Bitcoin Macro Trend Map [Ox_kali]
## Introduction
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” script is designed to provide a comprehensive analysis of Bitcoin’s macroeconomic trends. By leveraging a unique combination of Bitcoin-specific macroeconomic indicators, this script helps traders identify potential market peaks and troughs with greater accuracy. It synthesizes data from multiple sources to offer a probabilistic view of market excesses, whether overbought or oversold conditions.
This script offers significant value for the following reasons:
1. Holistic Market Analysis : It integrates a diverse set of indicators that cover various aspects of the Bitcoin market, from investor sentiment and market liquidity to mining profitability and network health. This multi-faceted approach provides a more complete picture of the market than relying on a single indicator.
2. Customization and Flexibility : Users can customize the script to suit their specific trading strategies and preferences. The script offers configurable parameters for each indicator, allowing traders to adjust settings based on their analysis needs.
3. Visual Clarity : The script plots all indicators on a single chart with clear visual cues. This includes color-coded indicators and background changes based on market conditions, making it easy for traders to quickly interpret complex data.
4. Proven Indicators : The script utilizes well-established indicators like the EMA, NUPL, PUELL Multiple, and Hash Ribbons, which are widely recognized in the trading community for their effectiveness in predicting market movements.
5. A New Comprehensive Indicator : By integrating background color changes based on the aggregate signals of various indicators, this script essentially creates a new, comprehensive indicator tailored specifically for Bitcoin. This visual representation provides an immediate overview of market conditions, enhancing the ability to spot potential market reversals.
Optimal for use on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week , the “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” provides traders with actionable insights, enhancing their ability to make informed decisions in the highly volatile Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script delivers a robust tool for identifying market extremes and potential reversal points.
## Key Indicators
__________________________________________________________________________________
Macroeconomic Data: The script combines several relevant macroeconomic indicators for Bitcoin, such as the 10-month EMA, M2 money supply, CVDD, Pi Cycle, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons (Full description bellow).
Open Source Sources: Most of the scripts used are sourced from open-source projects that I have modified to meet the specific needs of this script.
Recommended Timeframes: For optimal performance, it is recommended to use this script on timeframes ranging from 1 day to 1 week.
Objective: The primary goal is to provide a probabilistic solution to identify market excesses, whether overbought or oversold points.
## Originality and Purpose
__________________________________________________________________________________
This script stands out by integrating multiple macroeconomic indicators into a single comprehensive tool. Each indicator is carefully selected and customized to provide insights into different aspects of the Bitcoin market. By combining these indicators, the script offers a holistic view of market conditions, helping traders identify potential tops and bottoms with greater accuracy. This is the first version of the script, and additional macroeconomic indicators will be added in the future based on user feedback and other inputs.
## How It Works
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script works by plotting each macroeconomic indicator on a single chart, allowing users to visualize and interpret the data easily. Here’s a detailed look at how each indicator contributes to the analysis:
EMA 10 Monthly: Uses an exponential moving average over 10 monthly periods to signal bullish and bearish trends. This indicator helps identify long-term trends in the Bitcoin market by smoothing out price fluctuations to reveal the underlying trend direction.Moving Averages w/ 18 day/week/month.
Credit to @ryanman0
M2 Money Supply: Analyzes the evolution of global money supply, indicating market liquidity conditions. This indicator tracks the changes in the total amount of money available in the economy, which can impact Bitcoin’s value as a hedge against inflation or economic instability.
Credit to @dylanleclair
CVDD (Cumulative Value Days Destroyed): An indicator based on the cumulative value of days destroyed, useful for identifying market turning points. This metric helps assess the Bitcoin market’s health by evaluating the age and value of coins that are moved, indicating potential shifts in market sentiment.
Credit to @Da_Prof
Pi Cycle: Uses simple and exponential moving averages to detect potential sell points. This indicator aims to identify cyclical peaks in Bitcoin’s price, providing signals for potential market tops.
Credit to @NoCreditsLeft
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss): Measures investors’ unrealized profit or loss to signal extreme market levels. This indicator shows the net profit or loss of Bitcoin holders as a percentage of the market cap, helping to identify periods of significant market optimism or pessimism.
Credit to @Da_Prof
PUELL Multiple: Assesses mining profitability relative to historical averages to indicate buying or selling opportunities. This indicator compares the daily issuance value of Bitcoin to its yearly average, providing insights into when the market is overbought or oversold based on miner behavior.
Credit to @Da_Prof
MRVR Z-Scores: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions. This metric helps gauge the overall market sentiment by comparing Bitcoin’s market value to its realized value, identifying potential reversal points.
Credit to @Pinnacle_Investor
Hash Ribbons: Uses hash rate variations to signal buying opportunities based on miner capitulation and recovery. This indicator tracks the health of the Bitcoin network by analyzing hash rate trends, helping to identify periods of miner capitulation and subsequent recoveries as potential buying opportunities.
Credit to @ROBO_Trading
## Indicator Visualization and Interpretation
__________________________________________________________________________________
For each horizontal line representing an indicator, a legend is displayed on the right side of the chart. If the conditions are positive for an indicator, it will turn green, indicating the end of a bearish trend. Conversely, if the conditions are negative, the indicator will turn red, signaling the end of a bullish trend.
The background color of the chart changes based on the average of green or red indicators. This parameter is configurable, allowing adjustment of the threshold at which the background color changes, providing a clear visual indication of overall market conditions.
## Script Parameters
__________________________________________________________________________________
The script includes several configurable parameters to customize the display and behavior of the indicators:
Color Style:
Normal: Default colors.
Modern: Modern color style.
Monochrome: Monochrome style.
User: User-customized colors.
Custom color settings for up trends (Up Trend Color), down trends (Down Trend Color), and NaN (NaN Color)
Background Color Thresholds:
Thresholds: Settings to define the thresholds for background color change.
Low/High Red Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bearish trends.
Low/High Green Threshold: Low and high thresholds for bullish trends.
Indicator Display:
Options to show or hide specific indicators such as EMA 10 Monthly, CVDD, Pi Cycle, M2 Money, NUPL, PUELL, MRVR Z-Scores, and Hash Ribbons.
Specific Indicator Settings:
EMA 10 Monthly: Options to customize the period for the exponential moving average calculation.
M2 Money: Aggregation of global money supply data.
CVDD: Adjustments for value normalization.
Pi Cycle: Settings for simple and exponential moving averages.
NUPL: Thresholds for unrealized profit/loss values.
PUELL: Adjustments for mining profitability multiples.
MRVR Z-Scores: Settings for overbought/oversold values.
Hash Ribbons: Options for hash rate moving averages and capitulation/recovery signals.
## Conclusion
__________________________________________________________________________________
The “Bitcoin Macro Trend Map” by Ox_kali is a tool designed to analyze the Bitcoin market. By combining several macroeconomic indicators, this script helps identify market peaks and troughs. It is recommended to use it on timeframes from 1 day to 1 week for optimal trend analysis. The scripts used are sourced from open-source projects, modified to suit the specific needs of this analysis.
## Notes
__________________________________________________________________________________
This is the first version of the script and it is still in development. More indicators will likely be added in the future. Feedback and comments are welcome to improve this tool.
## Disclaimer:
__________________________________________________________________________________
Please note that the Open Interest liquidation map is not a guarantee of future market performance and should be used in conjunction with proper risk management. Always ensure that you have a thorough understanding of the indicator’s methodology and its limitations before making any investment decisions. Additionally, past performance is not indicative of future results.
Cerca negli script per "Exponential Moving Average"
Goldmine Wealth Builder - DKK/SKKGoldmine Wealth Builder
Version 1.0
Introduction to Long-Term Investment Strategies: DKK, SKK1 and SKK2
In the dynamic realm of long-term investing, the DKK, SKK1, and SKK2 strategies stand as valuable pillars. These strategies, meticulously designed to assist investors in building robust portfolios, combine the power of Super Trend, RSI (Relative Strength Index), Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), and their crossovers. By providing clear alerts and buy signals on a daily time frame, they equip users with the tools needed to make well-informed investment decisions and navigate the complexities of the financial markets. These strategies offer a versatile and structured approach to both conservative and aggressive investment, catering to the diverse preferences and objectives of investors.
Each part of this strategy provides a unique perspective and approach to the accumulation of assets, making it a versatile and comprehensive method for investors seeking to optimize their portfolio performance. By diligently applying this multi-faceted approach, investors can make informed decisions and effectively capitalize on potential market opportunities.
DKK Strategy for ETFs and Funds:
The DKK system is a strategy designed for accumulating ETFs and Funds as long-term investments in your portfolio. It simplifies the process of identifying trend reversals and opportune moments to invest in listed ETFs and Funds, particularly during bull markets. Here's a detailed explanation of the DKK system:
Objective: The primary aim of the DKK system is to build a long-term investment portfolio by focusing on ETFs and Funds. It facilitates the identification of stocks that are in the process of reversing their trends, allowing investors to benefit from upward price movements in these financial instruments.
Stock Selection Criteria: The DKK system employs specific criteria for selecting ETFs and Funds:
• 200EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The system monitors whether the prices of ETFs and Funds are consistently below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. This is considered an indicator of weakness, especially on a daily time frame.
• RSI (Relative Strength Index): The system looks for an RSI value of less than 40. An RSI below 40 is often seen as an indication of a weak or oversold condition in a financial instrument.
Alert Signal: Once the DKK system identifies ETFs and Funds meeting these criteria, it provides an alert signal:
• Red Upside Triangle Sign: This signal is automatically generated on the daily chart of ETFs and Funds. It serves as a clear indicator to investors that it's an opportune time to accumulate these financial instruments for long-term investment.
It's important to note that the DKK system is specifically designed for ETFs and Funds, so it should be applied to these types of investments. Additionally, it's recommended to track index ETFs and specific types of funds, such as REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) and INVITs (Infrastructure Investment Trusts), in line with the DKK system's approach. This strategy simplifies the process of identifying investment opportunities within this asset class, particularly during periods of market weakness.
SKK1 Strategy for Conservative Stock Investment:
The SKK 1 system is a stock investment strategy tailored for conservative investors seeking long-term portfolio growth with a focus on stability and prudent decision-making. This strategy is meticulously designed to identify pivotal market trends and stock price movements, allowing investors to make informed choices and capitalize on upward market trends while minimizing risk. Here's a comprehensive overview of the SKK 1 system, emphasizing its suitability for conservative investors:
Objective: The primary objective of the SKK 1 system is to accumulate stocks as long-term investments in your portfolio while prioritizing capital preservation. It offers a disciplined approach to pinpointing potential entry points for stocks, particularly during market corrections and trend reversals, thereby enabling you to actively participate in bullish market phases while adopting a conservative risk management stance.
Stock Selection Criteria: The SKK 1 system employs a stringent set of criteria to select stocks for investment:
• Correction Mode: It identifies stocks that have undergone a correction, signifying a decline in stock prices from their recent highs. This conservative approach emphasizes the importance of seeking stocks with a history of stability.
• 200EMA (Exponential Moving Average): The system diligently analyses daily stock price movements, specifically looking for stocks that have fallen to or below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. This indicator suggests potential overselling and aligns with a conservative strategy of buying low.
Trend Reversal Confirmation: The SKK 1 system doesn't merely pinpoint stocks in correction mode; it takes an extra step to confirm a trend reversal. It employs the following indicators:
• Short-term Downtrends Reversal: This aspect focuses on identifying the reversal of short-term downtrends in stock prices, observed through the transition of the super trend indicator from the red zone to the green zone. This cautious approach ensures that the trend is genuinely shifting.
• Super Trend Zones: These zones are crucial for assessing whether a stock is in a bullish or bearish trend. The system consistently monitors these zones to confirm a potential trend reversal.
Alert & Buy Signals: When the SKK 1 system identifies stocks that have reached a potential bottom and are on the verge of a trend reversal, it issues vital alert signals, aiding conservative investors in prudent decision-making:
• Orange Upside Triangle Sign: This signal serves as a cautious heads-up, indicating that a stock may be poised for a trend reversal. It advises investors to prepare funds for potential investment without taking undue risks.
• Green Upside Triangle Sign: This is the confirmation of a trend reversal, signifying a robust buy signal. Conservative investors can confidently enter the market at this point, accumulating stocks for a long-term investment, secure in the knowledge that the trend is in their favor.
In summary, the SKK 1 system is a systematic and conservative approach to stock investing. It excels in identifying stocks experiencing corrections and ensures that investors act when there's a strong indication of a trend reversal, all while prioritizing capital preservation and risk management. This strategy empowers conservative investors to navigate the intricacies of the stock market with confidence, providing a calculated and stable path toward long-term portfolio growth.
Note: The SKK1 strategy, known for its conservative approach to stock investment, also provides an option to extend its methodology to ETFs and Funds for those investors who wish to accumulate assets more aggressively. By enabling this feature in the settings, you can harness the SKK1 strategy's careful criteria and signal indicators to accumulate aggressive investments in ETFs and Funds.
This flexible approach acknowledges that even within a conservative strategy, there may be opportunities for more assertive investments in assets like ETFs and Funds. By making use of this option, you can strike a balance between a conservative stance in your stock portfolio while exploring an aggressive approach in other asset classes. It offers the versatility to cater to a variety of investment preferences, ensuring that you can adapt your strategy to suit your financial goals and risk tolerance.
SKK 2 Strategy for Aggressive Stock Investment:
The SKK 2 strategy is designed for those who are determined not to miss significant opportunities within a continuous uptrend and seek a way to enter a trend that doesn't present entry signals through the SKK 1 strategy. While it offers a more aggressive entry approach, it is ideal for individuals willing to take calculated risks to potentially reap substantial long-term rewards. This strategy is particularly suitable for accumulating stocks for aggressive long-term investment. Here's a detailed description of the SKK 2 strategy:
Objective: The primary aim of the SKK 2 strategy is to provide an avenue for investors to identify short-term trend reversals and seize the opportunity to enter stocks during an uptrend, thereby capitalizing on a sustained bull run. It acknowledges that there may not always be clear entry signals through the SKK 1 strategy and offers a more aggressive alternative.
Stock Selection Criteria: The SKK 2 strategy utilizes a specific set of criteria for stock selection:
1. 50EMA (Exponential Moving Average): It targets stocks that are trading below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average. This signals a short-term reversal from the top and indicates that the stock is in a downtrend.
2. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The strategy considers stocks with an RSI of less than 40, which is an indicator of weakness in the stock.
Alert Signals: The SKK 2 strategy provides distinct alert signals that facilitate entry during an aggressive reversal:
• Red Downside Triangle Sign: This signal is triggered when the stock is below the 50EMA and has an RSI of less than 40. It serves as a clear warning of a short-term reversal from the top and a downtrend, displayed on the daily chart.
• Purple Upside Triangle Sign: This sign is generated when a reversal occurs through a bullish candle, and the RSI is greater than 40. It signifies the stock has bottomed out from a short-term downtrend and is now reversing. This purple upside triangle serves as an entry signal on the chart, presenting an attractive opportunity to accumulate stocks during a strong bullish phase, offering a chance to seize a potentially favorable long-term investment.
In essence, the SKK 2 strategy caters to aggressive investors who are willing to take calculated risks to enter stocks during a continuous uptrend. It focuses on identifying short-term reversals and provides well-defined signals for entry. While this strategy is more aggressive in nature, it has the potential to yield substantial rewards for those who are comfortable with a higher level of risk and are looking for opportunities to build a strong long-term portfolio.
Introduction to Strategy Signal Information Chart
This chart provides essential information on strategy signals for DKK, SKK1, and SKK2. By quickly identifying "Buy" and "Alert" signals for each strategy, investors can efficiently gauge market conditions and make informed decisions to optimize their investment portfolios.
In Conclusion
These investment strategies, whether conservative like DKK and SKK1 or more aggressive like SKK2, offer a range of options for investors to navigate the complex world of long-term investments. The combination of Super Trend, RSI, and EMAs with their crossovers provides clear signals on a daily time frame, empowering users to make well-informed decisions and potentially capitalize on market opportunities. Whether you're looking for stability or are ready to embrace more risk, these strategies have something to offer for building and growing your investment portfolio.
MA Correlation CoefficientThis script helps you visualize the correlation between the price of an asset and 4 moving averages of your choice. This indicator can help you identify trendy markets as well as trend-shifts.
Disclaimer
Bear in mind that there is always some lag when using Moving-Averages, hence the purpose of this indicator is as a trend identification tool rather than an entry-exit strategy.
Working Principle
The basic idea behind this indicator is the following:
In a trendy market you will find high correlation between price and all kinds of Moving-Averages. This works both ways, no matter bull or bear trend.
In sideways markets you might find a mix of correlations accross timeframes (2018) or high correlation with Low-Timeframe averages and low correlation with High-Timeframe averages (2021/2022).
Trend shifts might be characterised by a 'staircase' type of correlation (yellow), where the asset regains correlation with higher timeframe averages
Indicator Options
1. Source : data used for indicator calculation
1. Correlation Window : size of moving window for correlation calculation
2. Average Type :
Simple-Moving-Average (SMA)
Exponential-Moving-Average (EMA)
Hull-Moving-Average (HMA)
Volume-Weighted-Moving-Average (VWMA)
3. Lookback : number of past candles to calculate average
4. Gradient : modify gradient colors. colors relate to correlation values.
Plot Explanation
The indicator plots, using colors, the correlation of the asset with 4 averages. For every candle, 4 correlation values are generated, corresponding to 4 colors. These 4 colors are stacked one on top of the other generating the patterns explained above. These patterns may help you identify what kind of market you're in.
Customizable Moving Average RibbonThis indicator is a highly customizable moving average ribbon with some unique features.
This script can utilize multiple unique sources, including a non-repainting renko closing price. Renko charts focus solely on price movement and minimize the impacts of time and the extra noise time creates. Employing the renko close helps smooth out the MA ribbon. Insignificant price movements will not cause a change in the plotted lines of the indicator unless a new threshold is breached or a "brick" is created. This is highly useful for quickly identifying consolidation areas or overall flat price movement.
There are two methods for selecting the box size when utilizing the renko source. Box size is critical for the overall function and efficacy of the plots you will visually see with this indicator. Box size is set automatically using the Average True Range "ATR" or manually using the "Traditional" setting. The simplest way to determine a manual box size is to take the ATR of the given instrument and round it to the nearest decimal place. As an example, if the ATR for the asset is 0.18, you would round that number to 0.2 and utilize this as your traditional box size.
The MA ribbon contains eleven adjustable moving average lines. Users can choose to turn off as many as they would like. Users can also adjust the length of the individual moving averages and the source for all moving averages. There are nine types of moving averages to choose from for the ribbon. The MA options are:
Exponential Moving Average = 'EMA'
Double Exponential Moving Average= 'DEMA'
Triple Exponential Moving Average = 'TEMA'
Simple Moving Average = 'SMA'
Relative Moving Average = 'RMA'
Volume Weighted Moving Average = 'VWMA'
Weighted Moving Average = 'WMA'
Smoothed Simple Moving Average = 'SSMA'
Hull Moving Average = 'HULL'
We believe that the ribbons features, including the line color change, help quickly identify trends and give users optimum customization. Users can select from five different color schemes including:
Green/Red
Purple/White
White/Blue
Silver / Orange
Teal/ Orange
[E5 Trading] Moving AveragesMoving Averages
Plot up to 12 moving averages and customize colors directly on the inputs tab.
Select from any of one of eight (8) moving averages types from the drop-down menu including 'EMA', 'HMA', 'LINREG', 'SWMA', 'SINE', 'SMA', 'VWMA', and 'WMA'.
Default 'SMA' for Plots 1 through 6, and default 'EMA' for plots 7 through 12.
Use this indicator to quickly transition between your favorite moving average combinations.
This indicator can also be used to create the Guppy Multiple Moving Average: www.investopedia.com
Definitions
'EMA' = Exponential Moving Average
'HMA' = Hull Moving Average
'LINREG' = Linear Regression Curve
'SWMA' = Symmetrically Weighted Moving Average
'SINE' = Sine Weighted Moving Average
'SMA' = Simple Moving Average
'VWMA' = Volume Weighted Moving Average
'WMA' = Weighted Moving Average
Elder Impulse System + ATR BandsDisregard the above chart, I am not sure why it isn't showing the one I want, which is linked below:
This is as far as I can tell the closest representation to Dr. Alexander Elder's updated "Elder Impulse System" that has added ATR-volatility bands up to 3x deviations from price. I got the idea from watching this recent video (www.youtube.com) of Dr. Elder reviewing some recent trades and noticed he had updated his system from his original books. The Impulse System colour coding was inspired by AstralLoverFlow and LazyBear. ATR Bands are pre-programmed Keltner Channels with some modifications such as filing in the ATR Zones with user-selected colour bands and modifying the ATR value to better suit the volatility of the market being traded.
The script has several components, which I will detail below:
Exponential Moving Averages:
1) A 13-period EMA that is used as a staple in all of Dr. Elder's technical analysis. He uses this EMA as the basis for all of his indicators and why it is included here.
2) A 26-period EMA which can be used as a base-line of sorts to filter when to go long or when to go short. For instance, price over the 26-EMA, price is strong and the rally upwards is likely to continue, underneath it, price is weak and likely to continue downwards for a time.
Volatility Bands:
By definition these are nothing more than 3 separate Keltner Channels of a 13-period EMA each set to one additional multiplier from the moving average. This gives us a 1x, 2x, and 3x multiplier of average volatility from the 13-period EMA based on a 14-period Average True Range (ATR) reading. The ATR was chosen as it accommodates price gaps and also is the standard formula calculation in TradingView. The values of the bands cannot be adjusted but the colour coding of them can be.
Elder Impulse System:
These colour-coded bars show you the strength and direction of the current chart resolution, calculated by the slope of a 13-period EMA and the slope of a MACD histogram. These are used not as a buying or selling recommendation alone but as trend filters, as per Dr. Elder's own description of them.
Green Bars = The 13-period EMA is sloping positively and the MACD histogram is rising compared to previous bars. The trader should only consider buying/long opportunities when a green bar is most recent.
Red Bars = The 13-period EMA is sloping negatively and the MACD histogram is falling compared to previous bars. The trader should only consider selling/short opportunities when a red bar is most recent.
Blue Bars = The 13-period EMA and the MACD histogram are not aligned. One of the indicators is sloping opposite to the other indicator. These are known as indecision bars and are typically seen near the end of a previously established trend. The trader can choose to wait for either a green or red bar to shape their trading bias if they are more risk-averse while a counter-trend trader may decide to try opening a position against the currently-established trend.
How To Trade the System:
This system is unique in that it is so versatile and will fit the styles of many traders, be it trend following traders (generally the original Elder Impulse System design) or mean-reversion/counter-trend trading (the original Keltner Channel design). None of the examples below or in the chart above are financial advice and are just there for demonstration purposes only.
1) The most basic signal given would be the moving average cross up or down. A cross of the 13-EMA over the 26-EMA signals upward trend strength and the trader could look for buying opportunities. Conversely, the 13-EMA under the 26-EMA shows downward trend strength and the trader could look for selling opportunities.
2) Following the Elder Impulse system in conjunction with the EMAs. Look for long opportunities when a green bar is printed and price is over both of the 13- and 26-period EMAs. Look for short opportunities when a red bar is printed and price is below both of the 13- and 26-period EMAs. Keep in mind this does not necessarily need a moving average cross to be viable, a green or red bar over both EMAs is a valid signal in this system, usually. Examine price more closely for better entry signals when a blue bar is printed and price is either above or below both EMAs if you are a trend trader. This is how Dr. Elder originally intended the system to be used in conjunction with his famous Triple Screen Trading System. I am not going into detail here as it is a deep subject but I would suggest an interested trader to examine this Triple Screen System further as it is widely accepted as a strong strategy.
3) Mean Reversion and Counter-Trend Trading. Dr. Elder mentions that the zone between the two EMAs is called the Value Zone. A mean reversion trader could look for buying opportunities if price has generally been in an uptrend and falls back to value, conversely, they could look for shorting opportunities if price has generally been in a downtrend and rises back to value. These are your very basic pull backs found in trends that create your higher lows in an uptrend or your lower highs in a downtrend. A mean reversion/scalper trader may also look to use the upper and lower most ATR bands as an indication of price being overbought or oversold and could look to enter a counter-trend trade here once a blue indecision bar is printed and to ride that move back down to the Value Zone.
Taking Profits and Risk Management
This system again is very versatile and will fit a wide range of trading styles. It has built in take profit levels and risk management depending on your style of trading.
1a) In original Triple Screen Trading (and the original Elder Impulse system), a trader was to place a buy order one tick above a newly printed green bar with a stop loss one tick below the most recent 2-day low, and vice-versa for red bars on short selling. as long as other criteria were met, that I will not go into. It is all over YouTube and in his books and on Investopedia if you want more information. The general idea is to continue the trend in the direction if price is strong and you are bought into that move with a close stop, or if price falls back a little bit, you can get in at a better price. This would be a system typically better suited to a scalper.
1b) The updated risk management according to the above video is to place a stop loss at least 2ATR away from price. These bands already have calculated these values so a trader can place a stop one tick below the 2 or even 3ATR zones depending on their risk appetite. This is assuming you have already received a strong buy signal based on the system you follow. This would be a system typically better suited to a trend-trader.
2a) Taking profits if you are a trend trader has several possibilities. The first, as Dr. Elder suggests, is to place a price target 2ATR values away from your entry giving you approximately a 1:1 risk-reward ratio.
2b) The second possibility if the trade is successful is to ride the trend upwards until a blue bar is printed, suggesting indecision in the market. A modified version of this that could let a winning trade run longer is to wait for the price to close under the 13-EMA in fast markets, or close under the 26-EMA in slightly slower markets to maximize potential winnings.
2c) A scalper trader may wish to have a target at either the value zone if they are playing an extended buy/short back to the mean, or if they are being at the mean, to sell or cover when price extends back out to the 2x or 3x zone.
3) Trend traders can additionally use the ATR zones as a sort of safety guidelines for entering a trade. Anything within the 1ATR zone is typically a safer entry as the market is less volatile at this time. Entering when price has gone into the 2ATR zone is signaled as a strong momentum move and can signal a stronger move in the direction of the current closing bar. While not always the case, it is suggested by Dr. Elder to not enter trend trades at the 3ATR zone as this is where you will be likely looking for a counter-trend retracement back to value and a trader entering here in the direction of the trade has a higher chance of being stopped out or not getting in at the best possible price.
Pulu's 3 Moving Averages
Pulu's 3 Moving Averages
Release version 1, date 2021-09-28
This script allows you to customize three sets of moving averages, turn on/off, set color and parameters. It also tags the start date of the last set of moving average if there is. This, release version 1, supports eight moving average algorithms:
ALMA, Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
EMA, Exponential Moving Average
RMA, Adjusted exponential moving average (aka Wilder’s EMA)
SMA, Simple Moving Average
SWMA, Symmetrically-Weighted Moving Average
VWAP, Volume-Weighted Average Price
VWMA, Volume-Weighted Moving Average
WMA, Weighted Moving Average
The availability and function parameters
Func. Availability Parameters
ALMA
MA1, MA2, MA3
source
length
offset
sigma
EMA
RMA
SMA
VWMA
WMA
MA1, MA2, MA3
source
length
SWMA
VWAP
MA1
source
Parameters
Parameter Description
source the series of values to process. The default is to use the closing price to calculate the moving average.
length an integer value that defines the number of bars to calculate the moving average on. The SWMA and VWAP do not use this parameter.
ALMA offset a floating-point value that controls the tradeoff between smoothness (with a value closer to 1) and responsiveness (with a value closer to 0). This parameter is only used by ALMA.
ALMA sigma a floating-point value that specifies the ALMA’s smoothness. The larger this value, the smoother the moving average is. This parameter is only used by ALMA.
I'm not sure if it is needed, so I do not let the three Moving Averages of the script to have indivial algorithm setting. Because that will involve much complicated condition testing and use up more TradingView script lines limit. If you need to combine different algorithms in the three sets of moving averages, or have other ideas, leave a message to let me know; maybe I will try it in the next update.
我不確定是否需要，所以我沒有讓腳本的三組移動平均線有各別的算法設置。因為這將涉及更多複雜的條件測試，並使用更多 TradingView 腳本列數限制。如果您需要在三組均線中組合不同的算法，或者有其他想法，請留言告訴我；也許我會在下一次更新中嘗試。
Technical Ratings█ OVERVIEW
This indicator calculates TradingView's well-known "Strong Buy", "Buy", "Neutral", "Sell" or "Strong Sell" states using the aggregate biases of 26 different technical indicators.
█ FEATURES
Differences with the built-in version
• You can adjust the weight of the Oscillators and MAs components of the rating here.
• The built-in version produces values matching the states displayed in the "Technicals" ratings gauge; this one does not always, where weighting is used.
• A strategy version is also available as a built-in; this script is an indicator—not a strategy.
• This indicator will show a slightly different vertical scale, as it does not use a fixed scale like the built-in.
• This version allows control over repainting of the signal when you do not use a higher timeframe. Higher timeframe (HTF) information from this version does not repaint.
• You can configure markers on signal breaches of configurable levels, or on advances declines of the signal.
The indicator's settings allow you to:
• Choose the timeframe you want calculations to be made on.
• When not using a HTF, you can select a repainting or non-repainting signal.
• When using both MAs and Oscillators groups to calculate the rating, you can vary the weight of each group in the calculation. The default is 50/50.
Because the MAs group uses longer periods for some of its components, its value is not as jumpy as the Oscillators value.
Increasing the weight of the MAs group will thus have a calming effect on the signal.
• Alerts can be created on the indicator using the conditions configured to control the display of markers.
Display
The calculated rating is displayed as columns, but you can change the style in the inputs. The color of the signal can be one of three colors: bull, bear, or neutral. You can choose from a few presets, or check one and edit its color. The color is determined from the rating's value. Between 0.1 and -0.1 it is in the neutral color. Above/below 0.1/-0.1 it will appear in the bull/bear color. The intensity of the bull/bear color is determined by cumulative advances/declines in the rating. It is capped to 5, so there are five intensities for each of the bull/bear colors.
The "Strong Buy", "Buy", "Neutral", "Sell" or "Strong Sell" state of the last calculated value is displayed to the right of the last bar for each of the three groups: All, MAs and Oscillators. The first value always reflects your selection in the "Rating uses" field and is the one used to display the signal. A "Strong Buy" or "Strong Sell" state appears when the signal is above/below the 0.5/-0.5 level. A "Buy" or "Sell" state appears when the signal is above/below the 0.1/-0.1 level. The "Neutral" state appears when the signal is between 0.1 and -0.1 inclusively.
Five levels are always displayed: 0.5 and 0.1 in the bull color, zero in the neutral color, and -0.1 and - 0.5 in the bull color.
The levels that can be used to determine the breaches displaying long/short markers will only be visible when their respective long/short markers are turned on in the "Direction" input. The levels appear as a bright dotted line in bull/bear colors. You can control both levels separately through the "Longs Level" and "Shorts Level" inputs.
If you specify a higher timeframe that is not greater than the chart's timeframe, an error message will appear and the indicator's background will turn red, as it doesn't make sense to use a lower timeframe than the chart's.
Markers
Markers are small triangles that appear at the bottom and top of the indicator's pane. The marker settings define the conditions that will trigger an alert when you configure an alert on the indicator. You can:
• Choose if you want long, short or both long and short markers.
• Determine the signal level and/or the number of cumulative advances/declines in the signal which must be reached for either a long or short marker to appear.
Reminder: the number of advances/declines is also what controls the brightness of the plotted signal.
• Decide if you want to restrict markers to ones that alternate between longs and shorts, if you are displaying both directions.
This helps to minimize the number of markers, e.g., only the first long marker will be displayed, and then no more long markers will appear until a short comes in, then a long, etc.
Alerts
When you create an alert from this indicator, that alert will trigger whenever your marker conditions are confirmed. Before creating your alert, configure the makers so they reflect the conditions you want your alert to trigger on.
The script uses the alert() function, which entails that you select the "Any alert() function call" condition from the "Create Alert" dialog box when creating alerts on the script. The alert messages can be configured in the inputs. You can safely disregard the warning popup that appears when you create alerts from this script. Alerts will not repaint. Markers will appear, and thus alerts will trigger, at the opening of the bar following the confirmation of the marker condition. Markers will never disappear from the bar once they appear.
Repainting
This indicator uses a two-pronged approach to control repainting. The repainting of the displayed signal is controlled through the "Repainting" field in the script's inputs. This only applies when you have "Same as chart" selected in the "Timeframe" field, as higher timeframe data never repaints. Regardless of that setting, markers and thus alerts never repaint.
When using the chart's timeframe, choosing a non-repainting signal makes the signal one bar late, so that it only displays a value once the bar it was calculated has elapsed. When using a higher timeframe, new values are only displayed once the higher timeframe completes.
Because the markers never repaint, their logic adapts to the repainting setting used for the signal. When the signal repaints, markers will only appear at the close of a realtime bar. When the signal does not repaint (or if you use a higher timeframe), alerts will appear at the beginning of the realtime bar, since they are calculated on values that already do not repaint.
█ CALCULATIONS
The indicator calculates the aggregate value of two groups of indicators: moving averages and oscillators.
The "MAs" group is comprised of 15 different components:
• Six Simple Moving Averages of periods 10, 20, 30, 50, 100 and 200
• Six Exponential Moving Averages of the same periods
• A Hull Moving Average of period 9
• A Volume-weighed Moving Average of period 20
• Ichimoku
The "Oscillators" group includes 11 components:
• RSI
• Stochastic
• CCI
• ADX
• Awesome Oscillator
• Momentum
• MACD
• Stochastic RSI
• Wiliams %R
• Bull Bear Power
• Ultimate Oscillator
The state of each group's components is evaluated to a +1/0/-1 value corresponding to its bull/neutral/bear bias. The resulting value for each of the two groups are then averaged to produce the overall value for the indicator, which oscillates between +1 and -1. The complete conditions used in the calculations are documented in the Help Center .
█ NOTES
Accuracy
When comparing values to the other versions of the Rating, make sure you are comparing similar timeframes, as the "Technicals" gauge in the chart's right pane, for example, uses a 1D timeframe by default.
For coders
We use a handy characteristic of array.avg() which, contrary to avg() , does not return na when one of the averaged values is na . It will average only the array elements which are not na . This is useful in the context where the functions used to calculate the bull/neutral/bear bias for each component used in the rating include special checks to return na whenever the dataset does not yet contain enough data to provide reliable values. This way, components gradually kick in the calculations as the script calculates on more and more historical data.
We also use the new `group` and `tooltip` parameters to input() , as well as dynamic color generation of different transparencies from the bull/bear/neutral colors selected by the user.
Our script was written using the PineCoders Coding Conventions for Pine .
The description was formatted using the techniques explained in the How We Write and Format Script Descriptions PineCoders publication.
Bits and pieces were lifted from the PineCoders' MTF Selection Framework .
Look first. Then leap.
Moving Average Compilation by CryptonerdsThis script contains all commonly used types of moving averages in a single script. To our surprise, it turned out that there was no script available yet that contains multiple types of moving averages.
The following types of moving averages are included:
Simple Moving Averages (SMA)
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA)
Double Exponential Moving Averages (DEMA)
Display Triple Exponential Moving Averages (TEMA)
Display Weighted Moving Averages (WMA)
Display Hull Moving Averages (HMA)
Wilder's exponential moving averages (RMA)
Volume-Weighted Moving Averages (VWMA)
The user can configure what type of moving averages are displayed, including the length and up to five multiple moving averages per type. If you have any other request related to adding moving averages, please leave a comment in the section below.
If you've learned something new and found value, leave us a message to show your support!
Volatility Bands by DGTVolatility represents how large an asset's prices swing around the mean price, the degree of variation of a trading price over time, and is commonly measured with beta (β) coefficients, standard deviations (σ) of returns where tools such as Average True Range, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channel, Squeeze Indicator, etc presents volatility concept
Volatility often refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk related to the size of changes in a security's value. The higher the volatility, the riskier the security - the price of the security can change dramatically over a short time period in either direction. A lower volatility - security's value does not fluctuate dramatically, and tends to be more steady
This study, Volatility Bands , attempts to present a way to measure and visualize volatility , using standard deviations (σ) and average true range indicator, and aims to point out areas that might indicate potential trading opportunities
I will try to explain the usage with examples,
same setup with different option selected
as you may observe from the examples different setting may have advantages and disadvantages over one another, it is recommended to verify a trading setup with different available options.
Additionally, It is recommended to use this indicator in conjunction with other technical indicators, or verify using chart/candle patterns. Below is an usage example using in conjunction with other indicator, in the given example “Neglected Volume by DGT” is selected
Similarities and Differences
Bollinger Bands depicts two standard deviations above and below a simple moving average, and Keltner Channel depicts two times average true range (ATR) above and below an exponential moving average
Volatility Bands study combines the approach of both Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel, with different settings and different visualization
Default settings are one standard deviations and one time average true range (ATR) above and below 13 period exponential moving average. Setting can be adjusted by users but let me remind all testes are performed with the default settings.
Mathematically expressed as
Upper band area between “ema + stdev” and “ema + atr”
Lower band area between “ema – stdev” and “ema – atr”
A different display is added with the inspiration I get from one of the @quantgym ‘s study, many thanks @quantgym 😉
When difference band display is selected the study will reflect the area between “ema + stdev – atr” and “ema – stdev + atr”. As shown in the examples above
Note: standard deviation calculation can be adjusted based on price action or its moving average.
Other differentiation between BB and KC is with V-BANDS mostly we look for trade opportunities when price action move out of the bands and in most cases we assume market is consolidating when the price action is within the bands
The other indicator that presents similarities to Volatility Bands is Squeeze Indicator, which measures the relationship between Bollinger Bands and Keltner's Channels to help identify consolidations and signal when prices are likely to break out. Mainly Volatility Bands is different version of Squeeze indicator, in fact the purpose is almost same but visualization is completely different. Additionally Volatility Bands Offers trading opportunities whereas Squeeze indicator only presents market states unless a momentum indicator is adapted to Squeeze indicator.
Disclaimer:
Trading success is all about following your trading strategy and the indicators should fit within your trading strategy, and not to be traded upon solely
The script is for informational and educational purposes only. Use of the script does not constitute professional and/or financial advice. You alone have the sole responsibility of evaluating the script output and risks associated with the use of the script. In exchange for using the script, you agree not to hold dgtrd TradingView user liable for any possible claim for damages arising from any decision you make based on use of the script
Trade System Crypto InvestidorTrade System created to facilitate the visualization of crossing and extensions of the movements with Bollinger bands.
Composed by:
Moving Averages of 21, 50, 100 and 200.
Exponential Moving Averages: 17,34,72,144, 200 and 610.
Bollinger bands with standard deviation 2 and 3.
How it works?
The indicators work together, however there are some important cross-averages that need to be identified.
- Crossing the MA21 with 50, 100 and 200 up or down will dictate an up or down trend.
- MA200 and EMA200 are excellent indicators of resistance and support zone, if the price is above these averages it will be a great support, if the price is below these averages it will indicate strong resistance.
- Another important crossover refers to exponential moving averages of 17 to 72 indicates a possible start of a trend
- The crossing of the exponential moving average of 34 with 144 will confirm the crossing mentioned above.
- In addition, the exponential moving average of 610 used by Bo Williams is an excellent reference for dictating an upward or downward trend, if the price is above it it will possibly confirm an upward trend and the downside.
- To conclude we have bollinger bands with standard deviation 2 and 3, they help to identify the maximum movements.
Binque's Multi-Moving Average Binque's Multi-Moving Average - One indicator with four simple moving average and four exponential moving averages, plus as a bonus a Day High moving average and a Day Low Moving Average.
Simple Moving Average or MA(14), MA(50), MA(100) and MA(200) all in one indicator
Exponential Moving Average or EMA(8), EMA(14), EMA(20) and EMA(33) all in one indicator
Day High Moving Average - Tracks the Daily High versus most moving averages track the daily close.
Day Low Moving Average - Tracks the Daily Low versus most moving average track the daily close.
To Disable moving averages, Set the color to the chart background and then set the length to 1 and uncheck.
I Use the Daily High Moving Average to track upward resistance in a stock movement for Swing Trading.
I Use the Daily Low Moving Average to track my trailing stop in a stock movement for Swing Trading.
Levels Of Interest------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEVELS OF INTEREST (LOI)
TRADING INDICATOR GUIDE
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table of Contents:
1. Indicator Overview & Core Functionality
2. VWAP Foundation & Historical Context
3. Multi-Timeframe VWAP Analysis
4. Moving Average Integration System
5. Trend Direction Signal Detection
6. Visual Design & Display Features
7. Custom Level Integration
8. Repaint Protection Technology
9. Practical Trading Applications
10. Setup & Configuration Recommendations
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. INDICATOR OVERVIEW & CORE FUNCTIONALITY
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The LOI indicator combines multiple VWAP calculations with moving averages across different timeframes. It's designed to show where institutional money is flowing and help identify key support and resistance levels that actually matter in today's markets.
Primary Functions:
- Multi-timeframe VWAP analysis (Daily, Weekly, Monthly, Yearly)
- Advanced moving average integration (EMA, SMA, HMA)
- Real-time trend direction detection
- Institutional flow analysis
- Dynamic support/resistance identification
Target Users: Day traders, swing traders, position traders, and institutional analysts seeking comprehensive market structure analysis.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. VWAP FOUNDATION & HISTORICAL CONTEXT
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical Development: VWAP started in the 1980s when big institutional traders needed a way to measure if they were getting good fills on their massive orders. Unlike regular price averages, VWAP weighs each price by the volume traded at that level. This makes it incredibly useful because it shows you where most of the real money changed hands.
Mathematical Foundation: The basic math is simple: you take each price, multiply it by the volume at that price, add them all up, then divide by total volume. What you get is the true "average" price that reflects actual trading activity, not just random price movements.
Formula: VWAP = Σ(Price × Volume) / Σ(Volume)
Where typical price = (High + Low + Close) / 3
Institutional Behavior Patterns:
- When price trades above VWAP, institutions often look to sell
- When it's below, they're usually buying
- Creates natural support and resistance that you can actually trade against
- Serves as benchmark for execution quality assessment
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. MULTI-TIMEFRAME VWAP ANALYSIS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Core Innovation: Here's where LOI gets interesting. Instead of just showing daily VWAP like most indicators, it displays four different timeframes simultaneously:
**Daily VWAP Implementation**:
- Resets every morning at market open
- Provides clearest picture of intraday institutional sentiment
- Primary tool for day trading strategies
- Most responsive to immediate market conditions
**Weekly VWAP System**:
- Resets each Monday (or first trading day)
- Smooths out daily noise and volatility
- Perfect for swing trades lasting several days to weeks
- Captures weekly institutional positioning
**Monthly VWAP Analysis**:
- Resets at beginning of each calendar month
- Captures bigger institutional rebalancing at month-end
- Fund managers often operate on monthly mandates
- Significant weight in intermediate-term analysis
**Yearly VWAP Perspective**:
- Resets annually for full-year institutional view
- Shows long-term institutional positioning
- Where pension funds and sovereign wealth funds operate
- Critical for major trend identification
Confluence Zone Theory: The magic happens when multiple VWAP levels cluster together. These confluence zones often become major turning points because different types of institutional money all see value at the same price.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4. MOVING AVERAGE INTEGRATION SYSTEM
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Multi-Type Implementation: The indicator includes three types of moving averages, each with its own personality and application:
**Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs)**:
- React quickly to recent price changes
- Displayed as solid lines for easy identification
- Optimal performance in trending market conditions
- Higher sensitivity to current price action
**Simple Moving Averages (SMAs)**:
- Treat all historical data points equally
- Appear as dashed lines in visual display
- Slower response but more reliable in choppy conditions
- Traditional approach favored by institutional traders
**Hull Moving Averages (HMAs)**:
- Newest addition to the system (dotted line display)
- Created by Alan Hull in 2005
- Solves classic moving average dilemma: speed vs. accuracy
- Manages to be both responsive and smooth simultaneously
Technical Innovation: Alan Hull's solution addresses the fundamental problem where moving averages are either too slow (missing moves) or too fast (generating false signals). HMAs achieve optimal balance through weighted calculation methodology.
Period Configuration:
- 5-period: Short-term momentum assessment
- 50-period: Intermediate trend identification
- 200-period: Long-term directional confirmation
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5. TREND DIRECTION SIGNAL DETECTION
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Real-Time Momentum Analysis: One of LOI's best features is its real-time trend detection system. Next to each moving average, visual symbols provide immediate trend assessment:
Symbol System:
- ▲ Rising average (bullish momentum confirmation)
- ▼ Falling average (bearish momentum indication)
- ► Flat average (consolidation or indecision period)
Update Frequency: These signals update in real-time with each new price tick and function across all configured timeframes. Traders can quickly scan daily and weekly trends to assess alignment or conflicting signals.
Multi-Timeframe Trend Analysis:
- Simultaneous daily and weekly trend comparison
- Immediate identification of trend alignment
- Early warning system for potential reversals
- Momentum confirmation for entry decisions
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6. VISUAL DESIGN & DISPLAY FEATURES
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Color Psychology Framework: The color scheme isn't random but based on psychological associations and trading conventions:
- **Blue Tones**: Institutional neutrality (VWAP levels)
- **Green Spectrum**: Growth and stability (weekly timeframes)
- **Purple Range**: Longer-term sophistication (monthly analysis)
- **Orange Hues**: Importance and attention (yearly perspective)
- **Red Tones**: User-defined significance (custom levels)
Adaptive Display Technology: The indicator automatically adjusts decimal places based on the instrument you're trading. High-priced stocks show 2 decimals, while penny stocks might show 8. This keeps the display incredibly clean regardless of what you're analyzing - no cluttered charts or overwhelming information overload.
Smart Labeling System: Advanced positioning algorithm automatically spaces all elements to prevent overlap, even during extreme zoom levels or multiple timeframe analysis. Every level stays clearly readable without any visual chaos disrupting your analysis.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
7. CUSTOM LEVEL INTEGRATION
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
User-Defined Level System: Beyond the calculated VWAP and moving average levels, traders can add custom horizontal lines at any price point for personalized analysis.
Strategic Applications:
- **Psychological Levels**: Round numbers, previous significant highs/lows
- **Technical Levels**: Fibonacci retracements, pivot points
- **Fundamental Targets**: Analyst price targets, earnings estimates
- **Risk Management**: Stop-loss and take-profit zones
Integration Features:
- Seamless incorporation with smart labeling system
- Custom color selection for visual organization
- Extension capabilities across all chart timeframes
- Maintains display clarity with existing indicators
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
8. REPAINT PROTECTION TECHNOLOGY
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Critical Trading Feature: This addresses one of the most significant issues in live trading applications. Most multi-timeframe indicators "repaint," meaning they display different signals when viewing historical data versus real-time analysis.
Protection Benefits:
- Ensures every displayed signal could have been traded when it appeared
- Eliminates discrepancies between historical and live analysis
- Provides realistic performance expectations
- Maintains signal integrity across chart refreshes
Configuration Options:
- **Protection Enabled**: Default setting for live trading
- **Protection Disabled**: Available for backtesting analysis
- User-selectable toggle based on analysis requirements
- Applies to all multi-timeframe calculations
Implementation Note: With protection enabled, signals may appear one bar later than without protection, but this ensures all signals represent actionable opportunities that could have been executed in real-time market conditions.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
9. PRACTICAL TRADING APPLICATIONS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
**Day Trading Strategy**:
Focus on daily VWAP with 5-period moving averages. Look for bounces off VWAP or breaks through it with volume. Short-term momentum signals provide entry and exit timing.
**Swing Trading Approach**:
Weekly VWAP becomes your primary anchor point, with 50-period averages showing intermediate trends. Position sizing based on weekly VWAP distance.
**Position Trading Method**:
Monthly and yearly VWAP provide broad market context, while 200-period averages confirm long-term directional bias. Suitable for multi-week to multi-month holdings.
**Multi-Timeframe Confluence Strategy**:
The highest-probability setups occur when daily, weekly, and monthly VWAPs cluster together, especially when multiple moving averages confirm the same direction. These represent institutional consensus zones.
Risk Management Integration:
- VWAP levels serve as dynamic stop-loss references
- Multiple timeframe confirmation reduces false signals
- Institutional flow analysis improves position sizing decisions
- Trend direction signals optimize entry and exit timing
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10. SETUP & CONFIGURATION RECOMMENDATIONS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Initial Configuration: Start with default settings and adjust based on individual trading style and market focus. Short-term traders should emphasize daily and weekly timeframes, while longer-term investors benefit from monthly and yearly level analysis.
Transparency Optimization: The transparency settings allow clear price action visibility while maintaining level reference points. Most traders find 70-80% transparency optimal - it provides a clean, unobstructed view of price movement while maintaining all critical reference levels needed for analysis.
Integration Strategy: Remember that no indicator functions effectively in isolation. LOI provides excellent context for institutional flow and trend direction analysis, but should be combined with complementary analysis tools for optimal results.
Performance Considerations:
- Multiple timeframe calculations may impact chart loading speed
- Adjust displayed timeframes based on trading frequency
- Customize color schemes for different market sessions
- Regular review and adjustment of custom levels
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FINAL ANALYSIS
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Competitive Advantage: What makes LOI different is its focus on where real money actually trades. By combining volume-weighted calculations with multiple timeframes and trend detection, it cuts through market noise to show you what institutions are really doing.
Key Success Factor: Understanding that different timeframes serve different purposes is essential. Use them together to build a complete picture of market structure, then execute trades accordingly.
The integration of institutional flow analysis with technical trend detection creates a comprehensive trading tool that addresses both short-term tactical decisions and longer-term strategic positioning.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
END OF DOCUMENTATION
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MFI Nexus Pro [trade_lexx]📈 MFI Nexus Pro is your reliable trading assistant!
📊 What is MFI Nexus Pro ?
MFI Nexus Pro is a trading indicator that analyzes cash flows in the market. It shows where money is moving — into or out of an asset, and based on this, generates buy or sell signals.
💡 The main components of the indicator
📊 The MFI Cash Flow Index (MFI)
shows the strength of cash flow into an asset. Values above 70 indicate overbought (an early sale is possible), and values below 30 indicate oversold (an early purchase is possible).
📈 Moving Averages (MA)
The indicator uses 10 different types of moving averages to smooth the MFI line.:
- SMA: Simple moving average
- EMA: Exponential moving average
- WMA: Weighted moving average
And other more complex types (HMA, KAMA, VWMA, ALMA, TEMA, ZLEMA, DEMA)
The choice of the type of moving average affects the speed of the indicator's response to market changes.
🎯 Bollinger Bands (BB)
Bands around the moving average that widen and narrow depending on volatility. They help determine when the MFI is out of the normal range.
🔄 Divergences
Divergences show discrepancies between price and MFI:
- Bullish divergence: the price is falling and the MFI is rising — an upward reversal is possible
- Bearish divergence: the price is rising and the MFI is falling — a downward reversal is possible
🔍 Indicator signals
1️⃣ Moving average signals (MA)
Buy signal
- What happens: MFI crosses its moving average from bottom to top
- What does it look like: the green triangle labeled "MA" under the chart
- What does it mean: money begins to actively flow into the asset, price growth is possible
Sell signal
- What happens: the MFI crosses the moving average from top to bottom
- What does it look like: a red triangle with the label "MA" above the chart
- What does it mean: money starts to leave the asset, the price may fall
2️⃣ Bollinger Band Signals (BB)
Buy signal
- What's happening: The MFI crosses the lower Bollinger band from bottom to top
- What it looks like: the green triangle marked "BB"
- What it means: The MFI was too low and is now starting to recover
Sell Signal
- What's going on: MFI crosses the upper Bollinger band from top to bottom
- What it looks like: a red triangle marked "BB"
- What it means: The MFI was too high and is now starting to decline
3️⃣ Divergence Signals (Div)
Buy Signal (Bullish Divergence)
- What's going on: the price is falling more than the MFI
- What it looks like: a green triangle marked "Div"
- What it means: despite the fall in price, money is already starting to return to the asset
Sell signal (bearish divergence)
- What is happening: the price is rising more strongly than the MFI
- What does it look like: the red triangle with the label "Div"
- What does it mean: despite the price increase, money is already starting to leave the asset
🛠️ Filters to filter out false signals
1️⃣ Minimum distance between the signals
- What it does: sets the minimum number of candles between signals
- Why it is needed: prevents signals from being too frequent during strong market fluctuations
- How to set it up: Set the number from 0 and above (default: 5)
2️⃣ "Waiting for the opposite signal" mode
- What it does: waits for a signal in the opposite direction before generating a new signal
- Why you need it: it helps you not to miss important trend reversals
- How to set up: just turn the function on or off
3️⃣ Filter by MFI levels
- What it does: generates signals only when the MFI is in the specified ranges
- Why it is needed: it helps to catch the moments when the market is oversold or overbought
- How to set up:
- For buy signals: set a range for oversold (e.g. 1-30)
- For sell signals: set a range for overbought (e.g. 70-100)
4️⃣ The RSI filter
- What it does: additionally checks the RSI values to confirm the signals
- Why it is needed: adds additional confirmation from another popular indicator
- How to set up: Similar to the MFI filter, set ranges for buying and selling
🔄 Signal combination modes
1️⃣ Normal mode ("None")
- How it works: all signals (MA, BB, Div) work independently of each other
- When to use it: for general market analysis or when learning how to work with the indicator
2️⃣ "And" mode ("MA and BB and Div")
- How it works: the alarm appears only when several conditions are triggered simultaneously
- Combination options:
- MA+BB: signals from the moving average and Bollinger bands
- MA+Div: signals from the moving average and divergence
- BB+Div: signals from the Bollinger bands and divergence
- MA+BB+Div: all three signals simultaneously
- When to use: for more reliable but rare signals
3️⃣ "OR" mode ("MA or BB or Div")
- How it works: the alarm appears when any of the conditions are triggered
- When to use: for frequent signals when you don't want to miss any opportunity.
🔌 Connecting to trading strategies
The indicator can be connected to your trading strategies using 5 different channels.:
1. Channel for MA signals: connects only signals from moving averages
2. BB signal channel: connects only the signals from the Bollinger bands
3. Channel for divergence signals: connects only divergence signals
4. Channel for "And" mode: connects only combined signals
5. Channel for "OR" mode: connects signals from any source
🔔 Setting up alerts
The indicator can send alerts when alarms appear.:
- Alerts for MA: when the MFI crosses the moving average
- Alerts for BB: when the MFI crosses the Bollinger bands
- Divergence alerts: when a divergence is detected
- Combined alerts: for "AND" and "OR" modes
🎭 What does the indicator look like on the chart ?
- MFI main line: purple line
- Overbought/oversold levels: horizontal lines at levels 30 and 70
- Middle line: dotted line at level 50
- MFI Moving Average: yellow line
- Bollinger bands: green lines around the moving average
- Signals: green and red triangles with corresponding labels
📚 How to start using MFI Nexus Pro
1️⃣ Initial setup
- Add an indicator to your chart
- Select the type of moving average and the period (you can leave it as the default)
- Activate the desired signal types (MA, BB, Div)
2️⃣ Filter settings
- Set the distance between the signals to get rid of unnecessary noise
- Adjust the MFI and RSI levels depending on how volatile your asset is
- If you need more reliable signals, turn on the "Waiting for the opposite signal" mode.
3️⃣ Operation mode selection
- First, use the standard mode to see all possible signals.
- When you get comfortable, try the "And" mode for more reliable signals.
- For active trading, you can use the "OR" mode
4️⃣ Setting up Alerts
- Select the types of signals you want to be notified about
- Set up alerts for "AND" or "OR" modes if you use them
5️⃣ Verification and adaptation
- Check the operation of the indicator on historical data
- Adjust the parameters for a specific asset
- Adapt the settings to your trading style
🌟 Usage examples
For trend trading
- Use MA signals in the direction of the main trend
- Turn on the "Waiting for the opposite signal" mode
- Set stricter levels for filters
For trading in a sideways range
- Use BB signals to detect bounces from the range boundaries
- Use the MFI level filter to confirm overbought/oversold conditions
- Adjust the Bollinger bands according to the width of the range
To determine the pivot points
- Pay attention to the divergence signals
- Use the "And" mode by combining divergences with other signals
- Check the RSI filter for additional confirmation
UM EMA SMA WMA HMA with Directional Color ChangeUM EMA SMA WMA HMA with Directional Color Change
Description:
This is a Swiss Army knife type of Moving Average tool. Select your favorite Moving Average type, EMA - Exponential Moving Average, SMA - Simple Moving Average, WMA - Weighted Moving Average, or HMA - Hull Moving Average. Then selection your number of periods. The MA line is green when trending higher and red when trending lower. The fill between price and the MA line matches the red/green of the direction.
Defaults and Configuration:
The default setting is 65 period and EMA. Line colors and optional fill colors are user-configurable.
Alerts:
An alert can be set on the MA for directional color changes (red to green, or green to red) Right click the indicator and select Add Alert. Then select Bullish or Bearish color change.
Suggested Uses:
Add this to any timeframe chart with your favorite Moving averages. A strategy I use frequently is to "stretch" the Moving average. For example if you like the 8 day moving average on the daily chart, try the 52 period Moving average on the hourly chart. (6.5 market hours per day * 8) By looking at smaller time frames with longer MAs you get smoother color transitions on the Moving average. Add multiple instances of the MA. I prefer to use a smaller quick MA with a longer MA that represents a longer time frame.
Another use case I also like is the color transition over a Moving Average crossover. While I do like the daily 2/6 and 8/3 moving average crossovers, red-to-green and green-to-red color transitions seem to work with less lag than the crossovers.
Suggested Settings:
Daily charts: 8 EMA
Hourly charts: 55 EMA
30 minute charts: 65 WMA. (I like this one for inverse ETFs)
3 minutes charts: 178 EMA and 233 EMA
I also like to round MA settings up or down to the nearest fibonacci number: 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, etc.
AadTrend [InvestorUnknown]The AadTrend indicator is an experimental trading tool that combines a user-selected moving average with the Average Absolute Deviation (AAD) from this moving average. This combination works similarly to the Supertrend indicator but offers additional flexibility and insights. In addition to generating Long and Short signals, the AadTrend indicator identifies RISK-ON and RISK-OFF states for each trade direction, highlighting areas where taking on more risk may be considered.
Core Concepts and Features
Moving Average (User-Selected Type)
The indicator allows users to select from various types of moving averages to suit different trading styles and market conditions:
Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Exponential Moving Average (EMA)
Hull Moving Average (HMA)
Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA)
Triple Exponential Moving Average (TEMA)
Relative Moving Average (RMA)
Fractal Adaptive Moving Average (FRAMA)
Average Absolute Deviation (AAD)
The Average Absolute Deviation measures the average distance between each data point and the mean, providing a robust estimation of volatility.
aad(series float src, simple int length, simple string avg_type) =>
avg = // Moving average as selected by the user
abs_deviations = math.abs(src - avg)
ta.sma(abs_deviations, length)
This provides a volatility measure that adapts to recent market conditions.
Combining Moving Average and AAD
The indicator creates upper and lower bands around the moving average using the AAD, similar to how the Supertrend indicator uses Average True Range (ATR) for its bands.
AadTrend(series float src, simple int length, simple float aad_mult, simple string avg_type) =>
// Calculate AAD (volatility measure)
aad_value = aad(src, length, avg_type)
// Calculate the AAD-based moving average by scaling the price data with AAD
avg = switch avg_type
"SMA" => ta.sma(src, length)
"EMA" => ta.ema(src, length)
"HMA" => ta.hma(src, length)
"DEMA" => ta.dema(src, length)
"TEMA" => ta.tema(src, length)
"RMA" => ta.rma(src, length)
"FRAMA" => ta.frama(src, length)
avg_p = avg + (aad_value * aad_mult)
avg_m = avg - (aad_value * aad_mult)
var direction = 0
if ta.crossover(src, avg_p)
direction := 1
else if ta.crossunder(src, avg_m)
direction := -1
A chart displaying the moving average with upper and lower AAD bands enveloping the price action.
Signals and Trade States
1. Long and Short Signals
Long Signal: Generated when the price crosses above the upper AAD band,
Short Signal: Generated when the price crosses below the lower AAD band.
2. RISK-ON and RISK-OFF States
These states provide additional insight into the strength of the current trend and potential opportunities for taking on more risk.
RISK-ON Long: When the price moves significantly above the upper AAD band after a Long signal.
RISK-OFF Long: When the price moves back below the upper AAD band, suggesting caution.
RISK-ON Short: When the price moves significantly below the lower AAD band after a Short signal.
RISK-OFF Short: When the price moves back above the lower AAD band.
Highlighted areas on the chart representing RISK-ON and RISK-OFF zones for both Long and Short positions.
A chart showing the filled areas corresponding to trend directions and RISK-ON zones
Backtesting and Performance Metrics
While the AadTrend indicator focuses on generating signals and highlighting risk areas, it can be integrated with backtesting frameworks to evaluate performance over historical data.
Integration with Backtest Library:
import InvestorUnknown/BacktestLibrary/1 as backtestlib
Customization and Calibration
1. Importance of Calibration
Default Settings Are Experimental: The default parameters are not optimized for any specific market condition or asset.
User Calibration: Traders should adjust the length, aad_mult, and avg_type parameters to align the indicator with their trading strategy and the characteristics of the asset being analyzed.
2. Factors to Consider
Market Volatility: Higher volatility may require adjustments to the aad_mult to avoid false signals.
Trading Style: Short-term traders might prefer faster-moving averages like EMA or HMA, while long-term traders might opt for SMA or FRAMA.
Alerts and Notifications
The AadTrend indicator includes built-in alert conditions to notify traders of significant market events:
Long and Short Alerts:
alertcondition(long_alert, "LONG (AadTrend)", "AadTrend flipped ⬆LONG⬆")
alertcondition(short_alert, "SHORT (AadTrend)", "AadTrend flipped ⬇Short⬇")
RISK-ON and RISK-OFF Alerts:
alertcondition(risk_on_long, "RISK-ON LONG (AadTrend)", "RISK-ON LONG (AadTrend)")
alertcondition(risk_off_long, "RISK-OFF LONG (AadTrend)", "RISK-OFF LONG (AadTrend)")
alertcondition(risk_on_short, "RISK-ON SHORT (AadTrend)", "RISK-ON SHORT (AadTrend)")
alertcondition(risk_off_short, "RISK-OFF SHORT (AadTrend)", "RISK-OFF SHORT (AadTrend)")
Important Notes and Disclaimer
Experimental Nature: The AadTrend indicator is experimental and should be used with caution.
No Guaranteed Performance: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Backtesting results may not reflect real trading conditions.
User Responsibility: Traders and investors should thoroughly test and calibrate the indicator settings before applying it to live trading.
Risk Management: Always use proper risk management techniques, including stop-loss orders and position sizing.
Sticky Moving AverageThe Sticky Moving Average is a custom indicator designed to provide a unique smoothing effect by combining different moving averages derived from a single base period. This indicator creates a single line on the chart, representing the average of the following three moving averages:
1. X-period Simple Moving Average (SMA): A traditional moving average that smooths the price data over the full period.
2. X/2-period Simple Moving Average (SMA): A faster-moving average that smooths the price data over half of the base period.
3. X/4-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA): An exponential moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, calculated over one-fourth of the base period.
The result is a moving average that "sticks" to price action by considering both short-term and long-term trends, offering a balanced view of market momentum.
This indicator is ideal for traders looking to gain a nuanced understanding of price movements by incorporating multiple smoothing periods into a single, easy-to-use line. Adjust the `X` value to suit your trading strategy and enjoy the clarity this composite moving average can bring to your charts.
slope-velocityDescription
This Pine Script indicator, named "slope-velocity," calculates and visualizes the slope of a moving average (MA) in degrees, allowing users to observe the rate of change of the MA over time. Here's a breakdown of its components and functionality:
Inputs:
option: A dropdown menu allowing the user to select the type of moving average (SMA, EMA, DEMA).
length: An integer input for specifying the period length of the moving average.
source: The data source for the moving average calculation, defaulting to the close price.
Variable Initialization:
ma: A variable to store the moving average value, initialized as na.
Moving Average Calculation:
Depending on the selected option, the script calculates the appropriate moving average:
ta.sma(source, length) for Simple Moving Average (SMA).
ta.ema(source, length) for Exponential Moving Average (EMA).
ta.dema(source, length) for Double Exponential Moving Average (DEMA).
Slope Calculation:
slope_ma: The script calculates the slope of the moving average by subtracting the previous period's MA value from the current period's MA value (ma - ma ).
Slope Conversion to Degrees:
slope_degrees_ma: The slope is converted to degrees using the math.atan function to compute the arctangent of the slope, followed by math.todegrees to convert the result from radians to degrees. The result is rounded to the nearest integer using math.round.
Plotting Reference Lines:
Horizontal lines are plotted at specific degree values (0, 10, 20, -10, -20) to provide reference points for the slope's visualization.
Plotting the Slope:
The slope in degrees is plotted as a histogram. The color of the histogram bars is determined by the sign of the slope: green for positive slopes and red for negative slopes.
Additional Comments
The script includes some commented-out sections related to plotting acceleration and displaying labels for slope differences, which are not active in the current implementation.
The script is designed to provide a visual representation of the moving average's rate of change, making it easier to identify periods of rapid price movement and potential trend reversals.
Non-Sinusoidal Multi-Layered Moving Average OscillatorThis indicator utilizes multiple moving averages (MAs) of different lengths their difference and its rate of change to provide a comprehensive view of both short-term and long-term market trends. The output signal is characterized by its non-sinusoidal nature, offering distinct advantages in trend analysis and market forecasting.
Combining the difference between two moving averages with the ROC allows to assess not only the direction and strength of the trend but also the momentum behind it. Transforming these signal in to non-sinusoidal output enhances its utility.
The indicator allows traders to select any one or more of seven moving average options. Larger timeframes (e.g., MA89/MA144) provide a broader identification of the overall trend, helping to understand the general market direction. Smaller timeframes (e.g., MA5/MA8) are more sensitive to price changes and can indicate better entry and exit points, aiding in the identification of retracements and pullbacks. By combining multiple timeframes, traders can get a comprehensive view of the market, enabling more precise and informed trading decisions.
Key Features:
Multiple Moving Averages:
The indicator calculates several exponential moving averages (EMAs) based on different lengths: MA5, MA8, MA13, MA21, MA34, MA55, MA89, and MA144.
These MAs are further smoothed using a secondary exponential moving average, with the smoothing length customizable by the user.
Percentage Differences:
The indicator computes the percentage differences between successive MAs (e.g., (MA5 - MA8) / MA8 * 100). These differences highlight the relative movement of prices over different periods, providing insights into market momentum and trend strength.
Short-term MA differences (e.g., MA5/MA8) are more sensitive to recent price changes, making them useful for detecting quick market movements.
Long-term MA differences (e.g., MA89/MA144) smooth out short-term fluctuations, helping to identify major trends.
Rate of Change (ROC):
The indicator applies the Rate of Change (ROC) to the percentage differences of the MAs. ROC measures the speed at which the percentage differences are changing over time, providing an additional layer of trend analysis.
ROC helps in understanding the acceleration or deceleration of market trends, indicating the strength and potential reversals.
Transformations:
The percentage differences undergo a series of mathematical transformations (either inverse hyperbolic sine transformation or inverse fisher transformation) to refine the signal and enhance its interpretability. These transformations include adjustments to stabilize the values and highlight significant movements.
checkbox allows users to select which mathematical transformations to use.
Non-Sinusoidal Nature:
The output signal of this indicator is non-sinusoidal, characterized by abrupt changes and distinct patterns rather than smooth, wave-like oscillations.
The non-sinusoidal signal provides clearer demarcations of trend changes and is more responsive to sudden market shifts.
This nature reduces the lag typically associated with sinusoidal indicators, allowing for more timely and accurate trading decisions.
Customizable Options:
Users can select which MA pairs to include in the analysis using checkboxes. This flexibility allows the indicator to adapt to different trading strategies, whether focused on short-term movements or long-term trends.
Visual Representation:
The indicator plots the transformed values on a separate panel, making it easy for traders to visualize the trends and potential entry or exit points.
Usage Scenarios:
Short-Term Trading: By focusing on shorter MAs (e.g., MA5/MA8), traders can capture quick market movements and identify short-term trends.
Long-Term Analysis: Utilizing longer MAs (e.g., MA89/MA144) helps in identifying major market trends.
Combination of MAs: The ability to mix different MA lengths provides a balanced view, helping traders make decisions based on both immediate price actions and overall market direction.
Practical Benefits:
Early Signal Detection: The sensitivity of short-term MAs provides early signals for potential trend changes, assisting traders in timely decision-making.
Trend Confirmation: Long-term MAs offer stable trend confirmation, reducing the likelihood of false signals in volatile markets.
Noise Reduction: The mathematical transformations and ROC applied to the percentage differences help in filtering out market noise, focusing on meaningful price movements.
Improved Responsiveness: The non-sinusoidal nature of the signal allows the indicator to react more quickly to market changes, providing more accurate and timely trading signals.
Clearer Trend Demarcations: Non-sinusoidal signals make it easier to identify distinct phases of market trends, aiding in better interpretation and decision-making.
Normalised T3 Oscillator [BackQuant]Normalised T3 Oscillator
The Normalised T3 Oscillator is an technical indicator designed to provide traders with a refined measure of market momentum by normalizing the T3 Moving Average. This tool was developed to enhance trading decisions by smoothing price data and reducing market noise, allowing for clearer trend recognition and potential signal generation. Below is a detailed breakdown of the Normalised T3 Oscillator, its methodology, and its application in trading scenarios.
1. Conceptual Foundation and Definition of T3
The T3 Moving Average, originally proposed by Tim Tillson, is renowned for its smoothness and responsiveness, achieved through a combination of multiple Exponential Moving Averages and a volume factor. The Normalised T3 Oscillator extends this concept by normalizing these values to oscillate around a central zero line, which aids in highlighting overbought and oversold conditions.
2. Normalization Process
Normalization in this context refers to the adjustment of the T3 values to ensure that the oscillator provides a standard range of output. This is accomplished by calculating the lowest and highest values of the T3 over a user-defined period and scaling the output between -0.5 to +0.5. This process not only aids in standardizing the indicator across different securities and time frames but also enhances comparative analysis.
3. Integration of the Oscillator and Moving Average
A unique feature of the Normalised T3 Oscillator is the inclusion of a secondary smoothing mechanism via a moving average of the oscillator itself, selectable from various types such as SMA, EMA, and more. This moving average acts as a signal line, providing potential buy or sell triggers when the oscillator crosses this line, thus offering dual layers of analysis—momentum and trend confirmation.
4. Visualization and User Interaction
The indicator is designed with user interaction in mind, featuring customizable parameters such as the length of the T3, normalization period, and type of moving average used for signals. Additionally, the oscillator is plotted with a color-coded scheme that visually represents different strength levels of the market conditions, enhancing readability and quick decision-making.
5. Practical Applications and Strategy Integration
Traders can leverage the Normalised T3 Oscillator in various trading strategies, including trend following, counter-trend plays, and as a component of a broader trading system. It is particularly useful in identifying turning points in the market or confirming ongoing trends. The clear visualization and customizable nature of the oscillator facilitate its adaptation to different trading styles and market environments.
6. Advanced Features and Customization
Further enhancing its utility, the indicator includes options such as painting candles according to the trend, showing static levels for quick reference, and alerts for crossover and crossunder events, which can be integrated into automated trading systems. These features allow for a high degree of personalization, enabling traders to mold the tool according to their specific trading preferences and risk management requirements.
7. Theoretical Justification and Empirical Usage
The use of the T3 smoothing mechanism combined with normalization is theoretically sound, aiming to reduce lag and false signals often associated with traditional moving averages. The practical effectiveness of the Normalised T3 Oscillator should be validated through rigorous backtesting and adjustment of parameters to match historical market conditions and volatility.
8. Conclusion and Utility in Market Analysis
Overall, the Normalised T3 Oscillator by BackQuant stands as a sophisticated tool for market analysis, providing traders with a dynamic and adaptable approach to gauging market momentum. Its development is rooted in the understanding of technical nuances and the demand for a more stable, responsive, and customizable trading indicator.
Thus following all of the key points here are some sample backtests on the 1D Chart
Disclaimer: Backtests are based off past results, and are not indicative of the future.
INDEX:BTCUSD
INDEX:ETHUSD
BINANCE:SOLUSD
hamster-bot MRS 2 (simplified version) MRS - Mean Reversion Strategy (Countertrend) (Envelope strategy)
This script does not claim to be unique and does not mislead anyone. Even the unattractive backtest result is attached. The source code is open. The idea has been described many times in various sources. But at the same time, their collection in one place provides unique opportunities.
Published by popular demand and for ease of use. so that users can track the development of the script and can offer their ideas in the comments. Otherwise, you have to communicate in several telegram chats.
Representative of the family of counter-trend strategies. The basis of the strategy is Mean reversion . You can also read about the Envelope strategy .
Mean reversion , or reversion to the mean, is a theory used in finance that suggests that asset price volatility and historical returns eventually will revert to the long-run mean or average level of the entire dataset.
The strategy is very simple. Has very few settings. Good for beginners to get acquainted with algorithmic trading. A simple adjustment will help avoid overfitting. There are many variations of this strategy, but for understanding it is better to start with this implementation.
Principle of operation.
1)
A conventional MA is being built. (fuchsia line). A limit order is placed on this line to close the position.
2)
(green line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a long position
3)
(red line) A limit order is placed on this line to open a short position
Attention!
Please note that a limit order is used. Conclude that the strategy has a limited capacity. And the results obtained on low-liquid instruments will be too high in the tester. On real auctions there will be a different result.
Note for testing the strategy in the spot market:
When testing in the spot market, do not include both long and short at the same time. It is recommended to test only the long mode on the spot. Short mode for more advanced users.
Settings:
Available types of moving averages:
SMA
EMA
TEMA - triple exponential moving average
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
ZLEMA - Zero lag exponential moving average
WMA - weighted moving average
Hma - Hull Moving Average
Thma - Triple Exponential Hull Moving Average
Ehma - Exponential Hull Moving Average
H - MA built based on highs for n candles | ta.highest(len)
L - MA built based on lows for n candles | ta.lowest(len)
DMA - Donchian Moving Average
A Kalman filter can be applied to all MA
The peculiarity of the strategy is a large selection of MA and the possibility of shifting lines. You can set up a reverse trending strategy on the Donchian channel for example.
Use Long - enable/disable opening a Long position
Use Short - enable/disable opening a Short position
Lot Long, % - % allocated from the deposit for opening a Long position. In the spot market, do not use % greater than 100%
Lot Short, % - allocated % of the deposit for opening a Short position
Start date - the beginning of the testing period
End date - the end of the testing period (Example: only August 2020 can be tested)
Mul - multiplier. Used to offset lines. Example:
Mul = 0.99 is shift -1%
Mul = 1.01 is shift +1%
Non-strict recommendations:
1) Test the SPOT market on crypto exchanges. (The countertrend strategy has liquidation risk on futures)
2) Symbols altcoin/bitcoin or altcoin/altcoin. Example: ETH/BTC or DOGE/ETH
3) Timeframe is usually 1 hour
If the script passes moderation, I will supplement it by adding separate settings for closing long and short positions according to their MA
Weighted Oscillator Convergence DivergenceThe Weighted Oscillator Convergence Divergence (WOCD) aims to help traders identify potential trend reversals or momentum shifts in financial markets by calculating and visualizing the difference between a smoothed oscillator (WMA) value and its exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) counterparts. This indicator is particularly useful for traders who want an alternative perspective on price momentum and divergence.
Key Features:
Inputs:
Length: The user can specify the number of bars to consider for calculations (default is 9).
Smoothing 1: Defines the smoothing factor for the first smoothed value (default is 5).
Smoothing 2: Specifies the smoothing factor for the second smoothed value (default is 7).
Ma Type: There are three types of moving averages you can choose (Wilder, non-lag, Weighted is by default).
Color Settings: Users can customize the indicator's colors for various elements, such as length, smoothing values, and different sections of the histogram.
Calculation:
WOCD calculates the raw oscillator value by subtracting the close price from a 3-period High, Low, Close (HLC3) moving average.
It then applies smoothing to this raw oscillator value using two different methods: exponential moving average (EMA) and simple moving average (SMA) with user-defined smoothing periods.
Histogram Plot:
The indicator plots a histogram based on the difference between the smoothed oscillator and the first smoothed value.
When the histogram is above zero and rising, it is colored according to the "Above Grow" color setting. When it's above zero and falling, it uses the "Fall" color for visualization.
Similarly, when the histogram is below zero and rising, it is colored according to the "Below Grow" color setting, and when it's below zero and falling, it uses the "Fall" color.
Oscillator and Smoothed Values:
The indicator also plots the smoothed oscillator, smoothed value 1 (EMA-based), and smoothed value 2 (SMA-based) on the chart.
Zero Line:
A horizontal line at zero is drawn on the chart for reference.
How to Use the WOCD Indicator:
Trend Identification: Observe the histogram's direction and color. A rising histogram above zero may indicate bullish momentum, while a falling histogram below zero could signal bearish momentum.
Divergence: Look for divergences between price action and the histogram. When the histogram and price move in opposite directions, it can be a potential reversal signal.
Crossovers: Pay attention to crossovers between the smoothed oscillator and its smoothed counterparts (EMA and SMA). These crossovers can indicate changes in trend strength or direction.
Zero Line: The zero line can act as a reference point. Positive histogram values suggest bullish sentiment, while negative values indicate bearish sentiment.
Comparison to MACD Indicator:
The WOCD indicator shares some similarities with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator but also has distinct differences:
Similarities:
Both WOCD and MACD are momentum oscillators designed to identify potential trend reversals and divergences.
They use moving averages (EMA in the case of MACD) to smooth the raw oscillator values.
Both indicators provide histogram representations of the difference between the oscillator and its smoothed counterpart.
Differences:
WOCD uses a 3-period High, Low, Close (HLC3) moving average to calculate the raw oscillator value, whereas MACD uses the difference between two exponential moving averages (usually 12-period and 26-period EMAs).
The smoothing in WOCD employs both EMA and SMA, while MACD exclusively uses EMA.
WOCD allows users to customize colors for various elements, enhancing visual clarity.
Disparity IndexThe Disparity Index is a technical momentum indicator that measures the relative position of the most recent closing price to a selected moving average. It calculates the percentage difference between the closing price and the moving average, providing insights into price momentum and potential reversals.
The formula for the Disparity Index is: * 100, where Close is the most recent closing price and n-period MA is the chosen moving average over n periods.
The Disparity Index can be used in various ways:
Trend Identification: The Disparity Index helps identify the relationship between the price and a chosen moving average. A positive value indicates that the price is above the moving average, suggesting bullish momentum, while a negative value suggests bearish momentum.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions: The Disparity Index can be used to identify potential overbought and oversold conditions. When the index reaches an extremely high value, it may indicate an overbought condition, implying a possible price correction. Conversely, an extremely low value can signal an oversold condition, indicating a potential price rebound.
Divergence: Traders can use the Disparity Index to identify divergence between the price and the indicator. Divergence occurs when the price and the Disparity Index move in opposite directions, potentially signaling an upcoming price reversal.
Personal Strategy: When the Disparity Index generates a green background, it suggests a potential bullish signal. This occurs when the Disparity Index crosses above the oversold threshold or exhibits a bullish reversal pattern. The green background signifies an area where buyers may have gained control, indicating a favorable environment for initiating long positions. This approach allows you to capitalize on potential upward price movements and join the uptrend.
On the other hand, when the Disparity Index generates a red background, it implies a potential bearish signal. This occurs when the Disparity Index crosses below the overbought threshold or exhibits a bearish reversal pattern. The red background highlights a zone where sellers might dominate, indicating a higher likelihood of downward price movements. By considering selling opportunities in these zones, you can position yourself to profit from potential downside moves and align with the prevailing downtrend.
The Disparity Index can be customized by using different types of moving averages such as simple moving averages (SMAs), exponential moving averages (EMAs), or weighted moving averages (WMAs). Additionally, it can be smoothed using another moving average to reduce noise and generate smoother signals, improving trend identification.
In trending markets, the Disparity Index is particularly effective as a trend indicator due to its ability to quickly capture price changes. It can provide early indications of trend strength and potential reversals, allowing traders to enter or exit positions in a timely manner. This advantage over traditional moving averages makes the Disparity Index a valuable tool for trend-following strategies.
Enjoy!
