveal the cycle periods within which the data is best correlated (or anti-correlated) with itself. Those periods are displayed in the extreme colors (orange) while areas of intermediate colors mark periods of less useful cycles.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book mentioned above, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average ( KAMA ) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average ( VIDYA ) adapt to changes in volatility . By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic , relative strength index ( RSI ), commodity channel index ( CCI ), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator.This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, as we have seen in previous chapters, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
How to use this indicator
The point of the Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm is to dynamically set a period between a minimum and a maximum period length. While I leave the exact explanation of the mechanic to Dr. Ehlers’s book, for all practical intents and purposes, in my opinion, the punchline of this method is to attempt to remove a massive source of overfitting from trading system creation–namely specifying a look-back period. SMA of 50 days? 100 days? 200 days? Well, theoretically, this algorithm takes that possibility of overfitting out of your hands. Simply, specify an upper and lower bound for your look-back, and it does the rest. In addition, this indicator tells you when its best to use adaptive cycle inputs for your other indicators.
Usage Example 1
Let's say you're using "Adaptive Qualitative Quantitative Estimation (QQE) ". This indicator has the option of adaptive cycle inputs. When the "Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram " shows a period of high correlation that adaptive cycle inputs work best during that period.
Usage Example 2
Check where the dominant cycle line lines, grab that output number and inject it into your other standard indicators for the length input.
Mikula's Master 360° Square of 12Mikula’s Master 360° Square of 12
An educational W. D. Gann study indicator for price and time. Anchor a compact Square of 12 table to a start point you choose. Begin from a bar’s High or Low (or set a manual start price). From that anchor you can progress or regress the table to study how price steps through cycles in either direction.
What you’re looking at :
Zodiac rail (far left): the twelve signs.
Degree rail: 24 rows in 15° steps from 15° up to 360°/0°.
Transit rail and Natal rail: track one planet per rail. Each planet is placed at its current row (℞ shown when retrograde). As longitude advances, the planet climbs bottom → top, then wraps to the bottom at the next sign; during retrograde it steps downward.
Hover a planet’s cell to see a tooltip with its exact longitude and sign (e.g., 152.4° ♌︎). The linked price cell in the grid moves with the planet’s row so you can follow a planet’s path through the zodiac as a path through price.
Price grid (right): the 12×24 Square of 12. Each column is a cycle; cells are stepped price levels from your start price using your increment.
Bottom rail: shows the current square number and labels the twelve columns in that square.
How the square is read
The square always begins at the bottom left. Read each column bottom → top. At the top, return to the bottom of the next column and read up again. One square contains twelve cycles. Because the anchor can be a High or a Low, you can progress the table upward from the anchor or regress it downward while keeping the same bottom-to-top reading order.
Iterate Square (shifting)
Iterate Square shifts the entire 12×24 grid to the next set of twelve cycles.
Square 1 shows cycles 1–12; Square 2 shows 13–24; Square 3 shows 25–36, etc.
Visibility rules
Pivot cells are table-bound. If you shift the square beyond those prices, their highlights won’t appear in the table.
A/B levels and Transit/Natal planetary lines are chart overlays and can remain visible on the table as you shift the square.
Quick use
Choose an anchor (date/time + High/Low) or enable a manual start price .
Set the increment. If you anchored with a Low and want the table to step downward from there, use a negative value.
Optional: pick Transit and Natal planets (one per rail), toggle their plots, and hover their cells for longitude/sign.
Optional: turn on A/B levels to display repeating bands from the start price.
Optional: enable swing pivots to tint matching cells after the anchor.
Use Iterate Square to shift to later squares of twelve cycles.
Examples
These are exploratory examples to spark ideas:
Overview layout (zodiac & degree rails, Transit/Natal rails, price grid)
A-levels plotted, pivots tinted on the table, real-time price highlighted
Drawing angles from the anchor using price & time read from the table
Using a TradingView Gann box along the A-levels to study reactions
Attribution & originality
This script is an original implementation (no external code copied). Conceptual credit to Patrick Mikula, whose discussion of the Master 360° Square of 12 inspired this study’s presentation.
Further reading (neutral pointers)
Patrick Mikula, Gann’s Scientific Methods Unveiled, Vol. 2, “W. D. Gann’s Use of the Circle Chart.”
W. D. Gann’s Original Commodity Course (as provided by WDGAN.com).
No affiliation implied.
License CC BY-NC-SA 4.0 (non-commercial; please attribute @Javonnii and link the original).
Dependency AstroLib by @BarefootJoey
Disclaimer Educational use only; not financial advice.
Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
__________________________________________________________________________________
This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
__________________________________________________________________________________
For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
__________________________________________________________________________________
This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
__________________________________________________________________________________
Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Revolution SMA-EMA DivergenceThis is an MACD inspired indicator and it analyzes the difference between the SMA and EMA using the same time period. Unlike the MACD, it can give you a better understanding of the overall trend. Values above 0 is bullish and below 0 bearish. It consists of two cycles: Black histogram - the long-term cycle and orange histogram - the short-term cycle, as well as timing signal (red line).
Ehlers Adaptive Relative Strength Index (RSI) [Loxx]Ehlers Adaptive Relative Strength Index (RSI) is an implementation of RSI using Ehlers Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm to derive the length input for RSI. Other implementations of Ehers Adaptive RSI rely on the inferior Hilbert Transformer derive the dominant cycle.
In his book "Cycle Analytics for Traders Advanced Technical Trading Concepts", John F. Ehlers describes an implementation for Adaptive Relative Strength Index in order to solve for varying length inputs into the classic RSI equation.
What is an adaptive cycle, and what is the Autocorrelation Periodogram Algorithm?
From his Ehlers' book mentioned above, page 135:
"Adaptive filters can have several different meanings. For example, Perry Kaufman’s adaptive moving average (KAMA) and Tushar Chande’s variable index dynamic average (VIDYA) adapt to changes in volatility. By definition, these filters are reactive to price changes, and therefore they close the barn door after the horse is gone.The adaptive filters discussed in this chapter are the familiar Stochastic, relative strength index (RSI), commodity channel index (CCI), and band-pass filter.The key parameter in each case is the look-back period used to calculate the indicator.This look-back period is commonly a fixed value. However, since the measured cycle period is changing, as we have seen in previous chapters, it makes sense to adapt these indicators to the measured cycle period. When tradable market cycles are observed, they tend to persist for a short while.Therefore, by tuning the indicators to the measure cycle period they are optimized for current conditions and can even have predictive characteristics.
The dominant cycle period is measured using the autocorrelation periodogram algorithm. That dominant cycle dynamically sets the look-back period for the indicators. I employ my own streamlined computation for the indicators that provide smoother and easier to interpret outputs than traditional methods. Further, the indicator codes have been modified to remove the effects of spectral dilation.This basically creates a whole new set of indicators for your trading arsenal."
What is Adaptive RSI?
From his Ehlers' book mentioned above, page 137:
"The adaptive RSI starts with the computation of the dominant cycle using the autocorrelation periodogram approach. Since the objective is to use only those frequency components passed by the roofing filter, the variable "filt" is used as a data input rather than closing prices. Rather than independently taking the averages of the numerator and denominator, I chose to perform smoothing on the ratio using the SuperSmoother filter. The coefficients for the SuperSmoother filters have previously been computed in the dominant cycle measurement part of the code."
Happy trading!
Quarterly Theory ICT 05 [TradingFinder] Doubling Theory Signals🔵 Introduction
Doubling Theory is an advanced approach to price action and market structure analysis that uniquely combines time-based analysis with key Smart Money concepts such as SMT (Smart Money Technique), SSMT (Sequential SMT), Liquidity Sweep, and the Quarterly Theory ICT.
By leveraging fractal time structures and precisely identifying liquidity zones, this method aims to reveal institutional activity specifically smart money entry and exit points hidden within price movements.
At its core, the market is divided into two structural phases: Doubling 1 and Doubling 2. Each phase contains four quarters (Q1 through Q4), which follow the logic of the Quarterly Theory: Accumulation, Manipulation (Judas Swing), Distribution, and Continuation/Reversal.
These segments are anchored by the True Open, allowing for precise alignment with cyclical market behavior and providing a deeper structural interpretation of price action.
During Doubling 1, a Sequential SMT (SSMT) Divergence typically forms between two correlated assets. This time-structured divergence occurs between two swing points positioned in separate quarters (e.g., Q1 and Q2), where one asset breaks a significant low or high, while the second asset fails to confirm it. This lack of confirmation—especially when aligned with the Manipulation and Accumulation phases—often signals early smart money involvement.
Following this, the highest and lowest price points from Doubling 1 are designated as liquidity zones. As the market transitions into Doubling 2, it commonly returns to these zones in a calculated move known as a Liquidity Sweep—a sharp, engineered spike intended to trigger stop orders and pending positions. This sweep, often orchestrated by institutional players, facilitates entry into large positions with minimal slippage.
Bullish :
Bearish :
🔵 How to Use
Applying Doubling Theory requires a simultaneous understanding of temporal structure and inter-asset behavioral divergence. The method unfolds over two main phases—Doubling 1 and Doubling 2—each divided into four quarters (Q1 to Q4).
The first phase focuses on identifying a Sequential SMT (SSMT) divergence, which forms when two correlated assets (e.g., EURUSD and GBPUSD, or NQ and ES) react differently to key price levels across distinct quarters. For example, one asset may break a previous low while the other maintains structure. This misalignment—especially in Q2, the Manipulation phase—often indicates early smart money accumulation or distribution.
Once this divergence is observed, the extreme highs and lows of Doubling 1 are marked as liquidity zones. In Doubling 2, the market gravitates back toward these zones, executing a Liquidity Sweep.
This move is deliberate—designed to activate clustered stop-loss and pending orders and to exploit pockets of resting liquidity. These sweeps are typically driven by institutional forces looking to absorb liquidity and position themselves ahead of the next major price move.
The key to execution lies in the fact that, during the sweep in Doubling 2, a classic SMT divergence should also appear between the two assets. This indicates a weakening of the previous trend and adds an extra layer of confirmation.
🟣 Bullish Doubling Theory
In the bullish scenario, Doubling 1 begins with a bullish SSMT divergence, where one asset forms a lower low while the other maintains its structure. This divergence signals weakening bearish momentum and possible smart money accumulation. In Doubling 2, the market returns to the previous low and sweeps the liquidity zone—breaking below it on one asset, while the second fails to confirm, forming a bullish SMT divergence.
f this move is followed by a bullish PSP and a clear market structure break (MSB), a long entry is triggered. The stop-loss is placed just below the swept liquidity zone, while the target is set in the premium zone, anticipating a move driven by institutional buyers.
🟣 Bearish Doubling Theory
The bearish scenario follows the same structure in reverse. In Doubling 1, a bearish SSMT divergence occurs when one asset prints a higher high while the other fails to do so. This suggests distribution and weakening buying pressure. Then, in Doubling 2, the market returns to the previous high and executes a liquidity sweep, targeting trapped buyers.
A bearish SMT divergence appears, confirming the move, followed by a bearish PSP on the lower timeframe. A short position is initiated after a confirmed MSB, with the stop-loss placed
🔵 Settings
⚙️ Logical Settings
Quarterly Cycles Type : Select the time segmentation method for SMT analysis.
Available modes include : Yearly, Monthly, Weekly, Daily, 90 Minute, and Micro.
These define how the indicator divides market time into Q1–Q4 cycles.
Symbol : Choose the secondary asset to compare with the main chart asset (e.g., XAUUSD, US100, GBPUSD).
Pivot Period : Sets the sensitivity of the pivot detection algorithm. A smaller value increases responsiveness to price swings.
Pivot Sync Threshold : The maximum allowed difference (in bars) between pivots of the two assets for them to be compared.
Validity Pivot Length : Defines the time window (in bars) during which a divergence remains valid before it's considered outdated.
🎨 Display Settings
Show Cycle :Toggles the visual display of the current Quarter (Q1 to Q4) based on the selected time segmentation
Show Cycle Label : Shows the name (e.g., "Q2") of each detected Quarter on the chart.
Show Labels : Displays dynamic labels (e.g., “Q2”, “Bullish SMT”, “Sweep”) at relevant points.
Show Lines : Draws connection lines between key pivot or divergence points.
Color Settings : Allows customization of colors for bullish and bearish elements (lines, labels, and shapes)
🔔 Alert Settings
Alert Name : Custom name for the alert messages (used in TradingView’s alert system).
Message Frequenc y:
All : Every signal triggers an alert.
Once Per Bar : Alerts once per bar regardless of how many signals occur.
Per Bar Close : Only triggers when the bar closes and the signal still exists.
Time Zone Display : Choose the time zone in which alert timestamps are displayed (e.g., UTC).
Bullish SMT Divergence Alert : Enable/disable alerts specifically for bullish signals.
Bearish SMT Divergence Alert : Enable/disable alerts specifically for bearish signals
🔵 Conclusion
Doubling Theory is a powerful and structured framework within the realm of Smart Money Concepts and ICT methodology, enabling traders to detect high-probability reversal points with precision. By integrating SSMT, SMT, Liquidity Sweeps, and the Quarterly Theory into a unified system, this approach shifts the focus from reactive trading to anticipatory analysis—anchored in time, structure, and liquidity.
What makes Doubling Theory stand out is its logical synergy of time cycles, behavioral divergence, liquidity targeting, and institutional confirmation. In both bullish and bearish scenarios, it provides clearly defined entry and exit strategies, allowing traders to engage the market with confidence, controlled risk, and deeper insight into the mechanics of price manipulation and smart money footprints.
Detrended Rhythm Oscillator (DRO)How to detect the current "market beat" or market cycle?
A common way to capture the current dominant cycle length is to detrend the price and look for common rhythms in the detrended series. A common approach is to use a Detrended Price Oscillator (DPO). This is done in order to identify and isolate short-term cycles.
A basic DPO description can be found here:
www.tradingview.com
Improvements to the standard DPO
The main purpose of the standard DPO is to analyze historical data in order to observe cycle's in a market's movement. DPO can give the technical analyst a better sense of a cycle's typical high/low range as well as its duration. However, you need to manually try to "see" tops and bottoms on the detrended price and measure manually the distance from low-low or high-high in order to derive a possible cycle length.
Therefore, I added the following improvements:
1) Using a DPO to detrend the price
2) Indicate the turns of the detrended price with a ZigZag lines to better see the tops/bottoms
3) Detrend the ZigZag to remove price amplitude between turns to even better see the cyclic turns ("rhythm")
4) Measure the distance from last detrended zigzag pivot (high-high / low-low) and plot the distance in bars above/below the turn
Now, you can clearly see the rhythm of the dataset indicated by the Detrended Rhythm Oscillator including the exact length between the turns. This makes the procedure to "spot" turns and "measure" distance more simple for the trader.
How to use this information
The purpose is to check if there is a common rhythm or beat in the underlying dataset. To check that, look for recurring pattern in the numbers. E.g. if you often see the same measured distance, you can conclude that there is a major dominant cycle in this market. Also watch for harmonic relations between the numbers. So in the example above you see the highlighted cluster of detected length of around 40,80 and 120. There three numbers all have a harmonic relation to 40.
Once you have this cyclic information, you can use this number to optimize or tune technical indicators based on the current dominant cycle length. E.g. set the length parameter of a technical indicator to the detected harmonic length with the DRO indicator.
Example Use-Case
You can use this information to set the input for the following free public open-source script:
Disclaimer
This is not meant to be a technical indicator on its own and the derived cyclic length should not be used to forecast the next turn per se. The indicator should give you an indication of the current market beat or dominant beats which can be use to further optimize other oscillator or trading related settings.
Options & settings
The indicator allows to plot different versions. It allows to plot the original DPO, the DRO with ZigZag lines, the DRO with detrended ZigZag lines and length labels on/off. You can turn on or off these version in the indicator settings. So you can tweak it visually to your own needs.
Regime Classifier Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend)The Regime Classifier Oscillator (AiBitcoinTrend) is an advanced tool for understanding market structure and detecting dynamic price regimes. By combining filtered price trends, clustering algorithms, and an adaptive oscillator, it provides traders with detailed insights into market phases, including accumulation, distribution, advancement, and decline.
This innovative tool simplifies market regime classification, enabling traders to align their strategies with evolving market conditions effectively.
👽 What is a Regime Classifier, and Why is it Useful?
A Regime Classifier is a concept in financial analysis that identifies distinct market conditions or "regimes" based on price behavior and volatility. These regimes often correspond to specific phases of the market, such as trends, consolidations, or periods of high or low volatility. By classifying these regimes, traders and analysts can better understand the underlying market dynamics, allowing them to adapt their strategies to suit prevailing conditions.
👽 Common Uses in Finance
Risk Management: Identifying high-volatility regimes helps traders adjust position sizes or hedge risks.
Strategy Optimization: Traders tailor their approaches—trend-following strategies in trending regimes, mean-reversion strategies in consolidations.
Forecasting: Understanding the current regime aids in predicting potential transitions, such as a shift from accumulation to an upward breakout.
Portfolio Allocation: Investors allocate assets differently based on market regimes, such as increasing cash positions in high-volatility environments.
👽 Why It’s Important
Markets behave differently under varying conditions. A regime classifier provides a structured way to analyze these changes, offering a systematic approach to decision-making. This improves both accuracy and confidence in navigating diverse market scenarios.
👽 How We Implemented the Regime Classifier in This Indicator
The Regime Classifier Oscillator takes the foundational concept of market regime classification and enhances it with advanced computational techniques, making it highly adaptive.
👾 Median Filtering: We smooth price data using a custom median filter to identify significant trends while eliminating noise. This establishes a baseline for price movement analysis.
👾 Clustering Model: Using clustering techniques, the indicator classifies volatility and price trends into distinct regimes:
Advance: Strong upward trends with low volatility.
Decline: Downward trends marked by high volatility.
Accumulation: Consolidation phases with subdued volatility.
Distribution: Topping or bottoming patterns with elevated volatility.
This classification leverages historical price data to refine cluster boundaries dynamically, ensuring adaptive and accurate detection of market states.
Volatility Classification: Price volatility is analyzed through rolling windows, separating data into high and low volatility clusters using distance-based assignments.
Price Trends: The interaction of price levels with the filtered trendline and volatility clusters determines whether the market is advancing, declining, accumulating, or distributing.
👽 Dynamic Cycle Oscillator (DCO):
Captures cyclic behavior and overlays it with smoothed oscillations, providing real-time feedback on price momentum and potential reversals.
Regime Visualization:
Regimes are displayed with intuitive labels and background colors, offering clear, actionable insights directly on the chart.
👽 Why This Implementation Stands Out
Dynamic and Adaptive: The clustering and refit mechanisms adapt to changing market conditions, ensuring relevance across different asset classes and timeframes.
Comprehensive Insights: By combining price trends, volatility, and cyclic behaviors, the indicator provides a holistic view of the market.
This implementation bridges the gap between theoretical regime classification and practical trading needs, making it a powerful tool for both novice and experienced traders.
👽 Applications
👾 Regime-Based Trading Strategies
Traders can use the regime classifications to adapt their strategies effectively:
Advance & Accumulation: Favorable for entering or holding long positions.
Decline & Distribution: Opportunities for short positions or risk management.
👾 Oscillator Insights for Trend Analysis
Overbought/oversold conditions: Early warning of potential reversals.
Dynamic trends: Highlights the strength of price momentum.
👽 Indicator Settings
👾 Filter and Classification Settings
Filter Window Size: Controls trend detection sensitivity.
ATR Lookback: Adjusts the threshold for regime classification.
Clustering Window & Refit Interval: Fine-tunes regime accuracy.
👾 Oscillator Settings
Dynamic Cycle Oscillator Lookback: Defines the sensitivity of cycle detection.
Smoothing Factor: Balances responsiveness and stability.
Disclaimer: This information is for entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Wall Street Cheat Sheet IndicatorThe Wall Street Cheat Sheet Indicator is a unique tool designed to help traders identify the psychological stages of the market cycle based on the well-known Wall Street Cheat Sheet. This indicator integrates moving averages and RSI to dynamically label market stages, providing clear visual cues on the chart.
Key Features:
Dynamic Stage Identification: The indicator automatically detects and labels market stages such as Disbelief, Hope, Optimism, Belief, Thrill, Euphoria, Complacency, Anxiety, Denial, Panic, Capitulation, Anger, and Depression. These stages are derived from the emotional phases of market participants, helping traders anticipate market movements.
Technical Indicators: The script uses two key technical indicators:
200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): Helps identify long-term market trends.
50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA): Aids in recognizing medium-term trends.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): Assesses the momentum and potential reversal points based on overbought and oversold conditions.
Clear Visual Labels: The current market stage is displayed directly on the chart, making it easy to spot trends and potential turning points.
Usefulness:
This indicator is not just a simple mashup of existing tools. It uniquely combines the concept of market psychology with practical technical analysis tools (moving averages and RSI). By labeling the psychological stages of the market cycle, it provides traders with a deeper understanding of market sentiment and potential future movements.
How It Works:
Disbelief: Detected when the price is below the 200-day SMA and RSI is in the oversold territory, indicating a potential bottom.
Hope: Triggered when the price crosses above the 50-day SMA, with RSI starting to rise but still below 50, suggesting an early uptrend.
Optimism: Occurs when the price is above the 50-day SMA and RSI is between 50 and 70, indicating a strengthening trend.
Belief: When the price is well above the 50-day SMA and RSI is between 70 and 80, showing strong bullish momentum.
Thrill and Euphoria: Identified when RSI exceeds 80, indicating overbought conditions and potential for a peak.
Complacency to Depression: These stages are identified based on price corrections and drops relative to moving averages and declining RSI values.
Best Practices:
High-Time Frame Focus: This indicator works best on high-time frame charts, specifically the 1-week Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) chart. The longer time frame provides a clearer picture of the overall market cycle and reduces noise.
Trend Confirmation: Use in conjunction with other technical analysis tools such as trendlines, Fibonacci retracement levels, and support/resistance zones for more robust trading strategies.
How to Use:
Add the Indicator: Apply the Wall Street Cheat Sheet Indicator to your TradingView chart.
Analyze Market Stages: Observe the dynamic labels indicating the current stage of the market cycle.
Make Informed Decisions: Use the insights from the indicator to time your entries and exits, aligning your trades with the market sentiment.
This indicator is a valuable tool for traders looking to understand market psychology and make informed trading decisions based on the stages of the market cycle.
TASC 2022.11 Phasor Analysis█ OVERVIEW
TASC's November 2022 edition Traders' Tips includes an article by John Ehlers titled "Recurring Phase Of Cycle Analysis". This is the code that implements the phasor analysis indicator presented in this publication.
█ CONCEPTS
The article explores the use of phasor analysis to identify market trends.
An ordinary rotating phasor diagram is a two-dimensional vector, anchored to the origin, whose rotation rate corresponds to the cycle period in the price data stream. Similarly, Ehlers' phasor is a representation of angular phase rotation along the course of time. Its angle reflects the current phase of the cycle. Angles -180, -90, +90 and +180 degrees correspond to the beginning, valley, peak and end of the cycle, respectively.
If the observed cycle is very long, the market can be considered trending . In his article, John Ehlers defined trending behavior to occur when the derived instantaneous cycle period value is greater that 60 bars. The author also introduced guidelines for long and short entries in a trending state. Depending on the tuning of the indicator period input, a long entry position may occur when the phasor angle is around the approximate vicinity of −90 degrees, while a short entry position may occur when the phasor angle will be around the approximate vicinity of +90 degrees. Applying these definitive guidelines, the author proposed a state variable that is indicated by +1 for a trending long position, 0 for cycling, and −1 for a trending short position (or out).
The phasor angle, the cycle period, and the state variable are made available with three selectable display modes provided for this TradingView indicator.
█ CALCULATIONS
The calculations are carried out as follows.
First, the price data stream is correlated with cosine and sine of a fixed cycle period. This produces two new data streams that correspond to the projections of the frequency domain phasor diagram to the horizontal (so-called real ) and vertical (so-called imaginary ) axis respectively. The wavelength of the cycle period input should be set for the midrange vicinities of the phasor to coincide with the peaks and valleys of the charted price data.
Secondly, the phase angle of the phasor is easily computed as the arctangent of the ratio of the imaginary component to the real component. The difference between the current phasor values and its last is then employed to calculate a derived instantaneous period and market state. This computation is then repeated successively for each individual bar over the entire duration of the data set.
Bitcoin Power Law Clock [LuxAlgo]The Bitcoin Power Law Clock is a unique representation of Bitcoin prices proposed by famous Bitcoin analyst and modeler Giovanni Santostasi.
It displays a clock-like figure with the Bitcoin price and average lines as spirals, as well as the 12, 3, 6, and 9 hour marks as key points in the cycle.
🔶 USAGE
Giovanni Santostasi, Ph.D., is the creator and discoverer of the Bitcoin Power Law Theory. He is passionate about Bitcoin and has 12 years of experience analyzing it and creating price models.
As we can see in the above chart, the tool is super intuitive. It displays a clock-like figure with the current Bitcoin price at 10:20 on a 12-hour scale.
This tool only works on the 1D INDEX:BTCUSD chart. The ticker and timeframe must be exact to ensure proper functionality.
According to the Bitcoin Power Law Theory, the key cycle points are marked at the extremes of the clock: 12, 3, 6, and 9 hours. According to the theory, the current Bitcoin prices are in a frenzied bull market on their way to the top of the cycle.
🔹 Enable/Disable Elements
All of the elements on the clock can be disabled. If you disable them all, only an empty space will remain.
The different charts above show various combinations. Traders can customize the tool to their needs.
🔹 Auto scale
The clock has an auto-scale feature that is enabled by default. Traders can adjust the size of the clock by disabling this feature and setting the size in the settings panel.
The image above shows different configurations of this feature.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 Price
Price: Enable/disable price spiral, select color, and enable/disable curved mode
Average: Enable/disable average spiral, select color, and enable/disable curved mode
🔹 Style
Auto scale: Enable/disable automatic scaling or set manual fixed scaling for the spirals
Lines width: Width of each spiral line
Text Size: Select text size for date tags and price scales
Prices: Enable/disable price scales on the x-axis
Handle: Enable/disable clock handle
Halvings: Enable/disable Halvings
Hours: Enable/disable hours and key cycle points
🔹 Time & Price Dashboard
Show Time & Price: Enable/disable time & price dashboard
Location: Dashboard location
Size: Dashboard size
Clock&Flow MM+InfoThis script is an indicator that helps you visualize various moving averages directly on the price chart and gain some additional insights.
Here's what it essentially does:
Displays Different Moving Averages: You can choose to see groups of moving averages with different periods, set to nominal cyclical durations. You can also opt to configure them for instruments traded with classic or extended trading hours (great for Futures), and they'll adapt to your chosen timeframe.
Colored Bands: It allows you to add colored bands to the background of the chart that change weekly or daily, helping you visualize time cycles. You can customize the band colors.
Information Table: A small table appears in a corner of the chart, indicating which cycle the moving averages belong to (daily, weekly, monthly, etc.), corresponding to the timeframe you are using on the chart.
Customization: You can easily enable or disable the various groups of moving averages or the colored bands through the indicator's settings.
It's a useful tool for traders who use moving averages to identify trends and support/resistance levels, and who want a quick overview of market cycles.
Questo script è un indicatore che aiuta a visualizzare diverse medie mobili direttamente sul grafico dei prezzi e a ottenere alcune informazioni aggiuntive.
In pratica, fa queste cose:
Mostra diverse medie mobili: Puoi scegliere di vedere gruppi di medie mobili con periodi diversi impostati sulle durate cicliche nominali. Puoi scegliere se impostarle per uno strumento quotato con orario di negoziazione classico o esteso (ottimo per i Futures) e si adattano al tuo timeframe).
Bande colorate: Ti permette di aggiungere delle bande colorate sullo sfondo del grafico che cambiano ogni settimana o ogni giorno, per aiutarti a visualizzare i cicli temporali. Puoi scegliere il colore delle bande.
Tabella informativa: In un angolo del grafico, compare una piccola tabella che indica a quale ciclo appartengono le medie mobili (giornaliero, settimanale, mensile, ecc.) e corrispondono in base al timeframe che stai usando sul grafico.
Personalizzazione: Puoi facilmente attivare o disattivare i vari gruppi di medie mobili o le bande colorate tramite le impostazioni dell'indicatore.
È uno strumento utile per i trader che usano le medie mobili per identificare trend e supporti/resistenze, e che vogliono avere un colpo d'occhio sui cicli di mercato.
Economic Seasons [Daveatt]Ever wondered what season your economy is in?
Just like Mother Nature has her four seasons, the economy cycles through its own seasons! This indicator helps you visualize where we are in the economic cycle by tracking two key metrics:
📊 What We're Tracking:
1. Interest Rates (USIRYY) - The yearly change in interest rates
2. Inflation Rate (USINTR) - The rate at which prices are rising
The magic happens when we normalize these values (fancy math that makes the numbers play nice together) and compare them to their recent averages. We use a lookback period to calculate the standard deviation and determine if we're seeing higher or lower than normal readings.
🔄 The Four Economic Seasons & Investment Strategy:
1. 🌸 Goldilocks (↑Growth, ↓Inflation)
"Not too hot, not too cold" - The economy is growing steadily without overheating.
BEST TIME TO: Buy growth stocks, technology, consumer discretionary
WHY: Companies can grow earnings in this ideal environment of low rates and stable prices
2. 🌞 Reflation (↑Growth, ↑Inflation)
"Party time... but watch your wallet!" - The economy is heating up.
BEST TIME TO: Buy commodities, banking stocks, real estate
WHY: These sectors thrive when inflation rises alongside growth
3. 🌡️ Inflation (↓Growth, ↑Inflation)
"Ouch, my purchasing power!" - Growth slows while prices keep rising.
BEST TIME TO: Rotate into value stocks, consumer staples, healthcare
WHY: These defensive sectors maintain pricing power during inflationary periods
4. ❄️ Deflation (↓Growth, ↓Inflation)
"Winter is here" - Both growth and inflation are falling.
BEST TIME TO: Focus on quality bonds, cash positions, and dividend aristocrats
WHY: Capital preservation becomes key; high-quality fixed income provides safety
🎯 Strategic Trading Points:
- BUY AGGRESSIVELY: During late Deflation/early Goldilocks (the spring thaw)
- HOLD & ACCUMULATE: Throughout Goldilocks and early Reflation
- START TAKING PROFITS: During late Reflation/early Inflation
- DEFENSIVE POSITIONING: Throughout Inflation and Deflation
⚠️ Warning Signs to Watch:
- Goldilocks → Reflation: Time to reduce growth stock exposure
- Reflation → Inflation: Begin rotating into defensive sectors
- Inflation → Deflation: Quality becomes crucial
- Deflation → Goldilocks: Start building new positions
The blue dot shows you where we are right now in this cycle.
The red arrows in the middle remind us that this is a continuous cycle - one season flows into the next, just like in nature!
💡 Pro Tip: The transitions between seasons often provide the best opportunities - but also the highest risks. Use additional indicators and fundamental analysis to confirm these shifts.
Remember: Just like you wouldn't wear a winter coat in summer, you shouldn't use a Goldilocks strategy during Inflation! Time your trades with the seasons. 🎯
Happy Trading! 📈
[GYTS] Filters ToolkitFilters Toolkit indicator
🌸 Part of GoemonYae Trading System (GYTS) 🌸
🌸 --------- 1. INTRODUCTION --------- 🌸
💮 Overview
The GYTS Filters Toolkit indicator is an advanced, interactive interface built atop the high‐performance, curated functions provided by the FiltersToolkit library . It allows traders to experiment with different combinations of filtering methods -— from smoothing low-pass filters to aggressive detrenders. With this toolkit, you can build custom indicators tailored to your specific trading strategy, whether you're looking for trend following, mean reversion, or cycle identification approaches.
🌸 --------- 2. FILTER METHODS AND TYPES --------- 🌸
💮 Filter categories
The available filters fall into four main categories, each marked with a distinct symbol:
🌗 Low Pass Filters (Smoothers)
These filters attenuate high-frequency components (noise) while allowing low-frequency components (trends) to pass through. Examples include:
Ultimate Smoother
Super Smoother (2-pole and 3-pole variants)
MESA Adaptive Moving Average (MAMA) and Following Adaptive Moving Average (FAMA)
BiQuad Low Pass Filter
ADXvma (Adaptive Directional Volatility Moving Average)
A2RMA (Adaptive Autonomous Recursive Moving Average)
Low pass filters are displayed on the price chart by default, as they follow the overall price movement. If they are combined with a high-pass or bandpass filter, they will be displayed in the subgraph.
🌓 High Pass Filters (Detrenders)
These filters do the opposite of low pass filters - they remove low-frequency components (trends) while allowing high-frequency components to pass through. Examples include:
Butterworth High Pass Filter
BiQuad High Pass Filter
High pass filters are displayed as oscillators in the subgraph below the price chart, as they fluctuate around a zero line.
🌑 Band Pass Filters (Cycle Isolators)
These filters combine aspects of both low and high pass filters, isolating specific frequency ranges while attenuating both higher and lower frequencies. Examples include:
Ehlers Bandpass Filter
Cyber Cycle
Relative Vigor Index (RVI)
BiQuad Bandpass Filter
Band pass filters are also displayed as oscillators in a separate panel.
🔮 Predictive Filter
Voss Predictive Filter: A special filter that attempts to predict future values of band-limited signals (only to be used as post-filter). Keep its prediction horizon short (1–3 bars) for reasonable accuracy.
Note that the the library contains elaborate documentation and source material of each filter.
🌸 --------- 3. INDICATOR FEATURES --------- 🌸
💮 Multi-filter configuration
One of the most powerful aspects of this indicator is the ability to configure multiple filters. compare them and observe their combined effects. There are four primary filters, each with its own parameter settings.
💮 Post-filtering
Process a filter’s output through an additional filter by enabling the post-filter option. This creates a filter chain where the output of one filter becomes the input to another. Some powerful combinations include:
Ultimate Smoother → MAMA: Creates an adaptive smoothing effect that responds well to market changes, good for trend-following strategies
Butterworth → Super Smoother → Butterworth: Produces a well-behaved oscillator with minimal phase distortion, John Ehlers also calls a "roofing filter". Great for identifying overbought/oversold conditions with minimal lag.
A bandpass filter → Voss Prediction filter: Attempts to predict future movements of cyclical components, handy to find peaks and troughs of the market cycle.
💮 Aggregate filters
Arguably the coolest feature: aggregating filters allow you to combine multiple filters with different weights. Important notes about aggregation:
You can only aggregate filters that appear on the same chart (price chart or oscillator panel).
The weights are automatically normalised, so only their relative values matter
Setting a weight to 0 (zero) excludes that filter from the aggregation
Filters don't need to be visibly displayed to be included in aggregation
💮 Rich visualisation & alerts
The indicator intelligently determines whether a filter is displayed on the price chart or in the subgraph (as an oscillator) based on its characteristics.
Dynamic colour palettes, adjustable line widths, transparency, and custom fill between any of enabled filters or between oscillators and the zero-line.
A clear legend showing which filters are active and how they're configured
Alerts for direction changes and crossovers of all filters
🌸 --------- 4. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --------- 🌸
This toolkit builds on the work of numerous pioneers in technical analysis and digital signal processing:
John Ehlers, whose groundbreaking research forms the foundation of many filters.
Robert Bristow-Johnson for the BiQuad filter formulations.
The TradingView community, especially @The_Peaceful_Lizard, @alexgrover, and others mentioned in the code of the library.
Everyone who has provided feedback, testing and support!
WD Gann: Close Price X Bars Ago with Line or Candle PlotThis indicator is inspired by the principles of WD Gann, a legendary trader known for his groundbreaking methods in time and price analysis. It helps traders track the close price of a security from X bars ago, a technique that is often used to identify key price levels in relation to past price movements. This concept is essential for Gann’s market theories, which emphasize the relationship between time and price.
WD Gann’s analysis often revolved around specific numbers that he considered significant, many of which correspond to squared numbers (e.g., 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49, 64, 81, 100, 121, 144, 169, 196, 225, 256, 289, 324, 361, 400, 441, 484, 529, 576, 625, 676, 729, 784, 841, 900, 961, 1024, 1089, 1156, 1225, 1296, 1369, 1444, 1521, 1600, 1681, 1764, 1849, 1936). These numbers are believed to represent natural rhythms and cycles in the market. This indicator can help you explore how past price levels align with these significant numbers, potentially revealing key price zones that could act as support, resistance, or reversal points.
Key Features:
- Historical Close Price Calculation: The indicator calculates and displays the close price of a security from X bars ago (where X is customizable). This method aligns with Gann's focus on price relationships over specific time intervals, providing traders with valuable reference points to assess market conditions.
- Customizable Plot Type: You can choose between two plot types for visualizing the historical close price:
- Line Plot: A simple line that represents the close price from X bars ago, ideal for those who prefer a clean and continuous representation.
- Candle Plot: Displays the close price as a candlestick chart, providing a more detailed view with open, high, low, and close prices from X bars ago.
- Candle Color Coding: For the candle plot type, the script color-codes the candles. Green candles appear when the close price from X bars ago is higher than the open price, indicating bullish sentiment; red candles appear when the close is lower, indicating bearish sentiment. This color coding gives a quick visual cue to market sentiment.
- Customizable Number of Bars: You can adjust the number of bars (X) to look back, providing flexibility for analyzing different timeframes. Whether you're conducting short-term or long-term analysis, this input can be fine-tuned to suit your trading strategy.
- Gann Method Application: WD Gann's methods involved analyzing price action over specific time periods to predict future movements. This indicator offers traders a way to assess how the price of a security has behaved in the past in relation to a chosen time interval, a critical concept in Gann's theories.
How to Use:
1. Input Settings:
- Number of Bars (X): Choose the number of bars to look back (e.g., 100, 200, or any custom period).
- Plot Type: Select whether to display the data as a Line or Candles.
2. Interpretation:
- Using the Line plot, observe how the close price from X bars ago compares to the current market price.
- Using the Candles plot, analyze the full price action of the chosen bar from X bars ago, noting how the close price relates to the open, high, and low of that bar.
3. Gann Analysis: Integrate this indicator into your broader Gann-based analysis. By looking at past price levels and their relationship to significant squared numbers, traders can uncover potential key levels of support and resistance or even potential reversal points. The historical close price can act as a benchmark for predicting future market movements.
Suggestions on WD Gann's Emphasis in Trading:
WD Gann’s trading methods were rooted in several key principles that emphasized the relationship between time and price. These principles are vital to understanding how the "Close Price X Bars Ago" indicator fits into his overall analysis:
1. Time Cycles: Gann believed that markets move in cyclical patterns. By studying price levels from specific time intervals, traders can spot these cycles and predict future market behavior. This indicator allows you to see how the close price from X bars ago relates to current market conditions, helping to spot cyclical highs and lows.
2. Price and Time Squaring: A core concept in Gann’s theory is that certain price levels and time periods align, often marking significant reversal points. The squared numbers (e.g., 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, etc.) serve as potential key levels where price and time might "square" to create support or resistance. This indicator helps traders spot these historical price levels and their potential relevance to future price action.
3. Geometric Angles: Gann used angles (like the 45-degree angle) to predict market movements, with the belief that prices move at specific geometric angles over time. This indicator gives traders a reference for past price levels, which could align with key angles, helping traders predict future price movement based on Gann's geometry.
4. Numerology and Key Intervals: Gann paid particular attention to numbers that held significance, including squared numbers and numbers related to the Fibonacci sequence. This indicator allows traders to analyze price levels based on these key numbers, which can help in identifying potential turning points in the market.
5. Support and Resistance Levels: Gann’s methods often involved identifying levels of support and resistance based on past price action. By tracking the close price from X bars ago, traders can identify past support and resistance levels that may become significant again in future market conditions.
Perfect for:
Traders using WD Gann’s methods, such as Gann angles, time cycles, and price theory.
Analysts who focus on historical price levels to predict future price action.
Those who rely on numerology and geometric principles in their trading strategies.
By integrating this indicator into your trading strategy, you gain a powerful tool for analyzing market cycles and price movements in relation to key time intervals. The ability to track and compare the historical close price to significant numbers—like Gann’s squared numbers—can provide valuable insights into potential support, resistance, and reversal points.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is based on the methods and principles of WD Gann and is for educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should not trade with money that you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The use of this indicator is at your own discretion and risk. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Financial Astrology Indexes ML Daily TrendDaily trend indicator based on financial astrology cycles detected with advanced machine learning techniques for some of the most important market indexes: DJI, UK100, SPX, IBC, IXIC, NI225, BANKNIFTY, NIFTY and GLD fund (not index) for Gold predictions. The daily price trend is forecasted through planets cycles (angular aspects, speed phases, declination zone), fast cycles are based on Moon, Mercury, Venus and Sun and Mid term cycles are based on Mars, Vesta and Ceres . The combination of all this cycles produce a daily price trend prediction that is encoded into a PineScript array using binary format "0 or 1" that represent sell and buy signals respectively. The indicator provides signals since 2021-01-01 to 2022-12-31, the past months signals purpose is to support backtesting of the indicator combined with other technical indicator entries like MAs, RSI or Stochastic . For future predictions besides 2022 a machine learning models re-train phase will be required.
When the signal moving average is increasing from 0 to 1 indicates an increase of buy force, when is decreasing from 1 to 0 indicates an increase in sell force, finally, when is sideways around the 0.4-0.6 area predicts a period of buy/sell forces equilibrium, traders indecision which result in a price congestion within a narrow price range.
We also have published same indicator for Crypto-Currencies research portfolio:
DISCLAIMER: This indicator is experimental and don’t provide financial or investment advice, the main purpose is to demonstrate the predictive power of financial astrology. Any allocation of funds following the documented machine learning model prediction is a high-risk endeavour and it’s the users responsibility to practice healthy risk management according to your situation.
True Seasonal Pattern [tradeviZion]True Seasonal Pattern: Uncover Hidden Market Cycles
Markets have rhythms and patterns that repeat with surprising regularity. The True Seasonal Pattern indicator reveals these hidden cycles across different timeframes, helping you anticipate potential market movements based on historical seasonal tendencies.
What This Indicator Does
The True Seasonal Pattern analyzes years of historical price data to identify recurring seasonal trends. It then plots these patterns on your chart, showing you both the historical pattern and future projection based on past seasonal behavior.
Automatic Timeframe Detection: Works with Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts
Historical Pattern Analysis: Analyzes up to 100 years of data (customizable)
Future Projection: Projects the seasonal pattern ahead on your chart
Smart Smoothing: Applies appropriate smoothing based on your timeframe
How to Use This Indicator
Add the indicator to a Daily, Weekly, or Monthly chart (not designed for intraday timeframes)
The indicator automatically detects your chart's timeframe
The blue line shows the historical seasonal pattern
Watch for potential turning points in the pattern that align with other technical signals
Seasonal patterns work best as a supporting factor in your analysis, not as standalone trading signals. They are particularly effective in markets with well-established seasonal influences.
Best Applications
Futures Markets: Commodities and futures often show strong seasonal tendencies due to production cycles, weather patterns, and economic factors
Stock Indices: Many stock markets demonstrate regular seasonal patterns (like the "Sell in May" phenomenon)
Individual Stocks: Companies with seasonal business cycles often show predictable price patterns
Practical Applications
Identify potential turning points based on historical seasonal patterns
Plan entries and exits around seasonal tendencies
Add seasonal context to your existing technical analysis
Understand why certain months or periods might show consistent behavior
Pro Tip: For best results, use this tool on instruments with at least 5+ years of historical data. Longer timeframes often reveal more reliable seasonal patterns.
Important Notes
This indicator works best on Daily, Weekly, and Monthly timeframes - not intraday charts
Seasonal patterns are tendencies, not guarantees
Always combine seasonal analysis with other technical tools
Past patterns may not repeat exactly in the future
// Sample of the seasonal calculation approach
float yearHigh = array.max(currentYearHighs)
float yearLow = array.min(currentYearLows)
// Calculate seasonality for each period
for i = 0 to array.size(currentYearCloses) - 1
float periodClose = array.get(currentYearCloses, i)
if not na(periodClose) and yearHigh != yearLow
float seasonality = (periodClose - yearLow) / (yearHigh - yearLow) * 100
I developed this indicator to help traders incorporate seasonal analysis into their trading approach without the complexity of traditional seasonal tools. Whether you're analyzing agricultural commodities, energy futures, or stock indices, understanding the seasonal context can provide valuable insights for your trading decisions.
Remember: Markets don't always follow seasonal patterns, but when they do, being aware of these tendencies can give you a meaningful edge in your analysis.
ZigCycleBarCount [MsF]Japanese below / 日本語説明は英文の後にあります。
Based on "ZigZag++" indicator by DevLucem. Thanks for the great indicator.
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This indicator that displays the candle count (bar count) at the peaks of Zigzag .
It also displays the price of the peaks.
You can easily count candles (bars) from peak to peak. Helpful for candles (bars) in cycle theory.
This logic of the indicator is based from the mt4 zigzag indicator .
Parameter:
Depth = depth (price range)
Backstep = Period
Deviation ＝ Percentage of how much the price has wrapped around the previous line.
Example:
Depth = 12
Backstep = 3
Deviation = 5
In this case, the price range is updated by 12 pips or more (Depth), and after 3 or more candlesticks line up (Backstep), if the price deviates from the previous line by 5% or more (Deviation), a peak is added.
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Zigzagの頂点にローソクカウント（バーカウント）を表示するインジケータです。
頂点の価格も表示します。
頂点から頂点までのローソク（バー）を容易にカウントすることができます。
サイクル理論のローソク（バー）に役立ちます。
Zigzagロジック自体はMT4のzigzagインジケータを流用しています。
＜パラメータ＞
Depth＝深さ（値幅）
Backstep＝期間
Deviation＝価格がどれだけ直前のラインの折り返したかの割合
例：
Depth＝12
Backstep＝3
Deviation＝5
この場合、値幅を12pips以上更新し（Depth）、ローソク足が3本以上並んだ後（Backstep）、価格が直前のラインの5％以上折り返せば（Deviation）、頂点を付けます。
＜表示オプション＞
Label_Style = "TEXT"…テキスト表示、"BALLOON"…吹き出し表示
BTC Dominance Zones (For Altseason)Overview
The "BTC Dominance Zones (For Altseason)" indicator is a visual tool designed to help traders navigate the different phases of the altcoin market cycle by tracking Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D).
It provides clear, color-coded zones directly on the BTC.D chart, offering an intuitive roadmap for the progression of alt season.
Purpose & Problem Solved
Many traders often miss altcoin rotations or get caught at market tops due to emotional decision-making or a lack of a clear framework. This indicator aims to solve that problem by providing an objective, historically informed guide based on Bitcoin Dominance, helping users to prepare before the market makes its decisive moves. It distils complex market dynamics into easily digestible sections.
Key Features & Components
Color-Coded Horizontal Zones: The indicator draws fixed horizontal bands on the BTC.D chart, each representing a distinct phase of the altcoin market cycle.
Descriptive Labels: Each zone is clearly labeled with its strategic meaning (e.g., "Alts are dead," "Danger Zone") and the corresponding BTC.D percentage range, positioned to the right of the price action for clarity.
Consistent Aesthetics: All text within the labels is rendered in white for optimal visibility across the colored zones.
Symbol Restriction: The indicator includes an automatic check to ensure it only draws its visuals when applied specifically to the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart. If applied to another chart, it displays a helpful message and remains invisible to prevent confusion.
Methodology & Interpretation
The indicator's methodology is based on the historical behavior of Bitcoin Dominance during various market cycles, particularly the 2021 bull run. Each zone provides a specific interpretation for altcoin strategy:
Grey Zone (BTC.D 60-70%+): "Alts Are Dead"
Interpretation: When Bitcoin Dominance is in this grey zone (typically above 60%), Bitcoin is king, and capital remains concentrated in BTC. This indicates that alt season is largely inactive or "dead". This phase is generally not conducive for aggressive altcoin trading.
Blue Zone (BTC.D 55-60%): "Alt Season Loading"
Interpretation: As BTC.D drops into this blue zone (below 60%), it signals that the market is "heating up" for altcoins. This is the time to start planning and executing your initial positions in high-conviction large-cap and strong narrative plays, as capital begins to look for more risk.
Green Zone (BTC.D 50-55%): "Alt Season Underway"
Interpretation: Entering this green zone (below 55%) signifies that "real momentum" is building, and alt season is genuinely "underway". Money is actively flowing from Ethereum into large and mid-cap altcoins. If you've positioned correctly, your portfolio should be showing strong gains in this phase.
Orange Zone (BTC.D 45-50%): "Alt Season Ending"
Interpretation: As BTC.D dips into this orange zone (below 50%), it suggests that altcoin dominance is reaching its peak, indicating the "ending" phase of alt season. While euphoria might be high, this is a critical warning zone to prepare for profit-taking, as it's a phase of "peak risk".
Red Zone (BTC.D Below 45%): "Danger Zone - Alts Overheated"
Interpretation: This red zone (below 45%) is the most critical "DANGER ZONE". It historically marks the point of maximum froth and risk, where altcoins are overheated. This is the decisive signal to aggressively take profits, de-risk, and exit positions to preserve your capital before a potential sharp correction. Historically, dominance has gone as low as 39-40% in this phase.
How to Use
Open TradingView and search for the BTC.D symbol to load the Bitcoin Dominance chart and view the indicator.
Double click the indicator to access settings.
Inputs/Settings
The indicator's zone boundaries are set to historically relevant levels for consistency with the Alt Season Blueprint strategy. However, the colors of each zone are fully customizable through the indicator's settings, allowing users to personalize the visual appearance to their preference. You can access these color options in the indicator's "Settings" menu once it's added to your chart.
Disclaimer
This indicator is provided for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions.
About the Author
This indicator was developed by Nick from Lab of Crypto.
Release Notes
v1.0 (June 2025): Initial release featuring color-coded horizontal BTC.D zones with descriptive labels, based on Alt Season Blueprint strategy. Includes symbol restriction for correct chart application and consistent white text.
EMD Oscillator (Zeiierman)█ Overview
The Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) Oscillator is an advanced indicator designed to analyze market trends and cycles with high precision. It breaks down complex price data into simpler parts called Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs), allowing traders to see underlying patterns and trends that aren’t visible with traditional indicators. The result is a dynamic oscillator that provides insights into overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction and strength. This indicator is suitable for all types of traders, from beginners to advanced, looking to gain deeper insights into market behavior.
█ How It Works
The core of this indicator is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) process, a method typically used in signal processing and advanced scientific fields. It works by breaking down price data into various “layers,” each representing different frequencies in the market’s movement. Imagine peeling layers off an onion: each layer (or IMF) reveals a different aspect of the price action.
⚪ Data Decomposition (Sifting): The indicator “sifts” through historical price data to detect natural oscillations within it. Each oscillation (or IMF) highlights a unique rhythm in price behavior, from rapid fluctuations to broader, slower trends.
⚪ Adaptive Signal Reconstruction: The EMD Oscillator allows traders to select specific IMFs for a custom signal reconstruction. This reconstructed signal provides a composite view of market behavior, showing both short-term cycles and long-term trends based on which IMFs are included.
⚪ Normalization: To make the oscillator easy to interpret, the reconstructed signal is scaled between -1 and 1. This normalization lets traders quickly spot overbought and oversold conditions, as well as trend direction, without worrying about the raw magnitude of price changes.
The indicator adapts to changing market conditions, making it effective for identifying real-time market cycles and potential turning points.
█ Key Calculations: The Math Behind the EMD Oscillator
The EMD Oscillator’s advanced nature lies in its high-level mathematical operations:
⚪ Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs)
IMFs are extracted from the data and act as the building blocks of this indicator. Each IMF is a unique oscillation within the price data, similar to how a band might be divided into treble, mid, and bass frequencies. In the EMD Oscillator:
Higher-Frequency IMFs: Represent short-term market “noise” and quick fluctuations.
Lower-Frequency IMFs: Capture broader market trends, showing more stable and long-term patterns.
⚪ Sifting Process: The Heart of EMD
The sifting process isolates each IMF by repeatedly separating and refining the data. Think of this as filtering water through finer and finer mesh sieves until only the clearest parts remain. Mathematically, it involves:
Extrema Detection: Finding all peaks and troughs (local maxima and minima) in the data.
Envelope Calculation: Smoothing these peaks and troughs into upper and lower envelopes using cubic spline interpolation (a method for creating smooth curves between data points).
Mean Removal: Calculating the average between these envelopes and subtracting it from the data to isolate one IMF. This process repeats until the IMF criteria are met, resulting in a clean oscillation without trend influences.
⚪ Spline Interpolation
The cubic spline interpolation is an advanced mathematical technique that allows smooth curves between points, which is essential for creating the upper and lower envelopes around each IMF. This interpolation solves a tridiagonal matrix (a specialized mathematical problem) to ensure that the envelopes align smoothly with the data’s natural oscillations.
To give a relatable example: imagine drawing a smooth line that passes through each peak and trough of a mountain range on a map. Spline interpolation ensures that line is as smooth and close to reality as possible. Achieving this in Pine Script is technically demanding and demonstrates a high level of mathematical coding.
⚪ Amplitude Normalization
To make the oscillator more readable, the final signal is scaled by its maximum amplitude. This amplitude normalization brings the oscillator into a range of -1 to 1, creating consistent signals regardless of price level or volatility.
█ Comparison with Other Signal Processing Methods
Unlike standard technical indicators that often rely on fixed parameters or pre-defined mathematical functions, the EMD adapts to the data itself, capturing natural cycles and irregularities in real-time. For example, if the market becomes more volatile, EMD adjusts automatically to reflect this without requiring parameter changes from the trader. In this way, it behaves more like a “smart” indicator, intuitively adapting to the market, unlike most traditional methods. EMD’s adaptive approach is akin to AI’s ability to learn from data, making it both resilient and robust in non-linear markets. This makes it a great alternative to methods that struggle in volatile environments, such as fixed-parameter oscillators or moving averages.
█ How to Use
Identify Market Cycles and Trends: Use the EMD Oscillator to spot market cycles that represent phases of buying or selling pressure. The smoothed version of the oscillator can help highlight broader trends, while the main oscillator reveals immediate cycles.
Spot Overbought and Oversold Levels: When the oscillator approaches +1 or -1, it may indicate that the market is overbought or oversold, signaling potential entry or exit points.
Confirm Divergences: If the price movement diverges from the oscillator's direction, it may indicate a potential reversal. For example, if prices make higher highs while the oscillator makes lower highs, it could be a sign of weakening trend strength.
█ Settings
Window Length (N): Defines the number of historical bars used for EMD analysis. A larger window captures more data but may slow down performance.
Number of IMFs (M): Sets how many IMFs to extract. Higher values allow for a more detailed decomposition, isolating smaller cycles within the data.
Amplitude Window (L): Controls the length of the window used for amplitude calculation, affecting the smoothness of the normalized oscillator.
Extraction Range (IMF Start and End): Allows you to select which IMFs to include in the reconstructed signal. Starting with lower IMFs captures faster cycles, while ending with higher IMFs includes slower, trend-based components.
Sifting Stopping Criterion (S-number): Sets how precisely each IMF should be refined. Higher values yield more accurate IMFs but take longer to compute.
Max Sifting Iterations (num_siftings): Limits the number of sifting iterations for each IMF extraction, balancing between performance and accuracy.
Source: The price data used for the analysis, such as close or open prices. This determines which price movements are decomposed by the indicator.
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Disclaimer
The information contained in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities of any type. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
