FVG (ICT) with Swing LevelsThis indicator, called "Fair Value Gaps (ICT) with Swing Levels", overlays on the main chart and does the following:
Initial Setup:
It defines user-adjustable parameters:
lookback: Lookback period to keep FVGs visible.
swingPeriod: Period for calculating swing highs and lows.
bullColor and bearColor: Colors for bullish and bearish FVGs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) Detection:
Uses a function to identify FVGs by comparing candle high and low prices.
A bullish FVG forms when the low of two candles ago is higher than the high of the current candle.
A bearish FVG forms when the high of two candles ago is lower than the low of the current candle.
Swing Levels Calculation:
Calculates swing highs and lows over the specified period.
These swing levels define the current market range.
Current Range Verification:
Implements a function to check if an FVG is within the range defined by swing levels.
This ensures only the most relevant FVGs for the current market situation are displayed.
FVG Drawing:
When it detects an FVG (bullish or bearish) within the current range, it draws a box on the chart.
Boxes extend from the bar where the FVG formed to the current bar.
Bullish FVGs are drawn in green and bearish in red (colors are customizable).
Old FVGs Management:
On each new bar, the indicator checks all existing FVG boxes.
It removes boxes that are outside the specified lookback period.
It also removes boxes that are no longer within the current range of swing levels.
Swing Levels Visualization:
Draws lines on the chart to show swing highs (in blue) and swing lows (in purple).
These lines help visualize the current market range.
Continuous Update:
The indicator updates on each new candle, constantly refreshing FVGs and swing levels.
In summary, this indicator identifies and visualizes Fair Value Gaps according to the ICT methodology, filtering them based on higher timeframe swing levels. This helps traders focus on the most significant FVGs within the current market context, reducing visual noise and potentially improving trading decision-making.
Cerca negli script per "Fractal"
Period Separator All TimeframesPeriod Separator All Timeframes
This script allows you to add customizable period separators on your TradingView charts. You can select the timeframe for the separators, and they will only be visible on the same or lower timeframes. This is useful for visually distinguishing different periods, such as hours, days, or weeks, directly on your chart.
How to Use:
Add the Indicator: Add the "Period Separator All Timeframes" indicator to your TradingView chart.
Configure Separator Settings:
Separator Color: Choose the color for the period separator lines.
Separator Style: Select the line style (Solid, Dashed, Dotted).
Separator Width: Set the width of the separator lines.
Separator Timeframe: Select the timeframe for the separators (e.g., 1 hour, 1 day).
View the Separators: The separators will be drawn at the start of each new period based on the selected timeframe.
They will only be visible on the same or lower timeframes.
Use this indicator to easily differentiate between trading sessions, hours, days, or any other timeframe you choose, enhancing your chart analysis and trading strategy.
Yearly Return [%] - VisualizedCalculates the % Return from the first trading candle of any given year, and shows the % Return at that year end.
Market Pivot Levels [Past & Live]Market Levels provide a robust view of daily pivot points of markets such as high/low/close with both past and live values shown at the same time using the recently updated system of polylines of pinescript.
The main need for this script arose from not being able to use plots for daily points because plots are inherently once drawn can't be erased and because we can't plot stuff for previous bars after values are determined we can't use them reliably. And while we can use traditional lines, because we would have extremely high amount of lines and we would have to keep removing the previous ones it wouldn't be that effective way for us. So we try to do it with the new method of polylines .
Features of this script:
- Daily High/Low Points
- Yesterday High/Low/Close Points
- Pre-Market High-Low points.
Now let's preview some of the important points of code and see how we achieve this:
With the code below we make sure no matter which chart we are using we are getting the extended hours version of sessions so our calculations are made safely for viewing pre-market conditions.
// Let's get ticker extended no matter what the current chart is
tc = ticker.new(syminfo.prefix, syminfo.ticker, session.extended)
Coding our own function to calculate high's and low's because inbuilt pinescript function cannot take series and we send this function to retrieve our high's and lows.
// On the fly function to calculate daily highlows instead of tv inbuilt because tv's length cannot take series
f_highlow(int last) =>
bardiff = last
float _low = low, float _high = high
for i = bardiff to 0 by 1
if high > _high
_high := high
if low < _low
_low := low
With doing calculations at the bars of day ending points we can retrieve the correct points and values and push them for our polylines array so it can be used in best way possible.
// Daily change points
changeD = timeframe.change("D")
// When new day starts fill polyline arrays with previous day values for polylines to draw on chart
// We also update prevtime values with current ones after we pushed to the arrays
if changeD
f_arrFill(cpArrHigh, cpArrLow, prevArrh, prevArrl, prevArrc, prevMarh, prevMarl)
valHolder.unshift(valueHold.new(_high, _low, _high, _close, _low, time, pr_h, pr_l))
The rest of the code is annotated and commented. You can let me know in comments if you have any questions. Happy trading.
LW StructureThis easy and intuitive tool can be helpful to capture market trends.
This indicator marks the max and the min generated from the price with labels. The green labels are for the max peak and the red label for the min peak. This tool is inspired to the Larry Williams technique to easily catch the trend basing on the decreasing maximums and increasing mininums of the market structure.
Drawing inspiration from the Larry Williams approach, the LW Structure Indicator simplifies the process of recognizing trend patterns through the lens of market structure dynamics .
SHAHRAM - Money Management This indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
Features :
Click-able Price Entry & SL & TP
calculations works on Forex, CFD, Stock, Futures and Crypto markets.
Usage:
Step 1: Set your entry price
Step 2: Set your stop loss
Step 3: Set your Target
Step 4: Choose the symbol, forex will be automatically detected
Step 5: Fill in your balance and set your risk settings
Parameters
- Set symbol: Forex (auto detection), US100, US30, BTC, XAUUSD, NGAS, XBRUSD, XTIUSD, AUS200, US500, OIL, GOLD, SILVER,...
- Account balance
- Risk in %
- Contract size
- Levels: Stop loss, Entry, Target
- Display settings for the Trading Panel
Trading panel
- Show Live P/L
- Show Risk to reward
- Show lot size
- Show risk in %
- Show account balance
- Show money at risk (no commissions included)
You need change the lot size in Account Setting of this indicator For Gold,Oil... and Other Symbol like as different pip value.
Simply choose your entry level and stop level than target price on the chart and the indicator will calculate your invest size and other documents. You can change your account risk and base currency units in the settings along with changing the scaling of the calculation to adjust the results with the lot sizing units of your broker. This allows the calculator to be used with CFDs, forex, Gold, etc.. Hope it helps in your trading it has been the single most useful tool in my trading as it has helped me always keep my risk locked up and on point that is why I released it.
Copyright BY : @shahramlife
indiator will help you to calculate your position size for managing the risk calculator.
Session Open PriceThis Indicator displays the ICT kill zones' open price
You will be able to see the following open prices (ALL TIMES ARE IN NEW YORK TIME)
All times and appearances are customisable to your own liking.
The default time setting is recommended
- 00:00 AM Midnight New York Open Price (RED DASH LINE)
- 2:00 AM Frankfurt Open Price (GREEN DASH LINE)
- 3:00 AM London Open Price (BLUE DASH LINE)
- 8:30 AM New York Open Price (ORANGE DASH LINE)
HOW TO USE SESSION OPEN PRICE IN YOUR TRADING
If the price is above the opening price you only look for sells whereas if the price is under the opening price you only look for buys
BUY EXAMPLE
Wait for Midnight New York and Frankfurt open price to display
The price must be under both prices
Look for a Market maker buy model or your own entry model
Stoploss will be at the swing low and Take profit can be a fixed RR or how you calculate your take profit level
smplondonclinic StrategyHello my friend! I'm uploading the code for your strategy. I have included a feature in the settings menu called "Entry Direction" that you can use to isolate only longs, only shorts or have both directions at the same time for the backtesting. I have set the strategy to only open 1 position at a time, it will not open a new position unless the previous position is closed. If you want to remove that just let me know. The green/red triangles that you will see plotting on the chart are the potential entry signals, you can turn them off from the style panel in the settings menu. In the inputs tab besides the strategy settings you also have all the relevant parameters for the three indicators used.
Trading BehnamI've read around here various definitions for engulfs along the lines of "an engulf consumes all orders at a level to allow price to easily pass through it." . That doesn't make much sense to me, if the guys with billions of dollars want to break a level, they will break it and price will run off very often. We've seen it time and time again, they don't need to engulf levels to give us a nice opportunity to get into the trade with them, if they want to blast through a level, they will do so and price will run off. If they want an opportunity to accumulate more orders before price runs away, then it doesn't make sense to engulf the level, better to let price bounce from that level and then fill more orders, if the level breaks then they have to deliberately stop the market running away and move it back to the pre-engulf area as the market momentum would naturally make it run off after an engulf. Other ideas about it being a secret signal between the institutions don't make sense to me either. To be honest, I think any secret signals between competing institutions come in the form of them in a heavily encrypted chatroom telling each other what to do. This collusion has been reported on previously as traders align their activities at important moments.
So I think we can all agree something along the lines of:
Fakeout:
Fakeout is an engulf of an obvious swing high/low in order to stop out traders and induce breakout traders to trade in the wrong direction, thus generating liquidity for the move in the opposite direction.
What's not so clear is the definition of the engulf, I'd like to try to give some ideas on the purpose of the engulf and it's definition and see what others think.
Engulf:
An engulf is the consumption of orders at an important level, not necessarily a swing/high low but an area where we expect to see supply or demand. Taking out of the orders tells us that the supply or demand which was or should have been present is now not present and tells us the intent direction of the market. If price runs off as is often the case, this is not tradeable and is effectively just a "breakout", although breakouts are usually considered to be breaks of swing high and lows which are obvious to the average trader. For an engulf to be tradeable there must be a retrace following the engulf back in the original direction. This adds confusion as it initially resembles a fakeout. So the question is, why does price retrace after the engulf? If an engulf to the short side is a genuine engulf and not a fakeout to generate long liquidity, why does it not travel immediately south if market momentum is ultimately south.
A small pocket of demand beneath the engulfed level may make it retrace north as price moves between areas of liquidity, this pocket of demand may give price enough momentum to make it back up to the supply which broke the demand level if key market participants do not favour an immediate market drop.
Alternatively key market participants may step in and drive the market back upwards.
Price moving north back to supply after the engulf may occur or be favourable for various reasons:
1) We often talk about FO generating liquidity because of breakout trading, but an engulf can also generate liquidity from breakout traders. Short breakout traders would place their stop losses a small distance above the engulf (breakout). If key players absorb this selling or allow a demand level to push price back up, they can run price back up to supply taking out the stops of the breakout short traders and make quick profit and/or generate more liquidity for their own shorts.
2) To confuse traders, the ITs don't want the puzzle that is Forex to be easy to solve, if price never retraced after an engulf then engulfs of all levels would be FOs. Price would either break and immediately runoff or it would turn and runoff in the other direction. In order to keep people confused about whether price is faking out or breaking out, sometimes price should whipsaw by breaking out, briefly faking out and then continuing in the direction of the breakout. This whipsaw pattern is to us a tradeable engulf.
3) Market momentum may be mixed, key players are indecisive or inactive or the market is behaving erratically.
4) As previously mentioned there may be a small pocket of supply/demand just past the engulf which is causing a reaction. This could also be viewed as a FO on a different timeframe. If the market engulfs an H1 demand level, then retraces for 30 mins upwards to supply, this engulf would be a valid and very profitable FO for an M1 trader looking to get long.
Fractal Series History SummaryThis script presents a summarized view of a series by drawing lines between series samples taken at power-of-two intervals from the current value.
The intent is to provide a visualization of trendlines at multiple scales, without having to untangle those that my overlap each other.
It doesn't overlay a price-chart as written; it could, but IMHO that would be redundant. It's intended to augment oscillators and other kinds of indicators that don't necessarily scale with a price chart.
The script does not attempt to provide buy or sell triggers, but rather, to provide a visualization tool and a line-drawing tech-demo.
Best FracktalsKey Features:
Fractal Detection: The script detects both top and bottom fractals using custom logic based on candle body highs and lows, not wicks.
Customizable Parameters:
Number of candles (len) to check on each side of the central bar to determine if it forms a fractal.
Number of fractals (fractalCount) to remember and draw lines for.
Visual Indicators:
A red downward triangle marks top fractals above the bar.
A green upward triangle marks bottom fractals below the bar.
Fractal Lines:
Draws up to fractalCount horizontal lines across the chart at the levels of the most recent fractals.
Lines update dynamically as new fractals are detected.
Logic Overview:
Top Fractal: The central candle has a higher body high than surrounding candles.
Bottom Fractal: The central candle has a lower body low than surrounding candles.
Ensures no duplicate fractals are marked on equal highs or lows.
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy [Skyrexio] Overview
AO/AC Trading Zones Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator (AC), Williams Fractals, Williams Alligator and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Combination of AO and AC is used for creating so-called trading zones to create the signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over. In some special cases strategy uses AO and AC combination to trail profit (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Both AC and AO shall print two consecutive increasing values. At the price candle close which corresponds to this condition algorithm opens the first long trade with 10% of capital.
4. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
5. If AO and AC both continue printing the rising values strategy opens the long trade on each candle close with 10% of capital while number of opened trades reaches 5.
6. If AO and AC both has printed 5 rising values in a row algorithm close all trades if candle's low below the low of the 5-th candle with rising AO and AC values in a row.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation).
User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about the trading zones concept and its signals. To understand this we need to briefly introduce what is AO and AC. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO) , where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now let's discuss the trading zones concept and how it can create the signal. Zones are created by the combination of AO and AC. We can divide three zone types:
Greed zone: when the AO and AC both are rising
Red zone: when the AO and AC both are decreasing
Gray zone: when one of AO or AC is rising, the other is falling
Gray zone is considered as uncertainty. AC and AO are moving in the opposite direction. Strategy skip such price action to decrease the chance to stuck in the losing trade during potential sideways. Red zone is also not interesting for the algorithm because both indicators consider the trend as bearish, but strategy opens only long trades. It is waiting for the green zone to increase the chance to open trade in the direction of the potential uptrend. When we have 2 candles in a row in the green zone script executes a long trade with 10% of capital.
Two green zone candles in a row is considered by algorithm as a bullish trend, but now so strong, that's the reason why trade is going to be closed when the combination of Alligator and Fractals will consider the the trend change from bullish to bearish. If id did not happens, algorithm starts to count the green zone candles in a row. When we have 5 in a row script change the trade closing condition. Such situation is considered is a high probability strong bull market and all trades will be closed if candle's low will be lower than fifth green zone candle's low. This is used to increase probability to secure the profit. If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. Each trade uses 10% of capital.
Why we use trading zones signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC and AO values in the direction of the most likely main trend signaling that we have the high probability of the fastest bullish phase on the market. The main idea is to take part in such rapid moves and add trades if this move continues its acceleration according to indicators.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -9.49%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.33%
Net Profit: +4374.70 USDT (+43.75%)
Total Trades: 278 (39.57% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.203
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 668.16 USDT (-5.43%)
Average Profit per Trade: 15.74 USDT (+1.37%)
Average Trade Duration: 60 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Acceleration/Deceleration Strategy leverages the combination of Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator(AC), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Acceleration/Deceleration Indicator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Acceleration/Deceleration shall create one of two types of long signals (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created long signal.
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one long signal, another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. We'll begin with the simplest: the EMA.
The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that assigns greater weight to recent price data, making it more responsive to current market changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This tool is widely used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. The EMA is calculated as follows:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy, the EMA acts as a long-term trend filter. For instance, long trades are considered only when the price closes above the EMA (default: 100-period). This increases the likelihood of entering trades aligned with the prevailing trend.
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
In this strategy if the most recent up fractal breakout occurs above the Alligator's teeth and follows the last down fractal breakout below the teeth, the algorithm identifies an uptrend. Long trades can be opened during this phase if a signal aligns. If the price breaks a down fractal below the teeth line during an uptrend, the strategy assumes the uptrend has ended and closes all open long trades.
By combining the EMA as a long-term trend filter with the Alligator and fractals as short-term filters, this approach increases the likelihood of opening profitable trades while staying aligned with market dynamics.
Now let's talk about Acceleration/Deceleration signals. AC indicator is calculated using the Awesome Oscillator, so let's first of all briefly explain what is Awesome Oscillator and how it can be calculated. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), developed by Bill Williams, is a momentum indicator designed to measure market momentum by contrasting recent price movements with a longer-term historical perspective. It helps traders detect potential trend reversals and assess the strength of ongoing trends.
The formula for AO is as follows:
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
The Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator, introduced by Bill Williams, measures the rate of change in market momentum. It highlights shifts in the driving force of price movements and helps traders spot early signs of trend changes. The AC Indicator is particularly useful for identifying whether the current momentum is accelerating or decelerating, which can indicate potential reversals or continuations. For AC calculation we shall use the AO calculated above is the following formula:
AC = AO − SMA5(AO), where SMA5(AO)is the 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Awesome Oscillator
When the AC is above the zero line and rising, it suggests accelerating upward momentum.
When the AC is below the zero line and falling, it indicates accelerating downward momentum.
When the AC is below zero line and rising it suggests the decelerating the downtrend momentum. When AC is above the zero line and falling, it suggests the decelerating the uptrend momentum.
Now we can explain which AC signal types are used in this strategy. The first type of long signal is when AC value is below zero line. In this cases we need to see three rising bars on the histogram in a row after the falling one. The second type of signals occurs above the zero line. There we need only two rising AC bars in a row after the falling one to create the signal. The signal bar is the last green bar in this sequence. The strategy places the buy stop order one tick above the candle's high, which corresponds to the signal bar on AC indicator.
After that we can have the following scenarios:
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower high. If current AC bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AC bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next AC signal.
If long trades are initiated, the strategy continues utilizing subsequent signals until the total number of trades reaches a maximum of 5. All open trades are closed when the trend shifts to a downtrend, as determined by the combination of the Alligator and Fractals described earlier.
Why we use AC signals? If currently strategy algorithm considers the high probability of the short-term uptrend with the Alligator and Fractals combination pointed out above and the long-term trend is also suggested by the EMA filter as bullish. Rising AC bars after period of falling AC bars indicates the high probability of local pull back end and there is a high chance to open long trade in the direction of the most likely main uptrend. The numbers of rising bars are different for the different AC values (below or above zero line). This is needed because if AC below zero line the local downtrend is likely to be stronger and needs more rising bars to confirm that it has been changed than if AC is above zero.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next AC signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.01. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.15%
Maximum Single Profit: +24.57%
Net Profit: +2108.85 USDT (+21.09%)
Total Trades: 111 (36.94% win rate)
Profit Factor: 2.391
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 367.61 USDT (-2.97%)
Average Profit per Trade: 19.00 USDT (+1.78%)
Average Trade Duration: 75 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
Bullish Reversal Bar Strategy leverages the combination of candlestick pattern Bullish Reversal Bar (description in Methodology and Justification of Methodology), Williams Alligator indicator and Williams Fractals to create the high probability setups. Candlestick pattern is used for the entering into trade, while the combination of Williams Alligator and Fractals is used for the trend approximation as close condition. Strategy uses only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator or the candlestick pattern invalidation to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Trend Trade Filter: strategy uses Alligator and Fractal combination as high probability trend filter.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1.Current candle's high shall be below the Williams Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)(all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
2.Price shall create the candlestick pattern "Bullish Reversal Bar". Optionally if MFI and AO filters are enabled current candle shall have the decreasing AO and at least one of three recent bars shall have the squat state on the MFI (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3.If price breaks through the high of the candle marked as the "Bullish Reversal Bar" the long trade is open at the price one tick above the candle's high
4.Initial stop loss is placed at the Bullish Reversal Bar's candle's low
5.If price hit the Bullish Reversal Bar's low before hitting the entry price potential trade is cancelled
6.If trade is active and initial stop loss has not been hit, trade is closed when the combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend change from upward to downward.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting:
Enable MFI (if true trades are filtered using Market Facilitation Index (MFI) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Enable AO (if true trades are filtered using Awesome Oscillator (AO) condition all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph), by default = false)
Justification of Methodology
Let's explore the key concepts of this strategy and understand how they work together. The first and key concept is the Bullish Reversal Bar candlestick pattern. This is just the single bar pattern. The rules are simple:
Candle shall be closed in it's upper half
High of this candle shall be below all three Alligator's lines (Jaw, Lips, Teeth)
Next, let’s discuss the short-term trend filter, which combines the Williams Alligator and Williams Fractals. Williams Alligator
Developed by Bill Williams, the Alligator is a technical indicator that identifies trends and potential market reversals. It consists of three smoothed moving averages:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When the lines diverge and align in order, the "Alligator" is "awake," signaling a strong trend. When the lines overlap or intertwine, the "Alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator helps traders determine when to enter or avoid trades.
Fractals, another tool by Bill Williams, help identify potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms over at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar showing either:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often use fractals alongside other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, enhancing decision-making accuracy.
How do these tools work together in this strategy? Let’s consider an example of an uptrend.
When the price breaks above an up fractal, it signals a potential bullish trend. This occurs because the up fractal represents a shift in market behavior, where a temporary high was formed due to selling pressure. If the price revisits this level and breaks through, it suggests the market sentiment has turned bullish.
The breakout must occur above the Alligator’s teeth line to confirm the trend. A breakout below the teeth is considered invalid, and the downtrend might still persist. Conversely, in a downtrend, the same logic applies with down fractals.
How we can use all these indicators in this strategy? This strategy is a counter trend one. Candle's high shall be below all Alligator's lines. During this market stage the bullish reversal bar candlestick pattern shall be printed. This bar during the downtrend is a high probability setup for the potential reversal to the upside: bulls were able to close the price in the upper half of a candle. The breaking of its high is a high probability signal that trend change is confirmed and script opens long trade. If market continues going down and break down the bullish reversal bar's low potential trend change has been invalidated and strategy close long trade.
If market really reversed and started moving to the upside strategy waits for the trend change form the downtrend to the uptrend according to approximation of Alligator and Fractals combination. If this change happens strategy close the trade. This approach helps to stay in the long trade while the uptrend continuation is likely and close it if there is a high probability of the uptrend finish.
Optionally users can enable MFI and AO filters. First of all, let's briefly explain what are these two indicators. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
This indicator is filtering signals in the following way: if current AO bar is decreasing this candle can be interpreted as a bullish reversal bar. This logic is applicable because initially this strategy is a trend reversal, it is searching for the high probability setup against the current trend. Decreasing AO is the additional high probability filter of a downtrend.
Let's briefly look what is MFI. The Market Facilitation Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures the price movement per unit of volume, helping traders gauge the efficiency of price movement in relation to trading volume. Here's how you can calculate it:
MFI = (High−Low)/Volume
MFI can be used in combination with volume, so we can divide 4 states. Bill Williams introduced these to help traders interpret the interaction between volume and price movement. Here’s a quick summary:
Green Window (Increased MFI & Increased Volume): Indicates strong momentum with both price and volume increasing. Often a sign of trend continuation, as both buying and selling interest are rising.
Fake Window (Increased MFI & Decreased Volume): Shows that price is moving but with lower volume, suggesting weak support for the trend. This can signal a potential end of the current trend.
Squat Window (Decreased MFI & Increased Volume): Shows high volume but little price movement, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. This often precedes a breakout as the pressure builds.
Fade Window (Decreased MFI & Decreased Volume): Indicates a lack of interest from both buyers and sellers, leading to lower momentum. This typically happens in range-bound markets and may signal consolidation before a new move.
For our purposes we are interested in squat bars. This is the sign that volume cannot move the price easily. This type of bar increases the probability of trend reversal. In this indicator we added to enable the MFI filter of reversal bars. If potential reversal bar or two preceding bars have squat state this bar can be interpret as a reversal one.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.12.31. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 50%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.29%
Maximum Single Profit: +29.99%
Net Profit: +5472.66 USDT (+54.73%)
Total Trades: 103 (33.98% win rate)
Profit Factor: 1.634
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 1231.15 USDT (-8.32%)
Average Profit per Trade: 53.13 USDT (+0.94%)
Average Trade Duration: 76 hours
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 4h ETH/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy [Skyrexio]Overview
MultiLayer Awesome Oscillator Saucer Strategy leverages the combination of Awesome Oscillator (AO), Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals and Exponential Moving Average (EMA) to obtain the high probability long setups. Moreover, strategy uses multi trades system, adding funds to long position if it considered that current trend has likely became stronger. Awesome Oscillator is used for creating signals, while Alligator and Fractal are used in conjunction as an approximation of short-term trend to filter them. At the same time EMA (default EMA's period = 100) is used as high probability long-term trend filter to open long trades only if it considers current price action as an uptrend. More information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs. The strategy opens only long trades.
Unique Features
No fixed stop-loss and take profit: Instead of fixed stop-loss level strategy utilizes technical condition obtained by Fractals and Alligator to identify when current uptrend is likely to be over (more information in "Methodology" and "Justification of Methodology" paragraphs)
Configurable Trading Periods: Users can tailor the strategy to specific market windows, adapting to different market conditions.
Multilayer trades opening system: strategy uses only 10% of capital in every trade and open up to 5 trades at the same time if script consider current trend as strong one.
Short and long term trend trade filters: strategy uses EMA as high probability long-term trend filter and Alligator and Fractal combination as a short-term one.
Methodology
The strategy opens long trade when the following price met the conditions:
1. Price closed above EMA (by default, period = 100). Crossover is not obligatory.
2. Combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend as an upward (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph)
3. Awesome Oscillator shall create the "Saucer" long signal (all details in "Justification of Methodology" paragraph). Buy stop order is placed one tick above the candle's high of last created "Saucer signal".
4. If price reaches the order price, long position is opened with 10% of capital.
5. If currently we have opened position and price creates and hit the order price of another one "Saucer" signal another one long position will be added to the previous with another one 10% of capital. Strategy allows to open up to 5 long trades simultaneously.
6. If combination of Alligator and Williams Fractals shall consider current trend has been changed from up to downtrend, all long trades will be closed, no matter how many trades has been opened.
Script also has additional visuals. If second long trade has been opened simultaneously the Alligator's teeth line is plotted with the green color. Also for every trade in a row from 2 to 5 the label "Buy More" is also plotted just below the teeth line. With every next simultaneously opened trade the green color of the space between teeth and price became less transparent.
Strategy settings
In the inputs window user can setup strategy setting: EMA Length (by default = 100, period of EMA, used for long-term trend filtering EMA calculation). User can choose the optimal parameters during backtesting on certain price chart.
Justification of Methodology
Let's go through all concepts used in this strategy to understand how they works together. Let's start from the easies one, the EMA. Let's briefly explain what is EMA. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a type of moving average that gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive to current price changes compared to the Simple Moving Average (SMA). It is commonly used in technical analysis to identify trends and generate buy or sell signals. It can be calculated with the following steps:
1.Calculate the Smoothing Multiplier:
Multiplier = 2 / (n + 1), Where n is the number of periods.
2. EMA Calculation
EMA = (Current Price) × Multiplier + (Previous EMA) × (1 − Multiplier)
In this strategy uses EMA an initial long term trend filter. It allows to open long trades only if price close above EMA (by default 50 period). It increases the probability of taking long trades only in the direction of the trend.
Let's go to the next, short-term trend filter which consists of Alligator and Fractals. Let's briefly explain what do these indicators means. The Williams Alligator, developed by Bill Williams, is a technical indicator designed to spot trends and potential market reversals. It uses three smoothed moving averages, referred to as the jaw, teeth, and lips:
Jaw (Blue Line): The slowest of the three, based on a 13-period smoothed moving average shifted 8 bars ahead.
Teeth (Red Line): The medium-speed line, derived from an 8-period smoothed moving average shifted 5 bars forward.
Lips (Green Line): The fastest line, calculated using a 5-period smoothed moving average shifted 3 bars forward.
When these lines diverge and are properly aligned, the "alligator" is considered "awake," signaling a strong trend. Conversely, when the lines overlap or intertwine, the "alligator" is "asleep," indicating a range-bound or sideways market. This indicator assists traders in identifying when to act on or avoid trades.
The Williams Fractals, another tool introduced by Bill Williams, are used to pinpoint potential reversal points on a price chart. A fractal forms when there are at least five consecutive bars, with the middle bar displaying the highest high (for an up fractal) or the lowest low (for a down fractal), relative to the two bars on either side.
Key Points:
Up Fractal: Occurs when the middle bar has a higher high than the two preceding and two following bars, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Down Fractal: Happens when the middle bar shows a lower low than the surrounding two bars, hinting at a possible upward reversal.
Traders often combine fractals with other indicators to confirm trends or reversals, improving the accuracy of trading decisions.
How we use their combination in this strategy? Let’s consider an uptrend example. A breakout above an up fractal can be interpreted as a bullish signal, indicating a high likelihood that an uptrend is beginning. Here's the reasoning: an up fractal represents a potential shift in market behavior. When the fractal forms, it reflects a pullback caused by traders selling, creating a temporary high. However, if the price manages to return to that fractal’s high and break through it, it suggests the market has "changed its mind" and a bullish trend is likely emerging.
The moment of the breakout marks the potential transition to an uptrend. It’s crucial to note that this breakout must occur above the Alligator's teeth line. If it happens below, the breakout isn’t valid, and the downtrend may still persist. The same logic applies inversely for down fractals in a downtrend scenario.
So, if last up fractal breakout was higher, than Alligator's teeth and it happened after last down fractal breakdown below teeth, algorithm considered current trend as an uptrend. During this uptrend long trades can be opened if signal was flashed. If during the uptrend price breaks down the down fractal below teeth line, strategy considered that uptrend is finished with the high probability and strategy closes all current long trades. This combination is used as a short term trend filter increasing the probability of opening profitable long trades in addition to EMA filter, described above.
Now let's talk about Awesome Oscillator's "Sauser" signals. Briefly explain what is the Awesome Oscillator. The Awesome Oscillator (AO), created by Bill Williams, is a momentum-based indicator that evaluates market momentum by comparing recent price activity to a broader historical context. It assists traders in identifying potential trend reversals and gauging trend strength.
AO = SMA5(Median Price) − SMA34(Median Price)
where:
Median Price = (High + Low) / 2
SMA5 = 5-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
SMA 34 = 34-period Simple Moving Average of the Median Price
Now we know what is AO, but what is the "Saucer" signal? This concept was introduced by Bill Williams, let's briefly explain it and how it's used by this strategy. Initially, this type of signal is a combination of the following AO bars: we need 3 bars in a row, the first one shall be higher than the second, the third bar also shall be higher, than second. All three bars shall be above the zero line of AO. The price bar, which corresponds to third "saucer's" bar is our signal bar. Strategy places buy stop order one tick above the price bar which corresponds to signal bar.
After that we can have the following scenarios.
Price hit the order on the next candle in this case strategy opened long with this price.
Price doesn't hit the order price, the next candle set lower low. If current AO bar is increasing buy stop order changes by the script to the high of this new bar plus one tick. This procedure repeats until price finally hit buy order or current AO bar become decreasing. In the second case buy order cancelled and strategy wait for the next "Saucer" signal.
If long trades has been opened strategy use all the next signals until number of trades doesn't exceed 5. All trades are closed when the trend changes to downtrend according to combination of Alligator and Fractals described above.
Why we use "Saucer" signals? If AO above the zero line there is a high probability that price now is in uptrend if we take into account our two trend filters. When we see the decreasing bars on AO and it's above zero it's likely can be considered as a pullback on the uptrend. When we see the stop of AO decreasing and the first increasing bar has been printed there is a high probability that this local pull back is finished and strategy open long trade in the likely direction of a main trend.
Why strategy use only 10% per signal? Sometimes we can see the false signals which appears on sideways. Not risking that much script use only 10% per signal. If the first long trade has been open and price continue going up and our trend approximation by Alligator and Fractals is uptrend, strategy add another one 10% of capital to every next saucer signal while number of active trades no more than 5. This capital allocation allows to take part in long trades when current uptrend is likely to be strong and use only 10% of capital when there is a high probability of sideways.
Backtest Results
Operating window: Date range of backtests is 2023.01.01 - 2024.11.25. It is chosen to let the strategy to close all opened positions.
Commission and Slippage: Includes a standard Binance commission of 0.1% and accounts for possible slippage over 5 ticks.
Initial capital: 10000 USDT
Percent of capital used in every trade: 10%
Maximum Single Position Loss: -5.10%
Maximum Single Profit: +22.80%
Net Profit: +2838.58 USDT (+28.39%)
Total Trades: 107 (42.99% win rate)
Profit Factor: 3.364
Maximum Accumulated Loss: 373.43 USDT (-2.98%)
Average Profit per Trade: 26.53 USDT (+2.40%)
Average Trade Duration: 78 hours
These results are obtained with realistic parameters representing trading conditions observed at major exchanges such as Binance and with realistic trading portfolio usage parameters.
How to Use
Add the script to favorites for easy access.
Apply to the desired timeframe and chart (optimal performance observed on 3h BTC/USDT).
Configure settings using the dropdown choice list in the built-in menu.
Set up alerts to automate strategy positions through web hook with the text: {{strategy.order.alert_message}}
Disclaimer:
Educational and informational tool reflecting Skyrex commitment to informed trading. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Test strategies in a simulated environment before live implementation
TradingGroundhog - Strategy & Wavetrend V2#-- Public Strategy - No Repaint - Fractals - Wavetrend --
Here I come with another script, a nice and simple strategy based on fractals and Wavetrends.
#-- Synopsis --
A simple idea, on a small time frame (15 min) we buy when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractals and sell when it goes over a Top fractals, but in order to avoid bad and evil downtrends, we use Wavetrends based on a Daily time frame. From it, Tops and Bottoms are extracted. If the opening price goes above Wavetrend Tops, no trades will be conducted during the day. If the price goes below Wavetrend bottoms, no trades will be executed from 1 to N days, until a new Wavetrend bottom is generated.
I developed the strategy using BTC /EUR 15 MIN BINANCE but it can be applied to many other cryptos, I don't know for forex or others. You can use it for long term and automated trading, I implemented the Wavetrend indicator to do so, or for short term if you have spot a long coming uptrend. Test it, look at its profit and long or short period on your crypto of choice.
#-- Graph reading --
And now, how to read it ?
Wavetrends:
Red Backgrounds are associated to No Trade periods. These periods occur when the price goes below a Wavetrend bottom or above a Wavetrend Top. They are here to limit the loss.
Blue Gradient lines represent the past Tops. For each bar, only the increasing values of the Wavetrend tops are acquired. Going from light to dark blue based on the age of the Tops. Thus, if on line goes from dark to light, this means the price is approaching a previous Wavetrend top. In the opposite, if it darken, thus the price say 'buy buy' and go dropping.
Yellow Gradient lines represent the past Bottoms. They are based on the same principe that the blue lines.
Fractals:
Yellow Flags occur when the opening price goes below a Bottom fractal , it means Buy.
White Flags appear when the opening price goes over a Top fractal , it means Sell.
#-- Parameters --
*** Parameters have been intensively optimized using 10 cryptocurrency markets in order to have potent efficiency for each of them. I would recommend to only change the Can Be touch parameter. For the others, I don't recommend any modifications. The idea behind the script is to be able to switch between markets without having to optimize parameters, less work, easy to target active crypto and therefor limit the risks. ***
Can be touch :
'Combined Smoothness' : The number of open individuals used by the Wavetrend. (6 or 9, often 9 is better but with less volatile crypto it will be 6)
'Filter fractals' : Activate or Disable the filtering fractal operation. If Enable, buy during less risky periods. (Disable is often better)
Can be touch but not necessary :
'VolumeMA' : The Volume corrector used by the fractals
'Extreme window' : The number of price individuals to look for if we want to remove extreme fractals.
Not to touch :
'Limit_candle to look on' : Number of candles to use to compute the Wavetrend Tops and Bottoms.
'Length top bottom drawn' : Size of the lines
'Long Sop Loss (%)' : The minimal difference of price between a Fractal bottom and the opening price to buy.
#-- Time frame --
Should be used with the following time frames depending on the necessity:
1 MIN
3 MIN (Interesting for short term profit, may need some parameter ajustements)
5 MIN
15 MIN (Preferred for long term profit, the script was developed on it)
#-- Last words --
The script can be set up to send Tradingview signals to 3comma just by adding comment = " " in strategy.close_all() and strategy.entry().
Good trades !
Disclaimer (As it should always be one to any script)
***
This script is intended for and only to be used for personal purposes only. No such information provided by it constitutes advice or a recommendation for any investment or trading strategy for any specific person. There is no guarantee presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections, or predictive statements offered by the script. Users of the script agree that its original developer does not take responsibility for any of your investment decisions. Please seek professional advice before trading.
***
# Here are the results from the 1rst of July 2021 with 100% of equity on the BTC /EUR 15 Min and with a capital of 1 000 EUR.
# As I saw, it goes from +20% to more than +100% depending on the selected crypto. Sometimes it's negative but it's quite rare on crypto using the EUR.
Mandelbrot-Fibonacci Cascade Vortex (MFCV)Mandelbrot-Fibonacci Cascade Vortex (MFCV) - Where Chaos Theory Meets Sacred Geometry
A Revolutionary Synthesis of Fractal Mathematics and Golden Ratio Dynamics
What began as an exploration into Benoit Mandelbrot's fractal market hypothesis and the mysterious appearance of Fibonacci sequences in nature has culminated in a groundbreaking indicator that reveals the hidden mathematical structure underlying market movements. This indicator represents months of research into chaos theory, fractal geometry, and the golden ratio's manifestation in financial markets.
The Theoretical Foundation
Mandelbrot's Fractal Market Hypothesis Traditional efficient market theory assumes normal distributions and random walks. Mandelbrot proved markets are fractal - self-similar patterns repeating across all timeframes with power-law distributions. The MFCV implements this through:
Hurst Exponent Calculation: H = log(R/S) / log(n/2)
Where:
R = Range of cumulative deviations
S = Standard deviation
n = Period length
This measures market memory:
H > 0.5: Trending (persistent) behavior
H = 0.5: Random walk
H < 0.5: Mean-reverting (anti-persistent) behavior
Fractal Dimension: D = 2 - H
This quantifies market complexity, where higher dimensions indicate more chaotic behavior.
Fibonacci Vortex Theory Markets don't move linearly - they spiral. The MFCV reveals these spirals using Fibonacci sequences:
Vortex Calculation: Vortex(n) = Price + sin(bar_index × φ / Fn) × ATR(Fn) × Volume_Factor
Where:
φ = 0.618 (golden ratio)
Fn = Fibonacci number (8, 13, 21, 34, 55)
Volume_Factor = 1 + (Volume/SMA(Volume,50) - 1) × 0.5
This creates oscillating spirals that contract and expand with market energy.
The Volatility Cascade System
Markets exhibit volatility clustering - Mandelbrot's "Noah Effect." The MFCV captures this through cascading volatility bands:
Cascade Level Calculation: Level(i) = ATR(20) × φ^i
Each level represents a different fractal scale, creating a multi-dimensional view of market structure. The golden ratio spacing ensures harmonic resonance between levels.
Implementation Architecture
Core Components:
Fractal Analysis Engine
Calculates Hurst exponent over user-defined periods
Derives fractal dimension for complexity measurement
Identifies market regime (trending/ranging/chaotic)
Fibonacci Vortex Generator
Creates 5 independent spiral oscillators
Each spiral follows a Fibonacci period
Volume amplification creates dynamic response
Cascade Band System
Up to 8 volatility levels
Golden ratio expansion between levels
Dynamic coloring based on fractal state
Confluence Detection
Identifies convergence of vortex and cascade levels
Highlights high-probability reversal zones
Real-time confluence strength calculation
Signal Generation Logic
The MFCV generates two primary signal types:
Fractal Signals: Generated when:
Hurst > 0.65 (strong trend) AND volatility expanding
Hurst < 0.35 (mean reversion) AND RSI < 35
Trend strength > 0.4 AND vortex alignment
Cascade Signals: Triggered by:
RSI > 60 AND price > SMA(50) AND bearish vortex
RSI < 40 AND price < SMA(50) AND bullish vortex
Volatility expansion AND trend strength > 0.3
Both signals implement a 15-bar cooldown to prevent overtrading.
Advanced Input System
Mandelbrot Parameters:
Cascade Levels (3-8):
Controls number of volatility bands
Crypto: 5-7 (high volatility)
Indices: 4-5 (moderate volatility)
Forex: 3-4 (low volatility)
Hurst Period (20-200):
Lookback for fractal calculation
Scalping: 20-50
Day Trading: 50-100
Swing Trading: 100-150
Position Trading: 150-200
Cascade Ratio (1.0-3.0):
Band width multiplier
1.618: Golden ratio (default)
Higher values for trending markets
Lower values for ranging markets
Fractal Memory (21-233):
Fibonacci retracement lookback
Uses Fibonacci numbers for harmonic alignment
Fibonacci Vortex Settings:
Spiral Periods:
Comma-separated Fibonacci sequence
Fast: "5,8,13,21,34" (scalping)
Standard: "8,13,21,34,55" (balanced)
Extended: "13,21,34,55,89" (swing)
Rotation Speed (0.1-2.0):
Controls spiral oscillation frequency
0.618: Golden ratio (balanced)
Higher = more signals, more noise
Lower = smoother, fewer signals
Volume Amplification:
Enables dynamic spiral expansion
Essential for stocks and crypto
Disable for forex (no central volume)
Visual System Architecture
Cascade Bands:
Multi-level volatility envelopes
Gradient coloring from primary to secondary theme
Transparency increases with distance from price
Fill between bands shows fractal structure
Vortex Spirals:
5 Fibonacci-period oscillators
Blue above price (bullish pressure)
Red below price (bearish pressure)
Multiple display styles: Lines, Circles, Dots, Cross
Dynamic Fibonacci Levels:
Auto-updating retracement levels
Smart update logic prevents disruption near levels
Distance-based transparency (closer = more visible)
Updates every 50 bars or on volatility spikes
Confluence Zones:
Highlighted boxes where indicators converge
Stronger confluence = stronger support/resistance
Key areas for reversal trades
Professional Dashboard System
Main Fractal Dashboard: Displays real-time:
Hurst Exponent with market state
Fractal Dimension with complexity level
Volatility Cascade status
Vortex rotation impact
Market regime classification
Signal strength percentage
Active indicator levels
Vortex Metrics Panel: Shows:
Individual spiral deviations
Convergence/divergence metrics
Real-time vortex positioning
Fibonacci period performance
Fractal Metrics Display: Tracks:
Dimension D value
Market complexity rating
Self-similarity strength
Trend quality assessment
Theory Guide Panel: Educational reference showing:
Mandelbrot principles
Fibonacci vortex concepts
Dynamic trading suggestions
Trading Applications
Trend Following:
High Hurst (>0.65) indicates strong trends
Follow cascade band direction
Use vortex spirals for entry timing
Exit when Hurst drops below 0.5
Mean Reversion:
Low Hurst (<0.35) signals reversal potential
Trade toward vortex spiral convergence
Use Fibonacci levels as targets
Tighten stops in chaotic regimes
Breakout Trading:
Monitor cascade band compression
Watch for vortex spiral alignment
Volatility expansion confirms breakouts
Use confluence zones for targets
Risk Management:
Position size based on fractal dimension
Wider stops in high complexity markets
Tighter stops when Hurst is extreme
Scale out at Fibonacci levels
Market-Specific Optimization
Cryptocurrency:
Cascade Levels: 5-7
Hurst Period: 50-100
Rotation Speed: 0.786-1.2
Enable volume amplification
Stock Indices:
Cascade Levels: 4-5
Hurst Period: 80-120
Rotation Speed: 0.5-0.786
Moderate cascade ratio
Forex:
Cascade Levels: 3-4
Hurst Period: 100-150
Rotation Speed: 0.382-0.618
Disable volume amplification
Commodities:
Cascade Levels: 4-6
Hurst Period: 60-100
Rotation Speed: 0.5-1.0
Seasonal adjustment consideration
Innovation and Originality
The MFCV represents several breakthrough innovations:
First Integration of Mandelbrot Fractals with Fibonacci Vortex Theory
Unique synthesis of chaos theory and sacred geometry
Novel application of Hurst exponent to spiral dynamics
Dynamic Volatility Cascade System
Golden ratio-based band expansion
Multi-timeframe fractal analysis
Self-adjusting to market conditions
Volume-Amplified Vortex Spirals
Revolutionary spiral calculation method
Dynamic response to market participation
Multiple Fibonacci period integration
Intelligent Signal Generation
Cooldown system prevents overtrading
Multi-factor confirmation required
Regime-aware signal filtering
Professional Analytics Dashboard
Institutional-grade metrics display
Real-time fractal analysis
Educational integration
Development Journey
Creating the MFCV involved overcoming numerous challenges:
Mathematical Complexity: Implementing Hurst exponent calculations efficiently
Visual Clarity: Displaying multiple indicators without cluttering
Performance Optimization: Managing array operations and calculations
Signal Quality: Balancing sensitivity with reliability
User Experience: Making complex theory accessible
The result is an indicator that brings PhD-level mathematics to practical trading while maintaining visual elegance and usability.
Best Practices and Guidelines
Start Simple: Use default settings initially
Match Timeframe: Adjust parameters to your trading style
Confirm Signals: Never trade MFCV signals in isolation
Respect Regimes: Adapt strategy to market state
Manage Risk: Use fractal dimension for position sizing
Color Themes
Six professional themes included:
Fractal: Balanced blue/purple palette
Golden: Warm Fibonacci-inspired colors
Plasma: Vibrant modern aesthetics
Cosmic: Dark mode optimized
Matrix: Classic green terminal
Fire: Heat map visualization
Disclaimer
This indicator is for educational and research purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. While the MFCV reveals deep market structure through advanced mathematics, markets remain inherently unpredictable. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
The integration of Mandelbrot's fractal theory with Fibonacci vortex dynamics provides unique market insights, but should be used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy. Always use proper risk management and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Acknowledgments
Special thanks to Benoit Mandelbrot for revolutionizing our understanding of markets through fractal geometry, and to the ancient mathematicians who discovered the golden ratio's universal significance.
"The geometry of nature is fractal... Markets are fractal too." - Benoit Mandelbrot
Revealing the Hidden Order in Market Chaos Trade with Mathematical Precision. Trade with MFCV.
— Created with passion for the TradingView community
Trade with insight. Trade with anticipation.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial IndicatorThe Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial Indicator is an advanced Pine Script designed to combine various complex theories from physics, mathematics, and statistical mechanics to create a holistic, multi-dimensional approach to market analysis. Let’s break down the core concepts and how they’re applied in this script:
1. Fractal Geometry: Recursive Pattern Recognition
Purpose: This part of the script uses fractal geometry to recursively analyze price pivots (highs and lows) for detecting patterns.
Fractals: The fractalHigh and fractalLow signals represent key turning points in the market. The script goes deeper by recursively analyzing layers of pivot sequences, adding "depth" to the recognition of patterns.
Recursive Depth: It breaks down each detected pivot into smaller components, giving more nuance to market pattern recognition. This provides a broader context for how prices have behaved historically at various levels of recursion.
2. Quantum Mechanics: Adaptive Probabilistic Monte Carlo with Correlation
Purpose: This component integrates randomness (from Monte Carlo simulations) with current market behavior using correlation.
Randomness Weighted by Correlation: By generating random probabilities and weighting them based on how well the market aligns with recent trends, it creates a probabilistic signal. The random values are scaled by a correlation factor (close prices and their moving average), adding adaptive elements where randomness is adjusted by current market conditions.
3. Thermodynamics: Adaptive Efficiency Ratio (Entropy-Like Decay)
Purpose: This section uses principles from thermodynamics, where efficiency in price movement is dynamically adjusted by recent volatility and changes.
Efficiency Ratio: It calculates how efficiently the market is moving over a certain period. The "entropy decay factor" reflects how stable the market is. Higher entropy (chaos) results in lower efficiency, while stable periods maintain higher efficiency.
4. Chaos Theory: Lorenz-Driven Market Oscillation
Purpose: Instead of using a basic Average True Range (ATR) indicator, this section applies chaos theory (using a Lorenz attractor analogy) to describe complex market oscillations.
Lorenz Attractor: This models market behavior with a chaotic system that depends on the historical price changes at different time intervals. The attractor value quantifies the level of "chaos" or unpredictability in the market.
5. String Theory: Multi-Layered Dimensional Analysis of RSI and MACD
Purpose: Combines traditional indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) with momentum for multi-dimensional analysis.
Interaction of Layers: Each layer (RSI, MACD, and momentum) is treated as part of a multi-dimensional structure, where they influence one another. The final signal is a blended outcome of these key metrics, weighted and averaged for complexity.
6. Fluid Dynamics: Adaptive OBV (Pressure-Based)
Purpose: This section uses fluid dynamics to understand how price movement and volume create pressure over time, similar to how fluids behave under different forces.
Adaptive OBV: Traditional OBV (On-Balance Volume) is adapted by using statistical smoothing to measure the "pressure" exerted by volume over time. The result is a signal that shows where there might be building momentum or pressure in the market based on volume dynamics.
7. Recursive Synthesis of Signals
Purpose: After calculating all the individual signals (fractal, quantum, thermodynamic, chaos, string, and fluid), the script synthesizes them into one cohesive signal.
Recursive Feedback Loop: Each signal is recursively influenced by others, forming a feedback loop that allows the indicator to continuously learn from new data and self-adjust.
8. Signal Smoothing and Final Output
Purpose: To avoid noise in the output, the final combined signal is smoothed using an Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which helps stabilize the output for easier interpretation.
9. Dynamic Color Coding Based on Signal Extremes
Purpose: Visual clarity is enhanced by using color to highlight different levels of signal strength.
Color Coding: The script dynamically adjusts colors (green, orange, red) based on the strength of the final signal relative to its percentile ranking in historical data, making it easier to spot bullish, neutral, or bearish signals.
The "Ultimate Multi-Physics Financial Indicator" integrates a diverse array of scientific principles — fractal geometry, quantum mechanics, thermodynamics, chaos theory, string theory, and fluid dynamics — to provide a comprehensive market analysis tool. By combining probabilistic simulations, multi-dimensional technical indicators, and recursive feedback loops, this indicator adapts dynamically to evolving market conditions, giving traders a holistic view of market behavior across various dimensions. The result is an adaptive and flexible tool that responds to both short-term and long-term market changes
Wick SweepThe Wick Sweep indicator identifies potential trend reversal zones based on price action patterns and swing points. Specifically, it looks for "Wick Sweeps," a concept where the market temporarily breaks a swing low or high (creating a "wick"), only to reverse in the opposite direction. This pattern is often indicative of a market attempting to trap traders before making a larger move. The indicator marks these zones using dashed lines, helping traders spot key areas of potential price action.
Key Features:
* Swing Low and High Detection: The indicator identifies significant swing lows and highs within a user-defined period by employing Williams fractals.
* Wick Sweep Detection: Once a swing low or high is identified, the indicator looks for price movements that break through the low or high (creating a wick) and then reverses direction.
* Fractal Plotting: Optionally, the indicator plots fractal points (triangle shapes) on the chart when a swing low or high is detected. This can assist in visually identifying the potential wick sweep areas.
* Line Plotting: When a wick sweep is detected, a dashed line is drawn at the price level of the failed low or high, visually marking the potential reversal zone.
Inputs:
* Periods: The number of bars used to identify swing highs and lows. A higher value results in fewer, more significant swing points.
* Line Color: The color of the dashed lines drawn when a wick sweep is detected. Customize this to match your chart's theme or preferences.
* Show Fractals: A toggle that, when enabled, plots triangle shapes above and below bars indicating swing highs (up triangles) and swing lows (down triangles).
Functionality:
* Swing High and Low Calculation:
- The indicator calculates the swing low and swing high based on the periods input. A swing low is identified when the current low is the lowest within a range of (2 * periods + 1), with the lowest point being at the center of the period.
- Similarly, a swing high is identified when the current high is the highest within the same range.
* Wick Sweep Detection:
- Once a swing low or high is detected, the script looks for a potential wick. This happens when the price breaks the swing low or high and then reverses in the opposite direction.
- For a valid wick sweep, the price should briefly move beyond the identified swing point but then close in the opposite direction (i.e., a bullish reversal for a swing low and a bearish reversal for a swing high).
- A line is drawn at the price level of the failed low or high when a wick sweep is confirmed.
Confirmations for Reversal:
* The confirmation for a wick sweep requires that the price not only break the swing low/high but also close in the opposite direction (i.e., close above the low for a bullish reversal or close below the high for a bearish reversal).
* The confirmation is further refined by checking that the price movement is within a reasonable distance from the original swing point, which prevents the indicator from marking distant, unimportant price levels.
Additional Notes:
* The Wick Sweep indicator does not provide standalone trading signals; it is best used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools, such as trend analysis, oscillators, or volume indicators.
* The periods input can be adjusted based on the trader’s preferred level of sensitivity. A lower period value will result in more frequent swing points and potentially more signals, while a higher value will focus on more significant market swings.
* The indicator may work well in ranging markets where price tends to oscillate between key support and resistance levels.
Trend Trader-RemasteredThe script was originally coded in 2018 with Pine Script version 3, and it was in invite only status. It has been updated and optimised for Pine Script v5 and made completely open source.
Overview
The Trend Trader-Remastered is a refined and highly sophisticated implementation of the Parabolic SAR designed to create strategic buy and sell entry signals, alongside precision take profit and re-entry signals based on marked Bill Williams (BW) fractals. Built with a deep emphasis on clarity and accuracy, this indicator ensures that only relevant and meaningful signals are generated, eliminating any unnecessary entries or exits.
Key Features
1) Parabolic SAR-Based Entry Signals:
This indicator leverages an advanced implementation of the Parabolic SAR to create clear buy and sell position entry signals.
The Parabolic SAR detects potential trend shifts, helping traders make timely entries in trending markets.
These entries are strategically aligned to maximise trend-following opportunities and minimise whipsaw trades, providing an effective approach for trend traders.
2) Take Profit and Re-Entry Signals with BW Fractals:
The indicator goes beyond simple entry and exit signals by integrating BW Fractal-based take profit and re-entry signals.
Relevant Signal Generation: The indicator maintains strict criteria for signal relevance, ensuring that a re-entry signal is only generated if there has been a preceding take profit signal in the respective position. This prevents any misleading or premature re-entry signals.
Progressive Take Profit Signals: The script generates multiple take profit signals sequentially in alignment with prior take profit levels. For instance, in a buy position initiated at a price of 100, the first take profit might occur at 110. Any subsequent take profit signals will then occur at prices greater than 110, ensuring they are "in favour" of the original position's trajectory and previous take profits.
3) Consistent Trend-Following Structure:
This design allows the Trend Trader-Remastered to continue signaling take profit opportunities as the trend advances. The indicator only generates take profit signals in alignment with previous ones, supporting a systematic and profit-maximising strategy.
This structure helps traders maintain positions effectively, securing incremental profits as the trend progresses.
4) Customisability and Usability:
Adjustable Parameters: Users can configure key settings, including sensitivity to the Parabolic SAR and fractal identification. This allows flexibility to fine-tune the indicator according to different market conditions or trading styles.
User-Friendly Alerts: The indicator provides clear visual signals on the chart, along with optional alerts to notify traders of new buy, sell, take profit, or re-entry opportunities in real-time.
Structure Pilot Vision [Wang Indicators]Built and refined with Dave Teaches, the HTF Vision Pro supercharges the trader, providing them with the tools to approach price with a layered analysis.
Providing the trader the instruments to put on the spotlight significant zones to anticipate price deliveries
HTF CANDLE VISION
Displays up to 3 series of HTF Candles
Shows candlesticks from a higher time frame (e.g., daily, 4-hour, weekly) on a lower time frame chart (e.g., 1-hour, 15-minute). This allows traders to simultaneously observe both short-term and long-term market dynamics.
Customizable Time Frames: Users can select any higher time frame to overlay on the current chart. Common time frames include daily, weekly, and monthly candles, but other custom time frames can also be used.
Color Coding: The HTF candles are color-coded for easy differentiation from the lower time frame candles. Users can customize colors to suit their preferences.
Open, High, Low, Close (OHLC) Representation: The indicator displays the full candlestick pattern for the chosen HTF, including the open, high, low, and close values. This helps traders easily identify key price levels and trends.
Settings :
Number of candles
Space between the chart and the HTF candles
Space between candles sets
Size : from Tiny (2x regular candle size) to Large (x8 regular candle size)
Space between candles
Colors of candles, borders and wicks
Incorporating a Higher Time Frame (HTF) candle into your Lower Time Frame (LTF) chart can be immensely beneficial for traders looking to enhance their analysis and decision-making process.
Use Cases for HTF Candles on LTF Charts:
Trend Confirmation:
Use Case: A trader might be looking at a 15-minute chart (LTF) but wants to confirm if the short-term trends align with the daily trend (HTF). Plotting a daily candle on the 15-minute chart helps visualize whether the short-term movements are part of a broader, longer-term trend.
Support and Resistance Identification:
Use Case: By plotting a weekly candle on a daily chart, traders can quickly identify levels that have acted as significant support or resistance in the past on the higher time frame, which might not be as visible or influential on the daily chart alone.
Entry and Exit Points Enhancement:
Use Case: When preparing to enter a trade based on a 1-hour chart, overlaying a 4-hour candle can provide insights into potential reversal points or continuation patterns that are more significant on the higher time frame, thus refining entry and exit strategies.
Volatility and Breakout Analysis:
Use Case: Seeing how a single HTF candle (like a monthly candle on a weekly chart) closes can give traders an idea of the market's volatility or the strength behind breakouts. A long wick on the HTF candle might suggest a rejected breakout or a potential reversal.
Risk Management:
Use Case: Using an HTF candle can help set more informed stop-loss levels. For instance, if a trader uses a 4-hour candle on a 1-hour chart, they might place their stop-loss just beyond the low of the HTF candle, assuming this represents a significant level of support or resistance.
Contextual Trading Decisions:
Use Case: For scalpers or day traders, understanding where the current price action sits within the context of a higher timeframe can lead to better decision-making. For instance, trading within an HTF consolidation range might suggest less aggressive moves, while being near the top or bottom of such a range might indicate potential for larger movements.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Use Case: The color (red for bearish, green for bullish) and size of the HTF candle can give a quick visual cue of the market sentiment over that period, helping traders assess whether they are going with or against the broader market flow.
Swing Trading:
Use Case: Swing traders might plot a weekly candle on a daily chart to align their trades with the direction of the weekly trend, ensuring they're not fighting the broader market momentum.
Educational and Visual Reference:
Use Case: For educational purposes, having an HTF candle overlay can serve as a visual reminder for students or new traders about how price movements on different time frames can influence each other, aiding in teaching concepts like "the trend is your friend."
Wang use cases :
The way it is intended to be used is as follow
If you trade the 1 min chart and have a set of 5 min HTF candles plotted on your charts it could be used as follow :
As long as the 5 min keep providing close below the last 5 min candle if you're short you're safe ... if the 5 min candle stop closing below the last ones and start giving up-close you should consider closing your trade
Another use of HTF Candle is to find fractals responsible (up or down internal mouv before the breakout that creates a new zone). This fractal acts as supply and demand zone responsible for maintening the trend or for a reversal.
See examples below :
These fractals are interesting zones because they often cause the price to react, so following a flip in the fractal, you can take a short in bearish zones and a long in bullish zones. Fractals are easier to detect thanks to the HTF candles function, and allow you to enter positions with greater confidence. They can be used in the same way as the 70%, 50% and 30% interest zones, or they can be used simultaneously.
Use with zones :
▫️ VERTICAL BARS VISION ▫️
The vertical bars provide a view of market fractality: on a low time frame chart, they show the size of a candle in a higher time frame, and thus give a better understanding of the price fractality essential to the strategy we use.
Example :
For your information, when you modify data in the vertical bars or HTF candles parameters, the two are synchronized automatically.
The Vertical HTF Candle Closures Indicator is a simple yet effective tool that helps traders visually track the closing times of higher time frame (HTF) candles (such as 4H, 1H, 15M) on a lower time frame chart (e.g., 1-minute).
This feature plots vertical lines on the chart at the exact closure time of each selected HTF, allowing traders to quickly recognize key moments when the HTF candles close, or better yet when we trade above / below the last one and reverse ''sweepy sweepy'' .
Its more like a vertical and more micro visualisation than the HTF Candles.
Wang usage :
its a great tool to be able to reverse engineer what's in a HTFcandle precisely its a good combination with HTF candle projections to train the eyes of the traders about Whats is inside a candle that formed on the higher time frame
Limitation & know issues :
The chart may become cluttered with too many lines if multiple time frames are selected. Adjusting the line style or disabling certain time frames can help reduce visual noise.
On low time frame (<30s), some bar may notshow exactly on time (e.g : in 10sec timeframe, the 15min bar can be displayed at 01:15:10 instead of 01:15:00).
Because of the data provider and the interpreter of Trading View, if there is not data for a candle, Trading view just "skip" the candle. Sometime, those skip are on the candle that goes to 15min, 1 hour or 4 hour. As this is a Trading View issue. There is pretty much nothing we can do.
Some users may experience vertical bars at 1am, 5am, 9am ... instead of 0am, 4am, 8am ... That is because of the difference between the Timezone set on the chart and the timezone of the market they trade. Vertical bar will always refer to the symbol displayed
Hybrid Adaptive Double Exponential Smoothing🙏🏻 This is HADES (Hybrid Adaptive Double Exponential Smoothing) : fully data-driven & adaptive exponential smoothing method, that gains all the necessary info directly from data in the most natural way and needs no subjective parameters & no optimizations. It gets applied to data itself -> to fit residuals & one-point forecast errors, all at O(1) algo complexity. I designed it for streaming high-frequency univariate time series data, such as medical sensor readings, orderbook data, tick charts, requests generated by a backend, etc.
The HADES method is:
fit & forecast = a + b * (1 / alpha + T - 1)
T = 0 provides in-sample fit for the current datum, and T + n provides forecast for n datapoints.
y = input time series
a = y, if no previous data exists
b = 0, if no previous data exists
otherwise:
a = alpha * y + (1 - alpha) * a
b = alpha * (a - a ) + (1 - alpha) * b
alpha = 1 / sqrt(len * 4)
len = min(ceil(exp(1 / sig)), available data)
sig = sqrt(Absolute net change in y / Sum of absolute changes in y)
For the start datapoint when both numerator and denominator are zeros, we define 0 / 0 = 1
...
The same set of operations gets applied to the data first, then to resulting fit absolute residuals to build prediction interval, and finally to absolute forecasting errors (from one-point ahead forecast) to build forecasting interval:
prediction interval = data fit +- resoduals fit * k
forecasting interval = data opf +- errors fit * k
where k = multiplier regulating intervals width, and opf = one-point forecasts calculated at each time t
...
How-to:
0) Apply to your data where it makes sense, eg. tick data;
1) Use power transform to compensate for multiplicative behavior in case it's there;
2) If you have complete data or only the data you need, like the full history of adjusted close prices: go to the next step; otherwise, guided by your goal & analysis, adjust the 'start index' setting so the calculations will start from this point;
3) Use prediction interval to detect significant deviations from the process core & make decisions according to your strategy;
4) Use one-point forecast for nowcasting;
5) Use forecasting intervals to ~ understand where the next datapoints will emerge, given the data-generating process will stay the same & lack structural breaks.
I advise k = 1 or 1.5 or 4 depending on your goal, but 1 is the most natural one.
...
Why exponential smoothing at all? Why the double one? Why adaptive? Why not Holt's method?
1) It's O(1) algo complexity & recursive nature allows it to be applied in an online fashion to high-frequency streaming data; otherwise, it makes more sense to use other methods;
2) Double exponential smoothing ensures we are taking trends into account; also, in order to model more complex time series patterns such as seasonality, we need detrended data, and this method can be used to do it;
3) The goal of adaptivity is to eliminate the window size question, in cases where it doesn't make sense to use cumulative moving typical value;
4) Holt's method creates a certain interaction between level and trend components, so its results lack symmetry and similarity with other non-recursive methods such as quantile regression or linear regression. Instead, I decided to base my work on the original double exponential smoothing method published by Rob Brown in 1956, here's the original source , it's really hard to find it online. This cool dude is considered the one who've dropped exponential smoothing to open access for the first time🤘🏻
R&D; log & explanations
If you wanna read this, you gotta know, you're taking a great responsability for this long journey, and it gonna be one hell of a trip hehe
Machine learning, apprentissage automatique, машинное обучение, digital signal processing, statistical learning, data mining, deep learning, etc., etc., etc.: all these are just artificial categories created by the local population of this wonderful world, but what really separates entities globally in the Universe is solution complexity / algorithmic complexity.
In order to get the game a lil better, it's gonna be useful to read the HTES script description first. Secondly, let me guide you through the whole R&D; process.
To discover (not to invent) the fundamental universal principle of what exponential smoothing really IS, it required the review of the whole concept, understanding that many things don't add up and don't make much sense in currently available mainstream info, and building it all from the beginning while avoiding these very basic logical & implementation flaws.
Given a complete time t, and yet, always growing time series population that can't be logically separated into subpopulations, the very first question is, 'What amount of data do we need to utilize at time t?'. Two answers: 1 and all. You can't really gain much info from 1 datum, so go for the second answer: we need the whole dataset.
So, given the sequential & incremental nature of time series, the very first and basic thing we can do on the whole dataset is to calculate a cumulative , such as cumulative moving mean or cumulative moving median.
Now we need to extend this logic to exponential smoothing, which doesn't use dataset length info directly, but all cool it can be done via a formula that quantifies the relationship between alpha (smoothing parameter) and length. The popular formulas used in mainstream are:
alpha = 1 / length
alpha = 2 / (length + 1)
The funny part starts when you realize that Cumulative Exponential Moving Averages with these 2 alpha formulas Exactly match Cumulative Moving Average and Cumulative (Linearly) Weighted Moving Average, and the same logic goes on:
alpha = 3 / (length + 1.5) , matches Cumulative Weighted Moving Average with quadratic weights, and
alpha = 4 / (length + 2) , matches Cumulative Weighted Moving Average with cubic weghts, and so on...
It all just cries in your shoulder that we need to discover another, native length->alpha formula that leverages the recursive nature of exponential smoothing, because otherwise, it doesn't make sense to use it at all, since the usual CMA and CMWA can be computed incrementally at O(1) algo complexity just as exponential smoothing.
From now on I will not mention 'cumulative' or 'linearly weighted / weighted' anymore, it's gonna be implied all the time unless stated otherwise.
What we can do is to approach the thing logically and model the response with a little help from synthetic data, a sine wave would suffice. Then we can think of relationships: Based on algo complexity from lower to higher, we have this sequence: exponential smoothing @ O(1) -> parametric statistics (mean) @ O(n) -> non-parametric statistics (50th percentile / median) @ O(n log n). Based on Initial response from slow to fast: mean -> median Based on convergence with the real expected value from slow to fast: mean (infinitely approaches it) -> median (gets it quite fast).
Based on these inputs, we need to discover such a length->alpha formula so the resulting fit will have the slowest initial response out of all 3, and have the slowest convergence with expected value out of all 3. In order to do it, we need to have some non-linear transformer in our formula (like a square root) and a couple of factors to modify the response the way we need. I ended up with this formula to meet all our requirements:
alpha = sqrt(1 / length * 2) / 2
which simplifies to:
alpha = 1 / sqrt(len * 8)
^^ as you can see on the screenshot; where the red line is median, the blue line is the mean, and the purple line is exponential smoothing with the formulas you've just seen, we've met all the requirements.
Now we just have to do the same procedure to discover the length->alpha formula but for double exponential smoothing, which models trends as well, not just level as in single exponential smoothing. For this comparison, we need to use linear regression and quantile regression instead of the mean and median.
Quantile regression requires a non-closed form solution to be solved that you can't really implement in Pine Script, but that's ok, so I made the tests using Python & sklearn:
paste.pics
^^ on this screenshot, you can see the same relationship as on the previous screenshot, but now between the responses of quantile regression & linear regression.
I followed the same logic as before for designing alpha for double exponential smoothing (also considered the initial overshoots, but that's a little detail), and ended up with this formula:
alpha = sqrt(1 / length) / 2
which simplifies to:
alpha = 1 / sqrt(len * 4)
Btw, given the pattern you see in the resulting formulas for single and double exponential smoothing, if you ever want to do triple (not Holt & Winters) exponential smoothing, you'll need len * 2 , and just len * 1 for quadruple exponential smoothing. I hope that based on this sequence, you see the hint that Maybe 4 rounds is enough.
Now since we've dealt with the length->alpha formula, we can deal with the adaptivity part.
Logically, it doesn't make sense to use a slower-than-O(1) method to generate input for an O(1) method, so it must be something universal and minimalistic: something that will help us measure consistency in our data, yet something far away from statistics and close enough to topology.
There's one perfect entity that can help us, this is fractal efficiency. The way I define fractal efficiency can be checked at the very beginning of the post, what matters is that I add a square root to the formula that is not typically added.
As explained in the description of my metric QSFS , one of the reasons for SQRT-transformed values of fractal efficiency applied in moving window mode is because they start to closely resemble normal distribution, yet with support of (0, 1). Data with this interesting property (normally distributed yet with finite support) can be modeled with the beta distribution.
Another reason is, in infinitely expanding window mode, fractal efficiency of every time series that exhibits randomness tends to infinitely approach zero, sqrt-transform kind of partially neutralizes this effect.
Yet another reason is, the square root might better reflect the dimensional inefficiency or degree of fractal complexity, since it could balance the influence of extreme deviations from the net paths.
And finally, fractals exhibit power-law scaling -> measures like length, area, or volume scale in a non-linear way. Adding a square root acknowledges this intrinsic property, while connecting our metric with the nature of fractals.
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I suspect that, given analogies and connections with other topics in geometry, topology, fractals and most importantly positive test results of the metric, it might be that the sqrt transform is the fundamental part of fractal efficiency that should be applied by default.
Now the last part of the ballet is to convert our fractal efficiency to length value. The part about inverse proportionality is obvious: high fractal efficiency aka high consistency -> lower window size, to utilize only the last data that contain brand new information that seems to be highly reliable since we have consistency in the first place.
The non-obvious part is now we need to neutralize the side effect created by previous sqrt transform: our length values are too low, and exponentiation is the perfect candidate to fix it since translating fractal efficiency into window sizes requires something non-linear to reflect the fractal dynamics. More importantly, using exp() was the last piece that let the metric shine, any other transformations & formulas alike I've tried always had some weird results on certain data.
That exp() in the len formula was the last piece that made it all work both on synthetic and on real data.
^^ a standalone script calculating optimal dynamic window size
Omg, THAT took time to write. Comment and/or text me if you need
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"Versace Pip-Boy, I'm a young gun coming up with no bankroll" 👻
∞
