3-Signal Directional Trend Strategy for E-MinisThis is a conceptual strategy intended for E-mini S&P 500 futures with hourly bars.
It uses three signals, going long or short when two or more change in the same direction.
First is MACD. A positive oscillator is considered a bullish signal and a falling oscillator is interpreted bearishly.
Next, stochastics are used as an overbought/oversold indicator. Overbought conditions are considered bearish and oversold readings are viewed as bullish.
Third is a custom indicator based on our Moving Average Speed script. It takes the rate of change of the 50-hour simple moving average (SMA), and then smooths it using a 10-period average. This provides a directional signal.
Traders may want to experiment with different settings for moving average speed.
Note: This is intended for use with stock index futures, which have round-the clock price data to populate the data in the indicators. It may not yield good results with stocks or ETFs.
TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more.
Important Information
TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means.
This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates.
Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
Cerca negli script per "Futures"
BB_MDL_V1Simple indicator that is based on the average line of the bollinger bands and the exponential average of 200 periods.
The customizable variable is bollinger bands length, currently the default is 35, you can tweak it to your liking and see how trend identification changes.
My recommendation is to work in 5-minute time frames in values such as SOL, FTM or MASK (cryptos)
This simple strategy can be combined with many others to gain more insight and get better market entries and exits.
BSM OPM 1973 w/ Continuous Dividend Yield [Loxx]Generalized Black-Scholes-Merton w/ Analytical Greeks is an adaptation of the Black-Scholes-Merton Option Pricing Model including Analytical Greeks and implied volatility calculations. The following information is an excerpt from Espen Gaarder Haug's book "Option Pricing Formulas". The options sensitivities (Greeks) are the partial derivatives of the Black-Scholes-Merton ( BSM ) formula. Analytical Greeks for our purposes here are broken down into various categories:
Delta Greeks: Delta, DDeltaDvol, Elasticity
Gamma Greeks: Gamma, GammaP, DGammaDSpot/speed, DGammaDvol/Zomma
Vega Greeks: Vega , DVegaDvol/Vomma, VegaP
Theta Greeks: Theta
Rate/Carry Greeks: Rho, Rho futures option, Carry Rho, Phi/Rho2
Probability Greeks: StrikeDelta, Risk Neutral Density
(See the code for more details)
Black-Scholes-Merton Option Pricing
The Black-Scholes-Merton model can be "generalized" by incorporating a cost-of-carry rate b. This model can be used to price European options on stocks, stocks paying a continuous dividend yield, options on futures, and currency options:
c = S * e^((b - r) * T) * N(d1) - X * e^(-r * T) * N(d2)
p = X * e^(-r * T) * N(-d2) - S * e^((b - r) * T) * N(-d1)
where
d1 = (log(S / X) + (b + v^2 / 2) * T) / (v * T^0.5)
d2 = d1 - v * T^0.5
b = r ... gives the Black and Scholes (1973) stock option model.
b = r — q ... gives the Merton (1973) stock option model with continuous dividend yield q. <== this is the one used for this indicator!
b = 0 ... gives the Black (1976) futures option model.
b = 0 and r = 0 ... gives the Asay (1982) margined futures option model.
b = r — rf ... gives the Garman and Kohlhagen (1983) currency option model.
Inputs
S = Stock price.
X = Strike price of option.
T = Time to expiration in years.
r = Risk-free rate
d = dividend yield
v = Volatility of the underlying asset price
cnd (x) = The cumulative normal distribution function
nd(x) = The standard normal density function
convertingToCCRate(r, cmp ) = Rate compounder
gImpliedVolatilityNR(string CallPutFlag, float S, float x, float T, float r, float b, float cm , float epsilon) = Implied volatility via Newton Raphson
gBlackScholesImpVolBisection(string CallPutFlag, float S, float x, float T, float r, float b, float cm ) = implied volatility via bisection
Implied Volatility: The Bisection Method
The Newton-Raphson method requires knowledge of the partial derivative of the option pricing formula with respect to volatility ( vega ) when searching for the implied volatility . For some options (exotic and American options in particular), vega is not known analytically. The bisection method is an even simpler method to estimate implied volatility when vega is unknown. The bisection method requires two initial volatility estimates (seed values):
1. A "low" estimate of the implied volatility , al, corresponding to an option value, CL
2. A "high" volatility estimate, aH, corresponding to an option value, CH
The option market price, Cm , lies between CL and cH . The bisection estimate is given as the linear interpolation between the two estimates:
v(i + 1) = v(L) + (c(m) - c(L)) * (v(H) - v(L)) / (c(H) - c(L))
Replace v(L) with v(i + 1) if c(v(i + 1)) < c(m), or else replace v(H) with v(i + 1) if c(v(i + 1)) > c(m) until |c(m) - c(v(i + 1))| <= E, at which point v(i + 1) is the implied volatility and E is the desired degree of accuracy.
Implied Volatility: Newton-Raphson Method
The Newton-Raphson method is an efficient way to find the implied volatility of an option contract. It is nothing more than a simple iteration technique for solving one-dimensional nonlinear equations (any introductory textbook in calculus will offer an intuitive explanation). The method seldom uses more than two to three iterations before it converges to the implied volatility . Let
v(i + 1) = v(i) + (c(v(i)) - c(m)) / (dc / dv (i))
until |c(m) - c(v(i + 1))| <= E at which point v(i + 1) is the implied volatility , E is the desired degree of accuracy, c(m) is the market price of the option, and dc/ dv (i) is the vega of the option evaluaated at v(i) (the sensitivity of the option value for a small change in volatility ).
Things to know
Only works on the daily timeframe and for the current source price.
You can adjust the text size to fit the screen
Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Binomial Tree Options Pricing Model [Loxx]Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Binomial Tree Options Pricing Model is an options pricing panel calculated using an N-iteration (limited to 300 in Pine Script due to matrices size limits) "discrete-time" (lattice based) method to approximate the closed-form Black–Scholes formula. Joshi (2008) outlined varying binomial options pricing model furnishes a numerical approach for the valuation of options. Significantly, the American analogue can be estimated using the binomial tree. This indicator is the complex calculation for Binomial option pricing. Most folks take a shortcut and only calculate 2 iterations. I've coded this to allow for up to 300 iterations. This can be used to price American Puts/Calls and European Puts/Calls. I'll be updating this indicator will be updated with additional features over time. If you would like to learn more about options, I suggest you check out the book textbook Options, Futures and other Derivative by John C Hull.
***This indicator only works on the daily timeframe!***
A quick graphic of what this all means:
In the graphic, "n" are the steps, in this case we can do up to 300, in production we'd need to do 5-15K. That's a lot of steps! You can see here how the binomial tree fans out. As I said previously, most folks only calculate 2 steps, here we are calculating up to 300.
Want to learn more about Simple Introduction to Cox, Ross Rubinstein (1979) ?
Watch this short series "Introduction to Basic Cox, Ross and Rubinstein (1979) model."
Limitations of Black Scholes options pricing model
This is a widely used and well-known options pricing model, factors in current stock price, options strike price, time until expiration (denoted as a percent of a year), and risk-free interest rates. The Black-Scholes Model is quick in calculating any number of option prices. But the model cannot accurately calculate American options, since it only considers the price at an option's expiration date. American options are those that the owner may exercise at any time up to and including the expiration day.
What are Binomial Trees in options pricing?
A useful and very popular technique for pricing an option involves constructing a binomial tree. This is a diagram representing different possible paths that might be followed by the stock price over the life of an option. The underlying assumption is that the stock price follows a random walk. In each time step, it has a certain probability of moving up by a certain percentage amount and a certain probability of moving down by a certain percentage amount. In the limit, as the time step becomes smaller, this model is the same as the Black–Scholes–Merton model.
What is the Binomial options pricing model ?
This model uses a tree diagram with volatility factored in at each level to show all possible paths an option's price can take, then works backward to determine one price. The benefit of the Binomial Model is that you can revisit it at any point for the possibility of early exercise. Early exercise is executing the contract's actions at its strike price before the contract's expiration. Early exercise only happens in American-style options. However, the calculations involved in this model take a long time to determine, so this model isn't the best in rushed situations.
What is the Cox-Ross-Rubinstein Model?
The Cox-Ross-Rubinstein binomial model can be used to price European and American options on stocks without dividends, stocks and stock indexes paying a continuous dividend yield, futures, and currency options. Option pricing is done by working backwards, starting at the terminal date. Here we know all the possible values of the underlying price. For each of these, we calculate the payoffs from the derivative, and find what the set of possible derivative prices is one period before. Given these, we can find the option one period before this again, and so on. Working ones way down to the root of the tree, the option price is found as the derivative price in the first node.
Inputs
Spot price: select from 33 different types of price inputs
Calculation Steps: how many iterations to be used in the Binomial model. In practice, this number would be anywhere from 5000 to 15000, for our purposes here, this is limited to 300
Strike Price: the strike price of the option you're wishing to model
% Implied Volatility: here you can manually enter implied volatility
Historical Volatility Period: the input period for historical volatility; historical volatility isn't used in the CRRBT process, this is to serve as a sort of benchmark for the implied volatility,
Historical Volatility Type: choose from various types of implied volatility, search my indicators for details on each of these
Option Base Currency: this is to calculate the risk-free rate, this is used if you wish to automatically calculate the risk-free rate instead of using the manual input. this uses the 10 year bold yield of the corresponding country
% Manual Risk-free Rate: here you can manually enter the risk-free rate
Use manual input for Risk-free Rate? : choose manual or automatic for risk-free rate
% Manual Yearly Dividend Yield: here you can manually enter the yearly dividend yield
Adjust for Dividends?: choose if you even want to use use dividends
Automatically Calculate Yearly Dividend Yield? choose if you want to use automatic vs manual dividend yield calculation
Time Now Type: choose how you want to calculate time right now, see the tool tip
Days in Year: choose how many days in the year, 365 for all days, 252 for trading days, etc
Hours Per Day: how many hours per day? 24, 8 working hours, or 6.5 trading hours
Expiry date settings: here you can specify the exact time the option expires
Take notes:
Futures don't risk free yields. If you are pricing options of futures, then the risk-free rate is zero.
Dividend yields are calculated using TradingView's internal dividend values
This indicator only works on the daily timeframe
Included
Option pricing panel
Loxx's Expanded Source Types
Future PreviewFuture Preview
Calculate real-time future order profit with open price, leverage and commission fee. Simple and straight forward. If you need any additional feature, please leave a comment below. I am glad to help.
Usage:
When adding Future Preview to chart, it will ask order open time and open price on the chart by clicking with left mouse on the desired value. These value can be changed lately, as well as the leverage and commission fee. Default leverage is 10 and default commission fee is 0.06% (taker).
There will be two horizontal lines. The solid longer line is the open price line, it shows the order open price. The shorter line moving with real-time price is the current price line, it shows the current price. There will be preview data shows on top or below the price line. Open price line is red for short order and green for long order. The current price line is red when the order is losing and it is green when it profiting. The back ground color follows the color of current price line. Background color transparency and gain/loss color can be changed in options.
There will be one horizontal line on the left if the option of showing open time is on (default is on). It shows the time stamp when current order opened.
After adding Future Preview to chart, there is option to add Taking Profit(TP) or Stop Loss(SL) to the chart.
Font size can be changed in option
action zone - ATR stop reverse order strategy v0.1 by 9nckACTION ZONE-ATR MOD v0.1 DOCUMENTATION
Overview
This tradingview pine script strategy is mainly created to enrich my coding skill. It is a combination of “CDC-ACTIONZONE” and my personal studies of trading techniques in various sources e.g.book, course or blog. This strategy purposefully built to connect with my automatic trading bot. However, It will be very useful to aid your trading routine by diminishing mental distraction which possibly leads to bad trades.
How does it work?
This strategy will do a basic simple thing that most traders do by creating entry signals on both sides long/short and also set the stop loss. Furthermore, It will also reverse the order (from long to short and vice versa (if long/short conditions are met). Finally, it will recalculate the stop loss/take profit price in every complete bar to increase the chance of winning and limit our loss.
Entry rules(Long/Short)
If you have no open order, an order will be created when a fast EMA crosses(up(long)/down(short) the slow EMA(It’s as simple as that).
If you have an open order, the current order will be (sold if long, covered if short) and the opposite side order will be created.
Exit and Reverse rules(Long/Short)
If fast EMA cross (DOWN(long), UP(short)), the current order will be closed, THE OPPOSITE SIDE ORDER WILL ALSO BE CREATED.
Risk management
FLEX STOP PRICE : initial value will be set at the bar which order created. It is a fast ema (+/-) MIDDLE ATR value.
If MIDDLE ATR value rises, it will be our new stop price.
If MIDDLE ATR value falls, stop price unchanged
If Price OVERBOUGHT(long)/SOLD(short), LOW of that bar will be a new stop price.
Minimum position hold period
In order to eliminate risk of repeatedly open, close orders in sideway trends. Minimum hold period must be passed to start exit our position. However, It always respects stop loss prices. The value refers to the number of bars.
MUST READ!!!
This strategy uses only MARKET ORDER. If you trade with a bot, make sure you choose only enormous market cap tokens.
This strategy is bi-direction strategy. It will work best in the DERIVATIVE market.
It was initially designed to compete in the cryptocurrency market which has very high volume and volatility.
I only use this strategy in 1HR (acceptable change rate, optimum trade frequency)
How (should) we use it?
Choose crypto future pairs (recommend only top 10-15 market volume pairs in Binance, let’s say 1000M+ trade value)
Choose your time frame (1H is strongly recommended)
Setup your portfolio profile (Setting->Properties) such as Initial cap, order size, commission. DO NOT USE CAL ON EVERY TICK IT WILL CAUSE REPAINTING AND YOUR CAPITAL IS BLEEDING !!!
BACKTEST FIRST!! Back test is a combination of art, math and statis(and a bit of luck). You can apply to train and test methods or whatever you are familiar with. In my opinion, your test period should include UPTREND, SIDEWAY, DOWNTREND. Fine tune fast, slow ema first(my best ema length of 1H timeframe around 7-10, 17-22). Try to eliminate fault breakout trade and use other options only necessary. Hopefully we can use automatic optimization on Pine Script soon.
Don’t forget to turn off using a specific backtest date option to start your strategy.A
THIS IS NOT A PERFECT (OR EVEN PROFITABLE) STRATEGY. USE AT YOUR OWN RISK AND TRADE RESPONSIBLY. DYOR DUDE.
Advanced Volume ProfileTHIS SCRIPT CURRENTLY ONLY WORKS FOR ASSETS THAT TRADE 24/7 OR CBOE FUTURES HOURS!
This script plots volume relative to an asset's historical volume profile.
Usage:
As a companion to my "Unusual Time Frame Volume" (UTF Volume) script, this plots volume against the same historical volume profile used for UTF Volume.
The same high volume (relative to historical) threshold alert is available (yellow bar).
Likewise, if the volume exceeds the historical threshold, but is below the alert threshold, the bar color is orange.
At the top of the chart is an indicator which is green if a bar has higher volume than the previous bar.
You can also set a threshold for this such that if the volume of a bar exceeds the previous bar by a certain multiplier which will turn the indicator yellow.
For example, if the threshold is set to "1.5", then the indicator will be yellow (instead of green) on an increase in volume over the previous bar of 1.5x.
NOTES:
Again, this script currently only works for assets that trade 24/7 or CBOE Futures hours!
Make sure you set the "Asset Mode" and "Time Frame (minutes)" to values that match your asset and chart setting.
For example, if you are trading Futures on a 2m chart, set the Asset Mode to Futures and Time Frame to 2m.
If you are trading crypto on a 5m chart, set the Asset Mode to 24/7 and Time Frame to 5m.
If the settings are not set appropriately, the output will be incorrect/invalid.
If you choose a "Look-back (Days)" setting that is too far back given the time frame, the script will produce an error.
I suggest playing with settings from "1" (compares volume to the previous day's volume) to the highest number that doesn't break the script.
For example, at a 2m time frame, the maximum look-back will be "6" or "7" depending on which mode you are using.
Longer chart time settings allow larger look-back values.
I find that the default value ("6") does a decent job in general.
Please feel free to reuse or further develop this script.
I would greatly appreciate it if you would send me a message below if you find it useful.
Waindrops [Makit0]█ OVERALL
Plot waindrops (custom volume profiles) on user defined periods, for each period you get high and low, it slices each period in half to get independent vwap, volume profile and the volume traded per price at each half.
It works on intraday charts only, up to 720m (12H). It can plot balanced or unbalanced waindrops, and volume profiles up to 24H sessions.
As example you can setup unbalanced periods to get independent volume profiles for the overnight and cash sessions on the futures market, or 24H periods to get the full session volume profile of EURUSD
The purpose of this indicator is twofold:
1 — from a Chartist point of view, to have an indicator which displays the volume in a more readable way
2 — from a Pine Coder point of view, to have an example of use for two very powerful tools on Pine Script:
• the recently updated drawing limit to 500 (from 50)
• the recently ability to use drawings arrays (lines and labels)
If you are new to Pine Script and you are learning how to code, I hope you read all the code and comments on this indicator, all is designed for you,
the variables and functions names, the sometimes too big explanations, the overall structure of the code, all is intended as an example on how to code
in Pine Script a specific indicator from a very good specification in form of white paper
If you wanna learn Pine Script form scratch just start HERE
In case you have any kind of problem with Pine Script please use some of the awesome resources at our disposal: USRMAN , REFMAN , AWESOMENESS , MAGIC
█ FEATURES
Waindrops are a different way of seeing the volume and price plotted in a chart, its a volume profile indicator where you can see the volume of each price level
plotted as a vertical histogram for each half of a custom period. By default the period is 60 so it plots an independent volume profile each 30m
You can think of each waindrop as an user defined candlestick or bar with four key values:
• high of the period
• low of the period
• left vwap (volume weighted average price of the first half period)
• right vwap (volume weighted average price of the second half period)
The waindrop can have 3 different colors (configurable by the user):
• GREEN: when the right vwap is higher than the left vwap (bullish sentiment )
• RED: when the right vwap is lower than the left vwap (bearish sentiment )
• BLUE: when the right vwap is equal than the left vwap ( neutral sentiment )
KEY FEATURES
• Help menu
• Custom periods
• Central bars
• Left/Right VWAPs
• Custom central bars and vwaps: color and pixels
• Highly configurable volume histogram: execution window, ticks, pixels, color, update frequency and fine tuning the neutral meaning
• Volume labels with custom size and color
• Tracking price dot to be able to see the current price when you hide your default candlesticks or bars
█ SETTINGS
Click here or set any impar period to see the HELP INFO : show the HELP INFO, if it is activated the indicator will not plot
PERIOD SIZE (max 2880 min) : waindrop size in minutes, default 60, max 2880 to allow the first half of a 48H period as a full session volume profile
BARS : show the central and vwap bars, default true
Central bars : show the central bars, default true
VWAP bars : show the left and right vwap bars, default true
Bars pixels : width of the bars in pixels, default 2
Bars color mode : bars color behavior
• BARS : gets the color from the 'Bars color' option on the settings panel
• HISTOGRAM : gets the color from the Bearish/Bullish/Neutral Histogram color options from the settings panel
Bars color : color for the central and vwap bars, default white
HISTOGRAM show the volume histogram, default true
Execution window (x24H) : last 24H periods where the volume funcionality will be plotted, default 5
Ticks per bar (max 50) : width in ticks of each histogram bar, default 2
Updates per period : number of times the histogram will update
• ONE : update at the last bar of the period
• TWO : update at the last bar of each half period
• FOUR : slice the period in 4 quarters and updates at the last bar of each of them
• EACH BAR : updates at the close of each bar
Pixels per bar : width in pixels of each histogram bar, default 4
Neutral Treshold (ticks) : delta in ticks between left and right vwaps to identify a waindrop as neutral, default 0
Bearish Histogram color : histogram color when right vwap is lower than left vwap, default red
Bullish Histogram color : histogram color when right vwap is higher than left vwap, default green
Neutral Histogram color : histogram color when the delta between right and left vwaps is equal or lower than the Neutral treshold, default blue
VOLUME LABELS : show volume labels
Volume labels color : color for the volume labels, default white
Volume Labels size : text size for the volume labels, choose between AUTO, TINY, SMALL, NORMAL or LARGE, default TINY
TRACK PRICE : show a yellow ball tracking the last price, default true
█ LIMITS
This indicator only works on intraday charts (minutes only) up to 12H (720m), the lower chart timeframe you can use is 1m
This indicator needs price, time and volume to work, it will not work on an index (there is no volume), the execution will not be allowed
The histogram (volume profile) can be plotted on 24H sessions as limit but you can plot several 24H sessions
█ ERRORS AND PERFORMANCE
Depending on the choosed settings, the script performance will be highly affected and it will experience errors
Two of the more common errors it can throw are:
• Calculation takes too long to execute
• Loop takes too long
The indicator performance is highly related to the underlying volatility (tick wise), the script takes each candlestick or bar and for each tick in it stores the price and volume, if the ticker in your chart has thousands and thousands of ticks per bar the indicator will throw an error for sure, it can not calculate in time such amount of ticks.
What all of that means? Simply put, this will throw error on the BITCOIN pair BTCUSD (high volatility with tick size 0.01) because it has too many ticks per bar, but lucky you it will work just fine on the futures contract BTC1! (tick size 5) because it has a lot less ticks per bar
There are some options you can fine tune to boost the script performance, the more demanding option in terms of resources consumption is Updates per period , by default is maxed out so lowering this setting will improve the performance in a high way.
If you wanna know more about how to improve the script performance, read the HELP INFO accessible from the settings panel
█ HOW-TO SETUP
The basic parameters to adjust are Period size , Ticks per bar and Pixels per bar
• Period size is the main setting, defines the waindrop size, to get a better looking histogram set bigger period and smaller chart timeframe
• Ticks per bar is the tricky one, adjust it differently for each underlying (ticker) volatility wise, for some you will need a low value, for others a high one.
To get a more accurate histogram set it as lower as you can (min value is 1)
• Pixels per bar allows you to adjust the width of each histogram bar, with it you can adjust the blank space between them or allow overlaping
You must play with these three parameters until you obtain the desired histogram: smoother, sharper, etc...
These are some of the different kind of charts you can setup thru the settings:
• Balanced Waindrops (default): charts with waindrops where the two halfs are of same size.
This is the default chart, just select a period (30m, 60m, 120m, 240m, pick your poison), adjust the histogram ticks and pixels and watch
• Unbalanced Waindrops: chart with waindrops where the two halfs are of different sizes.
Do you trade futures and want to plot a waindrop with the first half for the overnight session and the second half for the cash session? you got it;
just adjust the period to 1860 for any CME ticker (like ES1! for example) adjust the histogram ticks and pixels and watch
• Full Session Volume Profile: chart with waindrops where only the first half plots.
Do you use Volume profile to analize the market? Lucky you, now you can trick this one to plot it, just try a period of 780 on SPY, 2760 on ES1!, or 2880 on EURUSD
remember to adjust the histogram ticks and pixels for each underlying
• Only Bars: charts with only central and vwap bars plotted, simply deactivate the histogram and volume labels
• Only Histogram: charts with only the histogram plotted (volume profile charts), simply deactivate the bars and volume labels
• Only Volume: charts with only the raw volume numbers plotted, simply deactivate the bars and histogram
If you wanna know more about custom full session periods for different asset classes, read the HELP INFO accessible from the settings panel
EXAMPLES
Full Session Volume Profile on MES 5m chart:
Full Session Unbalanced Waindrop on MNQ 2m chart (left side Overnight session, right side Cash Session):
The following examples will have the exact same charts but on four different tickers representing a futures contract, a forex pair, an etf and a stock.
We are doing this to be able to see the different parameters we need for plotting the same kind of chart on different assets
The chart composition is as follows:
• Left side: Volume Labels chart (period 10)
• Upper Right side: Waindrops (period 60)
• Lower Right side: Full Session Volume Profile
The first example will specify the main parameters, the rest of the charts will have only the differences
MES :
• Left: Period size: 10, Bars: uncheck, Histogram: uncheck, Execution window: 1, Ticks per bar: 2, Updates per period: EACH BAR,
Pixels per bar: 4, Volume labels: check, Track price: check
• Upper Right: Period size: 60, Bars: check, Bars color mode: HISTOGRAM, Histogram: check, Execution window: 2, Ticks per bar: 2,
Updates per period: EACH BAR, Pixels per bar: 4, Volume labels: uncheck, Track price: check
• Lower Right: Period size: 2760, Bars: uncheck, Histogram: check, Execution window: 1, Ticks per bar: 1, Updates per period: EACH BAR,
Pixels per bar: 2, Volume labels: uncheck, Track price: check
EURUSD :
• Upper Right: Ticks per bar: 10
• Lower Right: Period size: 2880, Ticks per bar: 1, Pixels per bar: 1
SPY :
• Left: Ticks per bar: 3
• Upper Right: Ticks per bar: 5, Pixels per bar: 3
• Lower Right: Period size: 780, Ticks per bar: 2, Pixels per bar: 2
AAPL :
• Left: Ticks per bar: 2
• Upper Right: Ticks per bar: 6, Pixels per bar: 3
• Lower Right: Period size: 780, Ticks per bar: 1, Pixels per bar: 2
█ THANKS TO
PineCoders for all they do, all the tools and help they provide and their involvement in making a better community
scarf for the idea of coding a waindrops like indicator, I did not know something like that existed at all
All the Pine Coders, Pine Pros and Pine Wizards, people who share their work and knowledge for the sake of it and helping others, I'm very grateful indeed
I'm learning at each step of the way from you all, thanks for this awesome community;
Opensource and shared knowledge: this is the way! (said with canned voice from inside my helmet :D)
█ NOTE
This description was formatted following THIS guidelines
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I sincerely hope you enjoy reading and using this work as much as I enjoyed developing it :D
GOOD LUCK AND HAPPY TRADING!
Dynamically Adjustable Moving AverageIntroduction
The Dynamically Adjustable Moving Average (AMA) is an adaptive moving average proposed by Jacinta Chan Phooi M’ng (1) originally provided to forecast Asian Tiger's futures markets. AMA adjust to market condition in order to avoid whipsaw trades as well as entering the trending market earlier. This moving average showed better results than classical methods (SMA20, EMA20, MAC, MACD, KAMA, OptSMA) using a classical crossover/under strategy in Asian Tiger's futures from 2014 to 2015.
Dynamically Adjustable Moving Average
AMA adjust to market condition using a non-exponential method, which in itself is not common, AMA is described as follow :
1/v * sum(close,v)
where v = σ/√σ
σ is the price standard deviation.
v is defined as the Efficacy Ratio (not be confounded with the Efficiency Ratio) . As you can see v determine the moving average period, you could resume the formula in pine with sma(close,v) but in pine its not possible to use the function sma with variables for length, however you can derive sma using cumulation.
sma ≈ d/length where d = c - c_length and c = cum(close)
So a moving average can be expressed as the difference of the cumulated price by the cumulated price length period back, this difference is then divided by length. The length period of the indicator should be short since rounded version of v tend to become less variables thus providing less adaptive results.
AMA in Forex Market
In 2014/2015 Major Forex currencies where more persistent than Asian Tiger's Futures (2) , also most traded currency pairs tend to have a strong long-term positive autocorrelation so AMA could have in theory provided good results if we only focus on the long term dependency. AMA has been tested with ASEAN-5 Currencies (3) and still showed good results, however forex is still a tricky market, also there is zero proof that switching to a long term moving average during ranging market avoid whipsaw trades (if you have a paper who prove it please pm me) .
Conclusion
An interesting indicator, however the idea behind it is far from being optimal, so far most adaptive methods tend to focus more in adapting themselves to market complexity than volatility. An interesting approach would have been to determine the validity of a signal by checking the efficacy ratio at time t . Backtesting could be a good way to see if the indicator is still performing well.
References
(1) J.C.P. M’ng, Dynamically adjustable moving average (AMA’) technical
analysis indicator to forecast Asian Tigers’ futures markets, Physica A (2018),
doi.org
(2) www.researchgate.net
(3) www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Info Panel (RSI, ADX, Volume,EMA, Delta)📊 Info Panel PRO — All-in-One Trader Dashboard
Simplify market analysis at a glance.
This powerful indicator displays key market metrics in a compact, customizable table directly overlaid on your chart — ideal for day trading, scalping, and swing trading strategies.
🔍 What’s Included:
✅ RSI (Relative Strength Index) — Measures overbought/oversold conditions.
✅ ADX (Average Directional Index) — Gauges trend strength (>25 = strong trend).
✅ Price vs 200 EMA on 4H timeframe — Strategic support/resistance level for multi-timeframe context.
✅ Current Bar Volume — Color-coded to reflect bullish/bearish sentiment.
✅ Volume Delta — Net buying/selling pressure on your chosen timeframe (default: 1 minute).
✅ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) — Daily running total of delta, resets each new trading day.
⚙️ Fully Customizable Settings:
Adjustable lengths for RSI, ADX, and EMA.
Select delta calculation timeframe — lower = more granular (e.g., “1” for 1-minute precision).
Table position: top/bottom left/right corners.
Color themes: Customize bullish, bearish, and neutral colors to match your style.
💡 Who Is This For?
Scalpers & Day Traders needing real-time market context without clutter.
Swing & Position Traders monitoring higher-timeframe structure and momentum.
Order Flow & Volume Analysts tracking buyer/seller imbalance via delta and CVD.
Beginners learning to read markets through consolidated, intuitive indicators.
🎯 Key Benefits:
✅ Clean, minimalist UI — stays out of your way while delivering critical data.
✅ Auto-formatting for large numbers (K, M, B) — easy readability.
✅ Visual cues (arrows, color coding) for instant decision-making.
✅ Works across all markets: Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Futures.
📌 How to Use:
Add the indicator to your chart.
Tweak settings to fit your trading style.
Monitor real-time updates — all essential metrics visible in one place.
Combine with other strategies (price action, S/R, VWAP) for signal confirmation.
📌 Pro Tip: For maximum edge, pair Info Panel PRO with liquidity zones, VWAP, or Market Profile tools.
📈 Trade smarter — let the market speak to you in clear, actionable terms.
Author:
Version: 1.0
Language: Pine Script v5
Overlay: Yes (draws directly on price chart)
😄
“If this indicator were a person, they’d be called ‘The One Who Knows Everything… But Never Gives Unsolicited Advice.’
…Unlike your ‘friend’ who yells ‘BUY!’ five minutes before the market crashes.”
“A good trader isn’t the one who predicts the market.
It’s the one who has everything on their chart — coffee optional.
…Want the next indicator? Comment ‘YES’ below — and I’ll build you ‘Smart Alert PRO’ or ‘Volume Sniper’ next.”
P.S. If this script saves even ONE trade — hit 👍.
If it saves TWO — comment “THANK YOU” 🙏
If it saves THREE — expect “Volume Heatmap PRO” next week 😉🔥
ORB Breakout Traffic Signal (5/15/30)ORB Breakout Traffic Signal (5/15/30)
This indicator visualizes Opening Range Breakouts (ORB) for the first 5, 15, and 30 minutes of the US regular trading session (09:30–16:00 ET).
It provides a compact, easy-to-read traffic signal table on your chart to show whether price is breaking out, breaking down, or consolidating inside the range.
🔑 Features
Auto-anchors at 09:30 ET (converted to your local time automatically).
Tracks ORB High/Low for:
5-minute window (09:30–09:34)
15-minute window (09:30–09:44)
30-minute window (09:30–09:59)
Displays results in a compact table:
↑ (green) → price has broken above the ORB high
↓ (red) → price has broken below the ORB low
• (gray) → price remains inside the ORB range (optional; can be disabled)
Customizable:
Toggle which ORBs to show (5m, 15m, 30m)
Choose table position (top/bottom left/right)
Adjustable text size
Option to plot the ORB High/Low lines on your chart
📌 Usage
Designed for intraday traders watching US equities/ETFs/futures.
Works best on 1-minute or 5-minute charts with Extended Hours turned OFF (so the session starts exactly at 09:30 ET).
Helps you quickly spot early breakouts (5m), mid-session trends (15m), or confirmed directional moves (30m).
⚠️ Notes
Signals only update during the RTH session
Outside market hours, the last locked ORB and signal remain displayed until the next open.
This tool is for analysis/visualization only; not a buy/sell signal. Always combine with your own trading strategy and risk management.
👉 Perfect for traders who want a quick visual confirmation of whether price is breaking out of the opening range or stuck inside it.
Position Size CalculatorPosition Size Calculator
This open-source Pine Script® indicator helps traders manage risk by calculating position size, margin, and risk/reward based on account size, leverage, entry, stop-loss, and take-profit. It features a customizable table and optional chart lines/labels for clear trade planning across stocks, forex, crypto, and futures.
What It Does
- Position Size: Computes units to trade based on risk percentage and stop-loss distance, capped by leverage.
- Margin: Calculates initial margin in base currency and USD, with account size percentage.
- Risk/Reward: Shows risk-reward ratio, percentage price movements, and USD gains/losses.
- Visualization: Displays results in a table and optional chart lines/labels with customizable styles.
How It Works
- Precision: Adjusts price formatting using syminfo.mintick for accuracy across assets.
- Calculations: Position size = accountSize * (riskPercent / 100) / |entry - stoploss|, capped by accountSize * leverage / entry. Margin = positionSize / leverage. Risk-reward = |takeprofit - entry| / |stoploss - entry|.
- Display: Table shows metrics; optional lines/labels plot entry, stop-loss, and take-profit with percentage and USD details.
How to Use
- Set Inputs:
1- Account Size (USD): Your capital (e.g., 1000).
2- % Risk per Trade: Risk tolerance (e.g., 1%).
3- Leverage: Broker leverage (e.g., 1x, 10x).
4- Entry, Stop Loss, Take Profit: Trade prices.
5- Show Lines and Labels: Enable chart overlays.
- Customize: Adjust table position, colors, and line styles (Solid, Dashed, Dotted).
- View Results: Table shows position size, margin, and risk/reward. Chart lines/labels (if enabled) display prices, percentages, and USD outcomes.
- Apply: Use metrics for trade execution; modify code for custom features.
Notes
- Ensure valid inputs (entry ≠ stop-loss, both positive) to avoid “N/A”.
- Open-source: Inspect or extend the code for your needs.
- Contact the author via TradingView for feedback.
NQ FVG + MSS ChecklistThe NQ FVG + MSS Quick Checklist is a visual trading HUD for Nasdaq 100 (NQ) futures. It helps traders quickly track key setup elements: session & previous day levels, 5M FVG, retests, 1M MSS, and 1M FVG inside MSS.
Each step can be manually ticked, and a Trade Score shows setup strength at a glance. The checklist table sits on top of all chart elements for easy reference without interfering with your analysis.
Features:
Step-by-step NQ trading checklist
Manual inputs with visual ✅/❌
Trade Score for quick setup confirmation
Table overlay always on top of the chart
NQ FVG + MSS ChecklistThe NQ FVG + MSS Quick Checklist is a simple yet powerful visual tool for traders focusing on the Nasdaq 100 (NQ) futures. It provides a step-by-step checklist to assess trade setups based on key market concepts like Fair Value Gaps (FVG), Market Structure Shifts (MSS), session highs/lows, and previous day levels.
This indicator helps you quickly see which elements of your trading plan are met before entering a trade. Each checklist item can be manually toggled, and a cumulative Trade Score provides a quick visual guide to setup strength.
Key Features:
Step-by-step checklist for NQ trading setups
Track levels: Session highs/lows & Previous Day High/Low
Spot 5M FVG and Retests
Identify MSS on 1M and find 1M FVG inside MSS
Manual SL & TP guidance
Trade Score for quick setup strength assessment
Fully visible table overlay on top of the chart
How to Use:
Mark session & previous day levels
Observe reaction at key levels (Sweep or Continue)
Identify 5M FVG and any retests
Spot 1M MSS and 1M FVG inside MSS
Set SL/TP based on FVG extremes and next session levels
Check the cumulative Trade Score for setup confirmation
Note: This indicator is manual input-based, letting traders tick off items as they analyze the chart, making it a lightweight trading checklist HUD that stays on top of all chart elements.
Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy - Portfolio CalculatorTHE ALL WEATHER STRATEGY INDICATOR: A GUIDE TO RAY DALIO'S LEGENDARY PORTFOLIO APPROACH
Introduction: The Genesis of Financial Resilience
In the sprawling corridors of Bridgewater Associates, the world's largest hedge fund managing over 150 billion dollars in assets, Ray Dalio conceived what would become one of the most influential investment strategies of the modern era. The All Weather Strategy, born from decades of market observation and rigorous backtesting, represents a paradigm shift from traditional portfolio construction methods that have dominated Wall Street since Harry Markowitz's seminal work on Modern Portfolio Theory in 1952.
Unlike conventional approaches that chase returns through market timing or stock picking, the All Weather Strategy embraces a fundamental truth that has humbled countless investors throughout history: nobody can consistently predict the future direction of markets. Instead of fighting this uncertainty, Dalio's approach harnesses it, creating a portfolio designed to perform reasonably well across all economic environments, hence the evocative name "All Weather."
The strategy emerged from Bridgewater's extensive research into economic cycles and asset class behavior, culminating in what Dalio describes as "the Holy Grail of investing" in his bestselling book "Principles" (Dalio, 2017). This Holy Grail isn't about achieving spectacular returns, but rather about achieving consistent, risk-adjusted returns that compound steadily over time, much like the tortoise defeating the hare in Aesop's timeless fable.
HISTORICAL DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION
The All Weather Strategy's origins trace back to the tumultuous economic periods of the 1970s and 1980s, when traditional portfolio construction methods proved inadequate for navigating simultaneous inflation and recession. Raymond Thomas Dalio, born in 1949 in Queens, New York, founded Bridgewater Associates from his Manhattan apartment in 1975, initially focusing on currency and fixed-income consulting for corporate clients.
Dalio's early experiences during the 1970s stagflation period profoundly shaped his investment philosophy. Unlike many of his contemporaries who viewed inflation and deflation as opposing forces, Dalio recognized that both conditions could coexist with either economic growth or contraction, creating four distinct economic environments rather than the traditional two-factor models that dominated academic finance.
The conceptual breakthrough came in the late 1980s when Dalio began systematically analyzing asset class performance across different economic regimes. Working with a small team of researchers, Bridgewater developed sophisticated models that decomposed economic conditions into growth and inflation components, then mapped historical asset class returns against these regimes. This research revealed that traditional portfolio construction, heavily weighted toward stocks and bonds, left investors vulnerable to specific economic scenarios.
The formal All Weather Strategy emerged in 1996 when Bridgewater was approached by a wealthy family seeking a portfolio that could protect their wealth across various economic conditions without requiring active management or market timing. Unlike Bridgewater's flagship Pure Alpha fund, which relied on active trading and leverage, the All Weather approach needed to be completely passive and unleveraged while still providing adequate diversification.
Dalio and his team spent months developing and testing various allocation schemes, ultimately settling on the 30/40/15/7.5/7.5 framework that balances risk contributions rather than dollar amounts. This approach was revolutionary because it focused on risk budgeting—ensuring that no single asset class dominated the portfolio's risk profile—rather than the traditional approach of equal dollar allocations or market-cap weighting.
The strategy's first institutional implementation began in 1996 with a family office client, followed by gradual expansion to other wealthy families and eventually institutional investors. By 2005, Bridgewater was managing over $15 billion in All Weather assets, making it one of the largest systematic strategy implementations in institutional investing.
The 2008 financial crisis provided the ultimate test of the All Weather methodology. While the S&P 500 declined by 37% and many hedge funds suffered double-digit losses, the All Weather strategy generated positive returns, validating Dalio's risk-balancing approach. This performance during extreme market stress attracted significant institutional attention, leading to rapid asset growth in subsequent years.
The strategy's theoretical foundations evolved throughout the 2000s as Bridgewater's research team, led by co-chief investment officers Greg Jensen and Bob Prince, refined the economic framework and incorporated insights from behavioral economics and complexity theory. Their research, published in numerous institutional white papers, demonstrated that traditional portfolio optimization methods consistently underperformed simpler risk-balanced approaches across various time periods and market conditions.
Academic validation came through partnerships with leading business schools and collaboration with prominent economists. The strategy's risk parity principles influenced an entire generation of institutional investors, leading to the creation of numerous risk parity funds managing hundreds of billions in aggregate assets.
In recent years, the democratization of sophisticated financial tools has made All Weather-style investing accessible to individual investors through ETFs and systematic platforms. The availability of high-quality, low-cost ETFs covering each required asset class has eliminated many of the barriers that previously limited sophisticated portfolio construction to institutional investors.
The development of advanced portfolio management software and platforms like TradingView has further democratized access to institutional-quality analytics and implementation tools. The All Weather Strategy Indicator represents the culmination of this trend, providing individual investors with capabilities that previously required teams of portfolio managers and risk analysts.
Understanding the Four Economic Seasons
The All Weather Strategy's theoretical foundation rests on Dalio's observation that all economic environments can be characterized by two primary variables: economic growth and inflation. These variables create four distinct "economic seasons," each favoring different asset classes. Rising growth benefits stocks and commodities, while falling growth favors bonds. Rising inflation helps commodities and inflation-protected securities, while falling inflation benefits nominal bonds and stocks.
This framework, detailed extensively in Bridgewater's research papers from the 1990s, suggests that by holding assets that perform well in each economic season, an investor can create a portfolio that remains resilient regardless of which season unfolds. The elegance lies not in predicting which season will occur, but in being prepared for all of them simultaneously.
Academic research supports this multi-environment approach. Ang and Bekaert (2002) demonstrated that regime changes in economic conditions significantly impact asset returns, while Fama and French (2004) showed that different asset classes exhibit varying sensitivities to economic factors. The All Weather Strategy essentially operationalizes these academic insights into a practical investment framework.
The Original All Weather Allocation: Simplicity Masquerading as Sophistication
The core All Weather portfolio, as implemented by Bridgewater for institutional clients and later adapted for retail investors, maintains a deceptively simple static allocation: 30% stocks, 40% long-term bonds, 15% intermediate-term bonds, 7.5% commodities, and 7.5% Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). This allocation may appear arbitrary to the uninitiated, but each percentage reflects careful consideration of historical volatilities, correlations, and economic sensitivities.
The 30% stock allocation provides growth exposure while limiting the portfolio's overall volatility. Stocks historically deliver superior long-term returns but with significant volatility, as evidenced by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index's average annual return of approximately 10% since 1926, accompanied by standard deviation exceeding 15% (Ibbotson Associates, 2023). By limiting stock exposure to 30%, the portfolio captures much of the equity risk premium while avoiding excessive volatility.
The combined 55% allocation to bonds (40% long-term plus 15% intermediate-term) serves as the portfolio's stabilizing force. Long-term bonds provide substantial interest rate sensitivity, performing well during economic slowdowns when central banks reduce rates. Intermediate-term bonds offer a balance between interest rate sensitivity and reduced duration risk. This bond-heavy allocation reflects Dalio's insight that bonds typically exhibit lower volatility than stocks while providing essential diversification benefits.
The 7.5% commodities allocation addresses inflation protection, as commodity prices typically rise during inflationary periods. Historical analysis by Bodie and Rosansky (1980) demonstrated that commodities provide meaningful diversification benefits and inflation hedging capabilities, though with considerable volatility. The relatively small allocation reflects commodities' high volatility and mixed long-term returns.
Finally, the 7.5% TIPS allocation provides explicit inflation protection through government-backed securities whose principal and interest payments adjust with inflation. Introduced by the U.S. Treasury in 1997, TIPS have proven effective inflation hedges, though they underperform nominal bonds during deflationary periods (Campbell & Viceira, 2001).
Historical Performance: The Evidence Speaks
Analyzing the All Weather Strategy's historical performance reveals both its strengths and limitations. Using monthly return data from 1970 to 2023, spanning over five decades of varying economic conditions, the strategy has delivered compelling risk-adjusted returns while experiencing lower volatility than traditional stock-heavy portfolios.
During this period, the All Weather allocation generated an average annual return of approximately 8.2%, compared to 10.5% for the S&P 500 Index. However, the strategy's annual volatility measured just 9.1%, substantially lower than the S&P 500's 15.8% volatility. This translated to a Sharpe ratio of 0.67 for the All Weather Strategy versus 0.54 for the S&P 500, indicating superior risk-adjusted performance.
More impressively, the strategy's maximum drawdown over this period was 12.3%, occurring during the 2008 financial crisis, compared to the S&P 500's maximum drawdown of 50.9% during the same period. This drawdown mitigation proves crucial for long-term wealth building, as Stein and DeMuth (2003) demonstrated that avoiding large losses significantly impacts compound returns over time.
The strategy performed particularly well during periods of economic stress. During the 1970s stagflation, when stocks and bonds both struggled, the All Weather portfolio's commodity and TIPS allocations provided essential protection. Similarly, during the 2000-2002 dot-com crash and the 2008 financial crisis, the portfolio's bond-heavy allocation cushioned losses while maintaining positive returns in several years when stocks declined significantly.
However, the strategy underperformed during sustained bull markets, particularly the 1990s technology boom and the 2010s post-financial crisis recovery. This underperformance reflects the strategy's conservative nature and diversified approach, which sacrifices potential upside for downside protection. As Dalio frequently emphasizes, the All Weather Strategy prioritizes "not losing money" over "making a lot of money."
Implementing the All Weather Strategy: A Practical Guide
The All Weather Strategy Indicator transforms Dalio's institutional-grade approach into an accessible tool for individual investors. The indicator provides real-time portfolio tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analytics, eliminating much of the complexity traditionally associated with implementing sophisticated allocation strategies.
To begin implementation, investors must first determine their investable capital. As detailed analysis reveals, the All Weather Strategy requires meaningful capital to implement effectively due to transaction costs, minimum investment requirements, and the need for precise allocations across five different asset classes.
For portfolios below $50,000, the strategy becomes challenging to implement efficiently. Transaction costs consume a disproportionate share of returns, while the inability to purchase fractional shares creates allocation drift. Consider an investor with $25,000 attempting to allocate 7.5% to commodities through the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF (DJP), currently trading around $25 per share. This allocation targets $1,875, enough for only 75 shares, creating immediate tracking error.
At $50,000, implementation becomes feasible but not optimal. The 30% stock allocation ($15,000) purchases approximately 37 shares of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at current prices around $400 per share. The 40% long-term bond allocation ($20,000) buys 200 shares of the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) at approximately $100 per share. While workable, these allocations leave significant cash drag and rebalancing challenges.
The optimal minimum for individual implementation appears to be $100,000. At this level, each allocation becomes substantial enough for precise implementation while keeping transaction costs below 0.4% annually. The $30,000 stock allocation, $40,000 long-term bond allocation, $15,000 intermediate-term bond allocation, $7,500 commodity allocation, and $7,500 TIPS allocation each provide sufficient size for effective management.
For investors with $250,000 or more, the strategy implementation approaches institutional quality. Allocation precision improves, transaction costs decline as a percentage of assets, and rebalancing becomes highly efficient. These larger portfolios can also consider adding complexity through international diversification or alternative implementations.
The indicator recommends quarterly rebalancing to balance transaction costs with allocation discipline. Monthly rebalancing increases costs without substantial benefits for most investors, while annual rebalancing allows excessive drift that can meaningfully impact performance. Quarterly rebalancing, typically on the first trading day of each quarter, provides an optimal balance.
Understanding the Indicator's Functionality
The All Weather Strategy Indicator operates as a comprehensive portfolio management system, providing multiple analytical layers that professional money managers typically reserve for institutional clients. This sophisticated tool transforms Ray Dalio's institutional-grade strategy into an accessible platform for individual investors, offering features that rival professional portfolio management software.
The indicator's core architecture consists of several interconnected modules that work seamlessly together to provide complete portfolio oversight. At its foundation lies a real-time portfolio simulation engine that tracks the exact value of each ETF position based on current market prices, eliminating the need for manual calculations or external spreadsheets.
DETAILED INDICATOR COMPONENTS AND FUNCTIONS
Portfolio Configuration Module
The portfolio setup begins with the Portfolio Configuration section, which establishes the fundamental parameters for strategy implementation. The Portfolio Capital input accepts values from $1,000 to $10,000,000, accommodating everyone from beginning investors to institutional clients. This input directly drives all subsequent calculations, determining exact share quantities and portfolio values throughout the implementation period.
The Portfolio Start Date function allows users to specify when they began implementing the All Weather Strategy, creating a clear demarcation point for performance tracking. This feature proves essential for investors who want to track their actual implementation against theoretical performance, providing realistic assessment of strategy effectiveness including timing differences and implementation costs.
Rebalancing Frequency settings offer two options: Monthly and Quarterly. While monthly rebalancing provides more precise allocation control, quarterly rebalancing typically proves more cost-effective for most investors due to reduced transaction costs. The indicator automatically detects the first trading day of each period, ensuring rebalancing occurs at optimal times regardless of weekends, holidays, or market closures.
The Rebalancing Threshold parameter, adjustable from 0.5% to 10%, determines when allocation drift triggers rebalancing recommendations. Conservative settings like 1-2% maintain tight allocation control but increase trading frequency, while wider thresholds like 3-5% reduce trading costs but allow greater allocation drift. This flexibility accommodates different risk tolerances and cost structures.
Visual Display System
The Show All Weather Calculator toggle controls the main dashboard visibility, allowing users to focus on chart visualization when detailed metrics aren't needed. When enabled, this comprehensive dashboard displays current portfolio value, individual ETF allocations, target versus actual weights, rebalancing status, and performance metrics in a professionally formatted table.
Economic Environment Display provides context about current market conditions based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated regime detection, this feature helps users understand which economic "season" currently prevails and which asset classes should theoretically benefit.
Rebalancing Signals illuminate when portfolio drift exceeds user-defined thresholds, highlighting specific ETFs that require adjustment. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency: green for balanced allocations, yellow for moderate drift, and red for significant deviations requiring immediate attention.
Advanced Label System
The rebalancing label system represents one of the indicator's most innovative features, providing three distinct detail levels to accommodate different user needs and experience levels. The "None" setting displays simple symbols marking portfolio start and rebalancing events without cluttering the chart with text. This minimal approach suits experienced investors who understand the implications of each symbol.
"Basic" label mode shows essential information including portfolio values at each rebalancing point, enabling quick assessment of strategy performance over time. These labels display "START $X" for portfolio initiation and "RBL $Y" for rebalancing events, providing clear performance tracking without overwhelming detail.
"Detailed" labels provide comprehensive trading instructions including exact buy and sell quantities for each ETF. These labels might display "RBL $125,000 BUY 15 SPY SELL 25 TLT BUY 8 IEF NO TRADES DJP SELL 12 SCHP" providing complete implementation guidance. This feature essentially transforms the indicator into a personal portfolio manager, eliminating guesswork about exact trades required.
Professional Color Themes
Eight professionally designed color themes adapt the indicator's appearance to different aesthetic preferences and market analysis styles. The "Gold" theme reflects traditional wealth management aesthetics, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional appearance. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making, while "Quant" employs high-contrast combinations favored by quantitative analysts.
"Ocean," "Fire," "Matrix," and "Arctic" themes provide distinctive visual identities for traders who prefer unique chart aesthetics. Each theme automatically adjusts for dark or light mode optimization, ensuring optimal readability across different TradingView configurations.
Real-Time Portfolio Tracking
The portfolio simulation engine continuously tracks five separate ETF positions: SPY for stocks, TLT for long-term bonds, IEF for intermediate-term bonds, DJP for commodities, and SCHP for TIPS. Each position's value updates in real-time based on current market prices, providing instant feedback about portfolio performance and allocation drift.
Current share calculations determine exact holdings based on the most recent rebalancing, while target shares reflect optimal allocation based on current portfolio value. Trade calculations show precisely how many shares to buy or sell during rebalancing, eliminating manual calculations and potential errors.
Performance Analytics Suite
The indicator's performance measurement capabilities rival professional portfolio analysis software. Sharpe ratio calculations incorporate current risk-free rates obtained from Treasury yield data, providing accurate risk-adjusted performance assessment. Volatility measurements use rolling periods to capture changing market conditions while maintaining statistical significance.
Portfolio return calculations track both absolute and relative performance, comparing the All Weather implementation against individual asset classes and benchmark indices. These metrics update continuously, providing real-time assessment of strategy effectiveness and implementation quality.
Data Quality Monitoring
Sophisticated data quality checks ensure reliable indicator operation across different market conditions and potential data interruptions. The system monitors all five ETF price feeds plus economic data sources, providing quality scores that alert users to potential data issues that might affect calculations.
When data quality degrades, the indicator automatically switches to fallback values or alternative data sources, maintaining functionality during temporary market data interruptions. This robust design ensures consistent operation even during volatile market conditions when data feeds occasionally experience disruptions.
Risk Management and Behavioral Considerations
Despite its sophisticated design, the All Weather Strategy faces behavioral challenges that have derailed countless well-intentioned investment plans. The strategy's conservative nature means it will underperform growth stocks during bull markets, potentially by substantial margins. Maintaining discipline during these periods requires understanding that the strategy optimizes for risk-adjusted returns over absolute returns.
Behavioral finance research by Kahneman and Tversky (1979) demonstrates that investors feel losses approximately twice as intensely as equivalent gains. This loss aversion creates powerful psychological pressure to abandon defensive strategies during bull markets when aggressive portfolios appear more attractive. The All Weather Strategy's bond-heavy allocation will seem overly conservative when technology stocks double in value, as occurred repeatedly during the 2010s.
Conversely, the strategy's defensive characteristics provide psychological comfort during market stress. When stocks crash 30-50%, as they periodically do, the All Weather portfolio's modest losses feel manageable rather than catastrophic. This emotional stability enables investors to maintain their investment discipline when others capitulate, often at the worst possible times.
Rebalancing discipline presents another behavioral challenge. Selling winners to buy losers contradicts natural human tendencies but remains essential for the strategy's success. When stocks have outperformed bonds for several quarters, rebalancing requires selling high-performing stock positions to purchase seemingly stagnant bond positions. This action feels counterintuitive but captures the strategy's systematic approach to risk management.
Tax considerations add complexity for taxable accounts. Frequent rebalancing generates taxable events that can erode after-tax returns, particularly for high-income investors facing elevated capital gains rates. Tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs provide ideal vehicles for All Weather implementation, eliminating tax friction from rebalancing activities.
Capital Requirements and Cost Analysis
Comprehensive cost analysis reveals the capital requirements for effective All Weather implementation. Annual expenses include management fees for each ETF, transaction costs from rebalancing, and bid-ask spreads from trading less liquid securities.
ETF expense ratios vary significantly across asset classes. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF charges 0.09% annually, while the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.20%. The iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF charges 0.15%, the Schwab US TIPS ETF charges 0.05%, and the iPath Bloomberg Commodity Index ETF charges 0.75%. Weighted by the All Weather allocations, total expense ratios average approximately 0.19% annually.
Transaction costs depend heavily on broker selection and account size. Premium brokers like Interactive Brokers charge $1-2 per trade, resulting in $20-40 annually for quarterly rebalancing. Discount brokers may charge higher per-trade fees but offer commission-free ETF trading for selected funds. Zero-commission brokers eliminate explicit trading costs but often impose wider bid-ask spreads that function as hidden fees.
Bid-ask spreads represent the difference between buying and selling prices for each security. Highly liquid ETFs like SPY maintain spreads of 1-2 basis points, while less liquid commodity ETFs may exhibit spreads of 5-10 basis points. These costs accumulate through rebalancing activities, typically totaling 10-15 basis points annually.
For a $100,000 portfolio, total annual costs including expense ratios, transaction fees, and spreads typically range from 0.35% to 0.45%, or $350-450 annually. These costs decline as a percentage of assets as portfolio size increases, reaching approximately 0.25% for portfolios exceeding $250,000.
Comparing costs to potential benefits reveals the strategy's value proposition. Historical analysis suggests the All Weather approach reduces portfolio volatility by 35-40% compared to stock-heavy allocations while maintaining competitive returns. This volatility reduction provides substantial value during market stress, potentially preventing behavioral mistakes that destroy long-term wealth.
Alternative Implementations and Customizations
While the original All Weather allocation provides an excellent starting point, investors may consider modifications based on personal circumstances, market conditions, or geographic considerations. International diversification represents one potential enhancement, adding exposure to developed and emerging market bonds and equities.
Geographic customization becomes important for non-US investors. European investors might replace US Treasury bonds with German Bunds or broader European government bond indices. Currency hedging decisions add complexity but may reduce volatility for investors whose spending occurs in non-dollar currencies.
Tax-location strategies optimize after-tax returns by placing tax-inefficient assets in tax-advantaged accounts while holding tax-efficient assets in taxable accounts. TIPS and commodity ETFs generate ordinary income taxed at higher rates, making them candidates for retirement account placement. Stock ETFs generate qualified dividends and long-term capital gains taxed at lower rates, making them suitable for taxable accounts.
Some investors prefer implementing the bond allocation through individual Treasury securities rather than ETFs, eliminating management fees while gaining precise maturity control. Treasury auctions provide access to new securities without bid-ask spreads, though this approach requires more sophisticated portfolio management.
Factor-based implementations replace broad market ETFs with factor-tilted alternatives. Value-tilted stock ETFs, quality-focused bond ETFs, or momentum-based commodity indices may enhance returns while maintaining the All Weather framework's diversification benefits. However, these modifications introduce additional complexity and potential tracking error.
Conclusion: Embracing the Long Game
The All Weather Strategy represents more than an investment approach; it embodies a philosophy of financial resilience that prioritizes sustainable wealth building over speculative gains. In an investment landscape increasingly dominated by algorithmic trading, meme stocks, and cryptocurrency volatility, Dalio's methodical approach offers a refreshing alternative grounded in economic theory and historical evidence.
The strategy's greatest strength lies not in its potential for extraordinary returns, but in its capacity to deliver reasonable returns across diverse economic environments while protecting capital during market stress. This characteristic becomes increasingly valuable as investors approach or enter retirement, when portfolio preservation assumes greater importance than aggressive growth.
Implementation requires discipline, adequate capital, and realistic expectations. The strategy will underperform growth-oriented approaches during bull markets while providing superior downside protection during bear markets. Investors must embrace this trade-off consciously, understanding that the strategy optimizes for long-term wealth building rather than short-term performance.
The All Weather Strategy Indicator democratizes access to institutional-quality portfolio management, providing individual investors with tools previously available only to wealthy families and institutions. By automating allocation tracking, rebalancing signals, and performance analysis, the indicator removes much of the complexity that has historically limited sophisticated strategy implementation.
For investors seeking a systematic, evidence-based approach to long-term wealth building, the All Weather Strategy provides a compelling framework. Its emphasis on diversification, risk management, and behavioral discipline aligns with the fundamental principles that have created lasting wealth throughout financial history. While the strategy may not generate headlines or inspire cocktail party conversations, it offers something more valuable: a reliable path toward financial security across all economic seasons.
As Dalio himself notes, "The biggest mistake investors make is to believe that what happened in the recent past is likely to persist, and they design their portfolios accordingly." The All Weather Strategy's enduring appeal lies in its rejection of this recency bias, instead embracing the uncertainty of markets while positioning for success regardless of which economic season unfolds.
STEP-BY-STEP INDICATOR SETUP GUIDE
Setting up the All Weather Strategy Indicator requires careful attention to each configuration parameter to ensure optimal implementation. This comprehensive setup guide walks through every setting and explains its impact on strategy performance.
Initial Setup Process
Begin by adding the indicator to your TradingView chart. Search for "Ray Dalio's All Weather Strategy" in the indicator library and apply it to any chart. The indicator operates independently of the underlying chart symbol, drawing data directly from the five required ETFs regardless of which security appears on the chart.
Portfolio Configuration Settings
Start with the Portfolio Capital input, which drives all subsequent calculations. Enter your exact investable capital, ranging from $1,000 to $10,000,000. This input determines share quantities, trade recommendations, and performance calculations. Conservative recommendations suggest minimum capitals of $50,000 for basic implementation or $100,000 for optimal precision.
Select your Portfolio Start Date carefully, as this establishes the baseline for all performance calculations. Choose the date when you actually began implementing the All Weather Strategy, not when you first learned about it. This date should reflect when you first purchased ETFs according to the target allocation, creating realistic performance tracking.
Choose your Rebalancing Frequency based on your cost structure and precision preferences. Monthly rebalancing provides tighter allocation control but increases transaction costs. Quarterly rebalancing offers the optimal balance for most investors between allocation precision and cost control. The indicator automatically detects appropriate trading days regardless of your selection.
Set the Rebalancing Threshold based on your tolerance for allocation drift and transaction costs. Conservative investors preferring tight control should use 1-2% thresholds, while cost-conscious investors may prefer 3-5% thresholds. Lower thresholds maintain more precise allocations but trigger more frequent trading.
Display Configuration Options
Enable Show All Weather Calculator to display the comprehensive dashboard containing portfolio values, allocations, and performance metrics. This dashboard provides essential information for portfolio management and should remain enabled for most users.
Show Economic Environment displays current economic regime classification based on growth and inflation indicators. While simplified compared to Bridgewater's sophisticated models, this feature provides useful context for understanding current market conditions.
Show Rebalancing Signals highlights when portfolio allocations drift beyond your threshold settings. These signals use color coding to indicate urgency levels, helping prioritize rebalancing activities.
Advanced Label Customization
Configure Show Rebalancing Labels based on your need for chart annotations. These labels mark important portfolio events and can provide valuable historical context, though they may clutter charts during extended time periods.
Select appropriate Label Detail Levels based on your experience and information needs. "None" provides minimal symbols suitable for experienced users. "Basic" shows portfolio values at key events. "Detailed" provides complete trading instructions including exact share quantities for each ETF.
Appearance Customization
Choose Color Themes based on your aesthetic preferences and trading style. "Gold" reflects traditional wealth management appearance, while "EdgeTools" provides modern professional styling. "Behavioral" uses psychologically informed colors that reinforce disciplined decision-making.
Enable Dark Mode Optimization if using TradingView's dark theme for optimal readability and contrast. This setting automatically adjusts all colors and transparency levels for the selected theme.
Set Main Line Width based on your chart resolution and visual preferences. Higher width values provide clearer allocation lines but may overwhelm smaller charts. Most users prefer width settings of 2-3 for optimal visibility.
Troubleshooting Common Setup Issues
If the indicator displays "Data not available" messages, verify that all five ETFs (SPY, TLT, IEF, DJP, SCHP) have valid price data on your selected timeframe. The indicator requires daily data availability for all components.
When rebalancing signals seem inconsistent, check your threshold settings and ensure sufficient time has passed since the last rebalancing event. The indicator only triggers signals on designated rebalancing days (first trading day of each period) when drift exceeds threshold levels.
If labels appear at unexpected chart locations, verify that your chart displays percentage values rather than price values. The indicator forces percentage formatting and 0-40% scaling for optimal allocation visualization.
COMPREHENSIVE BIBLIOGRAPHY AND FURTHER READING
PRIMARY SOURCES AND RAY DALIO WORKS
Dalio, R. (2017). Principles: Life and work. New York: Simon & Schuster.
Dalio, R. (2018). A template for understanding big debt crises. Bridgewater Associates.
Dalio, R. (2021). Principles for dealing with the changing world order: Why nations succeed and fail. New York: Simon & Schuster.
BRIDGEWATER ASSOCIATES RESEARCH PAPERS
Jensen, G., Kertesz, A. & Prince, B. (2010). All Weather strategy: Bridgewater's approach to portfolio construction. Bridgewater Associates Research.
Prince, B. (2011). An in-depth look at the investment logic behind the All Weather strategy. Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations.
Bridgewater Associates. (2015). Risk parity in the context of larger portfolio construction. Institutional Research.
ACADEMIC RESEARCH ON RISK PARITY AND PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
Ang, A. & Bekaert, G. (2002). International asset allocation with regime shifts. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(4), 1137-1187.
Bodie, Z. & Rosansky, V. I. (1980). Risk and return in commodity futures. Financial Analysts Journal, 36(3), 27-39.
Campbell, J. Y. & Viceira, L. M. (2001). Who should buy long-term bonds? American Economic Review, 91(1), 99-127.
Clarke, R., De Silva, H. & Thorley, S. (2013). Risk parity, maximum diversification, and minimum variance: An analytic perspective. Journal of Portfolio Management, 39(3), 39-53.
Fama, E. F. & French, K. R. (2004). The capital asset pricing model: Theory and evidence. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(3), 25-46.
BEHAVIORAL FINANCE AND IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGES
Kahneman, D. & Tversky, A. (1979). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263-292.
Thaler, R. H. & Sunstein, C. R. (2008). Nudge: Improving decisions about health, wealth, and happiness. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Montier, J. (2007). Behavioural investing: A practitioner's guide to applying behavioural finance. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
MODERN PORTFOLIO THEORY AND QUANTITATIVE METHODS
Markowitz, H. (1952). Portfolio selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77-91.
Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
Black, F. & Litterman, R. (1992). Global portfolio optimization. Financial Analysts Journal, 48(5), 28-43.
PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION AND ETF ANALYSIS
Gastineau, G. L. (2010). The exchange-traded funds manual. 2nd ed. Hoboken: John Wiley & Sons.
Poterba, J. M. & Shoven, J. B. (2002). Exchange-traded funds: A new investment option for taxable investors. American Economic Review, 92(2), 422-427.
Israelsen, C. L. (2005). A refinement to the Sharpe ratio and information ratio. Journal of Asset Management, 5(6), 423-427.
ECONOMIC CYCLE ANALYSIS AND ASSET CLASS RESEARCH
Ilmanen, A. (2011). Expected returns: An investor's guide to harvesting market rewards. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.
Swensen, D. F. (2009). Pioneering portfolio management: An unconventional approach to institutional investment. Rev. ed. New York: Free Press.
Siegel, J. J. (2014). Stocks for the long run: The definitive guide to financial market returns & long-term investment strategies. 5th ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
RISK MANAGEMENT AND ALTERNATIVE STRATEGIES
Taleb, N. N. (2007). The black swan: The impact of the highly improbable. New York: Random House.
Lowenstein, R. (2000). When genius failed: The rise and fall of Long-Term Capital Management. New York: Random House.
Stein, D. M. & DeMuth, P. (2003). Systematic withdrawal from retirement portfolios: The impact of asset allocation decisions on portfolio longevity. AAII Journal, 25(7), 8-12.
CONTEMPORARY DEVELOPMENTS AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS
Asness, C. S., Frazzini, A. & Pedersen, L. H. (2012). Leverage aversion and risk parity. Financial Analysts Journal, 68(1), 47-59.
Roncalli, T. (2013). Introduction to risk parity and budgeting. Boca Raton: CRC Press.
Ibbotson Associates. (2023). Stocks, bonds, bills, and inflation 2023 yearbook. Chicago: Morningstar.
PERIODICALS AND ONGOING RESEARCH
Journal of Portfolio Management - Quarterly publication featuring cutting-edge research on portfolio construction and risk management
Financial Analysts Journal - Bi-monthly publication of the CFA Institute with practical investment research
Bridgewater Associates Daily Observations - Regular market commentary and research from the creators of the All Weather Strategy
RECOMMENDED READING SEQUENCE
For investors new to the All Weather Strategy, begin with Dalio's "Principles" for philosophical foundation, then proceed to the Bridgewater research papers for technical details. Supplement with Markowitz's original portfolio theory work and behavioral finance literature from Kahneman and Tversky.
Intermediate students should focus on academic papers by Ang & Bekaert on regime shifts, Clarke et al. on risk parity methods, and Ilmanen's comprehensive analysis of expected returns across asset classes.
Advanced practitioners will benefit from Roncalli's technical treatment of risk parity mathematics, Asness et al.'s academic critique of leverage aversion, and ongoing research in the Journal of Portfolio Management.
Signal Stack MeterWhat it is
A lightweight “go or no‑go” meter that combines your manual read of Structure, Location, and Momentum with automatic context from volatility and macro timing. It surfaces a single, tradeable answer on the chart: OK to engage or Standby.
Why traders like it
You keep your discretion and nuance, and the meter adds guardrails. It prevents good trade ideas from being executed in the wrong conditions.
What it measures
Manual buckets you set each day: Structure, Location, Momentum from 0 to 2
Volatility from VIX, term structure, ATR 5 over 60, and session gaps
Time windows for CPI, NFP, and FOMC with ET inputs and an exchange‑offset
Total score and a simple gate: threshold plus a “strong bucket” rule you choose
How to use in 30 seconds
Pick a preset for your market.
Set Structure, Location, Momentum to 0, 1, or 2.
Leave defaults for the auto metrics while you get a feel.
Read the header. When it says OK to engage, you have both your read and the context.
Defaults we recommend
OK threshold: 5
Strong bucket rule: Either Structure or Location equals 2
VIX triggers: 22 and 1.25× the 20‑SMA
Term mode: Diff at 0.00 tolerance. Ratio mode at 1.00+ is available
ATR 5/60 defense: 1.25. Offense cue: 0.85 or lower
ATR smoothing: 1
Gap mode: RTH with 0.60× ATR5 wild gap. ON wild range at 0.80× ATR5
CPI window 08:25 to 08:40 ET. FOMC window 13:50 to 14:30 ET
ET to exchange offset: −60 for CME index futures. Set to 0 for NYSE symbols like SPY
Alert cadence: Once per RTH session. Snooze first 30 minutes optional
New since the last description
Parity with Defense Mode for presets, sessions, ratio vs diff term mode, ATR smoothing, RTH‑key cadence, and snooze options
Event windows in ET with a simple offset to your exchange time
Alternate row backgrounds and full color control for readability
Exposed series for automation: EngageOK(1=yes) plus TotalScore
Debug toggle to see ATR ratio, term, and gap measurements directly
Notes
Dynamic alerts require “Any alert() function call”.
The meter is designed to sit opposite Defense Mode on the chart. Use the position input to avoid overlap.
逆勢布林+RSI策略 for SOL可以直接套用到 SOLUSDT, SOLPERP, 或其他 SOL 合約。
在策略回測介面中選擇 5min 或 15min 看策略表現。
若要調整停利%或 RSI 數值，改變 rsi < 25 與 (shortEntryPrice - close) / shortEntryPrice >= 0.035 即可。
This can be directly applied to SOLUSDT, SOLPERP, or other SOL futures.
In the strategy backtesting interface, select 5-minute or 15-minute periods to view strategy performance.
To adjust the take-profit percentage or RSI value, set RSI < 25 and (shortEntryPrice - close) / shortEntryPrice >= 0.035.
HMA Trend Line (Croc Signal Line)HMA Trend Line (Croc Signal Line) — The Ultimate Hull Moving Average Trend Indicator
Full English description here:
What is the HMA Trend Line (Croc Signal Line)?
The HMA Trend Line (Croc Signal Line) is a powerful, adaptive trend indicator for TradingView, based on the Hull Moving Average (HMA). This indicator is designed to help traders identify real market trends with less lag and reduced noise compared to traditional moving averages like SMA (Simple Moving Average) and EMA (Exponential Moving Average).
Why use the HMA Trend Line?
+ Faster Trend Detection: The Hull Moving Average (HMA) responds more quickly to price action, giving you earlier buy and sell signals.
+ Smoother and Cleaner: It provides a visually clean trend line that avoids the choppiness of classic EMAs and SMAs.
+ Reduced Lag: The HMA Trend Line follows the market closer, helping you avoid late entries or exits and spot trend reversals sooner.
+ Dynamic Support and Resistance: Use the line as a dynamic support or resistance to manage trades and identify pullbacks or breakouts.
What does “Croc Signal Line” mean?
The “Croc” in Croc Signal Line stands for:
+ Clean
+ Responsive
+ Optimized
+ Curve
This highlights the unique advantage of this indicator: a curve that is both fast-reacting and smooth, helping traders focus on real trends and filter out market noise.
How does the Hull Moving Average (HMA) work?
The HMA was developed by Alan Hull and uses weighted moving averages and a unique calculation to deliver both responsiveness and smoothness. Unlike standard moving averages, the HMA reacts faster to new price moves and avoids false signals in ranging or volatile markets.
How to use the HMA Trend Line (Croc Signal Line) on TradingView?
+ Watch for price crossing above the trend line for potential bullish signals, and below for bearish signals.
+ Use on any timeframe: from 1-minute scalping to daily, weekly, or even monthly charts.
+ Works with all asset classes: Forex, stocks, indices, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and futures.
+ Combine with other indicators (like Stochastics, RSI, or volume) for confirmation and to build your unique trading strategy.
+ Adjust the Signal Line Period for your market and style: shorter periods for faster markets, longer for smoother trends.
Who should use this indicator?
+ Day traders, swing traders, and long-term investors looking for reliable, actionable trend signals.
+ Anyone seeking a cleaner, more responsive alternative to the classic moving averages.
+ Traders who want a simple, visually clear way to filter out market noise and see real price direction.
Disclaimer:
This indicator is for educational and study purposes only. Please perform your own backtesting and analysis before using it in live trading. This script does not constitute financial advice. Use at your own risk.
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Chaikin Oscillator Multi-Timeframe BiasOverview
Chaikin Oscillator Multi-Timeframe Bias is an indicator designed to help traders align with institutional buying and selling activity by analyzing Chaikin Oscillator signals across two timeframes—a higher timeframe (HTF) for trend bias and a lower timeframe (LTF) for timing. This dual-confirmation model helps traders avoid false breakouts and trade in sync with market momentum and accumulation or distribution dynamics.
Core Concepts
The Chaikin Oscillator measures the momentum of accumulation and distribution based on price and volume. Institutional traders typically accumulate slowly and steadily, and the Chaikin Oscillator helps reveal this pattern. Multi-timeframe analysis confirms whether short-term price action supports the longer-term trend. This indicator applies a smoothing EMA to each Chaikin Oscillator to help confirm direction and reduce noise.
How to Use the Indicator
Start by selecting your timeframes. The higher timeframe, set by default to Daily, establishes the broader directional bias. The lower timeframe, defaulted to 30 minutes, identifies short-term momentum confirmation. The indicator displays one of five labels: CALL Bias, CALL Wait, PUT Bias, PUT Wait, or NEUTRAL. CALL Bias means both HTF and LTF are bullish, signaling a potential opportunity for long or call trades. CALL Wait indicates that the HTF is bullish, but the LTF hasn’t confirmed yet. PUT Bias signals bearish alignment in both HTF and LTF, while PUT Wait indicates HTF is bearish and LTF has not yet confirmed. NEUTRAL means there is no alignment between timeframes and directional trades are not advised.
Interpretation
When the Chaikin Oscillator is above zero and also above its EMA, this indicates bullish momentum and accumulation. When the oscillator is below zero and below its EMA, it suggests bearish momentum and distribution. Bias labels identify when both timeframes are aligned for a higher-probability directional setup. When a “Wait” label appears, it means one timeframe has confirmed bias but the other has not, suggesting the trader should monitor closely but delay entry.
Notes
This indicator includes alerts for both CALL and PUT bias confirmation when both timeframes are aligned. It works on all asset classes, including stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, and futures. Timeframes are fully customizable, and users may explore combinations such as 1D and 1H, or 4H and 15M depending on their strategy. For best results, consider pairing this tool with volume, volatility, or price action analysis.
BG Ichimoku Tenkan MTFBG Ichimoku Tenkan MTF: Your Multi-Timeframe Trend Compass
Elevate your Ichimoku analysis with the BG Ichimoku Tenkan MTF indicator. This powerful tool provides a comprehensive view of the Tenkan-sen (Conversion Line) across multiple timeframes, helping you identify trends and potential shifts with greater clarity. It's ideal for all markets, including stocks, cryptocurrencies, Forex, and futures.
Key Features:
Main Tenkan-sen Plot: Visualize the Tenkan-sen for your active chart timeframe with adjustable color.
Multi-Timeframe Table: A dynamic table displays the Tenkan-sen's relationship to price (🔼 for above, 🔽 for below) and its current value for up to 7 timeframes.
Continuous MTF Lines: Plot the Tenkan-sen from higher timeframes directly on your current chart, providing clear support/resistance levels and trend confluence.
Fully Customizable Colors: Personalize the color for each individual timeframe in the table and for its corresponding MTF line, ensuring a clean and intuitive visual experience. You can also adjust the main Tenkan-sen color and the MTF line offset.
Gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics by analyzing the Tenkan-sen across different time scales, all in one intuitive indicator.
We created this indicator to help you better navigate the markets. Thank you for using it, and we hope it brings you value. Enjoy it in your daily analysis!
Bab
REVELATIONS (VoVix - PoC) REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC): True Regime Detection Before the Move
Let’s not sugarcoat it: Most strategies on TradingView are recycled—RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, Stochastics. They all lag. No matter how many overlays you stack, every one of these “standard” indicators fires after the move is underway. The retail crowd almost always gets in late. That’s never been enough for my team, for DAFE, or for anyone who’s traded enough to know the real edge vanishes by the time the masses react.
How is this different?
REVELATIONS (VoVix - POC) was engineered from raw principle, structured to detect pre-move regime change—before standard technicals even light up. We built, tested, and refined VoVix to answer one hard question:
What if you could see the spike before the trend?
Here’s what sets this system apart, line-by-line:
o True volatility-of-volatility mathematics: It’s not just "ATR of ATR" or noise smoothing. VoVix uses normalized, multi-timeframe v-vol spikes, instantly detecting orderbook stress and "outlier" market events—before the chart shows them as trends.
o Purist regime clustering: Every trade is enabled only during coordinated, multi-filter regime stress. No more signals in meaningless chop.
o Nonlinear entry logic: No trade is ever sent just for a “good enough” condition. Every entry fires only if every requirement is aligned—local extremes, super-spike threshold, regime index, higher timeframe, all must trigger in sync.
o Adaptive position size: Your contracts scale up with event strength. Tiny size during nominal moves, max leverage during true regime breaks—never guesswork, never static exposure.
o All exits governed by regime decay logic: Trades are closed not just on price targets but at the precise moment the market regime exhausts—the hardest part of systemic trading, now solved.
How this destroys the lag:
Standard indicators (RSI, MACD, OBV, CCI, and even most “momentum” overlays) simply tell you what already happened. VoVix triggers as price structure transitions—anyone running these generic scripts will trade behind the move while VoVix gets in as stress emerges. Real alpha comes from anticipation, not confirmation.
The visuals only show what matters:
Top right, you get a live, live quant dashboard—regime index, current position size, real-time performance (Sharpe, Sortino, win rate, and wins). Bottom right: a VoVix "engine bar" that adapts live with regime stress. Everything you see is a direct function of logic driving this edge—no cosmetics, no fake momentum.
Inputs/Signals—explained carefully for clarity:
o ATR Fast Length & ATR Slow Length:
These are the heart of VoVix’s regime sensing. Fast ATR reacts to sharp volatility; Slow ATR is stability baseline. Lower Fast = reacts to every twitch; higher Slow = requires more persistent, “real” regime shifts.
Tip: If you want more signals or faster markets, lower ATR Fast. To eliminate noise, raise ATR Slow.
o ATR StdDev Window: Smoothing for volatility-of-volatility normalization. Lower = more jumpy, higher = only the cleanest spikes trigger.
Tip: Shorten for “jumpy” assets, raise for indices/futures.
o Base Spike Threshold: Think of this as your “minimum event strength.” If the current move isn’t volatile enough (normalized), no signal.
Tip: Higher = only biggest moves matter. Lower for more signals but more potential noise.
o Super Spike Multiplier: The “are you sure?” test—entry only when the current spike is this multiple above local average.
Tip: Raise for ultra-selective/swing-trading; lower for more active style.
Regime & MultiTF:
o Regime Window (Bars):
How many bars to scan for regime cluster “events.” Short for turbo markets, long for big swings/trends only.
o Regime Event Count: Only trade when this many spikes occur within the Regime Window—filters for real stress, not isolated ticks.
Tip: Raise to only ever trade during true breakouts/crashes.
o Local Window for Extremes:
How many bars to check that a spike is a local max.
Tip: Raise to demand only true, “clearest” local regime events; lower for early triggers.
o HTF Confirm:
Higher timeframe regime confirmation (like 45m on an intraday chart). Ensures any event you act on is visible in the broader context.
Tip: Use higher timeframes for only major moves; lower for scalping or fast regimes.
Adaptive Sizing:
o Max Contracts (Adaptive): The largest size your system will ever scale to, even on extreme event.
Tip: Lower for small accounts/conservative risk; raise on big accounts or when you're willing to go big only on outlier events.
o Min Contracts (Adaptive): The “toe-in-the-water.” Smallest possible trade.
Tip: Set as low as your broker/exchange allows for safety, or higher if you want to always have meaningful skin in the game.
Trade Management:
o Stop %: Tightness of your stop-loss relative to entry. Lower for tighter/safer, higher for more breathing room at cost of greater drawdown.
o Take Profit %: How much you'll hold out for on a win. Lower = more scalps. Higher = only run with the best.
o Decay Exit Sensitivity Buffer: Regime index must dip this far below the trading threshold before you exit for “regime decay.”
Tip: 0 = exit as soon as stress fails, higher = exits only on stronger confirmation regime is over.
o Bars Decay Must Persist to Exit: How long must decay be present before system closes—set higher to avoid quick fades and whipsaws.
Backtest Settings
Initial capital: $10,000
Commission: Conservative, realistic roundtrip cost:
15–20 per contract (including slippage per side) I set this to $25
Slippage: 3 ticks per trade
Symbol: CME_MINI:NQ1!
Timeframe: 1 min (but works on all timeframes)
Order size: Adaptive, 1–3 contracts
No pyramiding, no hidden DCA
Why these settings?
These settings are intentionally strict and realistic, reflecting the true costs and risks of live trading. The 10,000 account size is accessible for most retail traders. 25/contract including 3 ticks of slippage are on the high side for NQ, ensuring the strategy is not curve-fit to perfect fills. If it works here, it will work in real conditions.
Tip: Set to 1 for instant regime exit; raise for extra confirmation (less whipsaw risk, exits held longer).
________________________________________
Bottom line: Tune the sensitivity, selectivity, and risk of REVELATIONS by these inputs. Raise thresholds and windows for only the best, most powerful signals (institutional style); lower for activity (scalpers, fast cryptos, signals in constant motion). Sizing is always adaptive—never static or martingale. Exits are always based on both price and regime health. Every input is there for your control, not to sell “complexity.” Use with discipline, and make it your own.
This strategy is not just a technical achievement: It’s a statement about trading smarter, not just more.
* I went back through the code to make sure no the strategy would not suffer from repainting, forward looking, or any frowned upon loopholes.
Disclaimer:
Trading is risky and carries the risk of substantial loss. Do not use funds you aren’t prepared to lose. This is for research and informational purposes only, not financial advice. Backtest, paper trade, and know your risk before going live. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Expect more: We’ll keep pushing the standard, keep evolving the bar until “quant” actually means something in the public code space.
Use with clarity, use with discipline, and always trade your edge.
— Dskyz , for DAFE Trading Systems
IDX - 5UPThe UDX-5UP is a custom indicator designed to assist traders in identifying trends, entry and exit signals, and market reversal moments with greater accuracy. It combines price analysis, volume, and momentum (RSI) to provide clear buy ("Buy") and sell ("Sell") signals across any asset and timeframe, whether you're a scalper on the 5M chart or a swing trader on the 4H chart. Inspired by robust technical analysis strategies, the UDX-5UP is ideal for traders seeking a reliable tool to operate in volatile markets such as cryptocurrencies, forex, stocks, and futures.
Components of the UDX-5UP
The UDX-5UP consists of three main panels that work together to provide a comprehensive view of the market:
Main Panel (Price):
Pivot Supertrend: A dynamic line that changes color to indicate the trend. Green for an uptrend (look for buys), red for a downtrend (look for sells).
SMAs (Simple Moving Averages): Two SMAs (8 and 21 periods) to confirm the trend direction. When the SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21, it’s a bullish signal; when it crosses below, it’s a bearish signal.
Entry/Exit Signals: "Buy" (green) and "Sell" (red) labels are plotted on the chart when entry or exit conditions are met.
Volume Panel:
Colored Volume Bars: Green bars indicate dominant buying volume, while red bars indicate dominant selling volume.
Volume Moving Average (MA 20): A blue line that helps identify whether the current volume is above or below the average, confirming the strength of the movement.
RSI Panel:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Calculated with a period of 14, with overbought (70) and oversold (30) lines to identify momentum extremes.
Divergences: The indicator detects divergences between the RSI and price, plotting signals for potential reversals.
How the UDX-5UP Works
The UDX-5UP uses a combination of rules to generate buy and sell signals:
Buy Signal ("Buy"):
The Pivot Supertrend changes from red to green.
The SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21.
The volume is above the MA 20, with green bars (indicating buying pressure).
The RSI is rising and, ideally, below 70 (not overbought).
Example: On the 4H chart, the price of Tether (USDT) is at 0.05515. The Pivot Supertrend turns green, the SMA 8 crosses above the SMA 21, the volume shows green bars above the MA 20, and the RSI is at 46. The UDX-5UP plots a "Buy".
Sell Signal ("Sell"):
The Pivot Supertrend changes from green to red.
The SMA 8 crosses below the SMA 21.
The volume is above the MA 20, with red bars (indicating selling pressure).
The RSI is falling and, ideally, above 70 (overbought).
Example: On the 4H chart, the price of Tether rises to 0.05817. The Pivot Supertrend turns red, the SMA 8 crosses below the SMA 21, the volume shows red bars, and the RSI is above 70. The UDX-5UP plots a "Sell".
RSI Divergences:
The indicator identifies bullish divergences (price makes a lower low, but RSI makes a higher low) and bearish divergences (price makes a higher high, but RSI makes a lower high), plotting alerts for potential reversals.
Adjustable Settings
The UDX-5UP is highly customizable to suit your trading style:
Pivot Supertrend Period: Default is 2. Increase to 3 or 4 for more conservative signals (fewer false positives, but more lag).
SMA Periods: Default is 8 and 21. Adjust to 5 and 13 for smaller timeframes (e.g., 5M) or 13 and 34 for larger timeframes (e.g., 1D).
RSI Period: Default is 14. Reduce to 10 for greater sensitivity or increase to 20 for smoother signals.
Overbought/Oversold Levels: Default is 70/30. Adjust to 80/20 in volatile markets.
Display Panels: You can enable/disable the volume and RSI panels to simplify the chart.
How to Use the UDX-5UP
Identify the Trend:
Use the Pivot Supertrend and SMAs to determine the market direction. Uptrend: look for buys. Downtrend: look for sells.
Confirm with Volume and RSI:
For buys: Volume above the MA 20 with green bars, RSI rising and below 70.
For sells: Volume above the MA 20 with red bars, RSI falling and above 70.
Enter the Trade:
Enter a buy when the UDX-5UP plots a "Buy" and all conditions are aligned.
Enter a sell when the UDX-5UP plots a "Sell" and all conditions are aligned.
Plan the Exit:
Use Fibonacci levels or support/resistance on the price chart to set targets.
Exit the trade when the UDX-5UP plots an opposite signal ("Sell" after a buy, "Buy" after a sell).
Tips for Beginners
Start with Larger Timeframes: Use the 4H or 1D chart for more reliable signals and less noise.
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the UDX-5UP with tools like Fibonacci or the Candles RSI (another powerful indicator) to confirm signals.
Practice in Demo Mode: Test the indicator in a demo account before using real money.
Manage Risk: Always use a stop-loss and don’t risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade.
Why Use the UDX-5UP?
Simplicity: Clear "Buy" and "Sell" signals make trading accessible even for beginners.
Versatility: Works on any asset (crypto, forex, stocks) and timeframe.
Multiple Confirmations: Combines price, volume, and momentum to reduce false signals.
Customizable: Adjust the settings to match your trading style.
Author’s Notes
The UDX-5UP was developed based on years of trading and technical analysis experience. It is an evolution of tested strategies, designed to help traders navigate volatile markets with confidence. However, no indicator is infallible. Always combine the UDX-5UP with proper risk management and fundamental analysis, especially in unpredictable markets. Feedback is welcome – leave a comment or reach out with suggestions for improvements!
Modified RSIModified RSI (Round Number RSI)
Category: Oscillator / Momentum
Description
The Modified RSI (Round Number RSI) is an enhanced version of the classic Relative Strength Index (RSI), designed to provide clearer and more structured signals by rounding its values to whole numbers. This modification helps traders filter out noise, making trend analysis and overbought/oversold conditions easier to interpret.
Key Features:
✔ Rounded RSI Values – Instead of fluctuating with decimals, this RSI rounds values to whole numbers (e.g., 30, 50, 70) for clearer decision-making.
✔ Easier Signal Interpretation – Helps traders identify key RSI levels without distractions from small fluctuations.
✔ Customizable Lookback Period – Allows adjustment of RSI sensitivity to fit different trading strategies.
✔ Works on All Timeframes & Assets – Can be applied to stocks, forex, crypto, and futures.
How to Use It:
📌 Overbought & Oversold Levels:
RSI ≥ 70 → Market may be overbought (potential reversal or correction).
RSI ≤ 30 → Market may be oversold (potential buying opportunity).
📌 Trend Confirmation:
RSI staying above 50 signals bullish momentum.
RSI staying below 50 signals bearish momentum.
📌 Divergence Trading:
Price makes a new high, but RSI does not → Bearish Divergence (Possible Downtrend).
Price makes a new low, but RSI does not → Bullish Divergence (Possible Uptrend).
Best Used For:
📈 Day Traders & Swing Traders looking for simplified RSI signals.
📉 Trend Confirmation with moving averages or volume analysis.
⚡ Confluence Trading with support/resistance zones.
Why Use This Over Traditional RSI?
🔹 Removes unnecessary noise by rounding RSI values.
🔹 Helps traders focus on key levels (30, 50, 70).
🔹 Reduces decision fatigue for fast-paced trading.
