3 EMA + RSI with Trail Stop [Free990] (LOW TF)This trading strategy combines three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify trend direction, uses RSI to signal exit conditions, and applies both a fixed percentage stop-loss and a trailing stop for risk management. It aims to capture momentum when the faster EMAs cross the slower EMA, then uses RSI thresholds, time-based exits, and stops to close trades.
Short Explanation of the Logic
Trend Detection: When the 10 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA and both are above the 100 EMA (and the current price bar closes higher), it triggers a long entry signal. The reverse happens for a short (the 10 EMA crosses below the 20 EMA and both are below the 100 EMA).
RSI Exit: RSI crossing above a set threshold closes long trades; crossing below another threshold closes short trades.
Time-Based Exit: If a trade is in profit after a set number of bars, the strategy closes it.
Stop-Loss & Trailing Stop: A fixed stop-loss based on a percentage from the entry price guards against large drawdowns. A trailing stop dynamically tightens as the trade moves in favor, locking in potential gains.
Detailed Explanation of the Strategy Logic
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Setup
Short EMA (out_a, length=10)
Medium EMA (out_b, length=20)
Long EMA (out_c, length=100)
The code calculates three separate EMAs to gauge short-term, medium-term, and longer-term trend behavior. By comparing their relative positions, the strategy infers whether the market is bullish (EMAs stacked positively) or bearish (EMAs stacked negatively).
Entry Conditions
Long Entry (entryLong): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses above the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are above the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes higher than it opened (close > open).
This suggests that momentum is shifting to the upside (short-term EMAs crossing up and price action turning bullish). If there’s an existing short position, it’s closed first before opening a new long.
Short Entry (entryShort): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses below the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are below the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes lower than it opened (close < open).
This indicates a potential shift to the downside. If there’s an existing long position, that gets closed first before opening a new short.
Exit Signals
RSI-Based Exits:
For long trades: When RSI exceeds a specified threshold (e.g., 70 by default), it triggers a long exit. RSI > short_rsi generally means overbought conditions, so the strategy exits to lock in profits or avoid a pullback.
For short trades: When RSI dips below a specified threshold (e.g., 30 by default), it triggers a short exit. RSI < long_rsi indicates oversold conditions, so the strategy closes the short to avoid a bounce.
Time-Based Exit:
If the trade has been open for xBars bars (configurable, e.g., 24 bars) and the trade is in profit (current price above entry for a long, or current price below entry for a short), the strategy closes the position. This helps lock in gains if the move takes too long or momentum stalls.
Stop-Loss Management
Fixed Stop-Loss (% Based): Each trade has a fixed stop-loss calculated as a percentage from the average entry price.
For long positions, the stop-loss is set below the entry price by a user-defined percentage (fixStopLossPerc).
For short positions, the stop-loss is set above the entry price by the same percentage.
This mechanism prevents catastrophic losses if the market moves strongly against the position.
Trailing Stop:
The strategy also sets a trail stop using trail_points (the distance in price points) and trail_offset (how quickly the stop “catches up” to price).
As the market moves in favor of the trade, the trailing stop gradually tightens, allowing profits to run while still capping potential drawdowns if the price reverses.
Order Execution Flow
When the conditions for a new position (long or short) are triggered, the strategy first checks if there’s an opposite position open. If there is, it closes that position before opening the new one (prevents going “both long and short” simultaneously).
RSI-based and time-based exits are checked on each bar. If triggered, the position is closed.
If the position remains open, the fixed stop-loss and trailing stop remain in effect until the position is exited.
Why This Combination Works
Multiple EMA Cross: Combining 10, 20, and 100 EMAs balances short-term momentum detection with a longer-term trend filter. This reduces false signals that can occur if you only look at a single crossover without considering the broader trend.
RSI Exits: RSI provides a momentum oscillator view—helpful for detecting overbought/oversold conditions, acting as an extra confirmation to exit.
Time-Based Exit: Prevents “lingering trades.” If the position is in profit but failing to advance further, it takes profit rather than risking a trend reversal.
Fixed & Trailing Stop-Loss: The fixed stop-loss is your safety net to cap worst-case losses. The trailing stop allows the strategy to lock in gains by following the trade as it moves favorably, thus maximizing profit potential while keeping risk in check.
Overall, this approach tries to capture momentum from EMA crossovers, protect profits with trailing stops, and limit risk through both a fixed percentage stop-loss and exit signals from RSI/time-based logic.
Cerca negli script per "Exponential Moving Average"
DCA Strategy with Mean Reversion and Bollinger BandDCA Strategy with Mean Reversion and Bollinger Band
The Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) Strategy with Mean Reversion and Bollinger Bands is a sophisticated trading strategy that combines the principles of DCA, mean reversion, and technical analysis using Bollinger Bands. This strategy aims to capitalize on market corrections by systematically entering positions during periods of price pullbacks and reversion to the mean.
Key Concepts and Principles
1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)
DCA is an investment strategy that involves regularly purchasing a fixed dollar amount of an asset, regardless of its price. The idea behind DCA is that by spreading out investments over time, the impact of market volatility is reduced, and investors can avoid making large investments at inopportune times. The strategy reduces the risk of buying all at once during a market high and can smooth out the cost of purchasing assets over time.
In the context of this strategy, the Investment Amount (USD) is set by the user and represents the amount of capital to be invested in each buy order. The strategy executes buy orders whenever the price crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, which suggests a potential market correction or pullback. This is an effective way to average the entry price and avoid the emotional pitfalls of trying to time the market perfectly.
2. Mean Reversion
Mean reversion is a concept that suggests prices will tend to return to their historical average or mean over time. In this strategy, mean reversion is implemented using the Bollinger Bands, which are based on a moving average and standard deviation. The lower band is considered a potential buy signal when the price crosses below it, indicating that the asset has become oversold or underpriced relative to its historical average. This triggers the DCA buy order.
Mean reversion strategies are popular because they exploit the natural tendency of prices to revert to their mean after experiencing extreme deviations, such as during market corrections or panic selling.
3. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool that consists of three lines:
Middle Band: The moving average, usually a 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in this strategy. This serves as the "mean" or baseline.
Upper Band: The middle band plus a certain number of standard deviations (multiplier). The upper band is used to identify overbought conditions.
Lower Band: The middle band minus a certain number of standard deviations (multiplier). The lower band is used to identify oversold conditions.
In this strategy, the Bollinger Bands are used to identify potential entry points for DCA trades. When the price crosses below the lower band, this is seen as a potential opportunity for mean reversion, suggesting that the asset may be oversold and could reverse back toward the middle band (the EMA). Conversely, when the price crosses above the upper band, it indicates overbought conditions and signals potential market exhaustion.
4. Time-Based Entry and Exit
The strategy has specific entry and exit points defined by time parameters:
Open Date: The date when the strategy begins opening positions.
Close Date: The date when all positions are closed.
This time-bound approach ensures that the strategy is active only during a specified window, which can be useful for testing specific market conditions or focusing on a particular time frame.
5. Position Sizing
Position sizing is determined by the Investment Amount (USD), which is the fixed amount to be invested in each buy order. The quantity of the asset to be purchased is calculated by dividing the investment amount by the current price of the asset (investment_amount / close). This ensures that the amount invested remains constant despite fluctuations in the asset's price.
6. Closing All Positions
The strategy includes an exit rule that closes all positions once the specified close date is reached. This allows for controlled exits and limits the exposure to market fluctuations beyond the strategy's timeframe.
7. Background Color Based on Price Relative to Bollinger Bands
The script uses the background color of the chart to provide visual feedback about the price's relationship with the Bollinger Bands:
Red background indicates the price is above the upper band, signaling overbought conditions.
Green background indicates the price is below the lower band, signaling oversold conditions.
This provides an easy-to-interpret visual cue for traders to assess the current market environment.
Postscript: Configuring Initial Capital for Backtesting
To ensure the backtest results align with the actual investment scenario, users must adjust the Initial Capital in the TradingView strategy properties. This is done by calculating the Initial Capital as the product of the Total Closed Trades and the Investment Amount (USD). For instance:
If the user is investing 100 USD per trade and has 10 closed trades, the Initial Capital should be set to 1,000 USD.
Similarly, if the user is investing 200 USD per trade and has 24 closed trades, the Initial Capital should be set to 4,800 USD.
This adjustment ensures that the backtesting results reflect the actual capital deployed in the strategy and provides an accurate representation of potential gains and losses.
Conclusion
The DCA strategy with Mean Reversion and Bollinger Bands is a systematic approach to investing that leverages the power of regular investments and technical analysis to reduce market timing risks. By combining DCA with the insights offered by Bollinger Bands and mean reversion, this strategy offers a structured way to navigate volatile markets while targeting favorable entry points. The clear entry and exit rules, coupled with time-based constraints, make it a robust and disciplined approach to long-term investing.
Adaptive Squeeze Momentum StrategyThe Adaptive Squeeze Momentum Strategy is a versatile trading algorithm designed to capitalize on periods of low volatility that often precede significant price movements. By integrating multiple technical indicators and customizable settings, this strategy aims to identify optimal entry and exit points for both long and short positions.
Key Features:
Long/Short Trade Control:
Toggle Options: Easily enable or disable long and short trades according to your trading preferences or market conditions.
Flexible Application: Adapt the strategy for bullish, bearish, or neutral market outlooks.
Squeeze Detection Mechanism:
Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channels: Utilizes the convergence of Bollinger Bands inside Keltner Channels to detect "squeeze" conditions, indicating a potential breakout.
Dynamic Squeeze Length: Calculates the average squeeze duration to adapt to changing market volatility.
Momentum Analysis:
Linear Regression: Applies linear regression to price changes over a specified momentum length to gauge the strength and direction of momentum.
Dynamic Thresholds: Sets momentum thresholds based on standard deviations, allowing for adaptive sensitivity to market movements.
Momentum Multiplier: Adjustable setting to fine-tune the aggressiveness of momentum detection.
Trend Filtering:
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Implements a trend filter using an EMA to align trades with the prevailing market direction.
Customizable Length: Adjust the EMA length to suit different trading timeframes and assets.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) Filtering:
Overbought/Oversold Signals: Incorporates RSI to avoid entering trades during overextended market conditions.
Adjustable Levels: Set your own RSI oversold and overbought thresholds for personalized signal generation.
Advanced Risk Management:
ATR-Based Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Adaptive Levels: Uses the Average True Range (ATR) to set stop loss and take profit points that adjust to market volatility.
Custom Multipliers: Modify ATR multipliers for both stop loss and take profit to control risk and reward ratios.
Minimum Volatility Filter: Ensures trades are only taken when market volatility exceeds a user-defined minimum, avoiding periods of low activity.
Time-Based Exit:
Holding Period Multiplier: Defines a maximum holding period based on the momentum length to reduce exposure to adverse movements.
Automatic Position Closure: Closes positions after the specified holding period is reached.
Session Filtering:
Trading Session Control: Limits trading to predefined market hours, helping to avoid illiquid periods.
Custom Session Times: Set your preferred trading session to match market openings, closings, or specific timeframes.
Visualization Tools:
Indicator Plots: Displays Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, and trend EMA on the chart for visual analysis.
Squeeze Signals: Marks squeeze conditions on the chart, providing clear visual cues for potential trade setups.
Customization Options:
Indicator Parameters: Fine-tune lengths and multipliers for Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels, momentum calculation, and ATR.
Entry Filters: Choose to use trend and RSI filters to refine trade entries based on your strategy.
Risk Management Settings: Adjust stop loss, take profit, and holding periods to match your risk tolerance.
Trade Direction Control: Enable or disable long and short trades independently to align with your market strategy or compliance requirements.
Time Settings: Modify the trading session times and enable or disable the time filter as needed.
Use Cases:
Trend Traders: Benefit from aligning entries with the broader market trend while capturing breakout movements.
Swing Traders: Exploit periods of low volatility leading to significant price swings.
Risk-Averse Traders: Utilize advanced risk management features to protect capital and manage exposure.
Disclaimer:
This strategy is a tool to assist in trading decisions and should be used in conjunction with other analyses and risk management practices. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always test the strategy thoroughly and adjust settings to suit your specific trading style and market conditions.
Rainbow EMA Areas with Volatility HighlightThe indicator provides traders with an enhanced visual tool to observe price movements, trend strength, and market volatility on their charts. It combines multiple EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages) with color-coded areas to indicate the market’s directional bias and a high-volatility highlight for detecting times of increased market activity.
Explanation of Key Components
Multiple EMAs (Exponential Moving Averages):
Six different EMAs are calculated for various periods (15, 45, 100, 150, 200, 300).
Each EMA period represents a different timeframe, from short-term to long-term trends, providing a well-rounded view of price behavior across different market cycles.
The EMAs are color-coded for easy differentiation:
Green shades indicate bullish trends when prices are above the EMAs.
Red shades indicate bearish trends when prices are below the EMAs.
The space between each EMA is filled with a gradient color, creating a "wave" effect that helps identify the market’s overall direction.
ATR-Based Volatility Detection:
The ATR (Average True Range), a measure of market volatility, is used to assess how much the price is fluctuating. When volatility is high, price movements are typically more significant, indicating potential trading opportunities or times to exercise caution.
The indicator calculates ATR and uses a customizable multiplier to set a high-volatility threshold.
When the ATR exceeds this threshold, it signals that the market is experiencing high volatility.
Visual High Volatility Highlight:
A yellow background appears on the chart during periods of high volatility, giving a subtle but clear visual indication that the market is active.
This highlight helps traders spot potential breakout areas or increased activity zones without obstructing the EMA areas.
Volatility Signal Markers:
Small, red triangular markers are plotted above price bars when high volatility is detected, marking these areas for additional emphasis.
These signals serve as alerts to help traders quickly recognize high volatility moments where price moves may be stronger.
How to Use This Indicator
Identify Trends Using EMA Areas:
Bullish Trend: When the price is above most or all EMAs, and the EMA areas are colored in shades of green, it indicates a strong bullish trend. Traders might look for buy opportunities in this scenario.
Bearish Trend: When the price is below most or all EMAs, and the EMA areas are colored in shades of red, it signals a bearish trend. This condition can suggest potential sell opportunities.
Consolidation or Neutral Trend: If the price is moving within the EMA bands without a clear green or red dominance, the market may be in a consolidation phase. This period often precedes a breakout in either direction.
Volatility-Based Entries and Exits:
High Volatility Areas: The yellow background and red triangular markers signal high-volatility areas. This information can be valuable for identifying potential breakout points or strong moves.
Trading in High Volatility: During high-volatility phases, the market may experience rapid price changes, which can be ideal for breakout trades. However, high volatility also involves higher risk, so traders may adjust their strategies accordingly (e.g., setting wider stops or adjusting position sizes).
Trading in Low Volatility: When the yellow background and markers are absent, volatility is lower, indicating a calmer market. In these times, traders may choose to look for range-bound trading opportunities or wait for the next trend to develop.
Combining with Other Indicators:
This indicator works well in combination with momentum or oscillating indicators like RSI or MACD, providing a well-rounded view of the market.
For example, if the indicator shows a bullish EMA area with high volatility, and an RSI is trending up, it could be a stronger buy signal. Conversely, if the indicator shows a bearish EMA area with high volatility and RSI is trending down, this could be a stronger sell signal.
Practical Trading Examples
Bullish Trend in High Volatility:
Price is above the EMAs, showing green EMA areas, and the high volatility background is active.
This indicates a strong bullish trend with significant price movement potential.
A trader could look for breakout or continuation entries in the direction of the trend.
Bearish Reversal Signal:
Price crosses below the EMAs, showing red EMA areas, while high volatility is also detected.
This suggests that the market may be reversing to a bearish trend with increased price movement.
Traders could consider taking short positions or setting stops on existing long trades.
This indicator is designed to provide a rich visual experience, making it easy to spot trends, consolidations, and volatility zones at a glance. It is best used by traders who benefit from visual cues and who seek a quick understanding of both trend direction and market activity. Let me know if you'd like further customization or additional functionalities!
J Lines EMA + VWAPThe EMA + VWAP indicator combines the power of Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) with the Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) to help traders spot trends, identify potential entries/exits, and understand market momentum with ease. This dual-purpose tool is designed to give both beginner and experienced traders a clear view of price direction and volume influence, whether for day trading or swing trading.
Key Features:
Dynamic EMA Lines:
Six customizable moving averages (EMA by default) adapt to your selected timeframe. EMAs help track trend direction and strength, with various colors and opacity settings that visually separate them for clarity.
VWAP Tracking: A standalone VWAP line (blue) shows the average trading price adjusted for volume, making it ideal for pinpointing significant price levels where institutional interest often lies.
EMA Ribbons for Trend Confirmation: Soft-colored ribbons are placed between EMA pairs to make the trend strength visually apparent, with different color fills between lines. This makes it easy to gauge bullish or bearish conditions at a glance.
Flexible MA Options: Besides EMA, you can choose from SMA, WMA, HMA, and RMA, allowing you to adapt the indicator to various trading strategies.
This tool simplifies trend-following and volume-based analysis by giving you insight into both price momentum and market participation levels. EMAs adapt to volatility and changing market conditions, while the VWAP keeps you aware of critical price zones based on trading volume. Together, these help you stay on the right side of the market, avoid false breakouts, and make informed decisions on when to enter or exit trades.
Ideal for beginners due to its visual clarity and flexible enough for seasoned traders, EMA + VWAP is your go-to indicator for a structured approach to market trends.
MTF Regression with Forecast### **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter - Enhanced with Long Regression**
Unlock advanced market insights with our **MTF Regression** indicator, meticulously designed for traders seeking comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis combined with powerful forecasting tools. Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this indicator offers a suite of features to enhance your trading strategy.
#### **🔍 Key Features:**
- **Multi-Timeframe (MTF) Regression:**
- **Fast, Slow, & Long Regressions:** Analyze price trends across multiple timeframes to capture both short-term movements and long-term trends.
- **Customizable Price Inputs:**
- **Flexible Price Selection:** Choose between Close, Open, High, or Low prices to suit your trading style.
- **Price Transformation:** Option to apply Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for smoother trend analysis.
- **Diverse Regression Methods:**
- **Multiple Algorithms:** Select from Linear, Exponential, Hull Moving Average (HMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or Spline regressions to best fit your analysis needs.
- **Integrated External Data:**
- **10-Year Treasury Yield:** Incorporate macroeconomic indicators to refine regression accuracy.
- **Additional Variables:** Enhance your analysis by integrating data from other tickers (e.g., NASDAQ:AAPL).
- **Advanced Filtering Options:**
- **VWAP Filter:** Align signals with the Volume Weighted Average Price for improved trade entries.
- **Price Action Filter:** Ensure price behavior supports the generated signals for higher reliability.
- **Enhanced Signal Generation:**
- **Bullish & Bearish Signals:** Identify potential trend reversals and continuations with clear visual cues.
- **Predictive Signals:** Forecast future price movements with forward-looking arrows based on regression slopes.
- **Slope & Acceleration Thresholds:** Customize minimum slope and acceleration levels to fine-tune signal sensitivity.
- **Forecasting Capabilities:**
- **Projection Lines:** Visualize future price trends by extending regression lines based on current slope data.
- **User-Friendly Interface:**
- **Organized Settings Groups:** Easily navigate through price inputs, regression settings, integration options, and more.
- **Customizable Alerts:** Stay informed with configurable alerts for bullish, bearish, and predictive signals.
#### **📈 Why Choose MTF Regression Indicator?**
- **Comprehensive Analysis:** Combines multiple regression techniques and external data sources for a well-rounded market view.
- **Flexibility:** Highly customizable to fit various trading strategies and preferences.
- **Enhanced Decision-Making:** Provides clear signals and forecasts to support informed trading decisions.
- **Efficiency:** Optimized to deliver reliable performance without overloading your trading platform.
Elevate your trading game with the **MTF Regression with Forecast, Treasury Yield, Additional Variable & VWAP Filter** indicator. Harness the power of multi-timeframe analysis and predictive forecasting to stay ahead in the dynamic markets.
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*Feel free to reach out for more information or support. Happy Trading!*
RSI & Volume Impact Analyzer Ver.1.00Description:
The RSI VOL Score indicator combines the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume data through a mathematical calculation to assist traders in identifying and confirming potential trend reversals and continuations. By leveraging both momentum (RSI) and volume data, this indicator provides a more comprehensive view of market strength compared to using RSI or volume alone.
How It Works:
This indicator calculates a score by comparing the RSI against its moving average, adjusted by the volume data. The resulting score quantifies market momentum and strength. When the score crosses its signal line, it may indicate key moments where the market shifts between bullish and bearish trends, potentially helping traders spot these changes earlier.
Calculation Methods:
The RSI VOL Score allows users to select between several calculation methods to suit their strategy:
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Provides a balanced smoothing approach.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Reacts more quickly to recent price changes, offering faster signals.
VWMA (Volume Weighted Moving Average): Emphasizes high-volume periods, focusing on stronger market moves.
WMA (Weighted Moving Average): Applies greater weight to recent data for a more responsive signal.
What the Indicator Plots:
Score Line: Represents a combined metric based on RSI and volume, helping traders gauge the overall strength of the trend.
Signal Line: A smoothed version of the score that helps traders identify potential trend changes. Bullish signals occur when the score crosses above the signal line, while bearish signals occur when the score drops below.
Key Features:
Trend Identification: The score and signal line crossovers can help confirm emerging bullish or bearish trends, allowing traders to act on upward or downward momentum.
Customizable Settings: Traders can adjust the lengths of the RSI and signal line and choose between different moving averages (SMA, EMA, VWMA, WMA) to tailor the indicator to their trading style.
Timeframe-Specific: The indicator works within the selected timeframe, ensuring accurate trend analysis based on the current market context.
Practical Use Cases:
Trending Markets: In trending markets, this indicator helps confirm bullish or bearish signals by validating price moves with volume. Traders can use the crossover of the score and signal line as a guide for entering or exiting trades based on trend strength.
Ranging Markets: In ranging markets, the indicator helps filter out false signals by confirming if price movements are backed by volume, making it a useful tool for traders looking to avoid entering during weak or uncertain market conditions.
Interpreting the Score and Signal Lines:
Bullish Signal: A bullish signal occurs when the score crosses above the signal line, indicating a potential upward trend in momentum and price.
Bearish Signal: A bearish signal is generated when the score crosses below the signal line, suggesting a potential downward trend or weakening market momentum.
By mathematically combining RSI and volume data into a single trend score, the RSI VOL Score indicator provides traders with a powerful tool for identifying trend shifts early and making more confident trading decisions.
Important Note:
The signals generated by this indicator should be interpreted in conjunction with other analysis tools. It is always advisable to confirm signals before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is designed to assist traders in their decision-making process and does not provide financial advice. The creators of this tool are not responsible for any financial losses or trading decisions made based on its signals. Trading involves significant risk, and users should seek professional advice or conduct their own research before making any trading decisions.
Adaptive MA Scalping StrategyAdaptive MA Scalping Strategy
The Adaptive MA Scalping Strategy is an innovative trading approach that merges the strengths of the Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA) with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram. This combination results in a momentum-adaptive moving average that dynamically adjusts to market conditions, providing traders with timely and reliable signals.
How It Works
Kaufman's Adaptive Moving Average (KAMA): Unlike traditional moving averages, KAMA adjusts its sensitivity based on market volatility. It becomes more responsive during trending markets and less sensitive during periods of consolidation, effectively filtering out market noise.
MACD Histogram Integration: The strategy incorporates the MACD histogram, a momentum indicator that measures the difference between a fast and a slow exponential moving average (EMA). By adding the MACD histogram values to the KAMA, the strategy creates a new line—the momentum-adaptive moving average (MOMA)—which captures both trend direction and momentum.
Signal Generation:
Long Entry: The strategy enters a long position when the closing price crosses above the MOMA. This indicates a potential upward momentum shift.
Exit Position: The position is closed when the closing price crosses below the MOMA, signaling a potential decline in momentum.
Cloud Calculation Detail
The MOMA is calculated by adding the MACD histogram value to the KAMA of the price. This addition effectively adjusts the KAMA based on the momentum indicated by the MACD histogram. When momentum is strong, the MACD histogram will have higher values, causing the MOMA to adjust accordingly and provide earlier entry or exit signals.
Performance on Stocks
This strategy has demonstrated excellent performance on stocks when applied to the 1-hour timeframe. Its adaptive nature allows it to respond swiftly to market changes, capturing profitable trends while minimizing the impact of false signals caused by market noise. The combination of KAMA's adaptability and MACD's momentum detection makes it particularly effective in volatile market conditions commonly seen in stock trading.
Key Parameters
KAMA Length (malen): Determines the sensitivity of the KAMA. A length of 100 is used to balance responsiveness with noise reduction.
MACD Fast Length (fast): Sets the period for the fast EMA in the MACD calculation. A value of 24 helps in capturing short-term momentum changes.
MACD Slow Length (slow): Sets the period for the slow EMA in the MACD calculation. A value of 52 smooths out longer-term trends.
MACD Signal Length (signal): Determines the period for the signal line in the MACD calculation. An 18-period signal line is used for timely crossovers.
Advantages of the Strategy
Adaptive to Market Conditions: By adjusting to both volatility and momentum, the strategy remains effective across different market phases.
Enhanced Signal Accuracy: The fusion of KAMA and MACD reduces false signals, improving the accuracy of trade entries and exits.
Simplicity in Execution: With straightforward entry and exit rules based on price crossovers, the strategy is user-friendly for traders at all experience levels
EMA GridThe EMA Grid indicator is a powerful tool that calculates the overall market sentiment by comparing the order of 20 different Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) over various lengths. The indicator assigns a rating based on how well-ordered the EMAs are relative to each other, representing the strength and direction of the market trend. It also smooths out the macro movements using cumulative calculations and visually represents the market sentiment through color-coded bands.
EMA Calculation:
The indicator uses a series of EMAs with different lengths, starting from 5 and going up to 100. Each EMA is calculated either using the exponential moving averages.
The EMAs form the grid that the indicator uses to measure the order and distance between them.
Rating Calculation:
The indicator computes the relative distance between consecutive EMAs and sums these differences.
The cumulative sum is further smoothed using multiple EMAs with different lengths (from 3 to 21). This smooths out short-term fluctuations and helps identify broader trends.
Market Sentiment Rating:
The overall sentiment is calculated by comparing the values of these smoothing EMAs. If the shorter-term EMA is above the longer-term EMA, it contributes positively to the sentiment; otherwise, it contributes negatively.
The final rating is a normalized value based on the relationship between these EMAs, producing a sentiment score between 1 (bullish) and -1 (bearish).
Color Coding and Bands:
The indicator uses the sentiment rating to color the space between the 100 EMA and 200 EMA, representing the strength of the trend.
If the sentiment is bullish (rating > 0), the band is shaded green. If the sentiment is bearish (rating < 0), the band is shaded red.
The intensity of the color is based on the strength of the sentiment, with stronger trends resulting in more saturated colors.
Utility for Traders:
The EMA Grid is ideal for traders looking to gauge the broader market trend by analyzing the structure and alignment of multiple EMAs. The color-coded band between the 100 and 200 EMAs provides an at-a-glance view of market momentum, helping traders make informed decisions based on the trend's strength and direction.
This indicator can be used to identify bullish or bearish conditions and offers a smoothed perspective on market trends, reducing noise and highlighting significant trend shifts.
ADR (Log Scale) with MTF LabelsHere's a detailed presentation of the Average Daily Range (ADR) indicator, with a focus on its advantages compared to the classic ADR, its unique features, utility, and interpretation:
Advantages Compared to Classic ADR
1. Logarithmic Scale: Unlike the classic ADR, which uses a linear scale, this version uses a logarithmic scale for calculations. This approach provides a more accurate representation of relative price movements, especially for assets with large price ranges.
2. Multi-Timeframe Analysis: This enhanced ADR indicator allows traders to view daily, weekly, and monthly ADRs simultaneously. This multi-timeframe capability helps traders understand volatility trends over different periods, offering a more comprehensive market analysis.
3. Optional Smoothing: The inclusion of an optional smoothing feature (using Exponential Moving Average, EMA) helps reduce noise in the data. This makes the indicator more reliable by filtering out short-term fluctuations and highlighting the underlying volatility trend.
4. Information Display Labels: The indicator includes labels that display precise ADR values for each timeframe directly on the chart. This feature provides immediate, clear insights without requiring additional calculations or references.
Utility of the Indicator
1. Volatility Analysis: The ADR indicator is essential for assessing market volatility. By showing the average daily price range, it helps traders gauge how much an asset typically moves within a day, week, or month.
2. Risk Management: ADR levels can be used to set stop-loss points, improving risk management strategies. Knowing the average range helps traders avoid setting stops too close to the current price, which might otherwise be triggered by normal market fluctuations.
3. Setting Realistic Targets: By understanding the average daily range, traders can set more realistic profit targets. This helps in avoiding over-ambitious goals that are unlikely to be reached within the typical market movement.
4. Identifying Entry and Exit Points: The ADR can signal potential entry and exit points. For example, if the price approaches the upper or lower ADR boundary, it might indicate an overbought or oversold condition, respectively.
Interpretation and Examples
1. Increasing Volatility: If the ADR is increasing, it indicates rising market volatility. Traders might adjust their strategies accordingly, such as widening their stop-losses to accommodate larger price swings.
2. Range Breakout: If the price significantly exceeds the daily ADR, it may signal a strong trend or exceptional market movement. Traders can use this information to stay in the trade longer or to anticipate a potential reversal.
3. Mean Reversion: Prices often revert to the ADR mean. A trader might consider mean reversion trades when the price approaches the extremes of the ADR range, expecting it to move back towards the average.
4. Multi-Timeframe Comparison: If the daily ADR is higher than the weekly ADR, it may indicate unusually high short-term volatility. This can be a signal for traders to be cautious or to capitalize on the increased movement.
While the ADR indicator provides valuable insights into market volatility and can significantly enhance trading strategies, it is essential to remember that no indicator is foolproof. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not always indicative of future results. Traders should use the ADR indicator in conjunction with other tools and follow sound risk management practices to protect their capital.
ARIMA Indicator with Optional SmoothingOverview
The ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) Indicator is a powerful tool used to forecast future price movements by combining differencing, autoregressive, and moving average components. This indicator is designed to help traders identify trends and potential reversal points by analyzing the historical price data.
Key Features
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Utilizes past values to predict future prices.
Moving Average Component (MA): Averages past price differences to smooth out noise.
Differencing: Reduces non-stationarity in the time series data.
Optional Smoothing: Applies EMA to the ARIMA output for a smoother signal.
Customizable Parameters: Allows users to adjust AR and MA orders, differencing periods, and smoothing lengths.
Concepts Underlying the Calculations
Differencing: Subtracts previous prices from current prices to remove trends and seasonality, making the data stationary.
AutoRegressive Component (AR): Predicts future prices based on a linear combination of past values.
Moving Average Component (MA): Uses past forecast errors to refine future predictions.
Exponential Moving Average (EMA): Applies more weight to recent prices, providing a smoother and more responsive signal.
How It Works
The ARIMA Indicator first calculates the differenced series to achieve stationarity. Then, it computes the simple moving average (SMA) of this differenced series. The indicator uses the AR and MA components to adjust the SMA, creating an approximation of the ARIMA model. Finally, an optional smoothing step using EMA can be applied to the ARIMA approximation to produce a smoother signal.
How Traders Can Use It
Traders can use the ARIMA Indicator to:
Identify Trends: Detect emerging trends by observing the direction of the ARIMA line.
Spot Reversals: Look for divergences between the ARIMA line and the price to identify potential reversal points.
Generate Trading Signals: Use crossovers between the ARIMA line and the price to generate buy or sell signals.
Filter Noise: Enable the optional smoothing to filter out market noise and focus on significant price movements.
Example Usage Instructions
Add the ARIMA Indicator to your chart.
Adjust the input parameters to suit your trading strategy:
Set the SMA Length (e.g., 14).
Choose the Differencing Period (e.g., 1).
Define the AR Order (p) and MA Order (q) (e.g., 1).
Configure the Smoothing Length if smoothing is desired (e.g., 5).
Enable or disable smoothing as needed.
Observe the ARIMA line (blue) and compare it to the price chart.
Use the ARIMA line to identify trends and potential reversals.
Implement trading decisions based on the ARIMA line’s behavior relative to the price.
Session MasterSession Master Indicator
Overview
The "Session Master" indicator is a unique tool designed to enhance trading decisions by providing visual cues and relevant information during the critical last 15 minutes of a trading session. It also integrates advanced trend analysis using the Average Directional Index (ADX) and Directional Movement Index (DI) to offer insights into market trends and potential entry/exit points.
Originality and Functionality
This script combines session timing, visual alerts, and trend analysis in a cohesive manner to give traders a comprehensive view of market behavior as the trading day concludes. Here’s a breakdown of its key features:
Last 15 Minutes Highlight : The script identifies the last 15 minutes of the trading session and highlights this period with a semi-transparent blue background, helping traders focus on end-of-day price movements.
Previous Session High and Low : The script dynamically plots the high and low of the previous trading session. These levels are crucial for identifying support and resistance and are highlighted with dashed lines and labeled for easy identification during the last 15 minutes of the current session.
Directional Movement and Trend Analysis : Using a combination of ADX and DI, the script calculates and plots trend strength and direction. A 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is plotted with color coding (green for bullish and red for bearish) based on the DI difference, offering clear visual cues about the market trend.
Technical Explanation
Last 15 Minutes Highlight:
The script checks the current time and compares it to the session’s last 15 minutes.
If within this period, the background color is changed to a semi-transparent blue to alert the trader.
Previous Session High and Low:
The script retrieves the high and low of the previous daily session.
During the last 15 minutes of the session, these levels are plotted as dashed lines and labeled appropriately.
ADX and DI Calculation:
The script calculates the True Range, Directional Movement (both positive and negative), and smoothes these values over a specified length (28 periods by default).
It then computes the Directional Indicators (DI+ and DI-) and the ADX to gauge trend strength.
The 21-period EMA is plotted with dynamic color changes based on the DI difference to indicate trend direction.
How to Use
Highlight Key Moments: Use the blue background highlight to concentrate on market movements in the critical last 15 minutes of the trading session.
Identify Key Levels: Pay attention to the plotted high and low of the previous session as they often act as significant support and resistance levels.
Assess Trend Strength: Use the ADX and DI values to understand the strength and direction of the market trend, aiding in making informed trading decisions.
EMA for Entry/Exit: Use the color-coded 21-period EMA for potential entry and exit signals based on the trend direction indicated by the DI.
Conclusion
The "Session Master" indicator is a powerful tool designed to help traders make informed decisions during the crucial end-of-session period. By combining session timing, previous session levels, and advanced trend analysis, it provides a comprehensive overview that is both informative and actionable. This script is particularly useful for intraday traders looking to optimize their strategies around session close times.
[blackcat] L1 Dynamic Momentum Indicator
**1. Overview**
" L1 Dynamic Momentum Indicator" is a custom TradingView indicator designed to analyze price momentum and market trends. It combines the calculation methods of Stoch (RSV) and Moving Average (SMA) to provide market overbought and oversold signals.
**2. Calculation Method**
- **RSV Value Calculation**: The RSV value is calculated using the relative relationship between the current price and the lowest and highest prices over the past 89 periods.
- **K Value Calculation**: The calculated RSV value is subjected to a 3-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) to obtain the K value.
- **D Value Calculation**: The K value is subjected to a 3-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) to obtain the D value.
- **Momentum Difference Calculation**: The difference between the 13-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the 34-period EMA of closing prices is calculated, and then the moving average of this difference is calculated.
**3. Indicator Display**
- **K and D Lines**: The moving averages of the K value and D value are displayed on the chart, indicating a strong market condition when the K line is above the D line, and a weak market condition when the K line is below the D line.
- **Threshold Line**: A fixed threshold line of 50 is displayed to distinguish the overbought and oversold areas.
- **Green and Red Bars**: Green and red bars are drawn on the chart based on the relationship between the momentum difference and the average value, indicating the market trend.
**4. Usage Suggestions**
- When the market is in a strong condition, a potential reversal may occur in the overbought area after selling. When the market is in a weak condition, a potential bounce may occur in the oversold area after buying.
- Pay attention to the changes in market trends, with the appearance of green bars may indicate that the market is about to rise, and the appearance of red bars may indicate that the market is about to fall.
**5. Caution**
- The indicator is based on the provided code and may require adjustments based on market conditions.
- The accuracy of the indicator depends on the selection of calculation parameters and the reliability of market data.
LMACD - Logarithmic MACD Weekly BTC Index [Logue]Logarithmic Moving Average Convergence Divergence (LMACD) Weekly Indicator - The LMACD is a momentum indicator that measures the strength of a trend using 12-period and 26-period moving averages. The weekly LMACD for this indicator is calculated by determining the difference between the log (base 10) of the 12-week and 26-week exponential moving averages. Larger positive numbers indicate a larger positive momentum.
For tops: The default setting for tops is based on decreasing "strength" of BTC tops. A decreasing linear function (trigger = slope * time + intercept) was fit to past cycle tops for this indicator and is used as the default to signal macro tops. The user can change the slope and intercept of the line by changing the slope and/or intercept factor. The user also has the option to indicate tops based on a horizontal line via a settings selection. This line default value is 0.125. This indicator is triggered for a top when the LMACD is above the trigger value.
For bottoms: Bottoms are displayed based on a horizontal line with a default setting of -0.07. The indicator is triggered for a bottom when the LMACD is below the bottom trigger value.
Clustered Asset Moving Average @shrilssThe Clustered Asset Moving Average script is designed to provide traders with a unique perspective on a cluster of multiple assets. By combining the closing prices and volumes of 12 specified assets, this indicator calculates a Clustered Moving Average to reveal potential trends and market sentiment within this asset cluster.
Key Features:
- Asset Cluster Analysis:
The script considers 12 assets, including well-known names such as Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Apple (AAPL), Tesla (TSLA), and others.
It calculates the price and volume of each asset to form a comprehensive view of the asset cluster.
- Clustered Moving Average Calculation:
The Asset Price and Volume are combined to calculate the Clustered Moving Average
This moving average reflects the relationship between the aggregated price and volume of the specified assets.
- Multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
The script includes three EMAs (10, 25, and 100) applied to the Clustered Moving Average, providing different time perspectives.
Users can customize the visibility of each EMA based on their trading preferences.
- Visual Representation:
The indicator offers a visual representation of the Clustered Moving Average, allowing traders to quickly identify trends and potential reversal points.
Different EMAs are color-coded, enhancing visual clarity.
Composite Bull-Bear Dominance IndexNote: CREDITS: This is based on the Up Down Volume Indicator (published in Trading View) and Elder Ray Index (Bull Bear Power).
The Composite Bull Bear Dominance Index (CBBDI) is a indicator that combines up down volume analysis with Bull and Bear Power to provide a comprehensive view of market dynamics. It calculates Z-scores for up down volume delta and bull bear power measures, averages them, and then smoothes the result using Weighted Moving Average (WMA) for Bull and Bear Power and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) for Up and Down Volume Delta. The advantages include responsiveness to short-term trends, noise reduction through weighting, incorporation of volume information, and the ability to identify significant changes in buying and selling pressure. The indicator aims to offer clear signals for traders seeking insights into overall market dominance and indicate if the bulls or the bears have the upper hand.
Volume Analysis (Up/Down Volume Delta):
Up/Down Volume Delta reflects the net difference between buying and selling volume, providing insights into the prevailing market sentiment.
Positive Delta: Indicates potential bullish dominance due to higher buying volume.
Negative Delta: Suggests potential bearish dominance as selling volume surpasses buying volume.
Price Analysis (Bull and Bear Power):
Bull and Bear Power measure the strength of buying and selling forces based on price movements and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the closing price.
Positive Bull Power: Reflects bullish dominance, indicating potential upward momentum.
Positive Bear Power: Suggests bearish dominance, indicating potential downward momentum.
Composite Bull Bear Dominance Index (CBBDI):
CBBDI combines the standardized Z-scores of Up/Down Volume Delta and Bull Bear Power, providing an average measure of both volume and price-related dominance.
Positive CBBDI: Indicates an overall bullish dominance in both volume and price dynamics.
Negative CBBDI: Suggests an overall bearish dominance in both volume and price dynamics.
Smoothing Techniques:
The use of Weighted Moving Average (WMA) for smoothing Bull and Bear Power Z-scores, and Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) for smoothing Up/Down Volume Delta, reduces noise and provides a clearer trend signal.
Smoothing helps filter out short-term fluctuations and emphasizes more significant trends in both volume and price movements.
Color Coding:
CBBDI values are color-coded based on their direction, visually representing the prevailing market sentiment.
Green Colors: Positive values indicate potential bullish dominance.
Red Colors: Negative values suggest potential bearish dominance.
Targets For Many Indicators [LuxAlgo]The Targets For Many Indicators is a useful utility tool able to display targets for many built-in indicators as well as external indicators. Targets can be set for specific user-set conditions between two series of values, with the script being able to display targets for two different user-set conditions.
Alerts are included for the occurrence of a new target as well as for reached targets.
🔶 USAGE
Targets can help users determine the price limit where the price might start deviating from an indication given by one or multiple indicators. In the context of trading, targets can help secure profits/reduce losses of a trade, as such this tool can be useful to evaluate/determine user take profits/stop losses.
Due to these essentially being horizontal levels, they can also serve as potential support/resistances, with breakouts potentially confirming new trends.
In the above example, we set targets 3 ATR's away from the closing price when the price crosses over the script built-in SuperTrend indicator using ATR period 10 and factor 3. Using "Long Position Target" allows setting a target above the price, disabling this setting will place targets below the price.
Users might be interested in obtaining new targets once one is reached, this can be done by enabling "New Target When Reached" in the target logic setting section, resulting in more frequent targets.
Lastly, users can restrict new target creation until current ones are reached. This can result in fewer and longer-term targets, with a higher reach rate.
🔹 Dashboard
A dashboard is displayed on the top right of the chart, displaying the amount, reach rate of targets 1/2, and total amount.
This dashboard can be useful to evaluate the selected target distances relative to the selected conditions, with a higher reach rate suggesting the distance of the targets from the price allows them to be reached.
🔶 DETAILS
🔹 Indicators
Besides 'External' sources, each source can be set at 1 of the following Build-In Indicators :
ACCDIST : Accumulation/distribution index
ATR : Average True Range
BB (Middle, Upper or Lower): Bollinger Bands
CCI : Commodity Channel Index
CMO : Chande Momentum Oscillator
COG : Center Of Gravity
DC (High, Mid or Low): Donchian Channels
DEMA : Double Exponential Moving Average
EMA : Exponentially weighted Moving Average
HMA : Hull Moving Average
III : Intraday Intensity Index
KC (Middle, Upper or Lower): Keltner Channels
LINREG : Linear regression curve
MACD (macd, signal or histogram): Moving Average Convergence/Divergence
MEDIAN : median of the series
MFI : Money Flow Index
MODE : the mode of the series
MOM : Momentum
NVI : Negative Volume Index
OBV : On Balance Volume
PVI : Positive Volume Index
PVT : Price-Volume Trend
RMA : Relative Moving Average
ROC : Rate Of Change
RSI : Relative Strength Index
SMA : Simple Moving Average
STOCH : Stochastic
Supertrend
TEMA : Triple EMA or Triple Exponential Moving Average
VWAP : Volume Weighted Average Price
VWMA : Volume-Weighted Moving Average
WAD : Williams Accumulation/Distribution
WMA : Weighted Moving Average
WVAD : Williams Variable Accumulation/Distribution
%R : Williams %R
Each indicator is provided with a link to the Reference Manual or to the Build-In Indicators page.
The latter contains more information about each indicator.
Note that when "Show Source Values" is enabled, only values that can be logically found around the price will be shown. For example, Supertrend , SMA , EMA , BB , ... will be made visible. Values like RSI , OBV , %R , ... will not be visible since they will deviate too much from the price.
🔹 Interaction with settings
This publication contains input fields, where you can enter the necessary inputs per indicator.
Some indicators need only 1 value, others 2 or 3.
When several input values are needed, you need to separate them with a comma.
You can use 0 to 4 spaces between without a problem. Even an extra comma doesn't give issues.
The red colored help text will guide you further along (Only when Target is enabled)
Some examples that work without issues:
Some examples that work with issues:
As mentioned, the errors won't be visible when the concerning target is disabled
🔶 SETTINGS
Show Target Labels: Display target labels on the chart.
Candle Coloring: Apply candle coloring based on the most recent active target.
Target 1 and Target 2 use the same settings below:
Enable Target: Display the targets on the chart.
Long Position Target: Display targets above the price a user selected condition is true. If disabled will display the targets below the price.
New Target Condition: Conditional operator used to compare "Source A" and "Source B", options include CrossOver, CrossUnder, Cross, and Equal.
🔹 Sources
Source A: Source A input series, can be an indicator or external source.
External: External source if 'External" is selected in "Source A".
Settings: Settings of the selected indicator in "Source A", entered settings of indicators requiring multiple ones must be comma separated, for example, "10, 3".
Source B: Source B input series, can be an indicator or external source.
External: External source if 'External" is selected in "Source B".
Settings: Settings of the selected indicator in "Source B", entered settings of indicators requiring multiple ones must be comma separated, for example, "10, 3".
Source B Value: User-defined numerical value if "value" is selected in "Source B".
Show Source Values: Display "Source A" and "Source B" on the chart.
🔹 Logic
Wait Until Reached: When enabled will not create a new target until an existing one is reached.
New Target When Reached: Will create a new target when an existing one is reached.
Evaluate Wicks: Will use high/low prices to determine if a target is reached. Unselecting this setting will use the closing price.
Target Distance From Price: Controls the distance of a target from the price. Can be determined in currencies/points, percentages, ATR multiples, ticks, or using multiple of external values.
External Distance Value: External distance value when "External Value" is selected in "Target Distance From Price".
Engulfing and emaThis is a Pine Script script that helps you see the Engulfing Candlestick and Inside Bar (Boring Candle) candle patterns on the TradingView chart, as well as drawing two Exponential Moving Averages (EMA). Here's a simple explanation:
1. **Candle Pattern**:
- This script identifies the Engulfing Candlestick pattern, which indicates potential changes to the price. If this pattern is detected, the script will show a green (for buy) or red (for sell) arrow above or below that candle.
- The script also identifies the Inside Bar (Boring Candle), which indicates the period area in the market. This candle will be the color you choose (default is orange).
2. **Moving Average (EMA)**:
- This script also plots two Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the chart. EMA is a tool that helps you see price trends more clearly.
3. **Risk Management**:
- This script calculates the Stop Loss (SL) and Take Profit (TP) levels for each Engulfing pattern. This helps you manage your trading risks.
- Labels are displayed on the charts for SL and TP, so you know where to place them.
With the help of this script, you can easily identify important patterns in the market and manage your risks better. Make sure to choose a demo account before using it in real trading.
kyle algo v1
Integration of multiple technical indicators: The strategy mainly combines two technical indicators - Keltner Channels and Supertrend, to generate trading signals. It also calculates fifteen exponential moving averages (EMAs) for the high price with different periods ranging from 9 to 51.
Unique combination of indicators: The traditional Supertrend typically uses Average True Range (ATR) to calculate its upper and lower bands. In contrast, this script modifies the approach to use Keltner Channels instead.
Flexible sensitivity adjustment: This strategy provides a "sensitivity" input parameter for users to adjust, which controls the multiplier for the range in the Supertrend calculation. This can make the signals more or less sensitive to price changes, allowing users to tailor the strategy to their own risk tolerance and trading style.
EMA Energy Representation: The code offers a visualization of "EMA Energy", which color-codes the EMA lines based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA line. This can provide an intuitive understanding of market trends.
Clear visual signals: The strategy generates clear "BUY" and "SELL" signals, represented as labels on the chart. This makes it easy to identify potential entry and exit points in the market.
Customizable: The script provides several user inputs, making it possible to fine-tune the strategy according to different market conditions and individual trading preferences.
EMA (Exponential Moving Average) Principle:
The EMA is a type of moving average that assigns more weight to the most recent data.
It responds more quickly to recent price changes and is used to capture short-term price trends.
Principle of Color Change :
In this trading strategy, the color of the EMA line changes based on whether the closing price is above or below the EMA. If the closing price is above the EMA, the EMA line turns green,
indicating an upward price trend. Conversely, if the closing price is below the EMA, the EMA line turns red,
indicating a downward price trend. These color changes help traders to more intuitively identify price trends
In short, our team provides a lot of practical space
That is your development space
MyMovingAveragesLibraryLibrary "MyMovingAveragesLibrary"
alma(src, lkbk, alma_offset, alma_sigma)
ALMA - Arnaud Legoux Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
alma_offset (simple float)
alma_sigma (simple float) : float
Returns: moving average
frama(src, lkbk, FC, SC)
FRAMA - Fractal Adaptive Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
FC (int) : int
SC (int) : int
Returns: moving average
kama(src, lkbk, kamafastend, kamaslowend)
KAMA - Kaufman Adaptive Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
kamafastend (int) : int
kamaslowend (int) : int
Returns: moving average
ema(src, lkbk)
EMA - Exponential Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
dema(src, lkbk)
DEMA - Double Exponential Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
tema(src, lkbk)
TEMA - Triple Exponential Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
hma(src, lkbk)
HMA - Hull Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
jma(src, lkbk, jurik_power, jurik_phase)
JMA - Jurik Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
jurik_power (int)
jurik_phase (float)
Returns: moving average
laguerre(src, alpha)
Laguerre Filter
Parameters:
src (float) : float
alpha (float) : float
Returns: moving average
lsma(src, lkbk, lsma_offset)
LSMA - Least Squares Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
lsma_offset (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
mcginley(src, lkbk)
McGinley Dynamic
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
mf(src, lkbk, mf_feedback, mf_beta, mf_z)
Modular Filter
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
mf_feedback (bool) : float
mf_beta (float) : boolean
mf_z (float) : float
Returns: moving average
rdma(src)
RDMA - RexDog Moving Average (RDA, as he calls it)
Parameters:
src (float) : flot
Returns: moving average
sma(src, lkbk)
SMA - Simple Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
Returns: moving average
smma(src, lkbk)
SMMA - Smoothed Moving Average (known as RMA in TradingView)
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
t3(src, lkbk)
T3 Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
tma(src, lkbk)
TMA - Triangular Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
vama(src, lkbk, vol_lkbk)
VAMA - Volatility-Adjusted Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
vol_lkbk (int) : int
vwma(src, lkbk)
VWMA - Volume-Weighted Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (simple int) : int
Returns: moving average
mf_zlagma(src, lkbk)
Zero-Lag Moving Average
Parameters:
src (float) : float
lkbk (int) : int
Returns: moving average
Price Action (ValueRay)With this indicator, you gain access to up to 5 moving averages from a selection of 15 different types. This flexibility allows you to customize your trading strategy based on your preferences and market conditions. Whether you're a fan of simple moving averages, exponential moving averages, or weighted moving averages, our indicator has got you covered! Additionally, all the MAs are Multi-Time-Frame!
The indicator also provides trading signals. By analyzing market trends and price movements, it generates accurate buy and sell signals, providing you with clear entry and exit points. You can choose between Fast, Mid, and Slow signal speeds.
Trendlines are another crucial aspect of effective trading, and our indicator seamlessly integrates them, helping you visualize the market's direction.
Furthermore, the indicator empowers you with recent highs and lows. By highlighting these key levels, it becomes easier than ever to spot support and resistance areas, aiding you in making well-informed trading choices.
Additionally, you can switch the ADR% (Average Daily Range as a Percentage) on and off. This number instantly provides you with information on how much the stock usually moves per day as a percentage.
Key Features:
Up to 5 Moving Averages, each with its own timeframe.
SMA, EMA, WMA, RMA, Triangular, Volume Weighted, Elastic Volume Weighted, Least Squares, ZLEMA, Hull, Double EMA, Triple EMA, T3, ALMA, KAMA (more to come in future versions).
Recent High and Low Pivot Points acting as support/resistance.
Trendline indicating the current trend.
Buy/Sell Signals (recommended for use as exit points, stop loss, or take profit levels).
Signals can have three different speeds: Fast, Mid, and Slow. You can switch them anytime depending on how quickly or slowly you want to exit a trade.
The predefined colors are best suited for a dark background, and the predefined settings provide a solid starting point that many traders use in their daily work.
Unlock the full potential of your trading strategy with our comprehensive indicator and start making informed trading decisions today!
Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive SmoothingThis indicator is designed to provide traders with insights into the relative strength of a security by incorporating volume-weighted elements, effectively combining the concepts of Relative Strength Index (RSI) and volume-weighted averages to generate meaningful trading signals.
The indicator calculates the traditional RSI, which measures the speed and change of price movements, as well as the volume-weighted RSI, which considers the influence of trading volume on price action. It then applies adaptive smoothing to the volume-weighted RSI, allowing for customization of the smoothing process. The resulting smoothed volume-weighted RSI is plotted alongside the original RSI, providing traders with a comprehensive view of the price strength dynamics.
The line coloration in this indicator is designed to provide visual cues about the relationship between the RSI and the volume-weighted RSI. When the RSI line is above or equal to the volume-weighted RSI line, it suggests a potentially bullish condition with positive market momentum. In such cases, the line is colored lime. Conversely, when the RSI line (fuchsia) is below the volume-weighted RSI line, it indicates a potentially bearish condition with negative market momentum. The line color is set to fuchsia. By observing the line color, traders can quickly assess the relative strength between the RSI and the volume-weighted RSI, aiding their decision-making process.
The bar color and background color further enhance the visual interpretation of the indicator. The bar color reflects the RSI's relationship with the volume-weighted RSI and the predefined thresholds. If the RSI line is above both the volume-weighted RSI line and the overbought threshold (70), the bar color is set to lime, indicating a potentially overbought condition. Conversely, if the RSI line is below both the volume-weighted RSI line and the oversold threshold (30), the bar color is set to fuchsia, suggesting a potentially oversold condition. When the RSI line is between these two thresholds, the bar color is set to yellow, indicating a neutral or intermediate state. The background color, displayed with a semi-transparent shade, provides additional context by reflecting the prevailing market conditions. It turns lime if the volume-weighted RSI is above the overbought threshold, fuchsia if below the oversold threshold, and yellow if it falls between these two thresholds. This coloration scheme aids traders in quickly assessing market conditions and potential trading opportunities.
Calculations:
-- RSI Calculation : The traditional RSI is calculated based on the price movements of the asset. The up and down movements are determined, and exponential moving averages are used to smooth the values. The RSI value ranges from 0 to 100, with levels above 70 indicating overbought conditions and levels below 30 indicating oversold conditions.
-- Volume-Weighted RSI Calculation : The volume-weighted RSI incorporates the trading volume of the asset into the calculations. The closing price is multiplied by the corresponding volume, and the average is taken over a specific length. The up and down movements are smoothed using exponential moving averages to generate the volume-weighted RSI value.
-- Adaptive Smoothing : The indicator offers an adaptive smoothing option, allowing traders to customize the smoothing process of the volume-weighted RSI. By adjusting the smoothing length, traders can fine-tune the responsiveness of the indicator to changes in market conditions. Smoothing helps reduce noise and enhances the clarity of the signals.
Interpretation:
The indicator provides two main components for interpretation:
-- RSI : The traditional RSI reflects the price momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions. Traders can look for RSI values above 70 as potential overbought signals, suggesting a possible price reversal or correction. Conversely, RSI values below 30 indicate potential oversold signals, indicating a potential price rebound or rally.
-- Volume-Weighted RSI : The volume-weighted RSI incorporates trading volume, which provides insights into the strength of price movements. When the volume-weighted RSI is above the traditional RSI, it suggests that the buying pressure supported by higher volume is stronger, potentially indicating a more reliable trend. Conversely, when the volume-weighted RSI is below the traditional RSI, it suggests that the selling pressure supported by higher volume is stronger, potentially indicating a more significant price reversal.
Potential Strategies:
-- Overbought and Oversold Signals : Traders can utilize the RSI component of the indicator to identify overbought and oversold conditions. A potential strategy is to consider taking short positions when the RSI is above 70 and long positions when the RSI is below 30. These levels can act as dynamic support and resistance areas, indicating possible price reversals.
-- Confirmation with Volume : Traders can use the volume-weighted RSI as a confirmation tool to validate price movements. When the volume-weighted RSI is above the traditional RSI, it may provide additional confirmation for long positions, suggesting stronger buying pressure. Conversely, when the volume-weighted RSI is below the traditional RSI, it may provide confirmation for short positions, indicating stronger selling pressure.
-- Trend Reversal Strategy : Watch for the volume-weighted RSI to reach extreme levels above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold). Look for a reversal signal where the RSI line (green or fuchsia) crosses below or above the volume-weighted RSI line. Enter a trade when the reversal signal occurs, and the RSI line changes color. Exit the trade when the RSI line crosses back in the opposite direction or reaches the opposite extreme level.
-- Divergence Strategy : Compare the direction of the RSI line (green or fuchsia) with the volume-weighted RSI line. A bullish divergence occurs when the RSI line makes higher lows while the volume-weighted RSI line makes lower lows. A bearish divergence occurs when the RSI line makes lower highs while the volume-weighted RSI line makes higher highs. Once a divergence is identified, wait for the RSI line to cross above or below the volume-weighted RSI line as confirmation of a potential trend reversal. Consider using additional indicators or price action analysis to time the entry more accurately. Use stop-loss orders and profit targets to manage risk and secure profits.
-- Trend Continuation Strategy : Assess the overall trend direction by observing the RSI line's position relative to the volume-weighted RSI line. When the RSI line consistently stays above the volume-weighted RSI line, it indicates a bullish trend, while the opposite suggests a bearish trend. Look for temporary pullbacks within the ongoing trend where the RSI line (green or fuchsia) touches or crosses the volume-weighted RSI line. Enter trades in the direction of the dominant trend when the RSI line crosses back in the trend direction. Exit the trade when the RSI line starts to deviate significantly from the volume-weighted RSI line or when the trend shows signs of weakening through other technical or fundamental factors.
Limitations:
-- False Signals : Like any indicator, the "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" may produce false signals, especially during periods of low liquidity or choppy market conditions. Traders should exercise caution and consider using additional confirmation indicators or tools to validate the signals generated by this indicator.
-- Lagging Nature : The indicator relies on historical price data and volume to calculate the RSI and volume-weighted RSI. As a result, the signals provided may have a certain degree of lag compared to real-time price action. Traders should be aware of this inherent lag and consider combining the indicator with other timely indicators to enhance the accuracy of their trading decisions.
-- Parameter Sensitivity : The indicator's effectiveness can be influenced by the choice of parameters, such as the length of the RSI, smoothing length, and adaptive smoothing option. Different market conditions may require adjustments to these parameters to optimize performance. Traders are encouraged to conduct thorough testing and analysis to determine the most suitable parameter values for their specific trading strategies and preferences.
-- Market Conditions : The indicator's performance may vary depending on the prevailing market conditions. It is essential to understand that no indicator can guarantee accurate predictions or consistently profitable trades. Traders should consider the broader market context, fundamental factors, and other technical indicators to complement the insights provided by the "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" indicator.
-- Subjectivity : Interpretation of the indicator's signals involves subjective judgment. Traders may have varying interpretations of overbought and oversold levels, as well as the significance of the volume-weighted RSI in relation to the traditional RSI. It is crucial to combine the indicator with personal analysis and trading experience to make informed trading decisions.
Remember, no single indicator can provide foolproof trading signals. The "Volume-Weighted RSI with Adaptive Smoothing" indicator serves as a valuable tool for analyzing price strength and volume dynamics. It can assist traders in identifying potential entry and exit points, validating trends, and managing risk. However, it should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy that considers multiple factors and indicators to increase the likelihood of successful trades.
Probability Envelopes (PBE)Introduction
In the world of trading, technical analysis is vital for making informed decisions about the future direction of an asset's price. One such tool is the use of indicators, mathematical calculations that can help traders predict market trends. This article delves into an innovative indicator called the Probability Envelopes Indicator, which offers valuable insights into the potential price levels an asset may reach based on historical data. This in-depth look explores the statistical foundations of the indicator, highlighting its key components and benefits.
Section 1: Calculating Price Movements with Log Returns and Percentages
The Probability Envelopes Indicator provides the option to use either log returns or percentage changes when calculating price movements. Each method has its advantages:
Log Returns: These are calculated as the natural logarithm of the ratio of the current price to the previous price. Log returns are considered more stable and less sensitive to extreme price fluctuations.
Percentage Changes: These are calculated as the percentage difference between the current price and the previous price. They are simpler to interpret and easier to understand for most traders.
Section 2: Understanding Mean, Variance, and Standard Deviation
The Probability Envelopes Indicator utilizes various statistical measures to analyze historical price movements:
Mean: This is the average of a set of numbers. In the context of this indicator, it represents the average price movement for bullish (green) and bearish (red) scenarios.
Variance: This measure represents the dispersion of data points in a dataset. A higher variance indicates a greater spread of data points from the mean. Variance is calculated as the average of the squared differences from the mean.
Standard Deviation: This is the square root of the variance. It is a measure of the amount of variation or dispersion in a dataset. In the context of this indicator, standard deviations are used to calculate the width of the bands around the expected mean.
Section 3: Analyzing Historical Price Movements and Probabilities
The Probability Envelopes Indicator examines historical price movements and calculates probabilities based on their frequency:
The indicator first identifies and categorizes price movements into bullish (green) and bearish (red) scenarios.
It then calculates the probability of each price movement occurring by dividing the frequency of the movement by the total number of occurrences in each category (bullish or bearish).
The expected green and red movements are calculated by multiplying the probabilities by their respective price movements and summing the results.
The total expected movement, or weighted average, is calculated by combining the expected green and red movements and dividing by the total number of occurrences.
Section 4: Constructing the Probability Envelopes
The Probability Envelopes Indicator utilizes the calculated statistics to construct its bands:
The expected mean is calculated using the total expected movement and applied to the current open price.
An exponential moving average (EMA) is used to smooth the expected mean, with the smoothing length determining the degree of responsiveness.
The upper and lower bands are calculated by adding and subtracting the mean green and red movements, respectively, along with their standard deviations multiplied by a user-defined multiplier.
Section 5: Benefits of the Probability Envelopes Indicator
The Probability Envelopes Indicator offers numerous advantages to traders:
Enhanced Decision-Making: By providing probability-based estimations of future price levels, the indicator can help traders make more informed decisions and potentially improve their trading strategies.
Versatility: The indicator is applicable to various financial instruments, such as stocks, forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies, making it a valuable tool for traders in different markets.
Customization: The indicator's parameters, including the use of log returns, multiplier values, and smoothing length, can be adjusted according to the user's preferences and trading style. This flexibility allows traders to fine-tune the Probability Envelopes Indicator to better suit their needs and goals.
Risk Management: The Probability Envelopes Indicator can be used as a component of a risk management strategy by providing insight into potential price movements. By identifying potential areas of support and resistance, traders can set stop-loss and take-profit levels more effectively.
Visualization: The graphical representation of the indicator, with its clear upper and lower bands, makes it easy for traders to quickly assess the market and potential price levels.
Section 6: Integrating the Probability Envelopes Indicator into Your Trading Strategy
When incorporating the Probability Envelopes Indicator into your trading strategy, consider the following tips:
Confirmation Signals: Use the indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trend lines, moving averages, or oscillators, to confirm the strength and direction of the market trend.
Timeframes: Experiment with different timeframes to find the optimal settings for your trading strategy. Keep in mind that shorter timeframes may generate more frequent signals but may also increase the likelihood of false signals.
Risk Management: Always establish a proper risk management strategy that includes setting stop-loss and take-profit levels, as well as managing your position sizes.
Backtesting: Test the Probability Envelopes Indicator on historical data to evaluate its effectiveness and fine-tune its parameters to optimize your trading strategy.
Section 7: Cons and Limitations of the Probability Envelopes Indicator
While the Probability Envelopes Indicator offers several advantages to traders, it is essential to be aware of its potential cons and limitations. Understanding these can help you make better-informed decisions when incorporating the indicator into your trading strategy.
Lagging Nature: The Probability Envelopes Indicator is primarily based on historical data and price movements. As a result, it may be less responsive to real-time changes in market conditions, and the predicted price levels may not always accurately reflect the market's current state. This lagging nature can lead to late entry and exit signals.
False Signals: As with any technical analysis tool, the Probability Envelopes Indicator can generate false signals. These occur when the indicator suggests a potential price movement, but the market does not follow through. It is crucial to use other technical analysis tools to confirm the signals and minimize the impact of false signals on your trading decisions.
Complex Statistical Concepts: The Probability Envelopes Indicator relies on complex statistical concepts and calculations, which may be challenging to grasp for some traders, particularly beginners. This complexity can lead to misunderstandings and misuse of the indicator if not adequately understood.
Overemphasis on Past Data: While historical data can be informative, relying too heavily on past performance to predict future movements can be limiting. Market conditions can change rapidly, and relying solely on past data may not provide an accurate representation of the current market environment.
No Guarantees: The Probability Envelopes Indicator, like all technical analysis tools, cannot guarantee success. It is essential to approach trading with realistic expectations and understand that no indicator or strategy can provide foolproof results.
To overcome these limitations, it is crucial to combine the Probability Envelopes Indicator with other technical analysis tools and utilize a comprehensive risk management strategy. By doing so, you can better understand the market and increase your chances of success in the ever-changing financial markets.
Section 8: Probability Envelopes Indicator vs. Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator are both technical analysis tools designed to identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as potential trend reversals. However, they differ in their underlying concepts, calculations, and applications. This section will provide a deep dive into the differences between these two indicators and how they can complement each other in a trading strategy.
Underlying Concepts and Calculations:
Bollinger Bands:
Bollinger Bands are based on a simple moving average (SMA) of the price data, with upper and lower bands plotted at a specified number of standard deviations away from the SMA.
The distance between the bands widens during periods of increased price volatility and narrows during periods of low volatility, indicating potential trend reversals or breakouts.
The standard settings for Bollinger Bands typically involve a 20-period SMA and a 2 standard deviation distance for the upper and lower bands.
Probability Envelopes Indicator:
The Probability Envelopes Indicator calculates the expected price movements based on historical data and probabilities, utilizing mean and standard deviation calculations for both upward and downward price movements.
It generates upper and lower bands based on the calculated expected mean movement and the standard deviation of historical price changes, multiplied by a user-defined multiplier.
The Probability Envelopes Indicator also allows users to choose between using log returns or percentage changes for the calculations, adding flexibility to the indicator.
Key Differences:
Calculation Method: Bollinger Bands are based on a simple moving average and standard deviations, while the Probability Envelopes Indicator uses statistical probability calculations derived from historical price changes.
Flexibility: The Probability Envelopes Indicator allows users to choose between log returns or percentage changes and adjust the multiplier, offering more customization options compared to Bollinger Bands.
Risk Management: Bollinger Bands primarily focus on volatility, while the Probability Envelopes Indicator incorporates probability calculations to provide additional insights into potential price movements, which can be helpful for risk management purposes.
Complementary Use:
Using both Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator in your trading strategy can offer valuable insights into market conditions and potential price levels.
Bollinger Bands can provide insights into market volatility and potential breakouts or trend reversals based on the widening or narrowing of the bands.
The Probability Envelopes Indicator can offer additional information on the expected price movements based on historical data and probabilities, which can be helpful in anticipating potential support and resistance levels.
Combining these two indicators can help traders to better understand market dynamics and increase their chances of identifying profitable trading opportunities.
In conclusion, while both Bollinger Bands and the Probability Envelopes Indicator aim to identify potential support and resistance levels, they differ significantly in their underlying concepts, calculations, and applications. By understanding these differences and incorporating both tools into your trading strategy, you can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make more informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, the Probability Envelopes Indicator is a powerful and versatile technical analysis tool that offers unique insights into expected price movements based on historical data and probability calculations. It provides traders with the ability to identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as potential trend reversals. When compared to Bollinger Bands, the Probability Envelopes Indicator offers more customization options and incorporates probability-based calculations for a different perspective on market dynamics.
Although the Probability Envelopes Indicator has its limitations and potential cons, such as the reliance on historical data and the assumption that past performance is indicative of future results, it remains a valuable addition to any trader's toolkit. By using the Probability Envelopes Indicator in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as Bollinger Bands, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the market and make more informed trading decisions.
Ultimately, the success of any trading strategy relies on the ability to interpret and apply multiple indicators effectively. The Probability Envelopes Indicator serves as a unique and valuable tool in this regard, providing traders with a deeper understanding of the market and its potential price movements. By utilizing this indicator in combination with other tools and techniques, traders can increase their chances of success and optimize their trading strategies.
