Crude Roll Trade SimulatorEDIT : The screen cap was unintended with the script publication. The yellow arrow is pointing to a different indicator I wrote. The "Roll Sim" indicator is shown below that one. Yes I could do a different screen cap, but then I'd have to rewrite this and frankly I don't have time. END EDIT
If you have ever wanted to visualize the contango / backwardation pressure of a roll trade, this script will help you approximate it.
I am writing this description in haste so go with me on my rough explanations.
A "roll trade" is one involving futures that are continually rolled over into future months. Popular roll trade instruments are USO (oil futures) and UVXY (volatility futures).
Roll trades suffer hits from contango but get rewarded in periods of backwardation. Use this script to track the contango / backwardation pressure on what you are trading.
That involves identifying and providing both the underlying indexes and derivatives for both the front and back month of the roll trade. What does that mean? Well the defaults simulate (crudely) the UVXY roll trade: The folks at Proshares buy futures that expire 60 days away and then sell those 30 days later as short term futures (again, this is a crude description - see the prospectus) and we simulate that by providing the Roll Sim indicator the symbols VIX and VXV along with VIXY and VIXM. We also provide the days between the purchase and sale of the rolled futures contract (in sessions, which is 22 days by my reckoning).
The script performs ema smoothing and plots both the index lines (VIX and VXV as solid lines in our case) and the derivatives (VIXY and VIXM as dotted lines in our case) with the line graphs offset by the number of sessions between the buy and sell. The gap you see represents the contango / backwardation the derivative roll trades are experiencing and gives you an idea how much movement has to happen for that gap to widen, contract or even invert. The background gets painted red in periods of backwardation (when the longer term futures cost less than when sold as short term futures).
Fortunately indexes are calibrated to the same underlying factors, so their values relative to each other are meaningful (ie VXV of 18 and VIX of 15 are based on the same calculation on premiums for S&P500 symbols, with VXV being normally higher for time value). That means the indexes graph well without and adjustments needed. Unfortunately derivatives suffer contango / backwardation at different rates so the value of VIXY vs VIXM isn't really meaningful (VIXY may take a reverse split one year while VIXM doesn't) ... what is meaningful is their relative change in value day to day. So I have included a "front month multiplier" which can be used to get the front month line "moved up or down" on the screen so it can be compared to the back month.
As a practical matter, I have come to hide the lines for the derivatives (like VIXY and VIXM) and just focus on the gap changes between the indexes which gives me an idea of what is going on in the market and what contango/backwardation pressure is likely to exist next week.
Hope it is useful to you.
Cerca negli script per "Futures"
ConeCastConeCast is a forward-looking projection indicator that visualizes a future price range (or "cone") based on recent trend momentum and adaptive volatility. Unlike lagging bands or reactive channels, this tool plots a predictive zone 3–50 bars ahead, allowing traders to anticipate potential price behavior rather than merely react to it.
How It Works
The core of ConeCast is a dynamic trend-slope engine derived from a Linear Regression line fitted over a user-defined lookback window. The slope of this trend is projected forward, and the cone’s width adapts based on real-time market volatility. In calm markets, the cone is narrow and focused. In volatile regimes, it expands proportionally, using an ATR-based % of price to scale.
Key Features
📈 Predictive Cone Zone: Visualizes a forward range using trend slope × volatility width.
🔄 Auto-Adaptive Volatility Scaling: Expands or contracts based on market quiet/chaotic states.
📊 Regime Detection: Identifies Bull, Bear, or Neutral states using a tunable slope threshold.
🧭 Multi-Timeframe Compatible: Slope and volatility can be calculated from higher timeframes.
🔔 Smart Alerts: Detects price entering the cone, and signals trend regime changes in real time.
🖼️ Clean Visual Output: Optionally includes outer cones, trend-trail marker, and dashboard label.
How to Use It
Use on 15m–4H charts for best forward visibility.
Look for price entering the cone as a potential trend continuation setup.
Monitor regime changes and volatility expansion to filter choppy market zones.
Tune the slope sensitivity and ATR multiplier to match your symbol's behavior.
Use outer cones to anticipate aggressive swings and wick traps.
What Makes It Unique
ConeCast doesn’t follow price — it predicts a possible future price envelope using trend + volatility math, without relying on lagging indicators or repainting logic. It's a hybrid of regression-based forecasting and dynamic risk zoning, designed for swing traders, scalpers, and algo developers alike.
Limitations
ConeCast projects based on current trend and volatility — it does not "know" future price. Like all projection tools, accuracy depends on trend persistence and market conditions. Use this in combination with confirmation signals and risk management.
Quarterly Cycle Theory with DST time AdjustedThe Quarterly Theory removes ambiguity, as it gives specific time-based reference points to look for when entering trades. Before being able to apply this theory to trading, one must first understand that time is fractal:
Yearly Quarters = 4 quarters of three months each.
Monthly Quarters = 4 quarters of one week each.
Weekly Quarters = 4 quarters of one day each (Monday - Thursday). Friday has its own specific function.
Daily Quarters = 4 quarters of 6 hours each = 4 trading sessions of a trading day.
Sessions Quarters = 4 quarters of 90 minutes each.
90 Minute Quarters = 4 quarters of 22.5 minutes each.
Yearly Cycle: Analogously to financial quarters, the year is divided in four sections of three months each:
Q1 - January, February, March.
Q2 - April, May, June (True Open, April Open).
Q3 - July, August, September.
Q4 - October, November, December.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (daily candles) — Monthly Cycle.
Monthly Cycle: Considering that we have four weeks in a month, we start the cycle on the first month’s Monday (regardless of the calendar Day):
Q1 - Week 1: first Monday of the month.
Q2 - Week 2: second Monday of the month (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price).
Q3 - Week 3: third Monday of the month.
Q4 - Week 4: fourth Monday of the month.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (4 hour candles) — Weekly Cycle.
Weekly Cycle: Daye determined that although the trading week is composed by 5 trading days, we should ignore Friday, and the small portion of Sunday’s price action:
Q1 - Monday.
Q2 - Tuesday (True Open, Daily Candle Open Price).
Q3 - Wednesday.
Q4 - Thursday.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (1 hour candles) — Daily Cycle.
Daily Cycle: The Day can be broken down into 6 hour quarters. These times roughly define the sessions of the trading day, reinforcing the theory’s validity:
Q1 - 18:00 - 00:00 Asia.
Q2 - 00:00 - 06:00 London (True Open).
Q3 - 06:00 - 12:00 NY AM.
Q4 - 12:00 - 18:00 NY PM.
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (15 minute candles) — 6 Hour Cycle.
6 Hour Quarters or 90 Minute Cycle / Sessions divided into four sections of 90 minutes each (EST/EDT):
Asian Session
Q1 - 18:00 - 19:30
Q2 - 19:30 - 21:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 21:00 - 22:30
Q4 - 22:30 - 00:00
London Session
Q1 - 00:00 - 01:30
Q2 - 01:30 - 03:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 03:00 - 04:30
Q4 - 04:30 - 06:00
NY AM Session
Q1 - 06:00 - 07:30
Q2 - 07:30 - 09:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 09:00 - 10:30
Q4 - 10:30 - 12:00
NY PM Session
Q1 - 12:00 - 13:30
Q2 - 13:30 - 15:00 (True Open)
Q3 - 15:00 - 16:30
Q4 - 16:30 - 18:00
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (5 minute candles) — 90 Minute Cycle.
Micro Cycles: Dividing the 90 Minute Cycle yields 22.5 Minute Quarters, also known as Micro Sessions or Micro Quarters:
Asian Session
Q1/1 18:00:00 - 18:22:30
Q2 18:22:30 - 18:45:00
Q3 18:45:00 - 19:07:30
Q4 19:07:30 - 19:30:00
Q2/1 19:30:00 - 19:52:30 (True Session Open)
Q2/2 19:52:30 - 20:15:00
Q2/3 20:15:00 - 20:37:30
Q2/4 20:37:30 - 21:00:00
Q3/1 21:00:00 - 21:23:30
etc. 21:23:30 - 21:45:00
London Session
00:00:00 - 00:22:30 (True Daily Open)
00:22:30 - 00:45:00
00:45:00 - 01:07:30
01:07:30 - 01:30:00
01:30:00 - 01:52:30 (True Session Open)
01:52:30 - 02:15:00
02:15:00 - 02:37:30
02:37:30 - 03:00:00
03:00:00 - 03:22:30
03:22:30 - 03:45:00
03:45:00 - 04:07:30
04:07:30 - 04:30:00
04:30:00 - 04:52:30
04:52:30 - 05:15:00
05:15:00 - 05:37:30
05:37:30 - 06:00:00
New York AM Session
06:00:00 - 06:22:30
06:22:30 - 06:45:00
06:45:00 - 07:07:30
07:07:30 - 07:30:00
07:30:00 - 07:52:30 (True Session Open)
07:52:30 - 08:15:00
08:15:00 - 08:37:30
08:37:30 - 09:00:00
09:00:00 - 09:22:30
09:22:30 - 09:45:00
09:45:00 - 10:07:30
10:07:30 - 10:30:00
10:30:00 - 10:52:30
10:52:30 - 11:15:00
11:15:00 - 11:37:30
11:37:30 - 12:00:00
New York PM Session
12:00:00 - 12:22:30
12:22:30 - 12:45:00
12:45:00 - 13:07:30
13:07:30 - 13:30:00
13:30:00 - 13:52:30 (True Session Open)
13:52:30 - 14:15:00
14:15:00 - 14:37:30
14:37:30 - 15:00:00
15:00:00 - 15:22:30
15:22:30 - 15:45:00
15:45:00 - 15:37:30
15:37:30 - 16:00:00
16:00:00 - 16:22:30
16:22:30 - 16:45:00
16:45:00 - 17:07:30
17:07:30 - 18:00:00
S&P 500 E-mini Futures (30 second candles) — 22.5 Minute Cycle.
Volatility Arbitrage Spread Oscillator Model (VASOM)The Volatility Arbitrage Spread Oscillator Model (VASOM) is a systematic approach to capitalizing on price inefficiencies in the VIX futures term structure. By analyzing the differential between front-month and second-month VIX futures contracts, we employ a momentum-based oscillator (Relative Strength Index, RSI) to signal potential market reversion opportunities. Our research builds upon existing financial literature on volatility risk premia and contango/backwardation dynamics in the volatility markets (Zhang & Zhu, 2006; Alexander & Korovilas, 2012).
Volatility derivatives have become essential tools for managing risk and engaging in speculative trades (Whaley, 2009). The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX) measures the market’s expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility derived from S&P 500 option prices (CBOE, 2018). Term structures in VIX futures often exhibit contango or backwardation, depending on macroeconomic and market conditions (Alexander & Korovilas, 2012).
This strategy seeks to exploit the spread between the front-month and second-month VIX futures as a proxy for term structure dynamics. The spread’s momentum, quantified by the RSI, serves as a signal for entry and exit points, aligning with empirical findings on mean reversion in volatility markets (Zhang & Zhu, 2006).
• Entry Signal: When RSI_t falls below the user-defined threshold (e.g., 30), indicating a potential undervaluation in the spread.
• Exit Signal: When RSI_t exceeds a threshold (e.g., 70), suggesting mean reversion has occurred.
Empirical Justification
The strategy aligns with findings that suggest predictable patterns in volatility futures spreads (Alexander & Korovilas, 2012). Furthermore, the use of RSI leverages insights from momentum-based trading models, which have demonstrated efficacy in various asset classes, including commodities and derivatives (Jegadeesh & Titman, 1993).
References
• Alexander, C., & Korovilas, D. (2012). The Hazards of Volatility Investing. Journal of Alternative Investments, 15(2), 92-104.
• CBOE. (2018). The VIX White Paper. Chicago Board Options Exchange.
• Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
• Zhang, C., & Zhu, Y. (2006). Exploiting Predictability in Volatility Futures Spreads. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(6), 62-72.
• Whaley, R. E. (2009). Understanding the VIX. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 35(3), 98-105.
Codi's Perp-Spot Basis# Perp-Spot Basis Indicator
This indicator calculates the percentage basis between perpetual futures and spot prices for crypto assets. It is inspired by the original concept from **Krugermacro**, with the added improvement of **automatic detection of the asset pairs** based on the current chart symbol. This enhancement makes it faster and easier to apply across different assets without manual configuration.
## How It Works
The indicator compares the perpetual futures price (e.g., `BTCUSDT.P`) to the spot price (e.g., `BTCUSDT`) on Binance. The difference is expressed as a percentage: (Perp - Spot) / Spot * 100
The results are displayed in a color-coded graph:
- **Blue (Positive Basis):** Perpetual futures are trading at a premium, indicating **bullish sentiment** among derivatives traders.
- **Red (Negative Basis):** Perpetual futures are trading at a discount, indicating **bearish sentiment** among derivatives traders.
This percentage basis is a core component in understanding funding rates and derivatives market dynamics. It serves as a faster proxy for funding rates, which typically lag behind real-time price movements.
---
## How to Use It
### General Concept
- **Red (Negative Basis):** Ideal to execute **longs** when derivatives traders are overly bearish.
- **Blue (Positive Basis):** Ideal to execute **shorts** when derivatives traders are overly bullish.
### Pullback Sniping
1. During an **uptrend**:
- If the basis turns **red** temporarily, it can signal an opportunity to **buy the dip**.
2. During a **downtrend**:
- If the basis turns **blue** temporarily, it can signal an opportunity to **sell the rip**.
3. Wait for the basis to **pop back** (higher in uptrend, lower in downtrend) to time entries more effectively—this often coincides with **stop runs** or **liquidations**.
### Intraday Execution
- **When price is falling**:
- If the basis is **red**, the move is derivatives-led (**normal**).
- If the basis is **blue**, spot traders are leading, and perps are offside—wait for **price dumps** before longing.
- **When price is rising**:
- If the basis is **blue**, the move is derivatives-led (**normal**).
- If the basis is **red**, spot traders are leading, and perps are offside—wait for **price pops** before shorting.
### Larger Time Frames
- **Consistently Blue Basis:** Indicates a **bull market** as derivatives traders are bullish over the long term.
- **Consistently Red Basis:** Indicates a **bear market** as derivatives traders are bearish over the long term.
---
## Improvements Over the Original
This version of the Perp-Spot Basis indicator **automatically detects the Binance perpetual futures and spot pairs** based on the current chart symbol. For example:
- If you are viewing `ETHUSDT`, it automatically references `ETHUSDT.P` for the perpetual futures pair and `ETHUSDT` for the spot pair in BINANCE.
@tk · spectral█ OVERVIEW
This script is an indicator that helps traders to identify the price difference between spot and futures of the current crypto plotted into the chart. It works in both types of markets, when the chart is plotting the crypto in spot market, it will compare with its respective futures ticker and vice-versa. If the current asset isn't a crypt ticker, the indicator will not be plotted into the chart.
█ MOTIVATION
Since crypto's derivative market is based on spot market asset's price, to calculate the arbitrage mechanisms that attempts to balance the asset price, this indicator can help traders to identify some spot and futures price divergence that can create an anomaly of funding rate and can push it to an extreme negative — or positive — rate. So, easing to track the price difference between both markets will bring more evidences to identify an artificial price move, specially in crypto assets with low market cap.
█ CONCEPT
The trading concept to use this indicator is the concept of the arbitrage machamism created by exchanges that calculates the funding rate based on spot and futures price difference that will vary from exchange to exchange. This strategy don't works alone. It needs to be aligned together with others indicators like Exponential Moving Averages, Chart Patterns, Support and Resistance, and so on... Even more confluences that you have, bigger are your chances to increase the probability for a successful trade. So, don't use this indicator alone. Compose a trading strategy and use it to improve your analysis.
█ CUSTOMIZATION
This indicator allows the trader to customize the following settings:
GENERAL
Text size
Changes the font size of price difference table to improve accessibility.
Type: string
Options: `tiny`, `small`, `normal`, `large`.
Default: `small`
Position
Changes the position of price difference table.
Type: string
Options: `top_left`, `top_center`, `top_right`, `middle_left`, `middle_center`, `middle_right`, `bottom_left`, `bottom_center`, `bottom_right`.
Default: `bottom_right`
Pair Quote
The ticker quote symbol that will be used to base the ticker comparison from spot to futures (e.g. BTCUSDT which `USDT` is the quote. ETHBTC which `BTC` is the quote).
Type: string
Default: USDT
Spectrum Color
The color of the spectrum candles. Spectrum candles are the candles of the opposite market. If the current ticker is in the spot market, the spectrum candles will be the price of the futures market.
Type: color
Default: #434651
█ FUNCTIONS
The indicator contains the following functions:
stripStarts(src, str)
Strips a defined pattern from a string.
Parameters:
src: (string) Source string
str: (string) String pattern to be stripped from start of source string.
Returns: (string) Stripped string with matched regex pattern.
Open Interest Chart [LuxAlgo]The Open Interest Chart displays Commitments of Traders %change of futures open interest , with a unique circular plotting technique, inspired from this publication Periodic Ellipses .
🔶 USAGE
Open interest represents the total number of contracts that have been entered by market participants but have not yet been offset or delivered. This can be a direct indicator of market activity/liquidity, with higher open interest indicating a more active market.
Increasing open interest is highlighted in green on the circular plot, indicating money coming into the market, while decreasing open interests highlighted in red indicates money coming out of the market.
You can set up to 6 different Futures Open interest tickers for a quick follow up:
🔶 DETAILS
Circles are drawn, using plot() , with the functions createOuterCircle() (for the largest circle) and createInnerCircle() (for inner circles).
Following snippet will reload the chart, so the circles will remain at the right side of the chart:
if ta.change(chart.left_visible_bar_time ) or
ta.change(chart.right_visible_bar_time)
n := bar_index
Here is a snippet which will draw a 39-bars wide circle that will keep updating its position to the right.
//@version=5
indicator("")
n = bar_index
barsTillEnd = last_bar_index - n
if ta.change(chart.left_visible_bar_time ) or
ta.change(chart.right_visible_bar_time)
n := bar_index
createOuterCircle(radius) =>
var int end = na
var int start = na
var basis = 0.
barsFromNearestEdgeCircle = 0.
barsTillEndFromCircleStart = radius
startCylce = barsTillEnd % barsTillEndFromCircleStart == 0 // start circle
bars = ta.barssince(startCylce)
barsFromNearestEdgeCircle := barsTillEndFromCircleStart -1
basis := math.min(startCylce ? -1 : basis + 1 / barsFromNearestEdgeCircle * 2, 1) // 0 -> 1
shape = math.sqrt(1 - basis * basis)
rad = radius / 2
isOK = barsTillEnd <= barsTillEndFromCircleStart and barsTillEnd > 0
hi = isOK ? (rad + shape * radius) - rad : na
lo = isOK ? (rad - shape * radius) - rad : na
start := barsTillEnd == barsTillEndFromCircleStart ? n -1 : start
end := barsTillEnd == 0 ? start + radius : end
= createOuterCircle(40)
plot(h), plot(l)
🔶 LIMITATIONS
Due to the inability to draw between bars, from time to time, drawings can be slightly off.
Bar-replay can be demanding, since it has to reload on every bar progression. We don't recommend using this script on bar-replay. If you do, please choose the lowest speed and from time to time pause bar-replay for a second. You'll see the script gets reloaded.
🔶 SETTINGS
🔹 TICKERS
Toggle :
• Enabled -> uses the first column with a pre-filled list of Futures Open Interest tickers/symbols
• Disabled -> uses the empty field where you can enter your own ticker/symbol
Pre-filled list : the first column is filled with a list, so you can choose your open interest easily, otherwise you would see COT:088691_F_OI aka Gold Futures Open Interest for example.
If applicable, you will see 3 different COT data:
• COT: Legacy Commitments of Traders report data
• COT2: Disaggregated Commitments of Traders report data
• COT3: Traders in Financial Futures report data
Empty field : When needed, you can pick another ticker/symbol in the empty field at the right and disable the toggle.
Timeframe : Commitments of Traders (COT) data is tallied by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and is published weekly. Therefore data won't change every day.
Default set TF is Daily
🔹 STYLE
From middle:
• Enabled (default): Drawings start from the middle circle -> towards outer circle is + %change , towards middle of the circle is - %change
• Disabled: Drawings start from the middle POINT of the circle, towards outer circle is + OR -
-> in both options, + %change will be coloured green , - %change will be coloured red .
-> 0 %change will be coloured blue , and when no data is available, this will be coloured gray .
Size circle : options tiny, small, normal, large, huge.
Angle : Only applicable if "From middle" is disabled!
-> sets the angle of the spike:
Show Ticker : Name of ticker, as seen in table, will be added to labels.
Text - fill
• Sets colour for +/- %change
Table
• Sets 2 text colours, size and position
Circles
• Sets the colour of circles, style can be changed in the Style section.
You can make it as crazy as you want:
NSDT Custom High and Low LinesFirst, the credit for the original script to plot a High and Low between a certain time goes to developer paaax.
I took that idea, converted it to Pinescript V5, cleaned up the code, and added a few more lines so you can plot different levels based on time of day.
Published open source like the original.
The example shown has:
Blue - plotting from the start of the Futures Asian session to the start of the Futures USA Session. (6:00PM - 9:30AM Eastern)
Yellow - plotting from the start of the Futures Europe session to the start of the Futures USA Session. (3:00AM - 9:30AM Eastern)
Green - plotting from the start of the Futures US Premarket session to the start of the Futures USA Session. (8:00AM - 9:30AM Eastern)
These are great levels to use for breakouts and/or support and resistance.
Combine these levels with the 5 min Open Range levels, as you have some good trades.
Each of the three sessions have individual start and end times that can be modified by the trader, so you can easily mark off important areas for your style of trading.
MicroStrategy MetricsA script showing all the key MSTR metrics. I will update the script every time degen Saylor sells some more office furniture to buy BTC.
All based around valuing MSTR, aside from its BTC holdings. I.e. the true market cap = enterprise value - BTC holdings. Hence, you're left with the value of the software business + any premium/discount decided by investors.
From this we can derive:
- BTC Holdings % of enterprise value
- Correlation to BTC (in this case we use CME futures...may change this)
- Equivalent Share Price (true market cap divided by shares outstanding)
- P/E Ratio (equivalent share price divided by quarterly EPS estimates x 4)
- Price to FCF Ratio (true market cap divided by FCF (ttm))
- Price to Revenue (^ but with total revenue (ttm))
Open Interest Auto SpaceManBTCOpen Interest Auto SpaceManBTC
This is an extension to the script, it aims to provide the data in a less hands on way by providing the basis for automatic calculation on which symbol the data is being pulled from.
Changelog:
Automatic Data retrieval on a percoin basis.
Ability to hide or show symbol.
Coloring choices for the user.
BTC Contango IndexInspired by a Twitter post by Byzantine General:
This is a script that shows the contango between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin to identify overbought and oversold conditions. Contango and backwardation are terms used to define the structure of the forward curve. When a market is in contango, the forward price of a futures contract is higher than the spot price. Conversely, when a market is in backwardation, the forward price of the futures contract is lower than the spot price.
The aggregate prices on top exchanges are taken and then averaged to obtain a Spot Average and a Futures Average. The script then plots (Futures Average/Spot Average) - 1 to illustrate the percent difference (contango) between spot and futures prices of Bitcoin.
When in contango, Bitcoin may be overbought.
When in backwardation, Bitcoin may be oversold.
_CM_COT Commercial Net Interest_Upper_V1Overview.
-This is the Beginning of a Educational Series from Jake Bernstein to the TradingView Community.
-Many Traders use the COT Data Incorrectly.
-Jake Discovered if You Look at the Net Commercials and Take Note When Commercials net Buying is Either At All Time Highs, Or Net Buying = Longest Period of Buying Look for an Extreme Move To the Upside.
-In The Future We Will Show Precise Entry Signals…But a Basic Entry Signal Is When Commercials Go From Net Long to Net Short.
-Full Credit in Methodology goes to Jake Bernstein at www.Trade-Futures.com and www.2Chimps.net
Thought Process:
-Commercials Represent Large (Typically Billion Dollar) Companies.
-Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying at Record High
-Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying For Record Long Periods of Time
***Note…Commercials Can Buy For Extended Periods Dollar Cost Averaging…
***Basic Entry Listed In Overview.
***More Precise Entries Will Be Introduced Soon.
Indicator Shows Net Commercials
-Full Credit goes to Greeny for Creating Original Code. I only made slight modifications.
Modifications include
-Added Ability to Plot Text Entries when Commercials Switch From Net Long To Short
-Added Optional Background Highlighting when Commercials Switch from Long to Short
-Added Optional Alert Capability If Commercials Go From Net Long to Short
***Additional Indicators and Updates Coming Soon
***Link To Lower Indicator:
_CM_COT Commercial Net Interest_V1Overview.
-This is the Beginning of a Educational Series from Jake Bernstein to the TradingView Community.
-Many Traders use the COT Data Incorrectly.
-Jake Discovered if You Look at the Net Commercials and Take Note When Commercials net Buying is Either At All Time Highs, Or Net Buying = Longest Period of Buying Look for an Extreme Move To the Upside.
-In The Future We Will Show Precise Entry Signals…But a Basic Entry Signal Is When Commercials Go From Net Long to Net Short.
-Full Credit in Methodology goes to Jake Bernstein at www.Trade-Futures.com and www.2Chimps.net
Thought Process:
-Commercials Represent Large (Typically Billion Dollar) Companies.
-Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying at Record High
-Take Note - When Commercials Are Buying For Record Long Periods of Time
***Note…Commercials Can Buy For Extended Periods Dollar Cost Averaging…
***Basic Entry Listed In Overview.
***More Precise Entries Will Be Introduced Soon.
Indicator Shows Net Commercials
-Full Credit goes to Greeny for Creating Original Code. I only made slight modifications.
Modifications include
-Took Off Net Long and Short Individual Plots
-Added Optional Background Highlighting when Commercials Switch from Long to Short
-Added Optional Alert Capability If Commercials Go From Net Long to Short
-Ability to Show INVERSE - This makes it Easier for some Traders to See…Since the Signals look similar to MacD/RSI Type Indicators.
***Additional Indicators and Updates Coming Soon
***Link To Upper Indicator:
Market Clock with Inline HoursThis script displays a powerful, configurable market session clock that shows the open/closed status and trading hours for major global financial markets — including specialized logic for NY Futures (Globex).
🔑 Key Features:
✅ Real-Time Session Status:
Shows whether each selected market is currently OPEN or CLOSED, based on the user’s selected time zone.
✅ NY Futures Weekend Logic:
Built-in logic ensures NY Futures are marked CLOSED:
Friday after 5:00 PM ET
All of Saturday
Sunday until 6:00 PM ET
This reflects the true CME Globex trading schedule.
✅ 12-Hour Format + Timezone Labels:
Session hours are displayed in 12-hour AM/PM format alongside their associated timezone (EST, GMT, JST, etc.) for clarity.
✅ Fully Configurable Markets:
You can choose to display:
NY Market (RTH)
NY Futures (Globex)
London
Tokyo
Frankfurt
And you can easily toggle them on/off in the settings.
✅ Text Size & Position Customization:
Easily control the text size (tiny → huge) and screen position (top/bottom, left/center/right).
✅ Auto Timezone Offset Support:
Select from a list of common time zones (EST, UTC, JST, etc.), or enter your own custom UTC offset for global flexibility.
✅ Compact & Clean Design:
The layout groups each market’s:
Real-time OPEN/CLOSED status
Trading hours
All into a single column, making the layout clean and dashboard-ready.
🧠 Who is this for?
Day traders
Futures traders
Forex traders
Anyone who tracks multiple time zones or global markets
📌 Notes:
Clock updates based on chart timeframe (e.g., every 1m on a 1-minute chart)
Pine Script doesn't support real-time per-second updates, but works well for market status tracking
💬 Feedback Welcome!
This script was designed to be lightweight and user-friendly. Suggestions and improvements are always welcome — feel free to leave a comment or reach out directly.
G&S SMT### Description of the Pine Script
This Pine Script is designed to identify **Smart Money Technique (SMT)** setups between **Gold (GC1!)** and **Silver (SI1!) Futures** on a **15-minute timeframe**. It specifically looks for divergences between the price movements of Gold and Silver over the last 4 candles and compares it with the next candle's price movement. The script provides **Bullish** and **Bearish** signals for SMT during a specified time range of **8:45 AM EST to 10:30 AM EST**.
### Key Features of the Script:
1. **Futures Symbols**:
- The script uses **Gold Futures (GC1!)** and **Silver Futures (SI1!)** on a 15-minute timeframe to monitor their price movements.
2. **Time Range Filtering**:
- The signals are only active between **8:45 AM EST and 10:30 AM EST**, ensuring that the script only signals within the most relevant trading hours for your strategy.
3. **SMT Calculation (Last 4 Candles vs Next Candle)**:
- **Gold and Silver Price Change Calculation**: The script compares the price changes of **Gold** and **Silver** over the **last 4 candles** and then compares them with the price movement of the **next candle**:
- **Bullish SMT**: Occurs when Gold shows an increase in the last 4 candles while Silver shows a decrease, and both Gold and Silver show an increase in the next candle.
- **Bearish SMT**: Occurs when Gold shows a decrease in the last 4 candles while Silver shows an increase, and both Gold and Silver show a decrease in the next candle.
4. **Bullish and Bearish Signals**:
- **Bullish SMT Signal**: The script will plot a **green** arrow below the bar when a Bullish SMT setup is identified.
- **Bearish SMT Signal**: A **red** arrow above the bar is plotted when a Bearish SMT setup is identified.
5. **Gold and Silver Difference Plot**:
- The difference between the prices of **Gold** and **Silver** is plotted as a **blue line**, giving a visual representation of the relationship between the two assets. When the difference line moves significantly, it can indicate a potential divergence or convergence in the prices of Gold and Silver.
### Script Logic Breakdown:
1. **Price Change for Last 4 Candles**:
- The script calculates the price change for Gold and Silver from the 4th-to-last candle to the last candle.
- `gold_change_last4` and `silver_change_last4` calculate these price differences.
2. **Price Change for Next Candle**:
- It then calculates the price change from the last candle to the next candle.
- `gold_change_next` and `silver_change_next` calculate these price differences.
3. **Bullish SMT Condition**:
- If Gold increased while Silver decreased in the last 4 candles, and both Gold and Silver show an increase in the next candle, it indicates a **Bullish SMT**.
4. **Bearish SMT Condition**:
- If Gold decreased while Silver increased in the last 4 candles, and both Gold and Silver show a decrease in the next candle, it indicates a **Bearish SMT**.
5. **Time Filter**:
- Signals are only plotted when the current time is between **8:45 AM EST and 10:30 AM EST** to match your preferred trading hours.
### Visualization:
- **Bullish Signals**: Plotted as **green arrows** below the bars when a Bullish SMT setup is identified.
- **Bearish Signals**: Plotted as **red arrows** above the bars when a Bearish SMT setup is identified.
- **Gold - Silver Difference**: A **blue line** is plotted to show the price difference between Gold and Silver, helping visualize any divergence.
### How It Helps:
- **Divergence Identification**: This script highlights potential divergences between Gold and Silver Futures, which can provide insights into market sentiment and smart money movements.
- **Focus on Relevant Time Frame**: By filtering signals between 8:45 AM EST and 10:30 AM EST, you are focusing on a timeframe that can be more beneficial for trading.
- **Visual Clarity**: The arrows and the price difference line provide clear signals and a visual representation of the relationship between Gold and Silver, helping you make informed trading decisions.
This script is an automated approach to detecting **SMT setups** and helping traders recognize when Gold and Silver might be signaling a bullish or bearish move based on their divergence patterns.
Price and OI ChangePrice and OI Change
Description:
The "Price and OI Change" indicator provides insights into market dynamics by analyzing the price and open interest (OI) changes over a 7-day period. This indicator is designed for use with both spot and futures markets, including cryptocurrencies.
Key Features:
Price and OI Change Calculation: Computes the 7-day change in price and open interest to help identify market trends and shifts.
Market Conditions Visualization: Differentiates market conditions by changing the background color based on:
Leverage-Driven Market: Blue background indicates increasing prices and OI, suggesting a bullish trend driven by leverage.
Spot-Driven Market: Green background shows increasing prices but decreasing OI, indicating a bullish trend driven by spot market activity.
Leverage Sell-Off: Orange background reveals decreasing prices with increasing OI, signaling a potential liquidation phase.
Deleveraging Sell-Off: Red background reflects decreasing prices and OI, indicating a bearish market with reduced leverage.
Top 3 BTC Futures Average OI: Displays the average open interest for the top 3 BTC futures contracts from major exchanges (Binance, OKX, Bybit). This helps gauge overall market sentiment and liquidity.
Visualization Tools: Includes optional plotting of open interest data and average OI for better visualization of market conditions.
Usage:
Traders and Analysts: Use the background color changes and average OI to make informed decisions about market entry and exit points.
Futures Traders: Track OI changes in major BTC futures to assess market strength and potential liquidity issues.
PVSRA Candles Auto OverrideWhat does this “PVSRA Candles Auto Override” Indicator
do?
This indicator automates PVSRA analysis for crypto traders. It finds the corresponding Binance Perpetual Futures chart for the current instrument, then replaces the current chart's volume profile with the perpetual futures data (if available) to ensure the PVSRA calculation uses the most relevant volume. This not only reduces human error during market scans but also automatically selects the appropriate Binance Perpetual Futures contract, saving time and improving the accuracy of PVSRA calculations.
How can a trader use this indicator?
This helps the trader to identify if there is volume data available in an equivalent Binance Perpetual Futures chart and automatically displays it, making it easier to switch coins whilst viewing the market. Why do we want to use Binance Perpetual Futures Volume? In most markets Binance volume surpasses those of other crypto exchanges so this will give us a better view on the volume spikes in the market.
What is PVSRA and how can I trade using this indicator?
PVSRA candles are a type of candlestick chart formatting. PVSRA stands for Price, Volume, Support and Resistance Analysis.
Here's a breakdown of what PVSRA candles aim to achieve:
Combine multiple factors: They take into account price movement, trading volume, and support and resistance levels to identify potential trading opportunities.
Highlight potential imbalances: By color-coding candles based on PVSRA analysis, they aim to show areas of high volume activity, potentially representing imbalances created by market makers (large institutions that influence price).
Identify areas of revisit: The theory is that these high-volume zones may be revisited by the market in the future, as there's "unrecovered liquidity" in those areas.
Usage of the Indicator:
By default the indicator will automatically use the Equivalent Binance Perpetual Chart for the Data
You can override the symbol manually if you what to view another instrument’s data.
Ultimate P&L IndicatorHello everyone,
Excited to release this P&L Indicator! Read below for more details.
What it does:
This is an indicator that permits you to track your active P&L live on Tradingview. As well, it provides some insight into DCAing your position by giving you live estimates of your revised DCA if you were to add to your position at various targets/price points.
Who is it for:
I developed it because I trade 100% off of Tradingview but my broker does not support Tradingview integration. So I wanted a way to track my position live on the Tradingview platform without having to constantly reference my broker. I also wanted to be able to set position specific alerts right on Tradingview.
How does it work:
It works by the user manually inputting their trade information, including their DCA, position size and the date and time of position entry. The indicator can provide real time and live DCA adjusted estimates if you were to add to your position at the current stock price, or you can manually calculcate your revised DCA at a specific price target.
The indicator also displays your current and past performance on your position for the duration of the position period:
Elements:
Capabilities:
The indicator is compatible with both futures and share trading.
Option trading is not directly available, however, you can get an idea for your option position P&L by following the 1 option contract = 100 share rule.
So if you have 5 option contracts that you bought at a ticker price of, say, 38$, your average cost or DCA would be 38 and your position size would be 500. This will not be 100% accurate, but will be close enough to give you a feel for your active P&L.
If you are trading futures, you will need to select "Futures Trading" and specify the TIck and Index costs. A cheat sheet has been provided in the tool tip for ES, Oil and MNQ. The default is set for ES1! mini futures at 0.25 ticks per 50$.
Important tips:
1. Select the date and time of your position (optional): This is optional but will provide you with the clearest and most accurate review of how your position has performed, including the highest and lowest (drawdown).
2. Select whether it is a share position or a futures position (this is required).
3. Select whether it is a long or short position (this is required).
4. Input your DCA and position size (this is required).
5. Most importantly, select the ticker your position is based in!
I have also prepared a quick start video which is linked below:
As always, please let me know your comments/questions and feedback for the indicator.
Thanks for checking it out and safe trades everyone!
HPI for crypto [ptt]The Herrick Payoff Index is designed to show the amount of money flowing into or out of a futures contract.
This indicator uses open interest (from Binance PERP like this BTCUSDTPERP_OI) from during its calculations, therefore, the pairs being analyzed must contain open interest data on Binance.
The indicator only works with USDT pairs! Like RVNUSDT, BTCUSDT... does not work with USD pairs!
The indicator works in two mode.
Index mode - when the values moving 0-100
In this case, if the value below 10, it shows the money is flowing out of the futures contract and near the local bottom. If the value above 90, it shows the money is flowing into the futures contract and near the local top.
(The two trigger can be modified, the default is low:10 and high:90)
Oscillator mode - when the values moving around the origo (0)
In this case, if the value above 0 (green), it shows the money is flowing into the futures contract, this is bullish
If the value below 0 (red), it shows the money is flowing out of the futures contract, this is bearish
BTC Coinbase PremiumThis script is base on another script by oh 92.
It basically shows you where the price of Bitcoin (in USD) on Coinbase trades at a premium against an average of several futures exchanges.
Coinbase premium shows spot interest on bitcoin which happens either when futures are shorting heavily but spot holds the price up (often bullish especially when price is at a support level).
Negative premium shows that futures are leading price during an uptrend or spot is leading price during a downtrend.
Strong positive premium is often considered bullish.
Strong negative premium is often considered bearish even if price goes up.
The histogramm coinbase premium vs an average of several futures exchanges (Bitmex, Bitfinex, Binance, FTX, Phemex and Bitstamp).
The line diagramm shows coinbase premium vs Bybit.
In contrast to the script by oh92 this script uses different exchages (especially Bybit as a lot of former Bitmex traders changed to Bybit during september and october 2020).
All values are in percent because differences in USD only are not suitable for historic prices. This means if CB-premium is -0.1 then futures trade 0.1% lower than coinbase.
BitMEX KairiBitMEX Kairi
# Abstract
This script shows the divergence between BTC futures price and BTC actuals price of bitFlyer FX and BitMEX in percentage.
Usually, when people bought it or sold it too much on futures , the divergence between actuals and futures are getting expanding.
I believe this is really useful to find when the conversion of the trend happens.
Also supports USDT divergence too. If you wish to enable USDT mode, please check "Show only USDT divergence (Poloniex)" on the settings menu.
Enjoy :)
# Supports:
- BitMEX BTC Futures 3mo (orange)
- BitMEX BTC Futures 6mo (red)
- bitFlyer FX (blue)
- USDTUSD (Poloniex)
# Disclaimer:
This is a free script. Feedbacks are welcome! But I don't have any responsibility when this script has broken or something went wrong.
PumpC Opening Range Breakout (ORB) 5min Range📄 PumpC ORB 5-Minute Opening Range Breakout Indicator
✨ Overview
The PumpC ORB 5-Minute Opening Range Breakout indicator captures early session price action by tracking the high, low, and open of a defined 5-minute window at market open (customized for Futures or Stocks).
It plots breakout levels, extension targets, average range calculations, volume tracking, and provides visual and table-based data summaries.
This indicator is designed for traders seeking a complete, clean visualization of Opening Range Breakouts (ORB) with flexible customization.
⚙️ Main Features
Opening Range Box (ORB Box) Draws a box around the high and low of the first 5-minute session (8:30–8:35 ET for Futures, 9:30–9:35 ET for Stocks). Box extends from the session open to the session close (4:00 PM ET). Option to enable/disable historical boxes. Box color and opacity are customizable. Core ORB Levels Open Level: Plots the open price of the 5-minute ORB window. ORB Levels: Plots breakout levels at multiples: +0.5x the range +1.5x the range (customizable factor) Each level has independent color settings and visibility toggles. Option to show or hide historic extension levels. Table Display Compact table in the top-right corner showing: ORB ATR (average range) ORB ATR in ticks Today's ORB range ORB Volume ATR (average volume during ORB) Today's ORB Volume Volume is formatted automatically into "K" (thousands) or "M" (millions) for readability. Background Highlights After the ORB window closes: Blue highlight if today's ORB range is greater than the 10-day ATR average. Orange highlight if today's ORB range is smaller than the 10-day ATR average. Helps quickly assess relative strength or weakness compared to historical behavior. Alerts Breakout Confirmations: Fires when price closes above ORB High or below ORB Low. Fallout Traps: Alerts when price wick crosses ORB High/Low but closes back inside the range. Alerts use clean titles and simple messages for easy identification.
🔧 Inputs and Customization
Mode Toggle: Choose between Futures (8:30 ET open) or Stocks (9:30 ET open). Show/Hide Labels: Control label visibility for ORB and extension levels. Line Width Control: Customize thickness for ORB lines and extension levels. ORB Level Level Visibility: Independently enable or disable each extension line. Table Appearance: Customize table background color, font color, and padding. ORB Box Settings: Customize box color and control whether historical boxes are drawn.
📚 How to Use
Select Mode: Choose Futures or Stocks depending on your instrument. Observe the Opening Range: Focus on the ORB High and ORB Low during the first 5 minutes after the open. Monitor Breakouts: Breakout alerts will fire when price closes outside the ORB range, signaling potential continuation. Watch for Fallout Traps: Fallout alerts signal when price briefly wicks above/below but closes back inside the ORB range. Use Table Metrics: Instantly compare today's ORB range and volume versus historical averages to assess session strength or weakness.
🛡️ Notes
Best used on the 1-minute or 5-minute chart for intraday trading. Ensure your TradingView chart time zone is set to New York for correct functioning. Alerts must be manually configured after adding the indicator to your chart.
TASC 2025.05 Trading The Channel█ OVERVIEW
This script implements channel-based trading strategies based on the concepts explained by Perry J. Kaufman in the article "A Test Of Three Approaches: Trading The Channel" from the May 2025 edition of TASC's Traders' Tips . The script explores three distinct trading methods for equities and futures using information from a linear regression channel. Each rule set corresponds to different market behaviors, offering flexibility for trend-following, breakout, and mean-reversion trading styles.
█ CONCEPTS
Linear regression
Linear regression is a model that estimates the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables by fitting a straight line to the observed data. In the context of financial time series, traders often use linear regression to estimate trends in price movements over time.
The slope of the linear regression line indicates the strength and direction of the price trend. For example, a larger positive slope indicates a stronger upward trend, and a larger negative slope indicates the opposite. Traders can look for shifts in the direction of a linear regression slope to identify potential trend trading signals, and they can analyze the magnitude of the slope to support trading decisions.
One caveat to linear regression is that most financial time series data does not follow a straight line, meaning a regression line cannot perfectly describe the relationships between values. Prices typically fluctuate around a regression line to some degree. As such, analysts often project ranges above and below regression lines, creating channels to model the expected extent of the data's variability. This strategy constructs a channel based on the method used in Kaufman's article. It measures the maximum distances from points on the linear regression line to historical price values, then adds those distances and the current slope to the regression points.
Depending on the trading style, traders might look for prices to move outside an established channel for breakout signals, or they might look for price action to reach extremes within the channel for potential mean reversion opportunities.
█ STRATEGY CALCULATIONS
Primary trade rules
This strategy implements three distinct sets of rules for trend, breakout, and mean-reversion trades based on the methods Kaufman describes in his article:
Trade the trend (Rule 1) : Open new positions when the sign of the slope changes, indicating a potential trend reversal. Close short trades and enter a long trade when the slope changes from negative to positive, and do the opposite when the slope changes from positive to negative.
Trade channel breakouts (Rule 2) : Open new positions when prices cross outside the linear regression channel for the current sample. Close short trades and enter a long trade when the price moves above the channel, and do the opposite when the price moves below the channel.
Trade within the channel (Rule 3) : Open new positions based on price values within the channel's range. Close short trades and enter a long trade when the price is near the channel's low, within a specified percentage of the channel's range, and do the opposite when the price is near the channel's high. With this rule, users can also filter the trades based on the channel's slope. When the filter is active, long positions are allowed only when the slope is positive, and short positions are allowed only when it is negative.
Position sizing
Kaufman's strategy uses specific trade sizes for equities and futures markets:
For an equities symbol, the number of shares traded is $10,000 divided by the current price.
For a futures symbol, the number of contracts traded is based on a volatility-adjusted formula that divides $25,000 by the product of the 20-bar average true range and the instrument's point value.
By default, this script automatically uses these sizes for its trade simulation on equities and futures symbols and does not simulate trading on other symbols. However, users can control position sizes from the "Settings/Properties" tab and enable trade simulation on other symbol types by selecting the "Manual" option in the script's "Position sizing" input.
Stop-loss
This strategy includes the option to place an accompanying stop-loss order for each trade, which users can enable from the "SL %" input in the "Settings/Inputs" tab. When enabled, the strategy places a stop-loss order at a specified percentage distance from the closing price where the entry order occurs, allowing users to compare how the strategy performs with added loss protection.
█ USAGE
This strategy adapts its display logic for the three trading approaches based on the rule selected in the "Trade rule" input:
For all rules, the script plots the linear regression slope in a separate pane. The plot is color-coded to indicate whether the current slope is positive or negative.
When the selected rule is "Trade the trend", the script plots triangles in the separate pane to indicate when the slope's direction changes from positive to negative or vice versa. Additionally, it plots a color-coded SMA on the main chart pane, allowing visual comparison of the slope to directional changes in a moving average.
When the rule is "Trade channel breakouts" or "Trade within the channel", the script draws the current period's linear regression channel on the main chart pane, and it plots bands representing the history of the channel values from the specified start time onward.
When the rule is "Trade within the channel", the script plots overbought and oversold zones between the bands based on a user-specified percentage of the channel range to indicate the value ranges where new trades are allowed.
Users can customize the strategy's calculations with the following additional inputs in the "Settings/Inputs" tab:
Start date : Sets the date and time when the strategy begins simulating trades. The script marks the specified point on the chart with a gray vertical line. The plots for rules 2 and 3 display the bands and trading zones from this point onward.
Period : Specifies the number of bars in the linear regression channel calculation. The default is 40.
Linreg source : Specifies the source series from which to calculate the linear regression values. The default is "close".
Range source : Specifies whether the script uses the distances from the linear regression line to closing prices or high and low prices to determine the channel's upper and lower ranges for rules 2 and 3. The default is "close".
Zone % : The percentage of the channel's overall range to use for trading zones with rule 3. The default is 20, meaning the width of the upper and lower zones is 20% of the range.
SL% : If the checkbox is selected, the strategy adds a stop-loss to each trade at the specified percentage distance away from the closing price where the entry order occurs. The checkbox is deselected by default, and the default percentage value is 5.
Position sizing : Determines whether the strategy uses Kaufman's predefined trade sizes ("Auto") or allows user-defined sizes from the "Settings/Properties" tab ("Manual"). The default is "Auto".
Long trades only : If selected, the strategy does not allow short positions. It is deselected by default.
Trend filter : If selected, the strategy filters positions for rule 3 based on the linear regression slope, allowing long positions only when the slope is positive and short positions only when the slope is negative. It is deselected by default.
NOTE: Because of this strategy's trading rules, the simulated results for a specific symbol or channel configuration might have significantly fewer than 100 trades. For meaningful results, we recommend adjusting the start date and other parameters to achieve a reasonable number of closed trades for analysis.
Additionally, this strategy does not specify commission and slippage amounts by default, because these values can vary across market types. Therefore, we recommend setting realistic values for these properties in the "Cost simulation" section of the "Settings/Properties" tab.
